A quiet 2009 for natural disasters

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:35 PM GMT on January 04, 2010

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It was a relatively quiet year globally for natural disasters in 2009. According to Munich Re insurance company, the death toll from 2009 natural disasters was approximately 10,000, well below the average 75,000 deaths per year seen over the decade of the 2000s. Damage from 2009 natural disasters was about $50 billion, compared to the decadal average of $115 billion, and far below the $200 billion in destruction wrought by 2008's natural disasters. The most costly disaster of 2009 was Winter Storm Klaus, which hit northern Spain and southwest France January 23 - 25, causing $5.1 billion in damage. The deadliest weather-related disaster was Category 2 Typhoon Ketsana, which killed 694 people in the Philippines and Southeast Asia. Category 2 Typhoon Morakot was a close second, with 614 fatalities, primarily in Taiwan. The deadliest natural disaster overall was the magnitude 7.6 earthquake that shook the Indonesian island of Sumatra on 30 September, killing nearly 1,200 people.


Figure 1. Cars being swept away by Ketsana's flood waters in a still frame from a dramatic YouTube video captured by medical students at the East Ramon Magsaysay Memorial Medical Center.

I'll be back Tuesday with my selection for the top global weather event of 2009: the Horn of Africa drought.

Jeff Masters

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Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8358
Since we have a "bye" weekend here,were gonna take the sprinkler and make a Hockey Rink and play a few games,..eh?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:
LST! I sceered everybody off!

Actually, would you pls. go to Portlight blog, too, and weigh in, if you wish?

Oh, and please save me your couch...frigid is one thing, but winds are coming back up...

I love New England, but there's reasons I don't live there!!

Update, ADD-ON: Just noticed you've already been to Portlight blog, LST! THANKS!


AIM, you're not a blog killer. We are out here floating around. I am still trying to wake up after a restless night sleep.

I've been reading Portlight's blog and I like your ideas of micro loans. Said "Good Afternoon" to aquak9, browsing through the GFS 12Z runs.
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
Oh, Lord, that would be a first...me rooting for a Texas team...what the hell, anything for the couch...

go Longhorns...

Terps rule...since Deadskins, Wizards blankety-blank censored-dem's-banning-words.

Ice hockey, anyone? There's always at least hope with the Caps...
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting LongStrangeTrip:
LOL..Our couch has your name on it, Awake! It's very comfy, too.

I will say that I've had about all the cold I can stand...but there's more to come, just in time for my b-day. I didn't ask for cold weather, so that means it's imperative that I get the only thing I DID ask for: a national championship for my Longhorns! :)


We have TWO comfy sofas...as for the cold, I agree; it's wasted on you...your birthday should be sunny and high 70s low 80s...I put in the order, you know; it nust have gotten screwed up in shipping.

Hi, Awake! LST is correct: there is room on our sofas for Edie LOL
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Still little if any snow :(

Morehead City, NC

LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
FORECAST GETS A BIT MORE INTERESTING THU NIGHT AS A SHEARED SHORT
WAVE ASSOCD WITH THE UPPER LOW MOVING THRU THE NORTHERN OHVLY
MOVES TO THE EAST COAST. UNLIKE OTHER RECENT SYSTEMS TO AFFECT THE
AREA...THIS IS MAINLY A NORTHERN STREAM DOMINATED SYSTEM WITH LTL
CONTRIBUTION FROM THE MOISTURE LADEN SOUTHERN STREAM. SO AS WITH
MANY NORTHERN STREAM SYSTEMS...THIS ONE IS MOISTURE STARVED AND
FAST MOVING WHICH WILL LIMIT PCPN CHCS AND QPF AMOUNTS ACRS THE
AREA. HOWEVER THERMAL PROFILES SUGGEST THAT ANY PCPN THAT DOES
FALL WILL BE MOSTLY SNOW WITH A RAIN/SNOW MIX CONFINED MAINLY TO
COASTAL AREAS. MODEL FCST QPF AMOUNTS ARE VERY CONSISTENT IN
GENERATING LESS THAN ONE TENTH OF AN INCH WHICH SUGGESTS ANY SNOW
ACCUMULATION WOULD BE VERY LIGHT. OF COURSE MOST OF ANY SNOW THAT
DOES FALL WILL STICK OWING TO THE ANTECEDENT COLD GROUND TEMPS.
WILL CONT TO FCST LOW CHC POPS FOR NOW WITH A BIT HIGHER POPS
CLOSER TO THE COAST. MODELS ALSO IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN MOVING ANY
PCPN RAPIDLY OFFSHORE EARLY FRIDAY MORN IN THIS QUICK HITTING
EVENT.

WELL BLO NORMAL TEMPS AND DRY WEATHER RETURN OVER THE WEEKEND AS
DEEP EAST COAST TROF REESTABLISHES. THERE ARE INDICATIONS THAT
TEMPS WILL RETURN TO MORE NORMAL LEVELS AS MID LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE SE STATES EARLY NEXT WEEK BUT EXPECT ANY WARMUP WILL BE
GRADUAL AS DENSE COLD AIR WILL BE SLOW TO DISLODGE.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
LOL..Our couch has your name on it, Awake! It's very comfy, too.

I will say that I've had about all the cold I can stand...but there's more to come, just in time for my b-day. I didn't ask for cold weather, so that means it's imperative that I get the only thing I DID ask for: a national championship for my Longhorns! :)
Member Since: July 10, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 412
LST! I sceered everybody off!

Actually, would you pls. go to Portlight blog, too, and weigh in, if you wish?

Oh, and please save me your couch...frigid is one thing, but winds are coming back up...

I love New England, but there's reasons I don't live there!!

Update, ADD-ON: Just noticed you've already been to Portlight blog, LST! THANKS!
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Good afternoon, all!

Downright balmy in Fort Worth, at least compared to what's in store later this week.
Member Since: July 10, 2008 Posts: 14 Comments: 412
Has anyone already taken the screenname "BlogKiller"? Do believe I qualify...
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Just came back in this main blog after checking the Portlight blog and reading Presslord's latest entry. I'm very gratified to see a "green light" to continue discussion and merits pro-con about micro-loans.

Greetings again, Floodman, Conan, Cane, hydrus and all of ya's! Would very much like you to weight in on Portlight's blog, TIA!
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting GBguy88:


Nonsense...and scratch the walking around in my underwear...*eyes the swimming pool*. Good thing children aren't an immediate in my future.


Precisely...as you eye the swimming pool. I'm crazy, 'tis true, but you're one up on me LOL
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Quoting ElConando:


Well I am from Miami, and the only time i've been north of Orlando during winter before I started at FSU was Delaware. Where it was in the teens a couple of the days I was there.
I am from Miami myself( born Mt Sinai Hosp ) it does take a while to get use to it. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Better get some heaters on those crops or some citrus lovers will be plenty mad.

Surprisingly enough, they actually turn the sprinklers on when it gets cold. Subsurface waters are warm and keep the frost off.
Quoting Floodman:


Yeah...about that...invigorating, but I don't recommend it for too long


Nonsense...and scratch the walking around in my underwear...*eyes the swimming pool*. Good thing children aren't an immediate in my future.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ElConando:


Better get some heaters on those crops or some citrus lovers will be plenty mad.


Hype has already driven the price up a third.
Quoting GBguy88:


I love it. We so rarely see temps this cold, much less a chance for snow. For anyone stuck in the South that loves varying weather, it's nothing less than a treat :P I might just wake up early and step outside in my underwear to feel the single digit wind chills in all their glory.


Yeah...about that...invigorating, but I don't recommend it for too long
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Quoting GBguy88:
So would you guys say the odds of places like Biloxi, Pensacola, Mobile seeing snow are better than with the last 'cold snap' that brought wintry weather? Temperatures are certainly going to be much colder at the surface...is it a question of whether or not the precip holds out? I'm a 'noob', not an expert...please be gentle :P


Mid level temps and the amount of moisture as well as energy/disturbance will dictate the type and amount of precip you see; with this outbreak if you have any precip it would likely start as sleet or freezing rain and end as snow, though the last I saw you guys on the middle coast weren't going to see a lot of either...

Biloxi forecast
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Quoting ElConando:
ʍoɥ are ya'll braving the weather this early afternoon?


I love it. We so rarely see temps this cold, much less a chance for snow. For anyone stuck in the South that loves varying weather, it's nothing less than a treat :P I might just wake up early and step outside in my underwear to feel the single digit wind chills in all their glory.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting hydrus:
You are in for some cold strange weather....We are to, they keep tweeking the forecast for the worse.


Well I am from Miami, and the only time i've been north of Orlando during winter before I started at FSU was Delaware. Where it was in the teens a couple of the days I was there.
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:


(...still laughing...) Sorry, hydrus...TornadoDude always posts the "backwards" Smiley...that and the "upside-down" writing link he once posted have wreaked blog chaos occasionally! T-Dude's b-day is Jan. 9 when he'll be all of 19...will be working on appropriate payback...
I was working on a ocean tug when I was 19 years old...Back in 1985. :) (:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
ʍoɥ are ya'll braving the weather this early afternoon?
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
Quoting presslord:
Awake...I addressed your post on the Portlight blog...


THANKS! Going there now...
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting ElConando:


4 days under 32! thats quite a while. Although it doesn't stay below Freezing for too long in Tallahassee. I'm in the coldest weather I have been in a decade.
You are in for some cold strange weather....We are to, they keep tweeking the forecast for the worse.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting presslord:
If you're going to major in public relations you MUST attend the Henry W. Grady School of Journalism and Mass Communications at the University of Georgia...there is simply no other rational choice...let me know when you want me to send the letter of recommendation...


Excellent recommendation, Press...but a "must"??

Our adopted baby boy is under the influence of the devil...aka SNOW!!

I.E. Newhouse (gotta' double-check that...sounds like MAD magazine)...of SYRACUSE U.

Towson U. near Baltimore not too shabby...has come a long way, I hear, might be worth checking out. Journalism school at U. of MD good, too...Connie Chung's alma mater...oh, never mind...look what happened to her...how the mighty have fallen, sigh.
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Good Morning/Afternoon everybody!

The 12Z GFS run keeps Dallas-Ft Worth, TX below freezing from early Thurs morning, 1/7 throughout about Noon on Sun 1/10/10. BRRRRR!!
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
So would you guys say the odds of places like Biloxi, Pensacola, Mobile seeing snow are better than with the last 'cold snap' that brought wintry weather? Temperatures are certainly going to be much colder at the surface...is it a question of whether or not the precip holds out? I'm a 'noob', not an expert...please be gentle :P
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Awake...I addressed your post on the Portlight blog...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
Temp for this Sat high 43, overnight low 18.
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
Quoting hydrus:
What ever do you mean? MY smiley is a symbol of perfection, yours is backwards....i think? ...I,m new at this, I don,t know. :)..:(


(...still laughing...) Sorry, hydrus...TornadoDude always posts the "backwards" Smiley...that and the "upside-down" writing link he once posted have wreaked blog chaos occasionally! T-Dude's b-day is Jan. 9 when he'll be all of 19...will be working on appropriate payback...
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting hydrus:
I do believe this is much more then a (snap) which means cold temps returning to warmer temps quickly. A large region of the U.S. has not been above freezing for 4 days with no end in sight .


4 days under 32! thats quite a while. Although it doesn't stay below Freezing for too long in Tallahassee. I'm in the coldest weather I have been in a decade.
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
Quoting ElConando:


For now I'll go with the reports and no chance for snow and a very slight chance of snow flurries. On the Wunderground Site they showed a slight chance of snow flurries for Tallahassee on Thursday night when I looked Sunday, which the runs have backed off on today and they have since taken that chance down.

Ya.. i would say if we do get any snow.. its going to happen thursday evening into the night.. for me it says..

Wednesday night and Thursday...forecasters will be watching next
upstream middle level disturbance to move southeastward out of the
central/Southern Plains. This feature to bring next Arctic surge of
what looks to be even colder air to the deep south. The 05.00 runs
of the European model (ecmwf) and GFS have come into somewhat better alignment on the
movement of the front since 24 hours ago...but still have differences
on the eastward progression and strength of their respective frontal
low pressure systems. The GFS still is a little faster...slightly
stronger and further southeast with its low moving over the northern
Gulf Thursday with the European model (ecmwf) coming in slightly slower and less
defined.


Both models bring an increased deep layer moisture signal
across the deep south Thursday and with the presence of cold air to
remain place...the possibility continues to exist that the deep
south could experience some wintry precipitation on Thursday. The
challenge this morning when considering the various solutions has
been diagnosing the rain...sleet and snow line and its eastward
progression. Forecasters have taken a blend of the GFS/European model (ecmwf)
solution of moisture and critical winter deep layer
thicknesses...but confidence in calling out one prevailing
precipitation Mode over another is still quite low during the day
Thursday. Thus...will call for a mix of rain...light sleet and snow.
Will not entirely rule out a bit of accumulation especially in our
northern zones Thursday where the coldest air will reside. As
front/low move east Thursday evening...there is a small chance of
complete change over to light snow on its back side before ending.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting tornadodude:


(;
;) (: :) :()(::-09
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ElConando:


In the off-season (after Hurricane Season ends) I am on far less. I'm back for now for talk and experiences on this very cold, cold snap happening now.
I do believe this is much more then a (snap) which means cold temps returning to warmer temps quickly. A large region of the U.S. has not been above freezing for 4 days with no end in sight .
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting FLPandhandleJG:
Actually El, I just re read that post haha.. i just woke up.. haha is there a good chance for us gettin any snow or?


For now I'll go with the reports and no chance for snow and a very slight chance of snow flurries. On the Wunderground Site they showed a slight chance of snow flurries for Tallahassee on Thursday night when I looked Sunday, which the runs have backed off on today and they have since taken that chance down.
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
801. NEwxguy 8:48 AM PST on January 05, 2010
Quoting NRAamy:
43 still here in Tampa at noon.

yeah, baby...dig that global warming....


Amy,please don't go down that road.(Cringes)




hahahahahahahaha!

;)
Member Since: January 24, 2007 Posts: 317 Comments: 31946
Quoting hydrus:
What ever do you mean? MY smiley is a symbol of perfection, yours is backwards....i think? ...I,m new at this, I don,t know. :)..:(


(;
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8358
838. NRAamy 5:27 PM GMT on January 05, 2010
So the message here is that my closet is full and your pantry is empty

Yes!!!

:)


Well, sorta :)
Amy's closet is full of SoCal clothes that us around the DC Beltway wouldn't dare wear! (Think of Hillary, Janet N. -- or MOI -- in a Bikini...help, more eye bleach, please!)
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting presslord:
If you're going to major in public relations you MUST attend the Henry W. Grady School of Journalism and Mass Communications at the University of Georgia...there is simply no other rational choice...let me know when you want me to send the letter of recommendation...


thanks Press, but I would like to stay at Purdue if possible
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8358
Quoting hydrus:
I have not seen you post in a while Conan....To busy doing The Late Show?


In the off-season (after Hurricane Season ends) I am on far less. I'm back for now for talk and experiences on this very cold, cold snap happening now.
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:

ROFL!!! (: ("His" backwards "smiley"!)
What ever do you mean? MY smiley is a symbol of perfection, yours is backwards....i think? ...I,m new at this, I don,t know. :)..(:
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Actually El, I just re read that post haha.. i just woke up.. haha is there a good chance for us gettin any snow or?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:

ROFL!!! (: ("His" backwards "smiley"!)


I saw some where that the backwards smiley is an "Australian Smiley", which I do not really buy unless someone knows otherwise?
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
Quoting ElConando:
833. I can complain all I want, there is far worse a winter than winter in Tallahassee.

We all have the right to complain... I live in Niceville.. you in tally El?
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Quoting ElConando:
At least is gone up a bit but still is 35 degrees...
I have not seen you post in a while Conan....To busy doing The Late Show?
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Quoting FLPandhandleJG:


Better get some heaters on those crops or some citrus lovers will be plenty mad.
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
So the message here is that my closet is full and your pantry is empty

Yes!!!

:)
Member Since: January 24, 2007 Posts: 317 Comments: 31946
833. I can complain all I want, there is far worse a winter than winter in Tallahassee.
Member Since: September 6, 2009 Posts: 2 Comments: 3757
Quoting hydrus:
He was doing his Who impression..:)

ROFL!!! (: ("His" backwards "smiley"!)
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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