Second deadliest tornado of 2010 kills 5 in Ohio; oil spill update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:00 PM GMT on June 07, 2010

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The second deadliest tornado of 2010 hit Millbury, Ohio, about 10 miles southeast of Toledo, on Saturday night, killing five. The deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 23, which is, fortunately, well below the approximately 70 deaths we expect to see by mid-June, based on averages from the past three tornado seasons. The deadliest tornado of 2010 was the EF-4 Yazoo City, Mississippi tornado in April, which killed ten. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 55 tornado reports on Saturday, plus 104 reports of damaging winds and 16 of large hail. The tornadoes hit Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Ohio's killer tornado was preliminarily rated a high-end EF-3 with 165 mph winds, but has now been upgraded to an EF-4 with 175 mph winds. An EF-3 tornado also hit Indiana near Grissom Air Force Base on Saturday, and two EF-3 tornadoes were reported in Illinois, one near St. Anne, and one in Livingston County. Here in Michigan, I found myself making some very late night calls at 12:30 am on Sunday to warn relatives about the Doppler radar signatures of rotating supercells bearing down on them. Hardest hit was the town of Dundee, south of Ann Arbor. An EF-2 tornado swept through the town, damaging Michigan's most visited tourist attraction, Cabela's sporting goods store on US-23. An EF-1 tornado also damaged a building at the Fermi II Nuclear Power Plant on Lake Erie, forcing an automatic shutdown of the nuclear reactor.


Figure 1. Severe weather reports for Saturday, June 5, 2010. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Oil spill update
Light winds of 5 - 10 knots today will turn to southeasterly Tuesday through Wednesday, then southerly on Thursday through Friday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. These winds will keep oil near the beaches of Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. The latest ocean current forecasts from the NOAA HYCOM model show that the ocean currents that have carried oil eastward along the Florida Panhandle coast will weaken this week, making it unlikely that oil will penetrate farther eastwards than Panama City, Florida. Long range surface wind forecasts from the GFS model for the period 8 - 14 days from now show a return to a southeastery wind regime, which would prevent any further progress of the oil eastwards along the Florida Panhandle, and would tend to bring significant amounts of oil back to the shores of eastern Louisiana next week. If you spot oil, send in your report to http://www.gulfcoastspill.com/, whose mission is to help the Gulf Coast recovery by creating a daily record of the oil spill.


Figure 2. The oil spill on June 5, 2010 at 11:49pm EDT, as seen by Sythetic Aperature Radar (SAR) imagery from the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. Image credit: University of Miami Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Oil trajectory forecasts from NOAA
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Join the "Hurricane Haven" with Dr. Jeff Masters
I'll have a new post on Tuesday. The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now, with no models predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. Also on Tuesday, I'll be continuing our experiment with my live Internet radio show called "Hurricane Haven." The show will be aired at 4pm EDT on Tuesdays during hurricane season. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. Some topics I'll cover on the show:

1) What's going on in the tropics right now
2) New advancements in hurricane science presented at this month's AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology last month

Tomorrow's show, which will probably be just 1/2 hour, will be at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast, as last week's show was.

Jeff Masters

Massive Thunderhead! (utjazzfan)
Mike shot only the top quarter of this storm cell... Quite a sight!
Massive Thunderhead!
()
June 5th Tornado (MsWickedWitch)
Near Peoria IL
June 5th Tornado
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage (weatherwatcher24)
More damage, but other areas were much worse.
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage

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Quoting xcool:






new 18z


Thanks xcool, I notice there is definitely some disturbed weather predicted there.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CaneWarning:


I don't like the looks of that. Good thing it is many days away.
Actually it starts developing with 48 hours.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
Quoting Grothar:


How come we're still here then? Or haven't you gotten to us yet. (Chuckle)
i wasn't lookin for you
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52257
Quoting xcool:






new 18z
GFS also showing that, it shows this area I'm watching over Panama, becoming a TS in the EPAC and making landfall over right where Agatha made landfall.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
Quoting xcool:






new 18z


I don't like the looks of that. Good thing it is many days away.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
626. xcool
clwstmchasr:lmao
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
admin handed out one ban to a multi screenname user


That one ban apparently took care of several people it seems. :)
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Quoting spathy:
Thanks pottery.
I meant to get back to Tampa about the mold.
You may have saved my health Tampa.
I had quite a few garbage bags of Oak leaves I was storing for the compost pile.
After your post of tragic family loss.
I went out with a mask and inspected the bags.
They had a mold growing on them!
I did not inspect closely!
I just threw away.
It was a wet winter.
So the usual habits could have been a health hazard.
I was familiar with the fungus.
Its bad for my Macaw.

I always inspect his whole peanuts for any hint of trouble.
I was not aware of the fungal problem at large.

Thank You so much for informing us all.
And and heart felt hugs to you TampaSpin.


Sometimes for every bad thing that happens, something good or life can be saved! I hope that was the case for Todd and hopefully many read my blog!



Quoting stillwaiting:
congrats to your nephew TS!!!,I try to make it up there a few times a season,usually for the yanks series in april,july and oct...hope he gets drafted by the rays,he'd be play'n for the home team then:)


The RAYS have been in serious contact with him....so that would be awsome!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
admin handed out one ban to a multi screenname user
It's only an amount of time...
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
622. xcool






new 18z
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
it went ok none of them are here


How come we're still here then? Or haven't you gotten to us yet. (Chuckle)
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23710
Quoting clwstmchasr:


My neck and back!

Must be from swinging that there club....
LOL
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
Quoting CaneWarning:


Admin handed out a few bans.
admin handed out one ban to a multi screenname user
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52257
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
Guys look vort has increased and is increasing


What area are you watching? Panama?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Guys look vort has increased and is increasing
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
what up four-fitty-sicks ??,hows st.barts been treating you lately??
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Hey 456, how do you like this very very nice wave emerging off of Africa?

Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
Quoting pottery:

Certainly not the Weather!
All is well.


Hahah you got that right Pottery, quiet day.
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Quoting Weather456:
Yo! What's crackin people
evening 456
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52257
KOTG now we can play "guess where I am" to see if it really works
Member Since: May 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 84
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
it went ok none of them are here


Admin handed out a few bans.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting CycloneOz:


Sorry...but that is the wrong answer. The mini-van is equipped with a Yakima brand roof rack system that is rated at 165 pounds carrying capacity.

You should have known that. You fail the test.


Don't ever attempt teaching if that's how you wright test questions. Your suit wouldn't protect you. Stick to something less dangerous like chasing Cains.
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Quoting pottery:

Well, something seemed to have worked.
Nice and peaceful in here this evening...
Thank God.
Quoting Weather456:
Yo! What's crackin people
Nothin' bro. Really calm and mellow just how I like it.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
Quoting Weather456:
Yo! What's crackin people

Certainly not the Weather!
All is well.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
Quoting Weather456:
Yo! What's crackin people
Nice to see you on here weather456!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
604. xcool
ouch weather456
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AOI

AOI

AOI

TS BUSTED FORECAST ALIBI
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Hey KOTG, how's the hacking program going?

Well, something seemed to have worked.
Nice and peaceful in here this evening...
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
Yo! What's crackin people
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Hey KOTG, how's the hacking program going?
it went ok none of them are here
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52257
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
at least 200 feet either direction

LOL
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
at least 200 feet either direction
Hey KOTG, how's the hacking program going?
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
Quoting CycloneOz:


The police never see me. I'm invisible to them.


Now if you could market that trick and sell it to cops for surveillance you would be a very very rich man!

And even richer if you sold it to the criminals!
Member Since: May 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 84
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
Quoting pottery:

Sorry wrong quote
This was in response to Oz's "let's do the Math"
(and it was posted in jest!)
at least 200 feet either direction
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 163 Comments: 52257
Quoting CycloneOz:


Sorry...but that is the wrong answer. The mini-van is equipped with a Yakima brand roof rack system that is rated at 165 pounds carrying capacity.

You should have known that. You fail the test.


Trick question, I demand a redo. LOL What is a Yakima?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23710
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


Happy for you and your nephew! After your recent heartbreaks, this is very good news!


Geoff thanks so much. Ya, we really needed something good to happen...Thanks so much!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
congrats to your nephew TS!!!,I try to make it up there a few times a season,usually for the yanks series in april,july and oct...hope he gets drafted by the rays,he'd be play'n for the home team then:)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AstroHurricane001:


The system southeast of Bermuda, northeast of Puerto Rico that is drifting northwards is under low, 5 kt shear and the shear is dropping.



Vorticity is also fairly good.



In addition, this system and the blob north of the Dominican Republic are swirling around each other counter-clockwise, and this morning I saw a model that predicted the resulting system to track toward the eastern CONUS after developing in under 72 hours.
It has absolutely no model support and it isn't showing signs of development, apart from the weak vorticity at the surface.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
Blog Update

Hurricane Season Blog #10: Daily Update - Area Of Disturbed Weather Over Panama -
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21032
Spathy, no Problem.
Keep well...
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
Quoting CycloneOz:


Okay...let's do the math. Here's a nice word problem:

CycloneOz likes to chase hurricanes. In the event he does intercept a hurricane's inner eye-wall, there is a chance he may not be able to get gas for the mini-van he uses as transportation to these nationally news making events. If CycloneOz uses 5-gallon cans to carry extra gas on his roof, but is limited to 440 pounds of gas he can carry, how many gas cans does CycloneOz need to buy to have as much gas as possible, yet stay under the Federal Law quoted above?


Trick question. Left the weight of gasoline out. (It is in the regs posted but you didn't include.) The class will kill you and their parents will call at all hrs of the day and night.
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Quoting MrsOsa:
Oz, just wondering what kind of relationship you have with the police forces you contact while in evacuated zones? Do they generally leave you alone as long as you don't get in the way? What about areas they are not allowing the public? Like south of the tracks in Gulfport during Katrina


The police never see me. I'm invisible to them.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Grothar:


14.66


Sorry...but that is the wrong answer. The mini-van is equipped with a Yakima brand roof rack system that is rated at 165 pounds carrying capacity.

You should have known that. You fail the test.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Catherdr:


IF you have a "Reportable Quantity" a/k/a "RQ" of ANY hazardous material in a motor vehicle, the motor vehicle must display the proper placard AND the driver must have a Commercial Drivers License with a Hazardous Material endorsement. Per Federal D.O.T. regulations. The RQ varies for each hazardous material. Some of the particularly nasty ones, it is on the order of 10 lbs.



She is correct and here it is.

Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 63 Comments: 23710
Quoting pottery:

....and further--how many miles away would I need to be, to be safe, if lightening strikes the roof of the mini-van with 440 lbs. of high octane on top[?

Sorry wrong quote
This was in response to Oz's "let's do the Math"
(and it was posted in jest!)
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 23080
Oz, just wondering what kind of relationship you have with the police forces you contact while in evacuated zones? Do they generally leave you alone as long as you don't get in the way? What about areas they are not allowing the public? Like south of the tracks in Gulfport during Katrina
Member Since: May 23, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 84

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.