Strongest winter storm in at least 140 years whallops Southwest U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:18 PM GMT on January 22, 2010

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The most powerful low pressure system in 140 years of record keeping swept through the Southwest U.S. yesterday, bringing deadly flooding, tornadoes, hail, hurricane force winds, and blizzard conditions. We expect to get powerful winter storms affecting the Southwest U.S. during strong El Niño events, but yesterday's storm was truly epic in its size and intensity. The storm set all-time low pressure records over roughly 10 - 15% of the U.S.--over southern Oregon, and most of California, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah. Old records were broken by a wide margin in many locations, most notably in Los Angeles, where the old record of 29.25" set January 17, 1988, was shattered by .18" (6 mb). Bakersfield broke its record by .30" (10 mb). The record-setting low spawned an extremely intense cold front that rumbled thought the Southwest, and winds ahead of the cold front reached sustained speeds of hurricane force--74 mph--last night at Apache Junction, 40 miles east of Phoenix. Wind gusts as high as 94 mph were recorded in Ajo, Arizona, and a Personal Weather Station in Summerhaven (on top of Mt. Lemmon next to Tucson) recorded sustained winds of 67 mph, gusting to 86 mph, before the power failed. Prescott recorded sustained winds at 52 mph, gusting to 67 as the cold front passed, and high winds plunged visibility to zero in blowing dust on I-10 connecting Phoenix and Tucson. The storm spawned one possible tornado in Arizona, which touched down at 8:32 pm MST in Phoenix near Desert Ridge Mall. No damage or injuries were reported. If verified, it would be only the 7th January tornado in Arizona since record keeping began in 1950.


Figure 1. Radar reflectivity from the Phoenix Doppler radar at the time of the Phoenix tornado. The tornado touched down under the circle with a "+" inside it. The Doppler velocity image did not show any rotation to the clouds in the vicinity.

Some of the all-time low pressure records set in yesterday's storm:
Los Angeles, CA: 29.07", Old Record: 29.25", January 17, 1988
Eureka, CA: 28.90", Old Record: 28.91", February 1891
San Diego, CA: 29.15", Old Record, 29.37", March 3, 1983
Fresno, CA: 28.94", Old Record, 29.10", January 27, 1916
Bakersfield, CA: 28.94", Old Record, 29.24", February 3, 1998

Salt Lake City, UT: 28.94", Old Record, 29.00" April 2002

Reno, NV: 28.94", Old Record, 29.00", January 27, 1916
Las Vegas, NV: 29.03" Old Record: 29.17", December 1949

Phoenix, AZ: 29.22", Old Record: 29.32", May 18, 1902
Flagstaff, AZ: 29.13", Old Record: 29.15", February 7, 1937
Yuma, AZ: 29.15", Old Record: 29.37", September 12, 1927

Three tornadoes in California
Three tornadoes were reported in California yesterday. A small EF0 twister hit the east side of Ventura, leaving a 1.5 mile damage path. Another tornado hit Santa Barbara, downing trees and power poles. The most damaging California tornado yesterday touched down just west of Blythe, on the Arizona-California border, at 4:31 pm MST. The twister crossed I-10, blowing three semi trucks over, ripping the roofs off houses, and downing power lines. I-10 was closed for several hours to clear the debris and toppled trucks.

Two tornadoes also hit Southern California on Tuesday. A sheriff's deputy spotted a possible tornado in Goleta that caused some roof damage, and another tornado hit Huntington Beach, damaging boats and buildings and flipping cars.

If all five tornadoes are confirmed as genuine by the National Weather Service, it will tie the record of most January California tornadoes. The all-time record for most California tornadoes in a single day is seven, set on April 1, 1996, and November 9, 1982.


Figure 2. Radar reflectivity from the Los Angeles Doppler radar at the time of the Santa Barbara tornado.

Figure 3. Storm-relative radial velocity from the Los Angeles Doppler radar at the time of the Santa Barbara tornado. The area of yellow and orange colors, lying right next to a region of blues and greens just west of Santa Barbara shows that the winds in that region were moving towards and away from the radar in a very tight area, signifying the presence of a rotating thunderstorm and possible tornado.

The storm will continue to bring heavy rain and snow to many portions the Southwest today, then wind down on Saturday. A new storm is expected to move ashore over Northern California on Sunday night, but this storm will not be as intense. Another storm is also possible next Friday, January 29, but it appears that a renewed battering by a long succession of storms like we had this week will not occur next week.

Selected storm total snowfalls (in inches) from 7 am Sunday January 17, through 7 am PST Friday January 22:
...ARIZONA...
FLAGSTAFF 3.2 NNW 36.5
SUNRISE MOUNTAIN 29.0
FOREST LAKES 26.0
HEBER 21.0
PINETOP/LAKESIDE 4 ESE 20.4
ALPINE 20.0
CLAY SPRINGS 20.0
CLINTS WELL 19.0
KACHINA VILLAGE 18.6
WILLIAMS 16.5
PRESCOTT 7.0

...CALIFORNIA...
CHAGOOPA PLATEAU 73.6
SODA SPRINGS 63.0
SUGAR BOWL 61.0
LWR RELIEF VALLEY 50.6
KIRKWOOD 48.0
SQUAW VALLEY 47.0
SIERRA AT TAHOE 38.0
BIG BEAR CITY 37.0

...COLORADO...
DURANGO 24.0
PAGOSA SPRINGS 9 NW 24.0
SILVERTON 24.0
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SSE 24.0
ABAJO 19.0
TELLURIDE 15.0
COAL BANK PASS 14.5
RED MTN 12.3
CREEDE 10 SW 12.0
SOUTH FORK 4 SW 12.0
MOLAS PASS 10.0

...NEW MEXICO...
JEMEZ SPRINGS 14.0
CHAMA 12.0
FARMINGTON 7 NE 10.5
AZTEC 8.0
BLUEWATER LAKE 11 WSW 8.0
BONITO LAKE 5 SW 8.0
FARMINGTON 7 NE 8.0
LUNA 8.0
KIRTLAND 2 ESE 6.0
MOGOLLON 6 ESE 6.0
RAMAH 6.0
BLOOMFIELD 3 SW 5.5
LOS ALAMOS 5.5

...NEVADA...
YUCCA FLAT 20.0
BERRY CREEK 19.0
BIG CREEK SUMMIT 16.0
DRAW CREEK 13.0
POLE CREEK R.S. 13.0
MT. POTOSI 12.0
ELY 8.3
WARD MOUNTAIN 8.0
CHARLESTON 6.0

...UTAH...
BRIGHTON CREST 35.0
ALTA/COLLINS 33.5
DEER VALLEY DALY WEST 28.0
PARK CITY JUPITER PEAK 28.0
BIG COTTONWOOD SPRUCES 19.0
SOLITUDE 17.5
SNOWBIRD 13.5

Selected storm total precipitation (in inches) from 7 am Sunday January 17, through 7 am PST Friday January 22:
...ARIZONA...
DAVIS-MONTHAN AFB/TUCSON 10.23
BLACK CANYON CITY 10 N 6.57
CROWN KING 6.50
SURPRISE 1 ESE 5.58
SUN CITY WEST 2 NNE 4.78
COTTONWOOD 1 WSW 4.63
SCOTTSDALE 5.5 NNW 4.21
NEW RIVER 5 ESE 4.05
WITTMAN 5 SW 4.05
PAYSON 4.01
PINE 1 SW 4.00
SIERRA VISTA 3.83
LUKE AFB/PHOENIX 3.58
CASTLE HOT SPRINGS 3.55
FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP 3.41
CLIFTON 2.96
WINSLOW 2.84
GILBERT 4 NW 2.74
CHANDLER 4 WNW 2.72
YUMA MCAF 2.43
PRESCOTT/ERNEST A LOVE FIELD AP 2.28
PHOENIX AIRPORT 2.21
TUCSON AIRPORT 0.52

...CALIFORNIA...
LOS GATOS 4 SW 14.70
CAZADERO 13.46
LYTLE CREEK 13.39
MINING RIDGE 13.14
PETROLIA 7 SE 12.17
BARTLETT SPRINGS 11.23
LAKE ARROWHEAD 11.23
ALTADENA 1 ESE 11.14
CLOVERDALE 1 S 10.30
CRESTLINE 10.27
DEVORE 9.58
DESERT HOT SPRINGS 8.04
UKIAH MUNI ARPT 7.58
NEWHALL 7.08
SANTA ROSA/SONOMA CO ARPT 6.55
SAN LUIS OBISPO ARPT 5.37
SAN DIEGO/MONTGOMERY FIELD 4.32
SAN FRANCISCO INTL ARPT 4.30
LOS ANGELES-USC 3.89
PALM SPRINGS RGNL ARPT 3.75
SACRAMENTO METRO ARPT 3.65
SAN JOSE INTL ARPT 3.19

...NEVADA...
NORTH LAS VEGAS AIRPORT 1.50
HENDERSON AIRPORT 1.17
MERCURY/DESERT ROCK ARPT 1.06

...OREGON...
AGNESS 6.4 NE 3.90
PORT ORFORD 5.0 E 3.52
BROOKINGS 4.2 ENE 2.83
BANDON 11.4 S 2.67
ASTORIA 1.45

...WASHINGTON...
HOQUIAM/BOWERMAN AIRPORT 2.01

Tornadoes, severe weather in the South
Severe weather associated with a separate storm brought damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes to portions of Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, and Florida last night. Two tornadoes were reported, one in Tennessee, and one in Alabama, near Huntsville. The Huntsville tornado injured approximately six people, and cut power to 10,000 people. The storm responsible for the severe weather has moved out to sea, and no further severe weather is expected today. A slight chance of severe weather is expected Saturday over Arkansas and Mississippi, and there is also a severe weather threat for Georgia and surrounding states on Sunday.


Figure 4. Last night's Huntsville, Alabama tornado was captured by wunderphotographer Southampton.

Portlight's Paul Timmons to appear on NBC and CNN
Portlight.org, the disaster-relief charity that has sprung up from the hard work and dedication of many members of the wunderground.com community, has successfully shipped medical equipment and a water filtration unit capable of supplying the needs of 3,500 people per day to the Dominican Republic. The relief supplies were trucked to Haiti via road, and have made it to the earthquake zone. The supplies have been targeted to go to those with disabilities, or to those who are living in areas where the main aid efforts have been inadequate. Portlight is working through the local Catholic Church, which is probably best positioned to deliver private aid donations to those in need. Paul Timmons, leader of the Portlight relief efforts, is scheduled to appear on NBC news later today, and on CNN news tomorrow, to discuss Portlight's efforts.


Figure 5. Walkers and medical supplies for Haiti getting ready to ship from the Portlight warehouse in Atlanta.

Please visit the Portlight.org blog to learn more. Floodman's blog has the latest info on Portlight's plan for Haitian relief. The Reeve Foundation, founded by Christopher and Dana Reeve has awarded Portlight Strategies a $10,000 Quality of of Life grant to assist in the relief efforts in Haiti. This is very big and will allow Portlight to pursue more aggressive relief efforts over the course of the next few weeks.

For those of you more interested in helping out with the long-term rebuilding of Haiti's shattered infrastructure from the quake, I recommend a contribution to Lambi Fund of Haiti, a charity that is very active in promoting reforestation efforts, use of alternative fuels, and infrastructure improvements at a grass-roots level in Haiti. I've developed a great respect for the work they do in the country in the five years I've been a supporter.

Next post
My next post will be Monday.

Jeff Masters

Road disappears in flood in San Luis Obispo, California (annestahl)
Cops stand by closed road.
Road disappears in flood in San Luis Obispo, California
Southern California Snow (gemd)
A Pacific storm (usually warm) came and dropped snow in Southern California in area which rarely see snow. This was not even an "insider slider" (lingo for a northern, non-Pacific cold jet stream). Snow days for schools are rampant and there are many accidents on the roadways. Our snow is not the typical fluff, but very wet and slick.
Southern California Snow
Prescott 2010 Snowstorm (kempix)
Heavy Snowstorm came in last night with almost a foot of snow in the mountains of Prescott.
Prescott 2010 Snowstorm
Bad Luck (scphotos)
the ocean in Santa Barbara takes no prisoners
Bad Luck
Blue Thunder Bolt (LianesLightroom)
Amazing bolt of lightning strikes the Pacific Ocean in Manhattan Beach, CA.
Blue Thunder Bolt
Shrouded in Clouds (ChandlerMike)
I took a drive this morning to document some of this amazing weather we're having in Arizona. My path took me over to the Superstition Mountains east of Phoenix and I beheld some sights that I don't expect to see again. (HDR)
Shrouded in Clouds

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good morning everyone!
any news of when portlight will do their interviews for the media?
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Quoting PensacolaDoug:
DONT DO IT KOG!!! Its A TRICK!!!!!




I was surprised how may people at our resort were from the GOM states... running way from the cold. Last day was so hot you could barely go outside on the beach... 30+ and high humidity.. made the ice in the drinks melt very fast.
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DONT DO IT KOG!!! Its A TRICK!!!!!


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Quoting PensacolaDoug:


He's bullish on it comming back.

You got mail Ike!


Its allowed to come back now.. we got home last night :)

KOG, release the fans :)
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First, this is a meteorological blog, not a geological one.

Then I guess you should explain that to Dr. Masters as well.
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lol beell @ redicilous odd video ;)
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
Quoting IKE:


What does Bastardi say?


He's bullish on it comming back.

You got mail Ike!
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Quoting Floodman:


Thanks, Aussie! The information will certainly be helpful; I will email Rossi and Juan right now and see what we can arrange...

Thanks, Aussie, we really appreciate the help!

Now get some rest; folks with backs like ours need the sleep...LOL

Thanks, I will message her to let her know your going to contact her and Juan. Goodnight
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728. beell
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Mate, I am just about to head off to bed, I sent you WUmail. hope it helps


Thanks, Aussie! The information will certainly be helpful; I will email Rossi and Juan right now and see what we can arrange...

Thanks, Aussie, we really appreciate the help!

Now get some rest; folks with backs like ours need the sleep...LOL
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
726. IKE
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Gonna get cold again soon!


What does Bastardi say?
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@ Xyrus
Weather is based on climate and the climate is interconnected with the hydrosphere, atmosphere, biosphere and geoshpere. (Thats not all)

An example how the geosphere leads the atmosphere, thus the weather outcome.

Eruption caused climate shift
http://www.sciencealert.com.au/news/20090506-19268.html

In return the weather can also trigger geospheric activities.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
Quoting PensacolaDoug:
Gonna get cold again soon!


Boo, hiss, boo, no, no, say it isn't so? I kinda figured the Arctic air would revisit in early Feb '10, with a cold, biting vengeance!

A portion of the Dallas-Ft Worth Area Forecast Discussion:

THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO DISAGREE ON THE DETAILS REGARDING
THE STRENGTH OF THIS TROUGH. WHILE BOTH MODELS SUGGEST THE TROUGH
WILL TRANSITION FROM A CLOSED LOW TO MORE OF AN OPEN WAVE UPON
ENTERING THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THE ECMWF IS STRONGER AND MORE
COMPACT WITH THIS WAVE THAN THE GFS. THE DETAILS BEAR WATCHING AS
THE BOTH MODELS ALSO POINT TO A VERY COLD AIRMASS MOVING IN BEHIND
THE COLD FRONT ON THURSDAY. FOR NOW AS THE COLD AIR BEHIND THE
FRONT MOVES INTO NORTH TX IT IS ACCOMPANIED BY DRY AIR WHICH SHUTS
OFF ANY ONGOING PRECIPITATION AS IT MOVES INTO THE AREA. A
STRONGER...MORE WRAPPED UP SCENARIO POINTS TO THE POSSIBILITY OF A
TROWAL LIKE FEATURE WRAPPING UP BEHIND THE UPPER LOW. THIS WOULD
KEEP SOME POTENTIAL FOR CONTINUED PRECIPITATION AS THE COLD AIR
MOVES INTO PLACE. EVEN THE STRONGER ECMWF KEEPS THIS AREA JUST
NORTHWEST OF THE CWA...BUT ANY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH COULD BRING SOME
POTENTIAL FOR FROZEN PRECIPITATION NEAR THE RED RIVER COUNTIES OF
NORTH TX LATE ON THURSDAY AND INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. WILL CONTINUE
TO MONITOR THE EVOLUTION OF THIS SYSTEM IN THE COMING DAYS. BOTH
SOLUTIONS POINT TO A VERY COLD DAY ON FRIDAY WITH HIGHS STRUGGLING
TO BREAK 40 DEGREES. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW
FREEZING BY AT LEAST A FEW DEGREES FRIDAY NIGHT UNDER EXPECTED
CLEAR SKIES AND VERY LIGHT WINDS. TEMPERATURES DO LOOK TO RECOVER
QUICKLY ON SATURDAY...SO WHILE THIS DOES NOT LOOK LIKE A TRUE
ARCTIC OUTBREAK IT LOOKS VERY LIKELY THAT WE WILL SEE AT LEAST A
BRIEF PERIOD WHERE TEMPERATURES FALL WELL BELOW SEASONAL NORMALS
ONCE AGAIN.
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Quoting Floodman:
We're here, Aussie! How are you doing?

Mate, I am just about to head off to bed, I sent you WUmail. hope it helps
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Gonna get cold again soon!
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Our long range forecast for late next week puts the Highs near 40F/ Lows near 25-30F, here in the Dallas-Ft Worth, TX Metroplex. I am kinda' afraid to read our Area Forecast Discussion, as we have had high temps in the 63-76F range for almost a week.
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We're here, Aussie! How are you doing?
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Quoting AussieStorm:
Floodman, you have mail, I hope this helps out.
Goodnight all, 4am and I'm beat, Stay safe.


Sleep well, we're just starting our Sunday at 11:04AM Central Standard Time in Dallas-Ft Worth, TX. Night-night.
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Quoting Bordonaro:
Tampa Spin, the Yellowstone activity is elevated, but that are has been a geological hot spot for many hundreds of thousands of years. The USGS has a real close eye on this area, and several others, due to their past violent eruptions.

I seriously doubt that Yellowstone will blow her top at this point, but at sometime in the future, we all realize a violent eruption will occur again.

Good example, thanks Bord!
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Quoting Xyrus:

1. The meteorology is a little slow at the moment and a lot of us have an appreciation for all things geophysics.
2. You could have simply stated that this is normal and nothing to be alarmed about, about which you may be completely correct!
3. You could have provided some sort of sourcing for said statements...might have been interesting reading and also bolstered your statement in point 2.
4. And as interesting it would have been to discuss point 2 with help from point 3, you just made yourself irrelevant in this one post. Most of us will likely now put you on the iggy list, thereby rendering anything you have to say in the future to likely being communicated into a near reader vacuum.
5. 99% of the posters here that autograph at the end are trolls. It is heavily correlated. Does one cause the other, or what? Have you noticed that in every comment the name of the person commenting appears right above the comment?

*where is that list...oh yeah...still warm from yesterday*
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Floodman, you have mail, I hope this helps out.
Goodnight all, 4am and I'm beat, Stay safe.
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Tampa Spin, the Yellowstone activity is elevated, but that are has been a geological hot spot for many hundreds of thousands of years. The USGS has a real close eye on this area, and several others, due to their past violent eruptions.

I seriously doubt that Yellowstone will blow her top at this point, but at sometime in the future, we all realize a violent eruption will occur again.
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Quoting tornadodude:


Lol yeah, but check out my forecast:


This Afternoon: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 50. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight: A slight chance of rain and snow before 1am, then a slight chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 30. West wind between 11 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday: Scattered snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Breezy, with a west southwest wind between 15 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Monday Night: Scattered snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 20. Breezy, with a west wind between 17 and 21 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26. West wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 13.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 28.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16.

Thursday: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27.

Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16.

Friday: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 26.


Well, remember, before Christmas, you wanted the cold and the snow. Well, looks like you've got that and enjoy the "short" January thaw, which will endo tonight :0)
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713. Xyrus
Tampaspin,

First, this is a meteorological blog, not a geological one.

Second, your posts are ridiculously alarmists. The seismograph you posted is typical of the Yellowstone region (along with many other seismically active areas such as Mammoth Mountain in CA and Mt. Saint Helens).

It's also completely obvious that earthquake activity would be happening in the uplift zone. Any crustal movement on the planet has the potential to generate earthquake activity, and this includes hotspot zones (YellowStone, Hawaii).

~X~
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Anyone seen Floodman or Press today?
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Portlight Haiti relief update
Link
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Appears today I'm going to break 80 degrees!!
78.9 °F
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709. Skyepony (Mod)
atmo~ Thanks.. NWS radar worked, but not NOAA Java sat loops. I updated to the latest version & everything Java works now. Started having problems when I got the latest Firefox version.

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708. IKE



1530 UNK 5 N JACKSON CLARKE AL 3158 8789 2 TREES BLOWN DOWN BRIEFLY BLOCKING U.S. HIGHWAY 43 ONE MILE NORTH OF COUNTY ROAD 3. (MOB)



1556 70 4 SE CLANTON CHILTON AL 3280 8658 A SPOTTER WITH A HANDHELD ANEMOMETER MEASURED WINDS TO 70 MPH NEAR THE PEACH TOWER EXIT AT US-31 AND I-65 IN CLANTON. (BMX)
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Quoting tornadodude:
I'll be back on later guys, got some cleaning to do :P

Is this one going to update? (I suppose your posts will get cleaner?)
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I'll be back on later guys, got some cleaning to do :P
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8201
Quoting Bordonaro:


OMG, you finally broke 50F!


Lol yeah, but check out my forecast:


This Afternoon: Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 1pm, then a chance of showers. Cloudy, with a high near 50. Breezy, with a southwest wind between 15 and 20 mph, with gusts as high as 31 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Tonight: A slight chance of rain and snow before 1am, then a slight chance of snow. Cloudy, with a low around 30. West wind between 11 and 14 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

Monday: Scattered snow showers. Cloudy, with a high near 33. Breezy, with a west southwest wind between 15 and 22 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Monday Night: Scattered snow showers. Cloudy, with a low around 20. Breezy, with a west wind between 17 and 21 mph, with gusts as high as 28 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

Tuesday: A 20 percent chance of snow showers, mainly before 1pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26. West wind around 18 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 13.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 28.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16.

Thursday: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 27.

Thursday Night: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 16.

Friday: A 30 percent chance of snow. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 26.

Friday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 14.

Saturday: Partly sunny, with a high near 26.
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8201
Quoting tornadodude:
Lafayette, Purdue University Airport
Lat: 40.43 Lon: -86.93 Elev: 623
Last Update on Jan 24, 10:54 am EST

Light Rain

50 °F
(10 °C)
Humidity: 86 %
Wind Speed: SW 14 G 22 MPH
Barometer: 29.38" (994.8 mb)
Dewpoint: 46 °F (8 °C)
Wind Chill: 45 °F (7 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.


p.s. this doesnt self update ;)


OMG, you finally broke 50F!
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Quoting Skyepony:
I haven't been able to get the global daily temp to work the last few days, the JAVA doesn't kick in or something. Can anyone get this to draw a graph?

Worked for me:


http://i46.tinypic.com/5zjjls.png


Does a java loop of the NWS radar work for you?
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Why we spoke about the MET Office?
Because i posted the annual forecast of the MET Office, predicting a record warm 2010.

So here is the take from NOAA (seasonal outlook)
STRONG EL NINO CONDITIONS CURRENTLY EXIST IN THE TROPICAL PACIFIC. THIS WARM
EVENT IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST (THOUGH GRADUALLY WEAKEN) INTO AT LEAST EARLY
BOREAL SPRING 2010, AND IS ANTICIPATED TO HAVE A SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE US
SURFACE TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION FORECASTS INTO THE APR-MAY-JUN (AMJ) 2010
SEASON. THE IMPACT OF EL NINO ON THE CLIMATE OVER NORTH AMERICA IS USUALLY
GREATEST DURING THE LATE WINTER SEASON. MANY PREDICTION TOOLS INDICATE THAT THE
EL NINO IS CURRENTLY NEAR ITS MAXIMUM STRENGTH AND WILL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY IN
THE NEXT FEW MONTHS. THOUGH SOME MODELS PREDICT THAT THIS WARM EPISODE MAY
EXTEND INTO SUMMER, IMPACTS ON THE US TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION FOR LATE
SPRING AND BEYOND, HOWEVER, ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEGLIGIBLE.

THE TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR FMA 2010 INDICATES AN ENHANCED LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES FROM MUCH OF THE WESTERN HALF OF THE CONUS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES, AND CONTINUING EASTWARD ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER TO THE
UPPER GREAT LAKES REGION. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO FAVORED OVER MOST
OF MAINLAND ALASKA. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED FROM CENTRAL NEW
MEXICO EASTWARD ACROSS TEXAS AND THE GULF AND SOUTHERN ATLANTIC COAST STATES.
IN LOCATIONS WHERE THE LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL SEASONAL TEMPERATURE
IS SIMILAR TO THE CLIMATOLOGICAL PROBABILITIES, EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW, NEAR,
AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE INDICATED.

THE CHANCES OF BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION DURING FMA 2010 ARE HIGHER THAN USUAL
IN PARTS OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST, THE OHIO VALLEY, AND THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.
THE CHANCES FOR ABOVE MEDIAN PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY ELEVATED
ALONG THE SOUTHERN CONUS FROM CALIFORNIA TO THE SOUTHEAST, INCLUDING A
NORTHWARD EXTENSION THROUGH THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. IN LOCATIONS WHERE THE
LIKELIHOOD OF ABOVE OR BELOW MEDIAN SEASONAL PRECIPITATION IS SIMILAR TO THE
CLIMATOLOGICAL PROBABILITIES, EQUAL CHANCES OF BELOW, NEAR, AND ABOVE MEDIAN
PRECIPITATION ARE INDICATED.


PROGNOSTIC DISCUSSION FOR LONG-LEAD SEASONAL OUTLOOKS
NWS CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
830 AM EST THU JAN 21 2010


Surprise! They predict above average temperatures and annomalies. They do not make the claim of a record warm year, but their study is in support.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032


AOI

AOI

AOI

AOI

Humor in Comments
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Quoting atmoaggie:


That's an interesting town name...is a town, just looked it up.


yeah it is, hmm
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8201
Lafayette, Purdue University Airport
Lat: 40.43 Lon: -86.93 Elev: 623
Last Update on Jan 24, 10:54 am EST

Light Rain

50 °F
(10 °C)
Humidity: 86 %
Wind Speed: SW 14 G 22 MPH
Barometer: 29.38" (994.8 mb)
Dewpoint: 46 °F (8 °C)
Wind Chill: 45 °F (7 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.


p.s. this doesnt self update ;)
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8201
Quoting tornadodude:
THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ENTERPRISE...OR NEAR
CLANTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GAP OF THE MOUNTAIN AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MITCHELL DAM BY 950 AM
CST...
HIGGINS FERRY PARK...DOLLAR AND LAY LAKE DAM BY 955 AM CST...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF LYLE BY 1000 AM CST...

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 200 THROUGH 212


That's an interesting town name...is a town, just looked it up.
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697. Skyepony (Mod)
I haven't been able to get the global daily temp to work the last few days, the JAVA doesn't kick in or something. Can anyone get this to draw a graph?
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Tornado Warning

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
944 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

ALC001-021-037-241600-
/O.CON.KBMX.TO.W.0003.000000T0000Z-100124T1600Z/
AUTAUGA AL-CHILTON AL-COOSA AL-
944 AM CST SUN JAN 24 2010

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 AM CST FOR
SOUTHWESTERN COOSA...EASTERN CHILTON AND NORTH CENTRAL AUTAUGA
COUNTIES...

AT 942 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CONTINUED TO DETECT A
TORNADO. THIS TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR ENTERPRISE...OR NEAR
CLANTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
GAP OF THE MOUNTAIN AND 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF MITCHELL DAM BY 950 AM
CST...
HIGGINS FERRY PARK...DOLLAR AND LAY LAKE DAM BY 955 AM CST...
7 MILES NORTHWEST OF LYLE BY 1000 AM CST...

THIS INCLUDES...
INTERSTATE 65 EXIT NUMBERS 200 THROUGH 212

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
STURDY SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE NEAREST
DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 100 PM CST SUNDAY AFTERNOON
FOR SOUTHWESTERN ALABAMA.

&&

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CALL 1-800-856-0758.

LAT...LON 3268 8679 3300 8655 3295 8638 3281 8626
3277 8632 3278 8634 3277 8633 3276 8635
3275 8641 3272 8642 3255 8673
TIME...MOT...LOC 1544Z 225DEG 48KT 3279 8662

$$





Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8201
Quoting TampaSpin:
I don't like the collision of Winds that will happen in the Panhandle.......



I see your area of convergence and raise you a bigger rain/snow storm from Nashville to Toronto.
(a lot more convergence there)
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It appears the PanHandle and Central Florida near the Orlando area have the highest current Forecasted CAPE values......need to watch the PanHandle of Florida for sure....jury is out of the Orlando Central Florida area...
This CAPE forecast is for Monday




I don't like the collision of Winds that will happen in the Panhandle.......


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TS and Atmo, Thank you for the information.
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Quoting atmoaggie:

I think they are just cycled so one can see each separately and still cram a whole 24 hours of activity on one plot. Imagine there was a lot of activity and all of the lines were one color...impossible.


That is correct......each full line represents 15 minutes...so you have 4 different colors for the full hour to look at and the cycle continues.....
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Quoting severstorm:
Hey TS what do the different colors mean on your graft? TIA

I think they are just cycled so one can see each separately and still cram a whole 24 hours of activity on one plot. Imagine there was a lot of activity and all of the lines were one color...impossible.
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Hey TS what do the different colors mean on your graft? TIA
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Quoting atmoaggie:

The article mentiones the winter and summer forecast. I can not say much for the summer forecast but the winter i think would played out correct if the gulf stream would not have changed. And those changed the climate for the hall northern hemisphere.
And as i stated the longtime forecast is in plus in regards to the MET Office forecast.
Nevertheless the BBC can give there weather forecast to anyone they want.
I think this is just a need to find someone to blame for the bad preperations in the UK for such a weather occurance. They reported food and salt shortages.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
Quoting drg0dOwnCountry:
Tampaspin, shouldn't there be deeper activity?
I read somewhere that this banana style magma chamber is many hundred miles deep.
Rightnow it's all in around 16km and this pretty much i guess means tectonics.

So far im more worried of the overall trend in earthquake activities around the world. And this yellowstone swarm seems pretty gone?



Gone.....I'm no Geologist.....but, does not seem to be gone...Not say YellowStone is erupting all i am doing is showing what i find....

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Quoting StormW:


Ya...caught it on SRV mode.

Morning, sunshine.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.