A new record minimum for arctic sea ice

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:07 PM GMT on November 18, 2009

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Arctic sea ice reached a new record minimum during the first half of November, according to data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (Figure 1). The record low ice extent this month is the first extended period of record minimum arctic sea ice since 2007. The new record minimum suggests that the gains in ice seen over the past two years were probably a temporary fluctuation due to normal year-to-year variability in the weather, and that the long-term arctic sea ice decline observed since the 1970s is continuing.


Figure 1. Arctic sea ice extent up to November 16, 2009, compared to the record low year of 2007 and the average from 1979 - 2000. Sea ice extent over the past ten days has fallen below the record minimum observed in 2007. Image credit: National Snow and Ice Data Center.

What caused the new record low?
The record low was due to very warm air invading the Arctic during October, in combination with the unusually warm ocean temperatures that have prevailed in the region over the past few decades. The warm air temperatures were primarily the result of an intense series of low pressure systems in the Arctic Ocean, north of Siberia, that worked in concert with a very strong high pressure system north of Alaska to drive warm air from Central Asia poleward over the past six weeks. The strong storms and unusual pressure pattern brought winds of about 5 mph above average to large regions of the Arctic Ocean, which helped break up existing ice and kept ice from freezing as much as usual. With all that warm air flowing into the Arctic, the cold air that was there had to go somewhere else, and that "somewhere else" was North America. The U.S. recorded its 3rd coldest October on record in 2009, thanks to cold air flowing out of the Arctic. The temperature and sea level pressure patterns over the Northern Hemisphere for October (Figure 2) were highly anomalous, with temperatures up to 27°F (15°C) above average over the Arctic Ocean, and sea level pressures up to 11 mb above average. The atmospheric circulation pattern has shifted over the past two weeks, with the result that warm air from Central Asia is no longer being pumped into the Arctic so vigorously, nor is cold air from the Arctic streaming southward into North America. As a result, temperature anomalies in the Arctic are beginning to decline, and sea ice extent later this month will probably rise above the record minimums observed in 2007.



Figure 2. Departure of surface air temperature and surface pressure from average for October 2009. Surface temperatures in the Arctic were up to 27°F (15°C) above average over the Arctic Ocean, due to sea ice loss. The strongest anomalies occurred where sea ice was missing from its usual position, though the entire Arctic was affected. The clockwise flow of air around the anomalously strong high pressure system north of Alaska (labeled "H" in the right-hand image) helped drive a flow of very warm air from Central Asia into the Arctic, and a very cold flow of air out of the Arctic southward into North America. Image credit: NOAA/ESRL.

How will the November sea ice loss affect next summer's sea ice loss?
A record 19% of the Arctic sea ice cover this summer in the Arctic was over 2 years old, far below the 1981 - 2000 average of 52%. In the summer of 2009, NASA researcher Ron Kwok and colleagues from the University of Washington in Seattle published satellite data showing that mean winter arctic ice thickness declined by 48% between 1980 and 2008. The loss accelerated over the past five years, with the ice losing 0.68 meters (2.2 feet) of thickness between 2004 and 2008, finishing at 6.2 feet thick. This remarkable thinning was confirmed in May 2009 by the Catlin Arctic Survey, a 9-week, 435 km expedition across the Canadian Arctic led by polar scientist Professor Peter Wadhams of the University of Cambridge. Wadhams' expedition found that most of the route had first year ice just 5.9 feet (1.8 meters) thick. With El Niño conditions crossing from the moderate to strong category over the past two weeks in the Eastern Pacific, the prospects for a much warmer than usual winter in the Arctic have increased, likely setting the stage for continued record or near-record minimum sea ice extent and thickness into next spring. The arctic sea ice will be very vulnerable to a new record minimum next summer if warmer than average temperatures are seen over the Arctic.

Sea ice loss causes stronger storms in the Arctic
The stronger storms over the Arctic Ocean this fall were due, in part, to the loss of sea ice. In a 2009 article titled, Extraordinary September Arctic sea ice reductions and their relationships with storm behavior over 1979-2008, Simmonds and Keay found that September storms over the East Arctic intensified by about 1 mb over the past 30 years and had grown about 50 miles larger in diameter, thanks to all the extra heat energy supplied by more open water due to recent losses in Arctic sea ice. These stronger storms may create a positive feedback loop that will lead to even more sea ice loss: reduced sea ice drives stronger storms, whose winds break up sea ice, creating even more warm water to feed stronger storms with stronger winds, and so on. Now that the arctic sea ice is 48% thinner than 30 years ago, this effect will increase in importance, since thinner ice breaks up more readily in strong winds.

Expect an ice-free Arctic by 2030
In a press release put out by the Catlin Arctic Survey, Professor Wadhams said, "The Catlin Arctic Survey data supports the new consensus view--based on seasonal variation of ice extent and thickness, changes in temperatures, winds and especially ice composition--that the Arctic will be ice-free in summer within about 20 years, and that much of the decrease will be happening within 10 years". In their 2009 report on this year's Arctic sea ice minimum, National Snow and Ice Data Center Director and Senior Scientist Dr. Mark Serreze said, "It's nice to see a little recovery over the past couple years, but there's no reason to think that we're headed back to conditions seen back in the 1970s. We still expect to see ice-free summers sometime in the next few decades". At the December 2008 American Geophysical Union (AGU) meeting, the world's largest climate change conference, sea ice expert Dr. Wieslaw Maslowski of the Navy Postgraduate School blamed 60% of the melting during the past decade on heat brought in by ocean currents, and projected that summertime arctic sea ice would completely disappear by 2016. Dr. Jim Overland of NOAA's Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory was more conservative, projecting a 2030 demise of arctic sea ice. He thought we would be "hanging around where we are for a while", and thought it would take two more unusual summers like the "perfect storm" of 2007 to push the system to an ice-free state.

The consequences
There were 88 presentations on arctic sea ice at the 2008 AGU conference. None of the presenters expressed the view that the current long-term decline in arctic sea ice was almost entirely natural, or that we can expect the decline to reverse this century. Sea ice experts do blame part of the decline on natural variability in the weather, but we wouldn't be where we are now without the warming caused by human-emitted greenhouse gases. One view (Stroeve et al., 2007) is that human-emitted greenhouse gases are responsible for 47 - 57% of the arctic sea ice loss since 1979. Heat-absorbing black soot from fires and pollution settling on the white ice is thought to also be a significant contributor.

The consensus I heard at the AGU conference among arctic sea ice experts was that the summertime sea ice will be gone by 2030. If they are correct, we can expect a period of significantly accelerated global climate change to begin 10 - 20 years from now. Arctic sea ice is one of the critical components maintaining the stability of our current climate. Once the the ice is gone, the climate will become unstable, with highly unpredictable results. It is true that Earth's past has many examples of warmer climates that evolved due to natural causes where life flourished, and we shouldn't fear the new, stable climate we will eventually arrive at centuries from now. However, life on Earth is adapted to the current climate. The changes that will occur during the transition will be extremely disruptive to Earth's ecosystems and the humans that rely on them for life. If one were to rate the destructive capability of climate change the way we rate hurricanes, I would rate current climate change at the "Invest" or "tropical disturbance" stage--the climate change storm is just beginning to organize. But the coming climate change storm is destined to hit our children with the full fury of intensifying hurricane.

References
Kwok, R., and D. A. Rothrock. 2009, "Decline in Arctic sea ice thickness from submarine and ICESat records: 1958-2008", Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L15501, doi:10.1029/2009GL039035

Simmonds, I., and K. Keay (2009), Extraordinary September Arctic sea ice reductions and their relationships with storm behavior over 1979.2008, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L19715, doi:10.1029/2009GL039810.

Stroeve, J., M.M. Holland, W. Meier, T. Scambos, and M. Serreze, Arctic sea ice decline:Faster than forecast", GRL 34 L09501, doi:1029/2007GL029703, 2007.

The road to Copenhagen
By some accounts, the future of the world will be at stake this December, when the crucial U.N. Climate Change Conference will be held December 7 - 18 in Copenhagen, Denmark. At that meeting, the leaders of the world will gather to negotiate an agreement to replace the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. The new agreement will be the world's road map for dealing with climate change, and the stakes are huge. Dr. Ricky Rood, author of Wunderground's climate change blog, will be there, and Wunderground has given the University of Michigan a grant to send a student who will also blog for us. I have a number of posts I'm planning in the run-up to Copenhagen, including:

- Impact of arctic sea ice loss on Northern Hemisphere winter weather
- The Manufactured Doubt industry
- What global warming skeptics say about arctic sea ice
- Is higher CO2 more beneficial for Earth's ecosystems?

I'll also have an end-of-hurricane season summary on November 30, plus posts on whatever breaking weather stories occur. My next post will be Friday, when I plan to summarize the global weather last month, which was the 2nd - 6th warmest October on record.

Jeff Masters

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Oh, Bye for now, See you later!

You'll be fab-u-lous, dah-link!
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Sorry, guys got to go
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Oh, they haven't started yet; 1PM is surgery...Ijaven't had the good stuff yet so really. I'm bored. How are you, sweetie? Has the epi helped at all?
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
"Good meds"...are there any other kind?

;)
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Quoting NRAamy:
Jerry!!!!!!

:)

Oh man, she's WAY quicker than I am!
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
What's up, Flood? Ready to be FrankenFlood?
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Quoting Floodman:
So I'm sitting in this little room with these tubes running oiut of my arm; I'm wearing this weird little shift, I guess you'd caLl it and I'm bearing my rear to evberyone that walks down the hallway. I was promised good drugs and they have arriverd as yet and I'm freaking bored...so how are you guys?

FLOOD! You sound great! I think everybody is currently on NRAAmy's blog, talking about wearing a Purple Hippo costume in case of an apocolyptic event... see earlier posts about Cormac McCarthy's "The Road" and filming in Pennsylvania. Uh yeah, we were pretty bored before you got here, too. I'll go to Amy's blog just in case they haven't noticed you're here. Where are those dang meds?
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
How do you feel?

:)
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LOL. Someone sent me this and I felt I had to share: http://wattsupwiththat.com/2009/11/19/not-finding-any-gore-airbrushes-in-hurricanes-for-his-new-boo k/

Look at the 2 plots...bad issues with the hurricanes aside (including the backwards one), depicting sea level rise by erasing Cuba, Hispaniola, Panama!, but leaving parts of Florida, the Yucatan, Louisiana, well, anything at all east of the front range of the Rockies...what kind of climate change is he envisioning?!? More funny fiction from Gore's fantasy land...

Really curious about the thinking behind the faux-satellite shot. Maybe I am too quick to assume there wasn't much.

I do think that guy has earned another award, though...
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Jerry!!!!!!

:)
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Some record! Sure looks lost in the noise to me.
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So I'm sitting in this little room with these tubes running oiut of my arm; I'm wearing this weird little shift, I guess you'd caLl it and I'm bearing my rear to evberyone that walks down the hallway. I was promised good drugs and they have arriverd as yet and I'm freaking bored...so how are you guys?
Member Since: August 2, 2006 Posts: 10 Comments: 9922
Quoting NRAamy:
Awake...didn't see it...my back won't allow me to sit in a theatre that long....but...I did read the book "The Road" yesterday...the movie is coming out this month....see my blog for my neurotic question of the day....

and yes, Dr. No, it IS weather related....


I read the Road last year while there were in town for some of the filming. The ocean part was filmed at the beach up here in Erie Pa. Was nice and sunny with the leaves starting to come out. The trailer looks amazing what they did to turn it post-apocalyptic.
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Quoting Magicchaos:


They did make a movie adaption of "The Road". I don't know much of anything about it, but my dad showed us part of the trailer on Youtube, and it had the old abandoned Sideling Hill tunnel in it(which interested me since we used to go there alot, and still do sometimes).

a href="http://en.wikipedia.org
/wiki/The_Road_%28film%29" target="_blank" onclick="if(!checkUrl(this.href)) return false;">Wikipedia article

Offical Trailer to Movie


Thanks for links. Quite interesting.

From St. Petersburg Times...uh, he goes on to say he would have left screening but stars were in front of him. I dunno, I think I'd go see it, not on Thanksgiving, though! (Film opens in theatres next week.)

Nothing screams "Thanksgiving" like a post-apocalyptic drama with starving heroes trekking through a sunless landscape, fearfully dodging the worst of what's left of humanity.

That's the premise of The Road (R), based on Cormac McCarthy's Pulitzer Prize-winning novel. McCarthy also wrote No Country for Old Men, which plays like a Ben Stiller comedy compared with this.
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting HurricaneNewbie:
I hope things go well for Floodman as well. I will be quizzing him quite thoroughly about the process since I need to be making that decision soon. I have been living with pain for 6 years. To say it is getting old would be an understatement.
I wonder how soon we will get word of his condition?
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21409
I hope things go well for Floodman as well. I will be quizzing him quite thoroughly about the process since I need to be making that decision soon. I have been living with pain for 6 years. To say it is getting old would be an understatement.
Member Since: September 11, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 263
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:

LOL! Who'd play Grandma? I think I'd nominate Goldie Hawn. She's from here -- went to local high school (and she's old enough, she's holding up well.)
Yes , She was born in 1945 if memory serves correctly. I always found her attractive.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21409
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:


Yes, I read that book last year...haunting, to say the least. I left a comment for you..."I feel your neurosis :) :(

I didn't know it was going to be a movie. Geez, if it's true to the book, I hope it's R rated (like Midnight Cowboy originally, many years ago, was X-rated). Not because it wasn't a GREAT movie, just because of the gritty, harsh content.

THE ROAD is definitely blog related. Flaggers who don't think so will be flagged, lol.

Add: Flood will be fine. Thoughts = energy :) Need strong medicine!


They did make a movie adaption of "The Road". I don't know much of anything about it, but my dad showed us part of the trailer on Youtube, and it had the old abandoned Sideling Hill tunnel in it(which interested me since we used to go there alot, and still do sometimes).

Wikipedia article

Offical Trailer to Movie
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Quoting hydrus:
The Wrath of Blog Grand-Ma,.... coming to a theater near you.

LOL! Who'd play Grandma? I think I'd nominate Goldie Hawn. She's from here -- went to local high school (and she's old enough, she's holding up well.)
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting AwakeInMaryland:

icmoore reminded us this morning surgery is at 1 pm Flood's time (central or mountain, can't swear to it.) The hospital has wireless and Mrs. Flood will keep us posted. Lots of posts earlier in this same blog.

I'm hoping Admin. "gets it" that we'll be asking and posting...I swore the wrath of all blog grandma's if there's any fallout :)

SO, 2012? Did you make it? Pretty sure it goes along w/ Dr. Master's blog...hee hee you manufactured doubter, you (see his blog, I think that's a pretty trippy-funny label.)
The Wrath of Blog Grand-Ma,.... coming to a theater near you.
Member Since: September 27, 2007 Posts: 1 Comments: 21409
Quoting NRAamy:
...I did read the book "The Road" yesterday...the movie is coming out this month....see my blog for my neurotic question of the day....

and yes, Dr. No, it IS weather related....


Yes, I read that book last year...haunting, to say the least. I left a comment for you..."I feel your neurosis :) :(

I didn't know it was going to be a movie. Geez, if it's true to the book, I hope it's R rated (like Midnight Cowboy originally, many years ago, was X-rated). Not because it wasn't a GREAT movie, just because of the gritty, harsh content.

THE ROAD is definitely blog related. Flaggers who don't think so will be flagged, lol.

Add: Flood will be fine. Thoughts = energy :) Need strong medicine!
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
I've heard the surgery Flood is having has it's issues but hopefully it works for him. I know some don't want to hear this but I have run into many more people that have become worse after surgery than those who have been helped. For Flood's sake, I am encouraged at the number of people ON HERE who seem to have had good luck with back surgery. The titanium cage thing seems awfully invasive but I guess it's working for some...it definitely makes more money for the health care provider than other less time consuming and less invasive procedures. Oh well...such is the way...

I'm praying that Flood is pain free soon!
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Awake...didn't see it...my back won't allow me to sit in a theatre that long....but...I did read the book "The Road" yesterday...the movie is coming out this month....see my blog for my neurotic question of the day....

and yes, Dr. No, it IS weather related....
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting NRAamy:
OFF-TOPIC DISCLAIMER!!!!!


any update on Flood? I was AWOL yesterday...

thanks!

icmoore reminded us this morning surgery is at 1 pm Flood's time (central or mountain, can't swear to it.) The hospital has wireless and Mrs. Flood will keep us posted. Lots of posts earlier in this same blog.

I'm hoping Admin. "gets it" that we'll be asking and posting...I swore the wrath of all blog grandma's if there's any fallout :)

SO, 2012? Did you make it? Pretty sure it goes along w/ Dr. Master's blog...hee hee you manufactured doubter, you (see his blog, I think that's a pretty trippy-funny label.)
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Hello all,

Could someone please post an El Nino update?

Thanks
Patrick
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I'm out for a while......gonna Mow the grass and start my outside Christmas decorations today! Gotta be finished by Thanksgiving...its our family tradition we decorate the tree on Thanksgiving Nite so the outside has to be done first. Although my kids are all nearly considered adults they will always be kids in my heart. I told them when they was small that "Santa only stops at houses with outside decorations and lights up outside. That's how he knows kids live there!" I would not advise that fib unless you like putting lights up outside! I would not have it anyother way tho!

So i don't get banned, Watch the Low develop in the GOM it could get Nasty up the East Coast for the travel time during Thanksgiving.
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OFF-TOPIC DISCLAIMER!!!!!


any update on Flood? I was AWOL yesterday...

thanks!
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Quoting Patrap:
UNISYS 10-day GFSx with GOM Low,up the East coast


The GFS model is still showing.....the CMC has backed off some.....and the NGP has also backed off some......I actually trust the GFS models as for me its the best models for such things!
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Here is the local weather forecast I made for my area.

It was made at midnight last night.
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I do believe in global climate change. For billions of years this has been the process through which evolution and extinctions has given us this time to argue whether global warming is caused by man or not. Well, the real proof that this is all a politcal way to redistribute wealth is when the global warming community changed its name to "climate change".
Are we to stop any climate change for the duration of human existance. There are many humans who would benefit from climate change. For example the people who live in deserts. The era called the "Dark Age" corrisponded with a cold period.
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Models have slightly dropped off the NorEaster on the last run but still show a NonTropical area of Low Pressure develop in the GOM. I put that up on my AOI Loop....One can zoom in as you Like...Give it time to load as i have a song posted on it also during these slow times.
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Quoting HurricaneNewbie:

I have Spondylolithesis. 40% slippage. I guess that makes me a member of the bad back club.


Yes, you're definitely a member :(
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4146
Quoting largeeyes:
Nope, the 3 counties south of here are still under a flood advisory though. I think it expires in 2 minutes.

Good -- Way better than this!!

West
Additional low-pressure systems will continue to impact the Northwest for the remainder of the week.
The first system will swing up near Vancouver Island today, with strong winds impacting the Oregon and Washington coasts; sustained winds may be as high as 40 mph, with gusts to 60 mph. A Winter Storm Warning remains in effect through late this afternoon for the west slopes of the north and central Cascades. Snow levels in the Washington Cascades will climb to between 3,500 and 4,500 feet, and the Olympic Mountains will see snow levels rise to near 5,500 feet. Total snow accumulation in the Washington Cascades from this multi-day event will be between 1 and 3 feet. Through Friday, rain amounts of 7 inches or more will impact the Olympic Mountains, resulting in possible river flooding.
Coastal areas of northwest Oregon and western Washington may see between 3 and 6 inches of rain; farther inland, 1 to 3 inches are possible in Seattle and Portland. The cold front will begin to swing inland with the next area of low pressure on Friday. This will spread rain, gusty winds, and mountain snow farther south into northern California and Nevada impacting San Francisco, Sacramento, Redding, and the Reno/Tahoe area.
Scattered showers and cloud cover will impact areas from the Mississippi River eastward and from the Ohio River northward. Rainfall amounts will generally be light, though portions of eastern Ohio may see an inch of rain through today.
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Nope, the 3 counties south of here are still under a flood advisory though. I think it expires in 2 minutes.
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Looks like a nice N'easter.
Member Since: September 11, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 263
Quoting icmoore:


You're welcome! Join the bad back club or better yet don't it sucks doesn't it? Quite a few of us here.

I have Spondylolithesis. 40% slippage. I guess that makes me a member of the bad back club.
Member Since: September 11, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 263
Quoting AussieStorm:

I have compressed disc's at L3-L4, L4-L5 and L5-S1. I so hope Flood's op goes well. my specialist told me they are not 75% let alone 100%. I have a friend that had the op and has been in bed for 3 months.


Wow, that sounds vey painful, sorry.
The back is so complicated so I'm like you I'm so hoping it all goes fantastic today for our friend.
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4146
PDA: Preliminary Damage Assessment
IA: Individual Assistance
PA: Public Assistance

Preliminary Damage Assessments

Severe Weather PDAs
Alabama began PA PDAs for two counties on November 17.
Louisiana began IA and PA PDAs on November 17 for two parishes.
New Jersey Joint IA PDAs for 7 counties have been completed; PA PDAs are ongoing for 4 counties and have been completed for 7.
Virginia Joint IA PDAs have been completed for seven counties; Joint PA PDAs have been requested for 11 locations, with 7 now completed and 4 remaining.
Delaware PA PDAs are scheduled to begin on November 19.
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Looks like leaving for St. Lucia on saturday from eastern NC was an even better idea than I could have thought :)
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Quoting icmoore:
#441

I don't think I can say I ever met anyone who had been struck by lightening LOL. Yeah, I hear ya. Don't get me started I use to run 5 miles a day, work out, did a lot of landscaping etc. One day after working very hard in my backyard I bent over to turn on the shower and basically blew out the L-5. Needless to say I don't do the things I use to do. Sorry about that but I told you don't get me started :)

I have compressed disc's at L3-L4, L4-L5 and L5-S1. I so hope Flood's op goes well. my specialist told me they are not 75% let alone 100%. I have a friend that had the op and has been in bed for 3 months.
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Quoting P451:


I don't see how they say that given it's still easily definable on satellite images and is modeled to head to the azores as a deepening system.


Umm...the NHC still notes a cyclonic circulation near ex-Ida
as of 705 AM EST THU NOV 19 2009 Tropical Weather Discussion:
"A DEEP LAYER TROUGH EXTENDS FROM A 26N58W CYCLONIC CIRCULATION CENTER ON WATER VAPOR IMAGERY TO 21N62W TO 15N61W IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA."
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#441

I don't think I can say I ever met anyone who had been struck by lightening LOL. Yeah, I hear ya. Don't get me started I use to run 5 miles a day, work out, did a lot of landscaping etc. One day after working very hard in my backyard I bent over to turn on the shower and basically blew out the L-5. Needless to say I don't do the things I use to do. Sorry about that but I told you don't get me started :)
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4146
Good morning and good wishes to Mr. & Mrs. Flood.
I see Aussie is hot, hot, hot.
Been saving some positive news in honor of Flood's surgery day.

UN doubles funding call for RP typhoon victims to $144M
Member Since: August 19, 2008 Posts: 32 Comments: 1918
Quoting icmoore:


You're welcome! Join the bad back club or better yet don't it sucks doesn't it? Quite a few of us here.

Just think. I got struck by lightening almost 16 years ago and didnt get injured yet 1 night almost 3 years ago at work and i'm like this.
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Quoting AussieStorm:

Thanks, I am in Sydney Australia. It's 1:36am Friday. Flood and I pretty much have the same problem, he's getting his fixed today and I hope and pray it all goes smooth.


You're welcome! Join the bad back club or better yet don't it sucks doesn't it? Quite a few of us here.
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4146
If you wanna know how hot its been in the past few days in far western NSW have a look at Broken Hill
and Lightning Ridge
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Seismic Monitor

AOI

AOI

Humor in Comments
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Quoting icmoore:
Mrs. Flood (LongStrangeTrip) has promised to keep us updated. His timezone is an hour earlier than me so it's 8:30 there so about 4 1/2 hours until surgery starts.


Thanks, I am in Sydney Australia. It's 1:36am Friday. Flood and I pretty much have the same problem, he's getting his fixed today and I hope and pray it all goes smooth.
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Records tumble as NSW bakes

Much of western New South Wales is sweltering in near-record heat today, some centres are breaking November records as temperatures soar to the high 30s and low 40s.

The far west of the state soared to 46 degrees, including Bourke which broke their November record which was set yesterday.

The dry, gusty winds which are drawing this heat from central Australia have helped fire danger skyrocket. Cobar's fire danger rating (FDR) peaked at 72, which is in the severe category and the highest recorded in the western NSW town in more than two years. Orange also recorded its highest FDR in two years, 51

Further north in Tibooburra the FDR exceeded 100 as 50km/h winds combined with 44-degree heat and low humidity. An FDR of 100 or higher is classified as catastrophic.

Towns which have broken records today include Cobar 44C(111F) and Orange 37C (98F).

Tomorrow will be even hotter for parts of the state, particularly further east, before a cooler change and rain moves into the west.

This change will shunt the heat towards the coast in dry, gusty north-westerlies where it will stay hot all weekend.

By Monday night the cooler change and rain will have spread right across the state.

- Weatherzone
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Mrs. Flood (LongStrangeTrip) has promised to keep us updated. His timezone is an hour earlier than me so it's 8:30 there so about 4 1/2 hours until surgery starts.

Quoting AussieStorm:

Any idea how Flood is?
Member Since: July 18, 2005 Posts: 9 Comments: 4146

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.