Rita making landfall as a weak Catgeory 3

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 9:07 PM GMT on September 23, 2005

Share this Blog
0
+

Rita is making landfall near Port Arthur, TX, as a weak Category 3 hurricane with 115 mph winds. There is nothing weak at all about any major hurricane, and it definitely a bad night to be holed up in your house or shelter listening to the awesome destruction unleased by this powerful hurricane. Radar shows some very intense echoes in the northern eyewall smashing into the coast, and infrared satellite imagery confirms the presence of extremely cold cloud tops in the northern eyewall. It appears that the interaction of the eyewall with land is producing extra surface convergence of winds that is forcing up some strong updrafts, creating very high thunderstorm tops.

Where will Rita go?
Most of the latest model runs show Rita making a anti-cyclonic loop over northeastern Texas and central Louisiana, then perhaps heading back south to punish the landfall area five days from now. She may even move back over the waters of the Gulf. She would no longer be a tropical cyclone at that point, and redevelopment is not expected.

Elsewhere in the tropics
Tropical Depression Philippe has being absorbed into a large non-tropical low pressure system near Bermuda. This system is expected to move little the next three days, and may develop into a tropical depression. A well-organized tropical disturbance near 11N 33W, off the coast of Africa, has a surface circulation and some deep convection. This system has the potential for development the next few days as it moves westward over the mid-Atlantic. Long range models indicate that this disturbance will likely recurve to the northeast when it reaches the mid-Atlantic Ocean.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 1081 - 1031

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22Blog Index

1081. LALady
7:30 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
PearlandTX:

So glad to hear from you, my brother is here in Denham Springs, LA with us...he is from Pearland. He wishes now that he would have stayed in Pearland because we are getting hammered right now with HUGE gusts of wind/rain.

Please keep us update on the conditions there. We would really appreciate it!
1080. pearlandtx
4:32 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Man, we just got a serious gust. Sounded like a plane flying over the house. Lasted a little longer than the previous gusts. The lights are flickering every now and then. Hopefully we can keep the power on through this one.
1079. subtropic
4:24 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
lol scotth. That might just be the ticket.
Member Since: August 29, 2002 Posts: 209 Comments: 4434
1078. subtropic
4:23 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
How are you doing there Geismargirl? Winds still about the same?
Member Since: August 29, 2002 Posts: 209 Comments: 4434
1077. Geismargirl
4:23 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Report from Lake Charles is that all power is gone. All data to our local stations from Lake Charles and Lafayette is gone.
1076. johnsonwax
4:22 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Really looks like it's slowing down on the radar.
1075. Scotth
4:22 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Maybe a mobile home's not such a good idea. Maybe a houseboat. Yeah! Waterfront Property!
Member Since: August 4, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 23
1074. tornadoty
4:22 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Dr. Masters has a new post.
1073. LSULady
4:22 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
ditto on the lightning, Cone. Amazing!
1072. Skyepony (Mod)
4:22 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
on the lake charles radar link Jeff our Masters supplied to us, there's a storm (c7) with 114kt winds
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 156 Comments: 36058
1071. Remek
4:21 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Rita's either getting temporary bursts from the warm shallow water at the coast, or feeding off the oil and gas rigs as she destroys them. ;)

That's another thing - once she finally gets to land, that area of the Gulf could end up being one giant oil slick. (and that's not funny)
Member Since: August 29, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 118
1070. weatherwonderer
4:21 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Secret bunker? Did they find a modified Nintindo 64 with a broken controller and a hurricane on the display?
Member Since: July 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 167
1069. johnsonwax
4:21 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Different people deal with it differently. My wife really panics during earthquakes, so I start cracking jokes immediately - just to show her that it's okay, that we can be level-headed through this. It really pisses her off, but she calms down a LOT to get to be pissed off, so it does the trick.

It's easy to let these events get the better of you. I appreciate all the people that step up for these events and worry about those that are at risk and the jokes don't diminish that - it's how some people cope.
1068. weatherwannabe
4:21 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Geraldo put himself right in the bullseye
1067. weatherwannabe
4:19 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Fox just spent 10 minutes on a fender bender.
1066. subtropic
4:18 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Nite scotth. And seriously... bring plywood.
Member Since: August 29, 2002 Posts: 209 Comments: 4434
1065. atmosweather
4:17 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
"police activity in downtown houston" - FOX
could it be the uncovering of the secret bunker?
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
1064. RobertForsman
4:17 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
I was just looking at the Lake Charles Radar: Base Reflectivity Short Range Loop; It looks like it has moved very little in the last hour.
1063. ConeofUncertainty
4:17 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Wow...consistent tropical storm force winds still in Baton Rouge. I've also seen flashes of lightning.
1062. SaymoBEEL
4:16 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
True Sarah.
1061. Geismargirl
4:16 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
walk faster...I'm still waiting!!! Tink Tink
1060. weatherwonderer
4:15 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
saymo, your secret is safe with me.
Member Since: July 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 167
1059. RobertForsman
4:15 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Has it stalled?
1058. jbuczyna
4:15 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
The westward jog is partly due to the convection wrapping around--keep in mind there is a lot of mass in those types of features, and so since momentum must be conserved, if that comes toward the west, there will be an eastward jog and then a westward jog as things get wrapped around.
1057. Scotth
4:15 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Well, goodnight all, from Pennsylvania. I'll watch the rest on TV. Maybe Steph's on! Prayers to all in the path. Stay safe.
Member Since: August 4, 2004 Posts: 0 Comments: 23
1056. subtropic
4:15 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Hang in there Geismargirl *tink*
Member Since: August 29, 2002 Posts: 209 Comments: 4434
1055. SaymoBEEL
4:14 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Searched for west wobble. Didn't see it. Actually thought there might have been a NNE wobble. But, I've been wrong before. SHHHHH Don't tell anybody.
1054. weatherwonderer
4:14 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Yeah it gets wacky or serious (most of time both) depending on the night, But later it gets the worse.
Member Since: July 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 167
1053. atmosweather
4:14 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Sarah, extremely true
i live in south orlando, and experienced three strong hurricanes within 6 weeks last year
sometimes u have to relax and forget about the worst and try and feel better about the situation. losing power for days at a time is awful, but u still have to survive it somehow!
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265
1052. pseabury
4:13 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
johnson - yeah that's crazy. I don't think I'd feel all that good about myself if I had to "hunker down" under one of those foild blankets either.

Looks like Rita's still making some pretty cold convection on the N-NW side of core.

Member Since: May 28, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 3
1051. Geismargirl
4:13 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
sustained winds in baton rouge at 33 mph...feeling it...not liking it...
1050. Hydrocvl
4:13 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
True franck, normally this blog is always at least Category 1 in weird and hysterical levels...LOL
1049. RobertForsman
4:13 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Again it looks like it's falling apart.
1048. TrishTexas
4:12 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Thanks, StSimon, what's with the huge red explosion in the southwest quarter? Does that have any relation to the supposed west shift?
1047. Canenut
4:11 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
The high altitude NOAA jet is decending rapidly on the NE side of the storm -4000' in 3 minutes.
1046. SaymoBEEL
4:11 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Franck, about this time at night...Yep
1045. SarahFromFLA
4:10 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Itís not laughing at the people or the situation, itís finding humor in a situation. Huge difference. Trust me, hurricanes are nerve-racking. You find a release however you can.

I think for all of us who have been though our share, even if weíre not in the middle of Rita, we know what our neighbors in Louisiana and Texas are facing, not just tonight but during the miserable aftermath.

If you canít make light of it all, youíll go nuts.
Member Since: September 22, 2005 Posts: 2 Comments: 86
1044. johnsonwax
4:10 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Either downed power line or broken gas line.
1042. Manny
4:10 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
The last GFS run sends it to the NE but then around the ridge and back into the Gulf.
Member Since: July 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 6
1041. P682
4:10 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Goodnight Mr. and Mrs. America, as well as all ships at sea!
See ya'll in the funny papers...
1040. subtropic
4:09 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
SaymoBEEL - Sorry about that. I was responding to Geismargirl. I should have said that. But do enjoy!
Member Since: August 29, 2002 Posts: 209 Comments: 4434
1039. weatherwonderer
4:09 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
I wonder what the highest gusts and sustained winds reported are?
Member Since: July 16, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 167
1038. CosmicEvents
4:09 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Franck....no it does not. Personally......knowing that these storms HAVE to hit somewhere.....I'm happy that it's not as bad as it could have been....on a macro level. Thus....I can allow myself to inject some humor into tragedy. Apparantly others feel the same.
Member Since: August 3, 2005 Posts: 10 Comments: 5458
1036. OSHNBLU
4:07 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
weird...yes, only during hurricane landfall
Member Since: July 13, 2005 Posts: 117 Comments: 5197
1035. johnsonwax
4:07 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
I've been in Cat 1 and 2 hurricanes. Been close to some tornados. Been in Mag 6.x earthquakes. Blizzards, ice storms, wildfires, riots (twice), transit and garbage strikes.

The fires are the scariest. Laguna fire came within a few hundred yards of us. The hurricane was next, then the earthquake, then tornado.

The fires were at night and the entire ridge above us lit up at once. You could see little tornados of fire - maybe a few hundred feet high. There's ash and embers falling on you. It's hard to see because it flies in your eyes. It smells like a campfire, and there's a 40MPH wind blowing that's 20-30 degrees warmer than the air - maybe blowing 100-110 degrees and dry as can be. And this entire wall of fire is coming right at you. And it takes a while, so you get to ponder it.

The hurricanes are similar, but I never felt like I was in danger there. Yeah, the house might rip apart, but we were very likely to survive. The fire gives you the clear sense that there's no surviving it if you can't get out of the way.

Tornados are small and fast. Earthquakes are big and fast. Not much time to worry about it - its here and gone and then you clean up. By the time you get around to thinking about dying then it's over.

The most unpleasant were the ice storms - days and days with no heat or electricity. Ugh.
1034. TrishTexas
4:07 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Any more info on this westward wobble? I'm in Houston and want to know if we really dodged the bullet, or if it's just slow in getting here.
1033. leftyy420
4:07 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
t-nukbers
Member Since: August 24, 2005 Posts: 35 Comments: 1987
1032. franck
4:06 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
Does this blog get weird and hysterical like this often?
Member Since: August 30, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1150
1031. atmosweather
4:06 AM GMT on September 24, 2005
latest t-numbers can be found at http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/odt/odt3.html
Member Since: September 24, 2005 Posts: 33 Comments: 9265

Viewing: 1081 - 1031

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22Blog Index

Top of Page

About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.