Embattled UK climate scientist steps down

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:53 PM GMT on December 03, 2009

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The embattled director of the University of East Anglia's Climate Research Unit (CRU), Dr. Phil Jones, announced that he will be temporarily standing aside as director. An independent review of his conduct in light of the emails illegally hacked from his computers last month is in progress. In a press release, Professor Jones said: "What is most important is that CRU continues its world leading research with as little interruption and diversion as possible. After a good deal of consideration I have decided that the best way to achieve this is by stepping aside from the Director's role during the course of the independent review and am grateful to the University for agreeing to this. The Review process will have my full support".

The University and the police are investigating the break-in, and it is currently unknown if this was the act of an insider or an external break-in. I think it is highly unlikely this was the work of an insider in a whistle-blower type of action, since a computer at realclimate.org was hacked into the same week (via a computer in Turkey), and the criminal attempted to upload the emails stolen from CRU to the realclimate.org server. This is not the sort of action a whistleblower would do. Dr. Gavin Schmidt of realclimate.org said in a comment yesterday that the CRU break-in appeared to have been done from the outside, into a backup mail server. It is unlikely the hacker acted alone, since hackers aren't typically intimately familiar with the details of the climate change science debate. The emails and code stolen were selectively culled by someone who appeared to have considerable expertise in climate science.

What did Dr. Jones do wrong?
So, what did Dr. Jones do wrong? For starters, he should have confronted the allegations raised by his critics immediately and talked candidly to the press about some of the specific accusations being made. For example, one of the emails contained the statement that he would like to "redefine what the peer-reviewed literature is" to exclude two questionable papers from the IPCC report. Well, that's not something a good scientist should seriously advocate, and is an impossibility, in any case. No one can redefine the peer-reviewed literature, since the rules for this are well-established an not subject to change. When I read the comment in the context it was made, it reads as a joke. There is no discussion in the hacked emails about how to go about redefining the peer-reviewed literature. In the end, the two papers Jones was referring to with this comment, McKitrick and Michaels (2004) and Kalnay and Cai (2003), ended up being cited and discussed in Chapter 2 of the IPCC AR4 report. Those intent on discrediting the science of human-caused global warming are spinning the comment differently, creating a controversy about something that is impossible to do, and was not being seriously suggested. Jones should have immediately spoken up to quash the hype on this comment.

The "trick" to "hide the decline"
Another area of concern is over a graph Dr. Jones helped construct in 1999 showing the "hockey stick" of Earth's surface temperature going back 1,000 years. This graph combined instrumental measurements made since the 1800s with older paleoclimate data (including data from tree rings) to show a continuous 1,000 year record of Earth's temperatures. The paleoclimate data after 1960 show a bogus decline in Earth's temperatures that does not agree with what modern thermometers have been measuring, due to a well-known variation in tree ring thickness as a function of time, referred to as "the decline". Thus, Jones elected to toss out the bogus paleoclimate data (using a "trick" to "hide the decline") rather than present it in the graph. The graph was not properly labeled to show this was done, so viewers of the graph would have had needed to be familiar with a 1998 paper published in Nature or the 1999 paper referenced in the caption on the graph, which explained this well-known data issue. The graph that Jones used his "trick" on was put into a 1999 report called the "WMO Statement on the Status of the Global Climate". The report was given to policy makers, but was never published in a peer-reviewed scientific journal. No reputable climate scientist believes that the paleoclimate data since 1960 is of higher quality than the instrumental record (this is discussed in detail in Chapter 6 of the 2007 IPCC report). In order to make the "hokey stick" graph less confusing, removing "the decline" from the tree ring data is a reasonable thing to do--provided one labels the graph properly. The graph was not properly labeled. Does Jones' "trick" and failure to properly label the graph constitute data falsification, or was it merely sloppy science? The hacked emails contain no suggestions that the "trick" was done to intentionally fool people, and the "trick" never appeared in the peer-reviewed scientific literature, including the IPCC reports. In Dr. Jones' words, "This is well-known and is called the "decline" or "divergence". The use of the term "hiding the decline" was in an email written in haste. CRU has not sought to hide the decline. Indeed, CRU has published a number of articles that both illustrate, and discuss the implications of, this recent tree-ring decline, including the article that is listed in the legend of the WMO Statement figure".




Figure 1. The WMO 1999 "hockey stick" figure (top) with climate reconstructions and instrumental temperatures merged, and a version (bottom) with the climate reconstructions (coloured) and instrumental temperatures (annual & summer in black) shown separately. Note "the decline" in the temperature obtained from tree ring data (green curve) in the bottom curve. Image credit: University of East Anglia.

Global warming contrarians are spinning the "trick" as reason to discredit the "hockey stick", claiming that the data was falsified to hide the fact that tree rings were telling the real story. Since the hockey stick was falsified, some claim, the entire science behind human-caused global warming needs to be questioned. This is plain ludicrous. The graph was never published in a scientific journal. Several updated versions of the "hockey stick" graph have been published in the ten years since the disputed graph was produced, and the "hockey stick" can be reproduced in essentially the same form excluding the controversial tree rings, using other paleoclimate data such as boreholes (See Mann et al., 2008, Figure 2). Furthermore, the peer-reviewed science supporting human-caused global warming is not based solely upon the "hockey stick" and the CRU data used for the last 150 years of the hockey stick graph. There are three separate data sets of global temperatures maintained by NASA, the CRU, and NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, that all show essentially the same global warming. We also have evidence from nature herself in the form of plants and animals expanding their ranges poleward, the record loss of Arctic sea ice in 2007 and record loss of multi-year Arctic sea ice this year, the shrinking of mountain glaciers, reductions in the length of freeze season in many Northern Hemisphere lakes and rivers, the shifting of spring blooms earlier in most regions of the world, and on and on and on. Again, Jones should have spoken up immediately to kill the ridiculous hype being pushed by global warming contrarians about the importance of a 10-year old graph that is now scientifically irrelevant, and was never published.


Figure 2. The "hockey stick" of global temperature anomalies since 300 A.D., as published in a 2008 paper in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences by Mann et al.. Even if one excludes tree rings (blue curve), the hockey stick looks the same.

Resistance to releasing data to other researchers
The hacked emails also show that Dr. Jones resisted releasing his data to contrarians and urged others to delete emails regarding Freedom Of Information (FOI) related requests. Many countries protect their weather data under an international agreement called World Meteorological Organization Resolution 40, which prohibits the data from being made public (this is why wunderground can't give out the UKMET model forecasts on our web site, for example). About 5% of the CRU data fell in that category, making release illegal. However, deleting emails related to FOI requests is inadvisable and implies one has something to hide. The investigation should certainly pursue the issue of whether Dr. Jones properly handled the requests to turn over his data to outside researchers. Ideally, weather data documenting Earth's climate history should be free to everyone on the planet (I am not a big fan of WMO Resolution 40). However, another aspect to this issue is the time it takes for the scientists involved to prepare the data for release. Large, complicated data sets require extensive documentation and access to related computer codes in order to process them, and making the data available to every amateur investigator interested in the data puts an unfair burden on the scientists who maintain the data sets. In particular, an amateur climate science investigator named Stephen McIntyre, who runs the web site Climate Audit, has created such an issue. McIntyre, a retired mining executive and an investor, is not a professional scientist, but has been successful identifying several technical errors made in the published literature. He has also generated a huge amount of misleading and incorrect information over the years, and has done a tremendous amount of damage to the understanding of climate science. McIntyre is intent on discrediting the science of human-caused global warming--presumably for ideological reasons, since he has no obvious ties to the fossil fuel industry--and has generated a large number of Freedom of Information requests to further his cause. One of the hacked emails, from Dr. Ben Santer, complained that McIntyre's FOI requests were intrusive and unreasonable with no scientific justification or explanation given, and appeared to be a calculated strategy to divert Santer's attention and focus away from research. It's worth reading Santer's reaction to the hacked email affair to learn more. Given such tactics by McIntyre, Dr. Jones' resistance to FOI requests from McIntyre is understandable, but appears to have been poorly handled.

The science of human-caused global warming remains unaffected
None of the hacked emails reveal any conspiracy to publish falsified or "fudged" material in the peer-reviewed scientific literature. The science of human-caused global warming will require no revision as a result of this affair. Baseless accusations of fraud, data manipulation, and conspiracy against climate change scientists stemming from the hacked emails are being massively hyped by the Manufactured Doubt industry in an effort to discredit climate scientists, since no flaw with the science can be found. Most of the public is in no position to distinguish good science from bad, so if you can create doubt, uncertainty, and confusion, you can win--or at least buy time, lots of it. The hacked email affair is all about politics, not science. Dr. Jones is an excellent scientist, but unfortunately was over-matched as a politician. It was hardly a fair fight--one scientist against the political might of the mightiest PR campaign against science ever waged, armed with some selectively culled stolen emails taken out of context.

Other posts in this series
The Manufactured Doubt industry and the hacked email controversy
Is more CO2 beneficial for Earth's ecosystems?

Next post
I'm working on a post called, "Don't shoot the messenger", and plan to run this Sunday or Monday.

Our Climate Change expert, Dr. Ricky Rood, will be in Copenhagen for Monday's start to the crucial COP15 climate change treaty negotiations. Be sure to tune into his blog for updates on the talks. Wunderground has provided financial support for several University of Michigan students to attend the talks, and I may be featuring portions of their blogs over the coming weeks.

Jeff Masters

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Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 553
45 degrees in Tally and its only 5:20. Wonder if the temp will plummet once the sun goes fully down.
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Quoting Grothar:


I am not traveling right now. I am sitting in a little late night restaurant in Oslo, drinking some Urge Soda watching a little snow falling. We should have a little more snow tomorrow.


Urge soda.... :P
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8201
Quoting P451:


It's a lot warmer there and I'm not sure if the snow is going to push into SE Louisiana or not. It may but it's not a given. The rain snow line is oriented in a SW to NE fashion and that may hold true.

If you note the precip/storm is to begin lifting NE'erly so there's a good chance that SE LA never gets into the cold
sector.


That would be so depressing ha..
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Quoting P451:


Need to post a watch for the southshore of LA! or at least a statement
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Quoting Dodabear:


Don't get too cocky. That wounded dog may bite. And... NO... I am not a skins fan.


The Saints offense is too good though. Just too good. They have a top 5 defense and offense.
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1215. Grothar
Quoting hurricanejunky:


Grothar! I thought you were traveling.


I am not traveling right now. I am sitting in a little late night restaurant in Oslo, drinking some Urge Soda watching a little snow falling. We should have a little more snow tomorrow.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting weatherman874:
THE QUESTION? Will it snow in NOLA?


Not sure, follow the "beautiful blue on the color radars". It will be close.
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1213. xcool
Temp
47.6°F
Switch to Celsius
4
mphSo Far Today
Lo: 42°F Rain: N/A" Hi: 49°F Gust: NE 19 Wind Chill: 46°F
Humidity: 65%
Dew Point: 36°F
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1212. xcool



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1211. xcool
weatherman874 im say yeah .imo
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LET IT SNOW, LET IT SNOW, LET IT SNOW

img src="" alt="" />
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1209. Walshy
Winter Storm warnings for heavy snow in NC. Low now is expected to be more west than what was previously thought and some models are now showing heavy precip over the Blue Ridge where I am.




... Winter Storm Warning in effect from midnight tonight to 8 PM
EST Saturday...

The National Weather Service in Greensville-Spartanburg has issued
a Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow... which is in effect from
midnight tonight to 8 PM EST Saturday. The Winter Storm Watch is
no longer in effect.

Precipitation will develop from the southwest overnight and
spread across the North Carolina mountains. The precipitation will
likely be all snow... although a little rain or sleet may mix in at
the onset. The snowfall intensity will increase during the morning
hours Saturday. Total snowfall accumulations will likely reach 3 to
5 inches by the time the precipitation tapers off late Saturday.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Warning for heavy snow means severe winter weather
conditions are expected or occurring. Significant amounts of snow
are forecast that will make travel dangerous. Only travel in an
emergency. If you must travel... keep an extra flashlight...
food... and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency.
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Reminds me of a Frozen Ida - Hey, that sounds like a good drink...

530. HIEXPRESS 8:01 PM GMT on November 09, 2009

Quoting P451:
The scope of this merging of multiple systems is just impressive.



This is what happens when a EPac invest (96E) merges with a Hurricane (Ida) merges with a hybrid extratropical system (BOC system - south of LA right now - still an ongoing process) merges with a trough (that swept in from Mexico) merges with an ULL (that swept through western Texas yesterday)

Pretty wild scenario that came together here. Mother Nature putting on a show.



But no Arctic air to make it stand on it's head.
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THE QUESTION? Will it snow in NOLA?
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Quoting IKE:
Just about finished in H-town....



Next stop, S Central LA, S Central MS and S Central AL. And all the snowflakes are yelling, "HOORAY"!!
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Quoting Bordonaro:

Not good, everybody in S & S Central FL, keep an eye on the skies.

One silver lining, at least the rain will help the drought conditions.


Yeah, thanks for the heads up. Just received spotter activation email for potential severe weather overnight. The rain has been awesome!
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
1203. Drakoen
Snow now pushing into portions of central Louisiana.
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1202. IKE
Just about finished in H-town....

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Quoting Bordonaro:


Very nice, take pictures and enjoy it, unfortunately, it will soon end, between 4-5pm.

Oh, definitely am taking pics. There is just a light dusting (barely any accumulation up here), but I'm driving down to my girlfriend's tonight in Sugar Land, and will be taking many pics there.
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Quoting TheCaneWhisperer:
These are the CAPE values that will be moving NWRD overnight tonight.



Not good, everybody in S & S Central FL, keep an eye on the skies.

One silver lining, at least the rain will help the drought conditions.
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1199. xcool
oh wow
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Quoting jeffs713:
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/199.html#PUB
There ya go.


Very nice, take pictures and enjoy it, unfortunately, it will soon end, between 4-5pm.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Patrap:
Prepping for a 4pm CDT run up to Baton Rouge and Back to NOLA for round 7-8pm.

Should be interesting trip.

Extra Blanket, NOAA Radio,flashlight.
Check

Some H2o,..Bag o sand.

Check.

Mountain Dew or Vault in lieu of Surge or Urge
Thermos of Coffee
Junk Food
More Junk Food
Fruit? Health food not mandatory.
Batteries for Flashlight, if not LED.
Min okay, Tool kit inc. can opener
Flares; Tire Repair kit
Car chargers, Cell Phone, GPS
(I know, you don't need no stinkin' GPS, but it helps rescue find you!)
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting Bordonaro:
Pretty pictures of the snow in Houston, TX! Has there been any reports of recent snow totals in SE TX? It's about 3:15pm, any snow reports in LA yet?

Meanwhile, here in Arlington, TX, not 1 snowflake made it to the ground. However, I got to see the "virga snow" falling against the silhouette of the Moon at about 1 AM today. It was very pretty. We're having a "heat wave", after a morning low of 31F, it's 40F now :0)
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/199.html#PUB
There ya go.
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These are the CAPE values that will be moving NWRD overnight tonight.


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1194. xcool
btwntx08 mee .temp drop fast
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1193. Inyo
Quoting calusakat:

Misusing data among your peers is one thing. You mention that the last administration deleted information yet, you ignore the admission by UEA that the original data had been 'accidentally' erased. Either deleting data is wrong, no matter who does it, or...

Misusing data to falsely influence those in power that we are all going to die soon is something altogether different.

It could be that those caught up in AGW are simply unwitting dupes, who are seizing the moment for their 'fifteen minutes of fame' before fading back into the background from whence they came.

Either way, they are 'withholding evidence' and/or 'tampering with evidence' and that is not right.

I repeat, WE, the people of the entire planet deserve to have unfettered access to the data and to the methodology that was used to bring those scientists to their conclusions. If it is, as they insist, this is as simple as 2 plus 2 equals 4, there will be no denying it. Either the proof is there for all to see and for the AGW crowd to then snicker and then say 'See, I told you so.', or it is not.

Don't you think it a bit odd that they are so steadfast in their refusal to release the original 'unaltered' data?

Kinda like the kid standing before his mother with a cookie behind his back insisting he didn't get into the cookie jar, all the while spinning around as mom attempts to see what he has behind his back!!


I agree that transparency is important, as is lack of corruption. But how is hiding anti-gw evidence worse than hiding pro-gw evidence? If it IS occurring, and someone hides the data for years just to sell more oil, then millions of people DO die, well, that's pretty bad news. Not saying that is for sure what is going to happen, but I hope you're pretty darn sure it isn't.
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Special Weather Statement

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
411 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-051100-
GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER-
INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE-
METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH-
COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...PALMDALE...MOORE HAVEN...CLEWISTON...
LA BELLE...BIG CYPRESS SEMINOLE RESERVATION...PAHOKEE...
SOUTH BAY...BELLE GLADE...WELLINGTON...LION COUNTRY SAFARI...
SOUTH COUNTY REGIONAL PARK...PALM SPRINGS...FLORIDA GARDENS...
ABERDEEN...BOCA WEST...NAPLES...IMMOKALEE...
MICCOSUKEE INDIAN RESERVATION...MARKHAM PARK...COCONUT CREEK...
CORAL SPRINGS...TAMARAC...SUNRISE...PLANTATION...DAVIE...
COOPER CITY...HOLLYWOOD...PEMBROKE PINES...MIRAMAR...HOMESTEAD...
FLORIDA CITY...REDLAND...MICCOSUKEE RESORT...KENDALE LAKES...
WEST KENDALL...COUNTRY WALK...SHARK VALLEY...MIAMI...
MIAMI GARDENS...MIAMI LAKES...HIALEAH...DORAL...SOUTH MIAMI...
KENDALL...CUTLER RIDGE...FLAMINGO...JUPITER...WEST PALM BEACH...
BOCA RATON...POMPANO BEACH...FORT LAUDERDALE...
FORT LAUDERDALE BEACH...HOLLYWOOD BEACH...AVENTURA...
MIAMI BEACH...MIAMI SHORES...DOWNTOWN MIAMI...CUTLER BAY...
HOMESTEAD BAYFRONT PARK...EVERGLADES NATIONAL PARK
411 PM EST FRI DEC 4 2009

...SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY...

LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO THIS
EVENING. THE LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA
LATE TONIGHT...THEN INTO THE ATLANTIC BY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS
WILL SEND A WARM FRONT...CURRENTLY ACROSS MAINLAND SOUTH
FLORIDA...SLOWLY NORTH TOWARDS THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION
OVERNIGHT. A MOIST...TROPICAL AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH
ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THROUGH THE NIGHT. WIND SHEAR WILL INCREASE
TONIGHT AS WELL, LEADING TO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS,
INCLUDING THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES. THE PRIMARY RISK AREA IS
FROM THE NAPLES AREA TO THE LAKE OKEECHOBEE REGION. HOWEVER, THERE
IS A MINIMAL RISK ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA AS WELL.

PERSONS SHOULD KEEP INFORMED OF THE WEATHER TONIGHT. MAKE SURE
YOUR NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALERT FEATURE IS ON BEFORE GOING TO SLEEP.

A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWEEP SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTH
FLORIDA SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH AFTERNOON. THE FRONT WILL MOVE
FROM THE GULF COAST AND LAKE REGION AT AROUND SUNRISE
SATURDAY...THEN SOUTHEASTWARD TO OFF THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA COAST
BY LATE SATURDAY AFTERNOON. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...POSSIBLY
STRONG TO SEVERE...COULD ACCOMPANY THE FRONT AS IT MOVES ACROSS
THE AREA. THE PRIMARY RISK FROM THE STORMS DURING THE DAYLIGHT
HOURS SATURDAY WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 60 MPH.

ALL RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF MAINLAND SOUTH FLORIDA SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT TO POSSIBLY RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS
TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLET FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

$$

GREGORIA



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Quoting SQUAWK:
The Saints need to be very careful this Sunday. I remember a season not so long ago when Dallas went undefeated except for 1 game -- yea, they lost to the Redskins -- and that was the only game the skins won that year. Not so long after that it reversed. Only game Dallas won was against the skins. A down dog can be very dangerous sometimes.


Don't get too cocky. That wounded dog may bite. And... NO... I am not a skins fan.
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Pretty pictures of the snow in Houston, TX! Has there been any reports of recent snow totals in SE TX? It's about 3:15pm, any snow reports in LA yet?

Meanwhile, here in Arlington, TX, not 1 snowflake made it to the ground. However, I got to see the "virga snow" falling against the silhouette of the Moon at about 1 AM today. It was very pretty. We're having a "heat wave", after a morning low of 31F, it's 40F now :0)
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1188. xcool
wecolme
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Quoting Patrap:
Prepping for a 4pm CDT run up to Baton Rouge and Back to NOLA for round 7-8pm.

Should be interesting trip.

Extra Blanket, NOAA Radio,flashlight.
Check

Some H2o,..Bag o sand.

Check.


The rain has started in Baton Rouge. Be careful.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1186. Drakoen
Houston Snow

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Quoting ConkyTonker:
SING WITH ME…..



OH THE WEATHER OUTSIDE IS FRIGHTFUL

BUT THE SAINTS ARE SO DELIGHTFUL

AND IT’S TIME TO LET THE REDSKINS KNOW

12 and 0 12 and 0 12 and 0


Not snowing in Lafayette . . .yet!




GREAT!
Member Since: July 25, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 553
well guys I'm out, I'll try to check back on later tonight. be safe everyone, and enjoy this lovely snow :)
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8201
Has Perry asked for a major disaster declaration yet for snow for Houston? LMAO.

Designated Counties for Arkansas Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

Disaster Summary For FEMA-1861-DR, Arkansas

Declaration Date: December 3, 2009

Incident Type: Severe Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding

Incident Period: October 29, 2009, and continuing

Individual Assistance
(Assistance to individuals and households):

None.

Public Assistance
(Assistance to State and local governments and certain private nonprofit organizations for emergency work and the repair or replacement of disaster-damaged facilities):

Boone, Bradley, Calhoun, Carroll, Cleburne, Cleveland, Columbia, Conway, Cross, Dallas, Franklin, Fulton, Grant, Izard, Jackson, Johnson, Lafayette, Lawrence, Lincoln, Logan, Marion, Monroe, Nevada, Newton, Ouachita, Poinsett, Prairie, Pulaski, Randolph, Saint Francis, Scott, Sharp, Stone, Union, Van Buren, White, and Woodruff Counties. Direct Federal Assistance is authorized.

Hazard Mitigation Grant Program
(Assistance to State and local governments and certain private nonprofit organizations for actions taken to prevent or reduce long term risk to life and property from natural hazards):

All counties in the State of Arkansas are eligible to apply for assistance under the Hazard Mitigation Grant Program.

Other:

Additional designations may be made at a later date after further evaluation.
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
1181. Drakoen
Radar is showing strong dbz off-shore eastern Texas. As that band advects northeastward and surface pressure cool I would look look for the best dynamics over southern and central Louisiana. The NAM, which is handling the mesoscale dynamics well, shows the best upward vertical velocity across coastal sections of Texas east of Galveston when temperatures dive into the lower to mid 30s. I expect snow accumulations between 1-3 inches especially closer to the Louisiana/Texas Border north and east of Beaumont and in Louisiana 2-3inches around Lake Charles and points ENEward. Accumulations around 1-2 inches around the central eastern Texas.
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Rainy and 65 degrees out. Very dark. Nice!
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 6 Comments: 2895
1179. Patrap
Prepping for a 4pm CDT run up to Baton Rouge and Back to NOLA for round 7-8pm.

Should be interesting trip.

Extra Blanket, NOAA Radio,flashlight.
Check

Some H2o,..Bag o sand.

Check.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting ConkyTonker:
SING WITH ME…..



OH THE WEATHER OUTSIDE IS FRIGHTFUL

BUT THE SAINTS ARE SO DELIGHTFUL

AND IT’S TIME TO LET THE REDSKINS KNOW

12 and 0 12 and 0 12 and 0


Not snowing in Lafayette . . .yet!


classic!
Member Since: June 28, 2006 Posts: 24 Comments: 8201
alright thx xcool..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
SING WITH ME…..



OH THE WEATHER OUTSIDE IS FRIGHTFUL

BUT THE SAINTS ARE SO DELIGHTFUL

AND IT’S TIME TO LET THE REDSKINS KNOW

12 and 0 12 and 0 12 and 0


Not snowing in Lafayette . . .yet!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
1175. Patrap
GOES-8 Viz



US radar




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About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.