Gulf of Mexico oil spill slows its advance towards the coast

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:21 AM GMT on May 02, 2010

Share this Blog
1
+

The oil slick from the April 20 explosion and blowout of the offshore oil rig Deepwater Horizon continues to affect the Louisiana coast near the mouth of the Mississippi River, and along the Chandelier Islands off the coast of Mississippi. Strong south to southeast winds blowing at 15 - 25 knots will continue through Monday, which will push oil onto portions of the eastern Louisiana coast from the mouth of the Mississippi River northwards towards the Mississippi border. However, the current trajectory forecasts now show the advance of the oil will slow over the next few days, despite the strong onshore winds. This is probably due to the fact that the shape of the Louisiana coast is setting up a counter-clockwise rotating eddy over the ocean regions between the Mississippi coast and the mouth of the Mississippi River, as seen on the latest forecast of Gulf currents from the NOAA HYCOM model (see also this alternative view of the HYCOM ocean current forecast.) Unfortunately, there are no buoys in this region of the Gulf to tell us what the currents are.


Figure 1. The oil spill on May 1, 2010, as seen by the MODIS instrument on NASA's Terra spacecraft. Image credit: NASA.

It now appears that the Mississippi, Alabama, and Florida Panhandle coasts will not see significant amounts of oil hitting their shores through at least Monday. On Monday night, the winds shift to southwesterly and weaken as a cold front approaches. The wind shift will allow oil to move eastwards towards Alabama and the Florida Panhandle, but at just 1 mph or so. The winds with then shift to offshore (northwesterly) on Tuesday as the cold front passes. This should blow the oil back out to sea a few miles. It is thus possible that only the Louisiana coast will see oil impacts over the coming seven days, though there is substantial uncertainty in this forecast. High pressure is expected to build in late next week, bringing relatively light onshore winds that should allow for slow transport of the oil towards shore. It appears very unlikely that oil will make it into the Loop Current during the next seven days and affect the southern Gulf of Mexico. The long range wind forecast beyond that time is too uncertain to say what might happen at longer time ranges.


Figure 2. Previous location and forecast location for today of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill. Image credit: NOAA Office of Response and Restoration.


Figure 3. Trajectory forecast for the Gulf of Mexico oil spill for 6 pm CDT Monday May 3, 2010. Image credit: State of Louisiana.

High risk of severe weather tonight
NOAA's Storm Prediction Center has outlined a "High Risk" region of severe weather potential over Arkansas tonight, and there are numerous tornadoes currently being reported over Arkansas. Our severe weather expert, Dr. Rob Carver, has radar images of yesterday's strongest storms in his blog today, including images of the tornado north of Little Rock that killed one person and injured several dozen.

Jeff Masters

Uprooted (CalicoBass)
Not sure what this thing is, it is at the old Shoffner Gin area in Shoffner. They were hit by a tornado last night. A Church was destroyed, nothing left of it. Notice the legs of this thing, just pulled them out of the ground.
Uprooted
Tornado captured in Sardis Arkansas. It was twilight when and this was shot at ISO 6400 thus it is noisy. Tornado was about 3/4 miles from us during this shot. I clicked 3 frames and we hauled booty. The tornado crossed the road at this exact place a few moments later. moved on to East End Arkansas where id did extensive damage.
Tornado
Flood damage in Hollow Rock Tennesse (Criqet)
A railroad crossing washed out from torrential rains in Carroll County Tennessee. Over 6 inches of rain logged in with my weather station KTNHOLLO! Many more photos coming.....thanks for viewing
Flood damage in Hollow Rock Tennesse

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1011 - 961

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21Blog Index

1011. HaboobsRsweet
10:06 PM GMT on May 10, 2010
Day 8 on the GFS shows something interesting south of Cuba and the Yucatan.
Member Since: May 20, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 1640
1010. StormChaser81
5:17 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
My Work will probably be featured on CNN tonight.
Member Since: August 11, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2315
1009. CycloneOz
2:41 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting hurricanejunky:


Keep on drillin! Right Oz?


Right...unfortunately.

Where's that personal power green energy with lots of torque you promised me for my cars?
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 4033
1008. IKE
2:40 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
NEW BLOG!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1007. seajunkie
2:36 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Good Morning all!!!

My name is Dave, I am a former U.S. Coast Guardsman and I am a CATastrophe Insurance Claims Adjuster. I believe my purpose on this Earth is to help people and serve my neighbors. So here goes:

I think that it is a fair assumption that this will be an active hurricane season.

PLEASE take a look at your homeowner's insurance policy. Call your insurance agent, even if you don't know him, and ask questions about your coverages on your policy. Know what is and what is not covered. Know what your deductible is. Make a list beforehand and ask as many questions as you can think of. That is what he is there for. He is there for more than sending you a card in the mail at Christmas time. He and his staff should be glad to help you. You can make adjustments to your policy which will be in effect immediately. If the agent or his staff is unhelpful, find another agent. It is easy to change your agent of record. Just call the inurance carrier.

Too many times I go to a claim and the insured has no knowledge of what is covered. After the disaster has happened is not the time to be looking for answers. Chances are your agent's office and home was hit by the disaster too, and he is taking care of his family and his office will be closed.

Gather up your family's important documents (birth certificates, deeds, car titles, immunization records, precious jewelry) and put them in a secured safety deposit box. The shoe box or small safe in your home will not keep them safe in case of water exposure, or if they get blown away in a Cat. 5 hurricane. Also ask the bank for a deposit box that is well off of the ground. The documents will be safer in an elevated safety deposit box.

Gather invoices or receipts from your high valued items (plasma t.v., electronics, guns) and put them in the safety deposit box. This way if these items are lost there is a baselined value for what they were once worth new.

About guns, write down all serial numbers and take pictures of each weapon for documentation.

Also in your shed or your garage, store your gas and electric powered tools or anything of value at least 4 feet off of the ground. In a big surge all bets are off, but many times I have seen storing things 1-2 feet higher would have made a difference.

Please be proactive. Truly an ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure in a disaster situation. Once a storm hits, it is too late to start asking questions, you will be in shock and overwhelmed. It will be a VERY emotional time and clear thought may be elusive for a while.

Right before a storm, responsibly pull out as much cash as you can. The local ATM machines will most likely be down as there will be no power and they will be damaged.

In regards to cash money, cash money is uninsurable. If you lose cash it is gone. There is no way to prove how much you had. Keep all cash with you in a bag that stays with you when you leave the area. Be disceet with your wad of cash. Crooks survive storms too.

Don't put this off, as the ones you will be hurting will be your family.

I hope that this helps someone. If the worst happens, just know that we me and others like me will immediately be on the way to help you. Dispite what is commonly thought, adjusters are there to help you get through the mess.

God bless, and good luck.

Dave
Member Since: September 4, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 46
1006. Grothar
2:33 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting hurricanejunky:
Morning Groth! How's it goin?


Hey hj. There is a new blog. We better refresh and get on the new one
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27107
1005. hurricanejunky
2:31 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Morning Groth! How's it goin?
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2899
1004. Grothar
2:30 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting RTLSNK:


Go back and read page 17, two of our "friends" assumed you and I would know about something that happened in 1937. They are just jealous of our "experience". :)


The only thing that stands out about 1937 is we were all worried about Amelia Earhart going missing and planning for my 70th birthday. LOL
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27107
1003. hurricanejunky
2:28 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting CycloneOz:
There's a report this morning that Gulf Coast mullet will be gone shortly...

This is beyond terrible!

Joe Patti's out of Pensacola ships us two loads of boneless, skinless mullet fillets every year so that we can enjoy them fried with cheese grits and turnip greens.

Dear God...no....


Keep on drillin! Right Oz?
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2899
1002. msgambler
2:26 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting taco2me61:

Well Fishing has been closed due to the Crude Oil for the next 10 days and depends on the Oil and when they can get it capped off it could be a lot longer..... Not just Mullet but everything from Shrimp to Redfish in cluding Oysters.... This is a very Bad situation here....

Taco :o)
Where are you at Taco. Fishing has not been closed here yet. Only offshore.
Member Since: February 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1125
1001. taco2me61
2:12 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting CycloneOz:
There's a report this morning that Gulf Coast mullet will be gone shortly...

This is beyond terrible!

Joe Patti's out of Pensacola ships us two loads of boneless, skinless mullet fillets every year so that we can enjoy them fried with cheese grits and turnip greens.

Dear God...no....

Well Fishing has been closed due to the Crude Oil for the next 10 days and depends on the Oil and when they can get it capped off it could be a lot longer..... Not just Mullet but everything from Shrimp to Redfish in cluding Oysters.... This is a very Bad situation here....

Taco :o)
Member Since: July 7, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 3261
1000. CycloneOz
2:07 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
There's a report this morning that Gulf Coast mullet will be gone shortly...

This is beyond terrible!

Joe Patti's out of Pensacola ships us two loads of boneless, skinless mullet fillets every year so that we can enjoy them fried with cheese grits and turnip greens.

Dear God...no....
Member Since: August 26, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 4033
999. taco2me61
1:59 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Good morning all from the wet Gulf Coast LOL
Well the rain is a good thing because it will keep the oil away from land as of right now... Lets hope they get a handle on this leak soon ...

Taco :o)
Member Since: July 7, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 3261
998. RTLSNK
1:57 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting Grothar:


We got our first color TV in 1956. The shows in color were the Red Skelton Show; the Howdy Doody Show and Matinee Theater. They would then have occassional specials. The end of "Dragnet" had a hand with a hammer, that was also in color. We would have people lined up outside the house anytime something was in color. What brought this subject up this morning?


Go back and read page 17, two of our "friends" assumed you and I would know about something that happened in 1937. They are just jealous of our "experience". :)
Member Since: September 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 21963
997. taco2me61
1:51 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting Grothar:


We got our first color TV in 1956. The shows in color were the Red Skelton Show; the Howdy Doody Show and Matinee Theater. They would then have occassional specials. The end of "Dragnet" had a hand with a hammer, that was also in color. We would have people lined up outside the house anytime something was in color. What brought this subject up this morning?


not really sure what brought this up this morning as for my family I think we got ours in mid 60's.... LOL
Member Since: July 7, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 3261
995. Grothar
1:43 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:


The Wizard of Oz? Primitive types of color films actually started in the early 1900's.


We got our first color TV in 1956. The shows in color were the Red Skelton Show; the Howdy Doody Show and Matinee Theater. They would then have occassional specials. The end of "Dragnet" had a hand with a hammer, that was also in color. We would have people lined up outside the house anytime something was in color. What brought this subject up this morning?
Member Since: July 17, 2009 Posts: 71 Comments: 27107
994. MahFL
1:40 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
The oil is under a lot of pressure and flows up on its own. That is how oil is formed, organic matter is compressed and heated and forms oil.
Member Since: June 9, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 3805
992. Orcasystems
1:30 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting beell:


Yes it is under pressure. Drill rigs use a weighted drilling fluid to balance the hydrostatic pressure. The weight of the mud column keeps the well under control. In a deep offshore well the weight of this fluid can be in excess of 20lbs/Gal. Shallower inland and land rigs can use salt water. Although you can only weight it up to about 9lbs/Gal. Barite is a common component to achieve heavier weights.

Remove the drilling fluid and the oil can find a route to the surface.


There is an awful lot of oil trying to find its way to the surface :(

"mega Tiber oil field (4 - 6 Billion barrels of oil and covering about 25000 square miles)"
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26512
991. beell
1:20 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting DestinJeff:
maybe someone here with some knowledge can explain ...

is the oil under pressure in the reserve (oil bed)? i can't figure out how the oil continues to flow without being pumped out by the rig. if there is no component to pump the oil out, then the only other way it gets up through the sea floor is due to pressure from below.

is that what is happening?


Yes it is under pressure. Drill rigs use a weighted drilling fluid to balance the hydrostatic pressure. The weight of the mud column keeps the well under control. In a deep offshore well the weight of this fluid can be in excess of 20lbs/Gal. Shallower inland and land rigs can use salt water. Although you can only weight it up to about 9lbs/Gal. Barite is a common component to achieve heavier weights.

Remove the drilling fluid and the oil can find a route to the surface. ADDED: If the producing formation is open. Cementing is used to seal off/isolate the formation until it is time to begin production of oil and gas.
Member Since: September 11, 2007 Posts: 145 Comments: 16919
990. stormwatcherCI
1:19 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Good morning. Just 8:15 am and already 87F. Hot and humid.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8436
989. GeoffreyWPB
1:19 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting leftovers:
south florida problem is the very warm water around it in late august and early september. an ike scenario just alittle bit more north could be bad


No thank you...

Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11518
988. hydrus
1:14 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting DEKRE:


$8,090.37
Link
Thank you. My figure was an attempt at humor of course. :)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22309
987. beell
1:12 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
There is a difference in a production well and a drilling rig.

Baker-Hughes Rig Count

Note the -1 change in rigs drilling for oil...
Member Since: September 11, 2007 Posts: 145 Comments: 16919
985. IKE
1:10 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
984. IKE
1:07 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting GPTGUY:


that line sat up over me last night here north of Gulfport, MS. and trained over us for about 4 hrs from 1am to 5am I recorded 3.13" of rain with my weather station on top of the 1.67" yesterday...the whole month of April I received only 2.01"


Just looks like the line is getting smaller now without much in the way of heavy rains....for now.

I've had .03 rain so far in May.


Quoting crownwx:
My updated thoughts for the 2010 Hurricane Season:

I decided to write up an update to the seasonal forecast I wrote back in early March. I am very concerned that we’re in for a very, very busy hurricane season.

The main feature that is very worrying to me is the latest European model forecast of Sea Level Pressure Anomalies and Precipitation Anomalies in the Atlantic. The forecast continues to call for well below normal pressures and well above normal precipitation totals during the July to September, 2010 timeframe. What this means in terms of tropical storm and hurricane activity is that lower pressures mean lighter winds and less wind shear. In addition, the lighter winds and less wind shear will also mean more available moisture and in the end warmer sea surface temperatures.

One other thing to note, note the above average sea level pressures in the East Pacific (Dark red). This means that the air will be sinking in the east Pacific and rising in the Atlantic Basin. Rising air promotes more storminess.

http://www.crownweather.com/eurosippressure.gif
http://www.crownweather.com/eurosipprecip.gif

Now, one thing to note is that the European model forecasted negative conditions for the 2009 Hurricane Season at this time last year and it did quite well with that forecast. So, there is some merit and credibility that the 2010 Hurricane Season may be quite active.

There are several hurricane seasons that are a close match to what this hurricane season may be like. They are 1958, 1964, 1966, 1969, 1995, 1998 and 2005. As for potential risk areas, I have attached a map outlining all of the tracks during the 7 analog years. A few areas stand out for higher concentration of landfalls during those 7 analog seasons. These areas include eastern North Carolina and the outer banks of North Carolina, south Florida and the northwest Bahamas, the central Gulf coast (from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle), the Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands and finally the northwest Caribbean, including the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Cayman Islands. Elsewhere, along the US coastline and in the Caribbean, don’t let your guard down as you are also at risk this season of a tropical storm or hurricane.

Sum of storm tracks of 7 analog seasons (1958, 1964, 1966, 1969, 1995, 1998, 2005):
http://www.crownweather.com/analogtracks.png

Highest Threat Areas For 2010 Hurricane Season:
http://www.crownweather.com/2010hrcnfcst.png

I suspect that we will have our first tropical storm sometime in early June. The reason why is that the first storm of the season formed in early June during 5 out of the 7 analog years. Also, with sea surface temperatures running above normal and forecast lower than normal surface pressures; I strongly believe we will have our first storm in early June, if not before then.

As for my forecast numbers for this year:
16 Named Storms
9 Hurricanes
4 Major Hurricanes


The forecast numbers are based on the idea that the Atlantic will remain warmer than normal and that the current weakening El Nino will be neutral during the heart of the hurricane season. The current Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential map is displayed below and it shows plenty of heat potential already for the formation and intensification of tropical storms and hurricanes.

Sea Surface Temperature Map:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2010120atsst.png

Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential Map:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2010120at.jpg

So, to sum it up, I am looking at a hurricane season coming up that will be very active. I expect neutral ENSO conditions throughout the heart of the hurricane season. In addition, above average to much above average ocean temperatures and below average sea level pressures point to an active to very active hurricane season with the highest risk areas in eastern North Carolina and the outer banks of North Carolina, south Florida and the northwest Bahamas, the central Gulf coast (from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle), the Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands and finally the northwest Caribbean, including the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Cayman Islands.

This outlook should be the catalyst to start purchasing supplies and putting your hurricane kit together during May. Also, take a close look at your homeowners or renters insurance and ensure that you are properly covered for damages or god forbid total loss. Also, if you don’t have flood insurance and live in a hurricane zone, I strongly urge you to consider taking on flood insurance. Your homeowners/renters insurance does not cover for floods caused by storm surge or river flooding.


:(
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
983. oddspeed
1:01 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting TropicTraveler:
I know we have some people out there who work in the oil industry. Does anyone know how many of the deepwater rigs there are? It seems that drilling beyond the reach of divers is extra risky. Also seems like all rigs should have automatic shutoffs to prevent this. It only takes one failure to have a disaster. We ought to be figuring out how to avert that one failure, as well as how to stop this leak and cleanup this spill. It's a very depressing Monday morning - floods, tornadoes and oil spills.


There are about 30,000 offshore rigs in the Gulf. This one that blew up was an experimental deep water (5000 feet) drilling about 25000 feet into the Earth's crust to get at the mega Tiber oil field (4 - 6 Billion barrels of oil and covering about 25000 square miles)

Link
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 237
982. GPTGUY
1:01 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting IKE:
I'm under a flash-flood watch here in the Florida panhandle. Sorry...I don't see this as a flash-flooding problem from looking at the Mobile radar....not yet anyway. But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night....



that line sat up over me last night here north of Gulfport, MS. and trained over us for about 4 hrs from 1am to 5am I recorded 3.13" of rain with my weather station on top of the 1.67" yesterday...the whole month of April I received only 2.01"
Member Since: August 26, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 391
981. crownwx
1:01 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
My updated thoughts for the 2010 Hurricane Season:

I decided to write up an update to the seasonal forecast I wrote back in early March. I am very concerned that we’re in for a very, very busy hurricane season.

The main feature that is very worrying to me is the latest European model forecast of Sea Level Pressure Anomalies and Precipitation Anomalies in the Atlantic. The forecast continues to call for well below normal pressures and well above normal precipitation totals during the July to September, 2010 timeframe. What this means in terms of tropical storm and hurricane activity is that lower pressures mean lighter winds and less wind shear. In addition, the lighter winds and less wind shear will also mean more available moisture and in the end warmer sea surface temperatures.

One other thing to note, note the above average sea level pressures in the East Pacific (Dark red). This means that the air will be sinking in the east Pacific and rising in the Atlantic Basin. Rising air promotes more storminess.

http://www.crownweather.com/eurosippressure.gif
http://www.crownweather.com/eurosipprecip.gif

Now, one thing to note is that the European model forecasted negative conditions for the 2009 Hurricane Season at this time last year and it did quite well with that forecast. So, there is some merit and credibility that the 2010 Hurricane Season may be quite active.

There are several hurricane seasons that are a close match to what this hurricane season may be like. They are 1958, 1964, 1966, 1969, 1995, 1998 and 2005. As for potential risk areas, I have attached a map outlining all of the tracks during the 7 analog years. A few areas stand out for higher concentration of landfalls during those 7 analog seasons. These areas include eastern North Carolina and the outer banks of North Carolina, south Florida and the northwest Bahamas, the central Gulf coast (from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle), the Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands and finally the northwest Caribbean, including the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Cayman Islands. Elsewhere, along the US coastline and in the Caribbean, don’t let your guard down as you are also at risk this season of a tropical storm or hurricane.

Sum of storm tracks of 7 analog seasons (1958, 1964, 1966, 1969, 1995, 1998, 2005):
http://www.crownweather.com/analogtracks.png

Highest Threat Areas For 2010 Hurricane Season:
http://www.crownweather.com/2010hrcnfcst.png

I suspect that we will have our first tropical storm sometime in early June. The reason why is that the first storm of the season formed in early June during 5 out of the 7 analog years. Also, with sea surface temperatures running above normal and forecast lower than normal surface pressures; I strongly believe we will have our first storm in early June, if not before then.

As for my forecast numbers for this year:
16 Named Storms
9 Hurricanes
4 Major Hurricanes


The forecast numbers are based on the idea that the Atlantic will remain warmer than normal and that the current weakening El Nino will be neutral during the heart of the hurricane season. The current Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential map is displayed below and it shows plenty of heat potential already for the formation and intensification of tropical storms and hurricanes.

Sea Surface Temperature Map:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2010120atsst.png

Tropical Cyclone Heat Potential Map:
http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/dataphod1/work/HHP/NEW/2010120at.jpg

So, to sum it up, I am looking at a hurricane season coming up that will be very active. I expect neutral ENSO conditions throughout the heart of the hurricane season. In addition, above average to much above average ocean temperatures and below average sea level pressures point to an active to very active hurricane season with the highest risk areas in eastern North Carolina and the outer banks of North Carolina, south Florida and the northwest Bahamas, the central Gulf coast (from Louisiana to the Florida Panhandle), the Leeward Islands and Virgin Islands and finally the northwest Caribbean, including the Yucatan Peninsula, western Cuba and the Cayman Islands.

This outlook should be the catalyst to start purchasing supplies and putting your hurricane kit together during May. Also, take a close look at your homeowners or renters insurance and ensure that you are properly covered for damages or god forbid total loss. Also, if you don’t have flood insurance and live in a hurricane zone, I strongly urge you to consider taking on flood insurance. Your homeowners/renters insurance does not cover for floods caused by storm surge or river flooding.
Member Since: December 27, 2004 Posts: 3 Comments: 207
980. lickitysplit
1:01 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting TropicTraveler:
I know we have some people out there who work in the oil industry. Does anyone know how many of the deepwater rigs there are? It seems that drilling beyond the reach of divers is extra risky. Also seems like all rigs should have automatic shutoffs to prevent this. It only takes one failure to have a disaster. We ought to be figuring out how to avert that one failure, as well as how to stop this leak and cleanup this spill. It's a very depressing Monday morning - floods, tornadoes and oil spills.


This one did have a auto shut off from what I've read - it just didnt work. BP chose not to take our insurance on this rig because they didnt see a need. One has to wonder how responsible these guys are.
Member Since: May 17, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 631
979. aquak9
1:00 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
wannabe- no, I don't expect anything severe, either. Glad for the rain.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 175 Comments: 26505
977. DEKRE
1:00 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting hydrus:
$1,384,634.03........ Inflation.......lol


$8,090.37
Link
Member Since: April 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 306
976. weathermanwannabe
12:58 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting aquak9:
wanna-be- I'd expect tomorrow to be more of an issue for the northeastern area of florida, but north-central, northwest could be more interesting today.


With the jet stream pattern changing down near the Gulf recently, there should not be any threat of any organized severe weather due to lower sheer values ....But we could have few strong individual storms and certainly some flooding if we see some training in NE Florida as the front lifts out.....Otherwise, I don't mind the rain.
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9377
975. TropicTraveler
12:54 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
I know we have some people out there who work in the oil industry. Does anyone know how many of the deepwater rigs there are? It seems that drilling beyond the reach of divers is extra risky. Also seems like all rigs should have automatic shutoffs to prevent this. It only takes one failure to have a disaster. We ought to be figuring out how to avert that one failure, as well as how to stop this leak and cleanup this spill. It's a very depressing Monday morning - floods, tornadoes and oil spills.
Member Since: July 24, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 927
974. aquak9
12:53 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
wanna-be- I'd expect tomorrow to be more of an issue for the northeastern area of florida, but north-central, northwest could be more interesting today.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 175 Comments: 26505
973. hydrus
12:53 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Quoting RTLSNK:


Sorry, wasn't born until 1947. :)
Nice try though.
Here is an interesting factoid for you: the first commercial color TV was available from RCA in 1954. It was called the CT-100, which originally retailed for $1,000.00. I wonder how much that would be in 2010 dollars?
$1,384,634.03........ Inflation.......lol
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 22309
972. biff4ugo
12:52 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Good Morning,

At least the humidity has picked up so that you are not under a flood warning and a fire weather forecast at the same time. With the 90 degree weather in cenral FL, the rain the rest of the week will be greatly appreciated by us.
Sorry to see all the flooding in the rest of the Southern states. That squall line looked like a TS rainband from Ike. Wicked internal storms.
Member Since: December 28, 2006 Posts: 115 Comments: 1599
971. weathermanwannabe
12:49 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Good Morning Folks........Just waiting to see how the storms fire up today in North Florida as the day heats up........
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9377
969. GeoffreyWPB
12:40 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Guess I lucked out when I bought my house. It never floods where I live. (Knock on Grothar's head) :)
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11518
968. IKE
12:34 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
I'm under a flash-flood watch here in the Florida panhandle. Sorry...I don't see this as a flash-flooding problem from looking at the Mobile radar....not yet anyway. But I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night....

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
967. msgambler
12:32 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Just not sure where I am sometimes Aqua
Member Since: February 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1125
966. Ossqss
12:30 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
965. aquak9
12:29 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
no prob, ms. We're all somewhere...
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 175 Comments: 26505
964. msgambler
12:22 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Ok I'm sorry
Member Since: February 27, 2010 Posts: 0 Comments: 1125
963. aquak9
12:20 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
ms- no, I'm in jacksonville, fl. Three miles inland.
Member Since: August 13, 2005 Posts: 175 Comments: 26505
961. GeoffreyWPB
12:17 PM GMT on May 03, 2010
Already 78 here. A warm few days coming up:

Local Text Forecast for
Lake Worth, FL (33461)

May 3 Today
Partly to mostly cloudy. High around 85F. Winds SE at 10 to 20 mph.

May 3 Tonight
Some passing clouds. Low 74F. Winds SE at 10 to 20 mph.

May 4 Tomorrow
Generally sunny despite a few afternoon clouds. High around 85F. Winds SSE at 10 to 20 mph.

May 4 Tomorrow night
Partly cloudy. Low 74F. Winds SSE at 10 to 15 mph.

May 5 Wednesday
Mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 80s and lows in the low 70s.

May 6 Thursday
Partly cloudy with a stray thunderstorm. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 70s.

May 7 Friday
Partly cloudy with a stray thunderstorm. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 70s.

May 8 Saturday
Slight chance of a thunderstorm. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 70s.

May 9 Sunday
Partly cloudy. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 70s.
May 10 Monday

Mainly sunny. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 70s.

May 11 Tuesday
Mainly sunny. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 70s.

May 12 Wednesday
Sunshine. Highs in the low 80s and lows in the low 70s.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11518

Viewing: 1011 - 961

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
32 °F
Overcast