Second deadliest tornado of 2010 kills 5 in Ohio; oil spill update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:00 PM GMT on June 07, 2010

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The second deadliest tornado of 2010 hit Millbury, Ohio, about 10 miles southeast of Toledo, on Saturday night, killing five. The deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 23, which is, fortunately, well below the approximately 70 deaths we expect to see by mid-June, based on averages from the past three tornado seasons. The deadliest tornado of 2010 was the EF-4 Yazoo City, Mississippi tornado in April, which killed ten. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 55 tornado reports on Saturday, plus 104 reports of damaging winds and 16 of large hail. The tornadoes hit Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Ohio's killer tornado was preliminarily rated a high-end EF-3 with 165 mph winds, but has now been upgraded to an EF-4 with 175 mph winds. An EF-3 tornado also hit Indiana near Grissom Air Force Base on Saturday, and two EF-3 tornadoes were reported in Illinois, one near St. Anne, and one in Livingston County. Here in Michigan, I found myself making some very late night calls at 12:30 am on Sunday to warn relatives about the Doppler radar signatures of rotating supercells bearing down on them. Hardest hit was the town of Dundee, south of Ann Arbor. An EF-2 tornado swept through the town, damaging Michigan's most visited tourist attraction, Cabela's sporting goods store on US-23. An EF-1 tornado also damaged a building at the Fermi II Nuclear Power Plant on Lake Erie, forcing an automatic shutdown of the nuclear reactor.


Figure 1. Severe weather reports for Saturday, June 5, 2010. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Oil spill update
Light winds of 5 - 10 knots today will turn to southeasterly Tuesday through Wednesday, then southerly on Thursday through Friday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. These winds will keep oil near the beaches of Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. The latest ocean current forecasts from the NOAA HYCOM model show that the ocean currents that have carried oil eastward along the Florida Panhandle coast will weaken this week, making it unlikely that oil will penetrate farther eastwards than Panama City, Florida. Long range surface wind forecasts from the GFS model for the period 8 - 14 days from now show a return to a southeastery wind regime, which would prevent any further progress of the oil eastwards along the Florida Panhandle, and would tend to bring significant amounts of oil back to the shores of eastern Louisiana next week. If you spot oil, send in your report to http://www.gulfcoastspill.com/, whose mission is to help the Gulf Coast recovery by creating a daily record of the oil spill.


Figure 2. The oil spill on June 5, 2010 at 11:49pm EDT, as seen by Sythetic Aperature Radar (SAR) imagery from the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. Image credit: University of Miami Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Oil trajectory forecasts from NOAA
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Join the "Hurricane Haven" with Dr. Jeff Masters
I'll have a new post on Tuesday. The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now, with no models predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. Also on Tuesday, I'll be continuing our experiment with my live Internet radio show called "Hurricane Haven." The show will be aired at 4pm EDT on Tuesdays during hurricane season. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. Some topics I'll cover on the show:

1) What's going on in the tropics right now
2) New advancements in hurricane science presented at this month's AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology last month

Tomorrow's show, which will probably be just 1/2 hour, will be at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast, as last week's show was.

Jeff Masters

Massive Thunderhead! (utjazzfan)
Mike shot only the top quarter of this storm cell... Quite a sight!
Massive Thunderhead!
()
June 5th Tornado (MsWickedWitch)
Near Peoria IL
June 5th Tornado
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage (weatherwatcher24)
More damage, but other areas were much worse.
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage

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Hi Shen! How've you been?
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1081. pottery
Quoting Orcasystems:


I couldn't get past the hat??

He has on a hat?
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1080. RTLSNK
Quoting pottery:

How very Peculiar.
I seem to be, as the years retreat and I grow younger, more and more interested in Me.
Maybe it is just a Phase.
Not that there is anything wrong with that. I must be single-phasing..


Grandchildren cause that to happen to us. After 63 years on this planet, I find it difficult to reconcile the man you see in my Avatar with the man who when the grandchildren are around has to use the word "poo poo". :)
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Quoting pottery:

I noticed that too!


I couldn't get past the hat??
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Weather is definitely different though - the cool temps for so long - then right into the super heat. The thunderstorms are very powerful - from the intensity of the heat running into the sea breeze.

I'm getting tired of fishing my furniture out of the pool, and its only June.
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Quoting pottery:

And you lived???
That would of killed me dedder than Mic....well, I wont repeat that.

I lived...but that's not what I was asking for halfway through...
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1076. pottery
Quoting hydrus:
Nice sunburst 12 string on the back wall of you avatar Shen.

I noticed that too!
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Quoting Orcasystems:


Where Zoo??


Ha Ha
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1074. pottery
Quoting atmoaggie:

Once went on a flight where we went from 40k feet to 1k feet and back up 8 times. Head imploded right about the time we finally got to the runway...it was then I knew I was not going to be doing any field campaigns for my career...

And you lived???
That would of killed me dedder than Mic....well, I wont repeat that.
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1073. Grothar
Quoting Orcasystems:
Its sort of like old home night on here... lots of the umm older members here... makes me feel young :)


Keep it up Orca and you wont know what old age feels like. LOL
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
I beleive those water temps - my pool, even after about 6 inches of storm water, is already like a bath tub. Normally doesn't get like this so early.

In Fort Myers today, and its baking here, walk outside -- instant melt.
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Quoting zoomiami:
Some of the younger members are here too!


Where Zoo??
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1070. hydrus
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Walmart house brand works fine for me.
Nice sunburst 12 string on the back wall of you avatar Shen.
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Floods around. Where's Shep?


He is still around... we have a new little member to the gang... watch out.. he has a interesting sense of humour, his nick is Swampliliy.
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1068. pottery
Quoting zoomiami:
Some of the younger members are here too!

Well watch out.
It's Geriatric Hour...
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Quoting zoomiami:
Some of the younger members are here too!


Hey Zoo
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Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Hey that counts. Used to go form ~700' to 2000' to 1500' every working day. Makes my ears pop just thinking about it.

Once went on a flight where we went from 40k feet to 1k feet and back up 8 times. Head imploded right about the time we finally got to the runway...it was then I knew I was not going to be doing any field campaigns for my career...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Some of the younger members are here too!
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Quoting Orcasystems:


All we need now us Shep and Flood.


Floods around. Where's Shep?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1063. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:



You are making me feel better by the minute, hydrus. LOL It was the damage on Long Island was terrible. We lived on Long Island Sound and got those back winds.
He said he was laughing his off watching everything but the kitchen sink flying down the street.
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Quoting hydrus:
Yeah, The Extra Strength Brand is available OTC...:)


Walmart house brand works fine for me.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


I'll have you to know I resemble that remark.


All we need now is Shep and Flood.
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1060. pottery
Quoting RTLSNK:


One of the benefits of a classical education I would say. Much like yourself, at this point in my life I find myself more interested in the weather than Philosophy. I have managed to keep up with certain new areas that the younger generation seem to be interesed in.

How very Peculiar.
I seem to be, as the years retreat and I grow younger, more and more interested in Me.
Maybe it is just a Phase.
Not that there is anything wrong with that. I must be single-phasing..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1059. RTLSNK
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:


We need rain here, 7" below normal for the year to date!


I know, I've noticed that most of the storms that have hit Macon either go to Savannah or head NE and miss the Brunswick area completely.
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1058. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:


Real good, taking my Geritol and all. Really hot here though Snake, no kidding.
Yeah, The Extra Strength Brand is available OTC...:)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Orcasystems:
Its sort of like old home night on here... lots of the umm older members here... makes me feel young :)


I'll have you to know I resemble that remark.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1056. Grothar
Quoting hydrus:
My dad told me about Hazel. He said it was very bad. He was in Morristown,NJ at the time. He said the worst of it was between 8 pm till 2 am.



You are making me feel better by the minute, hydrus. LOL It was the damage on Long Island was terrible. We lived on Long Island Sound and got those back winds.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Its sort of like old home night on here... lots of the umm older members here... makes me feel young :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1053. Grothar
Quoting RTLSNK:


YO, Grothar! Doing fine thanks, how about yourself? I do miss Lauderdale and the Keys, but Macon seems to have all the rain we can handle!


Real good, taking my Geritol and all. Really hot here though Snake, no kidding.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
1052. pottery
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Hey that counts. Used to go form ~700' to 2000' to 1500' every working day. Makes my ears pop just thinking about it.

LOL
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1051. hydrus
Quoting Grothar:


No, but I was living on Long Island in 1954 and remember Hazel. Even though it went through PA, we had hurricane force winds on Long Island. Of course I was very young.
My dad told me about Hazel. He said it was very bad. He was in Morristown,NJ at the time. He said the worst of it was between 8 pm till 2 am.
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1050. RTLSNK
Quoting pottery:

True. That's why I like it when you come by.
You are so Sensible, Serious, and Succinct.
Finger in the breach, and all that...


One of the benefits of a classical education I would say. Much like yourself, at this point in my life I find myself more interested in the weather than Philosophy. I have managed to keep up with certain new areas that the younger generation seem to be interesed in.
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Quoting ElConando:
Hey Orca long time no see you have made me less grumpy with your appearance.


I am normally here in the evening... just lurking :)
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Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I see no imminent threats for tropical development in the Atlantic basin. Good!


NOpe there is not. Been saying it all day as you just did. Could not even try to wish one up as there just is no chance of anything until mid to late next week if even then.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
Quoting pottery:

The Northern Range goes to 3000 feet. I will cross the main ridge at about 2200 ft.
Very nice up there.


Hey that counts. Used to go form ~700' to 2000' to 1500' every working day. Makes my ears pop just thinking about it.
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Hey Orca long time no see you have made me less grumpy with your appearance.
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Evening buds, whats 411 dawgs anathin sizllin in the atlantic. Fo schizzle.
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I was reading this and thought the information might be of interest to the blog. It is about solar weather and how it threatens the Earth.

http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2010/04jun_swef/
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1042. hydrus
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I see no imminent threats for tropical development in the Atlantic basin. Good!
The Atlantic basin reminds me of champagne.....With the cork in too tight.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1041. Grothar
Quoting hydrus:
Yeah, you probably saw it in the newspaper that day.hehe


No, but I was living on Long Island in 1954 and remember Hazel. Even though it went through PA, we had hurricane force winds on Long Island. Of course I was very young.
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Quoting RTLSNK:


YO, Grothar! Doing fine thanks, how about yourself? I do miss Lauderdale and the Keys, but Macon seems to have all the rain we can handle!


I like it when it rains in Georgia :)

Umm isn't that a song or something??
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1039. pottery
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Mountain? How High?

The Northern Range goes to 3000 feet. I will cross the main ridge at about 2200 ft.
Very nice up there.
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Quoting pottery:

Yeah! And I am going to Brasso Seco in the morning.
I hope any heavy rains hold off till I come back down the mountain...


Mountain? How High?
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TROPICAL DISCUSSION - INTERNATIONAL DESKS
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
235 PM EDT MON JUN 07 2010

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1035. pottery
Quoting PcolaDan:


I don't get it. Why would this place make you stand on your head? ;)

I am really not sure...
I had'nt noticed, come to think of it.
Maybe that's why I am having trouble swallowing.........?
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1033. pottery
Quoting DDR:
Hi pottery,how are you?
Tomorrow and most of this week looks wet,nice!:)

Yeah! And I am going to Brasso Seco in the morning.
I hope any heavy rains hold off till I come back down the mountain...
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1032. xcool
lmao
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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