Russia's Pole of Cold hits -70°F: Europe's 2nd coldest reading of all-time

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:48 PM GMT on February 22, 2010

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The notorious Russian winter, bane of the armies of Napoleon and Hitler, has been in classic form during the winter of 2010 . Brutal cold has been the rule this winter in the European portion of Russia, and at 9am local time on Friday, February 19, the town of Hoseda-Hard, Russia hit a remarkable -70°F (-56.4°C)--the second coldest temperature ever measured in Europe. Hoseda-Hard is located in extreme northeastern Europe, 90 miles (145 km) south of the Arctic Ocean and about 150 miles (240 km) west of the Ural Mountains and the boundary of Asia. The town lies in a shallow river valley (elevation 84 meters) where cold air tends to pool. The surrounding region is known as Europe's "Pole of Cold". The coldest temperature ever recorded in Europe was an extraordinary -72.6°F (-58.1°C) in the Pole of Cold's Ust'Schugor (64.15°N 57.45°) on December 31, 1978. The nearby city of Pechora, the largest city in the region (population: 50,000), is also well-known for its extreme temperatures. Pechora boasts Europe's third coldest temperature, a -68.8°F (-56.0°C) reading observed on February 9, 1946. It is likely that Hoseda-Hard got a degree or two colder than the remarkable -70°F measured on Friday, since the station only reported temperatures once every three hours. The high temperature Friday in Hoseda-Hard was a not-so-balmy -49°F (-45°C)!


Figure 1. Departure of surface temperature from average for February 19, 2010. Temperatures at Europe's "Pole of Cold" (dark purple colors) were more than 40°F (22°C) below average. The white dot marks the location of Hoseda-Hard, Russia, which recorded a remarkable -70°F (-56.4°C) at 9am local time that day--the second coldest temperature ever measured in Europe. Image credit: NOAA/ESRL.


Figure 2. A monument in Europe's "Pole of Cold" near Hoseda-Hard, Russia, marking the location of the Arctic Circle. Image credit: Mactak.

Exceptional February heat in Africa
I credit weather historian and extreme weather expert Chris Burt, author of Extreme Weather, for pointing out the incredible cold in Russia on Friday. Chris also noted that on Saturday, February 20, the temperature in Birni-N'Konni, Niger hit 112°F (44.3°C). This is just 3°F (1.7°C) below the warmest temperature ever recorded in the Northern Hemisphere in February--the 115°F reading from Abeche, Chad (date unknown).

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Jeff Masters

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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
I received a credit on the previous bill, which brought it down to $56. No credits on this bill.


Isn't it dangerous to walk around in a house with 2 watt bulbs?????
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Quoting IKE:
WINTER SEASON JUST DOESN/T SEEM TO WANT TO GO AWAY."


On the front page of the Pensacola News Journal (issue date: March 3, 1983) a dogger clad CycloneOz was pictured laying out on a dock at Bayview Park, getting the first sun tan of the season.

March 3rd - 8 days away...and a winter storm is going to be digging into the Gulf Coast.

May I just say right here and now that GW is BS!
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653. unf97
Ike, the models have been intializing this GOM Low for the last several days actually dating back to last Friday. They seem to be in basic agreement that this system could spin up to be a very potent system. I am inclined to think that this system could be stronger than the February 11-12 Deep South storm system. The dynamics certainly look impressive looking at the model runs of GFS and ECMWF, and the upper level shortwave depicted in the runs next week swinging in from the Southwest looks as impressive as I have seen in this El Nino pattern.
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651. IKE
From the afternoon Super Bowl champs discussion....

"LONG TERM...
ONCE TODAY/S SYSTEM PULLS THROUGH...THE AREA WILL REMAIN UNDER NWRLY
FLOW WHICH WILL KEEPS TEMPS BELOW NORMAL. ONE CONCERN IS LOWS WED
NIGHT. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AND THE SURFACE RIDGE MOVING IN
QUICKLY WILL SET UP FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING. COULD END UP WITH
MID 20S IN SWRN MS AND UPPER 20S ALONG THE I-12 CORRIDOR. A FAST
MOVING SHORT WAVE IS PROGGED TO SWING THROUGH THE AREA LATE THIS
WEEK. STILL HAVE SOME DISCONTINUITY ON TIMING AND SFC LOW LOCATION
RESULTING IN A LOWER THAN NORMAL FORECAST CONFIDENCE. AT THIS
TIME...PRECIP AMOUNTS LOOK TO BE LESS THAN HALF AN INCH. TO BE
HONEST...THE BIGGER CONCERN COMES IN EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODELS SUGGEST
A FAIRLY DEEP UPPER TROUGH DIGGING TO THE GULF SOUTH WITH A SURFACE
LOW DEVELOPING AND TRACKING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO. IF
THIS SCENARIO WERE TO ACTUALLY PLAY OUT...THE GULF SOUTH WILL BE
LOOKING AT YET ANOTHER WINTER WEATHER EVENT.

WINTER SEASON JUST DOESN/T SEEM TO WANT TO GO AWAY."

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Quoting CycloneOz:


You know how I'm sure they're finished out there? The carts! They're using carts to move their wounded and the supplies. The carts came to me in my dream. I couldn't figure it out. Then I remembered. . .

. . .that nightmare in the snow. The agonizing retreat from Moscow. How cold it was. They threw the wounded and what was left of the supplies in the carts. Napoleon was finished. Not any color left.

Not even the red of blood.
Only the snow.


For over a thousand years, Roman conquerors returning from the wars enjoyed the honor of a triumph - a tumultuous parade. In the procession came trumpeters and musicians and strange animals from the conquered territories, together with carts laden with treasure and captured armaments. The conqueror rode in a triumphal chariot, the dazed prisoners walking in chains before him. Sometimes his children, robed in white, stood with him in the chariot, or rode the trace horses. A slave stood behind the conqueror, holding a golden crown, and whispering in his ear a warning: that all glory is fleeting.
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649. unf97
Quoting weatherbro:


...and after that prepare for some really cold early March numbers!


Most definitely. Temperatures will probably average as much as 15-20 degrees below normal for many areas in the Deep South in the wake of the big GOM system next week.

Definitely a very cold pattern for early March, but hopefully, it shouldn't be as brutally cold as the January arctic outbreak we experienced. The airmass will hopefully moderate very quickly with solar insolation lasting longer of course as we get late in the winter season.
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I received a credit on the previous bill, which brought it down to $56. No credits on this bill.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11158
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Just received my FPL electric bill...$86...Keep those cold fronts coming thru!!!


Check it, though. I thought the same thing, but I had a $120 (iirc) credit because they were rebating based on having used less fuel and lower fuel costs than anticipated.
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646. IKE
From the afternoon Birmingham,AL. discussion about the system early next week....

"AND THEN THERE`S THE *NEXT* SYSTEM...YET ANOTHER UPPER SHORTWAVE AND
ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW TREKKING ALONG THE GULF COAST. THIS ONE STILL
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE THE BIGGEST PRECIP PRODUCER OF THE 3 SYSTEMS
IN THE 7 DAY FORECAST. WE WILL NEED TO KEEP WATCHING TEMPERATURE
TRENDS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE...AS MORE WINTER WEATHER IS A
POSSIBILITY."

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Quoting PcolaDan:
Russian capital Moscow covered by record 63cm snowfall


You know how I'm sure they're finished out there? The carts! They're using carts to move their wounded and the supplies. The carts came to me in my dream. I couldn't figure it out. Then I remembered. . .

. . .that nightmare in the snow. The agonizing retreat from Moscow. How cold it was. They threw the wounded and what was left of the supplies in the carts. Napoleon was finished. Not any color left.

Not even the red of blood.
Only the snow.
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644. unf97
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
250 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2010


LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)...
THE LATEST RUNS OF THE GLOBAL MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH
THE LARGE SCALE WEATHER PATTERN. THIS PATTERN IS A CONTINUATION OF
WHAT WE HAVE SEEN IN THE DEEP SOUTH FOR QUITE SOME TIME
NOW...FREQUENT GULF LOWS AND ARCTIC INTRUSIONS. AFTER A FAIR AND
COLD PERIOD THU NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THE NEXT GULF LOW WILL PROPAGATE
QUICKLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF FRI NIGHT AND SAT...BRINGING A
CHANCE OF PRECIP TO OUR AREA. THE LATEST MODEL SOLUTIONS ILLUSTRATE
WHY I DO NOT TYPICALLY LIKE TO FORECAST SNOW FOR OUR AREA BEYOND 72
HOURS...AS SMALL DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THESE
GULF LOWS MAKE BIG DIFFERENCES IN THE PRECIP TYPE. THE GFS IS NOW A
BIT STRONGER AND FARTHER NORTH WITH ITS LOW...WHICH WOULD PUSH THE
RAIN-SNOW LINE JUST NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. THE ECMWF AND GEM
HAVE A MORE SOUTHERN TRACK...BRINGING IN TO QUESTION WHETHER THERE
WILL BE ANY PRECIP HERE OR NOT. AFTER COORDINATING WITH OUR
SURROUNDING OFFICES...WE WILL FORECAST A POP OF 30 PERCENT WITH THE
PRECIP TYPE BEING A COLD RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN BELOW
AVERAGE THROUGH MON...WHEN THE NEXT GULF LOW BEGINS TO DEVELOP IN
THE WESTERN GULF. ALL THE GUIDANCE SHOW THIS WILL BE A STRONG LOW
WITH A LOT OF PRECIP AND GUSTY WINDS AS IT WINDS UP ON ITS TREK
ACROSS THE GULF. THE GFS AND ECMWF PARTIAL THICKNESSES APPEAR
MARGINALLY COLD ENOUGH FOR A RAIN-SNOW MIX...BUT THEIR WETBULB ZERO
HEIGHTS LOOK TO BE TOO HIGH WHICH WOULD SUGGEST THAT THE SNOW WOULD
MELT BEFORE REACHING THE GROUND. BECAUSE BOTH OF THESE SITUATIONS
ARE CLOSE CALLS ON THE PRECIP TYPE...AND BECAUSE SUBTLE CHANGES CAN
DRAMATICALLY AFFECT THIS FORECAST...WE WILL HAVE TO CLOSELY MONITOR
FUTURE MODEL TRENDS.

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My area(in an Orlando suburb)

Conditions: Mostly Sunny

Temp: 77F

Humidity: 28%

Dewpoint: 40F

picture perfect day.
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If you’re currently in Lagos and reading this, then you belong to one of two groups of people. The people who are trapped beneath the sweltering heat of Lagos or those who are sitting in air conditioned rooms who simply refuse to go outside. I don’t blame the latter. I’ve been outside, got my sunburns and I totally agree.

Lagos is hot

I don’t mean the soft basking warmth of the sun like you would expect to encounter in the Caribbean. This is heat as the sun originally intended it to be: Pure unadulterated warmth. The kind of heat that encourages people to volunteer overtime in their air conditioned office. The kind of heat that forces people who sell “pure water” to break their rules and drink-up all their water. The kind of heat that forces a journalist to wake up at 2 in the morning; grab his laptop and type this article whilst sitting in front of his open fridge.

That kind of heat.

Lagos seems to be melting and it’s hard to place why.

The problem with the current heat wave is that I do not recall Lagos being so warm. People tell me it was this hot last year. I do not agree. If I had experienced this amount of heat last year I would either have moved out of Lagos by now or left my house and moved into a tent. Yes I agree that seasons being what they are; there will always be a change in climate conditions. Lagos is supposed to have two seasons, the wet and dry season. There is nothing particularly wet about this season and as far as dry goes, if the heat keeps this up, I foresee a large pile of sand where Oshodi used to be.

In many ways, it is possible that we might have had a hand in turning the notch up. No one has exactly blamed global warming for our problems but unless Lagos is sitting on top of a suddenly active volcano, I can’t think of any other explanation.
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Quoting unf97:


I am really watching carefully how the models are handling next week's big GOM storm system. The ECMWF runs you displayed here keeps this potent system suppressed to the South traveling across the GOM and over Florida peninusula. The GFS is similar, but a little father north. This system potentially could be similar to the February 11-12 event over the Deep South, but possibly stronger. Still lots of time to see how the models handle this system in the coming days, but definitely a potential big weather maker early next week for sure.


...and after that prepare for some really cold early March numbers!
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Just received my FPL electric bill...$86...Keep those cold fronts coming thru!!!


Hey, with all the money you are saving on the electric means you can probably make some long distance phone calls!!!!!!
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637. unf97
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
300 PM CST TUE FEB 23 2010



.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)....THE SOUTHERN STREAM REMAINS
ACTIVE DURING THE EXTENDED WITH TWO SYSTEMS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA. THE FIRST SYSTEM IS EXPECTED FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THE GLOBAL MODELS NO LONGER AGREE ON THE TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM AS
THE GFS IS NOW FAST AND FARTHER TO THE NORTH WITH THE SFC LOW.
ANOTHER...PERHAPS STRONGER SYSTEM IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION EARLY NEXT WEEK. BOTH SYSTEMS HAVE THE POTENTIAL BRING SOME
HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL GULF COAST. PARTIAL
THICKNESS VALUES ALSO INDICATE MIXED PRECIP IS POSSIBLE WITH BOTH
SYSTEMS ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN SECTIONS OF THE AREA. THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE SFC LOW WILL ULTIMATELY DETERMINE JUST WHERE THE
RAIN/SNOW LINE WILL BE AND WILL HAVE TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED IN
LATER FORECASTS.
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Quoting atmoaggie:

That works.

Though, the last report from KCLL is Moderate Snow (and only Moderate Snow)...could be that very rare, only-snow event.

Indeed it is!
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Russian capital Moscow covered by record 63cm snowfall
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
Quoting Bordonaro:
T Dude! NYC and SE NY State are gonna get beat up BAD! Their Area Forecast Discussion from earlier today stated that they're are expecting a wet, heavy snow event. NCEP/HPC indicates 8"+ is possible in the NYC Metro.


Hey Bord, I am flying back to FL tomorrow through PHL. What does it look like. (If I have to rely on you for all the forecasting for my travel, I may have to put you on the payroll.)
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633. IKE
Quoting unf97:


I am really watching carefully how the models are handling next week's big GOM storm system. The ECMWF runs you displayed here keeps this potent system suppressed to the South traveling across the GOM and over Florida peninusula. The GFS is similar, but a little father north. This system potentially could be similar to the February 11-12 event over the Deep South, but possibly stronger. Still lots of time to see how the models handle this system in the coming days, but definitely a potential big weather maker early next week for sure.


Day 7 from the HPC....

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632. unf97
Bordonaro, has the snow begun to accumulate at your Arlington, TX location? I remember on a post you had awhile ago today that you were only expecting a dusting at best.
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Quoting Bordonaro:
T Dude! NYC and SE NY State are gonna get beat up BAD! Their Area Forecast Discussion from earlier today stated that they're are expecting a wet, heavy snow event. NCEP/HPC indicates 8"+ is possible in the NYC Metro.


They can have it!!

haha I'm ready for spring!
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T Dude! NYC and SE NY State are gonna get beat up BAD! Their Area Forecast Discussion from earlier today stated that they're are expecting a wet, heavy snow event. NCEP/HPC indicates 8"+ is possible in the NYC Metro.
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627. unf97
Quoting IKE:
Huge GOM storm on the 12Z ECMWF.




6-10 day temps....




6-10 day precip....



I am really watching carefully how the models are handling next week's big GOM storm system. The ECMWF runs you displayed here keeps this potent system suppressed to the South traveling across the GOM and over Florida peninusula. The GFS is similar, but a little father north. This system potentially could be similar to the February 11-12 event over the Deep South, but possibly stronger. Still lots of time to see how the models handle this system in the coming days, but definitely a potential big weather maker early next week for sure.
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603. I understand your point. I would offer that those articles you provided also contain many mights and maybe items, along with use of models and lab extrapolation. It is theory for the most part as it stands today. :)

Consider one of the comments --

"As there is still ice to melt in the Arctic, this region of undersaturation will continue to grow, I think," said McLaughlin. "It's hard to even say this, but once the permanent icepack melts in summer, that will stop the input of meltwater."

That is just an incorrect assumption.

Just my take, time will provide the truth with respect to our knowledge of the dynamic integrated systems at play. We have only just begun to understand them :)
Member Since: June 12, 2005 Posts: 6 Comments: 8186
Wanna trade? Mine last month was $332!
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624. Skyepony (Mod)
The Shaun & Tim weather show is on..
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Just received my FPL electric bill...$86...Keep those cold fronts coming thru!!!
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11158
622. Skyepony (Mod)
Floridafisherman~ east central FL has several types neither are allowed to take right now(some are due in part to the recent cold). But yeah the commercial guy fishing for the population has really over fished in the recent past. NOAA put in some new regulations since many of them fished themselves out of the business leaving the recreational hungry too. It worked in some other areas. Hope it works here.
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Quoting HurricaneHunterGal:

I have an iPhone as well but I have not been able to figure out how to see comments either.


Very frustrating. I have emailed admin regarding this challenge. Hopefully they will address it before June 1.
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620. Skyepony (Mod)
Accidentally clicked on QuikSCAT page earlier. I noticed they put in a link to Dr Masters' Quikscat funeral blog.

I'm almost jealous of the southern snow.. probably will be when it gets cold here. 73.6ºF at the moment.
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Quoting Skyepony:
Oss~ That is about the cheerest, rosiest outlook for our oceans I've seen. Not only is it filled with a bunch of mights & maybes it leaves out the past like.. When the oceans became acidified in a similar way about 55m years ago, it resulted in a mass extinction of deep-sea marine organisms, especially those living in the sediments of the sea floor, which can be studied geologically through changes to rock formations. There is also a few recently published that show we are acidifying the oceans faster than 55 million yrs ago & things may not be so rosy after all for the phytoplankton & last but not least turns a blind eye to the surprise that melt water has changed ocean chemistry in ways already that some creatures can't calcify due to lack of calcium carbonate.

I've got fishermen for uncles.. the industry has been hurt really bad in spots from over fishing alone. I don't understand the playing roulette with the rest this article suggests is just fine, considering the population it is needed to support.


as one who fishes, i would have to say that most overfishing problems are from commercial fishermen, not the recreational type. as seen here in florida, the recreational guys get hit with tighter restrictions but the commercial fisherman are allowed even greater quotas.
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Quoting iluvjess:
I am ver well aware of the fact that the comments section can be accessed on the internet. I was asking about the app. Thanks though.

I have an iPhone as well but I have not been able to figure out how to see comments either.
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Come to chat, we have 10 people on.
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616. Skyepony (Mod)
Statement From Dr. Jane Lubchenco on the Death of Sam D. Hamilton, Director of the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service

February 22, 2010

I was deeply saddened to learn of Sam Hamilton’s untimely death this weekend. Sam was a wonderful colleague for whom we at NOAA had deep admiration. The NOAA family shares in this great loss to the conservation community, and we extend our sincere condolences to Sam’s family and to all of our colleagues at the Department of the Interior.

Sam was, above all, a true champion of wildlife conservation. Those of us who worked with Sam on restoration efforts in the Florida Everglades and the Gulf of Mexico greatly appreciated his passion, integrity, knowledge and devotion to conservation issues and to people. His unique ability to work across agencies and with diverse stakeholders to craft meaningful solutions to challenging problems was legendary. It will surely be a part of his legacy and a model for all of us.

It can be said that Sam enriched all of our lives and made our nation stronger. We will miss him dearly.

Dr. Jane Lubchenco
Under Secretary of Commerce for Oceans and Atmosphere and NOAA Administrator
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I am ver well aware of the fact that the comments section can be accessed on the internet. I was asking about the app. Thanks though.
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Quoting Bordonaro:


Yes, correction, light snow, fog and mist is called... LIGHT SNOGIST...

That works.

Though, the last report from KCLL is Moderate Snow (and only Moderate Snow)...could be that very rare, only-snow event.
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308. TampaSpin 3:38 AM GMT on February 23, 2010
YOu all gotta hear this.....I was talking to a lawyer that was in court for a client and two Spanish desent guys was fined $250 plus court cost wish is another $250 each.

They was arrested for picking up Snook out of season along a bank that washed up ashore dying because of the extreme cold weather. The fish was almost dead and was out of the water completely. You gotta be kidding me to arrest someone for that. He said he sat there and heard the story and his mouth just flew open!
---------
to tampaspin: so you are justifing the fact that the 2 took snook out of season? they got fined because they broke the law.

btw, the fish in my profile pic is a snook. it was caught LEGALLY during the season and met all size and bag limits.

to everyone else: sorry for going offtopic with this reply. i was looking through posts and saw one that mentioned fishing, so i just had to reply.
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612. Skyepony (Mod)
Oss~ randomly read the resources on that opinion piece... A mix of gloom & doom Ocean acidification papers & climate change denier books. Yes interesting indeed.
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Quoting iluvjess:
Anybody know how to get to these comments via the iphone app?

On boysenberry, going to the regular page on the default browser works fine, just don't refresh after posting...(always leads to multiple postings from everyone that uses a mobile device)
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Quoting cg2916:
A lot going on.


Yes, correction, light snow, fog and mist is called... LIGHT SNOGIST...
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Quoting cg2916:
Try Safari.


I realize they can be accessed through the internet. I was refering to the app.
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Quoting Bordonaro:


Let's see light snow, mist and fog??? HMMM??

SNOGIST=snow, fog and mist!!
A lot going on.
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Quoting iluvjess:
Anybody know how to get to these comments via the iphone app?
Try Safari.
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Hey, people.
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Quoting 1900hurricane:

Out playing in alot of snow!!! Fluffy snow!!!


Let's see light snow, mist and fog??? HMMM??

SNOGIST=snow, fog and mist!!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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