Gathering extratropical storm set to drench Florida, Cuba, and the Bahamas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:11 PM GMT on May 17, 2009

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A concentrated area of heavy thunderstorms has developed near Jamaica and eastern Cuba, in association with a mid- to upper-level trough of low pressure. The latest 00Z and 06Z runs of the GFS, UKMET, NOGAPS, and ECMWF global dynamical computer models continue to forecast that this disturbance will develop into an extratropical low by Tuesday. The low should bring heavy rain and possible flooding problems to Cuba, Florida, and the Bahamas this week as it lifts northwestward over Florida. Up to eight inches of rain may fall over Florida by Friday (Figure 2), thanks also to a cold front expected to move over the state over the next two days. At present, it appears wind shear will be too high to allow the extratropical storm developing over Cuba to transition into a subtropical or tropical storm. However, if the center emerges into the northern Gulf of Mexico late this week, wind shear may be low enough to allow a transition to a subtropical storm (10% chance).


Figure 1. Latest IR satellite image of the Atlantic, showing the gathering extratropical storm near the eastern tip of Cuba, and the cut-off low spinning in the mid-Atlantic.


Figure 2. Forecast precipitation amount between 8am EDT Sunday 5/17/09 and 8am EDT Friday 5/22/09. Image credit: NOAA/HPC.

There has been little change to the large upper-level cold low spinning in the mid-Atlantic a few hundred miles east of Bermuda. The low may spin in place long enough over the next week to develop a warm core and be classified as a subtropical storm. It is unlikely that a subtropical storm forming that far out in the Atlantic this early in the year would pose a threat to any land areas, with the possible exception of Bermuda.

Climatology of early-season Atlantic tropical cyclones
Tropical storms are uncommon in the Atlantic before June 1, with only 26 named storms on record between 1851 - 2008. Five of these have made it to hurricane strength, and only one--Hurricane Able of 1951--made it to major hurricane status. Last year's Tropical Storm Arthur may be the deadliest May tropical cyclone on record. Though only a 40 mph tropical storm at landfall, Arthur killed five people in Belize and caused $78 million in damage. Three early-season storms have brought hurricane-force winds to land. The March 1908 hurricane swept through the northern Lesser Antilles Islands as a Category 1 or 2 hurricane, destroying at least 24 boats and causing damage to buildings on St. Bartholomew. Hurricane Able of 1951 brought sustained winds of 90 - 95 mph to the northern Bahama Islands, but caused little damage. Hurricane 2 of May 1908 hit North Carolina's Outer Banks as a Category 1 hurricane, but also caused little damage.

List of all early season (formed in January - May) Atlantic named storms
May 31, 2008: Tropical Storm Arthur
May 6, 2007: Subtropical Storm Andrea
April 18, 2003: Tropical Storm Ana
April 21, 1992: Subtropical Storm 1
May 6, 1981: Tropical Storm Arlene
January 18, 1978: Subtropical Storm 1
May 21, 1976: Subtropical Storm 1
May 23, 1972: Subtropical Storm Alpha
May 17, 1970: Hurricane Alma (Category 1)
May 28, 1959: Tropical Storm Arlene
February 2, 1953: Tropical Storm Alice
May 25, 1952: Tropical Storm 1
May 15, 1951: Hurricane Able (Category 3)
May 22, 1948: Tropical Storm 1
May 19, 1940: Tropical Storm 1
May 27, 1934: Tropical Storm 1
May 14, 1933: Tropical Storm 1
May 5, 1932: Tropical Storm 1
May 13, 1916: Tropical Storm 1
May 24, 1908: Hurricane 2 (Category 1)
March 6, 1908: Hurricane 1 (Category 2)
May 27, 1890: Tropical Storm 1
May 16, 1889: Hurricane 1 (Category 1)
May 17, 1887: Tropical Storm 2
May 15, 1887: Tropical Storm 1
May 30, 1865: Tropical Storm 1

I'll have an update Monday.

Jeff Masters

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1610. stillwaiting
1:13 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting charlottefl:
Is anyone looking at the tail end of the front in the Gulf and thinking what I'm thinking ?


that will be the area to watch as it stalls,I'll be watching the area along cubas north/central coast for possible cyclo-genisis,IMO.......
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 20 Comments: 4970
1609. SevereHurricane
1:09 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
NEW BLOG
Member Since: September 7, 2008 Posts: 17 Comments: 1604
1608. stormhank
1:08 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
morning.... the system near eastern cuba, is that the one thats goin into gom? or is a new low gonna form in gom from that front that just entered gom?? wonder if we'll get rain up here in fla panhandle from that system? thanks for any input
Member Since: September 8, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 1386
1607. TheCaneWhisperer
1:02 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
1606. K8eCane
1:00 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
<------ BTW my granddaughter


now i promise to stick with weather
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3222
1605. cybergrump
1:00 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Lets see if that burst of thunderstorms persist. Looks like the center is near that also.
Member Since: September 17, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 434
1604. charlottefl
1:00 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Is anyone looking at the tail end of the front in the Gulf and thinking what I'm thinking ?
Member Since: December 18, 2006 Posts: 7 Comments: 2687
1603. K8eCane
12:58 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
we have some action quite early this year

and good morning everybody
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3222
1602. K8eCane
12:56 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
is it just me or is the WTC nothing but a bunch of women contantly having babies?? everytime i flip it on there someone is pregnant...lol
Action: Quote

not just you lol have noticed it too
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3222
1601. stillwaiting
12:51 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
down to 1012.4mb yesterday we were at 1015.5 at this same time...I'm in swfl...
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 20 Comments: 4970
1600. Nolehead
12:51 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
is it just me or is the WTC nothing but a bunch of women contantly having babies?? everytime i flip it on there someone is pregnant...lol
Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1934
1599. Cazatormentas
12:49 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Morning all from Spain,

Convection associated with the disturbance NE Cuba is becoming stronger.



Nevertheless, wind shear is over 20 KT, unfavorable for tropical or subtropical development.

The low over the Central Atlantic waters doesn't show progression in organization. It only seems an ocludded low.
Member Since: October 18, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 149
1598. stillwaiting
12:47 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Morning everyone!!!,FL ready for some fun weather????......wow cantore just said guidance has been UNDERestamating this system so far!!!this could be one mother of an event for FL(STS)....
Member Since: October 5, 2007 Posts: 20 Comments: 4970
1597. FloridaTigers
12:46 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting IKE:
6Z GFS has a low out in the northern GOM for 4 or 5 days, ruining someone's Memorial Day weekend plans.

What's this @ 288 hrs.?



Ruining MY memorial day plans :(
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 559
1596. sporteguy03
12:45 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting leftovers:
here have not had a decent shower in along time e cent. fl. yet people on the blog are talking about the threat for flooding its got to rain first posters. happy weather


????
Member Since: July 7, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 5417
1595. K8eCane
12:45 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
SYNOPSIS FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO
SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA OUT TO 20 NAUTICAL MILES...
A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTH AND LOW
PRESSURE DEVELOPING TO OUR SOUTH WILL PRODUCE GALE FORCE WINDS INTO
TUESDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE AREA AND LOW PRESSURE TO
THE SOUTH...WILL ALLOW STRONG NORTHEAST WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS TO
PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE PERIOD.
Member Since: April 26, 2006 Posts: 5 Comments: 3222
1594. MissNadia
12:44 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Just off shore Wilmington NC

Frying Pan Tower
NDBC - Station 41013 Observations
Station 41013
May 18, 2009 7:50 am EDT
Location: 33.436N 77.743W
Wind Direction: NNE (30)
Wind Speed: 29 knots
Wind Gust: 37 knots
Significant Wave Height: 9 ft
Dominant Wave Period: 7 sec
Mean Wave Direction: NE (52)
Atmospheric Pressure: 30.03 in (1017.1 mb)
Pressure Tendency: 0.05 in ( 1.7 mb)
Air Temperature: 60F (15.3C)
Dew Point: 56F (13.6C)
Water Temperature: 70F (21.2C)

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Member Since: July 27, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 3003
1593. TampaSpin
12:42 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting nchurricane:
ok guys
what effects from this system do u think i will feel here on the NC coast?


Computer models show nothing organized for the NC coast. You will get some rain from a frontal boundary moving thru.
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
1592. Beachfoxx
12:42 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Don't know, hubby had t.v. on & I was listening.... most likely WEAR or WJHG.
Quoting IKE:


What TV station? WEAR?

I had 57 earlier...now at 60 degrees.
Member Since: July 10, 2005 Posts: 157 Comments: 29385
1591. TampaSpin
12:38 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Good Morning everyone...
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 179 Comments: 20448
1590. Nolehead
12:38 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
ike, WEAR?? come on Allen Strum couldn't perdict the weather, unless Christian Garman told him...and that still isn't saying much...LOL
Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1934
1589. Nolehead
12:34 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
morning everyone....are we sure it's May?? 58 this morning in Elberta, Al....i can deal with this...
Member Since: June 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1934
1587. IKE
12:34 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting nchurricane:
ok guys
what effects from this system do u think i will feel here on the NC coast?


Zilch...but...

... High threat of rip currents in effect north of Cape Hatteras
Monday...

Strong north winds of 30 mph combined with building seas will
lead to a high risk of rip currents along area beaches north of
Cape Hatteras Monday. The most likely time for life threatening
rip currents will be a couple of hours either side of low
tide... which is around 9 am. In addition to dangerous rip
currents... strong battering waves around 5 to 7 feet will occur in
the surf zone through late tonight. It is advised that you remain
out of the water until these hazardous conditions subside.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Rip currents are strong... narrow channels of water that flow out
to sea. If you become caught in a rip current... remain calm. Try
to swim on a course that is parallel to the beach until you get
away from the rip... then swim at an angle in to shore. Do not try
to swim back to shore directly against the rip... since it can
exhaust and even kill the strongest swimmer.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1586. eddye
12:33 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
none nchurricane
Member Since: August 12, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 1386
1585. nchurricane
12:30 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
ok guys
what effects from this system do u think i will feel here on the NC coast?
Member Since: May 17, 2009 Posts: 0 Comments: 87
1584. IKE
12:30 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting Beachfoxx:
Morning!

Ike, can you believe how wonderfully cool it is this morning???? 59° when I checked earlier! Guess I'd better take a sweater today!

So everyone still thinks we've got a twirling blob forming? Local news just predicted a named storm by tomorrow??????

Still looks like a Low to me... but will keep watching...

Have a great Monday. Check back later.


What TV station? WEAR?

I had 57 earlier...now at 60 degrees.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1583. Beachfoxx
12:29 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Morning!

Ike, can you believe how wonderfully cool it is this morning???? 59° when I checked earlier! Guess I'd better take a sweater today!

So everyone still thinks we've got a twirling blob forming? Local news just predicted a named storm by tomorrow??????

Still looks like a Low to me... but will keep watching...

Have a great Monday. Check back later.
Member Since: July 10, 2005 Posts: 157 Comments: 29385
1582. OGal
12:28 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
Good Morning All, here in Winter Springs we had really some loud grumbles, lightening and about one half inch of rain last night. I am in east central Florida leftover. I am suprised you didn't get any rain.
Member Since: August 28, 2005 Posts: 72 Comments: 19224
1580. IKE
12:20 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
This is a deep trough for mid-May. Brownsville,TX. is down to 67 degrees. Here's their discussion...

"AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
317 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2009

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE YESTERDAY HAS LEFT US WITH
DRIER AIR AND NORTHEAST FLOW AT ABOUT 15 MPH. SHRAS DESCENDING ON
THE PERIPHERY OF CYCLONIC FLOW IN THE MID LVLS CONTINUE TO APPROACH
SPI AND MDL CONSENSUS AGREES ON AT LEAST A 20 PERCENT CHC FOR SHRAS
OVER MAINLY WILLACY AND CAMERON COUNTIES UNTIL NOON. AFTER NOON
TODAY...ALL SHRA POSSIBILITIES END AS PRONOUNCED NORTHERLY FLOW
DIVES SOUTH FROM AN UPPER RIDGE PLANTED OVER THE 4-CORNERS WITH
SINKING AMS THRU THE WEEK. THIS WILL BE ENHANCED BY AN UPPER LOW
CENTERED JUST WEST OF FL. WINDS AT THE SFC WILL REMAIN NORTHEAST AND
EAST THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK. AN UPPER LOW OVER THE NRN GULF MAY
INDUCE SFC LOW PRESSURE...BRINGING GALE WARNING N OF 27N W OF 88W OR
GENERALLY WEST OF NRN FL AND EAST OF NEW ORLEANS."
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1579. canesrule1
12:19 PM GMT on May 18, 2009

1578. canesrule1
12:13 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
I think the mountains took a big toll on our system.
1577. canesrule1
12:11 PM GMT on May 18, 2009

I think as the shear goes down the water gets warmer this will have a chance to become a TD.
1576. IKE
12:08 PM GMT on May 18, 2009
From Jackson,MS...

"WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...

AS SHORTWAVE TROUGH ENERGY FROM THE WESTERLIES IS TRAPPED AND CLOSES
OFF OVER THE ERN GULF...MOST OF THE FORECAST ATTENTION WILL TURN
THERE
IN THE FORECAST. CONSENSUS OUTPUT OF THE GLOBAL MODEL GUIDANCE
INCLUDING THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET/GEFS SHOW A GRADUAL NW MOTION OF THE
CENTER OF THE MID LEVEL LOW CENTER TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF OF
MEXICO BY FRIDAY MORNING. THE LATEST ECMWF IS MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH
SFC LOW DEVELOPMENT THAN THE GFS. IT BRINGS A STRONGER LOW LEVEL JET
AND ASSOC HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL TO THE ARKLAMISS ON THE EAST SIDE OF
THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION THIS WEEKEND AND ACTUALLY SHOWS DISTINCT
WARMING OF THE SYSTEM CORE. IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL...
STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO SVR STORMS OVER
SRN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA IN THIS SCENARIO...BUT WOULD
PREFER TO SEE MORE MODEL SUPPORT BEFORE COMMITTING TO SUCH THINKING
IN HWO/GRAPHICS. IN ANY CASE...EXPECT AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL
THETAE ADVECTION AND POPS DURING THE LATE WEEK AND WEEKEND FOR
MOSTLY DIURNAL SHOWER/ISOLATED TSTM ACTIVITY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SEASONAL WITH NO SIGNIFICANT ANOMALIES NOTED IN GUIDANCE."
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1575. ftpiercecane
11:55 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Bring on the rain here in Florida!
Member Since: October 9, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 204
1573. nrtiwlnvragn
11:51 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Mild pressure drop just south of Key West

Member Since: September 23, 2005 Posts: 15 Comments: 11346
1572. Michfan
11:46 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Good morning everyone.
Member Since: September 7, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 1747
1571. FLWeatherFreak91
11:39 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
The rain for Tampa has just begun and it will probably not stop for at least a few hours.
Member Since: December 1, 2006 Posts: 2 Comments: 3634
1570. IKE
11:38 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
From the Kay West morning discussion....

"A LATE SEASON COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
COAST AND EXTENDS THROUGH THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF OF MEXICO. HIGHER PRESSURE IN THE NORTH ATLANTIC IS EASING
FURTHER TO THE EAST AND THERE IS INDICATION THAT SURFACE PRESSURES
ARE LOWERING ACROSS CUBA AND THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN. SATELLITE
IMAGES INDICATE A CYCLONIC SWIRL ALOFT OVER THE FAR EASTERN PORTION
OF CUBA.

PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY REMAINS FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE FORECAST
THANKS TO THE LOCAL AREA BEING IN BETWEEN THE STRENGTHENING CYCLONIC
FLOW IN THE UPPER LEVELS WHICH IS DROPPING THROUGH THE NORTHERN GULF
AND ITS ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT...AND SURFACE PRESSURES CURRENTLY
DIPPING ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF CUBA. A COMPLEX PRESSURE
PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO FURTHER EVOLVE IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE
TROPOSPHERE THROUGH TODAY AND TONIGHT ON THE SOUTHERN REACHES OF THE
FLORIDA KEYS. THE SHORT RANGE MODELS ARE STILL DIFFERING WHERE
DEVELOPMENT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS. THE GFS IS
FURTHER EAST OVER THE BAHAMAS...WHILE THE ECMWF IS FAVORING THE
IMMEDIATE AREA. THE NAM IS IN BETWEEN THOSE AND A LITTLE STRONGER IN
ITS PRESSURE TENDENCIES. WITH A MORE SOUTHERN EVOLUTION IN THE SHORT
TERM...MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WILL BE MADE TO THE WIND DIRECTION TODAY
THROUGH EARLY TONIGHT IN THE GRIDS. IN ADDITION...SHOULD THE ACTUAL
EVOLUTION OCCUR CLOSE TO THIS `CONSENSUS`...THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY
THAT THE BULK OF THE DEEP MOISTURE IS GUIDED AROUND THE KEYS AND
SURROUNDING WATERS. BY NO MEANS IS THIS SAYING THAT WE WILL NOT SEE
A PERIOD OF WET WEATHER. WE WILL REMAIN MOIST AND UNSTABLE...AND AS
THE RECENT SATELLITE AND KBYX IMAGES SHOW...IT WILL NOT TAKE MUCH TO
GET SHOWERS AND POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS GOING IN THE AIRMASS ALREADY
IN PLACE. SO...WITHOUT PRECISE AGREEMENT AMONG THE GUIDANCE AND THE
COMPLEX PATTERN THAT WILL EVENTUALLY CONSOLIDATE NORTH/NORTHWEST OF
OUR AREA...DO NOT HAVE A LEGITIMATE REASON TO CHANGE OUR LIKELY/HIGH
CHANCES OF RAIN THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. IT IS BEST TO KEEP
ABREAST OF THE MOST CURRENT OBSERVATIONS...SHORT TERM
FORECASTS...AND OFFICIAL FORECASTS THAT HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO BE
UPDATED FREQUENTLY OVER THE NEXT FEW PERIODS...ESPECIALLY IF YOU
HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS."
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1569. IKE
11:35 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Buoy 262 NM south of Panama City,FL...pressures have dropped at least 2 mb's since 24 hours ago.

"Wind Direction (WDIR): SW ( 220 deg true )
5-day plot - Wind Speed Wind Speed (WSPD): 3.9 kts
5-day plot - Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST): 3.9 kts
5-day plot - Wave Height Wave Height (WVHT): 1.6 ft
5-day plot - Dominant Wave Period Dominant Wave Period (DPD): 6 sec
5-day plot - Average Period Average Period (APD): 4.8 sec
5-day plot - Mean Wave Direction Mean Wave Direction (MWD): SSE ( 148 deg true )
5-day plot - Atmospheric Pressure Atmospheric Pressure (PRES): 29.85 in
5-day plot - Pressure Tendency Pressure Tendency (PTDY): +0.00 in ( Steady )
5-day plot - Air Temperature Air Temperature (ATMP): 73.6 °F
5-day plot - Water Temperature Water Temperature (WTMP): 80.8 °F
5-day plot - Dew Point Dew Point (DEWP): 73.4 °F"
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1568. TheCaneWhisperer
11:31 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
1567. IKE
11:28 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Looks like the Caribbean spin/system, is heading north into the Bahamas now.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1565. IKE
11:27 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting flhurricanesurvivor:
Good Morning Ike

You're in my neighborhood. Any chance this thing is gonna ruin the Memorial Weekend here in the panhandle?


A chance of it. Yes. From what I've seen.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860
1564. TheCaneWhisperer
11:25 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting IKE:
6Z GFS has a low out in the northern GOM for 4 or 5 days, ruining someone's Memorial Day weekend plans.

What's this @ 288 hrs.?



I was looking at that on Saturday. LR-GFS showed 2 areas of low pressure following this one and following a similar path. Real flooding concerns if that comes to fruition.
1563. flhurricanesurvivor
11:24 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Good Morning Ike

You're in my neighborhood. Any chance this thing is gonna ruin the Memorial Weekend here in the panhandle?
Member Since: September 21, 2002 Posts: 1 Comments: 163
1562. theFatherofNature
11:23 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
what happened did the storm just fall apart
1561. WxLogic
11:19 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Good Morning...
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
1560. IKE
11:04 AM GMT on May 18, 2009
Quoting MahFL:
This might be the blob, North of eastern Cuba.

Link


Somewhere down in there something should get going. Doubt it's ever classified as a pure tropical system. Plenty of rain though. Good news for Florida.
Member Since: June 9, 2005 Posts: 23 Comments: 37860

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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