Strongest winter storm in at least 140 years whallops Southwest U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:18 PM GMT on January 22, 2010

Share this Blog
4
+

The most powerful low pressure system in 140 years of record keeping swept through the Southwest U.S. yesterday, bringing deadly flooding, tornadoes, hail, hurricane force winds, and blizzard conditions. We expect to get powerful winter storms affecting the Southwest U.S. during strong El Niño events, but yesterday's storm was truly epic in its size and intensity. The storm set all-time low pressure records over roughly 10 - 15% of the U.S.--over southern Oregon, and most of California, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah. Old records were broken by a wide margin in many locations, most notably in Los Angeles, where the old record of 29.25" set January 17, 1988, was shattered by .18" (6 mb). Bakersfield broke its record by .30" (10 mb). The record-setting low spawned an extremely intense cold front that rumbled thought the Southwest, and winds ahead of the cold front reached sustained speeds of hurricane force--74 mph--last night at Apache Junction, 40 miles east of Phoenix. Wind gusts as high as 94 mph were recorded in Ajo, Arizona, and a Personal Weather Station in Summerhaven (on top of Mt. Lemmon next to Tucson) recorded sustained winds of 67 mph, gusting to 86 mph, before the power failed. Prescott recorded sustained winds at 52 mph, gusting to 67 as the cold front passed, and high winds plunged visibility to zero in blowing dust on I-10 connecting Phoenix and Tucson. The storm spawned one possible tornado in Arizona, which touched down at 8:32 pm MST in Phoenix near Desert Ridge Mall. No damage or injuries were reported. If verified, it would be only the 7th January tornado in Arizona since record keeping began in 1950.


Figure 1. Radar reflectivity from the Phoenix Doppler radar at the time of the Phoenix tornado. The tornado touched down under the circle with a "+" inside it. The Doppler velocity image did not show any rotation to the clouds in the vicinity.

Some of the all-time low pressure records set in yesterday's storm:
Los Angeles, CA: 29.07", Old Record: 29.25", January 17, 1988
Eureka, CA: 28.90", Old Record: 28.91", February 1891
San Diego, CA: 29.15", Old Record, 29.37", March 3, 1983
Fresno, CA: 28.94", Old Record, 29.10", January 27, 1916
Bakersfield, CA: 28.94", Old Record, 29.24", February 3, 1998

Salt Lake City, UT: 28.94", Old Record, 29.00" April 2002

Reno, NV: 28.94", Old Record, 29.00", January 27, 1916
Las Vegas, NV: 29.03" Old Record: 29.17", December 1949

Phoenix, AZ: 29.22", Old Record: 29.32", May 18, 1902
Flagstaff, AZ: 29.13", Old Record: 29.15", February 7, 1937
Yuma, AZ: 29.15", Old Record: 29.37", September 12, 1927

Three tornadoes in California
Three tornadoes were reported in California yesterday. A small EF0 twister hit the east side of Ventura, leaving a 1.5 mile damage path. Another tornado hit Santa Barbara, downing trees and power poles. The most damaging California tornado yesterday touched down just west of Blythe, on the Arizona-California border, at 4:31 pm MST. The twister crossed I-10, blowing three semi trucks over, ripping the roofs off houses, and downing power lines. I-10 was closed for several hours to clear the debris and toppled trucks.

Two tornadoes also hit Southern California on Tuesday. A sheriff's deputy spotted a possible tornado in Goleta that caused some roof damage, and another tornado hit Huntington Beach, damaging boats and buildings and flipping cars.

If all five tornadoes are confirmed as genuine by the National Weather Service, it will tie the record of most January California tornadoes. The all-time record for most California tornadoes in a single day is seven, set on April 1, 1996, and November 9, 1982.


Figure 2. Radar reflectivity from the Los Angeles Doppler radar at the time of the Santa Barbara tornado.

Figure 3. Storm-relative radial velocity from the Los Angeles Doppler radar at the time of the Santa Barbara tornado. The area of yellow and orange colors, lying right next to a region of blues and greens just west of Santa Barbara shows that the winds in that region were moving towards and away from the radar in a very tight area, signifying the presence of a rotating thunderstorm and possible tornado.

The storm will continue to bring heavy rain and snow to many portions the Southwest today, then wind down on Saturday. A new storm is expected to move ashore over Northern California on Sunday night, but this storm will not be as intense. Another storm is also possible next Friday, January 29, but it appears that a renewed battering by a long succession of storms like we had this week will not occur next week.

Selected storm total snowfalls (in inches) from 7 am Sunday January 17, through 7 am PST Friday January 22:
...ARIZONA...
FLAGSTAFF 3.2 NNW 36.5
SUNRISE MOUNTAIN 29.0
FOREST LAKES 26.0
HEBER 21.0
PINETOP/LAKESIDE 4 ESE 20.4
ALPINE 20.0
CLAY SPRINGS 20.0
CLINTS WELL 19.0
KACHINA VILLAGE 18.6
WILLIAMS 16.5
PRESCOTT 7.0

...CALIFORNIA...
CHAGOOPA PLATEAU 73.6
SODA SPRINGS 63.0
SUGAR BOWL 61.0
LWR RELIEF VALLEY 50.6
KIRKWOOD 48.0
SQUAW VALLEY 47.0
SIERRA AT TAHOE 38.0
BIG BEAR CITY 37.0

...COLORADO...
DURANGO 24.0
PAGOSA SPRINGS 9 NW 24.0
SILVERTON 24.0
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SSE 24.0
ABAJO 19.0
TELLURIDE 15.0
COAL BANK PASS 14.5
RED MTN 12.3
CREEDE 10 SW 12.0
SOUTH FORK 4 SW 12.0
MOLAS PASS 10.0

...NEW MEXICO...
JEMEZ SPRINGS 14.0
CHAMA 12.0
FARMINGTON 7 NE 10.5
AZTEC 8.0
BLUEWATER LAKE 11 WSW 8.0
BONITO LAKE 5 SW 8.0
FARMINGTON 7 NE 8.0
LUNA 8.0
KIRTLAND 2 ESE 6.0
MOGOLLON 6 ESE 6.0
RAMAH 6.0
BLOOMFIELD 3 SW 5.5
LOS ALAMOS 5.5

...NEVADA...
YUCCA FLAT 20.0
BERRY CREEK 19.0
BIG CREEK SUMMIT 16.0
DRAW CREEK 13.0
POLE CREEK R.S. 13.0
MT. POTOSI 12.0
ELY 8.3
WARD MOUNTAIN 8.0
CHARLESTON 6.0

...UTAH...
BRIGHTON CREST 35.0
ALTA/COLLINS 33.5
DEER VALLEY DALY WEST 28.0
PARK CITY JUPITER PEAK 28.0
BIG COTTONWOOD SPRUCES 19.0
SOLITUDE 17.5
SNOWBIRD 13.5

Selected storm total precipitation (in inches) from 7 am Sunday January 17, through 7 am PST Friday January 22:
...ARIZONA...
DAVIS-MONTHAN AFB/TUCSON 10.23
BLACK CANYON CITY 10 N 6.57
CROWN KING 6.50
SURPRISE 1 ESE 5.58
SUN CITY WEST 2 NNE 4.78
COTTONWOOD 1 WSW 4.63
SCOTTSDALE 5.5 NNW 4.21
NEW RIVER 5 ESE 4.05
WITTMAN 5 SW 4.05
PAYSON 4.01
PINE 1 SW 4.00
SIERRA VISTA 3.83
LUKE AFB/PHOENIX 3.58
CASTLE HOT SPRINGS 3.55
FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP 3.41
CLIFTON 2.96
WINSLOW 2.84
GILBERT 4 NW 2.74
CHANDLER 4 WNW 2.72
YUMA MCAF 2.43
PRESCOTT/ERNEST A LOVE FIELD AP 2.28
PHOENIX AIRPORT 2.21
TUCSON AIRPORT 0.52

...CALIFORNIA...
LOS GATOS 4 SW 14.70
CAZADERO 13.46
LYTLE CREEK 13.39
MINING RIDGE 13.14
PETROLIA 7 SE 12.17
BARTLETT SPRINGS 11.23
LAKE ARROWHEAD 11.23
ALTADENA 1 ESE 11.14
CLOVERDALE 1 S 10.30
CRESTLINE 10.27
DEVORE 9.58
DESERT HOT SPRINGS 8.04
UKIAH MUNI ARPT 7.58
NEWHALL 7.08
SANTA ROSA/SONOMA CO ARPT 6.55
SAN LUIS OBISPO ARPT 5.37
SAN DIEGO/MONTGOMERY FIELD 4.32
SAN FRANCISCO INTL ARPT 4.30
LOS ANGELES-USC 3.89
PALM SPRINGS RGNL ARPT 3.75
SACRAMENTO METRO ARPT 3.65
SAN JOSE INTL ARPT 3.19

...NEVADA...
NORTH LAS VEGAS AIRPORT 1.50
HENDERSON AIRPORT 1.17
MERCURY/DESERT ROCK ARPT 1.06

...OREGON...
AGNESS 6.4 NE 3.90
PORT ORFORD 5.0 E 3.52
BROOKINGS 4.2 ENE 2.83
BANDON 11.4 S 2.67
ASTORIA 1.45

...WASHINGTON...
HOQUIAM/BOWERMAN AIRPORT 2.01

Tornadoes, severe weather in the South
Severe weather associated with a separate storm brought damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes to portions of Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, and Florida last night. Two tornadoes were reported, one in Tennessee, and one in Alabama, near Huntsville. The Huntsville tornado injured approximately six people, and cut power to 10,000 people. The storm responsible for the severe weather has moved out to sea, and no further severe weather is expected today. A slight chance of severe weather is expected Saturday over Arkansas and Mississippi, and there is also a severe weather threat for Georgia and surrounding states on Sunday.


Figure 4. Last night's Huntsville, Alabama tornado was captured by wunderphotographer Southampton.

Portlight's Paul Timmons to appear on NBC and CNN
Portlight.org, the disaster-relief charity that has sprung up from the hard work and dedication of many members of the wunderground.com community, has successfully shipped medical equipment and a water filtration unit capable of supplying the needs of 3,500 people per day to the Dominican Republic. The relief supplies were trucked to Haiti via road, and have made it to the earthquake zone. The supplies have been targeted to go to those with disabilities, or to those who are living in areas where the main aid efforts have been inadequate. Portlight is working through the local Catholic Church, which is probably best positioned to deliver private aid donations to those in need. Paul Timmons, leader of the Portlight relief efforts, is scheduled to appear on NBC news later today, and on CNN news tomorrow, to discuss Portlight's efforts.


Figure 5. Walkers and medical supplies for Haiti getting ready to ship from the Portlight warehouse in Atlanta.

Please visit the Portlight.org blog to learn more. Floodman's blog has the latest info on Portlight's plan for Haitian relief. The Reeve Foundation, founded by Christopher and Dana Reeve has awarded Portlight Strategies a $10,000 Quality of of Life grant to assist in the relief efforts in Haiti. This is very big and will allow Portlight to pursue more aggressive relief efforts over the course of the next few weeks.

For those of you more interested in helping out with the long-term rebuilding of Haiti's shattered infrastructure from the quake, I recommend a contribution to Lambi Fund of Haiti, a charity that is very active in promoting reforestation efforts, use of alternative fuels, and infrastructure improvements at a grass-roots level in Haiti. I've developed a great respect for the work they do in the country in the five years I've been a supporter.

Next post
My next post will be Monday.

Jeff Masters

Road disappears in flood in San Luis Obispo, California (annestahl)
Cops stand by closed road.
Road disappears in flood in San Luis Obispo, California
Southern California Snow (gemd)
A Pacific storm (usually warm) came and dropped snow in Southern California in area which rarely see snow. This was not even an "insider slider" (lingo for a northern, non-Pacific cold jet stream). Snow days for schools are rampant and there are many accidents on the roadways. Our snow is not the typical fluff, but very wet and slick.
Southern California Snow
Prescott 2010 Snowstorm (kempix)
Heavy Snowstorm came in last night with almost a foot of snow in the mountains of Prescott.
Prescott 2010 Snowstorm
Bad Luck (scphotos)
the ocean in Santa Barbara takes no prisoners
Bad Luck
Blue Thunder Bolt (LianesLightroom)
Amazing bolt of lightning strikes the Pacific Ocean in Manhattan Beach, CA.
Blue Thunder Bolt
Shrouded in Clouds (ChandlerMike)
I took a drive this morning to document some of this amazing weather we're having in Arizona. My path took me over to the Superstition Mountains east of Phoenix and I beheld some sights that I don't expect to see again. (HDR)
Shrouded in Clouds

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 836 - 786

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20Blog Index

Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Off topic ?...Does anyone have the software to convert a vro video file to a mpeg 1 file? Tried to download the software myself and went to a bad site. Just got the pc back to normal. A project for work. Just want to post a video on You Tube.

Try this google search and checkout the topics
http://www.google.com/search?q=vro+convert+avi&as_rights=
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
Off topic ?...Does anyone have the software to convert a vro video file to a mpeg 1 file? Tried to download the software myself and went to a bad site. Just got the pc back to normal. A project for work. Just want to post a video on You Tube.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting GrtLksQuest:


Please give more info about this. Book? Author?



Divine Wind: The History and Science of Hurricanes

Amazon
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Colts!! woo hoo!

how's everyone doing?
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8358
Scientists create model of monster 'Frankenstorm'
LOS ANGELES (AP) - Think the recent wild weather that hammered California was bad? Experts are imagining far worse.

As torrential rains pelted wildfire-stripped hillsides and flooded highways, a team of scientists hunkered down at the California Institute of Technology to work on a "Frankenstorm" scenario - a mother lode wintry blast that could potentially sock the Golden State.

The hypothetical but plausible storm would be similar to the 1861-1862 extreme floods that temporarily moved the state capital from Sacramento to San Francisco and forced the then-governor to attend his inauguration by rowboat.

The scenario "is much larger than anything in living memory," said project manager Dale Cox with the U.S. Geological Survey.

In the scenario, the storm system forms in the Pacific and slams into the West Coast with hurricane-force winds, hitting Southern California the hardest. After more than a week of ferocious weather, the system stalls for a few days. Another storm brews offshore and this time pummels Northern California.

Such a monster storm could unleash as much as 8 feet of rain over three weeks in some areas, said research meteorologist Martin Ralph with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, who is part of the project.

It makes the latest Pacific storm system look like a drop in the bucket. A weeklong siege of storms walloped California, flooding coasts and roads, spawning tornados and forcing the evacuation of about 2,000 homes below fire-scarred mountains for fear of mudslides. The National Weather Service said the storms dumped up to a foot in the mountains northwest of Los Angeles in a week.

Weather experts say West Coast storms could get more frequent and severe with climate change. Last fall, a team of federal, state and academic experts was formed to tackle what would happen if a series of powerful storms lashed at the state for 23 days. The scenario is expected to be completed this summer and will be used in a statewide disaster drill next year.

Ironically, the team had scheduled meetings at Caltech to learn about the fictional storm's impact to dams, sewage treatment plants, transportation and the electrical grid. About a dozen canceled due to the storms.

Full Article
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
Ozone depletion

NASA projections of stratospheric ozone concentrations if chlorofluorocarbons had not been banned.

The ozone layer can be depleted by free radical catalysts, including nitric oxide (NO), nitrous oxide (N2O), hydroxyl (OH), atomic chlorine (Cl), and atomic bromine (Br). While there are natural sources for all of these species, the concentrations of chlorine and bromine have increased markedly in recent years due to the release of large quantities of manmade organohalogen compounds, especially chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) and bromofluorocarbons.[3] These highly stable compounds are capable of surviving the rise to the stratosphere, where Cl and Br radicals are liberated by the action of ultraviolet light. Each radical is then free to initiate and catalyze a chain reaction capable of breaking down over 100,000 ozone molecules. The breakdown of ozone in the stratosphere results in the ozone molecules being unable to absorb ultraviolet radiation. Consequently, unabsorbed and dangerous ultraviolet-B radiation is able to reach the Earth’s surface.[citation needed] Ozone levels, over the northern hemisphere, have been dropping by 4% per decade. Over approximately 5% of the Earth's surface, around the north and south poles, much larger (but seasonal) declines have been seen; these are the ozone holes.

In 2009, nitrous oxide (N2O) was the largest ozone-depleting substance emitted through human activities.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ozone_layer#Ozone_depletion

Earth's growing nitrogen threat

It helps feed a hungry world, but it's worse than CO2.
While greening farms worldwide, much nitrogen washes into lakes, rivers, and the sea, causing rampant algae growth. More nitrogen billows from power-plant smokestacks, blowing in the wind until it settles as acid rain. Still other nitrogen gases remain in the atmosphere consuming the ozone layer. Nitrous oxide is nearly 300 times as potent as carbon dioxide – considered the leading cause of climate change – and the third most threatening greenhouse gas overall.
http://www.csmonitor.com/Environment/Living-Green/2010/0113/Earth-s-growing-nitrogen-threat

Possible solution for nitrogen threat see
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Biochar
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
Quoting Skyepony:
Reminds me, I've been reading "Divine Wind"~ Emanuel goes into hypercanes.. Says that moisture would vent up in the highest & normally driest layer, causing all sorts of chemical reactions & mass destruction of ozone..


Please give more info about this. Book? Author?

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
829. eddye
Will it get cold again in se fl
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
It's interesting that the 540 critical thickness was south of me while there was a thunderstorm...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
817
When the first siberian train arrived the US we had this too in europe here (starting around the beginning of december). Since than it pretty stayed this way. The siberian cold retreated a little but it was still below zero in most (northerly) parts of germany here. There has been many problems with public transport and electric shortages, especialy east of germany in poland. Cannot tell about russia though. The cold is considered by most as a real winter in long times. Each EU country has it's own story with this heavy winter which extended last "train" down to northern parts of africa (they reported snow) or florida for example. Around the equator (north/south) we see a lot of floods worldwide(cali, israel, saudi arabia, spain, albania, vietnam). In other areas it's snow. I think you can nail this down to an increase in precipitation - exactly what climate scientsit predict.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032


dropped 10 degrees the last 2 hours.. hmm

but i guess mostly everyone is watchin sum football lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
This is odd...





Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:
Well reading up on some articles about what they think might happen with this artic cold air for europe. there saying, it wont be as wide spread as last time like late december / early january..


what i mean by widespread.. i mean the snow wont be widespread..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Well reading up on some articles about what they think might happen with this artic cold air for europe. there saying, it wont be as wide spread as last time like late december / early january..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Skyepony:


Because the NAO is expected to be negative. Just not as extreme as the last arctic blast.


Ya i agree with ya skye, that it wont be that extreme but still can be messy if theres alot of moisture in play.. like sum models indicating..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
819. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:


okay is this coincidence if europe is expecting another cold air blast and maybe the US almost at similar time periods?? What ya'll think about this?


Because the NAO is expected to be negative. Just not as extreme as the last arctic blast.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
818. Skyepony (Mod)
NAO looks a little better, not the consensious of another prolonged, extreme artic weather for the SE.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:


okay is this coincidence if europe is expecting another cold air blast and maybe the US almost at similar time periods?? What ya'll think about this?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
816. Skyepony (Mod)
Reminds me, I've been reading "Divine Wind"~ Emanuel goes into hypercanes.. Says that moisture would vent up in the highest & normally driest layer, causing all sorts of chemical reactions & mass destruction of ozone..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
814. Skyepony (Mod)
Quoting Orcasystems:


SWMBO is relaxed and happy, which is the same as saying I am.. we know how that works :)

She was relaxed enough to be fishing Barracuda... with one on the line...and a beer in her other hand... at 730 in the morning. Can you get more relaxed?

Pic is in my blog comments


Outstanding! Well, give her LST and my best!
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Well, here go the NO Saints and the MN Vikings
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Portlight Haiti relief update
Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
810. beell


Tornado Watch 011
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Floodman:
Colts intercept the Jets, less than 2 minutes in the game, Colts 30, Jets 17.

Sorry, folks, I got pulled away from the blog for a little while; seems to happening a bit these days...LOL

Orca, I'm glad you enjoyed yourself; how is SWMBO?


SWMBO is relaxed and happy, which is the same as saying I am.. we know how that works :)

She was relaxed enough to be fishing Barracuda... with one on the line...and a beer in her other hand... at 730 in the morning. Can you get more relaxed?

Pic is in my blog comments
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Colts intercept the Jets, less than 2 minutes in the game, Colts 30, Jets 17.

Sorry, folks, I got pulled away from the blog for a little while; seems to happening a bit these days...LOL

Orca, I'm glad you enjoyed yourself; how is SWMBO?
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
I do NOT like that 1051MB H over the NW Territories on the 18Z GFS on Day 5, 114 HRS out. It looks like it will not penetrate the US, if it does, well, ya know what happens, instant replay of the early Jan '10 Siberian outbreak!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Bordonaro:
Indianapolis Colts 27, NY Jets 17; 4th quarter, 3:19 left in the game :0)

OMG, My Bad. Thanks for update.
Happy for T-Dude, TampaSpin, & other Indiana fans.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Indianapolis Colts 27, NY Jets 17; 4th quarter, 3:19 left in the game :0)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Bordonaro:
801. Orca, not this time. Long range GFS and ECMWF models hinted that we would have another Arctic air intrusion. I rate the last "big-gun" an 8 in severity, on a scale of 1 to 10, this Arctic outbreak one may be closer to a 4 or 5.


Nah, its the AFC playoff game that killed the blog, not you :0)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
801. Orca, not this time. Long range GFS and ECMWF models hinted that we would have another Arctic air intrusion. I rate the last "big-gun" an 8 in severity, on a scale of 1 to 10, this Arctic outbreak one may be closer to a 4 or 5.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Geez, glad Bordo showed up.

I killed the blog for awhile just asking a weather question. That's what I get for asking a Mid-Atlantic question...at least I can blame a lull on football, today anyway.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Bordonaro:

The precip may end as snow, sleet and or frezzing rain, with temps about 10 to 12 below normal for 3 days.


Watch me get blamed for it again...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:


ya will do! plus GFS models r sayin maybe a mix for me when that cold air comes down.. b/c there expecting more moisture.. but and again, depends if it forms on time with the cold air.. But some models have been giving the gulf coast alot of systems.. so we will c..


I haven't looked at any of the computer models for awhile, however I believe we may have more Arctic air move into the US than the current models are advertising. Just a hunch.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Orcasystems:


KOG has the fans spinning up now that I am home :)

Snow??

The precip may end as snow, sleet and or frezzing rain, with temps about 10 to 12 below normal for 3 days.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
794. Walshy, that caught my attention.

Does anybody see anything other than a low-to-moderate chance of snow for a bit farther north?

Right now we're under a flash flood watch, only, but it's supposed to rain all day tomorrow.

797. That looks cool. Surprised by the decent color and clarity.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
idk if it was a glitch in my radar.. I thought i saw possible rotation nortwest of panama city.. thats just NNE of vernon..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:


AOI

AOI

AOI

AOI

Humor in Comments
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Potential Winter Storm for the south-east next weekend.


NWS in Blacksburg VA, Raleigh NC and Greenville SC are now telling viewers to monitor the forecast over the next few days for the potential winter storm next Friday - Sunday.


GFS bringing in cold air with deep moisture while the ECMWF brings in slightly warmer air. If model runs are consistent expect the chance of a winter storm to increase.



If I do recall there was a saying about thunderstorms in the winter brings in snow the next week!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Current Tornado Warnings:

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN IRWIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
TIFT COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF TIFTON...

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EMANUEL COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA
EASTERN TREUTLEN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN BEN HILL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...
NORTHWESTERN IRWIN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA...

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHWESTERN SIMPSON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Recent graph 01/04/2010

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Orcasystems:


Nope.. tanned and fatter :)


That's not good your white spots could get sunburned easier.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
wow its really humid and perfect for sum good storms.. :(
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Bordonaro:


Yes, the Arctic air is coming back. It will not be as severe as last outbreak about 1-10-10. However, N TX will go from the 60/70's for high down to the upper 30's, so it's a serious cold front. As of today, the cold snap will last about 3 days in TX, starting Th-Sa, with a Su warm-up in Dallas-Ft Worth, TX. So, just get ready!


KOG has the fans spinning up now that I am home :)

Snow??
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Bordonaro:


Yes, the Arctic air is coming back. It will not be as severe as last outbreak about 1-10-10. However, N TX will go from the 60/70's for high down to the upper 30's, so it's a serious cold front. As of today, the cold snap will last about 3 days in TX, starting Th-Sa, with a Su warm-up in Dallas-Ft Worth, TX. So, just get ready!


ya will do! plus GFS models r sayin maybe a mix for me when that cold air comes down.. b/c there expecting more moisture.. but and again, depends if it forms on time with the cold air.. But some models have been giving the gulf coast alot of systems.. so we will c..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Sorry for this political piece, but it is somekind of neutral news and affects future climate ;)

Election energizes climate bill talks
Graham, Kerry, Lieberman meet with Rahm Emanuel -- and then Chamber of Commerce, whose VP of Gov't Affairs said, “generally we were in synch"!
http://climateprogress.org/

The world needs more of this synch in order to solve future crisis and current.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 11 Comments: 2032
Quoting MethaneMike:
Click my blog to see how active the sun spots were past couple of days building up to this 140 year plus event--it's all ELECTRICAL, baby!


Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2010 Jan 23 2201 UTC

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 023 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jan 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22/2100Z
to 23/2100Z: Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past
24 hours. Isolated low level B-flares were observed. Region 1041
(S24E35) is now classified as a Eai-beta with 9 spots. Region 1042
(N22W42) is now classified as a Cao-beta with 11 spots. No new
regions were numbered today.

IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low to low levels with a slight chance for an isolated
M-flare.

IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22/2100Z to 23/2100Z:
The geomagnetic field was predominantly quiet for the past 24 hours.

IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (24-26
January).

III. Event Probabilities 24 Jan-26 Jan
Class M 20/20/20
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green

IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 23 Jan 085
Predicted 24 Jan-26 Jan 085/086/087
90 Day Mean 23 Jan 077

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jan 002/002
Estimated Afr/Ap 23 Jan 003/005
Predicted Afr/Ap 24 Jan-26 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jan-26 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 00/00/00
B. High Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 00/00/00

SUN Looks pretty quiet according to Noaa:
Been that way a lot longer than it ever has in the past.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 836 - 786

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.