Tropical Storm Agatha one of the top ten deadliest Eastern Pacific storms on record

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:56 PM GMT on May 31, 2010

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The Eastern Pacific hurricane season of 2010 is off to a bad start. The mounting death toll from Central America's Tropical Storm Agatha has made that storm one of the top ten deadliest Eastern Pacific tropical cyclones on record. Agatha was a tropical storm for just 12 hours, making landfall Saturday on the Pacific coast of Guatemala as a 45 mph tropical storm. However, the storm brought huge amounts of moisture inland that continue to be wrung out as heavy rains by the high mountains of Guatemala and the surrounding nations of Central America. So far, flooding and landslides have killed at least 83 people in Guatemala, 13 in neighboring El Salvador, and one in Honduras. Guatemala is also suffering from the Pacaya volcano in Guatemala, which began erupting four days ago. At least three people have been killed by the volcano, located about 25 miles south of the capital, Guatemala City. The volcano has destroyed 800 homes with lava and brought moderate ash falls to the capital.


Figure 1. Flood damage in Zunil, Quetzaltenango, in Guatemala on May 29, 2010, after heavy rains from Tropical Storm Agatha. Image credit: Sergio Huertas, climaya.com

Agatha is the deadliest flooding disaster in Guatemala since Hurricane Stan of 2005, which killed 1,513. In a bizarre coincidence, that storm also featured a major volcanic eruption at the same time, when El Salvador's Santa Ana volcano blew its top during the height of Stan's rains in in that country on October 1. The eruption killed two and injured dozens, and worsened the mud flow damage from Stan's rains. The deadliest Eastern Pacific tropical cyclone on record for Guatemala was Hurricane Paul of 1982, which made landfall in Guatemala as a tropical depression. Flooding from Paul's rains killed 620 people in Guatemala.


Figure 2. Two-day rainfall totals for Central America as estimated by satellite, for the period 7pm EDT Friday May 28 - 7pm EDT Sunday May 30, 2010. Rainfall amounts of 350 mm (14 inches, orange colors) were indicated for portions of Guatemala. The Guatemala government reported that rainfall exceeded 36 inches in some regions. Image credit: Navy Research Lab, Monterey.

Oil spill update
Light onshore winds out of the south to southwest are expected to blow over the northern Gulf of Mexico all week, resulting increased threats of oil to the Alabama and Mississippi barrier islands, according to the latest trajectory forecasts from NOAA. These persistent southwesterly winds will likely bring oil very close to the Florida Panhandle by next weekend.

Oil spill resources
My post, What a hurricane would do the Deepwater Horizon oil spill
My post Wednesday with answers to some of the common questions I get about the spill
My post on the Southwest Florida "Forbidden Zone" where surface oil will rarely go
My post on what oil might do to a hurricane
Gulf Oil Blog from the UGA Department of Marine Sciences
NOAA trajectory forecasts
Deepwater Horizon Unified Command web site
Oil Spill Academic Task Force
University of South Florida Ocean Circulation Group oil spill forecasts
ROFFS Deepwater Horizon page
Surface current forecasts from NOAA's HYCOM model
Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imagery from the University of Miami
The Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill and its Aftermath
What You Need to Know about Mercury in Fish and Shellfish

Jeff Masters

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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
LOL.You just won yourself a first class one way trip to my ignore list!

lol you obviously weren't around the other night. If you ignored me, you made a mistake :) Aussie is a great guy, JFV called him a bumblebee lol
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1249. KRL
HOLY COW! Gigantic sink hole in Guatamala.



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Quoting SouthALWX:

Aussie, no one cares what you think. You are a bumblebee (seriously, bumblebee?) afterall!

JFV. Is that you????
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Quoting SouthALWX:

Aussie, no one cares what you think. You are a bumblebee (seriously, bumblebee?) afterall!
Who calls someone a bumblebee anyways.
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Quoting MZV:
Weather456, I kind of disagree. By the middle of the 2005 season it was already getting hard to keep up with this blog.

Things really picked up after Katrina. People were posting things up rapidly as Rita and Wilma closed in. At least now we have better admin tools, (and STORMTOP and the "Build the Tunnels Guy" are gone)

No.. they are both still here .... and the build the tunnels guy has never bothered me, aside from his being crazy and all.
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1245. Walshy
Quoting Walshy:
monster


Link





Tornado Warning

Statement as of 6:17 PM MDT on May 31, 2010

... A Tornado Warning remains in effect for south central Baca County
until 645 PM MDT...

At 614 PM MDT... National Weather Service Doppler radar was tracking a
confirmed tornado. This dangerous storm was located 5 miles
southeast of Campo... or 25 miles south of Springfield... moving east
at 15 mph.

Numerous reports from live feeds from storm chasers and reports from
the public indicate this is a large tornado.


The tornado was near County Road and County Road c in Baca County.

Seek shelter immediately.

Locations impacted include...
mainly rural areas of extreme southern Baca County.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Take cover now. Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
sturdy building. Avoid windows. If in a Mobile home... a vehicle or
outdoors... move to the closest substantial shelter and protect
yourself from flying debris.


A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM MDT Monday
evening for southeast Colorado.

Lat... Lon 3699 10261 3711 10266 3721 10261 3725 10233
3724 10216 3698 10217
time... Mot... loc 0016z 290deg 15kt 3704 10251


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Quoting Dr3w:


And if a cane happens to shoot 3-4 hours north of Miami I promise to inform you all on the hell i'll be going through lol
LOL.
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As I leave you all tonight just some words of caution-If you havent allready get your supplies-flashlights, Transistor radios, batteries, bottled water, canned foods, generator. Create a plan, then a backup plan-just incase your original plan doesnt work-Make sure you have protection for your home and finally-If you wanna hear great music while riding out the storm go buy or download the new Godsmack Cd-The Oracle-It's probably the best CD that's come out in a decade. Hasta Manyana!
Member Since: August 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 423
Quoting wunderkidcayman:
HAPPY HURRICANE SEAQSON EVERYBODY HOPE YP;U ALL HAS PREPAIRED BECAUSE ALL OF YA GOIN TO NEED IT

I wont need it, I'll need more fire wood, a few extra blankets and a crud load of hot chocolate cause this winter is going to be cold and wet. Typical La nina winter.
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1241. MZV
Weather456, I kind of disagree. By the middle of the 2005 season it was already getting hard to keep up with this blog.

Things really picked up after Katrina. People were posting things up rapidly as Rita and Wilma closed in. At least now we have better admin tools, (and STORMTOP and the "Build the Tunnels Guy" are gone)
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1236. alexhurricane1991 12:23 AM GMT on June 01, 2010
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:
I wonder if he has another article that he copied from Christine Riedel--- errr, wrote completely by himself today? :)


HAHAHA i have to clean my key board now...lol now that was funny!!!
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1238. Dr3w
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
I'll try. It's going to be exciting to say the least. If I need to evacuate (Yeah sometimes it sucks to live in Miami) I will, and I will keep you guys posted through my adventure.


And if a cane happens to shoot 3-4 hours north of Miami I promise to inform you all on the hell i'll be going through lol
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Quoting HurricaneSwirl:
I wonder if he has another article that he copied from Christine Riedel--- errr, wrote completely by himself today? :)
LOL!
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Quoting HurricaneSwirl:
I wonder if he has another article that he copied from Christine Riedel--- errr, wrote completely by himself today? :)
LMAO!
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
God knows, lol.
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Hmm ill take a guess 5

Well I just added a new one to the list.
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HAPPY HURRICANE SEAQSON EVERYBODY HOPE YP;U ALL HAS PREPAIRED BECAUSE ALL OF YA GOIN TO NEED IT
Member Since: June 13, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 12716
Quoting cg2916:
Happy Hurricane Season everyone!
To you as well just be careful this year.
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Quoting msgambler:
Good Morning Aussie

Good Morning
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I wonder if he has another article that he copied from Christine Riedel--- errr, wrote completely by himself today? :)
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91E

img src="91E" alt="" />
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Quoting kuppenskup:


I second that!
Huh?
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1228. cg2916
Happy Hurricane Season everyone!
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Ok since it's already June 1st on UTC time (I'm not going to be up until midnight, lol). I'm going to bless everyone and ask the Lord to keep us safe through this upcoming intense hurricane season. Amen!


I second that!
Member Since: August 26, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 423
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Very exciting i picked a great year to post.
I agree.
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Quoting DEKRE:


No. its 4 hours ahead of EDT


Oh yeah right.
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Quoting AussieStorm:

I wonder how many JFV handles i have on my ignore list?
Hmm ill take a guess 5
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Good Morning Aussie
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Quoting AussieStorm:

I wonder how many JFV handles i have on my ignore list?
God knows, lol.
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
I'll try. It's going to be exciting to say the least. If I need to evacuate (Yeah sometimes it sucks to live in Miami) I will, and I will keep you guys posted through my adventure.
Very exciting i picked a great year to post.
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Quoting Ocean24:


???????
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Oh! I'm going to make a word page and list every single account he uses until November 30th beginning with FIU2010.

1. FIU2010
2. Ocean24

Now enough of JFV, he gives me the creeps.

I wonder how many JFV handles i have on my ignore list?
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1219. DEKRE
Quoting HurricaneSwirl:
So... UTC is 4 hours ahead of EST? May everyone be safe during the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season.


No. its 4 hours ahead of EDT
Member Since: April 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 306
Quoting alexhurricane1991:
Great post keep safe this year as well.
I'll try. It's going to be exciting to say the least. If I need to evacuate (Yeah sometimes it sucks to live in Miami) I will, and I will keep you guys posted through my adventure.
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yes, may we all hope that they just have overhyped the season....be safe everyone!!! including all of us that will effected in oil-ville..
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Quoting HurricaneSwirl:
So... UTC is 4 hours ahead of EST? May everyone be safe during the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season.


UTC is 5 hours ahead of EST
UTC is 4 hours ahead of EDT
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
Quoting extreme236:
Tropical waves over Africa now could very well become a named storm farther west in the Caribbean, or even for that matter a storm in the EPAC. However if we were to start seeing well-organized waves or even named storms that far east early in the season, I'd call it a sign of whats to come.



YUP
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1214. Walshy
monster


Link
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So... UTC is 4 hours ahead of EST? May everyone be safe during the 2010 Atlantic Hurricane Season.
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Ok since it's already June 1st on UTC time (I'm not going to be up until midnight, lol). I'm going to bless everyone and ask the Lord to keep us safe through this upcoming intense hurricane season. Amen!
Great post keep safe this year as well.
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1209. MiamiHurricanes09 12:11 AM GMT on June 01, 2010
Quoting Ocean24:


???????
Oh look its JFV!


LMAO!!!!!
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1210. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting SouthALWX:

you're doing a bad job keeping the gate! you're letting in all the trolls. Wake up, soldier!
there tricky takes awhile sometimes but its kinda hard when one person has 15 user names they can choose from
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56050
Quoting Ocean24:


???????
Oh look its JFV!
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Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Ok since it's already June 1st on UTC time (I'm not going to be up until midnight, lol). I'm going to bless everyone and ask the Lord to keep us safe through this upcoming intense hurricane season. Amen!

Amen
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Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1206. SLU
Operationally the 2010 season has already started because it's now 00Z June 1st. Wishing everyone a safe season and may we all be alive at the end of it to tell the tale!
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Ok since it's already June 1st on UTC time (I'm not going to be up until midnight, lol). I'm going to bless everyone and ask the Lord to keep us safe through this upcoming intense hurricane season. Amen!
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
don't worry ms i was keeperofthegate when i started and will continue to be till i finish

you're doing a bad job keeping the gate! you're letting in all the trolls. Wake up, soldier!
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Quoting Weather456:
It is going to get wild in here for real. The worst year I've seen was 2008 since it was the first active year for the US since 2005 and back then we had very few people and I tell ya only a handful of us are left.
I agree.
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1200. Makoto1
I remember starting to lurk in 2008... Rofl Omar that year sticks out a lot to me. Watching the comments was amazing, as was the fact that I had a class the night it really got going, and it strengthened rapidly once, stayed steady from the time I left until right when I got back, at which point it just exploded.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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