Ana and TD 3 take aim at the Lesser Antilles

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 4:17 PM GMT on August 15, 2009

Share this Blog
7
+

Tropical Storm Ana was born this morning, when the remnants of Tropical Depression Two made a comeback and organized into the first tropical storm of the 2009 Atlantic hurricane season. Ana is the latest first named storm of the season since Hurricane Andrew got its name on August 17, 1992. The two storms have some similarities, as Andrew formed in the same part of the ocean, and also struggled in its early days with high wind shear and dry air. Let's hope the similarities end there.

Ana is struggling this afternoon. After an modest burst of heavy thunderstorm activity prompted NHC to upgrade Ana to a tropical storm early this morning, Ana has run into strong upper-level winds from the west that are creating high wind shear. This shear was not forecast, and it is not clear how long it will last. The shear has acted to drive dry air into the core of Ana, destroying almost all of Ana's heavy thunderstorms. The low-level center of the storm is now exposed to view, something that often foreshadows the death of a storm. It is possible the shear will destroy Ana, and several models (the GFS and ECMWF) forecast this may be the case. However, the shear forecast calls for shear to drop into the low range, 5 - 10 knots, tonight through Tuesday. If the shear does drop as forecast, Ana should be able to moisten the atmosphere around it sufficiently to protest itself from the dry Saharan air that surrounds it (Figure 1). SSTs are 27°C today, and will increase to 28°C by Sunday. By the time Ana moves into the Bahamas, total ocean heat content rises steeply (Figure 2), and rapid intensification of Ana is possible, if the shear and dry air haven't disrupted the storm. The intensity forecast models, for the most part, predict a steady intensification of Ana to the threshold of hurricane strength five days from now. The HWRF model is on the strong side, predicting a Category 2 hurricane. The GFDL predicts a weak tropical storm five days from now, but that is because the model has Ana passing over the rugged terrain of Hispaniola, something the other models do not predict. In summary, the intensity forecast for Ana has higher than usual uncertainty, and I give equal chances that the storm will be a hurricane--or non-existent--four days from now.


Figure 1. Water vapor image from this morning showing the large area of dry, Saharan air surrounding Ana, and lying to the north of Tropical Depression Three. Image credit: NOAA/SSD

Tropical Depression Three forms, could be Bill later today
QuikSCAT data from this morning and satellite loops revealed that the tropical wave (90L) in the middle Atlantic has finally developed a well developed surface circulation and can be classified as Tropical Depression Three. Recent satellite imagery suggests that TD 3 may already be Tropical Storm Bill. Water vapor imagery (Figure 1) shows that TD 3's center consolidated a few hundred miles south of the dry air of the Saharan Air Layer (SAL). Thus, the storm should not be affected by dry air and dust as much as Ana has been. Ana may also act to moisten the atmosphere in front of TD 3, helping protect the storm from the SAL as it edges farther north over the the three days.



Figure 2. Heat content of the ocean, in kJ per square cm. Oceanic heat content steadily increases for Ana and TD 3 as they approach the Lesser Antilles Islands. Oceanic heat content levels of 90 kJ per square cm are frequently associated with rapid intensification of hurricanes. Image credit: University of Miami.

Wind shear is moderate, 15 knots, but is forecast to fall to 10 - 15 knots on days 2 - 5. Sea Surface Temperatures are about 27.5°C, and will remain in the 27.5 - 28°C range the next five days. The combination of low wind shear and sufficiently warm SSTs should allow TD 3 to intensify steadily, and I expect the storm will be at hurricane strength by Wednesday, when it will be near the northern Lesser Antilles Islands. Most of our reliable intensity models strengthen TD 3 into a hurricane by Wednesday. Oceanic heat content (Figure 2) increases sharply just before the islands, so TD 3 could be intensifying rapidly as it moves through or just north of the Lesser Antilles on Thursday. TD 3 consolidated farther south than expected, so the track models calling for a more northerly path were probably incorrect. In particular, the ECMWF model, which had TD 3 turning sharply northwestward and missing the Lesser Antilles Islands, was probably much too far to the north in this morning's 00Z run. TD 3 will probably pass very close to the northern Lesser Antilles islands on Wednesday and Thursday.

I'll have an update Sunday.

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 4414 - 4364

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57 | 58 | 59 | 60 | 61 | 62 | 63 | 64 | 65 | 66 | 67 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 71 | 72 | 73 | 74 | 75 | 76 | 77 | 78 | 79 | 80 | 81 | 82 | 83 | 84 | 85 | 86 | 87 | 88 | 89 | 90 | 91 | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97Blog Index

ATMOSPHERICS

Sometimes on a late clear night you can pull that station from Denver or Boston out of the dark.

All the elsewheres alter here, as what you remember changes what you think.

Not spider nor plum nor pebble possesses any of the names we give them.

A kite tugging on its string gives you a sense of what%u2019s up there, though it%u2019s translated, and by a string.

Out there, in the dark, the true thing.

by, Susan Hutton
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
So has Bill started making that WNW turn?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxLogic:
By the way... the wind field on this one is very small... I'm about 3 miles or so from the coast due E/ESE of it and no wind to speak of.


Its small size will only help it even further. It doesn't require as much ambient energy as a mammoth like Bill does. I truly won't be surprised if this become a hurricane.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting mikatnight:
Mornin' -
I see we now have 3 NHC tracks on the map, or as I like to call them, the pink tongues of death...

But not "CERTAIN DEATH" (yet)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4410. IKE
Quoting Ossqss:
Ike, do you see CycloneOz with Cantore out there yet?


lol.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
4409. Ossqss
From the Crown weather link provided earlier,


Radar and satellite imagery over the last 12 to 18 hours indicate that the disturbance in the eastern Gulf of Mexico has become much better organized and is now considered a Tropical Depression. The excellent radar presentation and deep convection seen on satellite imagery indicates to me that this will be upgraded to Tropical Storm Claudette probably as early as late this morning. Overall wind shear is quite low and the intensity guidance from SHIPS, LGEM, HWRF and GFDL all indicate that this storm will make landfall as a 50 to 60 mph tropical storm this evening on the Florida Panhandle between Destin and Panama City. With that said, I am concerned that with the low shear and downright hot Gulf of Mexico waters that more rapid strengthening is possible than what is being forecast. So, folks along the Florida Panhandle should keep very close tabs on this system and in my opinion make preparations for a high end Tropical Storm or a low end Category 1 Hurricane. (65 to 80 mph).

TD 4 is tracking north-northwest at a forward speed of 16 mph and it is forecast to remain on this track and speed right up through landfall. This is a small storm and its effects are likely to remain close to the path of the center.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Mornin' -
I see we now have 3 NHC tracks on the map, or as I like to call them, the pink tongues of death...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4407. WxLogic
By the way... the wind field on this one is very small... I'm about 3 miles or so from the coast due E/ESE of it and no wind to speak of.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Figures. I went to bed thinking about the kickball tournament I was going to play in today. I wake up and wonder what time my boss will call me and order me to report to the EOC.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:




SITUATION OVERVIEW
EXPECTED CONDITIONS AND IMPACTS FOR ALL AREAS:


TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS
EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY TO A TROPICAL STORM LATER THIS EVENING
BEFORE MAKING LANDFALL ALONG THE PANHANDLE COAST.


Low Threat - Up to three tornadoes expected.

Impact - Isolated tornadoes possible.

One to three tornadoes possible. These tornadoes will likely be of EF1 intensity or less (winds of 110 mph or less). Tornadoes of this intensity can significantly damage or destroy outbuildings and cause major damage to mobile homes. Older, weaker mobile homes may be destroyed. Numerous trees will be uprooted or snapped by the winds of the tornado.
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11281
Quoting WxLogic:


Yesterday we got some interesting storms around here... but since then no rain so far inland... based on the rainbow I saw earlier this AM towards the coast... there's at least virga to light rain on the immediate coast.
Ok. Thanks.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8435
4403. WxLogic
Quoting stormwatcherCI:
Good morning. Did you get rain in Clearwater ? My father lives in Dunedin so just curious.


Yesterday we got some interesting storms around here... but since then no rain so far inland... based on the rainbow I saw earlier this AM towards the coast... there's at least virga to light rain on the immediate coast.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4402. jdjnola
Quoting breald:


This system is way to close to land to gain much strength. If this was moving in a more westerly direction towards TX, it may strengthen more . IMO.


One word: Humberto.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4401. Ossqss
Ike, do you see CycloneOz with Cantore out there yet?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Humbertos sister is born... I knew I KNEW I would wake up to a Tropical System in the GOM.. Do NOT be surprised if a strong TS hits you guys over there.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting keywestbrat:
Yowza,
Well it just goes to show, that even the best predictions are just that, yesterday there was no chance of the keys swirl becoming anything because of the high pressure over the gulf, but now we have TD and were off to the races LOL


LOL - I thought it was worth watching
4218. HIEXPRESS 7:02 AM EDT on August 15, 2009
Some mid level spin with this wave S FL
Radar LOOP
Winds & PMSL
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting breald:


This system is way to close to land to gain much strength. If this was moving in a more westerly direction towards TX, it may strengthen more . IMO.

Well duhhh, because then it would have about 900 miles of Warm GOM waters to wade through, Lol! In this case, because of the compact circulation, and the fact that the actual COC is west of the majority of the convection, the proximity to land (from the west coast of FL) isn't inhibiting strengthening.
But yes, in what you are talking about, the proximity to its eventual landfall site, the panhandle, is going to limit its capacity for strengthening more so than anything else. You are correct.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting WxLogic:
Good morning... for a bit. In Clearwater on a 2 day PTO... I knew something had to be developing as I saw these storms develop yesterday evening and the movement they were exhibiting.

All I can say is that NHC has it nailed... but I would with a bit E of the track they currently have. Based on the TBW radar the cloud mass is expanding but the COC is moving NNW.

Current steering patterns agree with a NNW to NW motion for the next 6HR at the very least.
Good morning. Did you get rain in Clearwater ? My father lives in Dunedin so just curious.
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 8435
4396. IKE
Humberto....

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
4395. WxLogic
Good morning... for a bit. In Clearwater on a 2 day PTO... I knew something had to be developing as I saw these storms develop yesterday evening and the movement they were exhibiting.

All I can say is that NHC has it nailed... but I would with a bit E of the track they currently have. Based on the TBW radar the cloud mass is expanding but the COC is moving NNW.

Current steering patterns agree with a NNW to NW motion for the next 6HR at the very least.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
This system is way to close to land to gain much strength. If this was moving in a more westerly direction towards TX, it may strengthen more . IMO.
----------

the exact same thing was said about humberto, which was only a TD and made landfall as a 85-90 mph hurricane 12 hrs later. it CAN happen. not saying it will, but its certainly possible with ultra high SSTs and fsvorable conditions

------
4386. keywestbrat 11:28 AM GMT on August 16, 2009
Floridafisherman,
Yes it amazes me year after year that many people do not check the weather, especially in the hurricane prone areas, even after they get hit by a storm, they are still don't watch the weather,

I forgot it was sunday, but in key west we can still get beer at 7am cause we are a drinking nation down here LOL
------
lol thats one thing i love about the keys, the ability to get a drink at about anytime of the day, no matter what day it is.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Wow three cyclones in the Atlantic already. So much for the bust of a season forecasted. Bill has the best probability of reaching hurricane and major hurricane status right now. Convection is now over the center opposed to last night when the center was to the northwest of the convection. There is still no real estabilished poleward outflow or a band.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Typical HWRF, immediate to strong TS


ATTENTION...NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER

NCEP COUPLED HWRF HURRICANE MODEL FORECAST MADE FOR

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR 04L

INITIAL TIME 6Z AUG 16

FORECAST POSITIONS (FROM STATS.SHORT FILE...)

HOUR LATITUDE LONGITUDE MIN PRESS (hPa) MAX SFC WIND (KTS)

HOUR: 0.0 LONG: -83.70 LAT: 26.90 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1011.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 30.00
HOUR: 6.0 LONG: -84.60 LAT: 28.30 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1003.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 54.00
HOUR: 12.0 LONG: -85.50 LAT: 29.20 MIN PRESS (hPa): 999.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 57.00
HOUR: 18.0 LONG: -86.30 LAT: 30.10 MIN PRESS (hPa): 998.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 48.00
HOUR: 24.0 LONG: -87.30 LAT: 30.80 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1005.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 37.00
HOUR: 30.0 LONG: -88.30 LAT: 31.60 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1011.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 19.00
HOUR: 36.0 LONG: -89.30 LAT: 32.40 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1014.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 13.00
HOUR: 42.0 LONG: -90.10 LAT: 33.00 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1016.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 12.00
HOUR: 48.0 LONG: -90.90 LAT: 33.60 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1016.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 10.00
HOUR: 54.0 LONG: -91.40 LAT: 34.00 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1018.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 9.00
HOUR: 60.0 LONG: -91.60 LAT: 34.60 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1018.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 7.00
HOUR: 66.0 LONG: -91.60 LAT: 35.10 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1018.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 8.00
HOUR: 72.0 LONG: -91.50 LAT: 35.20 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1017.00 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 6.00
STORM DISSIPATED AT 72.0 HOURS AT ABOVE POSITION.
FORECAST WAS RUN COUPLED FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD...

DISCLAIMER ... THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE. IT
REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY HURRICANE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD
NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. PLEASE SEE THE TPC/NHC
OFFICIAL FORECAST.


Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11281
Morning everyone. I had nightmares last night and now woke up to a blip in the GOM. This has been one of the weirdest seasons in my memory so far.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Crown WX DiscussionLink
OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE GULF OF MEXICO


.SYNOPSIS...
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR CENTERED NEAR 27.7N 83.9W 1011 MB AT 5
AM EDT MOVING NNW 14 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT GUST TO
40 KT...WILL STRENGTHEN TO A TROPICAL STORM NEAR 29.2N 85.0W AND
JUST INLAND IN THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE NEAR 31.0N 86.7W TONIGHT
FURTHER WEAKEN TO TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER CENTRAL ALABAMA MON.
TROPICAL STORM ANA WILL E OF THE AREA WILL MOVE ACROSS CUBA TUE
NIGHT AND WED NIGHT AND WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...THEN
THE DEPRESSION WILL MOVE INTO THE SE GULF THRU.
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11281
4388. breald
Quoting floridafisherman:
4379. WPBHurricane05 11:18 AM GMT on August 16, 2009
Waters in the GOM is hot...I hope the NHC isn't underestimating landfall intensity. It always helps to be prepared for the worse...
---------

i have to agree. the NHC tends to act on the conservative side a bit too much. which is totally fine for systems days away, but for close to home storms like claudette and humberto, their conservatism puts people at risk IMO.

i feel the NHC should upgrade the TS warnings to hurricane watches just to be on the safe side. being a small and compact system, it has the ability to intensify or weaken much faster than larger systems. by issueing a hurricane watch now, the NHC would be covering their backs instead of issueing one when its only 20 miles offshore (like humberto)



This system is way to close to land to gain much strength. If this was moving in a more westerly direction towards TX, it may strengthen more . IMO.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TWD has just come out for 805AM, no mention of a Claudette.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Quoting Keys99:
Two things from the early Am Key West Weather Discussion that caught my eye. Nice long discussion there this Am about the storms


EXTENDED...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...NOT SURPRISINGLY AND
LIKE MANY WEEKENDS THIS SUMMER...THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF DEVELOP A
MORE ROBUST FULL LATITUDINAL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH UPPER LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THESE GENERAL FEATURES WILL ACT TO PULL TROPICAL
CYCLONES POLEWARD...IF THE SYSTEMS HAVE GAINED SUFFICIENT LATITUDE
BEFORE THEY REACH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC BASINS. NHC
TRACK WILL KEEP ANA SOUTH OF THE AFFECTS OF THE LARGE TROUGH WHILE
ALL MODELS SUITES SHOW THAT BILL...FARTHER OUT TO SEA...MAY BE
PULLED MORE POLEWARD BY THE WEEKS END.


Well, then. Let's just hope Bill can gain gain some more latitude before he reaches the Atlantic basin! (These NWS offices are crackin' me up this morning.)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4384. IKE
TD4 is moving west of north. You can see it on the Tampa radar.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
4379. WPBHurricane05 11:18 AM GMT on August 16, 2009
Waters in the GOM is hot...I hope the NHC isn't underestimating landfall intensity. It always helps to be prepared for the worse...
---------

i have to agree. the NHC tends to act on the conservative side a bit too much. which is totally fine for systems days away, but for close to home storms like claudette and humberto, their conservatism puts people at risk IMO.

i feel the NHC should upgrade the TS warnings to hurricane watches just to be on the safe side. being a small and compact system, it has the ability to intensify or weaken much faster than larger systems. by issueing a hurricane watch now, the NHC would be covering their backs instead of issueing one when its only 20 miles offshore (like humberto)

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Ana has a southerly trend going It was supposed to completely miss the Islands as a TD then as Ana it was supposed to go just north of them now the forecast shows Ana plowing into every island out there. If the southern trend continues then we will have a hurricane Dennis like track or maybe even an Ivan.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4381. Keys99
Two things from the early Am Key West Weather Discussion that caught my eye. Nice long discussion there this Am about the storms


EXTENDED...THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...NOT SURPRISINGLY AND
LIKE MANY WEEKENDS THIS SUMMER...THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF DEVELOP A
MORE ROBUST FULL LATITUDINAL TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
CONUS THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH UPPER LOWER PRESSURE OVER THE
CENTRAL ATLANTIC. THESE GENERAL FEATURES WILL ACT TO PULL TROPICAL
CYCLONES POLEWARD...IF THE SYSTEMS HAVE GAINED SUFFICIENT LATITUDE
BEFORE THEY REACH THE WESTERN CARIBBEAN AND ATLANTIC BASINS. NHC
TRACK WILL KEEP ANA SOUTH OF THE AFFECTS OF THE LARGE TROUGH WHILE
ALL MODELS SUITES SHOW THAT BILL...FARTHER OUT TO SEA...MAY BE
PULLED MORE POLEWARD BY THE WEEKS END.


THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...GIVEN THE LATEST NHC TRACK...TS ANA
PASSES CLOSE TO KEY WEST...AND GIVEN THE INCREMENTAL PROBABILITIES
WE HAVE IN PLACE...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL BE FORECAST. IF
THE NEWEST INFORMATION COMES OUT WITH LOWER NUMBER...WE WILL NOT
INCLUDE THE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS IN THE FORECAST. ANYWAY...THE
SYSTEM MOVES QUICKLY TO OUR NORTHWEST BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND
IMPROVING WEATHER FOLLOWS RAPIDLY BEHIND.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4380. bcn
Quoting floridafisherman:
Funny wording! Recommends action for people and FISH? OK, so maybe mariners are people, too

------

i think they mean fisherman and their vessels.


Do not forget sirens, and possible visits of Poseidon and Oceanus
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Waters in the GOM is hot...I hope the NHC isn't underestimating landfall intensity. It always helps to be prepared for the worse...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4378. breald
I was just watching the weather channel and they said minimum damage, if any, from TD#4. Mostly rain. The folks in the panhandle are use to this sort of weather.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
06Z GFDL TD4


HOUR: .0 LONG: -84.01 LAT: 26.89 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1013.59 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 22.85
HOUR: 6.0 LONG: -85.07 LAT: 28.09 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1008.95 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 49.71
HOUR: 12.0 LONG: -85.60 LAT: 28.79 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1008.63 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 41.02
HOUR: 18.0 LONG: -86.55 LAT: 29.64 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1009.08 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 37.23
HOUR: 24.0 LONG: -86.96 LAT: 30.44 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1007.83 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 38.11
HOUR: 30.0 LONG: -88.06 LAT: 31.21 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1011.66 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 29.08
HOUR: 36.0 LONG: -89.08 LAT: 32.28 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1012.31 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 17.37
HOUR: 42.0 LONG: -90.27 LAT: 32.89 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1011.99 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 12.19
HOUR: 48.0 LONG: -90.93 LAT: 33.89 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1011.76 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 8.20
HOUR: 54.0 LONG: -90.82 LAT: 34.99 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1013.51 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 8.44
HOUR: 60.0 LONG: -90.31 LAT: 36.14 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1011.39 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 14.48
HOUR: 66.0 LONG: -90.22 LAT: 36.96 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1010.80 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 18.35
HOUR: 72.0 LONG: -88.93 LAT: 38.13 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1009.85 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 8.36
HOUR: 78.0 LONG: -87.34 LAT: 39.11 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1010.31 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 8.87
HOUR: 84.0 LONG: -85.87 LAT: 39.81 MIN PRESS (hPa): 1007.96 MAX SURF WIND (KNOTS): 13.29
-99.9 -99.90 -99.90

Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11281
Quoting IKE:
TWC said they'll have live reports this afternoon from the panhandle.

Cantore in PC?
Should stick him at Indian Pass, haha..right on the tip...but that might be too dangerous lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4370. keywestbrat 11:13 AM GMT on August 16, 2009
Looks like everyone is sleeping in this morn, slow blog, but a rude awaking awaits those in the north gulf coast, hope they have their cans of vienna sausges and beer supplies updated.
----------

not sure about their beer supplies. alot of counties in the panhandle are dry counties on sundays. some allow alcohol sales on sunday, but only after noon. hope they stocked up on the brewskis last night lol
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4374. IKE
TWC said they'll have live reports this afternoon from the panhandle.

Cantore in PC?
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
Hi, yep good on ya guys, well someone atleat had to get it right, but you don't know who until it happens. at least you missed that crow serving LOL
-----
lol im trying to stay on a crow free diet. and it was sort of a lucky guess that we were able to predict its formation. patrap also predicted it would form into a TC.

im just worried that its gonna catch alot of ppl off guard. 1) as of last night, there was nothing (at least tropical) out in the gulf. 2)being sunday and a weekend, alot of local news programs dont run on weekends, meaning information on this storm wont be as extensive. 3)being sunday, alot of ppl are prob sleeping in or headed to church without any knowing of whats out there.

all i can say is good thing its gonna run out of water soon, otherwise it prob would have enough time to get to hurricane strength.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Next advisory should be interesting.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
So what's the new wave coming off Africa like this morning?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4369. s1ecr
If I am not mistaken Andrew in 1992 was something similar, in about 24 hours it was knocking the door in South Florida.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
TD 4 develops...not surprised considring the spinning going on yesterday. Wow, 3 named storms with in a couple of days of each other.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4367. Ossqss
Folks in the pan handle are not going to be happy this morning. Lets hope it stays weak. L8R
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
4366. breald
As fare as Bill is concerned, are we hoping that the cold front moving thru the Midwest is strong enough to curve this out to sea? Or does this have no baring on the movement of Bill?
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Funny wording! Recommends action for people and FISH? OK, so maybe mariners are people, too

------

i think they mean fisherman and their vessels.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 4414 - 4364

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 37 | 38 | 39 | 40 | 41 | 42 | 43 | 44 | 45 | 46 | 47 | 48 | 49 | 50 | 51 | 52 | 53 | 54 | 55 | 56 | 57 | 58 | 59 | 60 | 61 | 62 | 63 | 64 | 65 | 66 | 67 | 68 | 69 | 70 | 71 | 72 | 73 | 74 | 75 | 76 | 77 | 78 | 79 | 80 | 81 | 82 | 83 | 84 | 85 | 86 | 87 | 88 | 89 | 90 | 91 | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

Local Weather

Overcast
37 °F
Overcast