Strongest winter storm in at least 140 years whallops Southwest U.S.

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:18 PM GMT on January 22, 2010

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The most powerful low pressure system in 140 years of record keeping swept through the Southwest U.S. yesterday, bringing deadly flooding, tornadoes, hail, hurricane force winds, and blizzard conditions. We expect to get powerful winter storms affecting the Southwest U.S. during strong El Niño events, but yesterday's storm was truly epic in its size and intensity. The storm set all-time low pressure records over roughly 10 - 15% of the U.S.--over southern Oregon, and most of California, Nevada, Arizona, and Utah. Old records were broken by a wide margin in many locations, most notably in Los Angeles, where the old record of 29.25" set January 17, 1988, was shattered by .18" (6 mb). Bakersfield broke its record by .30" (10 mb). The record-setting low spawned an extremely intense cold front that rumbled thought the Southwest, and winds ahead of the cold front reached sustained speeds of hurricane force--74 mph--last night at Apache Junction, 40 miles east of Phoenix. Wind gusts as high as 94 mph were recorded in Ajo, Arizona, and a Personal Weather Station in Summerhaven (on top of Mt. Lemmon next to Tucson) recorded sustained winds of 67 mph, gusting to 86 mph, before the power failed. Prescott recorded sustained winds at 52 mph, gusting to 67 as the cold front passed, and high winds plunged visibility to zero in blowing dust on I-10 connecting Phoenix and Tucson. The storm spawned one possible tornado in Arizona, which touched down at 8:32 pm MST in Phoenix near Desert Ridge Mall. No damage or injuries were reported. If verified, it would be only the 7th January tornado in Arizona since record keeping began in 1950.


Figure 1. Radar reflectivity from the Phoenix Doppler radar at the time of the Phoenix tornado. The tornado touched down under the circle with a "+" inside it. The Doppler velocity image did not show any rotation to the clouds in the vicinity.

Some of the all-time low pressure records set in yesterday's storm:
Los Angeles, CA: 29.07", Old Record: 29.25", January 17, 1988
Eureka, CA: 28.90", Old Record: 28.91", February 1891
San Diego, CA: 29.15", Old Record, 29.37", March 3, 1983
Fresno, CA: 28.94", Old Record, 29.10", January 27, 1916
Bakersfield, CA: 28.94", Old Record, 29.24", February 3, 1998

Salt Lake City, UT: 28.94", Old Record, 29.00" April 2002

Reno, NV: 28.94", Old Record, 29.00", January 27, 1916
Las Vegas, NV: 29.03" Old Record: 29.17", December 1949

Phoenix, AZ: 29.22", Old Record: 29.32", May 18, 1902
Flagstaff, AZ: 29.13", Old Record: 29.15", February 7, 1937
Yuma, AZ: 29.15", Old Record: 29.37", September 12, 1927

Three tornadoes in California
Three tornadoes were reported in California yesterday. A small EF0 twister hit the east side of Ventura, leaving a 1.5 mile damage path. Another tornado hit Santa Barbara, downing trees and power poles. The most damaging California tornado yesterday touched down just west of Blythe, on the Arizona-California border, at 4:31 pm MST. The twister crossed I-10, blowing three semi trucks over, ripping the roofs off houses, and downing power lines. I-10 was closed for several hours to clear the debris and toppled trucks.

Two tornadoes also hit Southern California on Tuesday. A sheriff's deputy spotted a possible tornado in Goleta that caused some roof damage, and another tornado hit Huntington Beach, damaging boats and buildings and flipping cars.

If all five tornadoes are confirmed as genuine by the National Weather Service, it will tie the record of most January California tornadoes. The all-time record for most California tornadoes in a single day is seven, set on April 1, 1996, and November 9, 1982.


Figure 2. Radar reflectivity from the Los Angeles Doppler radar at the time of the Santa Barbara tornado.

Figure 3. Storm-relative radial velocity from the Los Angeles Doppler radar at the time of the Santa Barbara tornado. The area of yellow and orange colors, lying right next to a region of blues and greens just west of Santa Barbara shows that the winds in that region were moving towards and away from the radar in a very tight area, signifying the presence of a rotating thunderstorm and possible tornado.

The storm will continue to bring heavy rain and snow to many portions the Southwest today, then wind down on Saturday. A new storm is expected to move ashore over Northern California on Sunday night, but this storm will not be as intense. Another storm is also possible next Friday, January 29, but it appears that a renewed battering by a long succession of storms like we had this week will not occur next week.

Selected storm total snowfalls (in inches) from 7 am Sunday January 17, through 7 am PST Friday January 22:
...ARIZONA...
FLAGSTAFF 3.2 NNW 36.5
SUNRISE MOUNTAIN 29.0
FOREST LAKES 26.0
HEBER 21.0
PINETOP/LAKESIDE 4 ESE 20.4
ALPINE 20.0
CLAY SPRINGS 20.0
CLINTS WELL 19.0
KACHINA VILLAGE 18.6
WILLIAMS 16.5
PRESCOTT 7.0

...CALIFORNIA...
CHAGOOPA PLATEAU 73.6
SODA SPRINGS 63.0
SUGAR BOWL 61.0
LWR RELIEF VALLEY 50.6
KIRKWOOD 48.0
SQUAW VALLEY 47.0
SIERRA AT TAHOE 38.0
BIG BEAR CITY 37.0

...COLORADO...
DURANGO 24.0
PAGOSA SPRINGS 9 NW 24.0
SILVERTON 24.0
WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SSE 24.0
ABAJO 19.0
TELLURIDE 15.0
COAL BANK PASS 14.5
RED MTN 12.3
CREEDE 10 SW 12.0
SOUTH FORK 4 SW 12.0
MOLAS PASS 10.0

...NEW MEXICO...
JEMEZ SPRINGS 14.0
CHAMA 12.0
FARMINGTON 7 NE 10.5
AZTEC 8.0
BLUEWATER LAKE 11 WSW 8.0
BONITO LAKE 5 SW 8.0
FARMINGTON 7 NE 8.0
LUNA 8.0
KIRTLAND 2 ESE 6.0
MOGOLLON 6 ESE 6.0
RAMAH 6.0
BLOOMFIELD 3 SW 5.5
LOS ALAMOS 5.5

...NEVADA...
YUCCA FLAT 20.0
BERRY CREEK 19.0
BIG CREEK SUMMIT 16.0
DRAW CREEK 13.0
POLE CREEK R.S. 13.0
MT. POTOSI 12.0
ELY 8.3
WARD MOUNTAIN 8.0
CHARLESTON 6.0

...UTAH...
BRIGHTON CREST 35.0
ALTA/COLLINS 33.5
DEER VALLEY DALY WEST 28.0
PARK CITY JUPITER PEAK 28.0
BIG COTTONWOOD SPRUCES 19.0
SOLITUDE 17.5
SNOWBIRD 13.5

Selected storm total precipitation (in inches) from 7 am Sunday January 17, through 7 am PST Friday January 22:
...ARIZONA...
DAVIS-MONTHAN AFB/TUCSON 10.23
BLACK CANYON CITY 10 N 6.57
CROWN KING 6.50
SURPRISE 1 ESE 5.58
SUN CITY WEST 2 NNE 4.78
COTTONWOOD 1 WSW 4.63
SCOTTSDALE 5.5 NNW 4.21
NEW RIVER 5 ESE 4.05
WITTMAN 5 SW 4.05
PAYSON 4.01
PINE 1 SW 4.00
SIERRA VISTA 3.83
LUKE AFB/PHOENIX 3.58
CASTLE HOT SPRINGS 3.55
FLAGSTAFF PULLIAM AP 3.41
CLIFTON 2.96
WINSLOW 2.84
GILBERT 4 NW 2.74
CHANDLER 4 WNW 2.72
YUMA MCAF 2.43
PRESCOTT/ERNEST A LOVE FIELD AP 2.28
PHOENIX AIRPORT 2.21
TUCSON AIRPORT 0.52

...CALIFORNIA...
LOS GATOS 4 SW 14.70
CAZADERO 13.46
LYTLE CREEK 13.39
MINING RIDGE 13.14
PETROLIA 7 SE 12.17
BARTLETT SPRINGS 11.23
LAKE ARROWHEAD 11.23
ALTADENA 1 ESE 11.14
CLOVERDALE 1 S 10.30
CRESTLINE 10.27
DEVORE 9.58
DESERT HOT SPRINGS 8.04
UKIAH MUNI ARPT 7.58
NEWHALL 7.08
SANTA ROSA/SONOMA CO ARPT 6.55
SAN LUIS OBISPO ARPT 5.37
SAN DIEGO/MONTGOMERY FIELD 4.32
SAN FRANCISCO INTL ARPT 4.30
LOS ANGELES-USC 3.89
PALM SPRINGS RGNL ARPT 3.75
SACRAMENTO METRO ARPT 3.65
SAN JOSE INTL ARPT 3.19

...NEVADA...
NORTH LAS VEGAS AIRPORT 1.50
HENDERSON AIRPORT 1.17
MERCURY/DESERT ROCK ARPT 1.06

...OREGON...
AGNESS 6.4 NE 3.90
PORT ORFORD 5.0 E 3.52
BROOKINGS 4.2 ENE 2.83
BANDON 11.4 S 2.67
ASTORIA 1.45

...WASHINGTON...
HOQUIAM/BOWERMAN AIRPORT 2.01

Tornadoes, severe weather in the South
Severe weather associated with a separate storm brought damaging winds, hail, and tornadoes to portions of Kentucky, Tennessee, Georgia, Alabama, and Florida last night. Two tornadoes were reported, one in Tennessee, and one in Alabama, near Huntsville. The Huntsville tornado injured approximately six people, and cut power to 10,000 people. The storm responsible for the severe weather has moved out to sea, and no further severe weather is expected today. A slight chance of severe weather is expected Saturday over Arkansas and Mississippi, and there is also a severe weather threat for Georgia and surrounding states on Sunday.


Figure 4. Last night's Huntsville, Alabama tornado was captured by wunderphotographer Southampton.

Portlight's Paul Timmons to appear on NBC and CNN
Portlight.org, the disaster-relief charity that has sprung up from the hard work and dedication of many members of the wunderground.com community, has successfully shipped medical equipment and a water filtration unit capable of supplying the needs of 3,500 people per day to the Dominican Republic. The relief supplies were trucked to Haiti via road, and have made it to the earthquake zone. The supplies have been targeted to go to those with disabilities, or to those who are living in areas where the main aid efforts have been inadequate. Portlight is working through the local Catholic Church, which is probably best positioned to deliver private aid donations to those in need. Paul Timmons, leader of the Portlight relief efforts, is scheduled to appear on NBC news later today, and on CNN news tomorrow, to discuss Portlight's efforts.


Figure 5. Walkers and medical supplies for Haiti getting ready to ship from the Portlight warehouse in Atlanta.

Please visit the Portlight.org blog to learn more. Floodman's blog has the latest info on Portlight's plan for Haitian relief. The Reeve Foundation, founded by Christopher and Dana Reeve has awarded Portlight Strategies a $10,000 Quality of of Life grant to assist in the relief efforts in Haiti. This is very big and will allow Portlight to pursue more aggressive relief efforts over the course of the next few weeks.

For those of you more interested in helping out with the long-term rebuilding of Haiti's shattered infrastructure from the quake, I recommend a contribution to Lambi Fund of Haiti, a charity that is very active in promoting reforestation efforts, use of alternative fuels, and infrastructure improvements at a grass-roots level in Haiti. I've developed a great respect for the work they do in the country in the five years I've been a supporter.

Next post
My next post will be Monday.

Jeff Masters

Road disappears in flood in San Luis Obispo, California (annestahl)
Cops stand by closed road.
Road disappears in flood in San Luis Obispo, California
Southern California Snow (gemd)
A Pacific storm (usually warm) came and dropped snow in Southern California in area which rarely see snow. This was not even an "insider slider" (lingo for a northern, non-Pacific cold jet stream). Snow days for schools are rampant and there are many accidents on the roadways. Our snow is not the typical fluff, but very wet and slick.
Southern California Snow
Prescott 2010 Snowstorm (kempix)
Heavy Snowstorm came in last night with almost a foot of snow in the mountains of Prescott.
Prescott 2010 Snowstorm
Bad Luck (scphotos)
the ocean in Santa Barbara takes no prisoners
Bad Luck
Blue Thunder Bolt (LianesLightroom)
Amazing bolt of lightning strikes the Pacific Ocean in Manhattan Beach, CA.
Blue Thunder Bolt
Shrouded in Clouds (ChandlerMike)
I took a drive this morning to document some of this amazing weather we're having in Arizona. My path took me over to the Superstition Mountains east of Phoenix and I beheld some sights that I don't expect to see again. (HDR)
Shrouded in Clouds

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TOP PRIORITY
TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 4
Issued by the Bureau of Meteorology, Brisbane
Issued at 7:48pm EST on Saturday the 23rd of January 2010

A Cyclone WARNING has been declared for coastal areas from Cape Flattery to
Innisfail.

A Cyclone WATCH has is now current for coastal areas from Coen to Cape Flattery
and Innisfail to Lucinda.

At 7:00 pm EST Tropical Cyclone Olga, Category 1 was estimated to be
335 kilometres east northeast of Cairns and 400 kilometres north northeast of
Townsville moving west at 18 kilometres per hour while intensifying.

TROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA, CATEGORY 1, is currently over the northwest Coral Sea and
is moving towards the coast while intensifying.

Gale force winds and heavy rainfall are expected to develop about the coast
between Cape Flattery and Innisfail on Sunday afternoon.
People between Cape Flattery and Innisfail should take precautions and listen
to the next Advice at 11pm Saturday. If you are unsure about precautions to be
taken, information is available from your local government or local State
Emergency Service.

People between Coen to Cape Flattery and Innisfail to Lucinda should consider
what action they will need to take if the cyclone threat increases. If you are
unsure about the actions to be taken, information is available from your local
government or local State Emergency Service.

Details of Tropical Cyclone Olga at 7:00 pm EST:
.Centre located near...... 16.2 degrees South 148.8 degrees East
.Location accuracy........ within 55 kilometres
.Recent movement.......... towards the west at 18 kilometres per hour
.Wind gusts near centre... 120 kilometres per hour
.Severity category........ 1
.Central pressure......... 987 hectoPascals

The next advice will be issued by 11:00 pm EST Saturday 23 January.

________________________________________________________________

TROPICAL CYCLONE TECHNICAL BULLETIN: AUSTRALIA - EASTERN REGION
Issued by BRISBANE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE
at: 0655 UTC 23/01/2010
Name: Tropical Cyclone Olga
Identifier: 07U
Data At: 0600 UTC
Latitude: 16.5S
Longitude: 149.2E
Location Accuracy: within 30 nm [55 km]
Movement Towards: west [260 deg]
Speed of Movement: 11 knots [20 km/h]
Maximum 10-Minute Wind: 45 knots [85 km/h]
Maximum 3-Second Wind Gust: 65 knots [120 km/h]
Central Pressure: 990 hPa
Radius of 34-knot winds NE quadrant: 60 nm [110 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SE quadrant: 60 nm [110 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds SW quadrant: 60 nm [110 km]
Radius of 34-knot winds NW quadrant: 60 nm [110 km]
Radius of 48-knot winds NE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SE quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds SW quadrant:
Radius of 48-knot winds NW quadrant:
Radius of 64-knot winds:
Radius of Maximum Winds: 20 nm [35 km]
Dvorak Intensity Code: T3.0/3.0/S0.0/12HRS
Pressure of outermost isobar: 1000 hPa
Radius of outermost closed isobar: 100 nm [185 km]
Storm Depth: Deep
FORECAST DATA
Date/Time : Location : Loc. Accuracy: Max Wind : Central Pressure
[UTC] : degrees : nm [km]: knots[km/h]: hPa
+12: 23/1800: 15.9S 147.0E: 060 [110]: 055 [100]: 980
+24: 24/0600: 16.1S 145.8E: 080 [150]: 050 [095]: 983
+36: 24/1800: 16.6S 143.8E: 110 [205]: 030 [055]: 996
+48: 25/0600: 17.2S 142.0E: 120 [220]: 025 [045]: 998
+60: 25/1800: 17.1S 140.6E: 140 [260]: 025 [045]: 997
+72: 26/0600: 17.2S 139.6E: 160 [295]: 025 [045]: 997
REMARKS:
T3.0 chiefly based on MET. Convection has persisted through the day and the low
level circulation is now under this deep convection. Shear is expected to
decrease over the next 36 hours as the system moves west.

Copyright Commonwealth of Australia
==
The next bulletin for this system will be issued by: 23/1300 UTC by Brisbane
TCWC.


Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting peejodo:

Just reading your other posts as well as this one. What is the humidity when you have a rapid temperature drop like you have just had? I would assume it would be low.

Humidity started off at about 10% most of today, Currently 73%. Once the cold change came through the humidity rapidly rose. The temp is now half what it was at 15:30 EDT 21C(69.8F) Today's max temp was 42.5C(108.1F).
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Good early morning all
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8360
Hi I was gonna post.I kinda don't have anything to say.Guess I'll listen to music. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:


Now
70.9°F rising
Updated at 17:20 EDT

Just reading your other posts as well as this one. What is the humidity when you have a rapid temperature drop like you have just had? I would assume it would be low.
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Quoting Floridano:
G'morning, all! :)
yet it is good
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Wow... thanks to all the people who posted pictures in this entry... I want to use that arizona storm as my desktop background. Amazing that this storm is going straight across to the east coast with a ton of rain in almost februrary... do not remember the last time we had rain this late in winter in upstate new york.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting transitzone:

Outstanding shots and processing indeed, very well done! The HDR notation means High Dynamic Range, a processing technique combining multiple different exposures of the same shot into a single image, usually used to bring out details in the shadows, like here.

Looks like what the road leading to hell would look like.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:
72.0°F falling
Updated at 17:01 EDT
Today's high was 108.1F at 15:30 EDT


Now
70.9°F rising
Updated at 17:20 EDT
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PcolaDan:
WOW,that new picture at the end of Dr Masters text, of Superstition Mountain is absolutely beautiful. An award winning shot IMHO. Need to make sure that one is copyrighted.

Outstanding shots and processing indeed, very well done! The HDR notation means High Dynamic Range, a processing technique combining multiple different exposures of the same shot into a single image, usually used to bring out details in the shadows, like here.
Member Since: March 22, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 62
72.0°F falling
Updated at 17:01 EDT
Today's high was 108.1F at 15:30 EDT
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
G'morning, all! :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PcolaDan:
WOW,that new picture at the end of Dr Masters text, of Superstition Mountain is absolutely beautiful. An award winning shot IMHO. Need to make sure that one is copyrighted.
it is more than a nice shot. amazing!!!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Sydney melts under its hottest day in four years
Press Release, Saturday January 23, 2010 - 16:27 EDT

Sydney just experienced it's hottest day in four years, topping at a whopping 41C(105.8F) at Observatory Hill, a full 15C(59F) above average. This also happened to be the second hottest January day since 1961.

The day started unusually, with air conditioners and ceiling fans already tired from working full-throttle overnight. Sydney Airport had an overnight minimum of just 26C(78.8F), it's sweatiest on record.

Meteorologist for weatherzone.com.au Sam Terry explained why such extreme heat was happening.

"Due to a lack of cloud cover, a region of heat has been building over Australia's interior. Most of the time this just stays put, but a recent trough has forced all this hot air over the NSW coast, leading to the conditions we saw today."

By 9am, Richmond had already hit 35C(95F) degrees and the city 32C(89.6F), despite an increase in cloud cover, but the heat didn't stop there.

Every official observation site across the Sydney Basin exceed 40C(104F). Fire Danger was Severe to Extreme, in some cases the highest in two-and-a-half years.

As residents city-wide looked to the heavens in supplication, sweet relief manifested itself in the form of a gusty southerly change.

"The change has been moving quickly along the NSW coast since this morning," Terry said. "It reached Sydney just after 3pm, with gusts in excess of 90 km/h(55miles/h), enough to cause damage to infrastructure.

"Thankfully, the change has dropped temperatures in excess of 10C(50F), quite large really. The cooler temperature will remain into tomorrow, as winds stay onshore."

- Weatherzone
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PcolaDan:


Thanks. Seemed extreme to me, but literally a whole different world there.

Shut eye for me. ttfn

Getting a lot of pop up storms here due to the rapid cooling of the air, as seen on RADAR
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:

Nope, they just cool the place down by about 10C then it warms up again.


Thanks. Seemed extreme to me, but literally a whole different world there.

Shut eye for me. ttfn
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PcolaDan:


I admit to knowing next to nothing about Australian weather, but isn't it kind of early for a strong cold front like that?

Nope, they just cool the place down by about 10C then it warms up again.

Now@ Homebush, Sydney, Australia
78.3F falling
Wind: SSE 23kt
Wind Gusts: 36kt
Updated at 16:10 EDT

Today's high was 108.1F, in 40mins the temp has dropped 29.9F.
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Quoting AussieStorm:


NSW SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
Locally Damaging Winds
For people in the
Illawarra, Metropolitan Districts

Issued at 2:00 pm on Saturday 23 January 2010

Synoptic Situation: 12:00 noon EDT Saturday
A cold vigorous cold front is moving northwards along the southern NSW coast,
bringing strong to gale force winds along the southern coast.

Winds gusts in excess of 90 km/h can be expected near and behind the front along
the coastal fringe.

Kiama has reported a gust of 102 km/hr.


I admit to knowing next to nothing about Australian weather, but isn't it kind of early for a strong cold front like that?
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WOW,that new picture at the end of Dr Masters text, of Superstition Mountain is absolutely beautiful. An award winning shot IMHO. Need to make sure that one is copyrighted.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PcolaDan:


Okay, what causes a drop like that. Not a cloud in the sky, is there?


NSW SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
Locally Damaging Winds
For people in the
Illawarra, Metropolitan Districts

Issued at 2:00 pm on Saturday 23 January 2010

Synoptic Situation: 12:00 noon EDT Saturday
A cold vigorous cold front is moving northwards along the southern NSW coast,
bringing strong to gale force winds along the southern coast.

Winds gusts in excess of 90 km/h can be expected near and behind the front along
the coastal fringe.

Kiama has reported a gust of 102 km/hr. (Kiama is about 50km south of Sydney)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:


Homebush, Sydney, Australia
108.1F at 15:20 EDT


Now: 84.0F falling
Updated at 15:43 EDT

24.1F drop in 23mins.


Okay, what causes a drop like that. Not a cloud in the sky, is there?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:



Homebush, Sydney, Australia
108.1F at 15:20 EDT


Now: 84.0F falling
Updated at 15:43 EDT

24.1F drop in 23mins.



Now
80.6°F falling
Updated at 15:50 EDT
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting PcolaDan:


That's just crazy!!


Homebush, Sydney, Australia
108.1F at 15:20 EDT


Now: 84.0F falling
Updated at 15:43 EDT

24.1F drop in 23mins.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AussieStorm:
Homebush, Sydney, Australia
Now:108.1°F rising
Updated at 15:20 EDT

Looks like summer in Texas ;-)
Member Since: March 22, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 62
Quoting AussieStorm:
Homebush, Sydney, Australia
Now:108.1°F rising
Updated at 15:20 EDT


That's just crazy!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting botsmaker:
I did a time lapse of my barometer as the storm went through the San Francicso bay area (Hayward). The pressure really did drop low.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0y8iy7Rw1w0


This is just too cool to not have it posted here for people to see. So, without your permission. (Hope you don't mind.)
edit: LOL Okay, a fried Aussie and I posted at the same time.

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Quoting Tazmanian:
ll so here we pick up 2ft of snow all so the snow has turn too Freezing Rain

all so the power went out this AM and the power went out a round 5pm so i been with out power for some time now the olny way i talking to you right now is by back up power on my laptop

hey FL give me a few of them 70s weather Please oh 80s would be nic
He he.... back when we were freezing our @#$@$ off, u guys were in the 70s and dry as anything....
Member Since: October 25, 2005 Posts: 19 Comments: 22592
Quoting botsmaker:
I did a time lapse of my barometer as the storm went through the San Francicso bay area (Hayward). The pressure really did drop low.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0y8iy7Rw1w0

Comment removed. See Comment 411.
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Homebush, Sydney, Australia
Now:108.1°F rising
Updated at 15:20 EDT
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
I did a time lapse of my barometer as the storm went through the San Francicso bay area (Hayward). The pressure really did drop low.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0y8iy7Rw1w0
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Quoting abrahambenjudea:
Some people here need to learn the difference between "Theory, hypothesis & assumptions." Such as 'El nino exists.'


Amen! The common concept of "theory" is so different from the scientific concept of "theory" that we may as well be speaking in different languages.
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405. Skyepony (Mod)
I think Emanuel questioned it because a few models didn't fair well recreating recent events, though there was also some compelling evidence. Closer..& I had seen that interview, not the rest of the publishing. & as usual sidetracked looking.. Remember the big tado when EPA was given the power to curb some polluting?

After hottest decade in history, senators attempt to outlaw science of global warming.

NYT: Warmest decade, Senators bar EPAs scientists announce that the 2000s were the hottest decade in recorded history, U.S. senators are working to outlaw the reality of global warming. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration reported yesterday that 2009 is %u201Ctied with a cluster of other years %u2014 1998, 2002, 2003, 2006 and 2007 %u2014 as the second warmest year since recordkeeping began,%u201D after 2005, the hottest year in history. Meanwhile, thirty-nine senators introduced a resolution to reverse the finding that global warming pollution is a threat to public health and welfare:

Ms. [Lisa] Murkowski (R-AK), joined by 35 Republicans and three conservative Democrats, proposed to use the Congressional Review Act to strip the agency of the power to limit emissions of greenhouse gases under the Clean Air Act. The Supreme Court gave the agency legal authority to regulate such emissions in a landmark 2007 ruling.

After years of suppression and interference by the George W. Bush White House, the Environmental Protection Agency finally found last month that %u201Cgreenhouse gases taken in combination endanger both the public health and the public welfare of current and future generations.%u201D The Democrats co-sponsoring Senate Joint Resolution 26 to overturn the endangerment finding are Mary Landrieu (D-LA), Ben Nelson (D-NE), and Blanche Lincoln (D-AR).
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ll so here we pick up 2ft of snow all so the snow has turn too Freezing Rain

all so the power went out this AM and the power went out a round 5pm so i been with out power for some time now the olny way i talking to you right now is by back up power on my laptop

hey FL give me a few of them 70s weather Please oh 80s would be nic
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Quoting Patrap:
I believe thermometers are a tad older than 2-3 decades,and to be sure,,the English,Spanish and other early World Mariners kept meticulous records from SST's to currents to astronomical measurements.

Cuz they depended on them,for their economies,Warring,and well,cuz they were a tad curious.

But hey,thats just my Logic.


Go against the grain all one wants..but it dosent change the science and facts as they are in reality.

And ALL the consensus of the science community regard the current theory as stated on the Atmospheres Warming as well as surface temps..





Gaia dont blog,,..but shes a BIG time Lurker I hear



"Snicker,grin,..ack"..


Is there a place to discuss Gaia?
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Quoting Patrap:
You Sounds Like a Politician now Atmo..

Are you running ?

...here's one to consider..

"Most of us scientists are a little uneasy about what seems to be the lack of urgency that is felt about climate change," he said. "It's an issue where Louisiana should be at the forefront nationwide, making the case that this is something we have to deal with."

Emeritus LSU coastal scientist John Day went further, warning that without quick action to both limit emissions and address the already eroding coastline, the effects could be disastrous, considering 60 percent of the state's population and economic investment lies in the coastal zone.

"If they don't do something, you can write off most of New Orleans," Day said. "It's impossible to protect coastal communities without wetlands, and to build levees without wetlands in front of them would be prohibitively expensive."





UN abandons climate change deadline
By Fiona Harvey in London and Anna Fifield in Washington

Published: January 20 2010 20:25 | Last updated: January 20 2010 20:25

The timetable to reach a global deal to tackle climate change lay in tatters on Wednesday after the United Nations waived the first deadline of the process laid out at last month’s fractious Copenhagen summit.

Nations agreed then to declare their emissions reduction targets by the end of this month. Developed countries would state their intended cuts by 2020: developing countries would outline how they would curb emissions growth.

EDITOR’S CHOICE
Scientists in glacier claim controversy - Jan-20In depth: Climate change - Jan-21Copenhagen’s true effect yet to be seen - Jan-17World weather shifts off balance - Jan-12Indian PM calls for fairness in climate fight - Jan-05Outlay on green tech set to grow - Jan-07But Yvo de Boer, the UN’s senior climate change official, admitted the deadline had in effect been shelved.

“By [the end of] January, countries will have the opportunity to . . . indicate if they want to be associated with the accord,” he said. “[Governments could] indicate by the deadline, or they can also indicate later.”

“You could describe it as a soft deadline,” Mr de Boer said. “There is nothing deadly about it. If [countries] fail to meet it, they can still associate with the Copenhagen accord after.”

UN carbon trading scheme
FT interactive graphic: Explore the technologies adopted and various developing nations’ level of participation
Countries pushing for a new legally binding treaty on climate change will be disappointed, as The waiving of the deadline sets a bad precedent for efforts to finalise a deal this year. The next scheduled meeting is not until late May, in Germany, with another in late November, in Mexico but many officials say more will be needed.

India, China, Brazil and South Africa, which meet this weekend, are likely to insist on deep cuts from developed nations but offer few concessions of their own.

The result of Tuesday’s Massachusetts senatorial election, which took away Barack Obama’s super-majority in the Senate, is likely to push climate change further down the US agenda. It was the latest in a series of setbacks that have caused efforts to push a cap-and-trade bill through the Senate to grind to a halt, making it harder for the White House to participate meaningfully in global climate negotiations.

Instead, the administration has been pressing ahead with steps to limit the US’s carbon emissions through regulation. The Environmental Protection Agency has unveiled new draft rules that would sharply tighten regulations on smog-building pollutants, or ground-level ozone, and has cracked down on greenhouse gas emissions by ruling that carbon dioxide and five other gases pose a danger to health.

They will ram it thru one way or another.
Ideaology Hmm.

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Atmoaggie - Yes, confusing. I think the result depended on which set of temperature data they used. These were generated by an independent set of models. I've got tomorrow off so I'll check out the article myself at the library.
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Any news about when Paul and CNN will be on?
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Skyepony.... YOU RULE!
Quoting Skyepony:
Fraidycat~ It's online, at least more of it than that. I saw it. Look more when I get back, if ya'll hadn't found it.
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Current Extremes In Australia.
Hottest:Penrith, NSW/ACT 107.4°F (Sydney Suburb) (My place: 104.5°F)
Coldest: Mt Read, Tas 41.7°F
Windiest:Kiama, NSW/ACT:S 81km/h
Wettest: Low Isles, Qld 14.8mm last hr
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Watch out, I now no how to post video's.... hehehehe
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Hobart has been breaking records for its high temps this year also.

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Quoting Skyepony:
Fraidycat~ It's online, at least more of it than that. I saw it. Look more when I get back, if ya'll hadn't found it.

Umm, found someone else's take on that work in the process of looking for more.

When they applied their models to the conditions characterizing the known period from 1980-2006, they simulated more than 50% fewer category 4&5 hurricanes than were actually observed (and more than 4 times fewer of the most intense hurricanes). Instead of 40 total category 4&5 storms that were observed during the 27 years from 1980-2006, their models simulated somewhere around 16 (depending on their particular model). When the Bender et al. models were run under end-of-the-21st-century conditions, they produced about 29 category 4&5 hurricanes. This is a 81% increase in the model world, but in fact, 25% below what the real world has produced under current conditions.

Wow. Is that true?


Top 2 are the modeled result for 1980 to 2006 cat 4 & 5 hurricanes. Bottom is actual category 4 & 5 storms for the same period.

Forecasting an increase while undershooting the current.

Not sure what to make of this study.

http://www.worldclimatereport.com/index.php/2010/01/21/more-or-less-intense-hurricanes/
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393. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)


TC 07U (Olga)
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380:

Olga is expected to cross into the Gulf of Carpentia!

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391. Skyepony (Mod)
Fraidycat~ It's online, at least more of it than that. I saw it. Look more when I get back, if ya'll hadn't found it.
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1-17-10 in the beginning at YellowStone..


Today at YellowStone.....


Don't know what to think of This! To me and i am no professional but, it certainly to me looks like some slight possible awakeneing coming........LET's HOPE NOT!

I will see it does not appear to be Volcanic in nature but, Redoubt looked much like this in the beginning.
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Stars come out for Clooney's Haiti effort

* From: NewsCore
* January 23, 2010 12:33PM


A TWO-HOUR Hope for Haiti Now fundraising telethon, sponsored by MTV Networks, has begun and is being streamed live on all major US television networks, YouTube, MySpace and other websites.

Actor George Clooney, who has been instrumental in launching the project, said more than 100 actors and music artists were donating their time to either perform or take calls during the international event.

Clooney said the event was an opportunity for people to help "a neighbour in desperate need".

The event got underway a short time after it was reported that an elderly woman and a young man had been rescued alive after spending 10 days buried in rubble in the capital, Port-au-Prince.

Authorities confirmed Friday (EST) that the death toll from the disaster now stands at 111,499, with more than 193,000 wounded and more than 609,000 living in temporary care.
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Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
I guess people will have to move down to Hobart, AussieStorm.

Hobart has been breaking records for its high temps this year also.
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Quoting Fraidycat:
Don't know if others have seen this paper just published in Science. Here's the abstract. Dr. Kerry Emanuel (interviewed by Andy Revkin of the NY Times) commented favorably on the study and thinks the end maybe in sight as far as figuring out what we can expect from tropical Atlantic storms in the future. I need to go to the library to read the whole article as Science is very expensive. I'm wondering what their baseline period for # of storms was?

Very good, and important, question...
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 6 Comments: 12463

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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