90L comes close to being the season's first named storm

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 5:30 PM GMT on May 23, 2009

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The large extratropical storm (90L) that has been pounding Florida, the Bahamas, and Haiti this week with heavy rain and high surf has moved ashore over Mississippi. Last night and this morning, the storm put on an impressive burst of heavy thunderstorm activity and came close to becoming a subtropical or tropical depression. Winds at the Fort Morgan, AL station were 44 mph, gusting to 52 mph, and winds at Dauphin Island, Alabama coastal station were sustained at 39 mph, gusting to 48 mph at between 8am and 10am EDT this morning. While these winds were in excess of the 39 mph threshold of tropical storm force, both measurements were taken at elevations higher than the international wind measurement standard of ten meters, so the top measured winds of 90L were actually slightly less than tropical storm force. Had 90L spent another six hours over water, it very likely would have been declared a tropical/subtropical depression/storm.

The circulation around 90L continues to mean rain for Florida, but the rains will be lessening today. Rainfall amounts as high as 28 inches were measured this week in Northern Florida at Brunnell. Rainfall amounts of 2 - 3 inches have accumulated along the Alabama, Mississippi, and Florida Panhandle coasts from 90L so far (Figure 1).


Figure 1. Estimated rainfall from the Mobile, AL radar.

There are no other threat areas in the Atlantic to discuss today, so have a great weekend, and I'll have a new blog post by Tuesday.

Jeff Masters

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1448. reedzone
2:27 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting HCW:
Xtrap isn't a model ! 91L has no chance to even be an STD so I am not sure why this one got tagged.


Whats your reason?? Shear is low.. the only thing that could inhibit any development would be cooler water temps. Know your facts..
Shear is 5-10 knots over the storm and dry air is not in that area.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7387
1447. DaytonaBeachWatcher
2:06 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting PanhandleChuck:
Seems as though the NHC isn't as conservative as they were last year. I remember many screaming that storms last year should be Invests and it would take days for them to issue one.

By the way, good mornin all


I think that is because both of these were close to HOME.
Member Since: June 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1136
1446. groundswell
2:00 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
90L gave the east coast great waves-yesterday 3-4' and glass until noon. But water temps are low, at Ponce it was 75, but only the first few inches felt that, as I paddled I could really feel the colder water below. So this location not quite ready for prime time yet. Of course, being 58 years old, what was once warm, is now cold!!
Member Since: August 28, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 381
1445. Orcasystems
1:58 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
new blog
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1444. HCW
1:57 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Xtrap isn't a model ! 91L has no chance to even be an STD so I am not sure why this one got tagged.
Member Since: August 10, 2002 Posts: 0 Comments: 1408
1443. Orcasystems
1:55 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting NEwxguy:
Don't forget the hebert boxes?


Ohhh man :(

Hmm using google earth... I can put in the lat & Long... draw some lines.. save it.. and post it every time... hmmm

I wonder how long it would take to drive some people insane?
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1442. NEwxguy
1:54 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Don't forget the hebert boxes?
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 878 Comments: 15721
1441. Orcasystems
1:53 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting presslord:


I LOVE the "X-TRAP" model"...it's my favorite...'cause it's always 100% accurate...


Yup, for the few minutes that its posted :)
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1440. presslord
1:51 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting weathersp:


(6) What about the XTRAP model??


I LOVE the "X-TRAP" model"...it's my favorite...'cause it's always 100% accurate...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10490
1439. IKE
1:50 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting weathersp:


(6) What about the XTRAP model??


LOL.....

(7)I wish it would keep going NW. NC needs the rain.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1438. TampaSpin
1:49 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting NEwxguy:
Tim, saw that this morning, there aren't any good losses,but that was ugly!!!!!


Playing that sport.....That loss could kill a season.....big mental breakdown and haunt you mentally a long time.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1437. NEwxguy
1:48 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting Orcasystems:


You just do that because you don't want to wash the windows.


Can't get anything by you,can I!!!!
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 878 Comments: 15721
1436. Cavin Rawlins
1:48 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
For the lastest on 91L
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1435. weathersp
1:47 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting IKE:


Comebacks...

(1)Those are early model runs. They could change on the next set.

(2)What's a "fish" storm?

(3)I hate it when someone says fish storm.

(4)You're forgetting Bermuda.

(5)Could it loop back and hit.....



(6) What about the XTRAP model??
Member Since: January 14, 2007 Posts: 17 Comments: 4140
1434. PanhandleChuck
1:45 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Seems as though the NHC isn't as conservative as they were last year. I remember many screaming that storms last year should be Invests and it would take days for them to issue one.

By the way, good mornin all
Member Since: May 13, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1412
1433. NEwxguy
1:45 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Tim, saw that this morning, there aren't any good losses,but that was ugly!!!!!
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 878 Comments: 15721
1432. Cavin Rawlins
1:40 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
2 invest and aint June 1 yet lol
Member Since: July 24, 2005 Posts: 407 Comments: 19076
1431. TampaSpin
1:40 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting NEwxguy:


Thats one of my favourites, every year I board up my house because we're overdue for the big one.


Morining everyone.....its too early for the big one! Besides the big one occured last nite with that crushing loss by the RAYS! Holly Cow!

I seen the Low closing up last nite.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
1430. CaneWarning
1:38 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
I am back from my vacation. I guess I missed a ton of rain in Florida last week. I left and everything was brown and I come back and its all very very green. What's up in the tropics?
Member Since: April 26, 2009 Posts: 3 Comments: 3667
1429. Orcasystems
1:37 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting NEwxguy:


Thats one of my favourites, every year I board up my house because we're overdue for the big one.


You just do that because you don't want to wash the windows.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1428. NEwxguy
1:33 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting vortfix:
Or..."the East coast is overdue for the Big One you know"!



Thats one of my favourites, every year I board up my house because we're overdue for the big one.
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 878 Comments: 15721
1427. Orcasystems
1:32 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting reedzone:
91L has a better chance to develop then 90L (Unnamed Tropical Storm) because wind shear with 91L is more favorable.. the only thing thats slowing it down is cooler water temps.. thats the only thing.


Its going to stay very favourable also:



Texas.. not so much
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1426. reedzone
1:29 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
91L has a better chance to develop then 90L (Unnamed Tropical Storm) because wind shear with 91L is more favorable.. the only thing thats slowing it down is cooler water temps.. thats the only thing.
Member Since: July 1, 2008 Posts: 13 Comments: 7387
1425. presslord
1:28 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Blobs = Dresslord's cleavage
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10490
1424. Orcasystems
1:25 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting IKE:
(6)Could the high build in and force it back west.

In all seriousness, it does look headed out-to-sea.

I'm more interested in the SE Texas and Mexico "blob".

Blob...from wordweb..."An indistinct shapeless form"


Blob = Presslord in a Dress
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1422. IKE
1:25 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting presslord:


...also...those on ships and boats ;)


LOL...yeah, I forgot that one.

LOL!
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1421. IKE
1:24 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
(6)Could the high build in and force it back west.

In all seriousness, it does look headed out-to-sea.

I'm more interested in the SE Texas and Mexico "blob".

Blob...from wordweb..."An indistinct shapeless form"
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1420. presslord
1:23 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting IKE:


Comebacks...

(1)Those are early model runs. They could change on the next set.

(2)What's a "fish" storm?

(3)I hate it when someone says fish storm.

(4)You're forgetting Bermuda.

(5)Could it loop back and hit.....



...also...those on ships and boats ;)
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10490
1419. Orcasystems
1:21 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Jeff is probably doing a fast rewrite of this mornings posting right about now :)
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1418. DaytonaBeachWatcher
1:19 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting IKE:


Comebacks...

(1)Those are early model runs. They could change on the next set.

(2)What's a "fish" storm.

(3)I hate it when someone says fish storm.

(4)You're forgetting Bermuda.

(5)Could it loop back and hit.....



lmao
Member Since: June 29, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1136
1417. IKE
1:18 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting IKE:


Here fishee, fishee.


Comebacks...

(1)Those are early model runs. They could change on the next set.

(2)What's a "fish" storm?

(3)I hate it when someone says fish storm.

(4)You're forgetting Bermuda.

(5)Could it loop back and hit.....

Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1416. Orcasystems
1:14 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting DestinJeff:
1st "fish" post in 5,4,3,2...


Lets say NY instead
A lot more responses that way.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1415. IKE
1:14 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting DestinJeff:
1st "fish" post in 5,4,3,2...


Here fishee, fishee.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37858
1414. hurricane23
1:13 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Member Since: May 14, 2006 Posts: 8 Comments: 13786
1413. Orcasystems
1:13 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1411. nrtiwlnvragn
1:05 PM GMT on May 26, 2009

Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11153
1410. nrtiwlnvragn
1:01 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
AL, 91, 2009052612, , BEST, 0, 295N, 753W, 25, 1009, DB
Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 11153
1409. weathermanwannabe
12:59 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Good Morning Folks....Thinking it will be quiet in the tropics for next few weeks, as it should be, this early in the year (after all of the recent excitement in the Gulf)...That Bahamas area seems to have lost it's "spunk" this morning.......However, don't know if the models are looking at anything in terms of the area of convection about to leave Texas into the Gulf but shear levels are pretty high in that region right now.
Member Since: August 8, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 9111
1407. presslord
12:51 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting Orcasystems:


Hmmm I wonder why I knew you were going to say that :)


...because great minds think alike...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10490
1406. Orcasystems
12:50 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting LightningCharmer:
Was just going to comment, and ask about the low ~1000mb drifting east from Mexico and Texas.


Thats why I put it up.. I didn't see anyone mention it yet
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1405. LightningCharmer
12:48 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Was just going to comment, and ask about the low ~1000mb drifting east from Mexico and Texas.
Member Since: September 1, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1309
1404. Orcasystems
12:47 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting presslord:
As a matter of fact...it is never too early for rum...


Hmmm I wonder why I knew you were going to say that :)
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1403. presslord
12:46 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
As a matter of fact...it is never too early for rum...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10490
1402. Orcasystems
12:45 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Blog Update

AOI #1

AOI #2
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1401. Orcasystems
12:44 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Quoting presslord:
I suspect that Masters dude will be along shortly to tell us what to think about the Bahama Blob...


Dude? Blob? kind of early for Rum isn't it?
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
1400. listenerVT
12:41 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
Hallo all!
I tend to hang out at Sully's blog,
but began here, peek in from time to time,
and am back for the season of storms.

~~~

{{ { Thinking of the people of Bangladesh this morning, after Cyclone Aila crashed ashore. } }}

~~~

1379. HadesGodWyvern

That will change soon!

~~~

Orcasystems...
Thank-you. I have bookmarked your site.


Member Since: July 11, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5500
1399. presslord
12:37 PM GMT on May 26, 2009
I suspect that Masters dude will be along shortly to tell us what to think about the Bahama Blob...
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 10490

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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