Asia records its hottest temperature in history; Category 4 Phet threatens Oman

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:47 PM GMT on June 02, 2010

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A hellish heat wave hit Pakistan last week, sending the mercury to an astonishing 53.5°C (128.3°F) at the town of MohenjuDaro on Wednesday May 26, reported the Pakistani Meteorological Department. While this temperature reading must be reviewed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) for authenticity, not only is the 128.3°F reading the hottest temperature ever recorded in Pakistan, it is the hottest reliably measured temperature ever recorded on the continent of Asia. This information comes to me courtesy of Chris Burt, the author of Extreme Weather, who is probably the world's foremost expert on extreme weather records. In a collaborative effort with weather record researchers Maximiliano Herrera and Howard Rainford, Mr. Burt has painstakingly researched the extreme weather records for every country on Earth. They list the previous reliable record high for Asia as the 52.7°C (127°F) temperature measured on June 12, 1919, in the Sindh province of Pakistan. Temperatures exceed 120°F in this region of Pakistan nearly every year, in the late May/early June time frame before the monsoon arrives. Last week's heat wave killed at least 18 Pakistanis, and temperatures in excess of 50°C (122°F) were recorded at nine Pakistani cities on May 26, including 53°C (127.4°F) at Sibi.

All-time hottest temperature for Southeast Asia this month
Record heat also hit Southeast Asia in May. According to the Myanmar Department of Meteorology and Hydrology, Myanmar (Burma) had its hottest temperature in its recorded history on May 12, when the mercury hit 47°C (116.6°F) in Myinmu. Myanmar's previous hottest temperature was 45.8°C (114.4°F) at Minbu, Magwe division on May 9, 1998. According to Mr. Burt, the 47°C (116.6°F) measured on May 12 this year is the hottest temperature measured in Southeast Asia in recorded history.

Bogus extreme temperature records
I'm pleased to say that Chris Burt will be joining wunderground.com as a featured blogger later this year to discuss his work. He's working on a great new website that features weather records for each country of the world, complete with footnotes on disputed records. For example, many record books list Israel as the site of Asia's all-time maximum temperature. Mr. Burt comments: "54°C (129.2°F) has widely been quoted as the highest temperature ever recorded in Israel (and Asia) but there exist serious issues with this record. The temperature was recorded on a thermograph at Tirat Zvi on 21 June 1942. Examination of a copy of this trace (see Bio-Climatic Atlas of Israel by Dr. D. Ashbel, Central Press, Jerusalem, 1950, p.125, Figure 1) actually shows a maximum temperature of 53°C (127.4°F). No explanation is known for this 1°C discrepancy. In comparison with surrounding stations, it is likely that the actual temperature recorded at Tirat Zvi on this data was probably no higher than 52°C (125.6°F), which would be a record high temperature for Israel. Temperatures have reached or exceeded 50°C (122°F) in Israel only during this one episode in 1942.


Figure 1. Temperature trace from Bio-Climatic Atlas of Israel by Dr. D. Ashbel, Central Press, Jerusalem, 1950, p.125 for Tirat Zvi, Israel, the week of June 21, 1942.


Figure 2. Zoom of temperature trace from Bio-Climatic Atlas of Israel by Dr. D. Ashbel, Central Press, Jerusalem, 1950, p.125, for Tirat Zvi, Israel, the week of June 21, 1942. The temperature clearly only reached 53°C, if one reads the graph properly. Thus the 54°C temperature labeled on the graph is not correct.

Mr. Burt comments in his Extreme Weather book that every temperature record for the planet in excess of 129°F can be disputed. All of these records, except for the 134°F recorded at Greenland Ranch in Death Valley, California, were made by French colonial era instruments which were found to be irregular as far as the exposure of the screens used to house the temperature instruments. In some cases, the temperature instrument was housed closer to the ground than it should have been. Mr. Burt will have an in-depth analysis of the evidence later this summer when he begins blogging for us.


Figure 3. Visible satellite image of Tropical Cyclone Phet on Wednesday, June 2, 2010.

Tropical Cyclone Phet the 2nd strongest Arabian Sea storm on record
The record heat over southern Asia in May has helped heat up the Arabian Sea to 2°C above normal. The exceptionally warm SSTs have helped fuel a rare major hurricane in the Arabian Sea today, as Tropical Cyclone Phet underwent an impressive bout of rapid intensification this morning to become a Category 4 storm with 145 mph winds. Phet is a Thai word pronounced as Pet, meaning "Diamond". Intense hurricanes are rare in the Arabian Sea, due to the basin's small size, the interference of the summer monsoon, and the frequent presence of dry air and dust from the Arabian Peninsula. Phet is now the second strongest tropical cyclone ever recorded in the Arabian Sea, behind Category 5 Cyclone Gonu of 2007, which devastated Oman. Third place is held by the 2001 India Cyclone 01A and Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ARB 01 (02A), which were Category 3 storms with 125 mph winds.

Phet is over some of the warmest ocean waters on the planet, 30 - 31°C (86 - 88°F), and warm waters in excess of 26.5°C (80°F) extend to a depth of at least 50 meters (165 feet), resulting in a Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential high enough to allow Phet to attain Category 5 status. Phet is under moderate wind shear of 10 - 20 knots. The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) is forecasting Phet to become a Category 5 storm later today. The storm is moving slowly north-northwest towards Oman, and could ingest dry air from the Arabian Peninsula on Thursday, resulting in weakening. It now appears likely that Phet will make landfall in Oman before recurving to the northeast and hitting Pakistan. The region of Oman likely to get hit is sparsely populated, so wind and storm surge damage will not be the main concerns. Phet will spread heavy rains over the heavily populated northern regions of Oman, which will likely cause extreme flooding. Phet has the potential to be worse for Oman than Tropical Cyclone Gonu, which did $4.2 billion in damage and killed 50 people in June 2007.

Impact on Pakistan
Phet is on track to make landfall in Pakistan or Iran after hitting Oman. Phet will be much weakened by passage over Oman, and may only be a tropical storm after crossing the Gulf of Oman and arriving at the Iran/Pakistan coast. Still, Phet's rains could easily cause destructive floods in Iran and Pakistan.

The strongest tropical cyclone on record to hit Pakistan was Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ARB 01 (02A), which hit near Karachi on May 20, 1999, as a Category 3 storm with 125 mph winds. According to Wikipedia, 02A killed 700 people did $6 million in damage (1999 USD). I've also found references to a December 15, 1965 cyclone that killed 10,000 near Karachi, Pakistan.

Oil spill update
Moderate onshore winds of 10 - 20 knots out of the southeast to southwest are expected to blow over the northern Gulf of Mexico over most of the next week, resulting increased threats of oil to Alabama, Mississippi, and the Florida Panhandle, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA. These persistent southwesterly winds will likely bring oil as far east as Fort Walton Beach, Florida, by Monday.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
ROFFS Deepwater Horizon page
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami

I'll be back Thursday with more on Phet and an analysis of the new Colorado State University hurricane forecast issued by Phil Klotzbach and Bill Gray issued today.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Halyn:
1552. tornadodude: "rain anyone" ..

No thanks, tornadodude .. we have had plenty so I'm sending some your way .. :)Courtesy of the St. Louis area .. :)


and boy is it ever raining!! sheeesh! lol
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1583. Halyn
1552. tornadodude: "rain anyone" ..

No thanks, tornadodude .. we have had plenty so I'm sending some your way .. :)Courtesy of the St. Louis area .. :)
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1582. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory Number TWENTY-ONE
VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM PHET (ARB02-2010)
8:30 AM IST June 3 2010
=======================================

At 3:00 AM UTC, Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Phet over west central Arabian Sea remained practically stationary and lays centered near 18.5N 59.5E, or 1400 kms west of Mumbai, 1100 kms southwest of Naliya, Gujarat, 1050 kms southwest of Karachi, Pakistan, 450 kms south southeast of Sur, Oman, and 220 kms south southeast of Masirah Island, Oman.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 70 knots with a central pressure of 976 hPa. The state of the sea is phenomenal around the system's center.

The Dvorak intensity of the system is T4.0. Ragged eye visible with the system. Associated broken intense to very intense convection observed over area between 13.5 to 20.0N and west of 61.0E. The lowest cloud top temperature due to convection is about -85C in association with the system.

Vertical wind shear of horizontal wind over the region is between 10-15 knots. The system lies to the south of tropospheric ridge, which roughly runs along 20.0N over the region.

Due to proximity to the land surface, the system is interacting with land and showing signs of weakening. Further, due to changing environmental flow pattern, the system would move slowly in a northwesterly/northerly direction for the next 24 hours and cross Oman coast between 20.0-21.0N by tomorrow morning. It would then weaken gradually, recurve northeast and emerge into northwest Arabian Sea by Saturday, heading towards Pakistan coast.

Gale winds of 60-65 knots gusting to 70 knots would occur along and off Oman coast.

Storm surge guidance for Oman Coast
====================================
Storm surge of 2 meters above the astronomical tide would occur around the time of landfall.
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1581. KRL
COMMENTARY . . . .

Growing up 5 decades ago, life and the world seemed so much more stable because everyone just watched one of the 3 major TV networks to get 30 minutes worth of the top news stories which would last us till 6:30pm the following day. Weather reports were quick and brief. Nothing like today where you see storm chasers filming tornados from 50 yds away or horrendous floods and hurricanes in other parts of the world on live streaming cams.

Now we are innundated with real time news and weather information streams from the entire planet and I think that is why everything seems so much more chaotic and frightening at times.
It doesn't stop anymore and we can't catch our breath from it all. It seems like one bad event after another.

I think most all of us born in the 50's truly miss those simpler days . . . .
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1580. GBguy88
This isn't really related to the tropics, and for that I apologize...but I just got back from Orange Beach/Gulf Shores area in Alabama, and the smell of oil is intoxicating. It nearly gave me a headache it was so strong. Just really bizarre and sad. The smell almost made it more real, it seemed. Won't be long before it's lapping at Pensacola.
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1579. xcool
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1577. xcool



SHEAR MAP
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1576. xcool
african wave gfs and ngp too mmm
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Quoting centex:
Yes, the quack anti GM police. The science is one way and several top bloggers (not host) keep talkng the FOX news approach and try to make it seem like science. I point it out and will continue to point it out. I see no reason to stop because they keep posting crap. When they stop I will stop. Funny, are you a quack, let me know and will add you to my list. I get lots of email from other WG bloggers who also are tired of quacks.

Thank you, we need more of this.


Albert Einstein : Nothing that I can do will change the structure of the universe. But maybe, by raising my voice I can help the greatest of all causes -- goodwill among men and peace on earth.
http://www.iwise.com/PUSru
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1572. xcool
Link


new ecwmf
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1571. centex
My wife just came in from Houston after being diverted from direct DC to Austin. They took a northern route to avoid storm. I think storm will go down as totally beneficial.
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1569. xcool
stormp repots


george west LIVE oak tx


TREE REPOTED KNOCKED DOWN NEAR FM799
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yeah, but on the coasts it could get ugly.
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1566. centex
Quoting homelesswanderer:
That's a lot a water. Hopefully this won't be accurate.

It's moving fast but do see a little back building. I think less than serious flood situation.
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That's a lot a water. Hopefully this won't be accurate.

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1564. xcool
cmc shows 0000%
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For everyone in the Beaumont, Port Authur area.
From Channel 12

BIG STORMS EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...
Updated: Jun 02, 2010 8:55 PM CDT

UPDATE:

A thunderstorm complex in Central Texas is moving towards Southeast Texas this evening and should move into the area around 3AM Friday Morning. Heavy rainfall of 2 inches, frequent lightning and gusty winds are expected during the morning commute. A severe thunderstorm watch may be issued for Southeast Texas.

Forecast Discussion

Good Evening Southeast Texas!

Upper-level low pressure in West Texas will continue to move towards Southeast Texas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible in the area after mid-night. High rain chances are then expected as the upper-level low moves right over Southeast Texas Thursday. Heavy rainfall could result. The upper-level low will move further down the coast by the weekend but will be close enough to keep a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the forecast through mid-week.

Cooler afternoon high temperatures will result Thursday due to the clouds and rain...only in the middle-eighties. The lower-nineties are then expected Saturday through Wednesday.

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1562. centex
Quoting Patrap:

Gov. Bobby Jindal urges Obama to get deepwater drilling back quickly


By The Times-Picayune
June 02, 2010, 9:27PM


On Wednesday, Gov. Bobby Jindal sent the following letter to President Obama and Interior Secretary Ken Salazar regarding grave concerns about the administration's decision to place a moratorium on deepwater drilling:

Dear President Obama and Secretary Salazar:

I am writing to express my grave concerns regarding the severe economic impact of a six-month (or longer) suspension of activity at 33 previously permitted deepwater drilling rigs in the Gulf of Mexico, including and in particular the 22 deepwater drilling rigs currently in operation off the Louisiana coast.

Already, Louisiana has suffered severe negative economic and ecological impacts from the BP oil spill. Our seafood industry is experiencing huge economic losses that have only been partially mitigated by a frustratingly slow and inadequate BP claims process. Moreover, our precious wetlands are suffering incalculable, permanent damages, while our tourism industry faces escalating losses.

During one of the most challenging economic periods in decades, the last thing we need is to enact public policies that will certainly destroy thousands of existing jobs while preventing the creation of thousands more.

The Louisiana Department of Economic Development estimates that the active drilling suspension alone will result in a loss of 3,000 to 6,000 Louisiana jobs in the next 2-3 weeks and potentially over 10,000 Louisiana jobs within a few months. If the suspension of active drilling activity continues for an extended period, LED estimates that our state risks losing more than 20,000 existing and potential new Louisiana jobs in the next 12-18 months.

Obviously these losses would come on top of those already generated by the spill and its related effects. Moreover, the announced moratorium of deepwater drilling activity creates a significant risk that many of these drilling platforms would be relocated to other countries -- along with the hundreds of high-paying jobs that they each create.

Additionally, I fully understand the need for strict oversight of deepwater drilling. However, I would ask that the federal government move quickly to ensure that all deepwater drilling is in proper compliance with federal regulation and is conducted safely so that energy production and more importantly, thousands of jobs, are not in limbo.

Thank you in advance for your swift consideration of this request.

Sincerely,

Governor Bobby Jindal
Editorial comment? I would not attempt to try one with a local.
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1561. xcool



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1560. centex
I only got .61 in round rock. Wanted more.

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1559. Patrap

Gov. Bobby Jindal urges Obama to get deepwater drilling back quickly


By The Times-Picayune
June 02, 2010, 9:27PM


On Wednesday, Gov. Bobby Jindal sent the following letter to President Obama and Interior Secretary Ken Salazar regarding grave concerns about the administration's decision to place a moratorium on deepwater drilling:

Dear President Obama and Secretary Salazar:

I am writing to express my grave concerns regarding the severe economic impact of a six-month (or longer) suspension of activity at 33 previously permitted deepwater drilling rigs in the Gulf of Mexico, including and in particular the 22 deepwater drilling rigs currently in operation off the Louisiana coast.

Already, Louisiana has suffered severe negative economic and ecological impacts from the BP oil spill. Our seafood industry is experiencing huge economic losses that have only been partially mitigated by a frustratingly slow and inadequate BP claims process. Moreover, our precious wetlands are suffering incalculable, permanent damages, while our tourism industry faces escalating losses.

During one of the most challenging economic periods in decades, the last thing we need is to enact public policies that will certainly destroy thousands of existing jobs while preventing the creation of thousands more.

The Louisiana Department of Economic Development estimates that the active drilling suspension alone will result in a loss of 3,000 to 6,000 Louisiana jobs in the next 2-3 weeks and potentially over 10,000 Louisiana jobs within a few months. If the suspension of active drilling activity continues for an extended period, LED estimates that our state risks losing more than 20,000 existing and potential new Louisiana jobs in the next 12-18 months.

Obviously these losses would come on top of those already generated by the spill and its related effects. Moreover, the announced moratorium of deepwater drilling activity creates a significant risk that many of these drilling platforms would be relocated to other countries -- along with the hundreds of high-paying jobs that they each create.

Additionally, I fully understand the need for strict oversight of deepwater drilling. However, I would ask that the federal government move quickly to ensure that all deepwater drilling is in proper compliance with federal regulation and is conducted safely so that energy production and more importantly, thousands of jobs, are not in limbo.

Thank you in advance for your swift consideration of this request.

Sincerely,

Governor Bobby Jindal
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
1558. xcool

The Numbers Keep Going Higher...

Not surprisingly Dr. Gray's team upped their number of named storms in their June update today. They now say 18 storms will form with 10 becoming hurricanes and 5 of those reaching Cat. 3 or stronger. One of the things I like about these Hurricane "Forecasts" is that we can verify them in 6 months, unlike the Global Warming Alarmist's predictions of 50-100 years out. I'll say this, if come November we end up with single digit storm numbers (only one group out of Houston says that), the credibility of these seasonal forecasts will be questioned as to their real value.

All Parishes are preaching from the same gospel(which they should) that calls for preparing NOW and every week before the heart of the season arrives. Stock up on supplies(a little at a time) and then have a plan on where you're going in case we need to evacuate. You can watch the FOX 8 hurricane preparedness special WEATHERING THE STORM 2010 again this Sunday at 12 noon.


bob brecks
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1557. Patrap
526
fxus64 khgx 030453
afdhgx


Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston Texas
1155 PM CDT Wednesday Jun 2 2010


Update...
06z taf update below.


&&


Aviation...
broken line of thunderstorms moving across the majority of our hubs
through 08z. Expect brief heavy downpours and winds in gust to 40
miles per hour with this line as it passes off to the east at 25-35 miles per hour.
Early morning stabilization (in possible -shra shield) will not
last long as another round (or two) of convection rolls through
during the daylight hours. The better performing guidance...if
gauged by tonight's activity...has higher rain amounts south of
the I-10 corridor and points east...shifting southeastward during
mid-day. The slow movement of the upper trough as this latest mesoscale convective system
dissolves within it...will set-up a possible wet situation as the
convergent eastern side of trough axis lays over the Texas coast
line. Either way...timing of eventual convection best handled by
tempos in short term...prob30s past 12 hours. 31


Mportant note...klbx will be down due to scheduled maintenance. Taf
none will be issued until ASOS service is restored. The outage may
last three weeks or more.


*****************************************************

Public Information Statement

Statement as of 10:34 PM CDT on June 2, 2010

... Public information statement...

The NOAA all hazards weather radio transmitter site at New Taiton
has gone down due to communications issues with the telephone
line. The transmitter... call sign k j y 78 operating on a
frequency of 162.45 mhz will be down until further notice.
Updates will be provided as technicians troubleshoot this issue.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
1556. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory Number TWENTY
VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM PHET (ARB02-2010)
5:30 AM IST June 3 2010
=======================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Very Severe Cyclonic Storm Phet over west central Arabian Sea moved slightly westward and lays centered near 18.5N 59.5E, or 1400 kms west of Mumbai, 1100 kms southwest of Maliya, 1050 kms southwest of Karachi, Pakistan, 450 kms south southeast of Sur, Oman, and 220 kms south southeast of Misiirah Island.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 70 knots with a central pressure of 976 hPa. The state of the sea is phenomenal around the system's center.

The Dvorak intensity of the system is T4.0. Associated broken intense to very intense convection observed over area between 13.5N to 20.0N and west of 61.0E. The lowest cloud top temperature due to convection is about -85C in association with the system.

Vertical wind shear of horizontal wind over the region is between 10-15 knots. The system lies to the south of tropospheric ridge, which roughly runs along 20.0N over the region.

Due to proximity to the land surface, the system is interacting with land and showing signs of weakening. Further, due to changing environmental flow pattern, the system would move slowly in a northwesterly/northerly direction for the next 24 hours and cross Oman coast between 20.0-21.0N by tomorrow morning. It would then weaken gradually, recurve northeast nad emerge into northwest Arabian Sea by Saturday, heading towards Pakistan coast.

Gale winds of 60-65 knots gusting to 70 knots would occur along and off Oman coast.

Storm surge guidance for Oman Coast
====================================
Storm surge of 2 meters above the astronomical tide would occur around the time of landfall.

Forecast and Intensity
======================
12 HRS: 19.5N 58.5E - 65 knots (Very Severe Cyclonic Storm)
24 HRS: 20.5N 58.0E - 60 knots (Severe Cyclonic Storm)
48 HRS: 22.5N 59.5E - 55 knots (Severe Cyclonic Storm)
72 HRS: 24.5N 63.0E - 45 knots (Cyclonic Storm)
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1555. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
Quoting Houstonia:
What happens when all this rain moves out into the Gulf for a few days? :-(



Hopefully not much as it's supposed to sit on us for a couple days.

GMZ089-030930-
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
1030 PM CDT WED JUN 02 2010

.SYNOPSIS...A WEAK TROUGH WILL STALL AND DISSIPATE OVER THE NW
WATERS THU. A RIDGE WILL BUILD W ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF WATERS
THU NIGHT THROUGH MON.

This gem model seems to agree. Shows a lot of precip and just barely moves it east by Saturday. Link
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1553. txjac
Quoting tornadodude:


rain anyone?


I'm hearing thunder now ...cant wait, looking forward to it
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Quoting Patrap:


rain anyone?
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1549. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
Lawrenceville-Vincennes Intl Airport
Lat: 38.76 Lon: -87.6 Elev: 430
Last Update on Jun 2, 11:53 pm CDT

Fog/Mist

74 °F
(23 °C)
Humidity: 88 %
Wind Speed: S 6 MPH
Barometer: 29.75" (1007.0 mb)
Dewpoint: 70 °F (21 °C)
Visibility: 6.00 mi.

I find it amusing that centex only comes out late at night
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
Katrina2NOLA2010:
has been replaced with empty space


thank you admin!
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1546. xcool
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1545. Patrap


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 419 Comments: 127355
1544. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Katrina2NOLA2010:
has been replaced with empty space
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1543. xcool
Hurricanes101 .;0
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Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
Wow. The blog today has hit a new low---hard to see why it's worth coming to Dr. Master's blog, aside to read the entry itself and a few posters. Really ruined it today.


idk... It got pretty bad last year. lol
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Quoting centex:
Your on my list of quack when you venture to GW subject. Otherwise your a good tropical blogger. Just trying to give this blog a better image and GW science quacks are a real drag. It's so well documented and only makes blog look foolish from science perpective.


Are you the Captain of the blog police?
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7337
1540. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
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1539. centex
Quoting xcool:
lol
Quoting Levi32:


Lol, pick me pick me!
Your on my list of quack when you venture to GW subject. Otherwise your a good tropical blogger. Just trying to give this blog a better image and GW science quacks are a real drag. It's so well documented and only makes blog look foolish from science perpective.
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1538. xcool
lol
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1537. Levi32
Quoting centex:
Thank you, we need to stay together and point out the quacks.


Lol, pick me pick me!
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26543
1536. xcool
:0
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1535. centex
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
Oh, hey centex, good to see you.
Thank you, we need to stay together and point out the quacks.
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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.