A quiet 2009 for natural disasters

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:35 PM GMT on January 04, 2010

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It was a relatively quiet year globally for natural disasters in 2009. According to Munich Re insurance company, the death toll from 2009 natural disasters was approximately 10,000, well below the average 75,000 deaths per year seen over the decade of the 2000s. Damage from 2009 natural disasters was about $50 billion, compared to the decadal average of $115 billion, and far below the $200 billion in destruction wrought by 2008's natural disasters. The most costly disaster of 2009 was Winter Storm Klaus, which hit northern Spain and southwest France January 23 - 25, causing $5.1 billion in damage. The deadliest weather-related disaster was Category 2 Typhoon Ketsana, which killed 694 people in the Philippines and Southeast Asia. Category 2 Typhoon Morakot was a close second, with 614 fatalities, primarily in Taiwan. The deadliest natural disaster overall was the magnitude 7.6 earthquake that shook the Indonesian island of Sumatra on 30 September, killing nearly 1,200 people.


Figure 1. Cars being swept away by Ketsana's flood waters in a still frame from a dramatic YouTube video captured by medical students at the East Ramon Magsaysay Memorial Medical Center.

I'll be back Tuesday with my selection for the top global weather event of 2009: the Horn of Africa drought.

Jeff Masters

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My next FPL bill should be one of my lowest ever.
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11319
plywood...not really....it's a situation largely better suited nto local RC, churches, etc...but if a need arises we'll consider it...
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Quoting alaina1085:

You really think so? Im hoping!


Yes i think so, This is serious. Winter Weather Advisory this early means the NWS is on this and knows it means business, wrecks will happen regardless on if it snows becuase of the rain then freezing temperatures we may have for 30 hours solid if they do not get above freezing during the day on Friday. Equals lost of ice
Member Since: May 25, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 250
Now we all here feel the effect of FPL wanting to raise prices. Yeesh
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hydrus...here ya go...
Link
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Press, you all activating for any type of cold weather emergencies?
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428. unf97
Quoting aquak9:
unf!! make it stop!!!

I want my heat indices of 100+ back...


LOL.. You love those hot humid summer days uhh...
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plywood- for your area- you're lookin' at lows in the mid- to upper-thirties (except thurs I think) then back down to the upper thirties thru the rest of the weekend.

Forgive me, press...
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33 years since south florida has seen any trace of snow. Any chance of that happening this winter?
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Quoting weatherman874:
SNOW baby New Orleans comme onn doown!!

You really think so? Im hoping!
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Press, get ready to pay more for your OJ
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So basically what is the talk about south florida. I know that there has been much made about the freezing temps when it comes to the citrus crops, however, what are we facing in the mornings: 850mb vs surface level temps?
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Quoting IKE:
I'm at 34.9 outside....rather breezy. Wind chills in the 20's.

It's cold.


Flew over yer house (almost) a few hours ago heading from Atlanta to Miami (west coast Florida route) - it's also damn cold in my house in the Keys (no heat). I was returning from Dayton Ohio.
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This should keep the temps from droppin to much.. but it will b cold in the panhandle and everywhere else but the southwest that i think...
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33 F here in Baton Rouge already...wind chill is 25, and it's not even 8 pm! Brrrrrrr. Get ready, 'cause here she comes!
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419. unf97
Quoting IKE:
I'm at 34.9 outside....rather breezy. Wind chills in the 20's.

It's cold.


Hello Ike. Yeah this has been some cold stretch, and we still have at least one more solid week of it. Even colder by this weekend.
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aqua...Are you talkin' weather in here again?!?!?!?
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plywood- if you're talking about the freezing roadways/bridges, it from my local hazardous weather outlook for here in Jax.
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unf!! make it stop!!!

I want my heat indices of 100+ back...
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SNOW baby New Orleans comme onn doown!!
Member Since: May 25, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 250
I am concerned about morning Lows in South Florida. Also whats the deal with this new front for the weekend?
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Aqua, where is that information for?
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412. IKE
I'm at 34.9 outside....rather breezy. Wind chills in the 20's.

It's cold.
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411. unf97
Good Evening!

Currently 34.6 degrees at my north Jax home location.

Hope everyone is doing fine and staying warm!
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
well i got ten of em runnin now if i put up another ten i might push it all the way to cancun


Looks like you already have the strength to reach there, just need to work on timing. This cold front is about a week early.....


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chuck...changed it just for you...

hydrus...can't find the link...but will keep lookin'
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Im little confused on this.. since we got temps near freezing on friday and this says rain.. wouldnt that be a mix or possibly snow if the temps r below freezing.. I know this is a stupid question lol.. I dont know if sum models r comparing the temps right?
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Quoting Orcasystems:


We seem to be about 100 miles short... can you turn them up any higher??

I see we have got the panhandle sort of covered, but I would like to try for Sarasota also.
well i got ten of em runnin now if i put up another ten i might push it all the way to cancun
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 174 Comments: 54616
Mobile NWS Discussion
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lol, thanks
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Houston NWS Discussion
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11319
Quoting Canekid98:
can i have a houston wx discussion?


cold, stupidly cold, dangerously cold, arcticly (is that a word?) cold...make you miss your momma cold.
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72hours

78hours

84hours

not looking good on those models of the GFS.
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I figured we needed good laugh, orca...glad you enjoyed it.

From my locals:

THERE IS
THE POTENTIAL FOR MELTING AND REFREEZING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...
ESPECIALLY BRIDGES AND OVERPASSES...LEADING TO HAZARDOUS DRIVING
CONDITIONS.

I'll take her keys away from her if THIS happens here...
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can i have a houston wx discussion?
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PBIA...46
Link
Member Since: September 10, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 11319
hydrus...will try ton find it


chuck...those are the REAL Cooper River Bridges...
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Quoting Orcasystems:


Hmm I don't see skiing, skating, curling, or bobsled.


Old Team


New Team
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
Quoting aquak9:
good evening from the Porch'o'Blog.

Dau slipped and fell on ice today. Now, she's a JAX native, her pride was injured, nothing else.

of course, it's my fault, you know. "MOM!!!" she says. "There was ice on the ground! Ice isn't supposed to be on the ground, it comes from the little button on the front of the freezer. And why didn't you TELL ME??!!"

like I'm supposta KNOW these things in advance...


ROFLMAO... I love it... now thats funny
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511


So easy that a Caveman can do it! lmao ;)
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Moderate (Yellow) Wind Chill 1-15F or minimum temperature forecast 21-26F for ≥5 hours
High (Red) Wind Chill ≤0F (3 hour duration) or minimum temperature forecast ≤20F for ≥ 5 hours and/or Wind Chill Advisory (or Watch and/or Warning) in effect
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
good evening from the Porch'o'Blog.

Dau slipped and fell on ice today. Now, she's a JAX native, her pride was injured, nothing else.

of course, it's my fault, you know. "MOM!!!" she says. "There was ice on the ground! Ice isn't supposed to be on the ground, it comes from the little button on the front of the freezer. And why didn't you TELL ME??!!"

like I'm supposta KNOW these things in advance...
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Nice and warm up here compared to down south

Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
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Wish it was that warm, we haven't seen the north side of 30 since 2am Sat. We're on the wrong side of our avg low for our high temp. I'm about 33 miles due North of downtown Atlanta.

So much for Hotlanta!

Quoting Drakoen:


It's 44 at my house in Lake Worth
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
i got the turbo fans on the roof working overtime here looks like another week and i will have to give them a rest


We seem to be about 100 miles short... can you turn them up any higher??

I see we have got the panhandle sort of covered, but I would like to try for Sarasota also.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
Press, you need to update your avatar - the old Cooper River bridges are on there
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Quoting presslord:
I don't think I've mentioned this here before...but...snow is of the Devil...
Presslord, Good Evening, If possible would you repost that link of the Universe?.
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385. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory Number THREE
DEPRESSION TROPICALE 08-20092010
4:00 AM Réunion January 5 2010
======================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (998 hPa) located at 11.1S 86.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The disturbance was reported as moving west-southwest at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5/2.5/D 0.5/24 HRS

Near Gale-Force Winds
=====================
20 NM radius from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=====================
12 HRS: 12.0S 85.9E - 35 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modereé)
24 HRS: 12.9S 84.4E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Modereé)
48 HRS: 14.8S 80.8E - 60 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
72 HRS: 15.6S 77.1E - 75 knots (CYCLONE Tropical)

Additional Information
=========================
Deep convective activity has consolidated in the western semi circle and presents a curved band pattern wrapping over about 4/10. The mentioned fix in this warning is very approximately due to the lack of clear microwave imagery since the F16 swath (1301z). Low level circulation center seems to remain on the eastern border of the CCC undergoing a strong easterly wind shear but with a track globally in the same direction than the wind shear, the constraint should be weakened. This shear is expected weakening on and after 24 hours but divergence should be good only equatorward. Low levels inflows and oceanic heat content are very good up to range 72hrs.

The system should therefore intensify regularly today and on and after tomorrow as it undergoes improving environmental conditions, system should deepening more clearly. The forecast is based on the available models, which are rather in good agreement, despite a difference in motion.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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