Second deadliest tornado of 2010 kills 5 in Ohio; oil spill update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:00 PM GMT on June 07, 2010

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The second deadliest tornado of 2010 hit Millbury, Ohio, about 10 miles southeast of Toledo, on Saturday night, killing five. The deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 23, which is, fortunately, well below the approximately 70 deaths we expect to see by mid-June, based on averages from the past three tornado seasons. The deadliest tornado of 2010 was the EF-4 Yazoo City, Mississippi tornado in April, which killed ten. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 55 tornado reports on Saturday, plus 104 reports of damaging winds and 16 of large hail. The tornadoes hit Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Ohio's killer tornado was preliminarily rated a high-end EF-3 with 165 mph winds, but has now been upgraded to an EF-4 with 175 mph winds. An EF-3 tornado also hit Indiana near Grissom Air Force Base on Saturday, and two EF-3 tornadoes were reported in Illinois, one near St. Anne, and one in Livingston County. Here in Michigan, I found myself making some very late night calls at 12:30 am on Sunday to warn relatives about the Doppler radar signatures of rotating supercells bearing down on them. Hardest hit was the town of Dundee, south of Ann Arbor. An EF-2 tornado swept through the town, damaging Michigan's most visited tourist attraction, Cabela's sporting goods store on US-23. An EF-1 tornado also damaged a building at the Fermi II Nuclear Power Plant on Lake Erie, forcing an automatic shutdown of the nuclear reactor.


Figure 1. Severe weather reports for Saturday, June 5, 2010. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Oil spill update
Light winds of 5 - 10 knots today will turn to southeasterly Tuesday through Wednesday, then southerly on Thursday through Friday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. These winds will keep oil near the beaches of Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. The latest ocean current forecasts from the NOAA HYCOM model show that the ocean currents that have carried oil eastward along the Florida Panhandle coast will weaken this week, making it unlikely that oil will penetrate farther eastwards than Panama City, Florida. Long range surface wind forecasts from the GFS model for the period 8 - 14 days from now show a return to a southeastery wind regime, which would prevent any further progress of the oil eastwards along the Florida Panhandle, and would tend to bring significant amounts of oil back to the shores of eastern Louisiana next week. If you spot oil, send in your report to http://www.gulfcoastspill.com/, whose mission is to help the Gulf Coast recovery by creating a daily record of the oil spill.


Figure 2. The oil spill on June 5, 2010 at 11:49pm EDT, as seen by Sythetic Aperature Radar (SAR) imagery from the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. Image credit: University of Miami Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Oil trajectory forecasts from NOAA
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Join the "Hurricane Haven" with Dr. Jeff Masters
I'll have a new post on Tuesday. The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now, with no models predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. Also on Tuesday, I'll be continuing our experiment with my live Internet radio show called "Hurricane Haven." The show will be aired at 4pm EDT on Tuesdays during hurricane season. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. Some topics I'll cover on the show:

1) What's going on in the tropics right now
2) New advancements in hurricane science presented at this month's AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology last month

Tomorrow's show, which will probably be just 1/2 hour, will be at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast, as last week's show was.

Jeff Masters

Massive Thunderhead! (utjazzfan)
Mike shot only the top quarter of this storm cell... Quite a sight!
Massive Thunderhead!
()
June 5th Tornado (MsWickedWitch)
Near Peoria IL
June 5th Tornado
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage (weatherwatcher24)
More damage, but other areas were much worse.
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage

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Quoting TropicalWave:
tim, how bad could it get in july?


...Congratulations! You're the one millionth poster to ask a question that cannot be answered!

Johnny! Tell him what he's won!

(Johnny) He's Won A New Car!

Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3684
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


I thought you were in bed. I know, I'm going to mine soon.

'Nite everyone! :)
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3684
Quoting zoomiami:


psss - they're back!


even worse, so is disco
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1176. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting CycloneOz:
I am CycloneOz.
I am CyclopseOz.
I am CycloneOz.
I am CyclopseOz.

-->reset *whirl*shunt*bleeng
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53802
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Right now were setting the fuse to the powder keg come july its ready to go off.


Is this for hurricanes or July 4th...cause if it's for July 4th, we can save it.

We're a nation of dependents now...
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3684
1174. hydrus
Good night to all.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Right now were setting the fuse to the powder keg come july its ready to go off.
Member Since: April 8, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 2572
I am CycloneOz.
I am CyclopseOz.
I am CycloneOz.
I am CyclopseOz.

-->reset *whirl*shunt*bleeng
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3684
1171. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53802


You can see how MJO is coming in July by this graph
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1169. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
later all iam out
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53802
1168. Grothar
Quoting TampaSpin:


If we have a nasty one on your birthday....we need to name it Grothar on the blog....LOL


Thanks for the thought. Big LOL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CycloneOz:
more august for few...
Great avatar! sam fisher splinter cell
Member Since: April 8, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 2572
more august for few...
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3684
1165. xcool
bad july come..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Is it hurricane yet?
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3684
Quoting jasoniscoolman09:
my new video


Great job Jason!
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1162. Grothar
Quoting pottery:

even I dont remember potato skins for cleaning.
Weirdness Rules!


We used to use them to get a spit shine on our boots and shoes when I was in the army. If you don't believe me, try it some time, the inside of the skin. For real. And no, I was not in World War I. LOL nite pot.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Yep im getting concerned about july


Its coming as MJO returns....about that time.....nothing we can do but be prepared.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
Quoting xcool:


Wow favorable conditions everywhere july going to be busy thats for sure if this comes true
Member Since: April 8, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 2572
Quoting Grothar:


Just what we want to hear before going to bed. LOL. Besides, July 1st is my birthday.


If we have a nasty one on your birthday....we need to name it Grothar on the blog....LOL
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1158. xcool


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1157. hydrus
Quoting spathy:
Wow that took me a while to figure out how to do that.
I thought the spot in Hydrus post was just a speck of dust on me screen.

On a serious note can we expect the Gulf Eddy to stay as is for another few weeks?
The Naval Research Lab has a forecast model for Frank or Franklin( yes they named it ). Someone on here has the link. That should help you track the loop current eddy.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting TampaSpin:
I was just looking at how the SubTropical Jet is lifting out.....trouble is coming within the first week of July .......BIG TIME!
Yep im getting concerned about july
Member Since: April 8, 2010 Posts: 15 Comments: 2572
water temps in all S. FL in the 90's now, some spots reading as high as 94.....my pool was 91 today, warmest i ever seen it
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1154. xcool
oh boy
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1153. Grothar
Quoting TampaSpin:
I was just looking at how the SubTropical Jet is lifting out.....trouble is coming within the first week of July .......BIG TIME!


Just what we want to hear before going to bed. LOL. Besides, July 1st is my birthday.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1152. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting TampaSpin:
I was just looking at how the SubTropical Jet is lifting out.....trouble is coming within the first week of July .......BIG TIME!
last week of june
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53802
I was just looking at how the SubTropical Jet is lifting out.....trouble is coming within the first week of July .......BIG TIME!
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1150. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
local isolated rain tampa
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53802
Quoting TampaSpin:
Wow it is pooring rain outside....geesh.....we needed it too..


Glad you got the rain you needed. Lol we need it too but it doesnt want to come.
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1148. xcool
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
822PM PR DISCUSSION...

MOISTURE ON FRIDAY LOOKS LIKE IT WILL STAY SOUTH OF
THE AREA BUT WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY CHANGES UNTIL 00Z MODELS CONFIRM THIS DRIER TREND.

..............
Obviously it will.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Wow it is pooring rain outside....geesh.....we needed it too..
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1145. hydrus
Quoting louisianaboy444:
Hope we don't get another one of these:

Image and video hosting by TinyPic
I hope not too. what a nasty freaken path that was.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
good night friend sleep well


make that for me too.
Member Since: September 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
1143. pottery
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


Been to a party or two like that. Where did they go?

Who knows! But their gone. Thank goodness. Whew!
LOLOL
I'm Gone, Solid Gone, this time.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1142. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting pottery:
See you all another time.
I am out...
good night friend sleep well
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53802
1141. xcool
ok next is cmc models
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting pottery:

LOL, I had one a long time ago, like that (not a Stella) that gave endless trouble to tune.
Went to a weekend party on the east coast here, and when I looked for it next morning, 2 guys were taking turns surfing on the thing.
What a party.........


Been to a party or two like that. Where did they go?
Member Since: September 9, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 4687
1139. JLPR2
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


LOL! Perfect, I'm saving this one to look at it
XD
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1138. pottery
See you all another time.
I am out...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1137. RTLSNK
Quoting Grothar:


You still use potato skins to clean them? Nobody would remember that


Even I don't remember that one!!! I have both pairs in sealed plastic bags, and they still look brand new.

12:43 am here, time to go horizontal, will check back in later, much later.
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1136. pottery
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:

Man! I'm getting so sleeeeppppy...
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1134. xcool
TropicalWave :)
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1133. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting TropicalWave:
xcool, trouble is a coming.
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 171 Comments: 53802
1132. pottery
Quoting ShenValleyFlyFish:


You want it? It's a Stella! I bought it it in a fit of sentamentality for the 6o's off eBay. They were worth $10 back then and a lot less now. (if you want to play it) Never could be tuned. Thought with today's tech I could do it but it ain't gonna happen. Lol

LOL, I had one a long time ago, like that (not a Stella) that gave endless trouble to tune.
Went to a weekend party on the east coast here, and when I looked for it next morning, 2 guys were taking turns surfing on the thing.
What a party.........
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.