Honduras, Yemen struggle to recover from tropical cyclones; tropics remain quiet

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 1:51 PM GMT on October 29, 2008

Share this Blog
1
+

Rains have increased in northern Honduras over the past day, with 1-2 inches falling. Additional sporadic heavy rains of 1-2 inches per day are likely over the northern portion of the country through Saturday, as the tail end of a strong cold front interacts with the tropical moisture of the Caribbean. Tropical storm development is not likely in this area due to high wind shear.

The UKMET, NOGAPS, and ECMWF have all been pointing to the possible development of a tropical depression in the south central Caribbean Sea 6-7 days from now, off the coast of Nicaragua. I give a 40% chance that we will see a tropical depression form in the Caribbean 5-10 days from now--the upper level environment looks conducive for tropical cyclone development next week. A tropical wave, currently about 500 miles east of the Lesser Antilles Islands, is under high wind shear and is not a threat to develop.

Honduras struggles to recover from October floods
The situation in Honduras continues to be bad, due to ten days of heavy rains earlier this month from Tropical Depression 16 and a tropical disturbance. The flooding has left 33 dead, 16 missing, 40,000 homeless, and at least $150 million in damage in this impoverished nation of seven million people. The heavy rains this month have also killed seven in Costa Rica, five in Belize, six in Guatemala, four in Nicaragua, and four in El Salvador, for a total of 75 dead or missing.


Figure 1. Total rainfall from Tropical Cyclone 03B. Image credit: NASA TRMM.

Yemen cleans up after Cyclone 03B
In the Middle East, the nation of Yemen continues to recover from Cyclone 03B, which moved ashore October 23 as a tropical depression. Cyclone 03B dumped up to eight inches of rain (Figure 1) on the desert nation, which typically receives only a few inches of rain per year. The deluge from Cyclone 03B created destructive flooding that resulted in at least 180 deaths. The depression had an unusual amount of electrical activity, and nine deaths were due to lightning strikes. The Yemen cyclone is the fourth deadliest tropical cyclone of 2008. The three deadliest were Cyclone Nargis, which killed at least 146,000 people in Myanmar in May; Typhoon Fengshen, which capsized a ferry and killed approximately 1400 people in the Philippines June 19-21; and Hurricane Hanna, which killed 537 people, mostly on Haiti.

October summary of portlight.org Hurricane Ike relief efforts
Beginning balance on October 1, 2008: $11,000
Donations received: $3,800
Total available: $14,900

Expenditures:
Icepilot: $365 (fuel)

Software: $385 (Windows software to better facilitate communication with donors)

Scholarship: $950 to a wheelchair-bound Galveston college student who lost her job at a hotel in Galveston due to the destruction. The scholarship enabled her to finish the semester, which she otherwise would not have been able to do.

Last week's trip: $,(fuel, insurance, crew meals, and lodging enroute (they stayed with and were fed by EmmyRose while there), pizza and drinks for the Saturday meal on the Bolivar Peninsula. This mission delivered over $200,000 in donated supplies.

Supplies: $2,200 (this includes some last minute materials which had been requested but which we couldn't get donated, as well as all the supplies needed to repatriate BillyBadBird to his home place on the Bolivar Peninsula).

Ramps: $1,750 (building materials for reconstruction of ramps at over a dozen disability service organizations)

Salary for Stormjunkie: $1,800. He has put in four 60 hour weeks on this project, plus made two trips to the area. This project couldn't have been done without his hard work.

Total spent in October: $11,350

Remaining balance: $3,550

Escrow: beginning balance: $8,950
Expenditures: $1,500 Legal fees
Remaining funds: $7,450

Support the Portlight Christmas for Gulf Coast Kids Honor Walk
Portlight is sponsoring a new nationwide grassroots event to raise funds for and awareness of their ongoing efforts, specifically to provide Christmas presents (and maybe a big party) for kids and families in devastated Gulf coast areas. Paul Timmons (Presslord) of Portlight has pulled out all the stops in an effort to promote this effort, to the point of posing in woman's clothing. I am supposed to threaten to leave up this truly frightening photo until y'all cough up enough donations to give the people of the hurricane zone a proper Christmas.

Alternatively, committing to a monthly donation--no matter how large or small--will help them build a dependable revenue source, enabling continued operations in the most efficient and effective manner possible. 



I'll have an update Friday (or Thursday, if there's a major development to report). Happy Halloween!

Jeff Masters

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

or Join

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 684 - 634

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14Blog Index

684. Seastep
7:55 PM GMT on June 26, 2009
675 above

Quoting cchsweatherman:
Been soul-searching over the past week and have been through war in my mind. Through this, I have discovered that I have so much that I need to straighten out mentally. So, I have made the difficult decision to step aside from weather forecasting indefinitely and will not be updating my website for quite some time. Just send me a message if you have any response since I don't want comments to clog the blog. I hope you will all understand this move. Have a great weekend and look forward to returning in the future.
Member Since: September 9, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 3414
683. Seastep
7:55 PM GMT on June 26, 2009
469 above

Quoting cchsweatherman:
Been soul-searching over the past week and have been through war in my mind. Through this, I have discovered that I have so much that I need to straighten out mentally. So, I have made the difficult decision to step aside from weather forecasting indefinitely and will not be updating my website for quite some time. Just send me a message if you have any response since I don't want comments to clog the blog. I hope you will all understand this move. Have a great night and look forward to returning in the future.
Member Since: September 9, 2008 Posts: 6 Comments: 3414
682. Skyepony (Mod)
1:12 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Happy Halloween people:)

Still scarey in Honduras as rain won't stop. 24hr acumulations.

I know I've been MIA for near a month now. Took some time to play in the forest which always brings on some soul searching. Realized how spoiled I've become on the satalite views but within a week I could just watch it real time outside & get an overall sense of the big picture for the east without the need of satalite verification..like I used too.

cchs~ enjoy your time away:)
Member Since: August 10, 2005 Posts: 161 Comments: 37359
681. TampaSpin
1:12 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
My dad had to replace many mailboxes when i was young.......had some friends that loved to pick on each other.......lol
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
680. Bonedog
1:07 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Wasnt doing steel but am using concrete. Using an old plastic mailbox as a form, pouring concrete over small rebar, then building my wooden mailbox around that. Basically will look like your average mailbox until.. well you described it above :)
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
679. RTLSNK
1:03 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
672 - Bonedog

Years ago, a friend of mine had the same trouble, teenagers with baseball bats were doing it, they would do a drive by with one of them hanging out the rear window with the bat. After losing two mailboxes, the guys at his shop at Eglin AFB made him an 18guage steel box welded to a 3 in gal pipe, and came out after dark and concreted it in the ground. Two nights later they heard wood splintering and screaming, the cops found the kid at the emergency room with bones sticking out of his wrists! Never happened again.
Member Since: September 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 20626
678. Bonedog
1:02 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Morning Tampa
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
677. TampaSpin
12:57 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Good morning everyone....its a very cold 61 here this morning.......lol
Member Since: September 2, 2007 Posts: 178 Comments: 20439
676. theshepherd
12:55 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
mornin all
Wanted to repost my warning from last night...keep it going throughout day, please.
Gotta get ready to run to Orlando and Trick o' Treat with the grand youngins'.
****Candy warning****
Canadian Food Insp Agency has recalled Sherwood brand "Pirates Gold Chocolate Coins" as they contain Melamine....Do not eat !!!!
*************************************

Peace and love
Have a safe "good ol'fashion Halloween"
Member Since: September 11, 2008 Posts: 9 Comments: 10077
675. cchsweatherman
12:55 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Been soul-searching over the past week and have been through war in my mind. Through this, I have discovered that I have so much that I need to straighten out mentally. So, I have made the difficult decision to step aside from weather forecasting indefinitely and will not be updating my website for quite some time. Just send me a message if you have any response since I don't want comments to clog the blog. I hope you will all understand this move. Have a great weekend and look forward to returning in the future.
Member Since: April 14, 2007 Posts: 8 Comments: 5163
674. CaicosRetiredSailor
12:53 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Morning all,
Lots of rain in T&C overnight and this am...
More than I would have guessed by looking at Satellite photo.
Bar. high w/ ENE wind 8-10 mph
Member Since: July 12, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 5997
673. Bonedog
12:49 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
LOL Listening to you girls talk about riding in the jungles makes me remeber my vacation to DR and riding, well more like holding on for dear life, on the beach
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
672. Bonedog
12:48 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Thanks surfmom ;)

Looks like a day spent in the shed making a new one this weekend.

I will add a little surprise to this one though hehehehehe
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
671. surfmom
12:46 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Wish I could take the ride w/you -- we had wonderful experiences exploring the sierra madre mts., PuertaVallerta... and riding in Costa Rica -- keeps you close and in contact w/the land.... was the best way to see Monkeys in CR
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
670. conchygirl
12:44 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Quoting surfmom:
Oh yes... I know you like nakey toes.... NO Sandals while riding...sneaks do fine
too funny, I have actually ridden in sandals but this will be a long ride so will wear old running shoes. Work is calling, check back later.
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
669. surfmom
12:43 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
surfmom just gave the little rats that trashed your mailbox...... "stink-eye"..... karma will take it from here
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
668. surfmom
12:42 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Conchy, Oh yes... I know you like nakey toes.... NO Sandals while riding...sneaks do fine
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
667. Bonedog
12:42 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Yea it does NE. Morning BTW. Sometime betwen 4am and 6am when the wife woke up.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
666. Bonedog
12:41 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
I am I made the mailbox over the summer. 2 weeks worth of work destroyed for some morons laughter.

UGH I am so mad right now.

BRB need a smoke now.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
665. conchygirl
12:39 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Surfmom - jeans are packed. Good idea about the carrotts - have to see if the cruise ship will provide some to me, what a nice thought!
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
664. NEwxguy
12:38 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
GM,all,23 deg. this morning,but should be a nice evening for all the little devils tonight,sounds like you had a few devils around your house,Bone
Member Since: September 6, 2007 Posts: 874 Comments: 15595
663. conchygirl
12:38 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Quoting Bonedog:
DAMN thought I made it through Mischeif Night unscathed.. wife just called and said the mailbox is smashed to bits. Must have happened after I left for work this morning. Little Bast@rds.
That is horrible! My husband would be so pi....ed!
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
662. surfmom
12:36 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Be sure to wear jeans on the horseback ride -- don't want stir-ups chafing raw skin --also if you can snitch some apples or carrots and bring them with you -- (ask the owners first) but nice to treat your ride after they have worked (and have no bits in their mouth)
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
661. Bonedog
12:34 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
DAMN thought I made it through Mischeif Night unscathed.. wife just called and said the mailbox is smashed to bits. Must have happened after I left for work this morning. Little Bast@rds.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
660. largeeyes
12:34 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
How much do we have to pay to never see that picture again?
Member Since: August 22, 2006 Posts: 0 Comments: 1451
659. Bonedog
12:29 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Cold but clear this morning shaping up to be a nice day.

Yea hoping to get a few kids at the door tonight we'll see. Some years more than others =)
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
658. conchygirl
12:28 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Morning Norfolk - sounds like a great project you are working on and quite worthwhile. I'll check out the link. Actually, we'll be horseback riding in Belize - 3 hour ride so hoping to see some great countryside!
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
657. TheCaneWhisperer
12:27 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Morning All.

Yeah, the 06ZGFS shifted again. Have to see if the information loaded 12Z does the same.

84hr 00ZCMC



120hr 00ZUKMET

UKMET is a little slower with the evolution, mainly because it is showing a rather significant system taking shape in the Western Caribbean. CMC is much faster with the Bahama's low.
656. conchygirl
12:27 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Quoting Bonedog:
morning conchy
Morning Bone - how's your weather this beautiful Friday! Looking forward to the little ghoals this evening.
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
655. pottery
12:26 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
LOL Conchy. But bone, Rob and Logic beat me too it this morn.
The heavy rain here woke me at 6, to close some windows...
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24033
654. Bonedog
12:26 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
and for you Celts Happy Samhain
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
653. Bonedog
12:25 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
no problem Pottery

Morning Spicy and Happy All Hallows Eve to you too
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
652. norfolknob
12:24 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Conchygirl, have a lovely time in "Da jooell" - Belize. I don't dive, snorkel occasionally, and fish. Hope you will get good visability - the forecast is for pretty nice weather. Evenings are chilly atm so bring sweater.

I run a relaxed small resort, Steppingstones (2 cabanas)mainly for fishing in a very remote spot. It's a retirement business, most of my time I spend working managing the local school as a volunteer. Husband Chris is working on a big erosion project here, trying to get the government to act on erosion of the nearby village caused by water extraction - 20 homes under immediate threat from the sea. Signatures on our petition always welcome! Link
651. conchygirl
12:23 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Quoting pottery:
Thanks, Bone.
Pottery - you were here late last night too! And looks like you were the early bird this am! LOL
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
650. SpicyAngel1072
12:22 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Happy Halloween to all!!!
Member Since: September 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 315
649. pottery
12:20 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Thanks, Bone.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24033
648. RTLSNK
12:18 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Good morning morning crew, temp in Macon,Ga at 34 F, 92% wet air. Earth is rocking and rolling allright, earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter shows yesterdays numbers, 23 at 2.5 and above for southern Calif, 15 at 2.5 and above for Alaska. That seems to be a lot of rocking and rolling for one day!
Member Since: September 3, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 20626
647. Bonedog
12:16 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
morning conchy
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
646. Bonedog
12:16 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
pottery to answer your question about the earthquakes not near plate boundries


EARTHQUAKES IN THE STABLE CONTINENTAL REGION
Most of North America east of the Rocky Mountains has infrequent earthquakes. Here and there earthquakes are more numerous, for example in the New Madrid seismic zone centered on southeastern Missouri, in the Charlevoix-Kamouraska seismic zone of eastern Quebec, in New England, in the New York - Philadelphia - Wilmington urban corridor, and elsewhere. However, most of the enormous region from the Rockies to the Atlantic can go years without an earthquake large enough to be felt, and several U.S. states have never reported a damaging earthquake. The earthquakes that do occur strike anywhere at irregular intervals.

Earthquakes east of the Rocky Mountains, although less frequent than in the West, are typically felt over a much broader region. East of the Rockies, an earthquake can be felt over an area as much as ten times larger than a similar magnitude earthquake on the west coast. A magnitude 4.0 eastern U.S. earthquake typically can be felt at many places as far as 100 km (60 mi) from where it occurred, and it infrequently causes damage near its source. A magnitude 5.5 eastern U.S. earthquake usually can be felt as far as 500 km (300 mi) from where it occurred, and sometimes causes damage as far away as 40 km (25 mi).


from the USGS
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
645. conchygirl
12:10 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Morning All: Weather warming up today - 68 this morning. Like those 40 mornings best.
Member Since: June 11, 2008 Posts: 24 Comments: 5910
644. surfmom
12:10 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
TampaSpin mentioned some concern for the west coast/earthquakes per what he viewed on the map in the next few weeks. I'm clueless on this --so I am observing.
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
643. surfmom
12:08 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Been up drinking coffee since 5:30am -- no wonder I'm zooming already
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
642. surfmom
12:07 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Oh yes Pottery -- these projects do work.... when you watch something come to life.... you become bonded.....you become it's Shepard.... I just LOVE the idea....
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
641. surfmom
12:05 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
636 - TERRIFIC project Pottery - really, really like the concept.....going to file that one.

Seed projects are important... especially since Monsanto is trying to buy up and patten seeds -- thus control world food stock.

I see that what you speak about is different then food stocks -- but it will make the kids aware of the value of seeds
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
640. surfmom
12:02 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
aloha Bonedog
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
639. pottery
12:01 PM GMT on October 31, 2008
Looking at the earthquake maps. There are no plate boundaries there. Why is it moving around ??
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24033
638. pottery
11:59 AM GMT on October 31, 2008
........the idea is to get the young ones to notice, understand, and hopefully love the forest, so when they grow up they will protect the forest. The kids enthusiasm for the project is a real upper.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24033
637. Bonedog
11:52 AM GMT on October 31, 2008
this pic shows they were almost inline with each other



and also almost exactly 12hrs apart.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
636. pottery
11:51 AM GMT on October 31, 2008
LOL Surfmom. Its true. Have not seen her for 4 dam days. She is in the south of the Island, judging a primary school Seed Collection project.
It was her idea, so they roped her in. Funded by a big Gas producer here. The kids go into the forest, collect seeds, ID them, Germinate them, and do a workbook on their experience. Lots of drawing and stuff.
Now she is talking about getting container-loads of forest seeds, and going to Haiti....
She is having a blast.
All is well.
Member Since: October 24, 2005 Posts: 0 Comments: 24033
635. Bonedog
11:49 AM GMT on October 31, 2008
Oklahoma had one yesterday also same size as Texas



Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
634. Bonedog
11:47 AM GMT on October 31, 2008
Morning surfmom
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418

Viewing: 684 - 634

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.