Wisconsin Weather Update

Wisconsin Weather Update for July 29, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:46 PM GMT on July 29, 2011

Finally, some sunshine!
Yes, the scattered showers and thunderstorms of the last few days have been replaced by peaceful, warm sunshine this morning. A slow-moving area of high pressure should keep us warm and dry through tomorrow, and with dew points in the 60s, it’ll only feel a little humid out there. A new storm system brings more humidity as well as thunderstorms on Sunday, and more wet weather is expected on Tuesday.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif

When will the heat end?
Well, the extended forecast is showing a bit of a cooldown for next weekend where we might be in the lower 80s for highs, but that’s still near or slightly above normal. So to answer the question: not for a while.
http://www.aos.wisc.edu/weatherdata/sfc/sfc_mw_ma p.gif


Today’s Forecast Grade: A-
Short-Term Forecast Confidence: High

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today’s Conditions: Partly cloudy, warm and just a little humid.
Today’s High Temps: Near 85, dew points in the 60s.
Today’s Winds: Light wind from the north.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 84-88.
Madison: Highs 88-89.
Milwaukee: Highs 83-86.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Partly cloudy, lows in the low to mid- 60s.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Partly cloudy, warm and somewhat humid.
Tomorrow’s High Temps: Slightly warmer, in the upper 80s. Dew points in the upper 60s mean it will be slightly more humid as well.
Tomorrow’s Winds: Light out of the southwest.

Sunday: Warm and humid with scattered thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Chance of rain 50%.

Next Week’s Outlook:
Conditions: Storms are expected Monday night through Tuesday and perhaps into Wednesday morning.
High Temperatures: Probably lingering in the 85-90 range, although we may cool off a bit late in the week.
Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium


Weather in the News:

Don closes on Texas coast, will spread much-needed rain
http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/07/29/tropical.storm.d on/index.html

Summary of the July 17 - July 21 Heat Wave in South-central & Southeast Wisconsin
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=71123&source=0

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Wisconsin Weather Update for July 18, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:42 PM GMT on July 18, 2011

Getting anxious for cold and snow yet?
I don’t know about you but I’ll take hot and humid over cold and snowy any day. But as for mid- July 2011, day one of our hot and humid stretch of weather is in the books. Most of us were in the low to mid- 90s, and the heat index got close to 110 in the later afternoon hours. Scattered severe thunderstorms rolled through yesterday evening and into the overnight hours with lots of wind, rain, and lightning. Hot and humid weather is expected to continue all week and linger through the weekend, along with the chance for scattered tropical thunderstorms. If you lived in Florida, you could set your watch to when the storms arrive, but around here, they’ll be a bit more random. Enjoy the spontaneity but be prepared to take shelter when needed!
http://www.aos.wisc.edu/weatherdata/sfc/sfc_mw_ma p.gif
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=70819&source=0

Active Advisory: (Source: National Weather Service)
Fox Cities:
... Excessive heat warning remains in effect until 7 PM CDT Thursday...
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?Discu ssionCode=GRB

Southern Wisconsin:
... Excessive heat warning remains in effect until 9 PM CDT Thursday...
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?Discu ssionCode=MKX

Today’s Forecast Grade: B
Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium to High

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today’s Conditions: Partly sunny, hot and humid. Scattered thunderstorms expected with a slight risk of them becoming severe. Chance of rain 75%.
Today’s High Temps: Around 93 east-central, mid- 90s in southern Wisconsin. Heat index near 110 again in the afternoon!
Today’s Winds: Light out of the west. Except during storms of course.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 91-93.
Madison: Highs 93-94.
Milwaukee: Highs 90-94.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Scattered storms possible in the evening. Remaining warm and muggy overnight. Lows mid- 70s. Chance of rain 50%.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Partly sunny, hot and humid. More scattered storms are possible late in the day. Chance of rain tomorrow night 50%.
Tomorrow’s High Temps: Again in the lower 90s, heat index near 105.
Tomorrow’s Winds: Light out of the south.

Extended Outlook:
Conditions: Scattered tropical thunderstorms will remain possible each day. Sorry for the forecast vagueness but when it’s this hot and humid around here, that’s just the way things go.
High Temperatures: Hot and humid through the weekend with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s through Sunday. Looks like we may cool off next week.
Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium



Weather in the News:

Visible Satellite Animation Of Thunderstorms Stretching From North Dakota to Wisconsin
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=70933&source=0

U.S. midsection to swelter another day in merciless heatwave
http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/07/18/heat/index.html? iref=NS1
http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/07/18/heat.wave/index. html

Tropical storm Bret strengthens, turns east
http://www.cnn.com/2011/WORLD/americas/07/18/trop ical.storm.bret/index.html

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Wisconsin Weather Update for July 15, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:25 PM GMT on July 15, 2011

When’s it going to storm again?
It almost feels weird asking that question after the crazy spring we had, but honestly, we really haven’t had too much in the way of severe weather for some time now. High pressure off to our east will provide us with one more day of mostly dry weather, outside of a few sprinkles this morning courtesy of the overcast morning sky. Storms overnight tonight and especially tomorrow are expected, but nothing severe is anticipated in Wisconsin.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif

So I hear things are going to get hot again soon…
Yes, our weather is about to get tropical with much more humid air from the south getting ready to move into our region. Highs in the 80s are expected today and tomorrow, with upper 80s and 90s expected starting Sunday and lingering through pretty much all of next week. Somewhat humid dew points in the 60s today turn into very humid 70s by Sunday, and aren’t going away anytime soon.
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=70819&source=0


Today’s Forecast Grade: B+
Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today’s Conditions: Mostly cloudy with a few sprinkles this morning. A few breaks in the clouds are expected later today.
Today’s High Temps: Somewhat humid with dew points in the 60s and a high temperature of 82 east-central, low to mid- 80s in southern Wisconsin.
Today’s Winds: Light breeze out of the southeast.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 77-82.
Madison: Highs 84-85.
Milwaukee: Highs 78-80.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Clouds and maybe a thunderstorm overnight. Lows in the upper 60s. Chance of rain 25%.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of rain 75%.
Tomorrow’s High Temps: More humid with dew points in the 70s. Highs in the mid- 80s.
Tomorrow’s Winds: Slightly breezier than today, but still generally light, out of the south.

Sunday: Partly sunny, hot and humid. Maybe a storm late in the day. Highs in the lower 90s, dew points in the 70s. Chance of rain 25%.

Next Week’s Outlook:
Conditions: Scattered thunderstorms are possible each day. Welcome to Florida.
High Temperatures: Hot and humid conditions are expected through the week. Highs in the 88-94 range with humid dew points in the 70s.
Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium


Weather in the News:

No relief from heat wave in the South, North
http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/07/15/heat.wave/index. html

NOAA: U.S. warmer and drier than normal in June
http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2011/20110708 _junestats.html

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Wisconsin Weather Update for July 5, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 12:29 PM GMT on July 05, 2011

So after a long holiday weekend filled with warmth and sunshine, I suppose we’re about due for some storms again, right?
Right you are. An area of low pressure just north of Lake Superior and its trailing cold front has just enough instability associated with it to take advantage of this heat and moderate humidity to develop showers and thunderstorms across our area later today. Parts of western Wisconsin are under the slight risk category for severe weather, with the primary threats being strong winds and hail. As for the rest of us, we may see some storms late this afternoon and into this evening, but then things return to 100% pleasantness tomorrow. And that’s just the way it should be.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk .html

Today’s Forecast Grade: B
Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today’s Conditions: Sunshine and a few wispy cirrus clouds this morning. Increasing clouds with scattered showers and thunderstorms developing later this afternoon and this evening. Chance of rain 50%.
Today’s High Temps: Near 86. Dew points somewhat humid in the 60s.
Today’s Winds: Just a little breezy from the southwest. Winds will kick up a notch or two during thunderstorms, of course.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 83-86.
Madison: High of 87.
Milwaukee: Highs 83-87.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta =KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE

Tonight: Lingering evening thunderstorms, then decreasing clouds overnight. Lows in the lower 60s. Chance of rain 25%.

Tomorrow’s Conditions: Mostly sunny and just a little less humid. Very nice!
Tomorrow’s High Temps: In the lower 80s with dew points gradually dropping to near 60.
Tomorrow’s Winds: Light and variable.

Extended Outlook:
Conditions: Maybe an isolated thunderstorm Thursday and/or Friday, but our next chance for any significant rain doesn’t seem to happen until Sunday night.
High Temperatures: Lower 80s to finish off the work week, but warming to the mid- to upper 80s for this weekend.
Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium


Weather in the News:

NOAA: Average U.S. temperature increases by 0.5 degrees F
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=70210&source=0

Warming Lake Michigan Water Temperatures
http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_cmsstory.php ?wfo=mkx&storyid=70338&source=0

Updated: 12:35 PM GMT on July 05, 2011

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Wisconsin Weather Update for July 1, 2011.

By: HaleStorm, 1:13 PM GMT on July 01, 2011

You see, this is what you get when you start complaining about how cold this summer has been so far.


Very hot and humid weather is moving in from the southwest, and yesterday’s highs in the 80s will turn into 90s today. I don’t think anyone in Wisconsin will top out at 100 today, but honestly you just never know. Then again, if your backyard thermometer is in the sun, we might get up to 120 degrees today. The heat index this afternoon and evening could top out around 105-110, so if someone tells you to “go jump in a lake,” you should say thanks for the advice

and do it.

http://www.aos.wisc.edu/weatherdata/sfc/sfc_mw_ma p.gif

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_ cmsstory.php?wfo=grb&storyid=69390&source= 0



By the way, sorry there was no weather update on Monday. My basement desktop PC refuses to power on, so I had to transfer everything I had recently backed up to my wife’s netbook. I’m also using Windows Live Mail 2011 instead of Eudora OSE, so if there’s any wacky formatting issues, I’ll try to correct them with Monday’s update.



Maybe this will make you feel cooler today. It’s a map of Wisconsin with a recap of last winter’s snowfall.

http://www.crh.noaa.gov/news/display_ cmsstory.php?wfo=mkx&storyid=70221&source= 0;





Active Advisory:


(Source: National Weather Service)


Fox Cities:...

Heat advisory remains in effect from noon today to 8 PM CDT this evening...

http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?Discu ssionCode=GRB



Southern Wisconsin:...



Heat advisory now in effect from noon today to 9 PM CDT this evening...

http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?Discu ssionCode=MKX





Today’s Forecast Grade: B

Short-Term Forecast Confidence: Medium



Wisconsin Forecast:

Today’s Conditions: Mostly cloudy with isolated thunderstorms this morning, mostly in southern Wisconsin. Then becoming partly cloudy, hot and humid.

Today’s High Temps: 93 east-central, mid- to upper 90s south. Heat index could top out near 105 east-central, 110 south!

Today’s Winds: Somewhat breezy from the southwest.



Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)

Appleton: Highs 89-90.

Madison: High of 93.

Milwaukee: Highs 86-88.

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/g etall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KMKE



Tonight: Partly starry with isolated thunderstorms developing overnight from the northwest. Muggy overnight with lows in the lower 70s. Chance of rain 25%.



Tomorrow’s Conditions: Scattered morning thunderstorms, then look for some sunshine. Gradually becoming less humid later in the day as well. Chance of morning rain 50%.

Tomorrow’s High Temps: Mid- to upper 80s.

Tomorrow’s Winds: Slightly less breezy than today, but from the northwest.



Sunday: Partly cloudy and pleasant. Highs in the lower 80s.



Next Week’s Outlook:

Conditions:More sunshine on Monday with scattered storms possible Tuesday. Isolated storms are possible Wednesday, Thursday and Friday, but I suspect these will just be your typical random summer afternoon thunderstorms.

High Temperatures: Low to mid- 80s looks to be the continued trend next week.

Extended Forecast Confidence: Medium

Updated: 6:01 PM GMT on July 01, 2011

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About HaleStorm

Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences degree from UW-Madison: 1998. Former broadcast Meteorologist for NewsRadio 1310 WIBA in Madison. NWS Storm Spotter.

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N9OEQ - Darboy USA
Appleton, WI
Elevation: 735 ft
Temperature: 64.9 °F
Dew Point: 54.5 °F
Humidity: 69%
Wind: Calm
Wind Gust: 0.7 mph
Updated: 6:42 PM CDT on September 22, 2014

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