Wisconsin Weather Update

Sunny, hot and somewhat humid weather continues. Maybe a random tropical thunderstorm from time to time.

High pressure remains in general control of our region, meaning the trend of morning sunshine with some afternoon clouds should continue. The upper-air jet stream looks to continue its northerly ridge, so expect the hot temperatures to continue through the weekend and into next week. There’s just enough humidity in the air to generate a few clouds, especially later in the day, with a random tropical thunderstorm possible each day. I suspect any rain we get will only last a few minutes though, so enjoy your hot summer weekend!

http://weather.unisys.com/gfs/gfs.php?inv=0 &plot=850&region=us&t=4p

Today’s Forecast Grade: A-

Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today’s Conditions: Lots of sunshine north with some clouds south. Maybe even an isolated storm south later today. Chance of rain 25%.

Today’s High Temps: Near 89 east-central, lower 90s south. Madison hit 97 yesterday! Dew points near 60, which is just a little humid.

Today’s Winds: A little breezy from the west.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 88-89.

Madison: Highs 90-92.

Milwaukee: Highs 85-87.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/ getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Maybe an evening storm south, otherwise partly cloudy and warm overnight. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain south 25%.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Clouds and sunshine. Maybe a random tropical thunderstorm during the afternoon or evening, then another chance at some storms Saturday night. Chance of rain 25%.

Tomorrow’s Temps: Highs in the upper 80s east-central, lower 90s south. Dew points in the low to mid- 60s, which is somewhat humid.

Tomorrow’s Winds: Light and variable.

Sunday: Clouds and sunshine, still hot, with another random thunderstorm still possible. Highs in the upper 80s with dew points in the mid- to upper 60s, which is slightly more than somewhat humid. Chance of rain 25%.

Next Week’s Outlook:

Conditions: Maybe some thunderstorms Tuesday night or Wednesday, otherwise we should stay pretty much dry for another week.

High Temperatures: Generally in the 80s.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Weather in the News:

High Temperatures and Max Heat Index Values from 6/28/2012

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmssto ry.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=84832&source=0

Hot Weather and Abnormally Dry Conditions Continue in Southern WI

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmssto ry.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=84023&source=0

Today Outside of Wisconsin:

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:

Conditions: Sunny and remaining hot.

High Temperatures: Near 90.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapol is.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:

... Excessive heat warning in effect until 6 PM CDT Monday...

Conditions: Sunny and remaining really hot!

High Temperatures: Near 105!

http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City, Texas:

Conditions: Hot and humid with isolated storms.

High Temperatures: Lower 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_Ci ty.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USTX0745

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:

Heat advisory in effect from 1 PM this afternoon to 6 PM EDT this evening...

Excessive heat watch in effect from Saturday morning through Saturday evening...

Conditions: Sunny and hot.

High Temperatures: Mid- 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_He ad_Island.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:

Heat advisory in effect from noon today to 8 PM EDT this evening...

Conditions: Sunny and hot!

High Temperatures: Near 105.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:

Conditions: Sunny and breezy.

High Temperatures: Just over 100.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:

Conditions: Sunny and hot.

High Temperatures: Mid- 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USFL0104

Sunny and seasonable today, getting hot again by Wednesday.

A very pleasant, seasonable day is on tap for this halfway point to Christmas day. Keep an eye out for a cloud this afternoon, you just might see one! A large, slow-moving area of high pressure centered just north of Minnesota should keep us dry for the next few days. A wind shift starting tomorrow will bring the heat and humidity back to Wisconsin by Wednesday, with highs back in the 80s and even lower 90s possible, and this heat looks to continue right through the weekend and into the start of next week. Summer is finally here (as of June 20) so enjoy!

http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/gfsx.php?inv =0&plot=850&region=us&t=9p

Today’s Forecast Grade: A

Short-Term Forecast Confidence: High

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today’s Conditions: Sunshine this morning, maybe a cloud this afternoon.

Today’s High Temps: Cooler than yesterday, high near 74.

Today’s Winds: Light from the east.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: High of 74.

Madison: Highs 75-77.

Milwaukee: Highs 68-73.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/ getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Lots of stars. Lows near 50.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Morning sunshine, another cloud possible in the afternoon. I’m hoping for a cumulus cloud! They’re puffy and fun to look at. You?

Tomorrow’s Temps: A little warmer than today with highs in the upper 70s.

Tomorrow’s Winds: Light from the south.

Extended Outlook:

Conditions: Maybe a brief shower on Thursday, then scattered showers are possible this weekend. Vague, eh?

High Temperatures: Getting hot again! Highs generally in the 85-90 range!

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Weather in the News:

Tropical Storm Debby stalls in Gulf of Mexico, lashing nearby states

http://www.cnn.com/2012/06/25/us/tropical-w eather/index.html

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracki ng/at201204.html

Today Outside of Wisconsin:

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:

Conditions: Sunshine!

High Temperatures: Near 80

http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapol is.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:

Conditions: Sunshine and a little breezy. And hot.

High Temperatures: Mid- 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City, Texas:

Conditions: Partly cloudy, still hot.

High Temperatures: Upper 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_Ci ty.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USTX0745

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:

Conditions: Showers and breezy. Sorry.

High Temperatures: Mid- 80s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_He ad_Island.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:

Conditions: Scattered storms later today.

High Temperatures: Lower 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:

Conditions: Sunny and breezy.

High Temperatures: Near 100.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:

... Flood Watch now in effect through Tuesday morning...

Tornado Watch 424 remains in effect until 200 PM EDT

Conditions: Showers and thunderstorms. Breezy. No thank you, Debby.

High Temperatures: Mid- 80s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USFL0104

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracki ng/at201204.html

Scattered storms this evening, more storms tomorrow night, then dry.

A weak upper-level disturbance could develop a few scattered thunderstorms late this afternoon and into this evening, then a cold front moves through tomorrow night, developing more scattered thunderstorms across Wisconsin. A large area of high pressure looks to move through the Midwest starting later on Sunday and lingering through Wednesday, so we should be dry for a few days again. But with all the rain we’ve finally gotten over the last few days, I won’t mind. Seasonal summer temperatures are generally expected, so get out and enjoy!

http://weather.unisys.com/nam/nam.php?plot= 300&inv=0&t=4p

Today’s Forecast Grade: B

Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today’s Conditions: Sunshine with a few clouds this morning, then clouds with a few rays of sunshine this afternoon. A thunderstorm could develop late this afternoon and this evening, too, with better odds the further north you live. Chance of rain 50% north, 30% east-central, 25% south.

Today’s High Temps: Near 78 east-central, near 80 south.

Today’s Winds: Light and variable, unless there’s a thunderstorm.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 76-79.

Madison: Highs 79-81.

Milwaukee: Highs 76-77.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/ getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Maybe an evening storm, otherwise clouds and stars overnight. Lows in the mid- 50s.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Some morning sunshine, otherwise mostly cloudy with scattered thunderstorms developing tomorrow night. Chance of rain tomorrow night 50%.

Tomorrow’s Temps: Highs just above 80.

Tomorrow’s Winds: Light from the south.

Sunday: Maybe a lingering morning shower, otherwise becoming partly cloudy. Highs in the mid- 70s east-central, near 80 south.

Next Week’s Outlook:

Conditions: Expect a dry weather pattern for the first half of next week with our next chance of rain not arriving until Wednesday night or Thursday, then lingering into Friday. Maybe.

High Temperatures: Generally in the upper 70s to lower 80s, although we may warm up a bit late next week.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium to High

Weather in the News:

Lightning Safety Awareness Week is June 24-30

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmssto ry.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=84418&source=0

Today Outside of Wisconsin:

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:

Conditions: Sunshine today, storms tonight.

High Temperatures: Upper 70s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapol is.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:

Conditions: Becoming mostly sunny.

High Temperatures: Upper 80s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City, Texas:

Conditions: Partly cloudy.

High Temperatures: Lower 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_Ci ty.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USTX0745

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:

Conditions: Becoming mostly sunny.

High Temperatures: Mid- 80s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_He ad_Island.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:

Conditions: Scattered storms later today.

High Temperatures: Lower 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:

Conditions: Sunshine and breezy.

High Temperatures: Near 100.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:

Conditions: Showers and isolated thunderstorms.

High Temperatures: Upper 80s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USFL0104

Where’s the rain?

Central and southern Wisconsin just missed out on a nice soaking rain yesterday afternoon as a blob of rain moved across northern Wisconsin. All we got here were clouds. Well the good news is that there’s plenty more chances for rain over the next week, thanks to a nearly-stationary area of low pressure in Manitoba, Canada, but the bad news is that the chances of rain each day aren’t exactly great.  Warmer air moves back into the region with highs in the 80s expected through the weekend and most of next week. A few 90s may even crop up in a few spots over the next week as well.

http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/gfsx.php?inv =0&plot=pres&region=us&t=9p

Today’s Forecast Grade: B

Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:

Today’s Conditions: Mostly cloudy, warmer and somewhat humid. Maybe a thunderstorm later today? Chance of rain just 25%.

Today’s High Temps: Near 84 east-central, mid- to upper 80s south. Maybe a spot or two will even hit 90 today.

Today’s Winds: A little breezy from the south.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: High of 83.

Madison: Highs 86-89.

Milwaukee: Highs 84-85.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/ getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Maybe a thundershower in the evening, but probably not. Lows in the mid- 60s. Chance of rain 25%.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Mostly cloudy with scattered thundershowers developing later in the day. Nothing severe is expected…yet. Chance of rain 50%.

Tomorrow’s Temps: Highs in the low to mid- 80s.

Tomorrow’s Winds: Somewhat breezy from the southwest.

Sunday: Partly sunny during the day, maybe a storm Sunday night? Highs in the lower 80s. Chance of rain 25%.

Next Week’s Outlook:

Conditions: This trend of small chances of thunderstorms looks to continue next week, with the best chance perhaps not until Thursday.

High Temperatures: Staying very warm, in the 85-90 degree range through Wednesday, with highs dropping into the 70s by Friday.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Low to medium

Weather in the News:

Abnormally Dry Conditions Spread into Southern Wisconsin

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmssto ry.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=84023&source=0

Tropical Storm Carlotta nears hurricane strength

http://www.cnn.com/2012/06/15/world/america s/mexico-tropical-storm/index.html

Today Outside of Wisconsin:

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:

Conditions: Storms late?

High Temperatures: Mid- 80s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapol is.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:

Conditions: Sunshine and hot!

High Temperatures: Lower 90s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City, Texas:

Conditions: Maybe a thunderstorm, but probably not.

High Temperatures: Near 90.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_Ci ty.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USTX0745

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:

Conditions: Partly cloudy and breezy.

High Temperatures: Lower 80s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_He ad_Island.html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:

Conditions: Sunshine!

High Temperatures: Lower 80s.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:

Conditions: Sunshine!

High Temperatures: Near 100.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:

Conditions: Showers and storms.

High Temperatures: Near 90.

http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport .html

http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/busin esstraveler/local/USFL0104