Interesting hybrid low set to drench Spain's Canary Islands

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:04 PM GMT on February 01, 2010

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An interesting 1002 mb low pressure system with some characteristics of a tropical storm has developed off the coast of Africa, a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Canary Islands. An ASCAT pass from last night revealed top winds of 40 mph near the center, so the low is probably near tropical storm strength. This low is moving east-northeast towards the Canaries, and will likely bring sustained winds of 30 - 35 mph, gusting to 50 mph, to the islands tonight. The storm formed over the weekend from an isolated cold-cored low that was wandering over the Atlantic, and phase space analyses from Florida State University revealed that the low developed a partial warm core over the weekend. A respectable amount of heavy thunderstorm activity has built near the storm's center, characteristic of a tropical storm. The low is over cool 21 - 22°C water, far colder than the typical 26°C needed for a tropical storm to form. These SSTs are about 1 - 2°C warmer than usual for this time of year. Wind shear is marginal for tropical storm formation, about 20 knots. The comma-shaped structure of the storm's spiral bands is characteristic of an extratropical cyclone, and it is pretty unlikely that NHC will view this hybrid storm as being sufficiently tropical to warrant naming it a subtropical depression or subtropical storm. The low is headed towards colder waters of 20°C that lie near the Canary Islands, and the system should become less tropical today.


Figure 1. Hybrid 1002 mb low approaches the Canary Islands, in this visible METEOSAT image from 7am EST 2/1/10.

You can use our wundermap for the Canary Islands to watch the storm roll through the islands. There are two web cams to watch (currently showing thick clouds) that might be interesting. EUMETSAT satellite images loops will also be interesting.

Next post
My next post will be Tuesday (Groundhog's Day), when I plan to discuss Punxsutawney Phil's forecast for the rest of winter. I'll throw in my two cents worth, too.

Jeff Masters

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wow; last time the blog was this slow, and off topic, i made some off remark about lacking entertainment... unfortunately that was 2hrs before Haiti got pummeled.
i shall be content today, though i wouldn't mind some more weather posts :D
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I AM NOT ENTERED IN THE MAIN EVENT on JULY 5TH!

I'm in Tournament #24. June 12th - 15th.
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If you want to know some more zbout this low, in Cazatormentas.Net we have been following it progresses since two days ago. If you wish, you can take a look :)

thanks a lot !
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Quoting StormChaser81:


Your new Name is Mr. Baller.

Dam man I wish I could through down that much with a liitle chance in return.

No hidden Ace's n your sleeves, you might find the back door.


Actually, not really "such a little chance."

I like my odds.

I've been playing for many years and have won many "local" tournaments here in New Mexico.

What got it all started was over the Christmas break. My wife watched me play and win a big tournament.

She told me that it was time for me to "go-live" at the WSOP instead of watching it on ESPN.

I agreed.

Elvis will remarry us :)
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Quoting StormChaser81:


Usually $10,000.


Unless you play tons of free games and win a spot. But he said he got a cashier check, SO that means $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$4$$$$$
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Quoting StormChaser81:


Usually $10,000.


$10,000 No-Limit Hold'em Main Event - July 5th
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84. MTWX
afternoon all.. 49 and sunny here in NE Miss.
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Quoting iluvjess:


How much was the entry fee?


$1,000 No-Limit Hold'em

Will be staying with my wife on the strip.
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Quoting StormChaser81:


Usually $10,000.


whoa
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8357
Quoting iluvjess:


How much was the entry fee?


Usually $10,000.
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Quoting CycloneOz:
Speaking of betting...

I just signed up for the WSOP (via mail / cashier's check) for the June 12th tournament.

So, how good am I at poker. Good enough to finally go to the WSOP! :)

June 12 - 15 NO HURRICANES! GO EL NINO!! GO!


How much was the entry fee?
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Quoting CycloneOz:
Speaking of betting...

I just signed up for the WSOP (via mail / cashier's check) for the June 12th tournament.

So, how good am I at poker. Good enough to finally go to the WSOP! :)

June 12 - 15 NO HURRICANES! GO EL NINO!! GO!


Your new Name is Mr. Baller.

Dam man I wish I could through down that much with a liitle chance in return.

No hidden Ace's n your sleeves, you might find the back door.
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...for the Pressman...

10% of my winnings after subtracting my buy-in and expenses will go to Portlight.org

So...I hope I cash!
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Speaking of betting...

I just signed up for the WSOP (via mail / cashier's check) for the June 12th tournament.

So, how good am I at poker. Good enough to finally go to the WSOP! :)

June 12 - 15 NO HURRICANES! GO EL NINO!! GO!
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Quoting WaterWitch11:


just trying to make it light hearted, guess i missed!


oops lol my bad :P

how ya doing?
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Quoting Patrap:


Saints been my team since 67,,when I was was 7,43 years ago.

My blog entry is clearly Biased.

I dont quantify my commitment to portlight with any dollar amount...nor can I wager,due to that commitment.


Who Dat Nation is descending on Miami as we blog.









oh alright, drgodowncountry even is rooting for the Saints!
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8357
Quoting tornadodude:


It isnt betting, you just put down who you want to win, and if they lose then you donate $10 to Portlight

But yeah, the Saints are currently 5.5 point underdogs


just trying to make it light hearted, guess i missed!
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Quoting tornadodude:
So Pat, you gonna put the Saints as your team on my page? :P


Saints been my team since 67,,when I was was 7,43 years ago.

My blog entry is clearly Biased.

I dont quantify my commitment to portlight with any dollar amount...nor can I wager,due to that commitment.


Who Dat Nation is descending on Miami as we blog.







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Quoting WaterWitch11:


the point spread is 5 for the saints i believe. are you honoring that?


It isnt betting, you just put down who you want to win, and if they lose then you donate $10 to Portlight

But yeah, the Saints are currently 5.5 point underdogs
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8357
Quoting tornadodude:
So Pat, you gonna put the Saints as your team on my page? :P


the point spread is 5 for the saints i believe. are you honoring that?
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Heavy rain in Miami Today..

Current forecast
Issued by the National Weather Service at 2:31 PM EST on February 1, 2010
An area of moderate to heavy showers...extending from the over the Atlantic waters and East Coast into central Miami Dade County...will move northeast at 10 mph. Locally heavy rain...up to an inch an hour...will affect most communties along the coast and into northern and central Miami Dade County. Local flooding of low lying and flood prone areas will occur with some possible Road closures. In the Gulf and Atlantic waters,,,mariners can expect higher winds and seas in the areas of precipitation. Motorists are urged to exercise caution while driving.
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Quoting Patrap:
MODIS Near-Real-Time Level-2 Browse

awesome link, thanks!! i check out the MODIS image of the day, but didn't know about that feature..
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**POOF!**
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So Pat, you gonna put the Saints as your team on my page? :P
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8357
Way Down Under,Terra
2010/032
02/01/10
05:35 UTC
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Good afternoon,all,gut feelings,are something I reserve for the casinos.
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MODIS Near-Real-Time Level-2 Browse
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Quoting Floodman:


So, you have evidence this is a hoax, or just a "gut" feeling?


When I get a 'gut' feeling, I reach for Pepto...
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Quoting Floodman:


So, you have evidence this is a hoax, or just a "gut" feeling?

see alt. def. Abazooti
;)
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Quoting Floodman:
Hey, TDude! Wazzup?


Hey Flood, just got lunch, you?
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Osama bin Laden Joins Ranks of Global Warming Alarmists

Link
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Quoting Floodman:
Hmmm...no response? Figures...


UN climate change panel based claims on student dissertation and magazine article

Link
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Hey, TDude! Wazzup?
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Hmmm...no response? Figures...
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Quoting Floodman:


So, you have evidence this is a hoax, or just a "gut" feeling?


U.N.'s Global Warming Report Under Fresh Attack for Rainforest Claims

Link
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Rep. Steve Israel, co-chairman of the House’s Sustainable Energy and Environment Coalition (SEEC), tweeted on Sunday:

China now leads world in clean tech. Time for a Sputnik program to reclaim leadership.

Israel’s line about Sputnik refers to the space race between the United States and the Soviet Union, beginning in the late 1950s.
http://thehill.com/blogs/twitter-room/other-news/78927-rep-israel-pines-for-space-race-enthusiasm-i n-clean-energy-debate
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Quoting Floodman:


So, you have evidence this is a hoax, or just a "gut" feeling?


my gut feeling tells me it's lunch time!
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So, GeoffreyWPB and I came up with a spectacular idea!

Go to my blog, pick the team you think will win the Super Bowl. If your team does not win, then you will donate $10 to Portlight! Great way to raise money for Portlight, have fun, and root on your favorite team!

so get to work! My blog
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Quoting bjrabbit:
This article exemplifies the best of this blog by Dr. Master's. I wish he'd concentrate on stuff like this more instead of continually wading into the global warming hoax.


So, you have evidence this is a hoax, or just a "gut" feeling?
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Quoting 2010hurricane:
El Nino is getting weaker

Last week:4(1.4) 3.4(1.4) 3(0.8) 1 2(0.1)
Today:4(1.3) 3.4(1.2) 3(0.7) 1 2(0.4)

i noticed that too looking at Tampa Spin's weather page
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This article exemplifies the best of this blog by Dr. Master's. I wish he'd concentrate on stuff like this more instead of continually wading into the global warming hoax.
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Cold Water is going to be a factor real soon. It's heading for cooler water.

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abazooti - terrific! vocab word for the day : )

In a sentence:
I need some Hot Summer Sun to banish the Abazooti from my bones.

Winter is a time when Abazooti symptoms flourish.
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Dr. Masters: fascinating bit of weather - good for taking our minds off the winter doldrums....thanks for pointing it out : )


of course it's too early to say, will it croak?

what's the history - any other storms like this before?
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Quoting Floodman:


Add to your symptoms a slight fever and an over-all mallaise and you got it!
It does make sense. It has been cold, damp and cloudy for a while here. The Sun is out today and the ice and snow is reflecting this brilliant white light all over the place. It is Cool.:)
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Thanks Doc!

So, last night Geoff and I came up with an idea. Go to my blog and post who you think will win the Super Bowl, if they lose, then you pledge $10 to Portlight (or more!!)

Check it out! my blog
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8357
Typically it's worse than a hangover, MM; it also lasts about 5 days...if you have a hangover that lasts 5 days, you should really reconsider your drinking habits...LOL
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Quoting Floodman:


I may have scared folks when I posted a reasonably intelligent comment that didn't contain a joke...LOL


Uhhhh... possibly! :-)
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Quoting hydrus:
I am glad I asked, I have had some symptoms like Cough and slight aching past few days and had no idea what it is. It Is the dreaded.......Abazooti!


Add to your symptoms a slight fever and an over-all mallaise and you got it!
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Quoting Floodman:
Abazooti=creeping crud=the unidentified sort general illness you pick up this time of year...it's not the flu, or a cold really, but gives you the ssame sort of overall "pounded poop" sort of feeling

can that be acquired from a few (too many) beers?
i think i'm still dealing with that myself as of saturday night..
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Quoting Floodman:
Abazooti=creeping crud=the unidentified sort general illness you pick up this time of year...it's not the flu, or a cold really, but gives you the ssame sort of overall "pounded poop" sort of feeling
I am glad I asked, I have had some symptoms like Cough and slight aching past few days and had no idea what it is. It Is the dreaded.......Abazooti!
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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