Much Ado About Nothing: Invest93L

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 12:29 PM GMT on June 28, 2009

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Hi, this is Rob Carver, again filling in for Jeff Masters.

Invest93L is still present as of the 8am EDT Tropical Weather Outlook, but I'm extremely doubtful that it will reach even tropical depression status.

Invest93L's presentation on satellite imagery does not project the image of a strengthening storm. Convection, what there is of it, appears to be anchored over the Yucatan Straits and is not following the low-level circulation center. Also, microwave imagery indicates that the convection is weak, with relatively low rainfall rates.

It is worth noting that even if more convection forms after the circulation center moves into the Gulf of Mexico, there isn't much time for the storm to strengthen. By Tuesday evening, both the NAM and GFS 06Z model runs bring a weak front down into the Gulf, raising wind shear to the point that would dissipate Invest93L.

So, after considering the above, it's my opinion that Invest93L is not likely to intensify and will dissipate in a day or so.

Rob Carver

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377. IKE
Quoting StormFreakyisher:
Sorry this is off topic but this month cannot get any worse. Billy Mays just died this morning in his Tampa Bay home.Coincidence he died same age as MJ?


His wife found him. Could have been a heart attack. Autopsy will shed some light.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Quoting IKE:


I'm looking at the bill right now....

$3,468.00

And that doesn't include the physician fee, which is separate. That will probably be another $600.


That's ridiculous.
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Quoting IKE:


I'm looking at the bill right now....

$3,468.00

And that doesn't include the physician fee, which is separate. That will probably be another $600.


Is that with health insurance or without?
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
llc on 93l looks to be naked of clouds and moving on to the wsw. I see as mj would say give it one more chance girl, another mlc forming to the east.
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373. IKE
Quoting hahaguy:

Glad to hear it's healing.But 3,000 just for the IV wow.
The reason why I made the comment of the Browns place cause they have a bad problem with their players getting staph infections form their facilities.


I'm looking at the bill right now....

$3,468.00

And that doesn't include the physician fee, which is separate. That will probably be another $600.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Recon=practice if its true
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Quoting CaneWarning:
Did I read that correctly? Recon is still a go?


I read that as recon is a go tomorrow, the 29th... I might be wrong though.
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Did I read that correctly? Recon is still a go?
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
I've called all of my 50 year old friends today and told them to stay away from sharp objects
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reedzone:So your calling the NHC wishcaster? Wow dude.

no they errr on the total side of cautiousness but it really looks likes its dead.... I may be wrong but IMO Dead
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Yeah Ike is hard to see how we can improve on that kind of health care.
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Sorry this is off topic but this month cannot get any worse. Billy Mays just died this morning in his Tampa Bay home.Coincidence he died same age as MJ?
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Quoting IKE:


It's going away. Sodium Chloride in an IV helps......I was at the ER 8 days ago...stayed 3 hours....over $3000 and that was all I had done...no tests, just the IV.

Glad to hear it's healing.But 3,000 just for the IV wow.
The reason why I made the comment of the Browns place cause they have a bad problem with their players getting staph infections form their facilities.
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Ask LRandyB the Blogger,hes a HH from Biloxi,maybe he can answer that SSIG.

His blog is in the Featured section.

Tropical Weather Discussion
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125704
Quoting StSimonsIslandGAGuy:
atmoaggie, zeros are also called naughts. The last decade was the nineties, this decade is the naughties. At least I deem it so. It's that simple.


Yes. OK. Nevermind.
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Quoting 954FtLCane:
wishcasters give up 93 L is DEAD...Hello


So your calling the NHC wishcaster? Wow dude.
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Jeff Masters by his words,only reads about 5% of the Blog postings. Less if he is Busy with an active Storm
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125704
wishcasters give up 93 L is DEAD...Hello
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358. IKE
Quoting hahaguy:


Have you been to the Cleveland Browns facilities?
J/K
Hope that goes away for ya.


It's going away. Sodium Chloride in an IV helps......I was at the ER 8 days ago...stayed 3 hours....over $3000 and that was all I had done...no tests, just the IV.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Quoting hurricaneseason2006:
LOL Imagine if Dr. Jeff Masters suddenly stop allowing comments. Drak would be one washed up fellow. He actually depends on you guys to be heard. I could imagine a ban for him is torture.


Why would he, and if he does, pretty much of us will continue or start our own blogs.
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Cost...?

Cost is never a factor in a RECON flight or any Task done by the Air Force.

Maybe ask them thru their site in Biloxi at Kessler AFB
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125704
Hi StormW...Still having a flight go in...WOW...what is your take on that?


nevermind!!! I see they were cancelled
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You can see how shear from the north-northeast is shearing the moisture, (20-30 knots) but the actual circulation which is finally evident, is in 5-10 knots, maybe the NHC thinks new convection might form tonight and a system is still possible.. However, I give it a 30% for any development.
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Nice one ssig there is nothing you can't learn on this blog.
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350. IKE
338...I won't quote you but, why are you so obsessed with him?
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Quoting IKE:



WTH?


I guess the hurricane hunters are as bored as we are, lol.
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Good Afternoon SW and WS
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Remember y'all the little things in life is what its all about.. take a step back...breathe and know that at any given moment it can all end... live life one day at a time... don't take anything.... nothing for granted.... and Go USA beat BRAZIL
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3. NOTE: THE MISSIONS TASKED FOR 28/18 AND 29/06Z
WERE CANX BY NHC AT 28/1200Z. -- ADDED --

Member Since: August 22, 2008 Posts: 12 Comments: 6010
Im blessed as a Veteran.
I take Station Drugs and have to Have quarterly check-ups and blood work every 90 days.



Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125704
Updated Sat with SSTs overlay showing SSTs around 83F
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Naughties is the english version of saying 00's.
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Quoting IKE:


I'm just getting over staph infection....it isn't good...had an infection the size of a half-dollar, maybe bigger.

Sodium Chloride and antibiotics......



Have you been to the Cleveland Browns facilities?
J/K
Hope that goes away for ya.
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Quoting tropicfreak:


I was saying a situation similar to a couple of years ago could happen. Not saying it's going to be a Cat 5 but it could be a TS maybe a weak hurricane.

O.K
335. IKE
Quoting nrtiwlnvragn:
NHC has not given up on 93L yet

000
NOUS42 KNHC 281600 COR
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EDT SUN 28 JUNE 2009
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JUNE 2009
TCPOD NUMBER.....09-031 CORRECTION

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS -- NO CHANGE
1. SUSPECT AREA -- GULF OF MEXICO
FLLGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 29/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST
C. 29/1600Z
D. 23.0N 90.0W
E. 29/1700Z TO 30/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BRGIN 12 HRLY FIXES
AT 30/1500Z IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.

3. NOTE: THE MISSIONS TASKED FOR 28/18 AND 29/06Z
WERE CANX BY NHC AT 28/1200Z. -- ADDED --

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
WVW





WTH?
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Quoting Dar9895:

No, at least 2,500 miles from the Lesser Antilles.


thanks for correcting me. I'm horrible at estimating.
Member Since: September 2, 2006 Posts: 110 Comments: 6814
333. IKE
Quoting Patrap:
Hope that's clearing up IKE,..


This has been a b****. My kidneys aren't great and I'm susceptible to infections from ant bites and spider bites.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
Late as usual with the news.
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NHC has not given up on 93L yet

000
NOUS42 KNHC 281600 COR
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EDT SUN 28 JUNE 2009
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JUNE 2009
TCPOD NUMBER.....09-031 CORRECTION

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS -- NO CHANGE
1. SUSPECT AREA -- GULF OF MEXICO
FLLGHT ONE -- TEAL 70
A. 29/1800Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST
C. 29/1600Z
D. 23.0N 90.0W
E. 29/1700Z TO 30/0000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT

2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BRGIN 12 HRLY FIXES
AT 30/1500Z IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS.

3. NOTE: THE MISSIONS TASKED FOR 28/18 AND 29/06Z
WERE CANX BY NHC AT 28/1200Z. -- ADDED --

II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
WVW


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Quoting JFLORIDA:


PAT! jheez.

The new flu is suspected to infect a million now. That and the stress of heat isnt good for people with other conditions.

Just saw the oxyclean guy. how sad.


On Friday I had a meeting at the Slidell WFO office. The chief said that heat-related deaths are usually not tallied for a couple of months after the fact. He said our recent heat outbreak could number in the hundreds of deaths that were at least related to the heat (some other condition, exacerbated by the heat included).
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Quoting tropicfreak:


It does look organized. It has a ton of time to develop into a TD. It's what, 1,000 miles away from the carribean (correct me if I'm wrong) It has a nice structure with plenty of time to develop.

No, at least 2,500 miles from the Lesser Antilles.
Hope that's clearing up IKE,..
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 415 Comments: 125704

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.