A quiet 2009 for natural disasters

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:35 PM GMT on January 04, 2010

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It was a relatively quiet year globally for natural disasters in 2009. According to Munich Re insurance company, the death toll from 2009 natural disasters was approximately 10,000, well below the average 75,000 deaths per year seen over the decade of the 2000s. Damage from 2009 natural disasters was about $50 billion, compared to the decadal average of $115 billion, and far below the $200 billion in destruction wrought by 2008's natural disasters. The most costly disaster of 2009 was Winter Storm Klaus, which hit northern Spain and southwest France January 23 - 25, causing $5.1 billion in damage. The deadliest weather-related disaster was Category 2 Typhoon Ketsana, which killed 694 people in the Philippines and Southeast Asia. Category 2 Typhoon Morakot was a close second, with 614 fatalities, primarily in Taiwan. The deadliest natural disaster overall was the magnitude 7.6 earthquake that shook the Indonesian island of Sumatra on 30 September, killing nearly 1,200 people.


Figure 1. Cars being swept away by Ketsana's flood waters in a still frame from a dramatic YouTube video captured by medical students at the East Ramon Magsaysay Memorial Medical Center.

I'll be back Tuesday with my selection for the top global weather event of 2009: the Horn of Africa drought.

Jeff Masters

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935. hydrus
10:02 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Bordonaro:
NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG
Bordonaro, I just wanted to know if you have a new blog. :)
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21416
934. Bordonaro
8:55 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG NEW BLOG
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
933. FLPandhandleJG
8:43 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:







but to add on to this.. I expect forecast to change b/c sum models have moisture leave noon by friday towards me in the fl panhandle.. but later tonight we should have a better reasoning about it.. well g2g ..
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2133
932. FLPandhandleJG
8:40 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
well boys and girls.. g2g.. will be back later.. hope ya'll have a wonderful evening.. I will bbl with more maps, models, and other great stuff.. take care
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2133
931. FLPandhandleJG
8:31 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2133
930. FLPandhandleJG
8:15 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting TampaFLUSA:

You realize there is another new blog...your by yourself.....(-:

Yepp tryin to keep it alive..

Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2133
929. TampaFLUSA
8:10 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:


Holy moly.. thats some low dew points.. lol

You realize there is another new blog...your by yourself.....(-:
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928. FLPandhandleJG
8:04 PM GMT on January 05, 2010


Holy moly.. thats some low dew points.. lol
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927. FLPandhandleJG
8:00 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
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926. FLPandhandleJG
7:55 PM GMT on January 05, 2010






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925. FLPandhandleJG
7:45 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
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924. TampaFLUSA
7:42 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
New Blog
Member Since: June 21, 2007 Posts: 10 Comments: 1657
923. FLPandhandleJG
7:41 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
A second s/w is forecast to dive south from the central US to the Gulf coast on the backside of this trough this weekend. This could actually bring another round of snow to Houston and for areas along the Gulf Coast, perhaps making it as far north as coastal Georgia or South Carolina. For now this is a very low confidence event, but an active subtropical jet argues more mischief could arise this weekend, and we must keep any eye on things. This is from alan huffman, i respect this guy opinion and all

Im thinking we might be in for a surprise.. :)
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2133
922. FLPandhandleJG
7:38 PM GMT on January 05, 2010


well not looking good for the gulf coast unless u go up north.. but i say its a tad bit early.. Bob and Pat, what do ya'll think..? u think the models will change even tho we r gettin that artic blast?
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2133
921. Michfan
7:36 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
713
fxus62 ktae 051852
afdtae


Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee Florida
152 PM EST Tuesday Jan 5 2010


..cold weather to continue through the weekend...


Short term (tonight through Thursday night)...large scale pattern
remains relatively unchanged today with deep trough over the east
and ridge over the west. The pattern continues to be locked in
place by the downstream negative nao. Surface high will slide closer
to the area tonight with lighter winds expected. This should
result in better radiational cooling tonight...although winds are
not expected to completely decouple. Temperatures should drop a few
degrees lower than last night with upper teens to around 20
degrees being forecast. Temperatures will slowly...repeat
slowly...moderate throught Thursday. Maximum temperatures to reach middle and
upper 40s Wednesday afternoon before dropping into the lower to
middle 20s by Thursday morning. Thursday morning low are a bit tricky
with the high settling directly over the area. However...expect to
see some high clouds begin to overspread the region Wednesday
night ahead of the next shortwave which should help inhibit
radiational cooling.


Shortwave will drop south into the base of the trough Thursday and
Thursday night...inducing very weak Gulf cyclogenesis along the
cold front. Expect to see scattered showers from Thursday
afternoon to around midnight Thursday night as the front moves
through. At this time...the low levels appear to be too warm to
support any frozen precipitation over the County Warning Area and will forecast all rain.

Member Since: September 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1733
920. PcolaDan
7:36 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
NEW BLOG
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
919. Michfan
7:33 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Brrrrrrrrrrr
Member Since: September 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1733
918. noshoes
7:29 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Presslord has it right...snow, ice, sleet, bitter cold...that's the devil's work for sure.
Pensacola is too cold.
Member Since: July 17, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 24
917. Bordonaro
7:24 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Awake in Maryland, why the sad, smiley face??

Thnx. for going to Portlight blog :(

Be happy, Snoopy happy!!

Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
916. LongStrangeTrip
7:21 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting NRAamy:
71 °F Clear

and rising.....

;)


Oh, niiiice...the Purple Hippo is a sadist!! ;)
Member Since: July 10, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 412
915. NRAamy
7:21 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
yeah, I know..."it pours"....

but I live here...and it NEVER rains!

( well...not much anyways...not enough to write home about...)

hence the drought....and water saving laws....
Member Since: January 24, 2007 Posts: 317 Comments: 31946
914. Bordonaro
7:21 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Floodman:


You guys are killing me; the doc said that if I wanted my fusion to take, no smokie-smokie...been pretty okay with it but talking about it, watching people do it on TV...you know...makes me wanna go out and grab a pack of Kool Milds and go at it


NO, please do not smoke!! I quit for 13 yrs and I was a fool, started smoking again in 2005. At least you can get out, take a deep greath without hacking and enjoy the crip, cool, clean air!!
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
913. NRAamy
7:19 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Jerry!!! NO smokie smokie!!!!!!
Member Since: January 24, 2007 Posts: 317 Comments: 31946
912. Bordonaro
7:19 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting NRAamy:
Next week it will be 55F and raining cats, dogs, chickens, frogs, lil fish...

"it never rains in Southern Calif...."


That's what you, think! Listen to the song :0)

Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
911. NRAamy
7:16 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Next week it will be 55F and raining cats, dogs, chickens, frogs, lil fish...

"it never rains in Southern Calif...."
Member Since: January 24, 2007 Posts: 317 Comments: 31946
910. Floodman
7:15 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Bordonaro:


Ah yes, it FELT like 72F in the Sun, ha, ha, ha. Me, a Marlboro Medium, my t-shirt, Dallas Cowboys Themal, my hoodie and Jade, the 10 month old dog, part Lab, part Pit-Bull, who eats door jams and door knobs if she's left alone outside. While my daughters and grand daughters go shopping!

It'll be my turn to take the car, get out to the dreaded "W" for some shopping. Gotta replace the insulation strip on the living room french doors that the dog ate, to keep that North wind draft outta the house. Just can't wait to get my electric bill, about $180, compliments of cold, Arctic air.


You guys are killing me; the doc said that if I wanted my fusion to take, no smokie-smokie...been pretty okay with it but talking about it, watching people do it on TV...you know...makes me wanna go out and grab a pack of Kool Milds and go at it
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
909. Bordonaro
7:14 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting NRAamy:
71 °F Clear

and rising.....

;)


Next week it will be 55F and raining cats, dogs, chickens, frogs, lil fish...
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
908. Bordonaro
7:13 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Jeff9641:
This is for everyone talking about the cold this week. The biggest concern will be next week with a major severe weather event. Get Ready Florida because all hell will break lose late next week. Link below.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/12/fp0_264.shtml


Here's the link below, watch out next week SE US:

Link
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
907. Patrap
7:12 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128667
906. IKE
7:12 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
12Z ECMWF...
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
905. NRAamy
7:12 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
71 °F Clear

and rising.....

;)
Member Since: January 24, 2007 Posts: 317 Comments: 31946
904. Bordonaro
7:11 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:

Bordo...ahhhh...an American Spirit smoke and 72 degrees...what a great dream...please do NOT pinch me and wake me up 'til late Spring.

Thnx. for going to Portlight blog :(

NO Midwest flooding, T-Dude, okay? TIA!



Ah yes, it FELT like 72F in the Sun, ha, ha, ha. Me, a Marlboro Medium, my t-shirt, Dallas Cowboys Themal, my hoodie and Jade, the 10 month old dog, part Lab, part Pit-Bull, who eats door jams and door knobs if she's left alone outside. While my daughters and grand daughters go shopping!

It'll be my turn to take the car, get out to the dreaded "W" for some shopping. Gotta replace the insulation strip on the living room french doors that the dog ate, to keep that North wind draft outta the house. Just can't wait to get my electric bill, about $180, compliments of cold, Arctic air.
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
902. LongStrangeTrip
7:05 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting presslord:
I don't think I've mentioned my view on this here before...but...I think snow is of the Devil....


Oh, press...I'm SO down with that! I used to envy people who lived in places with "real" winters...but I was young, and didn't know anything, then.
Member Since: July 10, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 412
901. AwakeInMaryland
7:03 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Bordonaro:
Well I am going to take a cigarette smoke break here in Arlington, TX, stand on the south side of the house, in the Sun and "make believe" it's 72F outside :0)!

Bordo...ahhhh...an American Spirit smoke and 72 degrees...what a great dream...please do NOT pinch me and wake me up 'til late Spring.

Thnx. for going to Portlight blog :(

NO Midwest flooding, T-Dude, okay? TIA!

Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
899. presslord
7:03 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
I don't think I've mentioned my view on this here before...but...I think snow is of the Devil....
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
898. LongStrangeTrip
7:00 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Bordonaro:


WOO, HOO!! We're have a relative heat wave compared to other parts of the Deep South. It was a balmy, 22F at the DFW AP, 24F at my house in Arlington, TX. At noon it's a "mild" 41F here in Arlington, TX, headed for 45F. Enjoying the calm before the "Deep Freeze"!

I betcha DFW drops down near +5 to +12F on Sat morning, near -0- along the Red River Valley up by OK.


BRRRRRR...I don't even want to think about that! The cold will make my bones creak, and I'll have one more reminder of the big milestone I'm about to hit...
Member Since: July 10, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 412
897. Patrap
7:00 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
In the 89 freeze and Snow we heard we werent gonna get much then it boomed out in the GOM came ashore in Se La an the backside was rain,sleet snow..sleet...freeze.

Was awful..Got down to 11-13f

Ughhh.

This one has a day before she being's to evolve.


Itsa cold day throughout. Dixie today.







Itsa a cold day th

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128667
896. Floodman
6:57 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting LongStrangeTrip:


Thanks, honey! Yes, mid-70s would be perfect! You get "E" for effort, tho.


I tried...LOL
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
895. LongStrangeTrip
6:56 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Floodman:


We have TWO comfy sofas...as for the cold, I agree; it's wasted on you...your birthday should be sunny and high 70s low 80s...I put in the order, you know; it nust have gotten screwed up in shipping.

Hi, Awake! LST is correct: there is room on our sofas for Edie LOL


Thanks, honey! Yes, mid-70s would be perfect! You get "E" for effort, tho.
Member Since: July 10, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 412
894. Floodman
6:54 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:
Oh, Lord, that would be a first...me rooting for a Texas team...what the hell, anything for the couch...

go Longhorns...

Terps rule...since Deadskins, Wizards blankety-blank censored-dem's-banning-words.

Ice hockey, anyone? There's always at least hope with the Caps...


I'm from St Louis, hon...Blues :(
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
893. tornadodude
6:53 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Bordonaro:
T Dude, I believe I am the polar bear on the right! The GFS 12Z shows a possible pattern change for the middle of next week, hopefully you'll all receive somw snow and rain in the Upper Midwest and Midwest next week :0)


haha nice! well it looks like im getting 3-5 inches of snow on thursday :D
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8360
892. Bordonaro
6:53 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Well I am going to take a cigarette smoke break here in Arlington, TX, stand on the south side of the house, in the Sun and "make believe" it's 72F outside :0)!
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
891. Bordonaro
6:51 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
T Dude, I believe I am the polar bear on the right! The GFS 12Z shows a possible pattern change for the middle of next week, hopefully you'll all receive somw snow and rain in the Upper Midwest and Midwest next week :0)
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
890. Bordonaro
6:49 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting tornadodude:


WU hockey outing


Hey T Dude! I notice your "monkey friend" is a Saints Fan :0)
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
889. weatherman874
6:47 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Patrap:
Marine... NWS Biloxi

a strong Arctic air surge has moved over the Gulf waters causing
high del-T numbers. This has effectively mixed almost 100% of the 1k
feet winds to the surface resulting in advisories being posted. Winds
should weaken at 1k feet and at the surface today as high pressure builds
into the region. Another Arctic blast comes in for Thursday. Winds behind
this cold front are expected to be around 30 knots. We may see some
gusts well into gale force Thursday afternoon through Friday morning.
Frequent gusts to gale force may require a Gale Warning by Thursday
evening. Too soon to hoist any warnings or watches at this point.
Winds weaken a bit behind the front on Friday due to stability over the
marine areas but are back up again Friday night into Sat morning. The
week will remain cold and unsettled for the most part.


Its looking slightly less likely for snow/sleet in the New Olreans metro...hopefully chances will come back
Member Since: May 25, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 250
888. Bordonaro
6:47 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting LongStrangeTrip:
Good afternoon, all!

Downright balmy in Fort Worth, at least compared to what's in store later this week.


WOO, HOO!! We're have a relative heat wave compared to other parts of the Deep South. It was a balmy, 22F at the DFW AP, 24F at my house in Arlington, TX. At noon it's a "mild" 41F here in Arlington, TX, headed for 45F. Enjoying the calm before the "Deep Freeze"!

I betcha DFW drops down near +5 to +12F on Sat morning, near -0- along the Red River Valley up by OK.
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
887. tornadodude
6:47 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Quoting Patrap:
Since we have a "bye" weekend here,were gonna take the sprinkler and make a Hockey Rink and play a few games,..eh?


WU hockey outing
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8360
886. Patrap
6:45 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Marine... NWS Biloxi

a strong Arctic air surge has moved over the Gulf waters causing
high del-T numbers. This has effectively mixed almost 100% of the 1k
feet winds to the surface resulting in advisories being posted. Winds
should weaken at 1k feet and at the surface today as high pressure builds
into the region. Another Arctic blast comes in for Thursday. Winds behind
this cold front are expected to be around 30 knots. We may see some
gusts well into gale force Thursday afternoon through Friday morning.
Frequent gusts to gale force may require a Gale Warning by Thursday
evening. Too soon to hoist any warnings or watches at this point.
Winds weaken a bit behind the front on Friday due to stability over the
marine areas but are back up again Friday night into Sat morning. The
week will remain cold and unsettled for the most part.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128667
885. tornadodude
6:42 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8360

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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