Little change to Brazilian tropical disturbance

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:05 PM GMT on March 06, 2010

Share this Blog
2
+

An area of disturbed weather off the coast of Brazil, near 17S 38W, has changed little over the past day. It has a slight potential to develop into subtropical or tropical depression early next week. Satellite winds estimates from the WindSat instrument show an elongated area of converging winds, but no organized surface circulation. Satellite loops show little organization to the cloud pattern, and only limited heavy thunderstorm activity. Wind shear over the region is about 20 knots, which is rather high, and should keep any development slow. Sea surface temperatures are about 28°C, about 1°C above average, and plenty warm enough to support a tropical storm. The system is small, and this will limit its potential to become a tropical cyclone.


Figure 1. Morning visible satellite image of the Brazilian disturbance.

The ECMWF, UKMET, and NOGAPS models have backed off on their predictions of development a fair amount in recent runs. Phase space diagrams from Florida State University show that this storm has less of a warm core than before, meaning it would probably be classifiable as a subtropical storm if it gets more organized and achieves surface wind speeds of at least 39 mph. The system does not appear to be a threat to bring heavy rains to the Brazilian coast. I give this storm a low (< 30% chance) of developing into a tropical or subtropical depression by Monday. The storm should move to the south or southeast away from the coast. Only six known tropical or subtropical cyclones have formed in the South Atlantic. Tropical cyclones rarely form in the South Atlantic Ocean due to strong upper-level wind shear, cool water temperatures, and the lack of an initial disturbance to get things spinning (no African waves or Intertropical Convergence Zone exist in the proper locations in the South Atlantic to help spawn tropical storms).

Portlight continues relief efforts in Haiti
Portlight and the Liberty Schooner are sponsoring "The Haitian Food Voyage," shipping 10,000 pounds of rice to Haiti. Thanks to your generous donations, the mission is set to sail to Haiti during the second week of April. Please visit the Portlight.org blog to learn more and to donate to this worthy cause.


Figure 2. R.Richard Lumarque, Portlight's on-site coordinator in Haiti, assists a woman who has just received a new walker from Portlight. The woman was injured when a 3-story building collapsed on her during the January earthquake.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 360 - 310

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

You stii in Florabama Ike?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
359. IKE
Quoting msgambler:
Morning Ike, long time no see....can't beat the warmer weather. let's just hope it's here to stay


Suppose to cool back down this coming weekend...highs in the 60's...lows in the 40's.

Daylight savings time starts Sunday @ 2 am.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Morning Ike, long time no see....can't beat the warmer weather. let's just hope it's here to stay
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting severstorm:
I will take the warmer weather. I like the cold but 3 months is enought. lol I made it up to 66.7 yesterday and that was like paradise.


Same here, this is March for crying out loud not January. Suppose to get about 80 by Thursday, lets hope so!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
37 degrees this morning in Lakeland.

I declare Florida a new frozen tundra.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I will take the warmer weather. I like the cold but 3 months is enought. lol I made it up to 66.7 yesterday and that was like paradise.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
353. IKE
Quoting severstorm:
Morning Ike, Havent seen you for awhile 33.7 here in zephyrhills this fine day


Been busy.

Warmer weather is on the way. May approach 80 here later this week before a cool down.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Morning Ike, Havent seen you for awhile 33.7 here in zephyrhills this fine day
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
PAGASA: Heatwave possible due to El Niño

MANILA, Philippines - Weather bureau PAGASA on Monday warned of hotter days ahead as the summer season officially starts and the El Niño phenomenon brings an earlier dry spell to the country.

Nathaniel Cruz, PAGASA deputy administrator for operations and services, said recent temperatures recorded in Metro Manila showed that the region is slowly heating up.

Metro Manila experienced its warmest day on Saturday after temperatures hit 35.8 degrees Celsius. It also reached a record 35.5 degrees Celsius last Wednesday.

"There is a high possibility that we could experience a heatwave so we need to prepare for it. If the temperature hits 40 degrees in just one day, that is OK. But if it reaches 39 to 40 degrees and stays that way for up to 5 days, the effect is tremendous. Even if we don't reach 39 degrees but just 37 degrees in Metro Manila and it stays that way for 5 days, the effect is tremendous," Cruz said in a radio dzMM interview.

At least two people have died due to heatstroke over the weekend, an ANC report said Monday.

The first fatality was a hypertensive government employee in Tuguegarao who died because of the intense heat while the second victim was a 16-year-old in Zarraga, Iloilo who collapsed while playing basketball.

Cruz, meanwhile, said he expects temperatures in Metro Manila and the rest of the country to go higher, reaching its peak in the middle of summer from mid-April to May. He added that the hotter weather could continue until June if the rainy season is delayed.

The PAGASA official said Metro Manila normally registers higher temperatures compared to nearby provinces such as Bulacan and Pampanga since it is considered an "urban heat island" with a lot of concrete structures.

http://www.abs-cbnnews.com/nation/metro-manila/03/08/10/pagasa-heatwave-possible-due-el-ni%C3%B1o
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Heatwave keeps rescue services busy across city

Rescuers working in sweltering heat have helped at least four hikers on Table Mountain, while fire services battled a number of blazes, and lifeguards monitored packed beaches.

Three people died in a fire in Bishop Lavis at the weekend, and a fire on Sunday gutted 39 shacks in Railway Street, Woodstock, leaving about 110 people homeless.

No one was injured in the Woodstock blaze, the cause of which had not been established by late on Sunday.

The temperature soared to 38°C in the city centre and peaked at about 45°C in Vredendal on Sunday.

The heat wave is expected to continue on on Monday.
http://www.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_id=14&art_id=vn20100308041948780C360581
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
349. IKE
From Miami,FL....

"GLOBAL MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT ON INCREASING RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DURING THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THIS
FORECAST...AS ENERGY FROM THREE DISTINCT UPPER LOWS IS FORECAST
TO PHASE OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE U.S. BY MIDWEEK...LEADING
TO THE DEVELOPMENT OF A BROAD UPPER LOW ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN U.S. BY THE END OF THE WEEK. TO THE SOUTH OF
THIS DEVELOPING FEATURE...AN ACTIVE SUBTROPICAL STREAM WILL
PERSIST...WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF SUGGESTING THAT A MORE PROMINENT
MID-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE WAVE WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF ON WEDNESDAY/WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
AND ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY. IN THE WAKE
OF THIS FEATURE...THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA MAY
WEAKEN SUFFICIENTLY FOR SEA BREEZE DEVELOPMENT. IF THIS INDEED
OCCURS...DEEP-LAYER MOISTURE WILL BE SUFFICIENT TO SUPPORT THE
DEVELOPMENT OF AFTERNOON CONVECTION...WITH SHOWERS/STORMS
SPREADING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE PENINSULA. RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE FROM THURSDAY
NIGHT...THROUGH FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...AS SOUTHWESTERLY
BOUNDARY LAYER JET STRENGTHENS ADVECTING RICH TROPICAL MOISTURE
NORTHWARD FROM THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA. POINT FORECAST SOUNDINGS
SUGGEST THAT STORM POTENTIAL MAY BE LIMITED BY WEAK LAPSE RATES...

ALTHOUGH COOL MID-LEVEL TEMPERATURES MAY OFFSET THIS SOMEWHAT...
BUT THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL CERTAINLY BE
PRESENT...AS PWAT VALUES INCREASE TO ABOVE 2 INCHES FOR MOST OF
THE REGION. AT THIS TIME...EXPECT RAIN CHANCES TO END ON SATURDAY
MORNING...AS LOW-LEVEL FLOW VEERS TO WEST WITH PASSAGE OF COLD
FRONT. DRIER AND COOLER WEATHER IS EXPECTED FROM SATURDAY NIGHT
INTO SUNDAY."
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
347. IKE
Quoting Jeff9641:


We will have severe wx Thursday and Friday. So get ready because your forecast will fail again.






DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0351 AM CST MON MAR 08 2010

VALID 111200Z - 161200Z

...DISCUSSION...
WITH THE BROAD/CLOSED UPPER TROUGH LIKELY TO INITIALLY REMAIN
CENTERED OVER THE MIDWEST...SOME SEVERE THREAT COULD CONTINUE INTO
DAY 4/THURSDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST STATES/FL VICINITY.
HOWEVER...A WIDESPREAD/APPRECIABLE SEVERE THREAT IS NOT CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED AS PRE-COLD FRONTAL CONVECTION AND/OR MARGINALLY
MOIST/UNSTABLE WARM SECTOR BECOMES INCREASINGLY REMOVED FROM THE
STRONGER HEIGHT FALLS/FLOW ALOFT.
AS THE MS VALLEY CENTERED UPPER
TROUGH BECOMES MORE PROGRESSIVE AND MID/UPPER FLOW STRENGTHENS OVER
THE GULF COAST REGION/SOUTHEAST STATES ON DAY 5/FRIDAY...A SEVERE
THREAT MAY EXIST ACROSS THE FL PENINSULA. HOWEVER...LIMITED
PREDICTABILITY AT THIS JUNCTURE PRECLUDES CONSIDERATION OF 30% DAY-1
EQUIVALENT SEVERE PROBABILITIES. THEREAFTER...A POTENTIALLY DEEP
FRONTAL PENETRATION ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO IMPLIES LIMITED
PROSPECTS FOR DEEP MOIST CONVECTION THROUGH THE WEEKEND ACROSS THE
CONUS.

..GUYER.. 03/08/2010
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Special on tornadoes and Hesston tornadoe.


1990 tornadoes increased awareness of dangers
http://www.kansas.com/2010/03/07/1213543/1990-tornadoes-increased-awareness.html

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
331. AstroHurricane001

That quake is located on the eastern part of the massive Mediterranean storm that stretches from Tunisia to Romania to Iraq. Probably a coincidence, but recently there seem to possibly be more connections between earthquakes and weather.


Or it may not have been a coincidence. This is from the Lake Charles Rita log as she was making her approach... Link

8:35 PM - The U.S. Geological Survey is reporting an earthquake, magnitude 5.0, in the Gulf of Mexico, 530 miles south of Brownsville.
Is there even a fault line in that area?

I just thought the whole log was pretty cool. A play by play of a land-falling major hurricane. Especially one coming in at night where there is little visual evidence to pour over. But of course the equipment failed before she made landfall. Sigh. So she's still holding on to her secrets.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
When you get to this time of year and week forecast is warm you plant tomato’s . The season is short because of the summer heat. I got mine in last week and not worried about freeze at this point.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
343. Skyepony (Mod)
Sick has made me scarce as well..

AS far as analog years, any year in FL coming out of strong El Niño seems a little concerning about fire season.. Ya'll remember 1998 when Volusia county was evacuated? Tourists sent home, central FL was burning down.. It happened back in 1983 after El Nino too. Lots of rain & growth, freezes in the winter, extra fuel then the rains would stop. So far we have by in large missed our El Nino Feb & Mar extreme tornado weather here in ECFL, maybe we can get so lucky with the up coming fire season. ONI didn't quite make it to 2, hard to say.

As for the next big system I think we may see more severe weather mid country than in FL. My late week trough outlook for Central & SFL lies between Jeff9641 & probably closer to cchs with an outside chance of thunderstorms, damaging winds & small hail, not expecting numerous severe events..
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 225 Comments: 39385
Quoting altesticstorm10:
post 302 said so.


Actually no I must have misspelled "sheer".

"The only big difference is the shear strength of the 1998 El Nino, which is obviously unsurpassed by any other year."

Altestic, you are bringing up things that haven't even happened yet this year, so you can't demote those years as analogs if you don't even know what this summer's conditions will be like yet. The analogs are based on current conditions, such as this winter so far and the state of the ENSO.

2003 and 2004 as I mentioned earlier are not in my analog package for good reason, but 1998 is a great analog. Saying it isn't would be being too picky. Again you can't base an analog off of what hasn't happened yet. We don't know how wind shear will turn out this year.
Member Since: November 24, 2005 Posts: 635 Comments: 26700
did you guys here that Internet Explorer 6 has pass a way


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
340. JRRP
ook
ya
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6213
338. JRRP
Quoting altesticstorm10:
1998 wasn't a great analog year because shear was prevalent most of the hurricane season, as aforementioned. Though, the SST's were close to being as warm as this year's and we were coming out of the infamous 1997 El Nino.


how do you know??????
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6213
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0158
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0906 PM CST SUN MAR 07 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...E CNTRL/SE NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 080306Z - 080430Z

SHEAR ASSOCIATED WITH A STRENGTHENING SOUTHEASTERLY 850 MB JET /UP
TO 30 KT/...BENEATH 30-50 KT SOUTH SOUTHWESTERLY 500 MB FLOW...
APPEARED TO HAVE INVIGORATED STORM DEVELOPMENT EAST OF THE MOUNTAINS
EARLY THIS EVENING. THIS MAY HAVE BEEN AIDED BY MID-LEVEL
DESTABILIZATION ASSOCIATED WITH CLOUD TOP RADIATIONAL COOLING.
HOWEVER...LOWER LEVELS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO STABILIZE WITH CONTINUED
SURFACE COOLING...AND STORMS PROBABLY WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN WITHIN
THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS. LATEST OBSERVATIONAL DATA SUGGEST THAT
THIS COULD ALREADY BE UNDERWAY...BUT THE RISK FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS
WITH A DEVELOPING SURFACE COLD POOL SOUTHWEST OF CLOVIS MAY NOT YET
BE COMPLETELY NEGLIGIBLE.

..KERR.. 03/08/2010
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059
I wish I could keep up with all you 'youngsters' but I'm going to call it a night.

As I've mentioned before, I really enjoy winter and hope for snow and ice to remain at least through March. Even though we have had high temps in the mid 30's to low 40's for the last few days, we still have more than 1/2 foot of snow and our lake is still frozen over. The predicted rain is passing to our south but we are supposed to have more rain next week. I guess I'll just have to follow the Iditarod race and enjoy winter vicariously.

Member Since: November 28, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 220
Lucky escape as tree crushes car in inner-city




A 15M TREE collapsed on five cars in inner-Sydney this morning with locals saying it is ''extraordinary'' no one was killed or injured.

The tree fell near the corner of Crown and Cathedral streets in Darlinghurst about 11.20am, with the bulk of its thick branch landing on a silver Holden Barina.

The owner hasn't returned to their car yet.

Behind it was another small white car that has sustained minor damage, while three other cars parked across the street appear to have no structural damage.

The owners of the East Sydney Hotel say they have been contacting the City of Sydney Council for weeks to complain about a leak.

"Our cellar was flooded two weeks ago and since then there has been some leaking,'' hotelier Harald Muller said.

"When I saw this morning how raised the asphalt was, I thought something like this could happen.
"It is just extraordinary that no one was killed.

"(Wife) Trish and I have been worried about the tree for some time, given how top-heavy it is."

Andrew McCarroll returned to his 4WD after having coffee with his brother - only to find his car "hidden" under the tree's branches and leaves.

"It was definitely a shock to come down the street and see that,'' he said.

"From what I can see my car has no structural damage, just a lot of scratches."
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
332. JLPR
Quoting benirica:
Well 2010 keeps going from one side to the other... Had been talking about how we kept breaking high temp records and how crazy dry it has been in PR. Today it is the opposite, second coldest high temp (74, it's cold for us) and rainiest beginning March so far.
Go figure, no?
It really has been cold here for us today, by our standards. At 5pm at my home it was 68, usually it is about 82... Now it's about 64 which for the coast is very damn cold.


yep we are in the same boat XD
a little crappy thermometer my dad has read 68 at 3-4pm here in Carolina and I was like seriously? O_o 68? at 3pm? XD thats crazy here
Well but thats just the cold front, once it passes we will probably warm up quickly :D
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting StormW:


I haven't really been following it...I'll see what I can find tomorrow. I'm gettin' ready to sign off...still battling this sinus infection.


Seems to be a flu going around here too.

Quoting Chicklit:
Evening, Wunderfolk.
Anybody know what's stretching the blog?

Anyway, it was a few degrees warmer here in ECFla today. Off to read for a bit.
Have a good evening!LoopEATL


So, we've got a massive bout of moisture in the Central Atlantic, headed for Western Europe and the Mediterranean region. Has me thinking what the tracks for the hurricane season will be like. At my location in S. Ontario, it was our first day above 10C (50F) although there's still about 20 cm of snow in the higher spots.

Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
6 or greater mid eastern region up dated to a 5.9


That quake is located on the eastern part of the massive Mediterranean storm that stretches from Tunisia to Romania to Iraq. Probably a coincidence, but recently there seem to possibly be more connections between earthquakes and weather.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Well 2010 keeps going from one side to the other... Had been talking about how we kept breaking high temp records and how crazy dry it has been in PR. Today it is the opposite, second coldest high temp (74, it's cold for us) and rainiest beginning March so far.
Go figure, no?
It really has been cold here for us today, by our standards. At 5pm at my home it was 68, usually it is about 82... Now it's about 64 which for the coast is very damn cold.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
328. JRRP
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 6213
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:


Magnitude 5.9 - EASTERN TURKEY
2010 March 08 02:32:35 UTC
DetailsMapsEarthquake Details
Magnitude 5.9
Date-Time Monday, March 08, 2010 at 02:32:35 UTC
Monday, March 08, 2010 at 04:32:35 AM at epicenter

Location 38.886�N, 39.974�E
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region EASTERN TURKEY
Distances 44 km (27 miles) W (271�) from Bingol, Turkey
68 km (42 miles) ENE (70�) from Elazig, Turkey
103 km (64 miles) SSE (156�) from Erzincan, Turkey
414 km (257 miles) WSW (251�) from YEREVAN, Armenia

Location Uncertainty horizontal /- 6.3 km (3.9 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=187, Nph=187, Dmin=433.8 km, Rmss=1.06 sec, Gp= 40�,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
Source U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver

Event ID us2010tpac

Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Magnitude 5.9 - EASTERN TURKEY
2010 March 08 02:32:35 UTC
DetailsMapsEarthquake Details
Magnitude 5.9
Date-Time Monday, March 08, 2010 at 02:32:35 UTC
Monday, March 08, 2010 at 04:32:35 AM at epicenter

Location 38.886N, 39.974E
Depth 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
Region EASTERN TURKEY
Distances 44 km (27 miles) W (271) from Bingol, Turkey
68 km (42 miles) ENE (70) from Elazig, Turkey
103 km (64 miles) SSE (156) from Erzincan, Turkey
414 km (257 miles) WSW (251) from YEREVAN, Armenia

Location Uncertainty horizontal /- 6.3 km (3.9 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST=187, Nph=187, Dmin=433.8 km, Rmss=1.06 sec, Gp= 40,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
Source U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center:
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver

Event ID us2010tpac
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059
Magnitude 5.9 - EASTERN TURKEY
2010 March 08 02:32:42 UTC
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059


different angle
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059
6 or greater mid eastern region up dated to a 5.9
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059
Quoting Chicklit:
Evening, Wunderfolk.
Anybody know what's stretching the blog?

Had no idea it was. Using an older version of internet explorer?
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
Evening, Wunderfolk.
Anybody know what's stretching the blog?

Anyway, it was a few degrees warmer here in ECFla today. Off to read for a bit.
Have a good evening!LoopEATL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:
Storm damage likely to be in the millions

The RACV is predicting the weekend's storms will result in the most claims ever made from one event in Victoria.

The company has put on extra staff and is asking people to be patient while it processes customer claims.

One customer waited until 4:00am to get through on the congested phone lines which are operating around the clock.

RACV claims manager John Simpson says he is expecting thousands of claims to be lodged.

"If you put that into context, the biggest ones in the past have had in excess of 10,000 claims. We think we'll exceed that," he said.

The massive clean-up is in full swing.

The wild weather damaged buildings and cars and flooded streets in Melbourne on Saturday.

There is roof damage at Southern Cross station and Docklands stadium, and flooding closing the National Gallery of Victoria at the height of Melbourne's violent storm on Saturday.

Yesterday, Shepparton and Numurkah in the state's north-east were the hardest hit, with one school badly damaged and trees uprooted.

The Melbourne to Sydney rail line has been closed because of flood damage at Mangalore.

The State Emergency Service (SES) has received more than 5,600 calls for help and says it may take another few days to respond to everyone.

SES spokesman Danny May says they are expecting more calls this afternoon as people return home from the long weekend.

He says more than 1,000 volunteers are working in the field, including some from interstate.

"I expect our crews to be working for the next two to three days," he said.

"We'll have a better understanding later today, with the extra crews in the field, just how many calls for assistance can be completed."

Weather bureau senior forecaster Scott Williams says there is a possibility of some thunderstorms this afternoon.

"We will get showery weather and cool weather in the wake of the low going southwards tomorrow and quite blustery southerly winds," he said.

"Then the large high will slowly move in and fine conditions up later in the week."

- ABC


______________________________________________________________________________________________
Remember the very large LPA(Low Pressure Area) image i posted a week back, That LPA and a new one joined up to become a super LPA which brought warm tropical air and cold antarctic air together which then produced the very dangerous and damaging severe thunderstorm that hit most parts of Melbourne on Saturday.
welcome to fall with winter on the way
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 178 Comments: 56059
Not quite slight risk tomorrow for the southern plains. A lack of instability (read: CAPE) holding it back. Watch for daytime heating-driven possibilities, though.

Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463
Quoting cg2916:
A hurricane the size of Earth. Wow.

Not really a hurricane or even a low pressure center it's a high that formed between opposing jet streams, still counts as weather though, and it is very interesting to watch
Member Since: March 29, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2377
Sorry This was an old post my Bad....

:0)

Taco :0)
Member Since: July 7, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 3261
Storm damage likely to be in the millions

The RACV is predicting the weekend's storms will result in the most claims ever made from one event in Victoria.

The company has put on extra staff and is asking people to be patient while it processes customer claims.

One customer waited until 4:00am to get through on the congested phone lines which are operating around the clock.

RACV claims manager John Simpson says he is expecting thousands of claims to be lodged.

"If you put that into context, the biggest ones in the past have had in excess of 10,000 claims. We think we'll exceed that," he said.

The massive clean-up is in full swing.

The wild weather damaged buildings and cars and flooded streets in Melbourne on Saturday.

There is roof damage at Southern Cross station and Docklands stadium, and flooding closing the National Gallery of Victoria at the height of Melbourne's violent storm on Saturday.

Yesterday, Shepparton and Numurkah in the state's north-east were the hardest hit, with one school badly damaged and trees uprooted.

The Melbourne to Sydney rail line has been closed because of flood damage at Mangalore.

The State Emergency Service (SES) has received more than 5,600 calls for help and says it may take another few days to respond to everyone.

SES spokesman Danny May says they are expecting more calls this afternoon as people return home from the long weekend.

He says more than 1,000 volunteers are working in the field, including some from interstate.

"I expect our crews to be working for the next two to three days," he said.

"We'll have a better understanding later today, with the extra crews in the field, just how many calls for assistance can be completed."

Weather bureau senior forecaster Scott Williams says there is a possibility of some thunderstorms this afternoon.

"We will get showery weather and cool weather in the wake of the low going southwards tomorrow and quite blustery southerly winds," he said.

"Then the large high will slowly move in and fine conditions up later in the week."

- ABC


______________________________________________________________________________________________
Remember the very large LPA(Low Pressure Area) image i posted a week back, That LPA and a new one joined up to become a super LPA which brought warm tropical air and cold antarctic air together which then produced the very dangerous and damaging severe thunderstorm that hit most parts of Melbourne on Saturday.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Ossqss:
I just helped my young one finish up a project on the GRS. Talk about bad weather... That's one big spinner...and kinda weather related...and slow, so I thought it OK to share.. LoL



Perspective of size :)



I'll leave Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 (or was it Levi) on the shelf (ª¿ª)
A hurricane the size of Earth. Wow.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I just helped my young one finish up a project on the GRS. Talk about bad weather... That's one big spinner...and kinda weather related...and slow, so I thought it OK to share.. LoL



Perspective of size :)



I'll leave Comet Shoemaker-Levy 9 (or was it Levi) on the shelf (ª¿ª)
Member Since: June 12, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8188
Quoting atmoaggie:
304: Maybe it is the result of a penchant for data analysis. A certain aptitude, maybe.

But, I, personally, never come in here bashing the NHC.

You, apparently have been having a series of bad days. Maybe you should chew out your refrigerator, or something, instead of bringing it in here. Though, relatively benign, post flagged for lack of civility. Rule of the Road, numero uno.
Typical of your post.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
304: Maybe it is the result of a penchant for data analysis. A certain aptitude, maybe.

But, I, personally, never come in here bashing the NHC.

You, apparently have been having a series of bad days. Maybe you should chew out your refrigerator, or something, instead of bringing it in here. Though, relatively benign, post flagged for lack of civility. Rule of the Road, numero uno.
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463

Viewing: 360 - 310

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
30 °F
Overcast

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Lake Effort Snow Shower Over Windsor, Ontario
Sunset on Dunham Lake
Pictured Rocks Sunset
Sunset on Lake Huron