Typhoon Ketsana hits Vietnam; death toll in Philippines swells to 246

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:37 PM GMT on September 29, 2009

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Typhoon Ketsana slammed into Vietnam this morning as a Category 2 typhoon with 105 mph winds. Ketsana brought sustained winds of 55 mph, gusting to 71 mph to Da Nang Vietnam. Heavy rainfall amounts of 7.2" and 9.1" were observed at Da Nang, and Hue, respectively, over the past two days. Floods and landslides in Vietnam from Ketsana's heavy rains have already claimed at least 22 lives.


Figure 1. Cars being swept away by Ketsana's flood waters in Manila's Park 9 Alley, where the Barangay Hall of Loyola Heights is located. Image credit: Manuel Quezon III.

The death toll in the Philippines from Ketsana continues to rise, with 284 dead or missing. The storm flooded the homes of 1.9 million people, leaving 350,000 people homeless. Ketsana brought 16.7 inches of rain in a twelve-hour period to Manila on Saturday, which was the heaviest 1-day rainfall ever recorded in the city. Ketsana is the third deadliest deadliest tropical cyclone to affect the globe so far this year. The deadliest was Typhoon Morakot, which left 654 people dead or missing on Taiwan, when it hit the island as a Category 2 typhoon on August 7. The second deadliest was Cyclone Aila, which made landfall near the India/Bangladesh border on May 25 as a tropical storm with 70 mph winds. Aila killed at least 339 people, 149 in India and 190 in Bangladesh.

The Philippines have three more tropical cyclones to their east to keep an eye on. So far, none of these storms appear to pose a major threat. Tropical Storm Parma is expected to curve to the northwest and miss the islands, Tropical Depression 18 is expected to dissipate, and newly-formed Tropical Depression 20 will probably pass to the north of the islands.


Figure 2. Rainfall from Tropical Storm Ketsana as estimated by NASA's TRMM satellite. Image credit: NASA Earth Observatory.

How to help Ketsana victims
Help the UN World Food Programme by making a donation. This program identifies families in specific need of aid. Just $18 provides a family with rice for two weeks. This is the most critical and immediate way you can make an impact.

Donate to the International Red Cross and help them continue to put relief workers on the ground in the Philippines.

Donate via Catholic Relief Services online of the Philippines or call 1-877-HELP-CRS.

Quiet in the Atlantic
None of the computer models are forecasting tropical storm formation in the Atlantic over the next seven days. Wind shear is predicted to be high in the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean this week, limiting the potential for anything to affect land.

Jeff Masters

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253. WeatherStudent 3:52 PM EDT on September 29, 2009

Quoting SAINTHURRIFAN:
if anyone gets a chance go to the wwII museum in new orleans or the naval air station pensacola they have a lot of great exhibits.and my favorite a very large variety of exhibits and artifacts from the greatest generation.


Hit me up with a private, and I'll let you know how they both are doing.

How about we just hit you in the privates and then you can tell us how you are doing.
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Quoting StormChaser81:


Because there probably not sure if it will stay together. There watching buoy's along its path to see if they can get an idea of how bad ir is. If they see something I'll bet they'll upgrade it to a warning.


They most likley will. Already they have in the Samoan islands, so they know somethingsa out there, the question is, is it just a tidal anomaly in strenght, or is it a 50 foot giant (in strength). Both are possible. We just need the bouy readings to confirm this. Ill check bouy readings regularly.
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You are right, 300 mph+ is the speed over water but like I said, as the waves approach shore, they biulkd and slow to just 20mph. look at a few Utube vedios, youll see how slow they move, thats because (I don';t know everything, so I am theorizing) the friction generated and the water not being able to go anywhere causes the wave to biuld in height.
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Quoting Magicchaos:


Precisely why it is a Tsunami Watch right now.


Because there probably not sure if it will stay together. There watching buoy's along its path to see if they can get an idea of how bad ir is. If they see something I'll bet they'll upgrade it to a warning.
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Tsunamis are earthquake generated, incase you didn't know, and thier causing earthquakes ARE almost impossible to forecast, and the waves unpredicatble, but warnings, watches, advisorys, and statements can be issued based on magnitude and distance below the ground, as well as topography. As for Hawii, here is the message issued the the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC):
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 002
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1856Z 29 SEP 2009

THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.

... A TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH ARE IN EFFECT ...

A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR

AMERICAN SAMOA / SAMOA / NIUE / WALLIS-FUTUNA / TOKELAU /
COOK ISLANDS / TONGA / TUVALU / KIRIBATI / KERMADEC IS / FIJI /
HOWLAND-BAKER / JARVIS IS. / NEW ZEALAND / FR. POLYNESIA /
PALMYRA IS. / VANUATU / NAURU / MARSHALL IS. / SOLOMON IS.

A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

JOHNSTON IS. / NEW CALEDONIA / KOSRAE / PAPUA NEW GUINEA /
HAWAII / POHNPEI / WAKE IS. / PITCAIRN / MIDWAY IS. / CHUUK /
AUSTRALIA

FOR ALL OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN... IT IS FOR
INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
NOTE THE MAGNITUDE UPGRADE TO 8.3

ORIGIN TIME - 1748Z 29 SEP 2009
COORDINATES - 15.3 SOUTH 171.0 WEST
DEPTH - 33 KM
LOCATION - SAMOA ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 8.3

MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI WAVE ACTIVITY

GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON TIME AMPL PER
------------------- ----- ------ ----- --------------- -----
APIA UPOLU WS 13.8S 171.8W 1832Z 0.70M / 2.3FT 08MIN
PAGO PAGO AS 14.3S 170.7W 1812Z 1.57M / 5.1FT 04MIN

LAT - LATITUDE (N-NORTH, S-SOUTH)
LON - LONGITUDE (E-EAST, W-WEST)
TIME - TIME OF THE MEASUREMENT (Z IS UTC IS GREENWICH TIME)
AMPL - TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL.
IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT.
VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT).
PER - PERIOD OF TIME IN MINUTES(MIN) FROM ONE WAVE TO THE NEXT.

EVALUATION

SEA LEVEL READINGS INDICATE A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. IT MAY HAVE
BEEN DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER AND
COULD ALSO BE A THREAT TO MORE DISTANT COASTS. AUTHORITIES SHOULD
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THIS
CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR SEA LEVEL DATA TO DETERMINE THE
EXTENT AND SEVERITY OF THE THREAT.

FOR ALL AREAS - WHEN NO MAJOR WAVES ARE OBSERVED FOR TWO HOURS
AFTER THE ESTIMATED TIME OF ARRIVAL OR DAMAGING WAVES HAVE NOT
OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS THEN LOCAL AUTHORITIES CAN ASSUME
THE THREAT IS PASSED. DANGER TO BOATS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES CAN
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO RAPID CURRENTS. AS LOCAL
CONDITIONS CAN CAUSE A WIDE VARIATION IN TSUNAMI WAVE ACTION THE
ALL CLEAR DETERMINATION MUST BE MADE BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
AMERICAN SAMOA PAGO PAGO 14.3S 170.7W 1759Z 29 SEP
SAMOA APIA 13.8S 171.8W 1810Z 29 SEP
NIUE NIUE IS. 19.0S 170.0W 1822Z 29 SEP
WALLIS-FUTUNA WALLIS IS. 13.2S 176.2W 1835Z 29 SEP
TOKELAU NUKUNONU IS. 9.2S 171.8W 1844Z 29 SEP
COOK ISLANDS PUKAPUKA IS. 10.8S 165.9W 1846Z 29 SEP
RAROTONGA 21.2S 159.8W 1929Z 29 SEP
PENRYN IS. 8.9S 157.8W 1954Z 29 SEP
TONGA NUKUALOFA 21.0S 175.2W 1851Z 29 SEP
TUVALU FUNAFUTI IS. 7.9S 178.5E 1932Z 29 SEP
KIRIBATI KANTON IS. 2.8S 171.7W 1935Z 29 SEP
FLINT IS. 11.4S 151.8W 2025Z 29 SEP
MALDEN IS. 3.9S 154.9W 2037Z 29 SEP
CHRISTMAS IS. 2.0N 157.5W 2100Z 29 SEP
TARAWA IS. 1.5N 173.0E 2104Z 29 SEP
KERMADEC IS RAOUL IS. 29.2S 177.9W 1938Z 29 SEP
FIJI SUVA 18.1S 178.4E 2003Z 29 SEP
HOWLAND-BAKER HOWLAND IS. 0.6N 176.6W 2008Z 29 SEP
JARVIS IS. JARVIS IS. 0.4S 160.1W 2028Z 29 SEP
NEW ZEALAND EAST CAPE 37.7S 178.5E 2044Z 29 SEP
GISBORNE 38.7S 178.0E 2100Z 29 SEP
NORTH CAPE 34.4S 173.3E 2112Z 29 SEP
NAPIER 39.5S 176.9E 2140Z 29 SEP
WELLINGTON 41.3S 174.8E 2150Z 29 SEP
AUCKLAND(E) 36.7S 175.0E 2212Z 29 SEP
AUCKLAND(W) 37.1S 174.2E 2239Z 29 SEP
LYTTELTON 43.6S 172.7E 2255Z 29 SEP
NEW PLYMOUTH 39.1S 174.1E 2317Z 29 SEP
NELSON 41.3S 173.3E 2323Z 29 SEP
DUNEDIN 45.9S 170.5E 2331Z 29 SEP
MILFORD SOUND 44.6S 167.9E 2358Z 29 SEP
WESTPORT 41.8S 171.6E 2359Z 29 SEP
BLUFF 46.6S 168.3E 0044Z 30 SEP
FR. POLYNESIA PAPEETE 17.5S 149.6W 2045Z 29 SEP
HIVA OA 10.0S 139.0W 2214Z 29 SEP
RIKITEA 23.1S 135.0W 2247Z 29 SEP
PALMYRA IS. PALMYRA IS. 6.3N 162.4W 2102Z 29 SEP
VANUATU ANATOM IS. 20.2S 169.9E 2117Z 29 SEP
ESPERITU SANTO 15.1S 167.3E 2123Z 29 SEP
NAURU NAURU 0.5S 166.9E 2138Z 29 SEP
MARSHALL IS. MAJURO 7.1N 171.4E 2147Z 29 SEP
KWAJALEIN 8.7N 167.7E 2220Z 29 SEP
ENIWETOK 11.4N 162.3E 2309Z 29 SEP
SOLOMON IS. KIRAKIRA 10.4S 161.9E 2155Z 29 SEP
GHATERE 7.8S 159.2E 2227Z 29 SEP
AUKI 8.8S 160.6E 2244Z 29 SEP
HONIARA 9.3S 160.0E 2244Z 29 SEP
PANGGOE 6.9S 157.2E 2245Z 29 SEP
MUNDA 8.4S 157.2E 2248Z 29 SEP
FALAMAE 7.4S 155.6E 2304Z 29 SEP
JOHNSTON IS. JOHNSTON IS. 16.7N 169.5W 2212Z 29 SEP
NEW CALEDONIA NOUMEA 22.3S 166.5E 2216Z 29 SEP
KOSRAE KOSRAE IS. 5.5N 163.0E 2233Z 29 SEP
PAPUA NEW GUINE KIETA 6.1S 155.6E 2303Z 29 SEP
AMUN 6.0S 154.7E 2323Z 29 SEP
RABAUL 4.2S 152.3E 2349Z 29 SEP
LAE 6.8S 147.0E 0015Z 30 SEP
KAVIENG 2.5S 150.7E 0016Z 30 SEP
PORT MORESBY 9.3S 146.9E 0039Z 30 SEP
MADANG 5.2S 145.8E 0041Z 30 SEP
MANUS IS. 2.0S 147.5E 0050Z 30 SEP
HAWAII NAWILIWILI 22.0N 159.4W 2311Z 29 SEP
HILO 19.7N 155.1W 2314Z 29 SEP
HONOLULU 21.3N 157.9W 2315Z 29 SEP
POHNPEI POHNPEI IS. 7.0N 158.2E 2318Z 29 SEP
WAKE IS. WAKE IS. 19.3N 166.6E 2322Z 29 SEP
PITCAIRN PITCAIRN IS. 25.1S 130.1W 2329Z 29 SEP
MIDWAY IS. MIDWAY IS. 28.2N 177.4W 2349Z 29 SEP
CHUUK CHUUK IS. 7.4N 151.8E 0020Z 30 SEP
AUSTRALIA BRISBANE 27.2S 153.3E 0036Z 30 SEP
SYDNEY 33.9S 151.4E 0038Z 30 SEP

BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
THE TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE.

THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.

Another point, the tsunamis that travle across the ocean travle as verysmall, sometimes only 2 feet, but they travel at 300mph of more, imagine being in the water in the middle of the ocean at that time! Anyway, as the tsunamis travle towards the shore, they biuld up on top of each other, since tsunamis are a series of waves, they top on top of each other, biulding to sometimes 60 feet, and slow to just 15 to 20 mph., then crash ashore.
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Quoting StormChaser81:
Hawaii may just get a smaller wave, but it all depends on how much energy is lots during its travel accross the ocean. Say its was a 40 ft wave Hawaii might only see a 10-15 ft wave. It might not be anything theres is so much unknown about how these waves react going over such a huge expansion of water.


Precisely why it is a Tsunami Watch right now.
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269. JLPR


this wave looks like a mess,
maybe some rain for the dry, dry islands :)
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Hawaii may just get a smaller wave, but it all depends on how much energy is lots during its travel accross the ocean. Say its was a 40 ft wave Hawaii might only see a 10-15 ft wave. It might not be anything theres is so much unknown about how these waves react going over such a huge expansion of water.
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I heard they can move up to around 500 mph at times when moving across an ocean.
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Quoting Bordonaro:


May God bless you all and help you through this tragedy. My question is this to the US Government officals,

"WHY WERE THE PEOPLE NOT WARNED OF A TSUNAMI RISK"??


Because the Tsunami struck within minutes of the earthquake...the waves move at incredible speed over the open ocean
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Oh I guess I was a little late.
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I guess living around or in the Pacific Ocean or bordering any ocean comes with a tsunami risk, but tsunamis are also hard if not impossible to forecast. If I'm wrong please tell me since I don't know too much of Tsunamis
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Excuse me but may I quickly bring this in? A 8.3 Earthquake has occured in American Samoa if I got this right, and a tsunami watch is in for Hawii to 2:15 MST (1:15HST). What do you guys think will happen? Ill post a tsunami recording in a sec.
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Quoting StormChaser81:
Tallahassee
Fair

82 °F

Humidity: 25 %
Wind Speed: NW 14 MPH
Barometer: 29.95" (1014.2 mb)
Dewpoint: 43 °F (6 °C)
Heat Index: 80 °F (27 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.

Wow thats nice and weird 82 degrees and the heat index is 80. So it feels two degrees colder than the outside temp. =)


I would have to say to myself, humm, a wind chill of 80 degrees, that's kinda silly.
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Quoting tornadofan:
Tsunami Hits American Samoa

An undersea earthquake about 125 miles from Samoa has caused a tsunami that washed over nearby American Samoa. The Pago Harbor area was hard hit, according to a report posted by Kirk Harnack to his Facebook page. The earthquake hit Sept. 29th at 6:48 a.m. local time (1:48 p.m. EDT) and the wave reached Pago Pago around 8:13 a.m. local time (3:13 p.m. EDT). Harnack, director of international business development for Telos Systems, is vice president of enginnering for South Seas Broadcasting, which owns KKHJ-FM and WVUV-FM in Pago Pago, American Samoa. According to a report posted by Harnack from Joey Cummings, manager of the stations, the Pago Harbor area was hit with a wave 20 feet to 40 feet in height. AC power is out to the stations and is believed to be out at the transmitter site. %u201CAll cars in our building's parking lot are washed out to the harbor. KKHJ-FM and WVUV-FM - our offices, too - are on the 2nd floor of the Pago Plaza building. They're OK. But the ground-mounted generator (landlord provided) is non-operable now,%u201D Cummings wrote. %u201CReports of cars, %u2018aiga busses%u2019 (private busses) and school busses being washed out to the harbor or to sea. Surely dozens missing and presumed drowned


May God bless you all and help you through this tragedy. My question is this to the US Government officals,

"WHY WERE THE PEOPLE NOT WARNED OF A TSUNAMI RISK"??
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There probably was more than one wave. Most likely smaller waves followed the big first wave into those islands.
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BULLETIN
TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
857 AM HST TUE SEP 29 2009

TO - CIVIL DEFENSE IN THE STATE OF HAWAII

SUBJECT - TSUNAMI WATCH SUPPLEMENT

A TSUNAMI WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
NOTE MOMENT MAGNITUDE INCREASE TO 8.3

ORIGIN TIME - 0748 AM HST 29 SEP 2009
COORDINATES - 15.3 SOUTH 171.0 WEST
LOCATION - SAMOA ISLANDS REGION
MAGNITUDE - 8.3 MOMENT
MAGNITUDE - 8.0 RICHTER (MS)

MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI WAVE ACTIVITY

GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON TIME AMPL PER
------------------- ----- ------ ----- --------------- -----
APIA UPOLU WS 13.8S 171.8W 1832Z 0.70M / 2.3FT 08MIN
PAGO PAGO AS 14.3S 170.7W 1812Z 1.57M / 5.1FT 04MIN

LAT - LATITUDE (N-NORTH, S-SOUTH)
LON - LONGITUDE (E-EAST, W-WEST)
TIME - TIME OF THE MEASUREMENT (Z IS UTC IS GREENWICH TIME)
AMPL - TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL.
IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT.
VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT).
PER - PERIOD OF TIME IN MINUTES(MIN) FROM ONE WAVE TO THE NEXT.

EVALUATION

BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA A TSUNAMI MAY HAVE BEEN GENERATED BY
THIS EARTHQUAKE THAT COULD BE DESTRUCTIVE ON COASTAL AREAS EVEN
FAR FROM THE EPICENTER. AN INVESTIGATION IS UNDERWAY TO DETERMINE
IF THERE IS A TSUNAMI THREAT TO HAWAII.

IF TSUNAMI WAVES IMPACT HAWAII THE ESTIMATED EARLIEST ARRIVAL OF
THE FIRST TSUNAMI WAVE IS

0111 PM HST TUE 29 SEP 2009

MESSAGES WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER AS CONDITIONS WARRANT.


Estimated earliest arrival time is 1:11PM HST(7:11PM EDT)
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to ike or anyone on line that knows,what is the web address for the long range cfs forecast that actually shows daily forecasts way out i find that interesting, if someone could post that for me it would be greatly appreciated thanks.
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Hi all,

Just checking in breifly.BBack with actual info!
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Quoting StormChaser81:


Pretty sure that would be a wave passing by the buoy. But its not very big at all. But tsunami will not be very tall at all in the open ocean. Its long and not tall until it reaches land and the back side of the wave forces it to be taller approaching shore.


That's what I thought. Usually only a few feet rise in deep water that is hardly noticed.
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if anyone gets a chance go to the wwII museum in new orleans or the naval air station pensacola they have a lot of great exhibits.and my favorite a very large variety of exhibits and artifacts from the greatest generation.
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Quoting hydrus:
I know. Dr.Steve is a very down to Earth man.I do refer to a few of them being over-dramatic. I do not believe Roker would tell Dr.Steve to say anything either, Al Roker is a fairly collected man in his own right.
Yea that was just a jokin jab at Roker, he seemes so zany sometimes but i agree he can collect himself when he has to.
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good weather student how is your girlfriend and baby have not heard you mention them lately?
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Tsunami Hits American Samoa

An undersea earthquake about 125 miles from Samoa has caused a tsunami that washed over nearby American Samoa. The Pago Harbor area was hard hit, according to a report posted by Kirk Harnack to his Facebook page. The earthquake hit Sept. 29th at 6:48 a.m. local time (1:48 p.m. EDT) and the wave reached Pago Pago around 8:13 a.m. local time (3:13 p.m. EDT). Harnack, director of international business development for Telos Systems, is vice president of enginnering for South Seas Broadcasting, which owns KKHJ-FM and WVUV-FM in Pago Pago, American Samoa. According to a report posted by Harnack from Joey Cummings, manager of the stations, the Pago Harbor area was hit with a wave 20 feet to 40 feet in height. AC power is out to the stations and is believed to be out at the transmitter site. “All cars in our building's parking lot are washed out to the harbor. KKHJ-FM and WVUV-FM - our offices, too - are on the 2nd floor of the Pago Plaza building. They're OK. But the ground-mounted generator (landlord provided) is non-operable now,” Cummings wrote. “Reports of cars, ‘aiga busses’ (private busses) and school busses being washed out to the harbor or to sea. Surely dozens missing and presumed drowned
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Quoting lawntonlookers:
Not sure what this shows, but it does show a jump in the residual (green line) plot. Any know more about this.

PAGO PAGO BUOY


Pretty sure that would be a wave passing by the buoy. But its not very big at all. But tsunami will not be very tall at all in the open ocean. Its long and not tall until it reaches land and the back side of the wave forces it to be taller approaching shore.
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Quoting Tazmanian:




99L was TD 8


next one will be 90L
If it persist might have a reflection at the surface, so far nothing is there.
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Quoting stormsurge39:
Dr Steve lyons is far from dramatic, i betcha Al Roker told him to say that.
I know. Dr.Steve is a very down to Earth man.I do refer to a few of them being over-dramatic. I do not believe Roker would tell Dr.Steve to say anything either, Al Roker is a fairly collected man in his own right.
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I saw Miley Cyrus on my TV at 6:30am yesterday and thought one of my kids had put it on the disney channel. OH but NO, it was TWC plugging Al Roker. For cryin out LOUD!!!!!!!!
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Not sure what this shows, but it does show a jump in the residual (green line) plot. Any know more about this.

PAGO PAGO BUOY
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Quoting stoormfury:
could this be 99L in the making?


Link




99L was TD 8


next one will be 90L
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Quoting SQUAWK:


OOOOOOOOOOOOHHHHHH! How dramatic! Sounds like TWC.
Dr Steve lyons is far from dramatic, i betcha Al Roker told him to say that.
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Quoting SQUAWK:


OOOOOOOOOOOOHHHHHH! How dramatic! Sounds like TWC.
Yes, they can be dramatic, some wwwaaaaaaaaaayyyyy more than others. there was a time when it was not so.
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Quoting hydrus:
Yes, Dr.Steve Lyons calls the shear that destroys tropical cyclones-The Dagger of Death!


OOOOOOOOOOOOHHHHHH! How dramatic! Sounds like TWC.
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Quoting stormsurge39:
The one word that i will think of the most when it comes to the 2009 hurricane season for the Atlantic, will be SHEAR!! Ive learned this year it dont matter how good lookin a wave is, or how strong a hurricane is, STRONG SHEAR will bring a potential active hurricane season to its cyclonic knees!!!
Yes, Dr.Steve Lyons calls the strong shear that destroys tropical cyclones-The Dagger of Death!
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A 7.9-magnitude earthquake Tuesday off Samoa has triggered a tsunami warning


Major Quake, Possible Tsunami Strike South Pacific

By LiveScience Staff

posted: 29 September 2009 03:20 pm ET



A major earthquake struck in the Somoa Islands region of the South Pacific Ocean. The preliminary magnitude was 7.9, according to the USGS, but that was raised to 8.3 as more information rolled in, according to Reuters, though LiveScience has not verified that upgrade.

A tsunami warning was issued for New Zealand and nearby islands but it's not yet clear if any real danger exists.


According to Reuters, "Tsunami observed at Apia West Samoa and Pago Pago, American Sameo -West Coast and Alaska Tsunami Warning Center." This would be an observation by an automated setup in the ocean and not yet indicative of what might or might not occur on land.
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I wunder how much of a home owners insurance break ill get on the Gulf Coast this year?LOL Isnt that just hilarious?
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Quoting crownwx:
7.9 Mag Earthquake in the Samoa Islands. Any info on Tsunami threat?

PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
MAGNITUDE - 7.9
TIME - 0948 AKDT SEP 29 2009
1048 PDT SEP 29 2009
1748 UTC SEP 29 2009
LOCATION - 15.4 SOUTH 171.6 WEST
- SAMOA ISLANDS REGION
DEPTH - 21 MILES/33 KM


A lot of the water column height buoy are flashing.
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234. xcool



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Tallahassee
Fair

82 °F

Humidity: 25 %
Wind Speed: NW 14 MPH
Barometer: 29.95" (1014.2 mb)
Dewpoint: 43 °F (6 °C)
Heat Index: 80 °F (27 °C)
Visibility: 10.00 mi.

Wow thats nice and weird 82 degrees and the heat index is 80. So it feels two degrees colder than the outside temp. =)
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The representative from American Samoa to the U.S. Congress, Eni Faleomavaega, told NBC News that quake hit between the North Marianas Islands and American Samoa, creating 10 to 15- foot waves in populated low-lying areas like Pago Pago Bay.

"Cars were seen floating," the congressman said of Pago Pago Bay.

He said there will likely need to be mass evacuations of low-lying areas and there will be requests for assistance from Federal Emergency Management Agency and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration.

He didn't have any reports on numbers of deaths at this time.

The U.S. State Department also said there was no word of American casualties or evacuees.

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The one word that i will think of the most when it comes to the 2009 hurricane season for the Atlantic, will be SHEAR!! Ive learned this year it dont matter how good lookin a wave is, or how strong a hurricane is, STRONG SHEAR will bring a potential active hurricane season to its cyclonic knees!!!
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10ft tsunami crest to trough. Reported hit capital.
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Magnitude 7.9 SAMOA ISLANDS REGION
Tuesday, September 29, 2009 at 17:48:14 UTC

Historic USGS Moment Tensor Solutions
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128636
Quoting presslord:
...well...there ARE a few nice places in NC...


LOL...speaking of the best of us and the worst of us...
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Event Map
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 426 Comments: 128636
...well...there ARE a few nice places in NC...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10492
Quoting floridafisherman:
almost october here and we still have heat indexes over 100 lol. one of the reasons florida (esp south florida) only has 2 seasons- hot and hotter.




Central Lehigh Acres, Lehigh Acres, Florida (PWS)
Updated: 1 sec ago
92.6 F
Partly Cloudy
Humidity: 54%
Dew Point: 72 F
Wind: 0.0 mph
Wind Gust: 5.0 mph
Pressure: 29.79 in (Falling)
Heat Index: 101 F
Visibility: 10.0 miles
UV: 11 out of 16
Clouds: Few 4700 ft
(Above Ground Level)
Elevation: 30 ft



Second front hasnt reached south Florida yet. Its over Tampa and south of Orlando. Its 88 degrees with 61% humidity here in St. Petersburg. Tallahassee is 25% humidity, so the less humid air is slowly closing in, should be here tonight.

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.