Much Ado About Nothing: Invest93L

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:29 PM GMT on June 28, 2009

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Hi, this is Rob Carver, again filling in for Jeff Masters.

Invest93L is still present as of the 8am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, but I'm extremely doubtful that it will reach even tropical depression status.

Invest93L's presentation on satellite imagery does not project the image of a strengthening storm. Convection, what there is of it, appears to be anchored over the Yucatan Straits and is not following the low-level circulation center. Also, microwave imagery indicates that the convection is weak, with relatively low rainfall rates.

It is worth noting that even if more convection forms after the circulation center moves into the Gulf of Mexico, there isn't much time for the storm to strengthen. By Tuesday evening, both the NAM and GFS 06Z model runs bring a weak front down into the Gulf, raising wind shear to the point that would dissipate Invest93L.

So, after considering the above, it's my opinion that Invest93L is not likely to intensify and will dissipate in a day or so.

Rob Carver

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1077. Patrap
do you have these pics saved on your pc for all scenarios Pat?


No..I just mostly use Google Images.
Patrap Images is a Idea Im floating with a Company not yet to be named,since Im awaiting the Lawyers paperwork and a Check..LOL

Patrap Images
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 433 Comments: 132796
1074. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division (Code 7500) Tropical Cyclone Page (Ver.4.37.03) Development Team

NOTE: this page is short lived (10 m). DO NOT bookmark it or save it to Favorites. Instead, bookmark http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/TC.html
No Active Storms
<-- You may select a previously archived storm from the list in the left frame.

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 189 Comments: 59027
1072. Ossqss
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Seems only Levi is still giving it a chance. Anyone else?


Can't find it on the list.

The Odds
Ever wondered?
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do you have these pics saved on your pc for all scenarios Pat?
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does anyone see the blow up at 11n 80w movement WNW-W from that tropical wave
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Quoting JRRP:
Link
Jrrp, Are you looking at the blob still on shore? If so look at what is just offshore. Is that rotation I see, or is it my eyes?
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1068. Asta
Quoting Patrap:
LSU researchers: coastal restoration projects doomed to fail
by Mark Schleifstein, The Times-Picayune
Sunday June 28, 2009, 12:05 PM


Even under best-case scenarios for building massive engineering projects to restore Louisiana's dying coastline, the Mississippi River can't possibly feed enough sediment into the marshes to prevent ongoing catastrophic land loss, two Louisiana State University geologists conclude in a scientific paper being published today.

Driving Nola, I am amazed at the depth and frequency of the new potholes and subsidence- especially in the drought.... It's unbelievable.. And more shore birds and ducks have made metairie their home now...
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Darn my two thunderstorms are dieing there goes my center. Also nice balloon car.
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1065. Patrap
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Seems only Levi is still giving it a chance. Anyone else?


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 433 Comments: 132796
Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
Seems only Levi is still giving it a chance. Anyone else?


Me...10% chance
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Evening Folks...Back in Tallahassee this evening after spending the past week in Orlando and South Florida....Tropics not too active, but, I just got a round of T-storms up here that snapped a few trees in my backyard shortly after I arrived home with some pretty strong gusts....That's what I get for not checking in with you Guys, or checking any weather for that matter, since last Tuesday...
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Flying Car
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Quoting Skyepony:
Levi~ I agree, I don't see the NAVY dropping it yet. There's a spot just on the N coast of the yukatan that's down to 5kts of shear. Even though a weak LLC spun off & died west, the main energy of the wave axis is still over land.


Navy follows ATCF, they have dropped it.
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Seems only Levi is still giving it a chance. Anyone else?
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Quoting Levi32:


Well the answer to that is kind of both yes and no lol. Early this morning the main circulation was offshore near the NW Yucatan but has since almost completely dissipated. The new best estimate of the center is just offshore the north Yucatan, but there appears to be another mid-level center to the south still overland. Overall, still disorganized and vertically skewed.


I was thinking the same thing, the two circulation seems to want to converge or stack. I still think something could happen, but not saying it will.
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I can still see rotation over the Yucitan heading West at around 21N -89W.
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Look forward hopefully to a fresh Dr.Masters blog in the AM with Doc back! :)
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1056. JRRP
Link
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"so yer sayin there's a chance?",lol...
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1054. Levi32
Quoting Skyepony:
Levi~ I agree, I don't see the NAVY dropping it yet. There's a spot just on the N coast of the yukatan that's down to 5kts of shear. Even though a weak LLC spun off & died west, the main energy of the wave axis is still over land.


Yup. I think everyone would be looking at this differently if their memories of the last 2 days were erased and we were just detecting this system. In that light we would be looking at it as a tropical wave bringing moisture and an area of disturbed weather northward into the Gulf of Mexico that should be watched for mischief. That's how I'm still looking at it.

Be back later.
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1053. Patrap
I was thinking more of a George Jetsons type Bubble vehicle..

But that'll do..LOL
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 433 Comments: 132796
1052. Patrap
LSU researchers: coastal restoration projects doomed to fail
by Mark Schleifstein, The Times-Picayune
Sunday June 28, 2009, 12:05 PM


Even under best-case scenarios for building massive engineering projects to restore Louisiana's dying coastline, the Mississippi River can't possibly feed enough sediment into the marshes to prevent ongoing catastrophic land loss, two Louisiana State University geologists conclude in a scientific paper being published today.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 433 Comments: 132796
1051. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 189 Comments: 59027
1050. Ossqss
Quoting Patrap:
Nothing beats them original Series Star Trek Episodes,they were so far ahead socially and In many other ways.
Now we have a Computer that we can scan the Planet with.
Still no flying cars.
We kids in the 60's were told we'd have Flying cars by now.
What Gives?


Here ya go Patrick. Not sure on the video item, but it looks good :)






The actual car from this year
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Still think 23n:88w
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1048. Skyepony (Mod)
Levi~ I agree, I don't see the NAVY dropping it yet. There's a spot just on the N coast of the yukatan that's down to 5kts of shear. Even though a weak LLC spun off & died west, the main energy of the wave axis is still over land.
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1047. Levi32
Quoting JFLORIDA:
Im not even sure if the main circ of "93L" or what ever made it off the peninsula yet.


Well the answer to that is kind of both yes and no lol. Early this morning the main circulation was offshore near the NW Yucatan but has since almost completely dissipated. The new best estimate of the center is just offshore the north Yucatan, but there appears to be another mid-level center to the south still overland. Overall, still disorganized and vertically skewed.
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I don't think there are to many on this blog who can see the screen for all the crow feathers.
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1044. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
XXX/XX/XXL
MARK
XX.X/XX.X
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 189 Comments: 59027
guys look at east atlantic prob 94l
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Look at all the rain over the sahal may put end to the dust.
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Ike spared the crow recipes yet again lol, crow is never good for the digestive system :)
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1036. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:
BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_al932009.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
200906290110
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
hey hey bye bye
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 189 Comments: 59027
1035. Patrap
Hansen of NASA Arrested in Coal Country
By Andrew C. Revkin


Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 433 Comments: 132796
1034. JRRP
mmmmmmmm
<>img src="http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/eumet/eatl/avn-l.jpg" alt=%
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93L
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Quoting Patrap:
Google JFV,wunderground,..then hit Images or text.
I Laughed for Hours.


Too funny. I'm in pain from the laughter.
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
1031. Levi32
Quoting hurricane2009:


It is now official

Poof 93L


Probably a good call as convection is almost nonexistent. It's all land-based. Still should be kept an eye on when it gets in the gulf though.
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1030. Patrap
Wow,.just Like the 60's again Skyepony.
Strip Mines destroy and pollute big time.

Hurrah for him On standing up to Big Business,instead of writing about it.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 433 Comments: 132796
Pat good thing most people can't drive in 2 dimensions much less 3. Now that's scary.
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so,who's cooking my crow???,lol;)
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1027. Patrap
Like they say, the Web is Forever,..LOL
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 433 Comments: 132796

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Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

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