Second deadliest tornado of 2010 kills 5 in Ohio; oil spill update

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:00 PM GMT on June 07, 2010

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The second deadliest tornado of 2010 hit Millbury, Ohio, about 10 miles southeast of Toledo, on Saturday night, killing five. The deaths brought this year's tornado death toll to 23, which is, fortunately, well below the approximately 70 deaths we expect to see by mid-June, based on averages from the past three tornado seasons. The deadliest tornado of 2010 was the EF-4 Yazoo City, Mississippi tornado in April, which killed ten. NOAA's Storm Prediction Center recorded 55 tornado reports on Saturday, plus 104 reports of damaging winds and 16 of large hail. The tornadoes hit Iowa, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, and Ohio. Ohio's killer tornado was preliminarily rated a high-end EF-3 with 165 mph winds, but has now been upgraded to an EF-4 with 175 mph winds. An EF-3 tornado also hit Indiana near Grissom Air Force Base on Saturday, and two EF-3 tornadoes were reported in Illinois, one near St. Anne, and one in Livingston County. Here in Michigan, I found myself making some very late night calls at 12:30 am on Sunday to warn relatives about the Doppler radar signatures of rotating supercells bearing down on them. Hardest hit was the town of Dundee, south of Ann Arbor. An EF-2 tornado swept through the town, damaging Michigan's most visited tourist attraction, Cabela's sporting goods store on US-23. An EF-1 tornado also damaged a building at the Fermi II Nuclear Power Plant on Lake Erie, forcing an automatic shutdown of the nuclear reactor.


Figure 1. Severe weather reports for Saturday, June 5, 2010. Image credit: NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.

Oil spill update
Light winds of 5 - 10 knots today will turn to southeasterly Tuesday through Wednesday, then southerly on Thursday through Friday, according to the latest marine forecast from NOAA. These winds will keep oil near the beaches of Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA and the State of Louisiana. The latest ocean current forecasts from the NOAA HYCOM model show that the ocean currents that have carried oil eastward along the Florida Panhandle coast will weaken this week, making it unlikely that oil will penetrate farther eastwards than Panama City, Florida. Long range surface wind forecasts from the GFS model for the period 8 - 14 days from now show a return to a southeastery wind regime, which would prevent any further progress of the oil eastwards along the Florida Panhandle, and would tend to bring significant amounts of oil back to the shores of eastern Louisiana next week. If you spot oil, send in your report to http://www.gulfcoastspill.com/, whose mission is to help the Gulf Coast recovery by creating a daily record of the oil spill.


Figure 2. The oil spill on June 5, 2010 at 11:49pm EDT, as seen by Sythetic Aperature Radar (SAR) imagery from the European Space Agency's ENVISAT satellite. Image credit: University of Miami Center for Southeastern Tropical Advanced Remote Sensing, Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Oil trajectory forecasts from NOAA
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

Join the "Hurricane Haven" with Dr. Jeff Masters
I'll have a new post on Tuesday. The tropical Atlantic is quiet right now, with no models predicting tropical cyclone development over the next seven days. Also on Tuesday, I'll be continuing our experiment with my live Internet radio show called "Hurricane Haven." The show will be aired at 4pm EDT on Tuesdays during hurricane season. Listeners will be able to call in and ask questions. Some topics I'll cover on the show:

1) What's going on in the tropics right now
2) New advancements in hurricane science presented at this month's AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology last month

Tomorrow's show, which will probably be just 1/2 hour, will be at http://www.wunderground.com/wxradio/wubroadcast.h tml. The show will be recorded and stored as a podcast, as last week's show was.

Jeff Masters

Massive Thunderhead! (utjazzfan)
Mike shot only the top quarter of this storm cell... Quite a sight!
Massive Thunderhead!
()
June 5th Tornado (MsWickedWitch)
Near Peoria IL
June 5th Tornado
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage (weatherwatcher24)
More damage, but other areas were much worse.
Dundee, Michigan Tornado Damage

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Everything stays hot! Except for the equatorial Pacific.

Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting AllStar17:
The Western Pacific typhoon season remains nearly non-existent. Very quiet out there.

Just the way I like it, going to the Philippines in December, don't want anything there before I go.
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?
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This graph was pretty cool so I decided to post it:

Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
The Western Pacific typhoon season remains nearly non-existent. Very quiet out there.
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Quoting hydrus:
Thanks guys for helping me out. The cassettes dont fit in these things anymore...:)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56141
820. beell
Oil Booms don't work in 4-5' (or greater) seas/waves.
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Wild West tonight.


Loop

This is going in the other direction!

Loop
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Thanks guys for helping me out. The cassettes dont fit in these things anymore...:)
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Quoting hydrus:
You guys just crack me up. I was gettin P.o. when they would not post, i hit refresh and 2 cat 5,s jump out da screen.

Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap! Clap!
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813. beell
Quoting hydrus:
.


Alright!!!
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Quoting spathy:
I think StormW
And some others have this at the beginning of posts but I want to see 456'S version.


I'm confused, lol.
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Quoting Grothar:
Heah hydrus, this is from all of us. Nice image. It only took me 1 week to learn that.


What are you guys doing? I was watching T.V and lurking.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Good evening. We matched a record high low temperature in Orlando yesterday.
Record Report
Statement as of 8:20 am EDT on June 07, 2010
A daily record warm low temperature of 75 degrees was tied at the Orlando International Airport on Sunday. The previous record for the
date... June 6... was set in 1998.


Daytona Beach (Ponce Inlet), FL, Daytona Beach, Florida (PWS)
Updated: 2 sec ago
78.0 F
Haze
Humidity: 88%
Dew Point: 74 F
Wind: 0.0 mph
Wind Gust: 0.0 mph
Pressure: 29.94 in (Rising)
Heat Index: 80 F

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Quoting hydrus:
.
To me this just looks mean.
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Just a quick question, I have asked it before but didn't see any response.

Q: Why wasn't there a boom placed around the area the platform that sunk, say, a 20 mile radius, to contain any oil from the platform and from the broken well. Wouldn't that be easier then placing booms along 100's of miles of coast?
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Wow, been lurking for a while. Not much to talk about huh.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Heah hydrus, this is from all of us. Nice image. It only took me 1 week to learn that.


Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Quoting hydrus:
.
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Quoting hydrus:
.
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56141
You guys just crack me up. I was gettin P.o. when they would not post, i hit refresh and 2 cat 5,s jump out da screen.
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Sahara Dust or SAL
I have been breathing it all last week. Surprising because supposedly there was not going to be much this year. A couple notes.
yes the sahara must be dry but is usually is.

The amount of dust that gets into the air is due to windstorms over the sahara. They usually occur as interaction between the azores/MA H and the Low over north africa. So even if htere is more rain we can still get a lot of dust if there is a good pressure gradient between the two. The SAL dust comes across the atlantic regardless of TW's. The trades carry it and TW's and between the ITCZ and mid atlantic high the trades are blowing everywhere there is not a trough or a ( what the hell do you call a high in the tropics id never seen one south of 20N until last month).
SAL will interact with a waves and supresses convection due to it's density.

While the dust blocks sun it is not always cooler since it also traps heat in at night and is usually a hot airmass to start with.

PW values can still be very high, last week was over 2 inches,the humidity was brutal along with the heat but no rain due to suppressed convection.

The Azores H was pretty far south last week and we had that high over the central Carib and even over Colombia last month in place of the low so everything is really out of normal bounds in the tropics. The waves are comming out a little low.

Again my thoughts are the first storm will be out of a wave/ITCZ and I don't trust the models at all in the tropics. The wave at 35 has a lot of heat, moisture, little shear and not much to inhibit it's development as it creeps north.

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Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
The answer is in the url. Try uploading the images to a photo sharing network, which automatically renames them.
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.
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Quoting hydrus:
.

why didn't this work?

Cannot use the URL with the colon ":"
You tried: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hurricane_Anita.jpg

this one works: http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4a/Hurricane_Anita.jpg/800px-Hurricane_Anita.j pg

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780

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56141
Quoting caneswatch:


C? lol
J?
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Quoting hydrus:
.


A?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
.
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Quoting Grothar:


B?


C? lol
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Quoting hydrus:
.


To place an image you need to right click on the image, select properties, place you mouse pointer over the URL, right click again, choose select all, then right click again and copy. That is the URL you need to paste into the image pop-up on WU.
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 11346
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Quoting hydrus:
.


B?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27210
Elton should have charged double that amount.
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Anything "new" that we are keeping our eyes on right now ? waves, AOI, etc.
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Member Since: May 27, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 4438

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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