Heavy rains kill seven in Georgia

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:27 PM GMT on September 22, 2009

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Very heavy rains exceeding fifteen inches have soaked the Atlanta, Georgia region over the past two days, triggering widespread major flooding. Record flood levels have been observed on seven rivers and creeks in the Atlanta area, breaking records that had been set as long ago as 1919. In one case, the new flood record (for Utoy Creek near Atlanta), was more that ten feet above the previous record, with the creek still rising. The Chattahoochee River was one of the rivers that rose to record levels, and flood waters from the Chattahoochee crested over the I-285 bridge in western Atlanta, forcing closure of the expressway. At least seven people have been killed, according to ajc.com, with at least six people still missing.


Figure 1. Radar estimated rainfall for the Atlanta, Georgia region ending on September 22. More than 15 inches (white colors) had fallen in and around Atlanta.

A list of the records set so far:

Noonday Creek near Woodstock 19.66 ft 21/530 PM, old record 16.30 ft (07/11/2005)

Nickajack Creek at Mableton 19.30 ft 22/215 am, old record 16.60 ft (07/11/2005)

North Fork Peachtree Creek at Atlanta 18.07 ft 21/715 PM, old record 17.70 ft (09/16/2004)

Utoy Creek near Atlanta 27.04 ft 22/715 am, old record 16.86 ft (05/06/2003)...still rising

Chattahoochee River at Whitesburg 29.58 ft 21/1015 PM, old record 29.11 ft (12/11/1919)

Suwanee Creek at Suwanee 14.30 ft 21/645 PM, old record 12.04 ft (10/05/1996)

Yellow River at Lithonia 25.50 ft 22/515 am, old record 17.53 ft (05/07/2003)... nearly steady

Yellow River near Conyers 20.80 ft 22/730 am, old record 16.36 ft (07/08/2005) below Milstead...still rising

Chattahoochee River at Franklin 28.71 ft 22/715 am, old record 28.40 ft (12/15/1919)...still rising

The strong flow of moist air from the southeast that fueled the heavy rains has diminished today, and no widespread heavy rains will affect northern Georgia over the next few days. However, there will be some scattered thunderstorms in the region the next two days that will dump heavy downpours over local areas, and these thunderstorms will keep flood waters from receding much along some flooded rivers and creeks. It is possible that some additional moisture from the remains of Hurricane Fred will affect northern Georgia and South Carolina Wednesday and Thursday, boosting rainfall totals from these scattered thunderstorms.


Figure 2. AVHRR visible satellite image of Hurricane Hugo taken on September 22, 1989. Hugo was over Ohio at this time, and had finally been declared extratropical.

Twenty years ago today
Hurricane Hugo plowed through the center of South Carolina on September 22, 1989, reaching the North Carolina border 140 miles inland by 8am EDT. Amazingly, Hugo remained at hurricane strength for its entire passage through South Carolina--a full eight hours. The hurricane caused massive damage to forests, buildings, and power lines along the way, killing thirteen South Carolinans in total. Charlotte, North Carolina, over 200 miles inland, and a place of refuge for many South Carolinans that fled the storm, received sustained winds of 69 mph from Hugo--just below the 74-mph threshold of hurricane strength. Hugo turned northwards and roared through Virginia, where it killed six people, then into West Virginia and Ohio, where it was finally declared extratropical at 2pm EDT on the 22nd. The hurricane claimed its final victim near Buffalo, New York, when winds from Hugo toppled a tree onto a motorist.

In all, Hugo did $7 billion in damage to the continental U.S., and $10 billion over its entire path ($17.6 billion in 2009 dollars), making it the most costly hurricane ever at that time. The final death toll was 56.


Figure 3. Maximum wind gusts recorded from Hurricane Hugo of 1989. Wind gusts in excess of 80 mph (green hatched areas) were recorded all the way to the North Carolina border, 140 miles inland. Image credit: National Hurricane Center.

There are no threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss today, and none of our reliable computer models are forecasting tropical storm development over the next seven days.

Jeff Masters

Suwanee Creek Greenway flooding (takabanana)
Suwanee Creek Greenway flooding

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201. IKE
Quoting CycloneOz:
Everything is wonderfully okay
There are "...no threat areas"..."to discuss today"
IKE seems a bit blue
As non-activity STATEMENTS hold true
No more names may be in play!!!





LOL...I'm hoping for that cool, dry, fall weather to reach me here in the Florida panhandle. Almost a certainty it's finally going to happen.
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Everything is wonderfully okay
There are "...no threat areas"..."to discuss today"
IKE seems a bit blue
As non-activity STATEMENTS hold true
No more names may be in play!!!



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Quoting presslord:


Very good afternoon, everyone, excluding PressLord, obviously. Cheers,:)


Hilarious!
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mikatnite...Many Thanks!!!!!!!!!!!!

iluvjess...that was a perfectly reasonable question...thanks for asking it...
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Quoting WeatherStudent:
Muy buenas tardes, todo el mundo, excluyendo a PressLord, obviamente. Cheers, :).


Very good afternoon, everyone, excluding PressLord, obviously. Cheers,:)
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Quoting presslord:


In this case, we simply made a value judgement that focusing our efforts on one family would have greater...and more measurable impact...especially as our general focus is on marginalized populations...and Atlanta is a metropolitan area...


Making it more personal as well causes an emotional response. Worked for me, anyway. I'll post tonight when we donate. Wife's in charge of paypal...
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This finally updated.

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
300 PM EDT TUE SEP 22 2009

COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER CENTRAL TEXAS WILL APPROACH THE TEXAS
COAST TONIGHT. THE FRONT WILL EXTEND FROM THE CENTRAL LOUISIANA
COAST TO THE WESTERN BAY OF CAMPECHE WED AND STALL FROM SE
LOUISIANA TO 25N94W TO 20N95W THU AND SLOWLY DISSIPATE BY THE
END OF THE WEEK. NLY WINDS BRIEFLY INCREASE TO 20 KT W OF THE
FRONT WED THEN DECREASE TO 10-15 KT THU NIGHT. A WEAK PRES
PATTERN SETS UP ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO OVER THE
WEEKEND...WITH WINDS 10 KT OR LESS SAT AND SUN.

TROUGH IN THE NW ATLC ZONE EXTENDS FROM 31N78W TO 26N79W WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY W AND SHOULD BE W OF THE AREA OVER
FLORIDA WED AFTERNOON. AS THE TROUGH MOVES WEAK HIGH PRES BUILDS
ACROSS THE AREA. MOSTLY LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE
AREA WITH SEAS 5 FT OR LESS THROUGH SAT. ON SAT STRONG HIGH PRES
BUILDS N OF THE AREA THIS WILL GENERATE LARGE NLY SWELLS ACROSS
THE NE PORTION OF THE AREA...AROUND 8-9 FT.

TRADES ACROSS THE CARIBBEAN ARE MOSTLY IN THE 10-15 KT RANGE
EXCEPT 20-25 KT ALONG COAST OF S AMERICA. ONLY MINOR
FLUCTUATIONS IN THIS PATTERN ARE EXPECTED REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
LOW PRES E OF THE AREA WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH AND BRUSH THE FAR
NE PORTION OF THE TROPICAL ZONE THU. THE ELY TRADES WILL RELAX
BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE...BASICALLY N OF 18N E OF 65W. THEN
RIDGE BUILDS NE OF THE AREA AND TRADES ONCE AGAIN BECOME 10-15
KT IN THAT AREA.
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
193. IKE
From the afternoon Tallahassee,FL. discussion...

"THE UPPER AIR PATTERN CONTINUES TO BE QUITE REMARKABLE WITH A CUT
OFF LOW NOW MOVING INTO WESTERN KANSAS AND A LARGE RIDGE ACROSS THE
NORTHWESTERN CONUS. FURTHER UPSTREAM...THE NEXT POTENT STORM SYSTEM
AND LIKELY PATTERN CHANGER IS PASSING JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN
ISLANDS. THIS SYSTEM IS PROGGED IN BOTH THE GFS AND EURO TO YIELD A
SIZABLE CYCLONE OVER THE GREAT LAKES THAT WILL HELP PUSH A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA BY MONDAY-TUESDAY NEXT WEEK. SO
WHILE ON THIS FIRST DAY OF FALL...THE WEATHER MAY STILL SEEM
SUMMERLIKE...IT MAY NOT BE ALL THAT MUGGY FOR LONG."

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Quoting IKE:


You shouldn't need that AC much longer according to the 12Z ECMWF if you live in the eastern USA. Strong trough dives all the way to the northern gulf-coast next week.

Oh yeah....Atlantic is dead the next 10 days.


Not far enough for us Ike! I just walked outside to check the mail and thought I might burst into flames. I can see the light changing, and if I'm in the AC it almost looks like winter outside, but I don't reckon we'll get any real relief til November...
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Quoting iluvjess:

I know that portlight has helped a ton of needy people in the past. I just have one question. Why focus efforts on helping one family when many families have been effected. Seems like forwarding all donations to a local organization within the effected area would ensure that your efforts would help more families instead of fucusing on just one. I think that what portlight does is wonderful. I was just wondering why the focus on one instead of many.


In this case, we simply made a value judgement that focusing our efforts on one family would have greater...and more measurable impact...especially as our general focus is on marginalized populations...and Atlanta is a metropolitan area...
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Quoting TexasHurricane:
Homeless - Thanks for the update. :)


YW. :)
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
Homeless - Thanks for the update. :)
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186. IKE
Quoting Dakster:
Nice day in the tropics... Fall is almost here as I can almost touch the steering wheel in the car when I get in. The selt belt buckle doesn't leave as big a welt when I touch it before turning the A/C on.


You shouldn't need that AC much longer according to the 12Z ECMWF if you live in the eastern USA. Strong trough dives all the way to the northern gulf-coast next week.

Oh yeah....Atlantic is dead the next 10 days.
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Quoting presslord:
Brian and Chrissy Baxter have lost their home in Lithia Springs, Georgia, due to the recent flooding. They also lost all their furniture, their clothing, and everything else that was in their home...as well as a car. The water was up to just a few inches from the ceiling inside their home.

The Baxters have five children: Tony (male, age 13), Victoria (female, age 12), Brian (male, age 11), Nathan (male, age 10) and Aiden (male, age 1). The family is currently staying at an Extended Stay Hotel in Lithia Springs, Georgia. The hotel is without electricity.

Both Brian and Chrissy work. However, they are unable to get to their jobs due to the flooding in the area. We don't know how much money they need. We do know that the family currently needs help with paying for lodging, food, clothing and transportation. Any help you can provide would be much appreciated.

Portlight Strategies, Inc., has set a goal of raising $10,000.00 to help the Baxters defray the short term expenses of lodging, food and clothing.

Please share your good fortune with this suffering family.

Use the PayPal button @ www.portlight.org

Or send checks to:

Portlight Strategies, Inc.
2043 Maybank Hwy.
Charleston, SC 29412

memo: Baxters

I know that portlight has helped a ton of needy people in the past. I just have one question. Why focus efforts on helping one family when many families have been effected. Seems like forwarding all donations to a local organization within the effected area would ensure that your efforts would help more families instead of fucusing on just one. I think that what portlight does is wonderful. I was just wondering why the focus on one instead of many.
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Quoting NEwxguy:


ROFL,depending on where in the country your located,everyone has a different indicator summer ending,I like that perspecive.
One of my indicators that fall is coming is when Weatherbro starts posting his own blogs again. He's fantastic! I think he is very intimidated by Futuremets (no relation) use of big words, but I hope he'll start again soon.
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Ok Presslord. You sold me. We'll send 'em some tonight when my wife gets home.
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Quoting Dakster:
Nice day in the tropics... Fall is almost here as I can almost touch the steering wheel in the car when I get in. The selt belt buckle doesn't leave as big a welt when I touch it before turning the A/C on.


ROFL,depending on where in the country your located,everyone has a different indicator summer ending,I like that perspecive.
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Brian and Chrissy Baxter have lost their home in Lithia Springs, Georgia, due to the recent flooding. They also lost all their furniture, their clothing, and everything else that was in their home...as well as a car. The water was up to just a few inches from the ceiling inside their home.

The Baxters have five children: Tony (male, age 13), Victoria (female, age 12), Brian (male, age 11), Nathan (male, age 10) and Aiden (male, age 1). The family is currently staying at an Extended Stay Hotel in Lithia Springs, Georgia. The hotel is without electricity.

Both Brian and Chrissy work. However, they are unable to get to their jobs due to the flooding in the area. We don't know how much money they need. We do know that the family currently needs help with paying for lodging, food, clothing and transportation. Any help you can provide would be much appreciated.

Portlight Strategies, Inc., has set a goal of raising $10,000.00 to help the Baxters defray the short term expenses of lodging, food and clothing.

Please share your good fortune with this suffering family.

Use the PayPal button @ www.portlight.org

Or send checks to:

Portlight Strategies, Inc.
2043 Maybank Hwy.
Charleston, SC 29412

memo: Baxters
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Nice day in the tropics... Fall is almost here as I can almost touch the steering wheel in the car when I get in. The selt belt buckle doesn't leave as big a welt when I touch it before turning the A/C on.
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Quoting homelesswanderer:


Good call once again. That has to be what they are talking about.


You have mail... :)
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Quoting beell:
Hey Homeless,
posted this a couple of blogs ago-same feature, I believe

300. beell 8:21 PM GMT on September 20, 2009
Possibly a t-wave missing off the surface charts. Along 57W, S of 20N. Interacting with the ULL just to the W. Very weak turning at/near 19N 58W and a little bit of an inverted V on visible and on the MIMIC-TPW product.

NAM wants to close off this wave on Wednesday near western Cuba. No other model support for this.


Good call once again. That has to be what they are talking about.
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
Quoting OGal:
I am another person who went through Fay. We have a dry lake bed behind us. After Fay we bought flood insurance. I think anyone near any form of drainage or water should try to carry flood insurance. USAA our insurance company wrote our flood policy through FEMA..Humm. My prayers go out to all those effected by the horrible flooding in Georgia. It seems when you need rain you always get it all at once.


That is how ALL flood insurance is written. It is the National Flood Insurance Program, which is administered by FEMA and which private insurance company's operate the day to day business of. It is a highly specialized type of insurance and all claims are paid with U.S. Treasury funds.
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Don't you have something else to do, like painting Hitler mustaches on President Obama posters?
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Sorry for double post. It's raining here so of course my internet is freaking out.
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
172. beell
Hey Homeless,
posted this a couple of blogs ago-same feature, I believe

300. beell 8:21 PM GMT on September 20, 2009
Possibly a t-wave missing off the surface charts. Along 57W, S of 20N. Interacting with the ULL just to the W. Very weak turning at/near 19N 58W and a little bit of an inverted V on visible and on the MIMIC-TPW product.

NAM wants to close off this wave on Wednesday near western Cuba. No other model support for this.
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Quoting tkeith:
133. watcher123 12:18 PM CDT on September 22, 2009

155. bio4 1:06 PM CDT on September 22, 2009

if ignorance was bliss...*shakes head in amazement*



I know how you feel. I wrote a strongly worded response having something to do with him/her/it being a sheep and that he better open up and say BAAH before he choked on all that bull**** but decided he wasn't worth a ban. Sigh.
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
Sindy, I read this this morning. I think it's what Storm was talking about. Hope it helps. :)

MARINE WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
230 AM EDT TUE SEP 22 2009

GULF OF MEXICO...
A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY OVER NE TX SHOULD ARRIVE AT TX AND LA
COASTS AROUND SUNSET TODAY. LATEST GUIDANCE A LITTLE MORE
AGGRESSIVE WITH THE EASTWARD PENETRATION OVER THE W CENTRAL GULF
WATERS BEFORE THE FRONT STALLS. COLD FRONT SEEMS TO REACH PSN
FROM MS DELTA TO 26N94W TO 21N87W WHERE IT STALLS AND MEANDERS
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. SINCE FRONT IS A LITTLE STRONGER
THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED WILL ALSO INCREASE WINDS W OF FRONT TO
N AT 15-20 KT WED...BUT EXPECT THE SHORT DURATION TO MAX SEAS AT
6 FT DESPITE CAA OVER WARM SST. MODELS HAVE BACKED ON AMPLITUDE
OF ELY WAVE MOVING THROUGH FL STRAITS TONIGHT. IN FACT UPPER
FEATURES HAVE REVERSED OVER THE E GULF PAST 24 HOURS...THE UPPER
RIDGE HAS RETRACTED WESTWARD ALLOWING AN UPPER TROUGH TO SWING
SE TO NEAR THE DRY TORTUGAS. THUS...THE ELY WAVE IS VERY
DIFFICULT TO LOCATE N OF CUBA AND IS QUITE BROAD FROM E-W OVER
THE NW CARIBBEAN. WILL MOVE AN INVERTED TROUGH THROUGH THE FL
STRAITS TONIGHT...THROUGH THE YUCATAN CHANNEL WED AND OVER THE S
CENTRAL GULF AND YUCATAN AREA THU...AND THROUGH THE BAY OF
CAMPECHE FRI AND SAT WHERE IT WILL MERGE WITH THE SOUTHERN
EXTENT OF THE STATIONARY FRONT. STILL EXPECT THE GRADIENT TO
INCREASE THE NE FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL WATERS TO 15-20 KT WED AND
15 KT THU AND A 10-15 KT NE-SE WIND SHIFT ALONG THE TROUGH AXIS
FRI-SAT.


GMZ089-222130-
SYNOPSIS FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO
1030 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2009

.SYNOPSIS...COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE TEXAS COAST THIS
EVENING AND STALL FROM 29N90W TO 21N97W WED NIGHT THEN DRIFT W
THROUGH SAT. BROAD INVERTED TROUGH WILL SET UP OVER THE SE GULF
WED THEN MOVE W TO ALONG 90W THU MERGE WITH THE STATIONARY
FRONT OVER THE BAY OF CAMPECHE FRI CONTINUING W SAT.
Member Since: August 15, 2008 Posts: 10 Comments: 3665
good morning from Seattle Blog
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Quoting tkeith:
133. watcher123 12:18 PM CDT on September 22, 2009

155. bio4 1:06 PM CDT on September 22, 2009

if ignorance was bliss...*shakes head in amazement*



No kidding. I was beginning to think I was the only one who noticed. Suspect most have 'em on ignore. The map again:

For those still deciding on where to relocate, the map and statistics below may be of interest.

Presidential disaster declarations related to flooding in the United States, shown by county: Green areas represent one declaration; yellow areas represent two declarations; orange areas represent three declarations; red areas represent four or more declarations between June 1, 1965, and June 1, 2003 – image courtesy of USGS

about two-thirds of the country has had disaster declarations for flooding four or more times

In fact, 91% of Americans live in places at a moderate-to-high risk of earthquakes, volcanoes, tornadoes, wildfires, hurricanes, flooding, high-wind damage or terrorism, according to an estimate calculated for TIME by the Hazards and Vulnerability Research Institute at the University of South Carolina. http://www.wunderground.com/education/Katrinas_surge_part10.asp?MR=1

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Quoting Bordonaro:

Well, the Tropics are "like a box of chocolates, you NEVER know what you're going to get until you open the box"! Weather456, a professional private forecaster seems to believe the Tropics will liven up here in about 10 days of so!!

However, on the bright side, no disaster declarations, millions of coastal residents can enjoy life without the threat of losing their personal belongings to a storm surge or wind!! FEMA gets a break, we get to study and see how El Nino and shear disrupts the Tropics!! And last but not least, the years after El Nino, from my understanding, get pretty crazy!!

As far as the blog being dead, drink some coffee, chill, relax because weather is happening all over the world, something interesting is bound to happen!!

P.S. Smile and be HAPPY :0)!!
O.K..Professor Positive, thanks for the uplifting post. What about the people that want big cities get slammed by cat- 5,s??....Just kidding. It has been peaceful without the stress and headaches of a massive hurricane ripping the U.S.coast apart somewhere. I don,t ever want to see people go through that again, but I probably will.
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Quoting StormW:
Good afternoon!

I will be out of the office until this evening.

TROPICAL WEATHER SYSNOPSIS SEPTEMBER 22, 2009 ISSUED 12:20 P.M. EDT


Wow the SSEC will be my new friend. Thanks!
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Quoting surfsidesindy:


I grew up here, but it is still exciting...in fact the shuttle on the 747 flew directly over or house yesterday on its way back from CA, and that was quite a thrill!


That's got to be quite the sight! We were just talking last night - things like that make one believe nearly anything's possible.
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133. watcher123 12:18 PM CDT on September 22, 2009

155. bio4 1:06 PM CDT on September 22, 2009

if ignorance was bliss...*shakes head in amazement*

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Gotta run get the kiddos. Hoping we don't get a FredEx surprise in the next few days...
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Quoting surfsidesindy:
FROM STORMW BLOG:

The second piece of energy is located west of the Cape Canaveral, FL. area and is moving to the west. Though development is not expected, this convection does appear to be taking on a cyclonic turning. Wind shear has decreased in the area to about 10-15 kts, and the current winds shear forecast is now calling for a somewhat conducive environment again during the next 12-16 hours. I will monitor this, although I am not expecting anything as it should reach the Florida Peninsula tomorrow...but is something to look at given the level of TCHP and relaxing upper level winds.

Anyone care to comment, just because I am sitting a mile from Cape Canaveral?


The surfers might get a few good waves. I am south of Cape Canaveral and I think its not much to worry about. I will be watching it too though.
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Quoting mikatnight:


Me and my wife keep talking about moving up there. Must be so cool having NASA in your backyard. I also suspect the intelligence level is higher up there...
Oh, you wanted to know about the weather. Sorry. Not a clue.


I grew up here, but it is still exciting...in fact the shuttle on the 747 flew directly over or house yesterday on its way back from CA, and that was quite a thrill!
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Quoting surfsidesindy:
FROM STORMW BLOG:

The second piece of energy is located west of the Cape Canaveral, FL. area and is moving to the west. Though development is not expected, this convection does appear to be taking on a cyclonic turning. Wind shear has decreased in the area to about 10-15 kts, and the current winds shear forecast is now calling for a somewhat conducive environment again during the next 12-16 hours. I will monitor this, although I am not expecting anything as it should reach the Florida Peninsula tomorrow...but is something to look at given the level of TCHP and relaxing upper level winds.

Anyone care to comment, just because I am sitting a mile from Cape Canaveral?


Me and my wife keep talking about moving up there. Must be so cool having NASA in your backyard. I also suspect the intelligence level is higher up there...
Oh, you wanted to know about the weather. Sorry. Not a clue.
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Quoting surfsidesindy:
FROM STORMW BLOG:

The second piece of energy is located west of the Cape Canaveral, FL. area and is moving to the west. Though development is not expected, this convection does appear to be taking on a cyclonic turning. Wind shear has decreased in the area to about 10-15 kts, and the current winds shear forecast is now calling for a somewhat conducive environment again during the next 12-16 hours. I will monitor this, although I am not expecting anything as it should reach the Florida Peninsula tomorrow...but is something to look at given the level of TCHP and relaxing upper level winds.

Anyone care to comment, just because I am sitting a mile from Cape Canaveral?

Keep an eye on your local radar, although development is NOT expected, the computer models have NOT been reliable this year!! Who knows???
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AS far as I know the sun crosses the line today, usually the beginning of a stepup of Tropical activity for the GOM, NW, SW, & Central Caribbean.The rest of the season maybe full unexpected surprises, one never knows.
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Quoting PcolaDan:


I never believe these fronts til they actually get here. I think I10 might be a barrier. :)


I tend to agree with this statement. :)
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Quoting IKE:
12Z NOGAPS....shows a trough digging all the way to the gulf coast early next week. Leaves and acorns will be falling off the trees in my yard....soon.


I never believe these fronts til they actually get here. I think I10 might be a barrier. :)
Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
FROM STORMW BLOG:

The second piece of energy is located west of the Cape Canaveral, FL. area and is moving to the west. Though development is not expected, this convection does appear to be taking on a cyclonic turning. Wind shear has decreased in the area to about 10-15 kts, and the current winds shear forecast is now calling for a somewhat conducive environment again during the next 12-16 hours. I will monitor this, although I am not expecting anything as it should reach the Florida Peninsula tomorrow...but is something to look at given the level of TCHP and relaxing upper level winds.

Anyone care to comment, just because I am sitting a mile from Cape Canaveral?
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Boy, some people sure are cranky...
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Quoting IKE:
This blog is dead.
Tropics are dead.
Season is a joke.


Well, the Tropics are "like a box of chocolates, you NEVER know what you're going to get until you open the box"! Weather456, a professional private forecaster seems to believe the Tropics will liven up here in about 10 days of so!!

However, on the bright side, no disaster declarations, millions of coastal residents can enjoy life without the threat of losing their personal belongings to a storm surge or wind!! FEMA gets a break, we get to study and see how El Nino and shear disrupts the Tropics!! And last but not least, the years after El Nino, from my understanding, get pretty crazy!!

As far as the blog being dead, drink some coffee, chill, relax because weather is happening all over the world, something interesting is bound to happen!!

P.S. Smile and be HAPPY :0)!!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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