Wisconsin Weather Update for November 21, 2011.

By: HaleStorm , 1:42 PM GMT on November 21, 2011

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So let’s quick confirm that Thanksgiving weekend forecast, okay?
Sounds good. Generally you’re going to like what you read. We’ll have to deal with clouds and cool temperatures today and tomorrow and some scattered rain showers southeast tomorrow, but the days around Thanksgiving are looking quite nice. Mild air is going to flow into the Midwest behind an area of high pressure, which could push many of us above 50 degrees both on Thanksgiving and Black Friday.

Our next storm system post-Thanksgiving rolls through late in the day on Black Friday, dampening the lightened wallets and purses of shoppers everywhere in the Midwest. The rain should turn to just clouds and occasional drizzle on Saturday and Sunday, although it could mix with some light snow Saturday night and Sunday as colder air returns behind the storm system.

Today’s Forecast Grade: B
Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today’s Conditions: Mostly cloudy but probably dry today.
Today’s High Temps: Near 40 east-central, low to mid- 40s south.
Today’s Winds: Light from the southeast.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 38-40.
Madison: Highs 44-45.
Milwaukee: Highs 45-47.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s to near 30.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Cloudy. Scattered rain showers are possible, particularly in southeastern Wisconsin. Chance of rain 25% east-central, 50% south.
Tomorrow’s Temps: Highs in the low to mid- 40s. Lows again in the upper 20s to near 30.
Tomorrow’s Winds: Breezy from the northeast.

Extended Outlook:
Conditions: Thanksgiving Eve and Thanksgiving Day look great with sunshine and mild temperatures. A storm system could give us some rain showers late on Black Friday, then clouds and drizzle linger through the rest of the weekend. Might see this precip mixing with some light snow or flurries Saturday night and Sunday too.
High Temperatures: Becoming somewhat mild for the Thanksgiving holiday! Highs in the mid- 40s Wednesday, jumping to (near 50 east-central, low to mid- 50s south) on Thanksgiving and Black Friday, then cooling back down again on Saturday and Sunday.
Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Weather in the News:

Thanksgiving Facts
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=75433&source=0
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=grb&storyid=42996&source=0

Today Outside of Wisconsin:

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Conditions: Decreasing clouds.
High Temperatures: Lower 30s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapolis.htm l
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstra veler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:
Conditions: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Flash Flood Watch is in effect.
High Temperatures: Mid- 50s.
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstra veler/local/USIL0033

League City and Pearland, Texas:
Conditions: Partly sunny with isolated showers.
High Temperatures: Lower 80s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_City.htm l
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstra veler/local/USTX0745
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstra veler/local/USTX1029

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
Conditions: Partly cloudy.
High Temperatures: Mid- 70s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_Head_Isl and.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstra veler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:
Conditions: Isolated showers.
High Temperatures: Mid- 70s.
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstra veler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:
Conditions: Decreasing clouds.
High Temperatures: Low to mid- 60s.
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstra veler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:
Conditions: Partly sunny with isolated showers possible.
High Temperatures: Mid- 80s.
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstra veler/local/USFL0104

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About HaleStorm

Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences degree from UW-Madison: 1998. Former broadcast Meteorologist for NewsRadio 1310 WIBA in Madison. NWS Storm Spotter.

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