Oil spill headed towards the Loop Current

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:01 PM GMT on May 17, 2010

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Recent satellite imagery and flight over-passes of the Gulf of Mexico oil spill confirm that a surface tendril of oil has become entrained into a southward-moving current that threatens to pull oil into the Gulf of Mexico Loop Current late this week. The Loop Current is an ocean current that transports warm Caribbean water through the Yucatan Channel between Cuba and Mexico. The current flows northward into the Gulf of Mexico, then loops southeastward just south of the Florida Keys (where it is called the Florida Current), and then along the west side of the western Bahamas. Here, the waters of the Loop Current flow northward along the U.S. coast and become the Gulf Stream. Once oil gets into the Loop Current, the 1 - 2 mph speed of the current should allow the oil to travel the 500 miles to the Florida Keys in 10 - 20 days. Portions of the Loop Current flow at speed up to 4 mph, so the transport could be faster.

Why is oil getting close to the Loop Current?
The winds over the oil spill location are offshore out of the northwest today, and offshore winds will continue intermittently through Wednesday, helping push the oil southwards towards the Loop Current. However, the major reason oil is moving southwards is because of the instability of the currents in the Gulf of Mexico. The Loop Current is not a stable feature, and tends to surge northwards and southwards in a chaotic fashion, and in response to changes in the prevailing winds. Over the past week, chaotic behavior of the Loop Current and a clockwise-rotating eddy just to its north, just south of the oil spill location, have combined to bring a current of southward-moving surface water to the oil spill location. As strong on-shore winds from the southeast slackened this past weekend, oil has been drawn southward towards the Loop Current. An examination of the latest NOAA trajectory forecasts and surface current forecasts reveals the possibility that this tendril of southward-moving oil could make it into the Loop Current late this week. It is highly uncertain how much oil might make it into the Loop Current, or how diluted it might get on its voyage to the Florida Keys next week. Southeast to east winds of 10 - 15 knots are expected to develop late this week and extend into early next week, which may be strong enough to impose a surface current that will prevent oil from getting into the Loop Current this month. I predict a 30% chance that oil will make it into the Loop Current in the next two weeks.


Figure 1. Forecast made at 8pm EDT Sunday May 16, 2010, of the Gulf of Mexico currents by NOAA's HYCOM model. A persistent southward flowing surface current is predicted to occur this week between the oil spill location (red dot) and the Loop Current. Image credit: NOAA.

Likely areas of impact once oil gets into the Loop Current
Based on a study of 194 floating probes released into the Northeast Gulf of Mexico during a 1-year study in the 1990s (Figure 2), the west coast of Florida from Tampa Bay southwards to the Everglades is at minimal risk of receiving oil from surface currents. There is a "forbidden zone" off the southwest Florida coast where the shape of the coast, bottom configuration, and prevailing winds all act to create upwelling and surface currents that tend to take water away from the coast. This study implies that the greatest risk of land impacts by surface oil caught in the Loop Current is along the ocean side of the Florida Keys, and along the coast of Southeast Florida from Miami to West Palm Beach. Eddies breaking away from the Gulf Stream would also likely bring oil to northwest Cuba, the western Bahamas, and the U.S. East Coast as far north as Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, though at lesser concentrations. Southwest Florida cannot rest entirely, though--the "forbidden zone" is only true for surface waters, and there is onshore flow below the surface. Since recent ship measurements have detected substantial plumes of oil beneath the surface, southwest Florida might be at risk if one of these plumes gets entrained into the Loop Current. These subsurface plumes were also detected by current probes launched into the oil spill on May 8 by one of NOAA's hurricane hunter aircraft, according to one scientist I spoke to at last week's AMS hurricane conference. There are plans for the Hurricane Hunters to go out again tomorrow and drop more probes into the spill to attempt to get a better handle on where the oil is and where the currents are taking it.


Figure 2. Paths of 194 floating probes released into the yellow-outlined area in the northeast Gulf of Mexico between February 1996 and February 1997 as part of a study by the Mineral Management Service (MMS). The probes were all launched into waters with depth between 20 and 60 meters. Image credit: Yang, H., R.H. Weisberga, P.P. Niilerb, W. Sturgesc, and W. Johnson, 1999, Lagrangian circulation and forbidden zone on the West Florida Shelf, Continental Shelf Research Volume 19, Issue 9, July 1999, Pages 1221-1245 doi:10.1016/S0278-4343(99)00021-7

When will a Loop Current eddy break off?
Every 6 - 11 months, the looped portion of the Loop Current cuts off into a clockwise-rotating ring of water that then slowly drifts west-southwest towards Texas. When one of these rings breaks off at the peak of hurricane season, it provides a source of heat energy capable of providing fuel for rapid intensification of any hurricanes that might cross over. The Loop Current is not predicted to shed an ring over the next month, as predicted by the latest 1-month forecast from the U.S. Navy. However, the last eddy broke off in July of 2009, ten month ago, and it is unusual for the Loop Current to go more than eleven months without shedding an eddy. I expect we'll see the Loop Current shed an eddy in July or August, just in time to pose the maximum threat for hurricane season. According to an interesting February 2004 article published by offshore-engineer.com, reliable forecasts of these currents and eddies are not available yet. Keep in mind that surface currents are largely driven by winds, and wind forecasts are not reliable out more than about 10 days.

References
Yang, H., R.H. Weisberga, P.P. Niilerb, W. Sturgesc, and W. Johnson, 1999, Lagrangian circulation and forbidden zone on the West Florida Shelf, Continental Shelf Research Volume 19, Issue 9, July 1999, Pages 1221-1245 doi:10.1016/S0278-4343(99)00021-7.

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Quoting Skyepony:
Jeff thanks~ That's so less ominous from the local met on 6.. Had the oil hitting Cocoa Beach end of the week, beginning of next.

Very interesting that probe making it to Lake O & up the St John's River.. Say's something about how this spill could effect what alot of people drink.


I don't see how that happened.. the only way into Okeechobee Lake from the west is through the Caloosahatchee River.. and it doesn't exist where that line is.. also, the Kissimmee River is not located where that line comes out of the lake to the north... bogus line, bad data, IMO.

besides, that would be against the currents of the Caloosahatchee and Kissimmee Rivers..

Thanks Doc!
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Quoting Weather456:
Levi,

Classic case




Very much so. It will be interesting to see how it turns out.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26661
Quoting Hurricanes101:


What model is that from?


He merged the GFS 200mb and surface maps from the NCEP site.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26661
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i kinda like calling it stewing

good day to you kman


Good day to you too KOG.

What I look forward to this time of year is the breaking of the annual drought conditions in the NW Caribbean. Today we got some rain but not much more than .25 in.

With all the factors favouring an active season lining up I guess it is tempting to start looking ahead a week or so but climatology also tells us that late May is the start of the rainy season for the NW and SW Caribbean. It is therefore not surprising that the models will start hinting at features that are rain makers.
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Quoting Weather456:
Levi,

Classic case



What model is that from?
Member Since: March 10, 2010 Posts: 1 Comments: 7831
Levi,

Classic case

Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
Quoting tornadodude:
Alright we plan on heading southwest of Amarillo towards Farwell, any thoughts?


Don't run out of gas. It gets pretty desolate. But the lightning is always spectacular.
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Quoting TampaSpin:


But the SST's are not all that favorable up there tho.....who knows?
i am talking between PR sw ward and n ne ward high kinda now but forecasted to decrease
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Quoting kmanislander:
Watching the Caribbean in late May/early June is much the same as late Oct/early November.
You need to have convection sit primarily in the SW caribbean for about 2 days taking its own sweet time organizing. Don't expect anything explosive during those time frames.

i kinda like calling it stewing

good day to you kman
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
on your shear tendency map you can see a region of decreasing shear forecasted could provide passage to the atlantic for something quick


But the SST's are not all that favorable up there tho.....who knows?
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20443
Watching the Caribbean in late May/early June is much the same as late Oct/early November.
You need to have convection sit primarily in the SW caribbean for about 2 days taking its own sweet time organizing. Don't expect anything explosive during those time frames.

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Long-range GFS operational and ensemble means showing light and favorable upper-level winds across most of the MDR by the beginning of June, especially the eastern Caribbean with an upper anticyclone overhead. Once the subtropical jetstream retracts north like that we will have to start watching in earnest.



Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26661
on your shear tendency map you can see a region of decreasing shear forecasted could provide passage to the atlantic for something quick
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Quoting TampaSpin:
I just don't see much developing in the Caribbean currently..

Shear is very high and not forecast to get much better...


NOTHING close at 850 to 700mb Voricity???


There is a good Lower Convergence and good Upper Divergence


a brief window could open but it will be brief and confined
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alright im out!

I'll try to post periodically.

Oz, just call my phone when you are home and available to broadcast,

later!!
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You can see what has happened on the GFS ensembles as the trough-split they were hinting to all of last week is now registering as a cut-off on the ensemble mean:

Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26661
I just don't see much developing in the Caribbean currently..

Shear is very high and not forecast to get much better...


NOTHING close at 850 to 700mb Voricity???


There is a good Lower Convergence and good Upper Divergence







I just don't see anything coming together in the Caribbean....with all the tools that i see....the only thing there is convection due too Zonal Convergence. It might hang on and do something over a period of time but, there is nothing currently at the surface nor anywhere close to the surface in my opinion from what i have seen.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20443
Notice how the GFS looks to be right on with this trough-splitting pattern that I was posting periodically last week on the ensembles. One thing to keep an eye out for is even if we don't get a nice surface low with the trough split, such a piece of upper energy can also act to ventilate the Caribbean, which is the other area we will have to watch out for next week. The latest GFS runs actually interact the two pieces of energy and merge surface lows, which is typical of the GFS but interesting to see so much playing around this time of year.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26661
After a couple of days of slight cooling due to increased trades the TCHP in the Western Caribbean has made a big rebound.

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Yesterday in OK. Unbelievable. Link
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After 250 hours, the EC low diminishes as it becomes tropical due to shear, kind of like Andrea in 2007, gets absorbed into the Carribean low. This is per the new GFS run, which is still running.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7396
61. Skyepony (Mod)
Jeff thanks~ That's so less ominous from the local met on 6.. Had the oil hitting Cocoa Beach end of the week, beginning of next.

Very interesting that probe making it to Lake O & up the St John's River.. Say's something about how this spill could effect what alot of people drink.
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Looks like the "model comparison watch" has been fully activated for the upcoming season as of today.....Time to get those links up on my new computer........ :)
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9264
Quoting tornadodude:


Hmmm, well Im just gonna go ahead and take US HWY 60 sw out of Amarillo and meet up with state road 1058


Safe journeys!

I can be ready for broadcast at 5 PM CDT.
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3835
Quoting Bordonaro:

Friendly words of advice. These storms are producing very STRONG straight-line winds. An 84MPH gust was recorded in Floyd, TX, in the SE TX panhandle. See preliminary reporst below:
Note: All data are considered preliminary
Tornado Reports (CSV) (Raw Tornado CSV)
No reports received
Hail Reports (CSV) (Raw Hail CSV)
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1216 100 2 SE HART CASTRO TX 3437 10209 (LUB)
Wind Reports (CSV) (Raw Wind CSV)
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1328 58 1 S PLAINVIEW HALE TX 3419 10172 (LUB)
1435 UNK FLOYDADA FLOYD TX 3398 10134 REPORT OF AT LEAST TWO SEMI-TRUCKS BLOWN OVER AND THREE ROOFS DAMAGED...INCLUDING A MUSEUM AND A GAS STATION IN FLOYDADA. (LUB)
1435 84 2 NNE FLOYDADA FLOYD TX 3401 10132 (LUB)
1545 61 1 W SPUR DICKENS TX 3348 10087 (LUB)
Full report in comma-separated values (CSV) format
Raw full report in comma-separated values (CSV) format
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (175 = 1.75")
LAT/LON in decimal degrees to two decimals, see SPC FAQ for more info
List of Weather Forecast Office 3-letter IDs appear in the report comments section

Follow the storms into they will be moving SE towards Abilene, TX.


there is no way I can catch those storms, and if we did chase them, we would be out of position for tomorrow's chase..

thanks tho, it is an impressive storm for sure
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The European is even in on this game:



Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26661
Quoting tornadodude:


Im leaving now for Farwell, right on the border, SW of Amarillo, although I might consider going NW instead.

any thoughts guys?

Friendly words of advice. These storms are producing very STRONG straight-line winds. An 84MPH gust was recorded in Floydata, TX (Floyd CO) in the SE TX panhandle. See preliminary reporst below:

Note: All data are considered preliminary
Tornado Reports (CSV) (Raw Tornado CSV)
No reports received
Hail Reports (CSV) (Raw Hail CSV)
Time Size Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1216 100 2 SE HART CASTRO TX 3437 10209 (LUB)
Wind Reports (CSV) (Raw Wind CSV)
Time Speed Location County State Lat Lon Comments
1328 58 1 S PLAINVIEW HALE TX 3419 10172 (LUB)
1435 UNK FLOYDADA FLOYD TX 3398 10134 REPORT OF AT LEAST TWO SEMI-TRUCKS BLOWN OVER AND THREE ROOFS DAMAGED...INCLUDING A MUSEUM AND A GAS STATION IN FLOYDADA. (LUB)
1435 84 2 NNE FLOYDADA FLOYD TX 3401 10132 (LUB)
1545 61 1 W SPUR DICKENS TX 3348 10087 (LUB)
Full report in comma-separated values (CSV) format
Raw full report in comma-separated values (CSV) format
Fields marked UNK are unknown
All Times UTC
Wind Gusts in MPH
Hail Sizes in 1/100 of an Inch (175 = 1.75")
LAT/LON in decimal degrees to two decimals, see SPC FAQ for more info
List of Weather Forecast Office 3-letter IDs appear in the report comments section

Follow the storms into they will be moving SE towards Abilene, TX.
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
A trough-split forecast to occur by both the GFS and Canadian models somewhere north of the Caribbean islands in 3-5 days is expected to spawn at least a weak area of low pressure, which will be retrograding along with the cut-off piece to the west or northwest late this week and into next week. It will be interesting to see what kind of tropical characteristics this subtropical low may take on. The subtropical jet will be an issue early on but the GFS seems to think an upper low will eventually close off all the way up to the 200mb level, creating a pocket of cold air aloft and light winds which can be a good catalyst for subtropical conversion.

12z GFS 120-hour surface and 500mb:





The CMC Ensembles are actually very interesting on this system, especially for an ensemble mean:



Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26661
Quoting CycloneOz:


Apparently, that seems to be the right direction to go at this time.

Since you could get there pretty fast, you could choose to wait for a couple of more hours just to be sure.


Hmmm, well Im just gonna go ahead and take US HWY 60 sw out of Amarillo and meet up with state road 1058
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GFS 12z keeping things interesting as far as prospects in the Caribbean. Even suggesting an upper level ridge trying to build in from the tropical Atlantic to allow for the retrogression of the upper level trough:

Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30577
Quoting tornadodude:


Im leaving now for Farwell, right on the border, SW of Amarillo, although I might consider going NW instead.

any thoughts guys?


Apparently, that seems to be the right direction to go at this time.

Since you could get there pretty fast, you could choose to wait for a couple of more hours just to be sure.
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3835
Quoting CycloneOz:


So broadcast at 5 PM CDT...or later?


Im leaving now for Farwell, right on the border, SW of Amarillo, although I might consider going NW instead.

any thoughts guys?
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New SPC Convective outlook is out!









DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1128 AM CDT MON MAY 17 2010

VALID 171630Z - 181200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE LWR OH/TN VLYS INTO
THE SRN APPALACHIANS/CAROLINA'S...

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER THE SRN AND PORTIONS OF
THE CENTRAL HI PLNS...

COOL CYCLONIC FLOW WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS TN/OH VALLEYS TODAY AS
UPPER LOW CENTER SLOWLY TRACKS FROM CENTRAL IL TO IN. STALLED
FRONTAL BAND EXTENDS WWD ACROSS NRN NC AND THEN INTO TN VALLEY WHERE
IT BECOMES RATHER DIFFUSE. RATHER MOIST AIR MASS VICINITY AND S OF
THE FRONTAL ZONE...PARTICULARLY E OF SRN APPALACHIANS.

TROUGH MOVES INLAND CA TO INTERMOUNTAIN REGION BY END OF FORECAST
PERIOD AS RIDGE SHIFTS SLOWLY EWD ACROSS ROCKIES. UPSLOPE PERSISTS
SRN TO CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS PROVIDING BOTH SHEAR AND MOISTURE
ADVECTION TO SUPPORT SEVERE STORM POTENTIAL.

...LWR OH AND TN VALLEYS INTO SRN APPALACHIANS/CAROLINAS...
CLOUDS THIS MORNING ARE THINNING ACROSS TN/LWR OH VALLEY WITH
MLCAPES CLIMBING ALONG WITH WEAKENING CINH. WITH MLCAPES TO 1000
J/KG AND 30-35KT OF CYCLONIC SHEAR...THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY
MID AFTERNOON FROM SRN KY/TN EWD ACROSS APPALACHIANS. STORM MODE
PRIMARILY MULTICELLULAR AND BANDS WITH DAMAGING WINDS THE DOMINANT
THREAT AND TO A LESSER EXTENT LARGE HAIL GIVEN MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES
GENERALLY LESS THAN 7C/KM.

DEEPER MOISTURE E OF APPALACHIANS WILL SLOW HEATING. HOWEVER
THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OFF HIGHER TERRAIN AND VICINITY SEA
BREEZE FRONT. WITH ONLY 25-30 KT OF SHEAR...SEVERE SHOULD BE
CONFINED TO STRONGEST STORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP INTO CLUSTERS WITH
AGAIN THE WIND THREAT THE GREATER CONCERN VS LARGE HAIL GIVEN THE
DEEP MOISTURE...LIMITED CAPE AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES AROUND 6C/KM.


...SRN INTO CENTRAL HI PLAINS...
W-NWLY FLOW E OF ROCKIES RIDGE AXIS COUPLED WITH MOIST UPSLOPE FLOW
WILL MAINTAIN FAVORABLE SHEAR AND INSTABILITY FOR STRONG/SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM COMPLEXES TO DEVELOP OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOVE SEWD.


CURRENT SEVERE MCS NWRN TX TRACKING SEWD INTO FAVORABLE INSTABILITY
AND SHOULD CONTINUE. ADDITIONALLY AS LAPSE RATES STEEPEN WITH
DAYTIME HEATING THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OFF HIGHER TERRAIN ERN NM
INTO SERN CO. WITH MLCAPES TO 2000 J/KG...LAPSE RATES ABOVE 8C/KM
AND 35 KT OF SHEAR...CONDITIONS WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR A FEW
SUPERCELLS BY MID/LATE AFTERNOON WITH PRIMARY THREAT VERY LARGE
HAIL. HAVE EXTENDED THE RISK INTO SERN CO FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND
SWRN KS FOR THIS EVENING AS THE SAME SHEAR AND INSTABILITY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BE AVAILABLE AS FURTHER S.

...FL...
HAVE ADDED LOW PROBS FOR POTENTIAL FOR PULSE SEVERE CENTRAL/SRN FL
PENINSULA. WITH A DEEP TROPICAL AIR MASS WITH PW/S TO 2 INCHES
COUPLED WITH MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES NEAR 7 C/KM...PULSE STRONG/SEVERE
STORMS ARE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. SHEAR IS ONLY 15-20 KT BUT
CONVERGENCE ALONG INLAND MOVING SEA BREEZE FRONTS COULD AUGMENT
STORM DEVELOPMENT WITH ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE AND LARGE HAIL THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING.

...INTERIOR PACIFIC NW/NRN GRT BASIN...
HEIGHT FALLS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE PACIFIC NW/NRN GRT BASIN
TODAY...WITH SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES LIKELY TO CROSS THE REGION
AMIDST STRENGTHENING SLY FLOW ALOFT. PW AROUND .75 INCHES AND
MODEST AFTN DESTABILIZATION MAY YIELD A FEW STORMS WITH MARGINALLY
SVR HAIL/GUSTY WINDS.

..HALES/HURLBUT.. 05/17/2010
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Quoting tornadodude:


yeah, probably around 2 CDT, Im going to head to the Texas and New Mexico border I think


So broadcast at 5 PM CDT...or later?
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3835
Thank You Dr........Possible storms and oil for the Florida Keys this Summer; first responders will need to really be on their toes this year for Florida and the Gulf....With preveling onshore winds in the Summer near the coast, they will really need to step up with buring off the oil, if major slicks do get sucked into the loop current and are still out there come July and August, while any oil is well off shore so the toxic smoke does not come onshore also.......Don't even think about using chemical dispersments if oil approaches the reef systems off the Keys because of the potentially disastrous effects.
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9264
Quoting Levi32:
An area of low pressure is developing near the southern end of the area of convection in the western Caribbean. Analysis of visible satellite imagery indicates surface convergence as trade winds greatly slow before reaching the Yucatan coast, and low-level clouds on the western and southern sides of the system are not moving very enthusiastically, suggesting that a surface trough or low is developing. Indeed, winds at Belize City on the east coast of the Yucatan, which have been out of the east for days, have become calm during the past 4 hours and just in the last hour became NNE (020 degrees). This is further indication that a surface low is forming east of Belize and north of Honduras.

This is not a tropical development alert. This area of convection is being caused by a divergent flow aloft in association with a weak upper shortwave moving across the area, and the GFS has picked up on the presence of this feature. With the subtropical jetstream racing right across this area, tropical development is not expected, but this system will bring moderate rains to the coastal areas of eastern central America, western Cuba, and the Cayman Islands as it drifts around the western Caribbean for the next couple days.

High-Resolution GOES-13 Visible Satellite Loop



Good morning.

We are finally getting the rain you mention and it looks as if more is in store for today. The Gulf of Honduras is a known spawning ground for surface lows but conditions at Roatan Island to the South of where you have the low depicted show East winds so whatever may be forming there is still some time in the future.
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Quoting CycloneOz:


What type of timeframe are we looking at?

It is now 11:30 CDT.


yeah, probably around 2 CDT, Im going to head to the Texas and New Mexico border I think
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12Z GFS shows the low too far north with frontal structures. This is the East Coast low I am reffering to.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7396
Quoting tornadodude:


I cant do webcam, but we can do what we did yesterday, but right now Im waiting for the new SPC outlook to come out.



What type of timeframe are we looking at?

It is now 11:30 CDT.
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3835
Quoting CycloneOz:


Will you want to broadcast as we did yesterday, or do you have something else in mind?


I cant do webcam, but we can do what we did yesterday, but right now Im waiting for the new SPC outlook to come out.

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2 skepticall2 "Did my comment get deleted? I'm confused."

Nope, it's over in http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=1481
The blog got double-posted, and 1482 is the latest.
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Quoting tornadodude:
Alright we plan on heading southwest of Amarillo towards Farwell, any thoughts?


Will you want to broadcast as we did yesterday, or do you have something else in mind?
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3835
yes ... indeed...
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Alright we plan on heading southwest of Amarillo towards Farwell, any thoughts?
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Quoting Weather456:


No need, it hasn't, I fully agree with your observations.


Anything developing will have a tuff time until it approaches the GOM as it should move toward the WNW currently.

Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20443
Quoting GainesvilleGator:
I haven't hear anything lately on Kevin Cosner's plan to filter the oil from the GOM. Anybody have an update on this?


A great name for the endeavor would be "Project Tin Cup" :)
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 3835

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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