A quiet 2009 for natural disasters

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:35 PM GMT on January 04, 2010

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It was a relatively quiet year globally for natural disasters in 2009. According to Munich Re insurance company, the death toll from 2009 natural disasters was approximately 10,000, well below the average 75,000 deaths per year seen over the decade of the 2000s. Damage from 2009 natural disasters was about $50 billion, compared to the decadal average of $115 billion, and far below the $200 billion in destruction wrought by 2008's natural disasters. The most costly disaster of 2009 was Winter Storm Klaus, which hit northern Spain and southwest France January 23 - 25, causing $5.1 billion in damage. The deadliest weather-related disaster was Category 2 Typhoon Ketsana, which killed 694 people in the Philippines and Southeast Asia. Category 2 Typhoon Morakot was a close second, with 614 fatalities, primarily in Taiwan. The deadliest natural disaster overall was the magnitude 7.6 earthquake that shook the Indonesian island of Sumatra on 30 September, killing nearly 1,200 people.


Figure 1. Cars being swept away by Ketsana's flood waters in a still frame from a dramatic YouTube video captured by medical students at the East Ramon Magsaysay Memorial Medical Center.

I'll be back Tuesday with my selection for the top global weather event of 2009: the Horn of Africa drought.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting Jeff9641:
Yep there will be no snow in Florida this winter. If there was going to be ANY snow it would be the next few days but this potential is very unlikely. Starting next week will be a much warmer and stormier pattern as I stated several days ago. Longer warm spells with much shorter cold spells. Several more days and the warmup will begin.

GM sorry, I missed your previous post, was that based on MOS, climo, hunch, caterpillars... ?
:)
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Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 649
Quoting biff4ugo:
There was no ice on my car today! It wasn't because it wasn't cold enough, it was because the air is so dry... IN FLORIDA? I don't remember an entire week of hard freeze lows in our forecast.
The sun is out and we still haven't hit 30.
Even the hard freezes that killed the orange groves in the 80's seemed to last about 3 days, not all week.


Lived here for 26yrs near Tampa and never had it cold for this long of stretch. Seen colder days before but, not cold for 2 weeks in a row like this.
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Quoting leftovers:
ecent florida 42 on one 44 on the other called this the freeze the tv hyped up that never was gm effect not really overcast moved in last night



Yeah, I noticed the overcast when the sun came up this morning. Maybe we'll see the same thing tomorrow morning and avoid the freezing temps, good for crops.
There was no ice on my car today! It wasn't because it wasn't cold enough, it was because the air is so dry... IN FLORIDA? I don't remember an entire week of hard freeze lows in our forecast.
The sun is out and we still haven't hit 30.
Even the hard freezes that killed the orange groves in the 80's seemed to last about 3 days, not all week.
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It could seem like a colder day today across Florida as Winds will be higher today as Tampa will have winds of nearly 20mph today...that will fell much colder with that much wind. BB late tonite....have a good day everyone!
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678. unf97
Gotta run folks. My morning low was 25.6 degrees. Right now at 8 a.m. it is 26.7 degrees.

Cold windy day on tap with highs struggling to reach the low-mid 40s.

BBL today on the blog. Have a great day folks and stay warm!
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Its 20.0 here in N Mobile county! Ba Humbug, I hate the cold!
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Good morning...

32.7F at my location and decreasing. The wind overnight sure kept the temp from falling too quickly but of course tonight will be another story.
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We are climbing now up to 23.2 over hee in Mobile!..lol..we got down to 21.6 I think - at least that is what I saw over on NWS site...
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672. IKE
Morning low here is 22.8.
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669. unf97
Aquak, it's at 29*F out near Jax Beach.

BTW, the surf temp now down to 52 degrees. Brrr.. Wet suit anyone!

Temp now 25.6 degrees at my inland Jax location.

This will be the third consecutive morning of dropping to mid 20s.

Max temp expected today only mid 40s with NW winds 15 with gusts to up 25-30 mph throughout the day.



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27F on Johns Island SC
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Good Morning from chilly SE LA

Concession, Belle Chasse, Louisiana (PWS)
Updated: 1 min 37 sec ago
Scattered Clouds
28.5 °F
Scattered Clouds
Windchill: 28 °F
Humidity: 72%
Dew Point: 21 °F
Wind: 3.0 mph from the NW
Wind Gust: 6.0 mph
Pressure: 30.37 in (Rising)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds:
Scattered Clouds 2700 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 3 ft
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aqua, it's a waste of energy to set the a/c to 74 inside when outside it's 63.....
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I gotta go. Today's not an early day for me, but I still need to beat the a.m. traffic. Somehow I don't think too many pple are going to leave their houses EARLIER than usual....

l8r
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ok, ya'll stay warm. Even you, poor baha, AC not even kicking on (grumble grumble) :)

or is that my teeth chattering?

go in peace, carry on.
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Quoting aquak9:
baha- I think cooliboi is somewhere north, inland of Tampa
k. That makes sense. Somehow I didnt' think it was cooler in Grand Turk than it is in Nassau, 600+ miles NW.... lol
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660. unf97
RTLSNK, you may see some accumulation of snow up there in North GA region Thursday -Thrusday night. Still questions as to how much moisture from the GOM disturbance will be available. Today hopefully the model runs will be more in agreement with that issue.

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baha- I think cooliboi is somewhere north, inland of Tampa
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Quoting GTcooliebai:
It's too warm for snow if the clouds would've held off and allowed for more cooling then yes we would have had a few flurries. I guess we will see tomorrow night.
GT, where r u these days that's cool enough for potential snow?
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and unf? I got a garden to plant. This cold REALLY holds me back.
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RTLNK, when I think of Macon, I think of dusty back roads, folks sittin' outside laughin' enjoyin' family and friends in the sunshine..

not below freezing temps!!

29º coastal Jax, something like that. Not as bad as further inland.
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Morning, all.

63 here, which is about as cold as one expects at this time of year. Dunno what overnight lows were like - don't see any hourly stats here - but my A/C hasn't been on since Sunday a.m....... I don't think we broke 70 yesterday, and I don't think we will today, either. That's pretty cold for Nassau.

Brrrr.... bundle up good, folks! and have a great one!
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22.5*F in Macon, Ga this morning, 65% humidity, high today is supposed to hit 38*F and drop tonight to 18*F. Still calling for rain/snow for Thursday. Time for coffee. Be back later. :)
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653. unf97
Good morning aquak!


I feel ya about the cold! As you toled me last night, keep on thinking about those the heat index values in the summer to help get you though this. Lol.

Not that long from now b4 we will be having that actually.

Temp now 26.7, which is the low so far this morning.
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g'g'g mor-r-r

hi ya'll

too cold, temp doesn't matter any more
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Quoting PensacolaDoug:


I like your weather stickie, Doug! Very nice.
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39.7 °F
Mostly Cloudy


So much for the Freeze Warning. Most sites, inland Palm Beach, didn't get out of the 40's. They do have 27 as the low tomorrow morning, that would tie the all time record in West Palm, based on this morning though, we'll see.
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
407 AM CST TUE JAN 5 2010

...ACCUMULATING SNOW COMING TO EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY...

.A WINTER SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE DAKOTAS TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY BRINGING ACCUMULATING SNOWFALL TO EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA
AND ADJACENT PORTIONS OF MINNESOTA. THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
LATE TUESDAY EVENING OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUE INTO
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST BAND OF SNOW WILL PRODUCE 3 TO
5 INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL FROM THE DEVILS LAKE BASIN INTO THE
VALLEY CITY AND FARGO AREA BY LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
BECOME NORTHERLY AND MAY INCREASE UP TO 25 MPH BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THESE WINDS COULD CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
THIS WOULD PRODUCE BLOWING AND DRIFTING SNOW IN OPEN AREAS.
HAZARDOUS WIND CHILL VALUES WILL DEVELOP BY LATE WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY.
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647. unf97
Good morning Ike

I see you are up early. I have 28.2 degrees currently. We had some clouds moved in for a few hours this morning which kept the temps up for awhilw.. A weak vort max moved through and now the skies have cleared.

Should see temps drop off now through up to sunrise.

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646. IKE
25.2 now.
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Iron Mountain, Michigan (Airport)
Updated: 2:54 AM CST on January 05, 2010
17 °F
Overcast
Windchill: 4 °F
Humidity: 81%
Dew Point: 12 °F
Wind: 13 mph from the NNW
Wind Gust: 25 mph
Pressure: 30.22 in (Steady)
Visibility: 9.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds: Overcast 1300 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 1181 ft

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31 here in J'ville at 0420
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its 26 here in Monroe,La
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642. IKE
27.3 my low for this morning and winter.
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641. IKE
Hello to some caring people in Walnut Ridge,Arkansas...near Jonesboro...it's cold...

Walnut Ridge, Arkansas (Airport)
Updated: 14 min 24 sec ago
Clear
12 °F
Clear
Windchill: -2 °F

Humidity: 57%
Dew Point: 0 °F
Wind: 12 mph from the NW
Pressure: 30.41 in (Falling)
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 0 out of 16
Clouds:
Clear -
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 272 ft
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640. IKE
I've got 27.9 degrees.

Glad your daughter is okay.

This snow chance coming up and cold weather is going to be brutal.
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Daughter had flat and had to retrieve her 5 miles away,left car to fix in the am,,..was crazy FLurries,LOL

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Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 2133
Was fast and furious in the wind..5-8 Minutes;

Small dry flakes





Current Conditions

Uptown, New Orleans, Louisiana (PWS)
Updated: 59 sec ago

30.3 F
Light Snow

Windchill: 25 F
Humidity: 57%
Dew Point: 18 F
Wind: 5.9 mph from the North
Wind Gust: 12.3 mph
Pressure: 30.36 in (Falling)
Visibility: 9.0 miles
Elevation: 20 ft
Rapid Fire Updates:
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636. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory Number FOUR
PERTURBATION TROPICALE 08-20092010
10:00 AM Réunion January 5 2010
======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance (999 hPa) located at 10.9S 85.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The disturbance was reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0/2.0/S0.0/24 HRS

Forecast and Intensity
=====================
12 HRS: 11.7S 84.5E - 25 knots (PERTURBATION Tropicale)
24 HRS: 12.5S 82.9E - 30 knots (DEPRESSION Tropicale)
48 HRS: 13.7S 79.9E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modereé)
72 HRS: 14.4S 76.1E - 60 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)

Additional Information
=========================
System is still ill-defined. First visible imagery and latest ASCAT data (0322z) suggest the system still have an ill defined northwest-southeast elongated center within its broad clockwise circulation. Strong deep convection with some fairly good outflow has sustained over the western semi circle. The main center has just appeared east of the main convection. A secondary vortex (visible on SSMIS of 2312z) is located at more than 150 NM southeast of the main center. ASCAT data confirms intensity analysis with winds in the 25 knot range. Surface low pressure is derived from data buoy (53567) which shows a minimal value of 999 hPa at 2300z (corrected from the barometric tide). On the forecast track, the shear is expected to progressively weaken as the system should get closer to the upper level ridge located southwards. Divergence should be good mainly equatorwards. Low levels inflow and oceanic heat content are very good up to range 72 hrs.

The system should therefore intensify slowly first and then closer to the climatological rate. The forecast is based on the available models, which are rather in good agreement, despite a difference in motion.
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Quoting ElConando:
you mean 2010 i guess.


opps yeah thanks El lol.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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