Much Ado About Nothing: Invest93L

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:29 PM GMT on June 28, 2009

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Hi, this is Rob Carver, again filling in for Jeff Masters.

Invest93L is still present as of the 8am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, but I'm extremely doubtful that it will reach even tropical depression status.

Invest93L's presentation on satellite imagery does not project the image of a strengthening storm. Convection, what there is of it, appears to be anchored over the Yucatan Straits and is not following the low-level circulation center. Also, microwave imagery indicates that the convection is weak, with relatively low rainfall rates.

It is worth noting that even if more convection forms after the circulation center moves into the Gulf of Mexico, there isn't much time for the storm to strengthen. By Tuesday evening, both the NAM and GFS 06Z model runs bring a weak front down into the Gulf, raising wind shear to the point that would dissipate Invest93L.

So, after considering the above, it's my opinion that Invest93L is not likely to intensify and will dissipate in a day or so.

Rob Carver

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Quoting hurricane2009:


depends on which set of SSTs you look at

I believe the SSD site shows SSTs a bit more favorable


Mine is about a week old. Probably some updated images out there but I'm too sleepy to Google.
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1176. Ossqss
Interesting thing Patrap is the imbedded content that stays alive in these blogs. It directly affects the connection and not the servers. An example being the video that played on a prior page without being asked. Other posts connect and check in, and are not asked to do so. The burden is cumulative. Just my take from my Data loss prevention training that I had last week. Big Brother is coming folks. Think of all the connections that are in place if you will in the last 4,000 posts, over the last few days, just for Jeffs blog. Its about bandwidth, not storage capacity :)

I am 10-42 and out.
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1174. Patrap
The invest Du'jour is a Invest no more....
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127874
1172. Patrap
Nothing crashed here all day,well since 8:30 am CST.
Might have been your ISP local problem.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127874
Good evening..an significant change with the invest d'jour?
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Although this wave might have a hard time getting together unless it stayed south of 10N. SST aren't favorable for real development until 50W.
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IGNORANCE
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Not being a computer expert...what made the blog crash...or take so long...to get comments posted?
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1167. Patrap
The wu-Blogs use only about 5-6 % of the Server.

It dosent crash from Posting on the Blogs.

The biggest problem used to be clock-drift,but that hasnt happened in awhile now
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127874
1166. pottery
Actually, I want to correct my post 1105.
The upper, mid, and low level winds in the tropical Atlantic are all Easterly.
Have not seen that before, this "season".
That wave south of the Azores may be one to keep an eye on for true.
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When we really have a serious storm out there threatening a certain area, the blog will crash...just like last year. (Unless they upgraded their server)
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1164. Ossqss
Never let your guard down. Be ready! L8R

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1162. JRRP
Quoting hurricane2009:


yup and right now it is the most interesting thing in the Atlantic Basin, doesnt matter where its located

I agree
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quoting Hurricane 2009...

Yes, and let's hope it stays that way!! I'm hoping things don't fire up until late August -- my daughters and grandchildren are coming home to visit the first two weeks of August....keeping my fingers crossed!!
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1160. Skyepony (Mod)
Quikscat caught the swirl off VA..
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Maybe I am wrong should have looked at radar first, it doesn't match up with water vapor upon further looking. My bad
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LOL...1100+ posts in 14 hours for a weak invest.

The amount of people engaging in the discussion continues to grow each year. :)
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1157. Patrap
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127874
Testing, testing......
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Quoting GeoffreyWPB:
The sure sign the tropics are quiet...WeatherStudent is not posting :)


thank goodness!
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Everyone east of and including Louisiana looks like there in for some bad weather tonight. Hope everyone is safe.
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Most interesting thing in the Atlantic...that ain't saying much...unless it starts firing off some convection.
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1151. hahaguy
Quoting ficusthis:
As long as the blog seems to have slowed down... Testing...testing... Is my avatar posting now?

Yep
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1150. Patrap
Percocet is a Blessing when needed.

Just dont go Steering that Jet down the runway alone now
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127874
1149. Ossqss
I understand, from reading serveral weather sites, that there is a chance that a Cape storm could brew this week Tuesday = Wed, ish. Is that still the case? There was some opportunity from what I understand. Thoughts?
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1148. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
a old e atl image updated one shortly

Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53611
As long as the blog seems to have slowed down... Testing...testing... Is my avatar posting now?
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The sure sign the tropics are quiet...WeatherStudent is not posting :)
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1144. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
yes mlc a while ago now
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53611
There is nothing wrong with sticking with your convictions JFLORIDA....but when you post, you will get responses.
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yea Pat...and a handful of Percocet
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1141. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53611
Keep, is it RIP? What say ye?
Member Since: July 9, 2006 Posts: 184 Comments: 29608
1138. hahaguy
Quoting Patrap:
How Bout them Brazilians ,eh?


That just shows that the u.s. soccer team sucks when they can't even hold onto a 2-0 lead after halftime.
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1137. KEEPEROFTHEGATE (Mod)
Member Since: July 15, 2006 Posts: 170 Comments: 53611
:)
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1133. hahaguy
Quoting Ossqss:


LOL
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Time to move on...I am sure there will be much more serious concerns coming up this season.
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1131. Patrap
How Bout them Brazilians ,eh?
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 423 Comments: 127874
1130. JRRP
Quoting Ossqss:

jjajajajajjaaja
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Quoting JFLORIDA:
Ill wait for the official word. Still its more interesting than some storms coming off Africa. Nothing usually happens there till late july.


You dont get much more offical than the NHC...not to mention there is nothing there on the satellite imagery.
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To all of you who stuck with 93 til the end, and to those who still do, dedicated to you...

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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