November 2009 was warmest or 4th warmest on record, say NASA and NOAA

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:46 PM GMT on December 17, 2009

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The globe recorded its fourth warmest November since record keeping began in 1880, according to NOAA's National Climatic Data Center. NASA's Goddard Institute for Space Studies rated November 2009 as the warmest November on record, beating the 2001 record by 0.02°C. NOAA classified the year-to-date period, January - November 2009, as the fifth warmest such period on record. The November satellite-measured temperatures for the lowest 8 km of the atmosphere were the warmest on record according to the University of Alabama Huntsville data set, or fifth warmest, according to the RSS data set.


Figure 1. Departure of temperature from average for November 2009. Image credit: National Climatic Data Center.

Warmest November on record for Southern Hemisphere land areas
Southern Hemisphere land areas had their warmest November on record including Australia, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. November was 1.87°C (3.4°F) above average in Australia, and several statewide records were broken, with New South Wales, Victoria, and Tasmania, surpassing the previous largest maximum temperature anomaly recorded for an Australian state. The highest minimum temperature record for the continent was also broken, with an anomaly of 1.61°C (2.90°F) above average.

Third warmest November on record for the U.S.
For the contiguous U.S., the average November temperature was 4.0°F above average, making it the 3rd warmest November in the 115-year record, according to the National Climatic Data Center. That's a pretty remarkable swing from October, which was the third coldest October on record. Delaware experienced its warmest November on record, Wisconsin and New Jersey their second warmest, and five states had their third warmest November (Maine, New Hampshire, Massachusetts, Iowa, and North Dakota). Eighteen other states had an average temperature that ranked in the top ten. No states had below normal temperatures for the month.

Unusually low tornado activity in November
November was a quiet month for tornadoes in the U.S., with only 4 preliminary reports. November 2009 was the slowest November since 1980, which had 3 tornadoes, and tied for 3rd quietest since extensive records began in 1950. The autumn as a whole was also calm with only 80 tornadoes reported in the U.S., compared to the 2006-2008 year average of 164.

U.S. drought
At the end of November, 9% of the contiguous United States was in moderate-to-exceptional drought. This is the smallest November drought footprint since 2005. Drought expanded across Arizona, southern California, and southern Nevada, but improved over drought-stricken Texas. For the first time in many years, the U.S. Drought Monitor shows no areas in the highest classification of drought--exceptional drought. The second highest category of drought, extreme drought, covers only a small region of northeast Arizona.

U.S. fire activity
November, like September and October, saw below-normal U.S. fire activity in all respects.

Strong El Niño conditions continue
Strong El Niño conditions continue over the tropical Eastern Pacific. Ocean temperatures in the area 5°N - 5°S, 120°W - 170°W, also called the "Niña 3.4 region", were at 1.6°C above average on December 15, just above the 1.5°C threshold for a strong El Niño, according to the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The strength of El Niño was roughly constant for the 5 weeks ending December 15. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center is maintaining an El Niño Advisory. Current conditions and model forecasts favor continued El Niño conditions lasting through the Northern Hemisphere spring of 2010.

November sea ice extent in the Arctic 3rd lowest on record
November 2009 Northern Hemisphere sea ice extent was the 3rd lowest since satellite measurements began in 1979, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). Only 2006 and 2007 saw lower arctic sea ice extent. During 10-day period in the first half of November, arctic ice extent decreased below the 2007 record minimum, but rose above record minimum levels by the middle of the month.

Ricky Rood in Copenhagen
Our Climate Change expert, Dr. Ricky Rood, is in Copenhagen for the COP15 climate change treaty negotiations. His latest post, called Have you no sense of decency, sir, at long last? makes for very interesting reading on how the U.S. is "wasting its intellect and time on disruptions designed to play to people at home".

Next post
I'll have another post late Friday.

Jeff Masters

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Quoting tornadodude:
This is sad, and I cannot believe the courts fell for it. link


Whoa! That is incredible. I can't believe that. You'd think about every city in TX would have at least one bi-lingual staff member who could have interpreted that considering the state's proximity to Mexico! Jeez!
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FLOOD ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
312 PM EST THU DEC 17 2009

FLC099-172200-
/O.NEW.KMFL.FA.Y.0082.091217T2012Z-091217T2200Z/
/00000.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
312 PM EST THU DEC 17 2009

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI HAS ISSUED AN

* URBAN FLOOD ADVISORY FOR...
EASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST FLORIDA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...WEST PALM BEACH...RIVIERA BEACH...
LAKE WORTH...JUPITER...DELRAY BEACH...BOYNTON BEACH...BOCA RATON...

* UNTIL 500 PM EST

* AT 312 PM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR SUGGESTED
THAT BETWEEN 2 AND 4 INCHES OF RAIN HAVE FALLEN SINCE THIS MORNING
ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY...WITH SOME LOCATIONS
LIKELY RECEIVING UP TO 6 INCHES. THIS HAS RESULTED IN MINOR
FLOODING OF ROADWAYS AND OTHER POOR DRAINAGE AREAS...WITH NWS
CERTIFIED WEATHER SPOTTERS ALSO REPORTING FLOODING ALONG MILITARY
TRAIL AND ON FOREST HILL ROAD TO THE NORTH OF WELLINGTON TRACE.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY REACH 1-2 INCHES BEFORE THE SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DIMINISHES LATER THIS EVENING.
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8360
Quoting NEwxguy:
Impossible to predict snow totals for Christmas storm,if it evens comes to that.

That doesn't stop accuhype from trying...
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2-4 inches of rain falling right over the radar, this is going to cause some flooding and slow moving.
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Checking the buoy reading in the gulf in the southern gulf and the Nw Caribbean the barometers are dropping rather fast still got a funny feeling about this weather set up IMO.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3113
Quoting StormChaser81:


Your not kidding...



HO has been right over my house in Wellington (33414) for almost an hour now with high DBZ
Quoting VAbeachhurricanes:


ummm your so wrong on so many levels... but iim trying to get snow!!!! no school monday or tuesday please


you have school next week?
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8360
Quoting hurricanejunky:


I find it interesting that we balanced a budget under Clinton but when we elect so-called Conservatives, we always deficit spend like drunken sailors (see George W. Bush, Reagan, Bush Sr. etc.) Conservatives NEVER govern conservatively, at least not fiscally. Where was all this deficit "outrage" during the last 8 years? At this point we have to target a certain number of areas to spend to prevent things from spinning out of control. It is a necessary evil, unfortunately. If we had the other candidate in office right now what would be doing that would have us in such great shape? Keep giving tax cuts to the wealthy? The rich-get-richer economy is NOT what's good for the majority of Americans. Trickle down economics have been proven time and again NOT to work but somehow we keep electing politicians who return us to it and the results keep getting worse and worse. I am not coming back at you on this I am just discussing the topic you put forth. I am not trying to offend or attack anyone, just stating my opinion based on past events.


ummm your so wrong on so many levels... but iim trying to get snow!!!! no school monday or tuesday please
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..Mayan calenders still selling brisk,worldwide.





Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
Quoting Floodman:
OMG...who brought up that drunken bully Mccarthy? That was one of the darkest periods of the 20th century...hero? Really?


I wasn't going to touch that one with a 20 foot couch!
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Quoting tornadodude:
This is sad, and I cannot belief the courts fell for it. link


Thats not that Bad, a lot worse things going in this world. He just really wanted his son.
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Massive Water Main Break in Baltimore Threatens to Wash Cars Away
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
This is sad, and I cannot believe the courts fell for it. link
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 25 Comments: 8360
Quoting Jeff9641:
There is going to be some serious flooding in Palm Beach County because storm totals in areas are already over 6". Storms are forming and sitting in one place.


Your not kidding...

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don't pop your stitches, Jerry...

:)
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Quoting Patrap:
Here's a gut check and tip...

Typing something here dosent make it a, er,..reality.




I went to both of those links and nowhere does either one say that every person on McCarthy's list was a spy. I don't know much about the era, but I feel I should say this if no one else does. I view some of today's polarizers in the media as our modern day McCarthy types. The right for anyone to have any ideological point of view is protected in America by the constitution.
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285. xcool
lmao
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Quoting Patrap:



Easy Jerry,..I had a moment too,..LOL

Let


I'm good...just had to get control of myself...
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hmmmm. i c it has moved Ne of the Houston area Yesterday it showed us getting about 4 inches.
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be safe tonight Fl.....nighttime boomers are the worst, the sound and rumbling of a lightning strike from the gulf waters is louder than anyone you have ever heard.
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Quoting Floodman:
OMG...who brought up that drunken bully Mccarthy? That was one of the darkest periods of the 20th century...hero? Really?



Easy Jerry,..I had a moment too,..LOL

Oooommmmmmm....
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
006 I dont like..its just north xcool.

....we gonna tozz dat one..LOL

Thanx
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
Quoting Bordonaro:


Check out this link! Allan Huffman is a meteorologist in Raleigh, NC, check out his blog, We all use "raleighrx" maps here, on ocassion on WU:

Link


Thanks Bord!!! Looks like we may have an interesting weekend here.

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277. xcool
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OMG...who brought up that drunken bully Mccarthy? That was one of the darkest periods of the 20th century...hero? Really?
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275. bwi
SHORT RANGE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
242 PM EST THU DEC 17 2009

VALID 00Z FRI DEC 18 2009 - 12Z SAT DEC 19 2009

A MAMMOTH WINTER STORM IS ON TAP TO HIT THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
AND THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS THIS WEEKEND.
THE SYSTEM THAT
WILL EVENTUALLY BRING HEAVY SNOW TO THIS REGION IS CURRENTLY
BRINGING HEAVY RAIN TO THE TEXAS AND LOUISIANA GULF COAST. FLOOD
WATCHES AND WARNINGS ARE OUT FOR AREAS ALONG THE GULF COAST THAT
HAVE RECENTLY BEEN INUNDATED WITH PRECIPITATION. WESTERN PORTIONS
OF NORTH CAROLINA AND VIRGINIA ALREADY HAVE WINTER STORM WATCHES
IN EFFECT IN ANTICIPATION OF THE NORTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THIS STORM.
THE CENTRAL LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK ALONG THE GULF COAST THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING BEFORE LIFTING NORTHWARD ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST
ON SATURDAY. SNOW IS EXPECTED TO START FALLING IN THE APPALACHIANS
FRIDAY EVENING AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.

...

COLLINS


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Quoting Patrap:
Here's the one map from Accu,..but it may be dated,and a new one could be up.






The snow is soooo close! The Tennessee girl in me wants it to creep just a little further south :)
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272. xcool



for pat new oo6
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Gulf Of Mexico - Water Vapor Loop
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
thanks
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Quoting Seastep:


Have to correct the record on McCarthy. So many have been taught non-truths about it.

Agenda and smearing was done by those attacdking McCarthy and continues to this day. Clear by the posts here.

McCarthy was absolutely correct that the Soviets had infiltrated our government. He was also correct that the Communist Party, USA was, in fact, an arm of Soviet intelligence.

The KGB archives and the decoded intercepts prove it. Every single person on his list were....in fact... spies. As was anyone belonging to the Communist Party, USA. KGB archives show NKVD had 221 spies in the Roosevelt administration in 1941 and GRU had a similar number. It is a fact that everyone single person on his list was, in fact, a spy for the Soviets. And held some very sensitive positions too. Spies withing the Manhattan project, even. And convicted. The information is readily available.

Manhattan Project

VENONA

It was the left that destroyed McCarthy for refusing to be PC and calling it like he saw it. And he was right. Maybe his tactics were a little impulsive, but he was the one that was right. The falsehoods that, amazingly still exist today, were from those that attacked McCarthy. That would also apply to those that still do so.

Again, absolutely amazing that intelligent individuals continue to put forth a false reality. Sorry, it just boggles my mind how indoctrinated some people can be. Hey, in fairness, I know the schools taught it that way (including to me), so understandable. What is not understandable is continuing to hold on to a false view after the information vindicating McCarthy was discovered. VENONA only released in 1995 and I believe KGB Archives even later.

McCarthy was a hero. Identifying and eliminating enemy spies, especially within our govt, is a good thing, imo.

Who exactly smeared to advance an agenda at the end of the day? Historical record is clear to me.


Nice to know who the fascists among us are.
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Quoting Patrap:




Looking pretty impressive. The two areas of convection I saw earlier today was making it look like there were two lows but I see one of them has moved more northwest and been absorbed.
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Here's the one map from Accu,..but it may be dated,and a new one could be up.






Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
Quoting Bordonaro:
Patrap, I pray and hope the pattern shifts away from S LA and the NOLA area. Over 22 inches and counting, this is not a good thing at all!!


I know, I was thinking the same thing. I had a hard time driving home Sunday, returning from Florida. I came through Chalmette and they had roads blocked from the water. Fortunately St. Bernard hwy was passable. But if this is juzt the beginning to a very wet winter, it is not going to be very fun. Especially next spring when the river rises from the snow thaw up north.
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Quoting Patrap:




Shes on the Move...
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Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
Quoting Patrap:


There is only one surface Low..


Current Surface Map CONUS



Understood.
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Impossible to predict snow totals for Christmas storm,if it evens comes to that.
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Patrap, I pray and hope the pattern shifts away from S LA and the NOLA area. Over 22 inches and counting, this is not a good thing at all!!
Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
can somebody post the snowfall predictions for around the Christmas area. From Accuweather.com Pro
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Here's a gut check and tip...

Typing something here dosent make it a, er,..reality.


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
Quoting hurricanejunky:


I thought it looked like more than one low out there. Thanks for the update!


There is only one surface Low..


Current Surface Map CONUS

Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
Quoting Seastep:


See Patrap? :)

Really out now.


Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785
243. Seastep

Thanks for the analysis. You have a nice day too.
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Quoting hurricanejunky:


You guys are getting pounded there with the rain. Is there any flooding from this latest round?


None reported..alot of dry air is still at the surface here,lotta what ya see near NOLA is Virga still,or very light.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 428 Comments: 129904
I am trying to stay on weather but I say bring back Teddy Roosevelt and Dwight Eisenhower they seemed to understand what was happening around them.If that lower level low in the gulf continues to develop without getting absorbed by the front, it is certainly hot enough down here to bring it plenty of tropical moisture.
Member Since: August 18, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3113
Quoting eyesontheweather:
Very interesting and of course also new to me. The point you make about what is being taught is also valid and something I believe is current because if you teach stupidity (public schools with text books advocated by gov't) you get a stupid populace who will vote based on sound bites and political drival called debates etc.


See Patrap? :)

Really out now.
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Cat fight, how cute!!

Member Since: August 25, 2009 Posts: 20 Comments: 6785

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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