Tornado kills ten in Mississippi

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:22 PM GMT on April 25, 2010

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A powerful 1/2 to 1-mile wide tornado cut a path of enormous destruction across the state of Mississippi yesterday, killing at least ten and injuring dozens. It was the deadliest tornado in the U.S. since May 10, 2008, when an EF-4 tornado killed 22 people in Oklahoma and Missouri. The damage I've seen so far from photos of yesterday's tornado appears to be mainly of the EF-3 variety, though we will have to wait for the official damage surveys to be sure. The supercell thunderstorm that spawned the tornado or family of tornadoes maintained a continuous circulation from the time the tornado first touched down in Louisiana near the Mississippi border until the tornado reached the Alabama border. This is an extremely rare occurrence. If the 188-mile path of destruction across Mississippi was from a single tornado, it would rank as one of the longest tracks by a single tornado on record. The record of 219 miles is held by the deadliest tornado of all time, the great Tri-State Tornado of 1925 (though there is some dispute over whether this was one tornado or a family of tornadoes.) Our severe weather expert Dr. Rob Carver has a more complete analysis and imagery of yesterday's tornadoes.


Figure 1. Doppler radar storm-relative velocity of the mile-wide tornado that affected Yazoo City, Mississippi On April 24, 2010. This is an unusually wide and strong circulation for a supercell thunderstorm.

More severe weather expected today along the East Coast
The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) outlined a "Slight Risk" region of concern for severe weather today along the East Coast, from Maryland to Northern Florida. Yesterday, SPC had Mississippi underneath the first "High Risk" area of severe weather concern for the year. As usual, you can follow today's severe weather outbreak with our interactive tornado page and our severe weather page..


Figure 2. Severe weather reports for Saturday. Note the long line of red tornado reports extending across the state of Mississippi. These reports originated from a single supercell thunderstorm that spawned one or more tornadoes that carved out a 188-mile lone path of destruction across the state. Image credit: Storm Prediction Center.

Jeff Masters

Storm Lines (thomasanthony)
A quick line of storm clouds came over Lawrence around 7pm. I forgot to change my ISO back after shooting eagles earlier in low light thus a noisy shot.
Storm Lines
Tornado damage in Choctaw County (richardlove310)
Tornado damage in Choctaw County
Tornado damage in Choctaw County (richardlove310)
Tornado damage in Choctaw County

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Heckofa story, thanks Pat!
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Quoting all4hurricanes:
El nino not dying is not good for hurricane season. At least the gulf is cold, that might be the only thing hampering this season


Gulf being "cold" will be fixed very very quickly

During the month of May, expect the Gulf to warm up to at least be back to its normal temps for that time of year
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El nino not dying is not good for hurricane season. At least the gulf is cold, that might be the only thing hampering this season
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Quoting Snowlover123:

Sorry, Gulf still looks WAYY below normal...


It won't last long though.

From Houston NWS

DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND WARM DAY ON TAP IN ADVANCE OF S/W ROTATING AROUND THE
MAIN EASTERN U.S. TROUGH. NW LL FLOW WILL PREVAIL TODAY THEN
DECOUPLE TONIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA AND THEN
OUT INTO THE GULF MONDAY. THIS WILL BEGIN THE ONSHORE FLOW MONDAY
AND A SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE. A COLD FRONT WILL BE DROPPING
THROUGH THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND COMBINE WITH THE S/W OVER THE
MT/ID-CANADA BORDER TO BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAINFALL MAINLY
OVER THE NORTHEAST ZONES AND A NOTICEABLE INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER.
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH SETX MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY MORNING USHERING
IN A REINFORCING SHOT OF DRY AIR AND A COOL NIGHT BUT THIS TO
WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS WEAK TROUGHING OVER THE NW AND A SEPARATE
SYSTEM IN THE SUBTROPICAL JET COMMENCES A LONG PERIOD OF ONSHORE
FLOW WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. EXTENDED GUIDANCE IN GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH RICH LL MOISTURE POOLING OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF
THAT WILL BE DRAWN NORTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY INTO THE CWA. THE
REGION SHOULD BE WELL CAPPED BUT THE WARM PROFILE AND HUMIDITY
WILL LIKELY BRING A ROUND OF OUR FIRST OF THE SEASON 90+ HEAT
INDICES FRIDAY.
A FEW SHOWERS MIGHT BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY NEXT WEEKEND BUT CHANCES LOOKING SLIM AS OF NOW GIVEN THE
STRENGTH OF THE CAP
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88 Degrees in Hillsborough atm. High humitidy, sun's coming and going. Could see some severe weather off that.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24577
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:




Tornado Warning for Putnam county:

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM EDT FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL PUTNAM AND NORTHEASTERN MARION COUNTIES...

AT 231 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS CONTINUED TO
TRACK A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT
MCCOY...OR NEAR CITRA...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ORANGE
SPRINGS AND HOG VALLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR
HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER
YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER OR DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
OR YOUR COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

This county also had a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for wind of 60 mph, and large hail, but it has been canceled.
Member Since: April 1, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 2699
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A first-hand account of the Yazoo City tornado by Wade Rackley
On April 25, 2010, In Uncategorized, By marshallramsey


This is one of the comments from the Yazoo City tornado posts. It's from Wade Rackley. He and his wife were getting lunch at Wendys on Highway 49 and rode out the storm in the bathroom . It's a chilling account and I am thankful he and his wife survived.

Text and photos by Wade Rackley

My wife and I were getting lunch at the Wendys on 49. We were watching for a tornado at the window with a view of where we believed it might appear, just in case it did. We never saw a tornado, as the thing was three quarters of a mile wide and looked like a very quickly moving, low cloud. I have never heard of a wedge-shaped tornado, so we (and all the other patrons as well as the employees) just sat and watched it come toward us.

Suddenly the rain started to fallhorizontally, as with Katrina. We all started shouting to get to the bathrooms when the rain suddenly reversed direction and the windows all started to vibrate violently.

As we were moving to the back the power cut out and I heard a deep, thrumming sound. The air pressure dropped very quickly.

My wife got into the better shielded of the two bathrooms quickly with patrons and crew; it filled up with about 18 people, leaving myself and another gentleman alone in the dining room, unable to fit into the safer bathroom. He and I had to use the other bathroom that had a door that was not shielded at all.

Both bathroom doors were shut and latched about 10 seconds before the dining room exploded. It was amazing. Shrapnel clattered against our door for about a full minute. While the water was still spraying across the dining room I peeked out to confirm that the twister had passed over us and that things were calming down.

The scene before me was surreal.

The two of us in our bathroom went out to move the condiment bar out of the way. It was blocking our exit from the restaurant. Everything was bristling with glass; everything was covered in mud and building insulation and nastiness. The dining room bore little resemblance to where we had been eating not a few minutes prior.

I took a lot of photos, some just amazing.

No one was hurt, save for some minor cuts. Some cars were heavily damaged, one right next to my Jeep looked to be totaled.

It was a rather scary way to spend my lunch hour.
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Quoting CybrTeddy:


Funny, all other Nino's are falling now. Might be inaccurate data. Most likely whats happening is what 23 just stated. Still, interesting to watch.


I agree, although Nino 1 looks to be tanking. Almost normal now.
Member Since: April 1, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 2699


drying up before it gets here we need some rain its be a low rain year so far for our region
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Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Two maps today for y'all today.

First, the gulf is now barely below normal (compared to what it was) and has warmed significantly over the past 15 days.



Second, Nino 3.4 continues to rise to near .7. Not sure why.


Sorry, Gulf still looks WAYY below normal...
Member Since: April 1, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 2699


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Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Two maps today for y'all today.

First, the gulf is now barely below normal (compared to what it was) and has warmed significantly over the past 15 days.



Second, Nino 3.4 continues to rise to near .7. Not sure why.



Funny, all other Nino's are falling now. Might be inaccurate data. Most likely whats happening is what 23 just stated. Still, interesting to watch.
Member Since: July 8, 2005 Posts: 259 Comments: 24577
Quoting bappit:
384 hours????

24-> 384 = 10 + 24-> 144 = 16 freaking days!
its a little out there

lol
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Quoting AstroHurricane001:
Look at GFS 384z, there's a storm in Tehuantepec and in the MDR, the storm could actually cross over back into the Gulf.

GFS is usually wrong 384 hours out, so don't get your hopes up.
Member Since: April 1, 2010 Posts: 9 Comments: 2699
384 hours????

24-> 384 = 10 + 24-> 144 = 16 freaking days!
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Quoting WaterWitch11:
A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE WEST COAST MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH BAY LATE THAT EVENING AND THROUGH THE ENTIRE BAY AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS ARE THEN EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. THESE SHOWERS COULD CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.

Well, that is good that your winter rains are continuing later than normal. I hope this storm helps to increase the snow pack in the Sierras.

Looks like another mid/late week storm system for the Plains. And we all hope things are not as bad as what we experienced yesterday

The HPC long-range forecast is still uncertain about next weeks events as of yet. Computer models still in disagreement.
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Look at GFS 384z, there's a storm in Tehuantepec and in the MDR, the storm could actually cross over back into the Gulf.
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A STRONG PACIFIC STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE TO THE WEST COAST MONDAY NIGHT. RAIN WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE NORTH BAY LATE THAT EVENING AND THROUGH THE ENTIRE BAY AREA THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING. SHOWERS ARE THEN EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. THESE SHOWERS COULD CONTAIN GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY RAIN.
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Quoting Tropicsweatherpr:
AussieStorm,next Wednesday the ENSO Wrap-up update from BoM will be released. Lets see how are the numbers of El Nino 3.4 that they will show.

Yeah, it will be interesting, I have 2 SOI charts on my blog, they auto-update.
Goodnight all
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hi oz,
glad you & your girl are ok.
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Quoting CycloneOz:


I measured 1.2 miles on the odometer.

It would be to close for me, I'm thinking 5 miles away would be a good distance.
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AussieStorm,next Wednesday the ENSO Wrap-up update from BoM will be released. Lets see how are the numbers of El Nino 3.4 that they will show.
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14908
Scheduled Broadcast for the Barometer Bob Show

The Barometer Bob Show for April 29, 2010!

Listen to the show as I discuss the tropics and current weather across the Nation. As well as Weather News from around the world.
My guests are: Dan McCarthy, Meteorologist In Charge NWS Indianapolis,Indiana and George (AussieStorm)(Me) from Storm Chat and The Weather Underground with his lightning survivor story.

The show starts at 8pm/et and you can listen live at WRBN.Net
You can call into the show LIVE at 1-866-931-8437(U.S.A Toll Free) or 904-259-4229 World Wide (Tolls Apply) With your host Barometer Bob Brookens from Hurricane Hollow Weather!
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Quoting hurricane23:


Does it? The weeklies show no rise, and in fact show a decline in the monthlies. There are short term daily variations always, and a weak rise wouldn't surprise me, but there is no forcing currently (WWB/KW) that would keep a sustained warming trend in the ENSO regions, and a strengthening of the easterlies is underway, so a sustained cooling is expected.





Here is todays update of the subsurface waters. The cool waters continue to expand while the warm waters continue to disappear.

Link
Member Since: April 29, 2009 Posts: 75 Comments: 14908
107. IKE
Quoting AussieStorm:

that sounds like you were very lucky. Any idea how close it was to you?


I just read that too. Scary experience.
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Quoting CycloneOz:
I've just updated my blog with a candid report about yesterday's tornado intercept in Mississippi.

On Luck...and Stupidity

that sounds like you were very lucky. Any idea how close it was to you?
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Quoting CycloneOz:
I've just updated my blog with a candid report about yesterday's tornado intercept in Mississippi.

On Luck...and Stupidity

Just glad you are alright, sorry to gear about your terrifying situation, tornadoes are real scary creatures!
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103. JRRP
see you next week
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Quoting Stormchaser2007:
Two maps today for y'all today.

First, the gulf is now barely below normal (compared to what it was) and has warmed significantly over the past 15 days.



Second, Nino 3.4 continues to rise to near .7. Not sure why.



Does it? The weeklies show no rise, and in fact show a decline in the monthlies. There are short term daily variations always, and a weak rise wouldn't surprise me, but there is no forcing currently (WWB/KW) that would keep a sustained warming trend in the ENSO regions, and a strengthening of the easterlies is underway, so a sustained cooling is expected.



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Quoting Levi32:


You mean this?



It's possible....I can't really tell without a 500mb forecast from the European though, and they don't have one.

I have a feeling we might see something like 1998, which had the main congregation of tracks to the west, but also had a separate group that recurved way out in the eastern Atlantic. We're likely going to have much more in the Caribbean than 98 had though.

The Bermuda high is building weaker but further to the east, not really allowing for curvature except for a few here and there. I do have a feeling Florida will get blasted with a very strong hurricane in the middle of the season due to high SST's, el nino dying, and the location of the Bermuda high. An Andrew scenario seems very plausible this year, unfortunately. And on top of that there still will be more hurricanes impacting the SE US.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting hurricane23:
Dont really like to speculate on long range steering but, i will say this if the ECMWF predictions of a weaker Azores-Bermuda High comes to pass i think we may get a good chunk of systems recurve well east of the united states this season. Problem is everything will not develope out in the central/eastern atl.


You can't go by the pressure forecast alone. That's not going to tell you much about steering. The CFS and Glosea are indicating a negative NAO which would tend to put the congregation of tracks further westward and coupled with the fact that we are in a neutral year which favors landfalling storms.
Member Since: October 28, 2006 Posts: 57 Comments: 30833
Quoting hurricane23:
Dont really like to speculate on long range steering but, i will say this if the ECMWF predictions of a weaker Azores-Bermuda High comes to pass i think we may get a good chunk of systems recurve well east of the united states this season. Problem is everything will not develope out in the central/eastern atl.


You mean this?



It's possible....I can't really tell without a 500mb forecast from the European though, and they don't have one.

I have a feeling we might see something like 1998, which had the main congregation of tracks to the west, but also had a separate group that recurved way out in the eastern Atlantic. We're likely going to have much more in the Caribbean than 98 had though.

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97. JRRP
Quoting MiamiHurricanes09:
Well I would understand, SST's are off the scale. But shear is at 80 knots and rising, at the moment.


shear
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Dont really like to speculate on long range steering but, i will say this if the ECMWF predictions of a weaker Azores-Bermuda High comes to pass i think we may get a good chunk of systems recurve well east of the united states this season. Problem is everything will not develope out in the central/eastern atl.
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The GOM/Atlantic Spawned 2 invests by June 1 in 2009.



Season's first tropical depression forms

Posted by: JeffMasters, 10:43 AM CDT on May 28, 2009


Nature is jumping the gun a bit this year, with the season's first tropical depression forming four days before the official start to hurricane season. The area of disturbed weather (91L) that we've been watching, about 250 miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, has developed enough heavy thunderstorm activity and spin to be classified as a tropical depression. QuikSCAT imagery from last night revealed a closed surface circulation, but top winds of only 20 - 25 mph. Satellite estimates (using a cloud pattern recognition method called the "Dvorak" technique) were saying this was a tropical depression this morning, though, so the NHC elected to upgrade the system.
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TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 104
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1220 PM EDT SUN APR 25 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

NORTHERN FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1220 PM UNTIL
800 PM EDT.

SEVERAL TORNADOES
SCATTERED DAMAGING WINDS TO 65 MPH
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL
ISOLATED HAIL TO 1.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 50 STATUTE
MILES EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF
CROSS CITY FLORIDA TO 25 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF DAYTONA BEACH
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 103...

DISCUSSION...BAND OF STORMS CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY FROM COASTAL NW
FL WWD INTO THE ERN GULF OF MEXICO. AIR MASS AHEAD OF THE STORMS
HAS BECOME UNSTABLE AND MLCAPES SHOULD APPROACH 1500-2000 J/KG THIS
AFTN AHEAD OF THE STORMS. REGION WILL RESIDE ALONG SRN PERIPHERY OF
50 KTS OF WLY MID-LVL FLOW AND SUPERCELLS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH
LARGE HAIL. ADDITIONALLY...SUFFICIENT LOW-LEVEL SRH AND PRESENCE OF
A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WILL EXIST FOR THE RISK OF TORNADOES.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 65 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...RACY/HALES
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Quoting hurricane23:


Highly doupt anything comes about from the wave if indeed something rolls of, those westerlies are still blowing pretty good.


We shall have to keep track of it though if our first ones do start rolling off. If ridging persists over the GOM during the rest of May then we will have to be wary of tropical waves coming underneath into the western Caribbean, which is the only climatologically favored region for mischief this time of year.
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Yazoo City, Mississippi Tornado Footage clip 3 (Hillcrest Church damage)/ April 24, 2010

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Quoting hurricane23:


Highly doupt anything comes about from the wave if indeed something rolls of, those westerlies are still blowing pretty good.


Yup,




Btw, it seems like it will be a stormy day tomorrow.
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Quoting txjac:
SST's building a good thing? SST?
Shear something isnt it?


SST = Sea Surface Temperature

Not a good thing for us.
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Quoting Drakoen:
The GFS is probably confused in the Eastern Atlantic given that the SSTs are well above average in the region and there has been a predominant synoptic scale upper level anticyclonic circulation in the region over the past 30 days.

I, however, would not be surprised to see our first tropical wave come off the coast of Africa with this strong MJO upward pulse.


Highly doupt anything comes about from the wave if indeed something rolls of, those westerlies are still blowing pretty good.
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Quoting txjac:
SST's building a good thing? SST?
Shear something isnt it?


SST's are Seas Surface Temps. that's how hot the water is, at the surface. TCHP is tropical cyclone heat potential, which is how far down the hot water goes.

See, a tropical cyclone stirs up the water. If the SST's are high, then the cyclone has access to surface heat, and can grow stronger. But if it stays in one place, it'll stir up the water. The water can get cooler, and the storm loses some of it's fuel.

So TCHP- the hot water DEPTH- is very important. It's not just about surface temp.
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SST's building a good thing? SST?
Shear something isnt it?
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GFS 12z (120 hour) showing a strong compact area of low pressure south of Honduras. (1003 MB)



Other than that not much going on in the Atlantic, just a small area of disturbed weather over the Yucatan Peninsula/GOM (180 hours):

Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194
Quoting Levi32:
CMC Ensembles also onboard with a strong ridge developing over the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico in about a week's time, and persisting for many days.

Day 7 500mb heights ensemble mean:



Day 12 500mb heights ensemble mean:

Should allow for a rapid increase of SST's in the GOM.
Member Since: September 2, 2009 Posts: 130 Comments: 21194

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