Santa Ana winds ease over Los Angeles

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 2:17 PM GMT on November 17, 2008

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The Santa Ana winds have died down over Los Angeles, and winds should remain below 25 mph today through Thursday over the region. This should allow fire fighters to gain control of the three major blazes burning near the city. Wind gusts in excess of hurricane force--74 mph--were recorded at several mountain locations Friday and Saturday, thanks to the major difference in pressure between a strong high pressure system to the northeast of Los Angeles and lower pressure air over the ocean. By 4 pm PST Sunday, though, winds had fallen below 15 mph over the entire region (Figure 1), and a weak sea breeze had formed near the coast. Taking a look at this morning's wundermap (with fire layer turned on) for Los Angeles, we can see that winds are below 5 mph over the region. All high wind warnings and fire weather warnings have been canceled for California, but continued hot and dry conditions will slow down efforts of fire fighters to control the fires. The smoke has caused pollution problems in the city, and the Air Quality Index (AQI) for particulate matter less than 2.5 microns (PM2.5) exceeded the EPA standard yesterday. Today's pollution forecast calls for PM2.5 levels in the unhealthy for sensitive groups level, in excess of the EPA standards.


Figure 1. Wundermap (with fire layer turned on) for Los Angeles, California, at 4 pm EST Sunday November 16, 2008. Two major fires, the Sylmar fire to the north, and the Freeway fire to the east, are shown. The black colors show the relative concentration of smoke. The colored circles show the temperature, and the lines going into the circles show the direction the wind is blowing from. The perpendicular lines at the the end of these lines show how strong the wind is blowing. Each longer line is an additional 10 mph, and each shorter perpendicular line is an additional 5 mph. Thus, for the circle at upper right with a 66° temperature, the wind was blowing 15 mph out of the NNE. (Note that we've changed the convention used on marine maps, where these so-called "wind barbs" denote the winds in knots, not mph).

High temperature records
The hot flow of air off the desert set numerous high temperature records across Southern California on Sunday. Records set or tied included 88° in downtown Los Angeles, 93° in Camalillo; 86° at LAX airport; 90° at Long Beach; 89° at Paso Robles; 87° at Santa Maria; 91° at Woodland Hills; 87° at UCLA; 93° at Oxnard; and 87° at Santa Barbara. On Saturday, 30 high temperature records were set or tied across the state of California, including a blistering 93° in downtown Los Angeles (old record, 90° in 1936). The hottest new record was 94° at the Santa Ana Fire Station.

The forecast
Hot and dry conditions will persist over Los Angeles today, then gradually cool Tuesday and Wednesday. On Wednesday and Thursday, winds should reverse and blow cool, moist air from the oceans over the city, allowing fire fighters to gain full control of the fires. By Saturday, the GFS model is indicating a possible return to Santa Ana wind conditions for the weekend, but the ECMWF model disagrees. At this point, it appears we may get a weak Santa Ana wind event this weekend, but nowhere near as strong as the one that just ended.


Figure 2. Visible satellite image from NASA's Terra satellite taken on Sunday, November 16, 2008 at 11:30 am PST. Smoke from the Sylmar fire 20 miles north of Los Angeles has drifted out over the Catalina Islands, joined by a larger plume of smoke from the "Freeway Fire" in Orange County.

Support the Portlight Christmas for Gulf Coast Kids Honor Walk
The Portlight.org charity is sponsoring a new nationwide grassroots event to raise funds for and awareness of their ongoing efforts, specifically to provide Christmas presents (and maybe a big party) for kids and families in the Gulf Coast areas devastated by Hurricane Ike. They need 100 people across the country to commit to walking one mile this Saturday, November 22, and to raise at least $300.00 in sponsorship from friends, family, co-workers, neighbors, etc. Participants can choose where they want to walk--the local park, the mall, anywhere. Please support this worthwhile effort!

Jeff Masters

Sayre fire (anvilhead)
Sayre fire
Sayre Fire (anvilhead)
Sayre Fire

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Surfmom watch those ponies tonite.....heaters may be needed......
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
most predictors are expecting a colder than normal and snowier than normal eastern third of the country
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Coldest nite is tonite for Tampa.....burrrr
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 177 Comments: 20430
Morning Hiexpress - Disney is always well-run and organized. did not like the running over the cobblestones which was in the orginal run-- don't know if they still have that in the course. Great crwods and lots of distractions so you don't feel the pain. My only dislike was if the weather is bad - mega winds - there's no way to set a PR.

Favorite marathon is still Jacksonville, but a very good one to consider and an excellent one to qualify for Boston is the one in my local town - Sarasota - Flat & Fast -- not crowded, only Hill is the Ringling Bridge, other concern may be heat. Now that I have old injuries that haunt..... I may consider running the half this year -- I got a little hunger again
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
Hi Express -
GM WU Track Club
Advecting through Disney sounds like fun. I haven't run that one yet. I'm kind of saving that one.

You really should try the Disney run - it is such fun and there are a lot of us there just along for the fun of running through the parks! Many stop for pics with the characters too. A good time is had by all (well maybe not all). LOL
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
Quoting surfmom:
If you don't have insurance and you built next to the Gulf of Mexico, your gamble did not pay off.

The rest of the state and the nation does not need to spend money rebuilding your sandcastle or rescuing you when the tide comes back in.



Thank YOU!!!!! I am sick and tired of "my" money replacing my "girlfriends" wood floors everytime she gets flooded for example. If you live on the beach build a cottage/surf shack -- you wash away no big deal. I'm tired of subsidizing the "hummer houses" who try and push me off the waterline when fishing or surfing as well.
Quoting surfmom:
If you don't have insurance and you built next to the Gulf of Mexico, your gamble did not pay off.

The rest of the state and the nation does not need to spend money rebuilding your sandcastle or rescuing you when the tide comes back in.



Thank YOU!!!!! I am sick and tired of "my" money replacing my "girlfriends" wood floors everytime she gets flooded for example. If you live on the beach build a cottage/surf shack -- you wash away no big deal. I'm tired of subsidizing the "hummer houses" who try and push me off the waterline when fishing or surfing as well.
Wow, don't get a lot of us started on this one and those who milked the system getting new stuff that was already old. :( Drives me crazy!
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
Quoting Bonedog:
all points to a nice long snowy winter i would say =)

sulli and I were saying we wonder if we will have a 3fer this winter! If we do it would be something not seen in a long while.

Looks like this cold wx. will be around for a while..will get the ground good and cold so whatever snow you get will stick for a while... I have never seen a 3fr... lived in the N.E. for 21 years!
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#182 biffugo "you don't have insurance and you built next to the Gulf of Mexico, your gamble did not pay off.

The rest of the state and the nation does not need to spend money rebuilding your sandcastle or rescuing you when the tide comes back in."


Thank YOU!!!!! I am sick and tired of "my" money replacing my "girlfriends" wood floors everytime she gets flooded for example. If you live on the beach build a cottage/surf shack -- you wash away no big deal. I'm tired of subsidizing the "hummer houses" who try and push me off the waterline when fishing or surfing as well.
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
all points to a nice long snowy winter i would say =)

sulli and I were saying we wonder if we will have a 3fer this winter! If we do it would be something not seen in a long while.
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yea MissNadia kinda wierd to see it here this early nothing sticking here just nice white flakes blowing around =)
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Morning Skyepony - is your herd enjoying the cooler temps??? Our herd is just thriving on this weather -- their coats are just gorgeus - no "fungusamoungus" (rainrot or thrush) skincare & grooming are a piece of cake --sighhh it was a long summer.

Conchy - you are a smart one -- you will be well prepared by Jan 10th --will put in a request for a mild day -- those Orlando winds can be a killer. My temp. rule for tights is under 50 degree's I wear 'em, over 50 degrees -not. Did you know that you add 20 degrees to the outside temp. to measure what it feels like to your body ONCE you are warmed up (winter) or HOT (summer) So in 50 degrees, once your moving -it'll feel like 70....but in the summer when it's 90 degrees, ...yup -feels like 110!!! Frankly, I prefer the heat....but my splits are always better in the cool.
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
Quoting Bonedog:
Morning MissNadia. Yes have a good snowfall up at my house in the mountains down here at the docks we have flurries

I lived in Rive Edge ( about 5 miles up Rt4 from the G.W) and I don't ever remember snow before Thanksgiving! I'm surprised it is at the docks!
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Quoting conchygirl:
Morning surfmom - yes, the light sweats are now out and may have to get the warmer ones too soon. January 10th is the golden day for the Disney half! Last year, the weather was perfect but I remember a few years ago, never took my jacket off - hated that! Oh, just to finish is my goal.


GM WU Track Club
Advecting through Disney sounds like fun. I haven't run that one yet. I'm kind of saving that one.
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Wife emailed me that the roads have been salted but everything is still white =) Hopefully it will stick till Thanksgiving.

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Good morning all :)
Not much going on.. but I still updated the site.

Blog Refresh
Mirror Site
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Morning MissNadia. Yes have a good snowfall up at my house in the mountains down here at the docks we have flurries
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yea temp went down woohoo down to 28 here from 30 at 6am =)

windchill now at 25 =)

flurries


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GM all,chilly times for the east for the coming week,
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Good morning Bonedog,
Did you say earlier that you had snow at the docks?
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The low predictions in Florida keep dropping lower and lower over the next 3 days. It has been a while since I have noticed a several degree shift only a day out. I guess preditions get fidgety around freezing.

As for the pole, It doesn't matter how much beach washes away, unless your house is lowering you don't suddenly fall into the tide zone because the beach is closer.

On the other hand, if your house is gone and the storm surge lowered the level of your property, you need to take the insurance money and move. If you don't have insurance and you built next to the Gulf of Mexico, your gamble did not pay off.

The rest of the state and the nation does not need to spend money rebuilding your sandcastle or rescuing you when the tide comes back in.

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LOL conchy I do but its all realative. Someone from Alaska must laugh at me when I say brrr its cold here its 15 when its -30 up there.
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180. Skyepony (Mod)
Updated the world weather news in my blog..

Vietnam got nailed again..
Tropical storm Noul unroofed homes, destroyed crops and sunk more than 100 unmanned boats in southern Vietnam, but spared Ho Chi Minh City and the Mekong delta rice bowl, the government said on Tuesday.

The storm was downgraded into a tropical low pressure system as it made landfall late on Monday, after authorities earlier issued storm alerts, called ships ashore, closed schools and evacuated about 90,000 coastal residents.

Two people were killed during what was the tenth major storm of Vietnam’s typhoon and storm season when they were electrocuted while preparing a house near the resort town of Nha Trang, authorities said.

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Morning Bone - you must really laugh at us Floridians talking about the cold! LOL
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
Quoting surfmom:
Morning Conchy -- got your warm running gear out yet??? - only used my running tights about three times last year -- got the feeling it's going to be different this year. I forgot, how more weeks till your race?
Morning surfmom - yes, the light sweats are now out and may have to get the warmer ones too soon. January 10th is the golden day for the Disney half! Last year, the weather was perfect but I remember a few years ago, never took my jacket off - hated that! Oh, just to finish is my goal.
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
morning conchy.

LOL surfmom know the feeling. Glad to hear the horses are doing well. Hope they dont work you out to hard.
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Morning Conchy -- got your warm running gear out yet??? - only used my running tights about three times last year -- got the feeling it's going to be different this year. I forgot, how more weeks till your race?
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
Oh yeah, good point Bonedog -- I usually use my Oneil 3/2-Pyscho terrific wetsuit, but i also have a 3/4 --never used,....maybe that's the "aid" I need today. Other thing is I do have the barn & horses to work this afternoon. got to pace myself -- if the water/weather is warm it's one thing...but in the cold.....can't be tired working with 1000( ) lb critters. Plus, the herd was more then frisky yesterday with the cool temps. Young buck/son & I had a good time, but it wasn't a "slacker" ride.......that is for sure, the horses saw the track and just wanted to fly -- we had to keep checking them up (slowing them down to cantor or trot at the prescribed pace)The complete opposite of hot weather workout LOL
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
Morning all - wow, some of you all were quite the night owls last night. Nippy here in Melbourne this morning but crisp and clean. I love it! Fires getting better in CA - lets hope they can keep them contained. The damage is sure devastating.
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
LOL

pull out the 3/2 full or maybe a 4/6 hehe
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Sounds like -- But Bonedog -- it's got to get a bit warmer -- the brain freeze, body freeze is just too much... I think...maybe, after I wake up more, I can re-consider LOL... need to look at a few wave pictures....--that cold just hurts when there isn't any fat insulation
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
Morning surfmom. sounds like some longboard wind chop for you folks. Fun days ahead sounds like
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Good Morning - Enjoyed reading last night's chatter.
Polar Surf Forecast for SWFL/Gomex. This morning 1-3ftNNW swell. - building through the day - North wind at 20 by the PM. Wednesday-Leftovers 1-2ft, another front Friday-backdoor, but still a chance - 1-2ft swell by Friday PM - should be a little leftovers on the weekend. Check best coldfront spots. SRQ Air Temp is 48, Gulf temp 68 and dropping.
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
169. IKE
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
345 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2008

...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING INLAND AREAS WITH A FREEZE WATCH FOR THE
COAST...

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...


ALZ065>069-FLZ007>019-026>029-034-GAZ120>131-142>148-155>161-
191300-
/O.UPG.KTAE.HZ.A.0003.081119T0900Z-081119T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.HZ.W.0006.081119T0900Z-081119T1300Z/
/O.NEW.KTAE.LW.Y.0020.081118T1500Z-081118T2300Z/
COFFEE-DALE-HENRY-GENEVA-HOUSTON-INLAND WALTON-COASTAL WALTON-
HOLMES-WASHINGTON-JACKSON-BAY-CALHOUN-GULF-FRANKLIN-GADSDEN-LEON-
JEFFERSON-MADISON-LIBERTY-WAKULLA-TAYLOR-LAFAYETTE-DIXIE-QUITMAN-
CLAY-RANDOLPH-TERRELL-DOUGHERTY-LEE-WORTH-TURNER-TIFT-BEN HILL-
IRWIN-EARLY-MILLER-BAKER-MITCHELL-COLQUITT-COOK-BERRIEN-SEMINOLE-
DECATUR-GRADY-THOMAS-BROOKS-LOWNDES-LANIER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ENTERPRISE...OZARK...FORT RUCKER...
DALEVILLE...HEADLAND...ABBEVILLE...GENEVA...HARTFORD...SAMSON...
SLOCOMB...MALVERN...TAYLOR...ASHFORD...KINSEY...COWARTS...WEBB...
COTTONWOOD...REHOBETH...DE FUNIAK SPRINGS...INWOOD...HUDSON...
BONIFAY...CRYSTAL LAKE...CHIPLEY...FIVE POINTS...MARIANNA...
GRACEVILLE...MALONE...SNEADS...PANAMA CITY...CALLAWAY...
LYNN HAVEN...UPPER GRAND LAGOON...BLOUNTSTOWN...WHITE CITY...
PORT ST. JOE...WEWAHITCHKA...APALACHICOLA...CARRABELLE...QUINCY...
CHATTAHOOCHEE...TALLAHASSEE...SPRING HILL...MONTICELLO...
MADISON...GREENVILLE...SWEETWATER...SOPCHOPPY...ST. MARKS...
PERRY...MIDWAY...MAYO...CROSS CITY...GEORGETOWN...FORT GAINES...
CUTHBERT...SHELLMAN...ARLINGTON...MORGAN...EDISON...LEARY...
DAWSON...ALBANY...LEESBURG...SMITHVILLE...SYLVESTER...ASHBURN...
TIFTON...FITZGERALD...OCILLA...DOUGLASVILLE...BLAKELY...
COLQUITT...NEWTON...CAMILLA...PELHAM...MOULTRIE...ADEL...SPARKS...
NASHVILLE...DONALSONVILLE...BAINBRIDGE...CAIRO...THOMASVILLE...
QUITMAN...VALDOSTA...LAKELAND
345 AM EST TUE NOV 18 2008 /245 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2008/

...LAKE WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON...
...HARD FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ TO 8 AM
EST /7 AM CST/ WEDNESDAY FOR INLAND AREAS WITH A FREEZE WARNING
FOR THE COAST...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A HARD
FREEZE WARNING FOR INLAND AREAS AND A FREEZE WARNING FOR THE
COAST...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EST /3 AM CST/ TO 8 AM EST /7
AM CST/ WEDNESDAY. A LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS
LAKE WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM EST /9 AM CST/ THIS
MORNING TO 6 PM EST /5 PM CST/ THIS AFTERNOON.

AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL SWEEP SOUTH OF THE REGION THIS MORNING AND
SET THE STAGE FOR THE COLDEST NIGHT OF THE SEASON TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S IN THE
NORMALLY COLDEST AREAS. THESE LOCATIONS WILL SEE FREEZE DURATIONS
OF APPROXIMATELY NINE HOURS. DOWNTOWN AREAS IN TALLAHASSEE AND
DOTHAN WILL SEE LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO AROUND 30 WITH SHORTER
FREEZE DURATIONS OF JUST A FEW HOURS. COASTAL AREAS WILL SIMILARLY
NOT SEE A HARD FREEZE WITH THE MERCURY DIPPING TO AROUND THE
FREEZING MARK.


A HARD FREEZE WARNING MEANS SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE
IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND
OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

A LAKE WIND ADVISORY INDICATES THAT WINDS WILL CAUSE ROUGH CHOP
ON AREA LAKES. SMALL BOATS WILL BE ESPECIALLY PRONE TO CAPSIZING.
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wow sounds like a big blow coming for you.

nothing on our horizon as far as storms go. just some shortwaves squeezing moisture out.
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Quoting Bonedog:
sounds nice Cotillion.

I love the snow so its a happy day for me =)


Well, seems we may get snow this weekend.

Advisories have been issued, and stretching right the way down the East coast of Britain, accompanied with hurricane force gusts. Where I am, at the moment, may just get the fringes of it, we'll see.
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sounds nice Cotillion.

I love the snow so its a happy day for me =)
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Hey Bone. On the contrary here, it's clear and 45-50F. A pleasant enough day.
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Morning.

Snow
Temp: 30*F
Humidity: 75%
Wind Speed: NW 3 MPH
Barometer: 30.03 in.
Dewpoint: 25*F
Wind Chill: 28*F

have around an inch on the ground, streets and grassy surfaces covered. Some sleet mixing in now and again.

Flurries below 800feet nothing on any surface.

Dry below 600 feet, can see the low overcast above just nothing reaching the ground.

Welcome Old Man Winter. Pull up a chair and stay a while =)
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163. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Joint Typhoon Warning Center

Tropical Disturbance Summary (0630z 18NOV)
===========================================
An area of convection (90S) located at 9.2S 91.6E or 360 NM west-northwest of Cocos Island. Recent animated multispectral imagery and a 0118z SSMIS Image shows a rapidly consolidating low level circulation center with deepening convective spiral bands on the west and south side. The system lies equatorward of an upper level ridge axis in an area of moderate easterly vertical wind shear, good diffluence aloft and fair poleward outflow enhanced by a mid-latitude trough.

Maximum sustained winds near the center is 20-25 knots with a minimum sea level pressure of 1003 MB. The potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is UPGRADED TO FAIR.
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160. Hurricane4Lex

Good Night!
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30634
158. hurristat

I am not speaking specifically to that issue, as I don't discuss it here, but you are right. I don't remember the last time that congress ever solved a real problem...they might throw enough money at it to keep it quiet for a while, but solve it? No.

Whether you are talking about carbon footprint, energy production, pollution, or a host of other issues, they are problems that have taken a long time to evolve, and will take a long time and a lot of expense to correct. It will take the financial muscle, brain power, and will of corporate America, Japan, China, the UK and many others to make positive changes.

We, the people, have to take control and responsibility back from the politicians in many aspects of our lives, from the environment to education. We have to vote with our pocketbook to show the corporate world what we want. They will follow the money...that is their job and responsibility to their shareholders. But it will be a long haul.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30634
RE 155

Its fun sometimes to make fun of those who ruin things to keep a positive thought but the reality is that these people shouldn't be the ones who lead us or give us our information and its sad that they do

Its the irresponsible blind leading the unfortunate blind

RE 159

again so true

Progress can be made if people aren't forced to do something or aren't fed info that's just crap

As someone I knew said "Its not about changing the world by force (even if your intentions are good) but rather just leaving people be to make their own decisions"


Well I'm out for tonight everyone

thanks for your insights

have a great evening/morning ^_^
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157. Hurricane4Lex

I try, and I admit I am a long way from perfect. But if you can do a little better every year, then you're making progress. The hope being that when I check out I will have had a net positive effect on where I live and the people who knew me. It is attitudes that change the world. If you give people alternatives that don't take food off their table or make them miserable, most will do it for the "feel good" factor. Then when consumers have demonstrated an interest, the corporate world will provide newer and better alternatives. And science goes where the money is, because science is expensive. It is a slow process but I believe it is starting to happen. But if you try to force it down peoples throats, make it too costly, or ruin your credibility, people will not accept it.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30634
Personally, I think GW is an issue, that should be solved immediately, but again, leave it to the scientists, not Bush/Cheney/Pelosi everyone else on the list of succession and Congress.
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RE 154

so true

PS thanks for helping out
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Ha ha ha ha!
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Quoting RobDaHood:
148. vortfix

I would say LOL, but 200', that's not even funny, just dumb...They forgot about the big comet that will hit the ocean and melt, that ought to be good for at least 220...do I hear a bid for 240?




I change my mind I bid 250ft now!
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RE: 152. RobDaHood

Before anyone gets the idea that I'm a spoiled American who is ignorant and doesn't care...

I do happen to like our little planet. I think we should try to treat it right and try to undo some of the damage that has been done to the environment. I believe that big improvements can be made by everyone doing little things and I try to live that way.

There are some serious environmental concerns in the world. They need to be explored through serious science, trying to find workable solutions. When the media and the politicians and the nut-cases take up an issue, they usually do end up blowing things way out of proportion, and adding untruths and half-truths to suit their own agenda with the result being that reasonable people tune it out, don't believe it, or think that it is hopeless. This is to the detriment of those scientists who are truly trying to conduct objective research on an issue.
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30634
153. HadesGodWyvern (Mod)
Bureau of Meteorology TCWC Perth, Australia (90E-125E)

Tropical Cyclone Outlook (Central Indian Ocean 90E-110E) - 18 November
=============================================
A low has developed near 9S 91E within an active monsoon trough. It is expected to develop further in the next few days and may reach cyclone intensity later on Wednesday or Thursday as it moves to the east southeast into the region.

A second low is developing well west of the area and is also expected to move eastwards in the next few days approaching 90E by the weekend.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
----------------------------------
Wednesday : High
Thursday : High
Friday : High


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148. vortfix

I would say LOL, but 200', that's not even funny, just dumb...They forgot about the big comet that will hit the ocean and melt, that ought to be good for at least 220...do I hear a bid for 240?
Member Since: September 2, 2008 Posts: 93 Comments: 30634

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About JeffMasters

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.