Ike's record storm surge pushing into Texas

By: Dr. Jeff Masters , 3:26 PM GMT on September 12, 2008

Share this Blog
6
+

Hurricane Ike is closing in on Texas, and stands poised to become one of the most damaging hurricanes of all time. Despite Ike's rated Category 2 strength, the hurricane is much larger and more powerful than Category 5 Katrina or Category 5 Rita. The storm surge from Ike could rival Katrina's, inundating a 200-mile stretch of coast from Galveston to Cameron, Louisiana with waters over 15 feet high. This massive storm surge is due to the exceptional size of Ike. According to the latest wind field estimate (Figure 1), the diameter of Ike's tropical storm and hurricane force winds are 550 and 240 miles, respectively. For comparison, Katrina numbers at landfall were 440 and 210 miles, respectively. As I discussed in yesterday's blog entry, a good measure of the storm surge potential is Integrated Kinetic Energy (IKE). Ike continues to grow larger and has intensified slightly since yesterday, and the hurricane's Integrated Kinetic Energy has increased from 134 to 149 Terajoules. This is 30% higher than Katrina's total energy at landfall. All this extra energy has gone into piling up a vast storm surge that will probably be higher than anything in recorded history along the Texas coast. Storm surge heights of 20-25 feet are possible from Galveston northwards to the Louisiana border. The Texas storm surge record is held by Hurricane Carla of 1961. Carla was a Category 4 hurricane with 145 mph winds at landfall, and drove a 10 foot or higher storm surge to a 180-mile stretch of Texas coast. A maximum storm surge of 22 feet was recorded at Port Lavaca, Texas.


Figure 1. Experimental wind field analysis for Ike at 9:30 am EDT 09/12/08. The area of hurricane force winds is inside the heavy black line where the yellow color begins (64 knots). The area of tropical storm force winds is inside the heavy black line at 35 knots (turquoise colors). The total Integrated Kinetic Energy was 149 Terajoules, which makes Ike's storm surge potential a 5.4 on a scale of 1 to 6. Image credit: NOAA Hurricane Research Division.

The forecast
Ike's small inner eyewall has completely collapsed, leaving Ike with no eyewall. Creation of a new eyewall is being hampered by some dry air to the storm's west, and the presence of about 10 knots of wind shear. However, Ike is beginning to look better organized on satellite imagery, and may still intensify by 5-10 mph before landfall. Ike will not inflict extreme wind damage like Katrina's or Rita's. The big story with Ike will be the storm surge.

Ike's winds
An oil rig in Ike's path measured sustained winds of 125 mph, at 6:45 am CDT. Lower winds of 105 mph were occurring at the surface, since the rig is at an elevation of 400 feet. The Hurricane Hunters are still reporting maximum winds of 105 mph over a large region of the surface.

Ike's storm surge
According to the NOAA tide gauges, storm tides along the Mississippi coast peaked at about 6 feet above normal yesterday, with a 7 foot storm tide observed on the east side of New Orleans at Shell Beach in Lake Borgne. At 10 am CDT, storm tides of 5-6 feet were being seen in western Louisiana, and were 5 feet at Freeport, Texas, and 5.5 feet at Galveston. According to the latest NWS forecast from the Galveston office, we can expect the following storm surges in Texas:

Gulf-facing coastline west of Sargent... 4 to 6 feet

Shoreline of Matagorda Bay... 2 to 5 feet

Gulf-facing coastline from Sargent to San Luis Pass... 12 to 15 feet

Gulf-facing coastline San Luis Pass to High Island including Galveston Island... ... 15 to 20 feet

Shoreline of Galveston Bay...15 to 25 feet

NOAA's experimental storm surge forecast is calling for a 10% chance that the storm tide from Ike will reach 27-30 feet on the south and east sides of Houston. The exact track of Ike is key in determining if Galveston's 17-foot sea wall gets overtopped, flooding the city. A slight wobble 30 miles to the north of Galveston would put the city into offshore winds from Ike, possibly saving it from inundation. The situation is grim for Port Arthur, Texas, on the Louisiana border. The expected storm surge of 15-20 feet will overtop the city's seawall by six feet, resulting in flooding of the city and a number of major oil refineries. Expect a significant tightening of gas supplies in coming months, due to extensive damage to the oil refineries in the Houston and Port Arthur area.

Ike's winds in Houston and inland
Winds in the Houston metro area will increase to tropical storm force--39 mph--by about 4 pm CDT today, and remain that strong for about 24 hours. Category 1 hurricane force winds of about 75-85 mph will affect the city for about an 8-hour period from midnight to 8 am on Saturday. People in well-built homes will suffer only minor damage, but mobile homes and homes not build to code will suffer significant damage. The extremely long duration of the hurricane force winds will cause much greater damage than is typical for a hurricane of this strength.

Winds and damage in Houston should will be slightly greater than was experienced during Hurricane Alicia of 1983. Alica had higher winds at landfall, but was a smaller storm that weakened relatively quickly inland. Ike's damage will cover a much wider area and spread farther inland, due to the large size of the storm. During Alicia, Houston Hobby Airport on the south side of the city recorded top winds of 89 mph, gusting to 99 mph. The strongest winds recorded at Houston International Airport, on the north side of the city, were 51 mph, gusting to 78 mph. Winds from Ike will probably be sustained at 85-90 mph at Houston Hobby, and 75-80 mph at Houston International Airport.

A good guess on what kind of winds inland areas will experience can be had by using the Inland Wind Model developed by NOAA scientists Mark DeMaria and John Kaplan. This simple model shows the expected winds inland from the coast for the five Category hurricanes moving at different speeds. Plotted below (Figure 2) is the inland wind model plot that best fits the type of winds I expect will penetrate inland from Ike. I think Ike will be a strong Category 2 hurricane moving at about 15 mph at landfall, but the hurricane's strongest winds will penetrate farther inland than is typical due to the huge size of the storm. Thus, I picked a slightly stronger storm with a higher forward speed to base my inland wind estimate on. I expect hurricane force winds of 74 mph will penetrate about 110 miles inland, near the cities of Huntsville and Livingston to the north of Galveston, and not quite reaching Lufkin. We can expect Ike to cause the largest and longest-lived power outage in Texas history, with power knocked out along a 200-mile wide swath in eastern Texas and extreme western Louisiana extending 300 miles inland to I-20. Dallas will be at the fringe of the region of widespread power outages, and should not suffer major power failures.


Figure 2. Inland penetration of tropical storm and hurricane force winds from a Category 3 hurricane with 120 mph winds moving perpendicular to the Gulf Coast at a forward speed of 17 mph. Image credit: NOAA.

Tornadoes from Ike
Texas hurricanes have a history of producing strong tornadoes. Hurricane Alica spawned 23 tornadoes when it hit, including one strong F2 tornado. Hurricane Carla of 1961 unleashed 26 tornadoes, including the only violent F4 tornado ever spawned by a hurricane. The tornado hit Galveston, killing between 6 and 12 people.

Rain
Heavy rain from Ike will be the least of Texas' concerns, since the hurricane is not expected to stall, and will move quickly northwards out of the state by Sunday. The latest NOAA/HPC rain forecast (Figure 3) predicts the swath of heaviest rains of six inches or more will cover an area about 100 miles square.


Figure 3. Predicted 5-day rainfall totals along the path of Ike, beginning at 8am EDT Friday September 12, 2008. Image credit: NOAA Hydrometeorological Prediction Center.

For more information
I recommend Texas residents consult NHC's wind probability product to determine their odds of getting hurricane force winds.

For storm surge evacuation zone information, consult the Texas Division of Emergency Management.

For storm surge heights, consult our Storm surge risk for the Texas coast page.

Links to follow
Galveston, TX weather
Port Arthur, TX weather
Houston, TX weather
Tide gauges along the Gulf Coast
Long-range radar out of Galveston, TX
wundermap of weather stations near Ike
Buoy observations near Ike from the National Data Buoy Center.

Tropical disturbance 91L north of Puerto Rico
An area of disturbed weather (91L) is located a few hundred miles north of the Dominican Republic. Satellite loops show that 91L's heavy thunderstorm has shown a modest increase this morning, but these thunderstorm are not well organized and cover a limited area. This morning's QuikSCAT pass missed 91L, but last night's pass showed no evidence of a surface circulation, and none is apparent on visible satellite imagery.

The disturbance is under about 10 knots of wind shear, and is also having trouble with some dry air to the west. There is an upper-level low pressure just to the west of 91L that is creating shear and pumping dry air into the system, similar to the situation Hanna had to deal with in its formative stages. Shear is expected to remain 10-20 knots though Monday, which may allow some gradual development. None of the models are developing 91L, but the Bahamas can expect heavy rain and strong gusty wind over the next three days as 91L tracks west-northwest towards the east coast of Florida. NHC is giving this disturbance a low (<20% chance) of developing into a tropical depression by Sunday.

Jeff Masters

Very angry surf (mywrk)
Pensacola Beach when Ike was hundreds of miles south. And still no rain this week.
Very angry surf

Reader Comments

Comments will take a few seconds to appear.

Post Your Comments

Please sign in to post comments.

Sign In or Register Sign In or Register

Not only will you be able to leave comments on this blog, but you'll also have the ability to upload and share your photos in our Wunder Photos section.

Display: 0, 50, 100, 200 Sort: Newest First - Order Posted

Viewing: 177 - 127

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26Blog Index

177. SCAnne
4:16 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
here is a good link for live cameras and news feed. Link
for some reason they just showed two shrimps boats leave.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
176. gbundersea
4:22 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
(Re-posted, as the new blog popped up right after my initial post.)

I'm in Walker, LA, about 15 miles east of Baton Rouge. Even over here, we've had some gusty winds and heavy rains, albeit short, from Ike's outer bands. The power blinked a bit too!

Prior to Katrina, I lived in St. Bernard parish, and lost everything to to the storm (see the pics here) that didn't fit into our 2 cars when we left. Thankfully, we evacuated WELL in advance, and carried max flood insurance (even though it "wasn't required"). We never wanted to go through something like that again, which is why we moved to Walker following Katrina.

For Gustav, we were well-prepared, with a generator, a fully-boarded house, and large supplies of fuel, food, and water. I NEVER underestimate the power of nature, and hurricanes in particular.

I have friends in the Brazoria area, and pray for them and for all in Ike's path. Those who want to ride it out are foolish, and likely doomed.

Following Gustav, a Times-Picayune columnist in NOLA wrote a piece advocating staying home for a storm, and whining about the terrible hardship of evacuation. His blather, and my response, can be seen at this link. As I point out in my response, drivel like his helps convince people to stay home in the face of threats like Ike, resulting in a greater loss of life.

Everyone should have been out of Ike's path already, and those remaining had better leave while they still can. Their window is almost closed.

I agree with those who posted about great relief groups, such as the Red Cross and Salvation Army. If you know a Keller Williams agent affected by a disaster, make sure they're aware of KW Cares. It was a great help to us after Katrina.

After Gustav, I put together GustavHelp.com, a site designed to focus on the medium- to longer-term issues following a storm. I wanted to provide a short, simple list of helpful tips, agencies, contact info, etc. I based it largely on our own experiences following Katrina, and with the resources that helped us directly. It's a work in progress, so if you know of any really excellent links, sites, resources, etc. please tell me about them and I'll add them.

Also, a note of sincere thanks to Dr. Masters and to all who post valuable information on this blog. I used it well before Katrina, and it was a vital resource for that storm, for Gustav, and for now.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
175. LAgal78
4:22 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting bigdoge3:
IM SHOCKED I CANT BELIEVE THIS IM THINKING I MADE THE WRONG DECISION TO STAY HERE IN GALVESTON COUNTY IM HERE IN FRIENDSWOOD IM SPEECHLESS
I have just said a prayer for you. God bless.
174. whipster
12:19 PM CDT on September 12, 2008
Overtopping the Seawall now. Amazing.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
173. Hhunter
11:18 AM CDT on September 12, 2008
Link

storm w KHOU.. is one of them...this is the channel that dr. frank used work for and they are getting ready to bring him on..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
170. Patrap
11:19 AM CDT on September 12, 2008
We got more Tabs Opened today than a 70's Tupperware Party.

Ike has the Net bandwidths in a record nearly.
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 434 Comments: 133420
169. IKE
11:20 AM CDT on September 12, 2008
Quoting bigdoge3:
IM SHOCKED I CANT BELIEVE THIS IM THINKING I MADE THE WRONG DECISION TO STAY HERE IN GALVESTON COUNTY IM HERE IN FRIENDSWOOD IM SPEECHLESS


If you can still leave...go!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
168. Vero1
4:17 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Coast Guard is evacuating 22-50 people trapped on roof tops.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
167. quakeman55
4:20 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting bigdoge3:
IM SHOCKED I CANT BELIEVE THIS IM THINKING I MADE THE WRONG DECISION TO STAY HERE IN GALVESTON COUNTY IM HERE IN FRIENDSWOOD IM SPEECHLESS

There's still time to escape...get off the computer NOW and book it out of there! Don't waste time...go now!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
166. WetBankGuy
4:13 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting nola70119:


Rum?

Source?


No reports on WWL-AM 870 of levee breaks. Water in lower Lafitte area south of New Orlean well "inland" and outside of levees. Water in areas of levees all around eastern side. Flood gates closed on drainage canals but little rain here, just isolated but severe pops.

Terrebonne Parish 8.5' of water at the floodgate (Rita was 9.4" peak) in protected areas and high tide has passed. Water rising on the North Short of Lake Pontchartrain yet post high-tide.

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
165. spotsmom
11:12 AM CDT on September 12, 2008
Quoting 900MB:

Do you have a link to what you are watching?
Directv is channel 361. They did the same for Gustav. Good 24 hr coverage.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
164. presslord
12:17 PM EDT on September 12, 2008
SJ...ya mean "seems" trial...with an s at the end....right.... :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
163. chicagowatcher
4:16 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Good God, they haven't decided whether to evacuate the Galveston jail yet! Now, I don't want to sound soft on criminals, but there might be some drunk&disorderlies in there that have just had their sentences upgraded to the death penalty...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
162. IKE
11:17 AM CDT on September 12, 2008
Quoting AtmosphericWrath:


Ike, do you agree with my analysis?
All it will take it a bit more wrapping on the western side of COC and well... Ike is going to respond no doubt about it.


Question is...can it keep the dry-air out? Time will tell.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
161. quakeman55
4:15 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting system345:
do any of you guys think Ike will make it to major hurricane satus by landfall




Even if it does, it won't make very much difference at all in terms of the amount of damage it will do.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
160. duprk452
4:19 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
houmatoday.com, 107.5 radio station, wwltv news
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
159. bigdoge3
4:17 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
IM SHOCKED I CANT BELIEVE THIS IM THINKING I MADE THE WRONG DECISION TO STAY HERE IN GALVESTON COUNTY IM HERE IN FRIENDSWOOD IM SPEECHLESS
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
158. LAgal78
4:17 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting chicagowatcher:


I'm really sorry, but I'm seriously afraid that the scope of this disaster will be much bigger than that. The various news stations keep running into people who think they can't get away, won't get away... whatever. How many are still out there? And storm sewers as far as Houston are beginning to well up and flood roads, cutting people off... time may have already run out...
"Much bigger" as measured by whom? This is 22 human lives we are talking about. Father, brothers, sons, daughters...I can guarantee you, the families of those onboard would measure it to be the biggest catastrophe of their lives. I'm sure there will be other more "news worthy" stories, but every human life is important. Every single one.
157. KRL
4:16 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
156. AtmosphericWrath
4:15 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting CatastrophicDL:


Rob, I think Ike is rally going to have to work hard to hit a strong Cat 3. I'm not saying a 3 is completely out of the question, but Dvoraks are down, Link, really showing his weakening. He's going to have to bring his bands in tight and wrap much better in order to really intensify. But, he is definitely working on it! Good to see you this morning!


Hi, good morning to you also.
Well he still does have an uphill fight on his western COC, but unfortunately given the improved structure to his NE/E/SE sides it is now a possibility one could surmise.
I'm hoping not...
Thanks for the response glad you read my analysis. Looking forward to reading yours as well.

- Rob
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
155. Brillig
4:13 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting MichaelSTL:
Looks like Ike is trying to close off an eye...


Double eye? Circle within a pentagon. Interesting.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
154. Spoon
4:17 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
I just fixed the aspect for KHOU on non-IE browsers. ugh.. sorry about that, wasn't paying attention
http://www.maroonspoon.com/wx/ike.html
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
153. atmoaggie
4:11 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
This is likely the peak of the surge at Grand Isle. Note how Ike's surge from a hundred miles away very nearly equaled that of our pal Gus.



Also, a supporting argument for STL. At this point, any fluctuations in intensity will take time to manifest themselves in the motion of water. The surge is what it is and will not be changing much at all between now and landfall. Even if Ike suddenly weakened to a TS, the surge would still be the same for the next 24 hours...more than we have. Think cat 5 surge from wimpy old cat 3 Katrina...at landfall.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
152. Confab
4:16 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Last frame of the Funktop showing some really cold tops near the centre of the storm.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/loop-ft.html
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
151. weatherwart
12:15 PM EDT on September 12, 2008
Quoting system345:
do any of you guys think Ike will make it to major hurricane satus by landfall





I don't think it matters all that much at this point.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
150. AvonLadySTL
11:15 AM CDT on September 12, 2008
http://www.maroonspoon.com/wx/ike.html

Here is the one that was posted earlier for local news coverage.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
148. Patrap
11:16 AM CDT on September 12, 2008
IKE GOES IR RAPID SCAN Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 434 Comments: 133420
146. duprk452
4:12 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting midgulfmom:


Where Please?
I live in terrebonne parish... so i can tell you locally that dulac, montegut, pointe-aux-chenes, chauvin, dularge are all experiencing these problems.. my moms hous is in chauvin.. :( they are currently doing rescues by boat and helicopter.. they were not prepared for this amount of water.. we saw on wwl this morning that lafourche parish was having problems in the lower parish... and also new orleans, st. bernard, plaquemines, venetian isles.. its horrible
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
145. KRL
4:09 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
IKE is another example that we are in a period of extremely bizarre weather anomolies.

The size of this storm is beyond amazing.

As distant as it is, even last night here in Palm Beach County you could see the outer bands in the sky heading rapidly west.

Good luck to everyone in Texas and Louisiana!




Member Since: Posts: Comments:
144. midgulfmom
4:13 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting Skyepony:
To see surge like this so far before the storm is amazing. The worst of surge comes after the storm.


Yes, I think I now know the meaning of : I'm "va klemp". Talk amongst yourselves...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
143. HopquickSteve
4:12 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting MichaelSTL:
Looks like Ike is trying to close off an eye...

Image Hosted by ImageShack.us

Looks like closure MichaelSTL. This is devastating. Keep your head low Michael, we need your info. :)
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
142. scwindsaloft
12:15 PM EDT on September 12, 2008
live streaming

http://www.maroonspoon.com/wx/ike.html
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
141. yonzabam
4:11 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting StormW:
19. SEtex2315 12:03 PM EDT on September 12, 2008
Can someone please post this on Jeff's blog? I can't post on there until my account is 12 hours old.

During Gustav someone posted a link to a page that was streaming the local TV stations broadcasts. Has anyone seen one like that for the Houston/Beaumont area? I'm at work and would like to be able to watch them.



http://www.maroonspoon.com/wx/ike.html
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
140. StormJunkie
4:14 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
cw, this is de ja vu (who knows if I spelled that right) all over again. Different time different place...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
139. pablolopez26
4:14 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
StormW here is a link for multiple news feeds here in houston.

Link
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
138. Patrap
11:15 AM CDT on September 12, 2008
BAck on thru wireless from next door.


Neptunes Nine

Short Floater - AVN Color Infrared Loop Link
Member Since: July 3, 2005 Posts: 434 Comments: 133420
137. Vero1
4:11 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting StormW:
19. SEtex2315 12:03 PM EDT on September 12, 2008
Can someone please post this on Jeff's blog? I can't post on there until my account is 12 hours old.

During Gustav someone posted a link to a page that was streaming the local TV stations broadcasts. Has anyone seen one like that for the Houston/Beaumont area? I'm at work and would like to be able to watch them.




Dr Neil Frank to speak shortly

http://www.khou.com/video/?nvid=178826&live=yes&noad=yes
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
136. weathernutTX
4:12 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Good Gosh. Where is the rain????
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
135. CatastrophicDL
4:10 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting AtmosphericWrath:
Ike Update
My analysis
---------------------------
Okay after carefully analyzing a few loops I see Ike is developing more consolidated convection around his COC specifically his E-SE sides and it is within his inner core or developing eye wall. What concerns me is this looks about the healthiest I've seen yet and that it looks like it may wrap entirely around the center.
This means a new well formed eye wall may be 1-3 hours away with perhaps an eye being visible as well.
Take a look at WV image
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t4/wv-l.jpg
What we see here is an entirely different presentation as compared to the last 24 hours. You no longer see weakening, or dry areas, rather a solid mass of convection remaining solidified. This is a concern folks.
All this needs to do is continue wrapping around to the western side and you will likely get that closed eye wall. Intensification looks possible.... Not good. The only saving grace may be some dry air ingested into the western COC.... If that were to alleviate we will see strengthening to a CAT 3 maybe a strong CAT 3 at that.
Any thoughts????

- Rob


Rob, I think Ike is rally going to have to work hard to hit a strong Cat 3. I'm not saying a 3 is completely out of the question, but Dvoraks are down, Link, really showing his weakening. He's going to have to bring his bands in tight and wrap much better in order to really intensify. But, he is definitely working on it! Good to see you this morning!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
134. KarenRei
4:13 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting IKE:
Flight level wind>>>123 knots
(~ 141.4 mph)


Yeouch!
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
133. FormerAussie
4:14 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Looking at the history, surge has always been the problem for Galveston since 1900 - which I believe was your deadliest storm. According to Wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Galveston_Hurricane, a cat four but with a smaller surge. Good luck.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
132. pvbeachbum
4:10 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting shipmaster:
I road out Alicia on the east end of Galveston Island. My house was on the west end in Jamaica Beach. It survived but many others didn't. I fear the damage is going to be much worse there and on the entire island. Glad I live in Pone Vedra Beach FL now. Hang on Galvestonians it's going to be bad.


Hi shipmaster - we are in PV Beach also - almmost moved to Galveston for hubby's job back in 1988 - but came here instead.

My prayers go out to all those in Galveston and those in Ike's path!

Member Since: Posts: Comments:
131. StormJunkie
4:09 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Morning bl, good to see you around.

Speechless on what account? That I can not spell moot, or the fact that the KHOU caller will be in a fight for survival the next 24hrs? I know which one seems important right now.

Don't get me wrong, I am all for good grammar. Just seem trivial on this day...

KHOU News feed
They just interviewed a Galv Island resident, 30-40ish year old man, that is not leaving because his mother is stubborn and has faith...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
130. chicagowatcher
4:09 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting Melagoo:


They just said they are letting it drift toward shallower waters to ride out the storm 22 people on board


I'm really sorry, but I'm seriously afraid that the scope of this disaster will be much bigger than that. The various news stations keep running into people who think they can't get away, won't get away... whatever. How many are still out there? And storm sewers as far as Houston are beginning to well up and flood roads, cutting people off... time may have already run out...
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
128. AtmosphericWrath
4:13 PM GMT on September 12, 2008
Quoting IKE:
Flight level wind>>>123 knots
(~ 141.4 mph)


Ike, do you agree with my analysis?
All it will take it a bit more wrapping on the western side of COC and well... Ike is going to respond no doubt about it.
Member Since: Posts: Comments:

Viewing: 177 - 127

Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26Blog Index

Top of Page

About

Dr. Masters co-founded wunderground in 1995. He flew with the NOAA Hurricane Hunters from 1986-1990. Co-blogging with him: Bob Henson, @bhensonweather

JeffMasters's Recent Photos

Dunham Lake Sunset
Carrot Nose in Danger
Deep Snow in Brookline, MA
Sunset at Fort DeSoto