Major snowstorm paralyzes London

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:39 PM GMT on February 03, 2009

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Heavy snow in London, England yesterday did something the Nazi Blitz could not--stop the city bus system. The heaviest snow in 18 years hit the city yesterday, when eight inches (20 cm) of snow blanketed the city. All five major airports in the region closed, all London city buses were pulled off the streets, and the subway system was nearly paralyzed by the snows. It was the heaviest snow since February 7, 1991, when 25 cm fell. In that storm, wind-driven snow drifts of up to three meters (ten feet) crippled road and rail networks across the country.

Heavy snows are rare in London, due to the moderating influence of the ocean waters that surround the British Isles. The prevailing winds from the west or northwest pass over these ocean waters, which are heated by the warm Gulf Stream Current. This makes rain the usual form of winter precipitation for London. Monday's snowstorm was made possible by a strong high pressure system over Scandinavia, whose clockwise flow pumped cold air from western Russia westward over the North Sea and into Britain. A trough of low pressure that formed in this cold air mass moved over Britain, bringing heavy snow. As the cold air accompanying the trough passed over the relatively warm waters of the North Sea, it picked up moisture and instability, enhancing the snows over England in a manner similar to Lake Effect snowstorms over the Great Lakes of North America. The instability of the air mass within Monday's snowstorm was so intense that several UK locations reported "thundersnow", a very rare occurrence in the British Isles. Monday's snow storm also caused traffic problems in France, Switzerland, and Spain. The storm spawned a possible EF2 tornado in southern Spain, as well.

This winter has been the coldest winter since 1996-1997 for England and Wales. Minimum temperatures were as much as 2°C below average in December in western portions of the UK. A cold air outbreak the first week of January brought some of the coldest temperatures seen in southern England since 1991.


Figure 1. AVHRR visible satellite image of the United Kingdom on February 2, 2009, at 13:28 GMT. A strong trough of low pressure, propelled by a cold arctic flow of air from Russia, is crossing over London, dumping heavy snow. Image credit: University of Bern, Switzerland.

I'll have a new post Wednesday or Thursday.
Jeff Masters

SMUDGE (Chros49)
SMUDGE

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Quoting BrockBerlin:
Hey mets, and those that have extensive knowledge, I am a senior in high school, and plan to pursue meteorology in college, and I ultimately would like to specialize in tropical meteorology, I have been accepted to the two schools I want to go to (Oklahoma and Miami). Both gave me scholarships, and after total cost of everything involved, OU is about $9,000 cheaper per year. Basically I would like to know if I hope to specialize in tropical meteorology, should I go straight to a school like UM, or get an undergrad at OU, and then specialize in graduate school? Or is the $9,000 extra a year worth it?


Gee, tough nickname.

I have a met degree from A&M.

Honestly, I do not think that UM has an undergrad met program. Neither does LSU. Could be wrong about Miami...

As to your goals: If you really are planning on grad school, you could go anywhere for undergrad. You could get a physics degree, or anything related, for your undergrad.

If you want an undergrad met degree with a tropical emphasis, I would recommend University of South Alabama in Mobile. I know a few of the faculty there are primarily tropical researchers. The campus is nice and they are doing a lot of growing.

I cannot, with good conscience, steer you to Texas A&M, Oklahoma, Texas Tech for tropical. They simply haven't been involved, for the most part.

What about FIU? Or FSU? NCState?
If you are the scholarship-getting type, try Wisconsin. One of the best, if not the best, met school. Dunno about their tropical work, outside of their extensive history in satellite obs.
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atmoaggie, I here ya on the cold temps. I live in zephyrhills fl 40 miles north of tampa next 3 nights lows are 31,22,29.during the day 53,52,60. I like the cold weather but this is more than i need.
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At times like this....I like GW

It is so cold outside!!!!
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Quoting barryweather:
56. I guess I'll use some climate skeptic argument like: The article has no supporting documentation to prove the claims made within. It also doesn't mention the record warming seen in other areas of the world. Nor does it explaing the La Nina phenomenon that contributed to the reported weather patterns.

As far as solar cycles are concerned STL has plenty of good graphics to counter that assumption.

If oceans weren't rising I doubt the Pacific Islanders would have posted this press release based on global warming and climate change.
Warming might be good for some but not everyone will benefit.Link

Based on this graphLink it looks like we are already at the optimum temperature.


I surrender... you GW types win.
I may come back for Hurricane season.
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26511
24 F for 3 hours in SE LA? Dang, that's cold for us.

hourly weather for 2 days
If that doesn't get the skeeters, nothing within the realm of normal for us will.
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Quoting BrockBerlin:
Hey mets, and those that have extensive knowledge, I am a senior in high school, and plan to pursue meteorology in college, and I ultimately would like to specialize in tropical meteorology, I have been accepted to the two schools I want to go to (Oklahoma and Miami). Both gave me scholarships, and after total cost of everything involved, OU is about $9,000 cheaper per year. Basically I would like to know if I hope to specialize in tropical meteorology, should I go straight to a school like UM, or get an undergrad at OU, and then specialize in graduate school? Or is the $9,000 extra a year worth it?


It seems that my situation is akin to yours; I do not which university to go to. Due to the proximity of the University in Melbourne, it is more likely that I will apply there. I believe (correct me if I am wrong) that Drakoen and StormW are mets. Perhaps they may help you.

I am a Junior in High School....it is a dazzling sight to see weather enthusiasts pursue their goals. Tell me how everything goes =]
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LSU and ESL is a scholars paradise in meteorology as well. Link


They were on top of things early in the 2005 Season



Satellite picture offers good news for Fla., not La.

Water temperature could weaken storms in Dennis, Ivan path

By MIKE DUNNE
mdunne@theadvocate.com
Advocate staff writer Link

Advocate staff photo by ARTHUR D. LAUCK
LSU Earth Scan Lab Director Nan Walker uses satellite images like this one to study the Gulf of Mexico. This image shows the current water surface temperatures in the Gulf.
A satellite picture of the temperature of the Gulf of Mexico's waters has pretty good news for Florida, but not so great news for Louisiana.
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56. I guess I'll use some climate skeptic argument like: The article has no supporting documentation to prove the claims made within. It also doesn't mention the record warming seen in other areas of the world. Nor does it explaing the La Nina phenomenon that contributed to the reported weather patterns.

As far as solar cycles are concerned STL has plenty of good graphics to counter that assumption.

If oceans weren't rising I doubt the Pacific Islanders would have posted this press release based on global warming and climate change.
Warming might be good for some but not everyone will benefit.Link

Based on this graphLink it looks like we are already at the optimum temperature.
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Wow, that's amazing. Is this the same system that brought snow to Madrid?
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Video of the Iranian Launch Link
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Iran claims first launch of its own satellite Link

By NASSER KARIMI and JASON KEYSER, Associated Press Writers Nasser Karimi And Jason Keyser, Associated Press Writers 42 mins ago



Iran sends first home-built satellite into orbit AFP/File Iranian soldiers sing to mark the anniversary of the return from exile of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini,

TEHRAN, Iran Iran sent its first domestically made satellite into orbit, the president announced Tuesday, a key step for an ambitious space program that worries the U.S. and other world powers because the same rocket technology used to launch satellites can also deliver warheads.

For nearly a decade, Iran has sought to develop a national space program, creating unease among international leaders already concerned about its nuclear and ballistic missile programs.

The telecommunications satellite called Omid, or hope, in Farsi was launched late Monday after President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad gave the order to proceed, according to a report on state radio. State television showed footage of what it said was the nighttime liftoff of the rocket carrying the satellite at an unidentified location in Iran.

A U.S. counter-proliferation official confirmed the launch and suggested the technology was not sophisticated. Speaking on condition of anonymity to discuss intelligence gathering, the official said it appeared it "isn't too far removed from Sputnik," the first Soviet orbiter launched in 1957.

The TV report praised the launch as part of festivities marking the 30th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic revolution that toppled the U.S.-backed Shah and brought hard-line clerics to power.

In a year in which Ahmadinejad faces a tough election battle to stay in power, the launch provided a symbol of national pride to hold up even as falling oil prices batter the economy and the hard-line leader's popularity.

As it seeks to expand its influence in the Middle East, Iran touts such technological successes as signs it can advance despite U.S. and U.N. sanctions over its nuclear program.

The launch touched off concern in the United States, Europe and Israel about possible links between its satellite programs and its work with missiles and nuclear technology.

"There's almost always a link between satellite programs like this and military programs and there's almost always a link between satellites and nuclear weapons. It's the same delivery vehicle," said James Lewis, an expert on defense technology at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington.

White House spokesman Robert Gibbs condemned the launch, saying: "This action does not convince us that Iran is acting responsibly to advance stability or security in the region."

State Department spokesman Robert A. Wood accused Iran of using the space-launch program as a technological stepping stone to develop long-range ballistic missiles.

"Iran's ongoing efforts to develop its missile delivery capabilities remain a matter of deep concern," Wood said. "Iran's development of a space-launch vehicle capable of putting a satellite into orbit establishes the technical basis from which Iran could develop long-range ballistic missile systems."

Yiftah Shapir, a top Israeli expert on the Iranian space program, said the launch itself "doesn't really mean much to Israel, we knew about it before hand."

"The significance is in the technology itself. They are making progress and working on a program to spy on targets worldwide. But they are decades away from achieving that," said Shapir, who heads the military balance project at the Institute for National Security Studies, a think tank at Tel Aviv University.

The United States and some of its allies accuse Iran of pursuing a covert nuclear weapons program. Iran denies the charge, saying its atomic work is only for peaceful purposes, such as power generation.

The announcement of the launch came as officials from the U.S., Russia, Britain, France, Germany and China were set to meet Wednesday near Frankfurt to talk about Iran's nuclear program. The group has offered Iran a package of incentives if it suspends uranium enrichment and enters into talks on its nuclear program. The U.N. Security Council has imposed sanctions to pressure Iran to comply.

"This test underlines and illustrates our serious concerns about Iran's intentions," Britain's Middle East minister Bill Rammell said Tuesday. "There are dual applications for satellite-launching technology in Iran's ballistic missile program."

Ahmadinejad insisted the launch was intended to be a message of peace and friendship to the world. "We need science for friendship, brotherhood and justice," he told state television.

The launch has clear political aims, said Lewis. "You can say, 'I am the dominant power in the region and here's the proof.' That's what a space launch does for you."

The satellite was taken into orbit by a Safir-2, or ambassador-2, rocket, which was first tested in August and has a range of 155 miles. Iranian television said the satellite would orbit at an altitude of between 155 and 250 miles.
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Here id some more info you are in a free country if you wish to believe we are guilty for warming then believe it however you want it. I believe in the facts I have seen and read about, but I guess we will see. I could agree with global warming, but I will not buy the fact that we are responsible for it or even that we make it worse. It is just pure arrogance that will enable policymakers with tools to tax us more and gain more control over us which it will happen anyway. We are free to choose, but we are also responsible for the consequenses.

Over the past year, anecdotal evidence for a cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years. Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile -- the list goes on and on.
No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have dropped precipitously.

A compiled list of all the sources can be seen here. The total amount of cooling ranges from 0.65C up to 0.75C -- a value large enough to wipe out most of the warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year's time. For all four sources, it's the single fastest temperature change ever recorded, either up or down.

Scientists quoted in a past DailyTech article link the cooling to reduced solar activity which they claim is a much larger driver of climate change than man-made greenhouse gases. The dramatic cooling seen in just 12 months time seems to bear that out. While the data doesn't itself disprove that carbon dioxide is acting to warm the planet, it does demonstrate clearly that more powerful factors are now cooling it.

Let's hope those factors stop fast. Cold is more damaging than heat. The mean temperature of the planet is about 54 degrees. Humans -- and most of the crops and animals we depend on -- prefer a temperature closer to 70.


Historically, the warm periods such as the Medieval Climate Optimum were beneficial for civilization. Corresponding cooling events such as the Little Ice Age, though, were uniformly bad news.

Source: http://www.dailytech.com/Temperature+Monitors+Report+Widescale+Global+Cooling/article10866.htm
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Quoting jeromecarlyoung:

PS- I find it really worrying that a weather blog has doubters that Global Warming exists, Unless you are a leading Climatologist who has an opinion then I would choose to beleive the Met Office (Uk),
or the UN or 95% of Climatologists.
We have sent men to space and made Nuclear Power Plants on less scientific knowledge than what we have on Global Warming.


Well, you are kinda right on that.

If we were talking quantity of data versus integrity of data...in that case, the AGW gang has much more information. Only problem is that, by their own admissions, their information is hardly accurate and they can't prove otherwise.

On the other hand, the folks who sent men into space or constructed Nuclear power plants had data that was extremely accurate and that could be proven as such by the reams of supporting paperwork.

As Carl Sagan wrote in his book "Cosmos", it was logical to assume that a cloud shrouded Venus meant that it was a jungle teeming with life. As we all know today, that logic was terribly wrong. Funny thing is...Right or wrong, it was still logic.

Consequently, while the AGW conclusion may appear to be logical, that does not make it right...only that it is logical.

In order for the AGW crowd to prove themselves, they will have to get busy changing the way they conduct scientific data gathering and analysis and start getting their instruments and documentation certified.

Otherwise their data is just bloated information without any solid foundation.

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53. Just posted on your blog. Maybe a bit late considering the date of your blog entry.
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Sorry, I may have been doing some "bickering"; won't do it again. Sorry Mum. The shame, the shame!!
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Hello,
Yes the Uk has had it really bad. We are not equipped for such weather and we're all over the shop (in a bit of a mess). I didn't have my computer on but my Cumulus did record -11.2c last night and I'm in the South west of the UK. Temperatures not seen for 15 years or so.
I have many Palms and Agave Cactus outside which for the last 10 years have struggled through. They will be now Ex plants.

By the way- Global warming does exist as the news talks about it all the time in the UK and the US tv doesn't which is why Americans think that it's all not real.
If you are a Farmer or work outdoors then you know something is up. This snow storms we are having now used to be our normal UK weather.
Being able to grow Date Palms and Agave Cactus in the Uk is not a normal thing. This, my friends, is Global Warming; if you live in South West USA, you will eventually find out as Hurricans will blow your Houses down. Not to worry as the UK is losing it's native trees and Bee populations so lets feel united in our peril.
If in doubt, try listening to Home Planet and Costing the Earth on BBC radio 4 (internet).
Once we are all dead let me know that I was right. Ta! Ta!

PS- I find it really worrying that a weather blog has doubters that Global Warming exists, Unless you are a leading Climatologist who has an opinion then I would choose to beleive the Met Office (Uk),
or the UN or 95% of Climatologists.
We have sent men to space and made Nuclear Power Plants on less scientific knowledge than what we have on Global Warming.
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Not one mention of GW in the post and you guys still just can't help yourselves.

For those who don't care to read the various links from post # 38

The first link is a news article about the founder of The Weather Channel. No scientific evidence is presented to the contrary of AGW.

The author from the second link supports the theory of AGW at least in 1998 when the publication was written. He has concluded that the temperature rise will be lower. 1.5 C rather than 3.2 C over a one hundred year timeframe. The most reliable measurements suggest a rise of at least 0.3 - 0.4 C over the last decade. If this trend continues his optimistic viewpoint will sadly be disproved. I hope he is correct. I apologize if I snicker when you can no longer afford the gas for your hummer. (I will be the guy standing next to you in the unemployment line wishing I had become a climate scientist)

This statement will probably discredit the third link: "The global warming scam is the result of the widespread belief in a new religion, based on the deification of a
nebulous entity, “The Environment”." Although their are many valid points raised in the text. None of them can disprove that your hummer has no impact on the global climate. (Not that I am doing the world a favor by driving my small Nissan 60 miles to work and back each day.)
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nothing but rain here looks so far like that by the end of february we"ll have to add another year without a good snow storm 9 years is a long time to me.

I think we"ll have one more chance for snowstorm this month if that doesnt happen winter will be done here in SC.
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.48....all4hurricanes. Oh well, maybe next time.
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Quoting ncleclerc:
all4hurricanes...what part of VA are you in?

Fairfax
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Quoting NRAamy:
you gotta laugh, conchy...or else you get stressed and inhale too many Twinkies....

;)
I know, I know. As they say, laughter is the best medicine.
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Perth
Tropical Cyclone Advice Number FOUR
Tropical Low
3:50 AM WDT February 4 2009
========================================

At 3:00 AM WDT, Tropical Low (998 hPa) located at 15.2S 124.2E or 375 kms northeast of Broome and 280 kms west southwest of Kalumburu has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The low is reported as moving west-northwest at 7 knots.

The low has moved off the west Kimberley coast this morning, and may develop into a tropical cyclone on Thursday as it continues to move west away from the coast. Gales are not expected on the coast Wednesday, but may develop during Thursday.

Cyclone Watch
=================
A Cyclone WATCH is current for a developing tropical low for coastal areas from Kalumburu to Broome.
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Re: Post 38. by CaneHunter031472

OMG.

Absolutely spot on with those articles.

Notice how those articles point out the lack of veracity of the data and/or how it is gathered?

If you have more...bring them on.

This is how discussions are truly started!

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you gotta laugh, conchy...or else you get stressed and inhale too many Twinkies....

;)
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Quoting NRAamy:
23. CaneHunter031472 9:38 AM PST on February 03, 2009

My Gosh!! Global warming is such a terrible thing!! Look at London and the US.

Al Gore please save us!!!



he's too busy looking for ManBearPig....or don't you watch SouthPark?
Amy - you are so funny; always coming in when things get heated and making us laugh -- at least me anyhow. :)
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
Moderate Tropical Storm (GAEL) located at 17.7S 62.5 or about 570 kms east-northeast of Mauritius. Gael continues to move toward the west-southwest at 18 km/h. On this trajectory, Gael is still approaching Mauritius and represents a potential threat.

A CYCLONE WARNING CLASS ONE IS IN FORCE IN MAURITIUS

(Class I Cyclone Warning is issued 36 to 48 hours before the advent of cyclonic conditions).
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23. CaneHunter031472 9:38 AM PST on February 03, 2009

My Gosh!! Global warming is such a terrible thing!! Look at London and the US.

Al Gore please save us!!!



he's too busy looking for ManBearPig....or don't you watch SouthPark?
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117 more days...sigh.
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Quoting Inyo:
posting non-scientific, inflammatory nonsense for the purpose of causing argument is considered 'trolling' on the internet. I don't think you are a huge hairy cave creature, but i think your post was a clear example of internet trolling.

I've never heard of any peer-reviewed scientific paper calling global warming a 'hoax'... unless the 'peers' you are looking to are Chevron, Exxon, and Enron.

I won't argue about Al Gore. I don't particularly like him either.

Are you feeling insecure about your large, expensive car? There are perfectly good reasons to have an SUV - I have a 4*4 truck myself because I often work in areas where I need 4 wheel drive to get around. Whether or not your 'hummer' is causing problems depends more on where and how you drive it (length of commute, whether you carpool) than what you drive. I never said you should get a Prius!

Seriously, consider this: Who makes more money? Al Gore or the CEOs of every oil company in the US. Who REALLY has something to gain/lose?

The original point of my post is that it is silly to claim any single weather event is proof of or against global warming. It is 80 degrees in California where I live right now... not our usual winter weather! Does that indicate that global warming is certainly happening? No more so than one blizzard in a country once prone to many storms of the sort proves that it isn't warming!



Well, you see we have more in common thant we both thought. We agree then that Al Gore hurts the argument more than helping it, He is actually part of the problem. let me give you a couple of links.
http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.cfm?release=2007-131

http://www.startribune.com/local/11826671.html

http://www.debunkglobalwarming.info/PMichaels.pdf

http://nzclimatescience.net/images/PDFs/GlobalScam3a.pdf

Please read these documents it is refreshing information when compared to what NBC will tell us.
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London and the south East of England are expecting more snow Thursday / Friday, being blown in from Russia!!

"There is a moderate risk of exceptionally heavy snow across parts of central and south eastern England continuing from Thursday giving further accumulations, with perhaps more than 25cm locally for the whole event. Drifting may occur in fresh or strong north or north east winds".

Brrr - Drat that groundhog!!!
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all4hurricanes...what part of VA are you in?
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We didn't get anything here in VA why are all the places that don't get snow getting snow this year
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ooooo nevermind..... not worth it. *poof*
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33. Inyo
Quoting calusakat:


I'm not going to look up the many, many papers on AGW.. (that's Anthropomorphic Global Warming, not Al Gore's Waste). If you really look at all of the research, rather than only that research that agrees with your view, it is hard to justify a lack of global warming. But I admit it is *possible* that it isnt happening. I sure hope you people know what you're doing!
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32. Inyo
posting non-scientific, inflammatory nonsense for the purpose of causing argument is considered 'trolling' on the internet. I don't think you are a huge hairy cave creature, but i think your post was a clear example of internet trolling.

I've never heard of any peer-reviewed scientific paper calling global warming a 'hoax'... unless the 'peers' you are looking to are Chevron, Exxon, and Enron.

I won't argue about Al Gore. I don't particularly like him either.

Are you feeling insecure about your large, expensive car? There are perfectly good reasons to have an SUV - I have a 4*4 truck myself because I often work in areas where I need 4 wheel drive to get around. Whether or not your 'hummer' is causing problems depends more on where and how you drive it (length of commute, whether you carpool) than what you drive. I never said you should get a Prius!

Seriously, consider this: Who makes more money? Al Gore or the CEOs of every oil company in the US. Who REALLY has something to gain/lose?

The original point of my post is that it is silly to claim any single weather event is proof of or against global warming. It is 80 degrees in California where I live right now... not our usual winter weather! Does that indicate that global warming is certainly happening? No more so than one blizzard in a country once prone to many storms of the sort proves that it isn't warming!

Quoting CaneHunter031472:


Troll, So that is how you call dissenting views? Have you read the papers written by increasing groups of scientist who say that man made global warming is not only a hoax, but a way for people like Al Gore (not a scientist) to make lots of $$$ with people like you. I believe your intentions are good don't get me wrong and I would agree there is global warming it happened before, but believe me when I tell you that driving my Hummer is not the reason why. Did you know that creating the batteries for a Prius causes more enviromental impact than a whole lifesapn of a Hummen been driven around? I guess Al forgot to mention that fact in his movie (inconveniently debunked truth) No sir I am not a troll I am just a bit more informed than you.
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Mauritius Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory Number EIGHT
TEMPETE TROPICALE MODEREE GAEL (08-20082009)
22:00 PM Réunion February 3 2009
==================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Moderate Tropical Storm Gael (997 hPa) located at 17.7S 62.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The storm is reported as moving west-southwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Near Gale-Force Winds
======================
80 NM radius from the center, extending up to 110 NM in the northern semi-circle, locally reaching gale-force winds

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
12 HRS: 18.0S 60.6E - 40 knots (Tempête Tropicale Moderée)
24 HRS: 18.3S 58.5E - 50 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
48 HRS: 18.5S 54.5E - 60 knots (Forte Tempête Tropicale)
72 HRS: 19.8S 51.1E - 80 knots (Cyclone Tropical)

Additional Information
========================
Since 1500 UTC, Deep convective activity has started near the center and over the northern semi-circle. Center becomes difficult to localize on infrared imagery and current position is based on extrapolation of 1410z fix on SSMI F15 (Fix near 17.6S 63.2E). Uncertainity is consequently stronger than usual. System in now closer to the upper level ridge axis (CF cirrus eastwards outflow in the peripheral band south of 19S), wind shear is in consequence expected to weaken as forecasted within the next 12-24 hours. Under this ridge a mid level ridge is building south of the system and should progressively turn the track on a more westward component. Current forecast track, based on 0000z and some earlier 1200z NWP models is a little nit more north than the previous one but is south of the consensus made with ECMWF, UKMO, ARP, and CONW.

-------------
YELLOW ALERT (Pre-Alert) For Réunion is now in force

Means: Potential for a tropical cyclone impact in the next 24 hours.


  • Metéo-France will be releasing 3 hour advisories on this system
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    I love reading masters analysis on weather and unusuall systems like this. Gets a good start on looking deeper in to this. Very odd synoptic situation set up here. I mean wow. GOOD STUFF!
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    Quoting Inyo:


    not to feed the troll, but it is well documented that warming on a global level will lead to more extreme weather including cold outbreaks. You probably already know that, though.


    Well documented you say?

    Perhaps you might want to point us in the direction of those well documented FACTS.

    Real substantiated facts that come from instrumentation that is well maintained and periodically calibrated and location verified too, all of that being certified as well.

    Not just the convoluted misdirections the AGWHP is so wont to do and not just the sleazy accusation of a person with differing views of being labeled a TROLL.

    It just occurred to me that using your logic, I could just a easily say that the latest purported warming outbreaks are nothing more than proof that the world is cooling and that huge shifts in the weather should be expected because of it.

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    We are in a Weather Winter Advisory from 6:00 till 12:00 on Wednesday. 1 to 3 inches of snow with possiblity of higher in areas. Wind chill will make it feel like the teens. Go figure! We went to not having any to 1 to 3 inches. Only in North Carolina.
    Member Since: Posts: Comments:


    Reunion and Mauritius better be prepared for Gael..
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    Quoting Inyo:


    not to feed the troll, but it is well documented that warming on a global level will lead to more extreme weather including cold outbreaks. You probably already know that, though.


    Troll, So that is how you call dissenting views? Have you read the papers written by increasing groups of scientist who say that man made global warming is not only a hoax, but a way for people like Al Gore (not a scientist) to make lots of $$$ with people like you. I believe your intentions are good don't get me wrong and I would agree there is global warming it happened before, but believe me when I tell you that driving my Hummer is not the reason why. Did you know that creating the batteries for a Prius causes more enviromental impact than a whole lifesapn of a Hummen been driven around? I guess Al forgot to mention that fact in his movie (inconveniently debunked truth) No sir I am not a troll I am just a bit more informed than you.
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    25. Inyo
    Quoting CaneHunter031472:
    My Gosh!! Global warming is such a terrible thing!! Look at London and the US.

    Al Gore please save us!!!


    not to feed the troll, but it is well documented that warming on a global level will lead to more extreme weather including cold outbreaks. You probably already know that, though.
    Member Since: Posts: Comments:
    Been snowing pretty steadily in Central NJ. Fortunately, the ground is still warm from yesterday's 55* temperatures, so it isn't sticking to the roads...yet.

    Seems to be picking up some--we may break an inch yet. Sorry P451, but I'm GLAD we didn't get the superstorm!
    Member Since: Posts: Comments:
    My Gosh!! Global warming is such a terrible thing!! Look at London and the US.

    Al Gore please save us!!!
    Member Since: Posts: Comments:
    Thanks for the update on the London storm.
    Member Since: Posts: Comments:
    I just updated my Weather Blog if anyone would like to view......
    HARD FREEZE Coming to Florida.....FARMERS, GARDENERS, and ANIMAL Caretakers.......BEWARE!!

    TampaSpin Weather Blog Link
    Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
    TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVICE NUMBER 3
    Issued at 10:05 pm WDT on Tuesday, 3 February 2009
    BY THE BUREAU OF METEOROLOGY
    TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING CENTRE PERTH

    A Cyclone WATCH is current for a developing tropical low for coastal areas from
    Kalumburu to Broome.

    At 9:00 pm WDT a Tropical Low was estimated to be
    425 kilometres northeast of Broome and
    195 kilometres southwest of Kalumburu and
    was moving northwest at 9 kilometres per hour.

    The low is expected to move off the west Kimberley coast by Wednesday morning
    and may develop into a tropical cyclone on Thursday as it continues to move west
    away from the coast. Gales are not expected on the coast tonight or Wednesday
    but may develop during Thursday.

    Details of Tropical Low at 9:00 pm WDT:
    .Centre located near...... 15.4 degrees South 125.2 degrees East
    .Location accuracy........ within 85 kilometres
    .Recent movement.......... towards the northwest at 9 kilometres per hour
    .Wind gusts near centre... 75 kilometres per hour
    .Severity category........ below cyclone intensity
    .Central pressure......... 998 hectoPascals
    Member Since: September 30, 2007 Posts: 9 Comments: 15932
    True, the only good about these cold temps. is it knocks out the pesty bugs.... mosquitoes, flies and fleas............... me too come to think about it....LOL

    My toes are freezing even w/ socks-- Conchy --even my flip flop socks don't cut it today. Beautiful waves.... but too cold too play. Getting ready to take the edge off w/ a run -- hope the wind doesn't blow me off the bridge....I'm going to feel like a leaf out there.

    This coldfront is really racking havoc on the veggie garden and MY MANGO TREES ARE MISERABLE.... I can look at their leaves and they look like me......miserable. I have lost many, many of the blossoms if not all -- went from another bumper crop to NADA --unless the tree pushes out blooms again when it warms. They both went off way too early when they were fooled by a couple of warmer weeks.
    Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
    Friday Morning........a little better...
    Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439

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    Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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