Bill brushes Massachusetts; Nova Scotia gets pounded

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:05 PM GMT on August 23, 2009

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The winds and waves are dying down in coastal Massachusetts, which took a glancing blow from Hurricane Bill last night and this morning. Bill's center passed about 200 miles southeast of Massachusetts' Nantucket Island, bringing top sustained winds of 24 mph, gusting to 31 mph, at the airport. A storm surge of 1 foot was observed on Cape Cod and Nantucket at high tide. A storm surge of 0.5 feet was reported at Newport, RI, and Boston, MA. President Obama arrives in neighboring Martha's Vineyard today for vacation, and will not want to go swimming--seas of up to 15 feet will continue to batter the shores of southeast Massachusetts. Significant wave heights at Buoy 44008, about 60 miles southeast of Nantucket Island reached 27 feet early this morning. A rainband from Bill set up over Massachusetts, from Boston southwestward, and several reports of 3 - 4 inches of rain came from stations in the rain band (Figure 1).


Figure 1. Radar estimated precipitation from Hurricane Bill. Kingston, MA, received 3.74 inches of rain from Bill. Western Massachusetts got even heavier rain from an approaching cold front.

Bill's impact on Canada
The Canadian Hurricane Center is predicting that Bill will generate a storm surge of 0.5 - 1.0 meters (1.5 - 3 feet) along the coasts of Nova Scotia and Newfoundland today, as the storm races northeast at 30 mph. The surge, when combined with the 5 - 10 meter (16 - 33 foot) waves expected to pound the coast, will cause considerable coastal damage. This is the main threat of Bill to Canada. Bill's highest hurricane-force winds should stay offshore this afternoon as the hurricane passes the heavily populated capital, Halifax. However, winds of 60 - 70 mph will likely impact eastern Nova Scotia, where Bill is expected to make landfall later today, causing considerable tree damage and power outages. Heavy rains of 3 - 4 inches will also cause localized flooding problems. Radar out of Halifax, Nova Scotia shows heavy rain from Bill impacting most of the province, but Bill's center is located well offshore. Buoy 44150 was in the east eyewall of Bill at 9:30 am EDT, and reported sustained winds of 62 mph, gusting to 85 mph, with waves of 40 feet. Bill is expected to make landfall over Newfoundland near midnight tonight, but will have likely weakened to a tropical storm by then.

Links to follow:
wundermap for Nova Scotia
Halifax radar
Canadian Hurricane Center advisories

Elsewhere in the tropics
There are no threat areas in the Atlantic worth mentioning today. Most of the models are calling for the possible development of a tropical cyclone in the waters between the Bahamas and North Carolina on Wednesday or Thursday. There could be two triggers for tropical cyclone formation--the remains of the cold front that pushed off the U.S. East Coast this morning, plus a tropical wave that is currently approaching the northern Lesser Antilles Islands. We will also need to watch the region off the coast of Africa this week.

I'll have an update Monday, when I'll show a remarkable photo taken in the eye of Hurricane Bill by the Hurricane Hunters.

Jeff Masters

After Bill (denmar)
Looking south easterly off St. David's, Bermuda
After Bill
Waves courtesy of Hurricane Bill (bugbug)
East Coast surfers trying their hand at "big" surf.
Waves courtesy of Hurricane Bill

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253. Relix
55W wave could be pulling a Jeanne on us? looking quite good and it isn't even DMIN.
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12Z ECMWF out 4 days - Follows Bill but much closer the coast of the Southeast United States. This is not another Bill and will likely affect the coast to a greater extent.

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Skies clearing up at the water front

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248. Skyepony (Mod)
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
253 PM EDT SUN AUG 23 2009

..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..

0300 PM HIGH SURF NEW SMYRNA BEACH 29.02N 80.93W
08/22/2009 VOLUSIA FL BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 FATAL *** 54 YEAR OLD MAN DROWNED WHILE BODY
SURFING. POSSIBLY RIP CURRENT RELATED.

1030 AM HIGH SURF INDIALANTIC 28.09N 80.57W
08/23/2009 BREVARD FL BROADCAST MEDIA

*** 1 INJ *** BODYBOARDER NEARLY DROWNED NEAR OCEAN FRONT
PARADISE MOTEL IN INDIALANTIC. MAN WAS PULLED FROM WATER
UNCONSCIOUS BY BEACHGOERS THEN RESCUED BY BREVARD COUNTY
FIRE-RESCUE.


&&

$$

JRC


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I remember Alex in 2004 became a Cat 3 in the North Atlantic also.
Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
here is another image zoomed in 4 times kinda spookie looks lie a cats face huh



AOI
MARK
15N/53W

Keeper, I been watching that area, sames to be firing again with a hint of a spin also, we'll have to watch for persistance.
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246. IKE
12Z ECMWF......shows a weak low off of the Carolina coast that follows about the same path as Bill.

12Z ECMWF......South America view shows a weak low east of 40 west for one day and then loses it.

Model goes through September 2nd.
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BBL..Have a good evening all!
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244. Skyepony (Mod)
0726 PM FLASH FLOOD PETERBOROUGH 42.88N 71.96W
08/22/2009 HILLSBOROUGH NH AMATEUR RADIO

GREENFIELD ROAD...RIVER IS OUT OF ITS BANKS...AND FLOODED
ROAD. SUCCESSFULLY RESCUED 7 PEOPLE THAT WERE TRAPPED IN
THEIR CARS...UPDATE PROVIDED BY PETERBOROUGH FIRE DEPT.


153 PM TROPICAL STORM NANTUCKET 41.27N 70.10W
08/22/2009 NANTUCKET MA AMATEUR RADIO

CODFISH PARK ON SOUTHEAST PART OF NANTUCKET HAD OCEAN
WATER ON COASTAL ROAD. IN THE MADAKET SECTION...ON
MASSACHUSETTS AVENUE...THREE HOMES WERE SURROUNDED BY
COASTAL FLOOD WATERS. ONE OF THE HOMES IS INHABITED AND
HAS 2.5 FEET OF WATER AROUND IT.

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Quoting Weather456:
Interesting Bill. How often do you see tropical storm warning this far north

approaching landfall on newfoundland shore's and with it the end of bill
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52406
Link


Don't think things will be quiet too long!!
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The highest gust/wave action found so far

72 knots from 44150 with 44 ft reported waves

Owned and maintained by Environment Canada
3-meter discus buoy
42.500 N 64.020 W

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Sable island last report

3:40 PM 73.4 F / 23.0 C 68.0 F / 20.0 C 83% 29.41 in / 995.8 hPa 1.4 miles / 2.2 kilometers South 57.5 mph / 92.6 km/h / 25.7 m/s 69.0 mph / 111.1 km/h / 30.9 m/s N/A Overcast
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Interesting Bill. How often do you see tropical storm warning this far north

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236. JLPR
interesting....


this tropical wave is looking healthy

...oh wait forget it xD
huge wall of SAL in front of it
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 5223





Sable Island, CA (Airport)
Elevation: 13 ft



Wind: 54 mph from the South
Wind Gust: 67 mph
Pressure: 29.41 in (Falling)





Yep.... 60 mph wind....
but at least its not snowing, eh.
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Quoting Grothar:
TO: Keeperofthegate
Do think think this feature has chance to develop? In each frame it appears to be trying to wrap its little moisture field around itself. Looks better than this morning, ya think?
everything and anything has a chance it begins with next to nothing just like this area iam lookin at ,at the moment may just be daytime heat induced wait for the persistance into this evening after sunset
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52406
Quoting SunnyDaysFla:
One question and I will go back to lurking--
have there been any years where a hurricane has not hit in the CONUS? Thanks--tried to look it up but got lost in the NHC archives.


It's happened many times, most recently in 2000 and 2001.
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Video of Bill's waves pounding Long Island:

http://www.weather.com/multimedia/videoplayer.html?clip=15133&from=hp_video_1
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Thanks BahaHurican
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GFS at 144 hours suggesting increased activity in the MDR. 3 low pressure systems.

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Quoting ackee:
this year as been good so far for us in the carrb hope it will continue
but ju know the worst 7 weeks are just coming up :o(.......
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228. ackee
this year as been good so far for us in the carrb hope it will continue
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
here is another image zoomed in 4 times kinda spookie



AOI
MARK
15N/53W


AOI

looks like

KOG

Please stay away from my islands!
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Quoting stormwatcherCI:
It does. Also kinda like your avatar. LOL
NOW YA JUST FREAKIN ME OUT
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52406
225. ackee
how does september look guys think we see more than 3 storms
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
here is another image zoomed in 4 times kinda spookie looks lie a cats face huh



AOI
MARK
15N/53W
It does. Also kinda like your avatar. LOL
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TO: Keeperofthegate
Do think think this feature has chance to develop? In each frame it appears to be trying to wrap its little moisture field around itself. Looks better than this morning, ya think?
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BBL, folks.
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Quoting KEEPEROFTHEGATE:
here is another image zoomed in 4 times kinda spookie looks lie a cats face huh



weird....
Member Since: July 2, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2811
Quoting SunnyDaysFla:
One question and I will go back to lurking--
have there been any years where a hurricane has not hit in the CONUS? Thanks--tried to look it up but got lost in the NHC archives.
The answer to this is probably in their list of Frequently Asked Questions.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/tcfaq/tcfaqHED.html
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here is another image zoomed in 4 times kinda spookie looks lie a cats face huh



AOI
MARK
15N/53W
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52406
Spoke with my sister-in-law on Nantucket.
She said they didn't get much wind, but the waves looked to be about 20ft high.

Nova Scotia is having more action:
Link
http://www.theguardian.pe.ca/index.cfm?sid=280253&sc=98
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AOI/XX/XXL
MARK
15N/53W
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 165 Comments: 52406
One question and I will go back to lurking--
have there been any years where a hurricane has not hit in the CONUS? Thanks--tried to look it up but got lost in the NHC archives.
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Quoting cajunmoma:


Our local weather said this morning that things would be quiet for a bit, but dont get too comfortable. I wonder if he is "hinting" to the GFS model? I kinda feel it is the calm before the storm tho!! It's a wait and see situation now. I never get too comfortable when the GOM temps are above 90.


In my opinion the GFS model is the more reliable. I am not an expert, it is just that the CMC models quite often develops systems too prematurely. We are approaching what should be the most active period of Atlantic activity and it is ominously quiet. I do not believe it portends disaster, just unusual. I am sure it has happened before.
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214. JRRP
Member Since: August 16, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5085
Quoting rarepearldesign:
Had worse storms earlier this summer than this. Bill was a bust in Halifax.
Glad to hear it! Was kinda worried at one point when the forecast track had it going right across NS .....

Quoting taistelutipu:
I have written a short blog about Faith in 1966 who, according to the NHC, was downgraded on the same day she struck the Faeroe Islands. So technically speaking Faith was no longer a proper tropical cyclone when she hit the Islands but she still had winds over 100 mph, so a category 2 on the SSS. How it was possible to maintain the winds and the tropical characteristics up to latitude 60°N over waters not warmer than 12°C is still a mystery to me. (The Faeroe Islands are at 62°N, so Faith was a hurricane way beyond 60°N.)

Here is the preliminary report issued by the NHC, 4 gif files. The extratropical transition is mentioned on the second, the best track is given on the http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_wallets/atlantic/atl1966-prelim/faith/prelim03.gif of the report.

I'm currently compiling a list with notable storms which hit the UK. which I'll post in a blog later on. You are welcome to read it if you are interested in those storms.
Let us know when u are done with it, tais. I'd really be interested in reading it.
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hi guys what up so whats going on in the atlantic except bill
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211. bcn
Off-topic: Greecy capital under fire advisory, 10000 evacs and counting.

Link
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Quoting cajunmoma:


Our local weather said this morning that things would be quiet for a bit, but dont get too comfortable. I wonder if he is "hinting" to the GFS model? I kinda feel it is the calm before the storm tho!! It's a wait and see situation now. I never get too comfortable when the GOM temps are above 90.


Yeah, me neither....I know the GOM has been pretty quiet (except for Cluadette) but it almost seems a little too quiet.
Member Since: July 2, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 2811
209. JLPR
so the tropical wave at 51w is the one that is supposed to get going and hit Florida?
How could it develop when a ULL is so close to it?
Unless the ULL moves SW faster leaving favorable conditions for the wave.
I made a question and I answered it =S
Member Since: September 4, 2007 Posts: 36 Comments: 5223
I also found a report for Fran 1973 (written by John Hope, coincidentally) which strongly implies that Fran still appeared to be tropical as it approached the British Isles. This was an interesting 'cane, since it did't actually BECOME a hurricane until it was nearly where Bill is now.... it made the bulk of the "great circuit" as a Twave....
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207. bcn
Quoting yonzabam:


Well, I've lived here for 57 years and all of the bad storms have just been winter gales. I know of an ex-tropical system that merged with an existing depression many years ago and caused winds in excess of 100 mph at Fair Isle, way up north, but that's about it.

Got any more specific info on this?


See my previous post about Gordon, 2006.
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Quoting taistelutipu:
I have written a short blog about Faith in 1966 who, according to the NHC, was downgraded on the same day she struck the Faeroe Islands. So technically speaking Faith was no longer a proper tropical cyclone when she hit the Islands but she still had winds over 100 mph, so a category 2 on the SSS. How it was possible to maintain the winds and the tropical characteristics up to latitude 60°N over waters not warmer than 12°C is still a mystery to me. (The Faeroe Islands are at 62°N, so Faith was a hurricane way beyond 60°N.)

Here is the preliminary report issued by the NHC, 4 gif files. The extratropical transition is mentioned on the second, the best track is given on the http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/storm_wallets/atlantic/atl1966-prelim/faith/prelim03.gif of the report.

I'm currently compiling a list with notable storms which hit the UK. which I'll post in a blog later on. You are welcome to read it if you are interested in those storms.


Read up on the 1987 storm and the one in 1990. It makes for very interesting reading. I shall be interested in what you find. Since the blog is a little quiet, it would be nice to know about previous events. A good learning tool, in the event someone would say. "That could NEVER happen". They could and do!!
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Quoting Grothar:


The CMC is still holding on to development in the area near to Bahamas heading up the Eastern seaboard. I don't hold to this much, yet. The GFS is now hinting at some development later this week in the western Atlantic. I just believe, none of them has a good handle on the environment as of now and are waiting to see how things develop before doing any posting. It is awfully quite in the Atlantic, though?? Almost as quiet as this blog.


Our local weather said this morning that things would be quiet for a bit, but dont get too comfortable. I wonder if he is "hinting" to the GFS model? I kinda feel it is the calm before the storm tho!! It's a wait and see situation now. I never get too comfortable when the GOM temps are above 90.
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Taking a break, will be back in a little while.
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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.