Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences degree from UW-Madison: 1998. Former broadcast Meteorologist for NewsRadio 1310 WIBA in Madison. NWS Storm Spotter.
By: HaleStorm , 12:35 PM GMT on October 12, 2012
Finally, some interesting weather to forecast!
Generally, July through September are the most boring three months to forecast weather, although with the lack of severe weather we had this summer plus the lack of snowstorms we had last winter, I think it has been a boring year to forecast precipitation in Wisconsin! However, most people would think of boring weather as a good thing. While the next few days don’t look too crazy, it should be more interesting compared to what we have had recently.
After the brief round of flurries northern and central Wisconsin had on Wednesday, it looks like thunderstorms are going to reenter the forecast for the first time in quite a while. High pressure will keep Wisconsin sunny and dry today, but a developing low pressure system out west will bring a soaking rainfall to the state beginning tonight and lasting through Sunday morning. The Storm Prediction Center has even put the southern half of Wisconsin under the “slight risk” category for severe weather tomorrow with the possibility for strong winds, hail and maybe even some localized flooding. Bring your umbrella if you are going anywhere local, as you are going to need it!
Today’s Forecast Grade: B
Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium to High
Today’s Conditions: Mostly sunny and cool.
Today’s High Temps: Near 50.
Today’s Winds: Light and variable, eventually turning from the south.
Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: High of 47.
Madison: Highs 50-52.
Milwaukee: Highs 49-52.
Tonight: Becoming cloudy with showers and possible thunderstorms developing overnight. Lows in the upper 30s. Chance of rain 75%.
Tomorrow’s Conditions: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Rainfall could be heavy at times, and a few thunderstorms could even reach severe levels! Chance of rain pretty much near 100%.
Tomorrow’s Temps: Warmer, highs near 60 east-central, mid- 60s south. Lows tomorrow night don’t drop much, in the upper 50s.
Tomorrow’s Winds: Breezy from the south.
Sunday: More showers in the morning, ending Sunday afternoon. Highs in the upper 50s. Chance of rain 75%.
Next Week’s Outlook:
Conditions: Another soaking rain is possible on Wednesday.
High Temperatures: Generally in the 50s, although we may break 60 Tuesday and Wednesday ahead of that next rainmaker.
Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium to High
Today Outside of Wisconsin:
Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Conditions: Sunshine today, thundershowers tonight.
High Temperatures: Near 50.
High Temperatures: Upper 60s.
League City, Texas:
Conditions: Partly cloudy.
High Temperatures: Mid- 80s.
Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
High Temperatures: Lower 80s.
Charlotte, North Carolina:
High Temperatures: Mid- 70s.
Las Vegas, Nevada:
Conditions: Scattered thunderstorms.
High Temperatures: Mid- 60s.
Conditions: Partly cloudy.
High Temperatures: Upper 80s.
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