Marco is born

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 9:42 PM GMT on October 06, 2008

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Surprising Tropical Storm Marco has burst onto the scene in the extreme southern portion of the Gulf of Mexico. In just five hours, the tiny storm has spun up to near hurricane strength, a remarkable rapid intensification feat. Visible satellite loops show a tiny storm with a concentrated area of heavy thunderstorms, moving west-northwest at about 10 mph. In another example of why we need the Hurricane Hunters, an Air Force airplane that scrambled to fly Marco with little advance notice found top winds of 65 mph and a 998 mb pressure at 4:19 pm EDT. Satellite estimates using the traditional Dvorak Technique were still classifying Marco as a tropical depression with 35 mph winds this afternoon. It currently appears that Marco is not strengthening, as the latest pass by the Hurricane Hunters through the eye at 5:19 pm EDT found no change in pressure, and peak surface winds of about 60 mph.


Figure 1. Current satellite image Marco.

Marco won't be over water long, but its recent shift to a more northwesterly track may keep the storm over water long enough to allow it to become a Category 1 hurricane.

Hurricane Ike relief efforts
The need is still great for relief in the regions hard-hit by Hurricane Ike. Please consider donating to the relief effort started by wunderground members Patrap, Presslord, and Stormjunkie. Contributions to this portlight.org charity fund are fully tax-deductible, and will go to provide relief supplies for those smaller communities typically bypassed by the traditional relief efforts. More details can be found at StormJunkie's blog.

Jeff Masters

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458. SpicyAngel1072
1:57 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting WxLogic:
Morning FL..., Spicy...


morning :)
Member Since: September 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 315
457. SpicyAngel1072
1:56 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting Bonedog:
morning spicy


good morning Bone!
Member Since: September 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 315
456. SpicyAngel1072
1:56 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting fmbill:


Good morning.

BTW...I love the Steelers logo. True to form, it was another nail-biter Sunday night, but they pulled it off.


thank you! sorry it took me so long to reply. at work and have to flip back and forth...sometimes I can't get back for awhile..
Member Since: September 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 315
455. Orcasystems
1:38 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
New blog
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
454. surfmom
1:37 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting Bonedog:
great orgs both of them :)
..I've been trying to think of a way to approach Surfrider in regards to Portlight.
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
453. surfmom
1:35 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
aweatherlover ...goodness, I don't know -- I think other then some TS out there we are waiting on the cold fronts. but... you can always go out and paddle, then you are good and ready for when the waves come. I found the discipline has really helped ie IKE. I am going to try and keep the routine even when it gets cold and i have to wear a wetsuit.

cool thing was the other day I was out and two amorous manatee's were courting. They were so occupied they really didn't concern themselves w/me. getting out there you get to experience neat stuff too.
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
452. Bonedog
1:33 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
great orgs both of them :)
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
451. katlbeach
1:32 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting fmbill:


Good morning.

BTW...I love the Steelers logo. True to form, it was another nail-biter Sunday night, but they pulled it off.


grrrr - steelers - we let them steal it from us
Member Since: September 22, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 42
450. surfmom
1:30 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Ohhh Wow - I am a surfrider member too! It's my birthday present to me and to give thanks to the ocean every year ...of courses now I have to add Portlight to the equation -- helps keep me guilt free
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
449. AWeatherLover
1:29 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Surf report for Upham says flat and poor conditions for the next 3 days. Needs a good NW swell to really pick up there. When can W Central FL expect the next swell? Been flat for a while...
Member Since: November 2, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 431
448. Bonedog
1:28 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
sure thing both came off the net. credit the real source not I

right click the images to view source.


I know what you mean about being ashamed. Being part of the Surfrider foundation and doing the monthly beach cleanups and can't believe how wasteful and disrespectful folks are of our world and environment.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
447. surfmom
1:23 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
441 - Bonedog OMG OMG..........I get so ashamed of being human when I see stuff like that. can I take that picture and attached to the e-mail when I write the editorial??
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
446. zoomiami
1:21 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Good morning - today's chuckle - the front that moved south, rained, moved north, rained, it suppose to move south, and yep - rain!

Good thing that nothing developed off the tails of this, or we would have baby storms all over the place.
Member Since: August 13, 2007 Posts: 10 Comments: 4158
445. Bonedog
1:21 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
444. surfmom
1:21 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Kinda down the road a bit....hope it doesn't screw up my road trip to secret spot on the the East coast.......
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
443. Orcasystems
1:21 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting surfmom:
Orca Ya think???? I looked..... just don't want to get skunked...again. And in respect to recipients of 'canes I repress any glee (at least I try)


Go and watch this
CMC 00Z..
For those who think the CMC is garbage..its the only model that picked up Marco
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
442. KBH
1:21 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting stoormfury:
morning
interesting flare up of convection 700miles east of barbados. a little rotation noted near 12.5 n. no upperlevel wind data at the moment and QS missed the area this morning

Storm, do you have a link, for some strange reason all my noaa links to that area are gone!..hmm..
Member Since: August 28, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 278
441. Bonedog
1:20 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
High Island Texas after IKE

Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
440. surfmom
1:19 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Orca Ya think???? I looked..... just don't want to get skunked...again. And in respect to recipients of 'canes I repress any glee (at least I try)
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
439. Orcasystems
1:16 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
This is the one that tracks up and goes to the east coast of Florida

Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
438. Bonedog
1:13 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
LOL surfmom.

Time for the cross training LOL

well your weather and temps sound better then mine. woke up to clear skys and 29.9 degrees with frost on the grass. Tonight forcasted to be a hard freeze with temps in the mid 20s.

Cant wait for florida now :) 11 days and counting.

Still searching the net for fireball pics but no luck.

I will check the sat pics for the Gulf to see if the spills are evident.
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
437. Orcasystems
1:13 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting surfmom:
I think there's one more out there this year.... just a feeling......

Look at #421
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
436. Orcasystems
1:12 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting surfmom:
433 -- the surfboard NEVER gets really put away. Took it out of my car to bait the fates.....


I would not be surprised if you have lots of waves in the next 6-10 days.. and rain
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
435. surfmom
1:10 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
I think there's one more out there this year.... just a feeling......
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
434. surfmom
1:10 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
433 -- the surfboard NEVER gets really put away. Took it out of my car to bait the fates.....
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
433. Orcasystems
1:08 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting surfmom:
East Wind at 5;10 No swell, Flat - Gulf temp 78 degree's (brrr) Now a thicker long sleeve rash guard. MiniMarcos is not going to send any wave action my way.

Time to diversify - pull out the kayaks, work harder on the running, paddle the buoys, and wait patiently for cold fronts.....

Beautiful Sunrise this morning --hmmmm lots of pink in the sky -- and I've got a 60percent chance of rain --which today I kinda don't want -- Got to work horses this afternoon, and if the grass is wet -- it's not good too slippery


I don't think I would be taking down any shutters are putting away the boards just yet....
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
432. lawntonlookers
1:07 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Good morning everyone.

Marco sure is a small TS in size, but the winds are probably concentrated and heading straight for Tecolutla, MX. I am sure those living there will not think it was small.
Member Since: March 22, 2006 Posts: 9 Comments: 1570
431. surfmom
1:07 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting Bonedog:
Thanks surfmom.

Hows things down your way?
East Wind at 5;10 No swell, Flat - Gulf temp 78 degree's (brrr) Now a thicker long sleeve rash guard. MiniMarcos is not going to send any wave action my way.

Time to diversify - pull out the kayaks, work harder on the running, paddle the buoys, and wait patiently for cold fronts.....

Beautiful Sunrise this morning --hmmmm lots of pink in the sky -- and I've got a 60percent chance of rain --which today I kinda don't want -- Got to work horses this afternoon, and if the grass is wet -- it's not good too slippery
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
430. surfmom
1:03 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
420lickitysplit -- I read that piece -- makes me sick....wondering if that pollution shows up in any Satellite Pictures....Going to use that information to write an editiorial to the Paper against more rigs in the Gulf.
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
429. Bonedog
1:01 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Thanks surfmom.

Hows things down your way?
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
428. Cotillion
12:59 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting Orcasystems:
Hmmmmm


"Look at them! Little ducks... *All* in a row..."
Member Since: August 23, 2008 Posts: 7 Comments: 5300
427. surfmom
12:58 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
388 Bonedog -- whoaaaa - amazing
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
426. Orcasystems
12:58 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Complete Refresh Blog
Mirror Site
Tropical Storm ... MARCO
Present Satellite picture ... MARCO
Area of Interest ... Eastern Caribbean
Present Satellite picture Caribbean Sea
Present Satellite picture BOC/Caribbean/GOM
Present Satellite picture Atlantic Train
Present Satellite picture Cape Verde
CMC ... Caribbean & BOC flaring up (Hour 36)
CMC ... Atlantic (Hour 96)
CMC ... Caribbean (Hour 180)
CMC ... Florida (Hour 216)
CMC ... Very Busy(Hour 240)
CMC 00Z..
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
425. spncnewbie
12:57 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting Orcasystems:
Hmmm Twins?


Click to enlarge

I shall call him "mini-me"
424. WxLogic
12:56 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting Orcasystems:
Hmmmmm


Indeed... CMC did a great job with Marco, unlike other Global models that completely failed to pick it up. So I'm not discounting that possibility at all.
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
423. surfmom
12:55 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting leftovers:
heres a bone what do you think of that area sw of jamaica? need to see the visiable.
that's not a bone...that's a cookie
Member Since: July 18, 2007 Posts: 30 Comments: 26536
422. Bonedog
12:52 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
amazingly there are no images on the net yet of the fireball. Must have been a busy night for the viralnetters
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
421. Orcasystems
12:52 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Hmmmmm
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
420. lickitysplit
12:51 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
"Hurricane Ike's winds and massive waves destroyed oil platforms, tossed storage tanks and punctured pipelines. The environmental damage only now is becoming apparent: At least a half million gallons of crude oil spilled into the Gulf of Mexico and the marshes, bayous and bays of Louisiana and Texas, according to an analysis of federal data by The Associated Press. ... In the days before and after the deadly storm, companies and residents reported at least 448 releases of oil, gasoline and dozens of other substances into the air and water and onto the ground in Louisiana and Texas. "

Link
Member Since: May 17, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 632
419. WxLogic
12:49 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Morning FL..., Spicy...
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
418. Bonedog
12:46 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
mornin dart
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
417. FLDART1
12:41 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Morning all
Member Since: August 4, 2007 Posts: 0 Comments: 201
416. Orcasystems
12:37 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Hmmm Twins?


Click to enlarge
Member Since: October 1, 2007 Posts: 81 Comments: 26516
415. Bonedog
12:30 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
morning spicy
Member Since: July 14, 2005 Posts: 14 Comments: 7418
414. fmbill
12:26 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting SpicyAngel1072:
Good morning all!!



Good morning.

BTW...I love the Steelers logo. True to form, it was another nail-biter Sunday night, but they pulled it off.
Member Since: May 27, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 469
413. SpicyAngel1072
12:24 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Good morning all!!

Member Since: September 1, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 315
412. fmbill
12:20 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting stoormfury:
morning
interesting flare up of convection 700miles east of barbados. a little rotation noted near 12.5 n. no upperlevel wind data at the moment and QS missed the area this morning


Is that the area the UKMET wants to spin something up?

Link
Member Since: May 27, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 469
411. fmbill
12:17 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
The 06z GFS also shows a low developing in the carribean, crossing Cuba, and coming up the east coast of Florida.

Link
Member Since: May 27, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 469
410. TropicTraveler
12:13 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting Bonedog:
Also morning all.

to the folks that like to follow space news...

At 0246 UT asteroid 2008TC3 exploded in the atmosphere over northern Sudan like a kiloton of TNT and creating a fireball as bright as a full Moon. Most of the 3-meter-wide asteroid would have vaporized in the atmosphere with only small pieces possibly reaching the ground as meteorites.
Link
This is a really cool link. Thanks.
Member Since: July 24, 2007 Posts: 2 Comments: 927
409. WxLogic
12:11 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
Quoting stoormfury:
morning
interesting flare up of convection 700miles east of barbados. a little rotation noted near 12.5 n. no upperlevel wind data at the moment and QS missed the area this morning


Current SFC/Ship reports don't show a close low associated with this convection as it is showing it as an open wave, but it seems to be amplying a bit and it could become a close low if conditions permit.
Member Since: August 14, 2008 Posts: 4 Comments: 5038
408. fmbill
12:10 PM GMT on October 07, 2008
I know we're still talking about Marco, but have you seen the 00z ECMWF?

Link
Member Since: May 27, 2008 Posts: 0 Comments: 469

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Jeff co-founded the Weather Underground in 1995 while working on his Ph.D. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990.

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