Laura headed north; Western Caribbean worth watching
Subtropical Storm Laura is headed north over colder water, and is not a threat to any land areas. Visible satellite images show that Laura has most of its heavy thunderstorm activity in a band removed several hundred miles from the center, a trait characteristic of subtropical storms. It is probably too late for the storm to make the transition to a tropical storm. By Saturday, the remnants of Laura are likely to be a powerful extratropical storm that could bring 50 mph winds to the British Isles.
Figure 1. Latest satellite image of Laura.
Western Caribbean disturbance
Thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure over the Western Caribbean waters are weak and disorganized. However, the NOGAPS and UKMET models are predicting this activity may start to organize by Saturday or Sunday, so we will need to watch the Western Caribbean this week. If a tropical depression did develop, it would likely stay in the Western Caribbean for a number of days, moving very slowly.
Hurricane Ike portlight.org charity relief efforts
I spent most of the day yesterday coming up to speed on the efforts of the Hurricane Ike portlight.org charity relief efforts spearheaded by Patrap, Presslord, and StormJunkie. I haven't finished writing up a full summary of the effort, but I have found that our donations dollars have been well-spent. All of those involved have done a great amount of outstanding volunteer work. I'll have more details in my next post.
Jeff Masters
Reader Comments
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The storm surge is what did most of the damage, not the winds. The residents were saying that the media was not mentioning the storm surge at all.
LOL - Sure... will be right there (hehe)
RE:936. CharFranJean04
It was terribly frustrating for those of us who read the blog here, to know that it was a tragedy in the making, and that the info was not getting to the folks who needed to know - and that all we could do was watch it unfold.
I know you must be heart-sick. I cannot tell you how much I admire you for what you do. Will keep all in my thoughts and prayers.
Portlight
Red Cross
Salvation Army
Nothing of note with buoys in the Caribbean - I am off to work in a moment - Have a wunderful day, folks
Excellent!! Thanks - copied and pasted to notebook to work on when I get home for work.
Yes! e-mail is play_to_learn@hotmail.com
Our local NWS Office made a big deal about the storm storm, while some of the national media appeared (at least in my opinion) to question some of the verbage the NWS was using in its local hurricane statements...
MAXIMUM WATER LEVELS FORECAST:
GULF-FACING COASTLINE WEST OF SARGENT...5 TO 8 FEET
SHORELINE OF MATAGORDA BAY...4 TO 7 FEET
GULF-FACING COASTLINE SARGENT TO HIGH ISLAND
INCLUDING GALVESTON ISLAND......12 TO 16 FEET
SHORELINE OF GALVESTON BAY...15 TO 25 FEET
LIFE THREATENING INUNDATION LIKELY!
ALL NEIGHBORHOODS...AND POSSIBLY ENTIRE COASTAL COMMUNITIES...
WILL BE INUNDATED DURING THE PERIOD OF PEAK STORM TIDE. PERSONS
NOT HEEDING EVACUATION ORDERS IN SINGLE FAMILY ONE OR TWO STORY
HOMES MAY FACE CERTAIN DEATH. MANY RESIDENCES OF AVERAGE
CONSTRUCTION DIRECTLY ON THE COAST WILL BE DESTROYED. WIDESPREAD
AND DEVASTATING PERSONAL PROPERTY DAMAGE IS LIKELY ELSEWHERE.
VEHICLES LEFT BEHIND WILL LIKELY BE SWEPT AWAY. NUMEROUS ROADS
WILL BE SWAMPED...SOME MAY BE WASHED AWAY BY THE WATER. ENTIRE
FLOOD PRONE COASTAL COMMUNITIES WILL BE CUTOFF. WATER LEVELS MAY
EXCEED 9 FEET FOR MORE THAN A MILE INLAND. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN
MULTI-STORY FACILITIES RISK BEING CUTOFF. CONDITIONS WILL BE
WORSENED BY BATTERING WAVES CLOSER TO THE COAST. SUCH WAVES
WILL EXACERBATE PROPERTY DAMAGE...WITH MASSIVE DESTRUCTION OF
HOMES...INCLUDING THOSE OF BLOCK CONSTRUCTION. DAMAGE FROM
BEACH EROSION COULD TAKE YEARS TO REPAIR.
I'm not saying you're wrong, I'm just wondering why those people are telling you that the storm surge was never mentioned. I remember the media making quite an issue of the Houston/Galveston NWS Office's "may face certain death" statement.
I know you're just volunteering your time to help these people in need. But those persons telling you this should go directly to the source if possible. In other wors, don't just sit back and tune in to the local television stations for all of their info. They probably need to be more aggressive and attempt to find out what the NHC and their respective local NWS offices are saying with respect to the storm.
I understand 90% of the residents don't take this approach and simply sit back and rely on what the local television stations are 'passing' along from local city and state officials. I have no problem with doing this. However, if you live in an area that is susceptable to the multi-faceted dangers of a hurricane, then you really need to be educated and up-to-speed on where to find the latest and credible info regarding a potential theatening storm. Just relying on local news conferences for all of your storm information is not a wise approach in my opinion.
How many people mentioned this ?
I just thought this bears repeating!
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