Wisconsin Weather Update

Wisconsin Weather Update for December 31, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 1:27 PM GMT on December 31, 2009

Good Thursday morning!

Weather Recap
Roads got a little slippery yesterday as a weak low pressure system developed and moved across our area. Most areas just got an inch or two of snow, but it was enough to make you dust off your car and drive a little slower than usual. At least temperatures weren't bad with highs slightly above normal in the mid- to upper 20s.
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php

Forecast Synopsis
It looks like the aughts are going to go out with some cold weather. A trough in the upper-air jet stream and surface winds coming from the northwest behind yesterday's low pressure system will bring cold Canadian air into our region over the next few days. You may not feel the cold until tonight and tomorrow, as it will just start moving into Wisconsin during the day today, but you will definitely know when it has arrived! There aren't any storm systems on the horizon as it looks like a low pressure system is going to stall off the coast of Nova Scotia this weekend, gumming up the flow of high and low pressure systems and keeping things variably cloudy, breezy and cold in our part of the country through the first week of the next decade.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif


Today’s Forecast Grade: B

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Mostly cloudy and a little breezy. Early morning high temperature of 28 degrees, but temps will be falling through the 20s and teens during the day as colder air starts moving in.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 16-19.
Madison: Highs 17-19.
Waukesha: Highs 22-24.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, breezy and cold overnight. Lows around five above zero.

New Year's Weekend:
New Year's Day: More clouds than sunshine, but still breezy and quite cold. Highs only in the low to mid- teens.
Saturday: Sunshine, still breezy, and even colder. Highs 8-13.
Sunday: More sunshine, still a little breezy, and a little warmer but still rather nippy. Highs 14-19.

Back To Work:
Monday: Partly sunny, breezy, cold. Highs 16-23.
Tuesday: Partly sunny, highs 17-24.
Wednesday: Cloudy, highs 18-25.


Other City Forecasts:
(Today and Tomorrow)

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Conditions: More clouds than sunshine today, more sunshine than clouds tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs only 5-10 above zero. Brrr!
http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapolis.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:
Conditions: Clouds today, sunshine tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs upper 30s today, near 30 tomorrow.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City and Pearland, Texas:
Dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am CST this morning...
Conditions: Morning fog, scattered rain showers today. Sunshine and breezy tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs upper 60s today, mid- 50s tomorrow.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_City.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX0745
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/Pearland.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX1029

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
Through 10 am...patchy light rain will continue to move east through portions of southeast Georgia and coastal southeast South Carolina. Most of the rain will occur to the east of Interstate 95. Expect rain amounts from a trace to a few hundredths of an inch.
Conditions: Scattered rain showers.
Temperatures: Highs mid- 60s today, mid- 50s tomorrow.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_Head_Island.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:
Conditions: Scattered rain showers today, sunshine tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs 45-50.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:
Conditions: Sunshine!
Temperatures: Highs low to mid- 50s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:
Conditions: Scattered showers tonight and tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs mid- 70s today, upper 60s tomorrow.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USFL0104


Weather in the News:

Top 10 environmental moments of the decade
http://www.cnn.com/2009/TECH/science/12/17/environmental.decade.top.ten/index.html#cnnSTCText


(Source: National Weather Service)
...New Years Day weather facts for Milwaukee and Madison...

...New Years Day weather facts for Milwaukee...

Data for New Years Day over the past 10 years...

snow snow on
year high low fall the ground (inches)
2009 30 12 0.0 1
2008 24 6 0.2 6
2007 45 31 T 0
2006 39 32 0.0 T
2005 36 23 0.0 0
2004 41 20 0.0 0
2003 32 25 T 0
2002 27 11 0.0 T
2001 26 11 0.0 30
2000 43 32 T 0

Statistics on New Years Day...

Normal high temperature... 29 degrees.
Normal low temperature.... 15 degrees.
Normal average temperature.. 22 degrees.
Record high... 56 in 1897.
Record low... -11 in 1968 and 1969.
Highest minimum... 40 in 1897.
Lowest maximum temperature... 2 in 1969.

Normal precipitation... 0.06 inches.
Normal snowfall........ 0.5 inches.

A minimum temperature of zero or below has been recorded 15 times in
139 years...or 11 percent of New Years Day.

Of 139 years...number of days with maximum temperature...

Zero to 9 above........ 7 or 5 percent.
10 to 19 degrees.......17 or 12 percent.
20 to 29 degrees.......33 or 24 percent.
30 to 39 degrees.......64 or 46 percent.
40 to 49 degrees.......17 or 12 percent.
50 to 59 degrees....... 1 or 1 percent.

The most snowfall on New Years Day was 10.3 inches in 1948.
Greatest precipitation............... 1.90 inches in 1876.

Number of days with...

Measurable precipitation...........................48 of 139 or
35 percent.
Measurable snow....................................29 of 125 or
23 percent.
Snowfall of 1 inch or more.........................13 of 125 or
10 percent.
1 inch or more snow on the ground..................59 of 117 or
50 percent.

Winds on New Years Day...

Highest average wind speed... 26.3 mph in 1948.
Highest peak wind gust...... 47.0 mph in 1985.


...New Years Day weather facts for Madison...

Data for New Years Day over the past 10 years...

snow snow on
year high low fall the ground (inches)
2009 27 11 T 8
2008 22 2 0.2 9
2007 42 27 0.0 0
2006 38 29 0.0 1
2005 34 20 T 0
2004 40 18 0.0 0
2003 26 17 0.0 0
2002 20 5 0.0 0
2001 20 -7 0.0 15
2000 39 31 T T

statistics on New Years Day...

Normal high temperature...... 26 degrees.
Normal low temperature....... 11 degrees.
Normal average temperature... 18 degrees.
Record high... 54 in 1897.
Record low... -16 in 1887.
Highest minimum... 42 in 1897.
Lowest maximum.... -1 in 1974.

Normal precipitation... 0.05 inches.
Normal snowfall........ 0.5 inches.

A minimum temperature of zero or below has been recorded 24 of 141
years or 17 percent of new years days.

For the previous 141 years...number of days with a maximum
temperature of...

Below zero........... 1 or 1 percent.
Zero to 9 above...... 9 or 6 percent.
10 to 19 degrees..... 18 or 13 percent.
20 to 29 degrees..... 51 or 36 percent.
30 to 39 degrees..... 49 or 35 percent.
40 to 49 degrees..... 12 or 9 percent.
50 to 59 degrees..... 1 or 1 percent.

The most snowfall on New Years Day was 8.3 inches in 1942.
Greatest precipitation.............. 1.80 inches in 1892.

Number of days with...

Measurable precipitation.............46 of the last 141 years or
33 percent.
Measurable snow......................36 of the last 125 years or
29 percent.
Snowfall of 1 inch or more...........13 of the last 125 years or
10 percent.
1 inch or more snow on the ground....69 of the last 105 years or
66 percent.

Winds on New Years Day...

Highest average wind speed... 19.1 mph in 1951.
Highest peak wind gust...... 30.0 mph in 2007.

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Wisconsin Weather Update for December 28, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 2:15 PM GMT on December 28, 2009

Good Monday morning!

Weather Recap
We had a rather wild Christmas weekend with snow, freezing rain, sleet, and rain last Wednesday evening through early Sunday morning. Temperatures were near 30 Thursday through Saturday, then dropped to near 20 in east-central Wisconsin and the mid- to upper 20s in southern Wisconsin.
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php

I did end up posting a special edition of my Wisconsin Weather Update last Thursday morning as the storm was just getting underway here, which was posted online and fed to my Facebook and Twitter accounts.
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/HaleStorm/comment.html?entrynum=835

Forecast Synopsis
Finally - a forecast that isn't really all that challenging. Clouds and a few morning flurries will give way to sunshine later today, and we should see more sunshine tomorrow as well thanks to a large area of high pressure moving into the midwest. Clouds and light snow may return Wednesday and Thursday as a new but weak storm system moves through, then some colder air moves back in to start our next decade. Enjoy your holiday week of mostly quiet and seasonable winter weather.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif


Today’s Forecast Grade: B

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Mostly cloudy and windy with some flurries this morning. Decreasing clouds by this afternoon. High of 28.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 24-26.
Madison: Highs 26-27.
Waukesha: Highs 26-31.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Mostly clear and cold, lows just barely above zero with wind chills around -15 overnight.

Tomorrow: More sunshine than clouds, but a little colder with highs in the lower 20s.

Extended:
Wednesday: Cloudy with scattered light snow showers late. Maybe an inch of accumulation overnight, but wait and see. Highs 24-29. Chance of measurable snow 40%.
New Year's Eve: Cloudy and breezy with a few flurries. Highs 22-27.
New Year's Day: Decreasing clouds and breezy, but colder. Highs just 13-18.

This Weekend:
Saturday: Sunshine, still cold, highs 16-23.
Sunday: Partly cloudy, a little warmer, highs 20-27.


Other City Forecasts:
Note: Will now just focus on today and tomorrow. Extended forecasts for your city are available from either of the two links below your city.

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Conditions: Decreasing clouds today, sunshine tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs near 20.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapolis.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:
Conditions: Clouds today, sunshine tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs low to mid- 30s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City and Pearland, Texas:
Conditions: Partly cloudy today, rain tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs lower 50s today, cooling to the mid- 40s tomorrow.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_City.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX0745
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/Pearland.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX1029

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
Freeze watch in effect from late tonight through Tuesday morning...
Conditions: Sunshine!
Temperatures: Highs lower 50s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_Head_Island.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:
Conditions: Sunshine!
Temperatures: Highs mid- 40s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:
Conditions: Clouds today, sunshine tomorrow.
Temperatures: Highs just above 50.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:
Conditions: Mostly sunny.
Temperatures: Highs low to mid- 60s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USFL0104

Updated: 2:17 PM GMT on December 28, 2009

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Wisconsin Weather Update (Special Edition) for December 24, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 2:19 PM GMT on December 24, 2009

I originally wasn't planning on writing an update on Christmas Eve, but with the weird weather situation, I figured I'd at least write down a paragraph of my thoughts.

The wacky weather began yesterday evening with snow across southern Wisconsin and a couple inches of accumulation. Overnight, the snow spread through the rest of Wisconsin, and (again from south to north) started changing over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain. This morning central Wisconsin is under the mix of precip, while warm air moving from south to north is changing the mix over to rain across southwestern Wisconsin. There's a small dry slot over southeastern Wisconsin and northern Illinois which may keep those areas dry for a few hours, but expect rain to fill much of the rest of the day in southern Wisconsin. The mix of precip in central Wisconsin will also gradually change over to rain, but probably won't happen until you go to bed tonight, so expect slippery road conditions through the day.

Tonight's rain will change back to snow during the day tomorrow as cold air also swirling around this large low pressure system will move in from (oddly enough) the southwest. The snow should be lighter and more scattered in nature, and should end by Sunday.

If you want to see what the air is doing about one mile above us, check out this temperature and pressure map.
http://weather.unisys.com/nam/4panel/nam_850_4panel.html

The four boxes are 12-hour intervals with the upper-left box showing temperatures as of 6am this morning, 6pm this evening in the upper-right, 6am tomorrow morning in the lower-left, and 6pm tomorrow evening in the lower-right. (Note that if you're reading this after 10am, you may need to shift the intervals by 12 hours as new data may be showing up).

While there's a lot you can read into this map, just look at the pinwheel of colors and how the warmer light blues and greens are swirling around the low pressure system, and colder pink/purple colors are also swirling around it and will eventually move into Wisconsin from an odd direction (southwest) by tomorrow. This makes determining rain/mix/snow lines extremely difficult to predict and with temperatures hovering around the freezing mark for the next 36 hours, the precip you get in on your driveway will vary greatly depending on where you live.

So drive safely, enjoy the pitter-patter of little freezing rain droplets if you're inside, and have a joyous Christmas season!

Updated: 2:21 PM GMT on December 24, 2009

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Wisconsin Weather Update for December 21, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 2:00 PM GMT on December 21, 2009

Good Monday morning!

Weather Recap
So how have you enjoyed the last few weeks of Autumn? The Winter Solstice officially begins at 11:47am this morning, and we finished up the fall season with a few flurries in the air and highs near 30 on Saturday and (near 20 east-central, upper 20s south) yesterday.
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php

Forecast Synopsis
Many of you have no doubt been hearing about a possible Christmas Eve/Christmas Day storm. I alluded to it in last Thursday's Weather Update, and the media has also taken to informing the public about it. It is a rather complex weather situation and the weather models do not quite have a firm grasp on what it's going to do. Last Thursday and Friday's GFSx weather model had a storm starting to hit Wisconsin Wednesday, then get really nasty Christmas Eve and eventually exiting the state Christmas Day. Saturday's GFSx weather model run had the storm almost missing us entirely, just brushing by us with some light snow possible on Christmas Day. Yesterday's GFS and GFSx weather models had it back to where it was on Thursday with a strong rain/snow mix storm hitting Wisconsin both Thursday and Friday. But what about today's model run? Well, it has a light rain/snow mix on Wednesday, getting stronger but falling more as rain on Christmas Eve, then turning to all snow sometime on Christmas Day. With warm, dry air wrapping into this strong panhandle-hook storm system, I will agree with the rest of the media in that this thing is going to be very hard to predict until almost the time it actually arrives. It looks like Wisconsin's going to get something nasty late this week, but how strong it is and what form the precipitation takes is still, pardon the pun, up in the air. Actually, don't pardon that - I think that was pretty funny. :)
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif

Schedule Update
There will be no Weather Update on Thursday, Christmas Eve. However, I may post storm updates on my Facebook, Twitter, or perhaps even post another Weather Update Special Edition on my blog site later this week.
http://twitter.com/sbhale
http://www.facebook.com/sbhale
http://www.wisconsinweatherupdate.com


Important Weather Statement: (Source: National Weather Service)
Fox Cities:
... Winter storm to impact Holiday travel across Wisconsin and central United States...
A winter storm is expected to move into the Southern Plains on
Wednesday... then move northeast into the western Great Lakes
region on Christmas day. The winter storm has the potential to
significantly impact travel across a large part of the upper
Midwest and Great Lakes region during the peak Holiday travel
period. If you are traveling or are expecting other people to
travel to your home for the Holiday... be sure to monitor later
forecasts on this storm system.

This storm will be developing in a much different atmospheric
pattern than the blizzard that affected the area December 8 and 9.
So unlike with the previous storm... we are unable to provide a
reliable estimate of the location of the heaviest snows this far
in advance of the storm. Reasonable estimates on the location and
timing of the heavy snows... and snowfall totals should be available
within the next few days.
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=GRB


Today’s Forecast Grade: B

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Mostly cloudy with a few flurries this morning in northern and central Wisconsin. High of 23 central, mid- to upper 20s south.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 26-29.
Madison: Highs 24-29.
Waukesha: Highs 28-30.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, lows mid- to upper teens.

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy with a few flurries. Highs upper 20s central, near 30 south.

Extended:
Wednesday: Cloudy and becoming breezy with a light mix of rain/snow developing from the south late in the day. Light rain/snow showers possible Wednesday night. Highs 30-35.
Christmas Eve: Cloudy and windy with rain. Rain may mix with freezing rain, sleet, or snow at times so be careful out there. Highs 31-36.
Christmas Day: Cloudy and windy with snow showers. Precip could be strong on the night before Christmas, but it still may fall as rain or a mix. Stay tuned if you're travelling anywhere. That means you, Santa Claus. Highs 24-29.

This Weekend:
Boxing Day: Cloudy and windy with light snow showers ending. Highs 18-25.
Sunday: Cloudy, windy and cold. Highs 15-22.


Other City Forecasts:
(Monday through Sunday)

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Conditions: Light snow tonight, flurries tomorrow, more significant snow possible Wednesday afternoon through Saturday morning.
Temperatures: Highs generally in the 20s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapolis.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:
Freezing fog advisory in effect until 9 am CST this morning...
Conditions: Rain possible Tuesday night through Thursday night, then maybe some flurries this weekend.
Temperatures: Highs in the 40s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City and Pearland, Texas:
Conditions: Chance of rain tomorrow afternoon though Thursday morning.
Temperatures: Highs mid- 60s today, lower 70s tomorrow and Wednesday, then mid- 60s again on Thursday and in the 50s this weekend.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_City.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX0745
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/Pearland.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX1029

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
Frost advisory in effect until 9 am EST this morning...
Conditions: Chance of showers Thursday and Friday, otherwise partly cloudy.
Temperatures: Highs upper 50s to lower 60s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_Head_Island.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:
Conditions: Chance of rain Thursday and Friday, otherwise partly cloudy.
Temperatures: Highs mostly in the upper 40s to lower 50s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:
Conditions: Rain or snow possible tomorrow, otherwise sunny.
Apparently Yoda works for the National Weather Service: "Snow accumulations little or no." (see tomorrow's forecast via first link below)
Temperatures: Highs in the upper 40s to mid- 50s, they will be.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:
Conditions: Chance of rain on Christmas Eve into Christmas Day, otherwise partly cloudy.
Temperatures: Highs lower 60s today, then in the 70s for the rest of the week. Not that you'll be there to enjoy it!
http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USFL0104


Weather in the News:

Airlines scramble after winter storm delays flights
- Monster weekend winter storm blankets a swath of the East Coast
- Delta offers weather waiver on rescheduling fees; American to add flights
- Record snow blanketed some areas Sunday; Philadelphia gets 23.2 inches
- At least four deaths have been linked to the winter storm
http://www.cnn.com/2009/US/weather/12/21/winter.weather/index.html#cnnSTCText

(Source: National Weather Service)
... Winter officially arrives late this morning...
Winter officially begins at 1147 am this morning. Although today
is the shortest day of the year... the normal high... low... and mean
temperatures do not begin to rise until late January across north
central and northeast Wisconsin.

Permalink

Wisconsin Weather Update for December 17, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 2:15 PM GMT on December 17, 2009

Good Thursday morning!

Weather Recap
So how have you been enjoying our latest cold snap? Laying on your couch wearing a Snuggie with a remote control in one hand and a cup of hot chocolate in the other? Our normal high temperature is near 30 degrees but yesterday's high was only in the lower teens in east-central Wisconsin and mid- teens in southern Wisconsin. At least it didn't snow yesterday.
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php

Forecast Synopsis
After a couple days of enjoying cold arctic air, warmer air is finally beginning to move back into our region. Look for high temperatures 10-15 degrees warmer than they were yesterday. As for snow chances, they look pretty meager through the rest of this week and this weekend. However, the weather models are suggesting another possible mammoth snowstorm for Wednesday, December 23 through Friday (Christmas Day). The storm is almost a week away and the models have been struggling a bit with the extended upper-air pattern, so it might miss us to the south and not be a problem at all, but it could be another big one wherever it winds up and is definitely worth keeping an eye on if you're travelling over Christmas.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif


Today’s Forecast Grade: B

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Mostly cloudy with a few flurries. High of 25 east-central, upper 20s south.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 28-31.
Madison: Highs 30-32.
Waukesha: Highs 33-34.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, lows mid- teens.

Tomorrow: Clouds, highs lower 30s.

This Weekend:
Saturday: More clouds, highs 28-33.
Sunday: Even more clouds, a little colder, and maybe some light snow showers. Highs 22-27. Chance of measurable snow 25%.

Next Week:
Monday: Mostly cloudy, highs 20-27.
Tuesday: Cloudy, highs 17-24.
Wednesday: Cloudy, breezy and warmer with snow possible. Snow could be interesting so stay tuned. Highs 23-30. Chance of measurable snow 50%.


Other City Forecasts:
(Thursday through Sunday)

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Conditions: Partly cloudy today, then mostly cloudy with flurries through the weekend. Maybe some light snow on Sunday.
Temperatures: Highs low to mid- 20s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapolis.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:
Conditions: Sunshine today, light rain/snow tomorrow night, light snow showers this weekend.
Temperatures: Highs upper 40s today and tomorrow, mid- to upper 30s this weekend.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City and Pearland, Texas:
Conditions: Rain today, then partly cloudy through the weekend.
Temperatures: Highs lower 50s today, then upper 50s to lower 60s after that.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_City.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX0745
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/Pearland.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX1029

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
Conditions: Rain tonight and tomorrow, maybe isolated showers on Saturday, sunshine on Sunday.
Temperatures: Highs mid- to upper 50s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_Head_Island.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:
Winter Storm Watch in effect from Friday morning through Saturday afternoon...
Conditions: Increasing clouds today, rain/snow mix tomorrow and Saturday (2-4" of snow possible along with sleet and other muck). Clouds but dry on Sunday.
Temperatures: Highs lower 50s today, low to mid- 30s tomorrow, upper 30s Saturday, then upper 40s on Sunday.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:
Conditions: Mostly sunny and boring.
Temperatures: Highs upper 50s to lower 60s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:
Conditions: Scattered showers with isolated storms today and tomorrow, sunshine this weekend.
Temperatures: Highs mid- 70s today and tomorrow, dropping to the mid- 60s this weekend.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USFL0104


Weather in the News:

(Source: National Weather Service)
...Christmas Eve weather facts for Milwaukee and Madison...

For Milwaukee...

Records show that there has been measurable snowfall on 37 of 125
Christmas Eves since snowfall records began...or 30 percent.

Data for Christmas eve over the past 10 years are shown below.

Snow snow on
year high low prec. Fall the ground (inches)
2008 36 9 0.14 1.4 13
2007 23 18 0.00 0.0 2
2006 45 27 0.00 0.0 0
2005 38 32 T 0.0 3
2004 10 -4 0.00 0.0 0
2003 28 16 T T T
2002 30 20 T 0.1 0
2001 24 17 T 0.3 T
2000 17 0 T T 27
1999 19 6 T T 1

Statistics on Christmas eve...

normal high temperature....... 30 degrees.
Normal low temperature........ 17 degrees.
Normal average temperature.... 23 degrees.
Record high.. 60 in 1889.
Record low... -21 in 1872.
Highest minimum... 44 in 1877.
Lowest maximum.... -6 in 1983.

Normal precipitation... 0.07 inches.
Normal snowfall........ 0.4 inches.

A minimum temperature of zero or below has been recorded 18 times in
138 years...or 13 percent of Christmas Eves.

For the previous 138 years...number of days with
maximum temperature of

Zero or below........ 1 or 1 percent.
Zero to 9 above...... 3 or 2 percent.
10 to 19 degrees..... 17 or 12 percent.
20 to 29 degrees..... 34 or 25 percent.
30 to 39 degrees..... 56 or 41 percent.
40 to 49 degrees..... 20 or 14 percent.
50 to 59 degrees..... 6 or 4 percent.
60 or higher......... 1 or 1 percent.

Other Christmas eve weather facts...

The most snowfall on Christmas eve was 9.0 inches in 1965.
The most precipitation on Christmas eve was 1.84 inches in 1979.

Number of days with...

Measurable precipitation..51 of the last 138 years or 37 percent.
Measurable snow...........37 of the last 125 years or 30 percent.
Snowfall of 1 inch or more...13 of the last 125 years or 10 percent.
1 inch or more snow on the ground....56 of the last 116 years or 48
percent.

Winds on Christmas eve...

The windiest Christmas eve was in 1979 when a north wind
had a maximum gust of 61 miles per hour...with an average wind
speed maximum of 27.3 miles per hour.

.....................................................................

For Madison...

Records show that there has been measurable snowfall on 31 of 125
Christmas Eves since snowfall records began...or 25 percent.

Data for Christmas eve over the past 10 years are shown below...

snow snow on
high low prec. Fall the ground (inches)
2008 31 4 0.28 2.9 13
2007 20 15 T T 7
2006 42 21 0.00 0.0 0
2005 35 28 T 0.0 5
2004 12 -6 0.00 0.0 T
2003 25 12 0.00 0.0 T
2002 26 11 0.00 0.0 0
2001 20 12 0.03 0.6 1
2000 12 -14 T T 16
1999 17 -6 0.00 0.0 2

Statistics on Christmas eve...

Normal high temperature........ 28 degrees.
Normal low temperature......... 13 degrees.
Normal average temperature..... 20 degrees.
Record high.. 60 in 1889.
Record low... -28 in 1872.
Highest minimum... 49 in 1877.
Lowest maximum.... -8 in 1983.

Normal precipitation... 0.05 inches.
Normal snowfall........ 0.5 inches.

A minimum temperature of zero or below has been recorded 31 times in
140 years...or 22 percent of Christmas Eves.

For the previous 140 years...number of days with a maximum temperature of

Zero or below........ 3 or 2 percent.
Zero to 9 above...... 1 or 1 percent.
10 to 19 degrees..... 26 or 19 percent.
20 to 29 degrees..... 39 or 28 percent.
30 to 39 degrees..... 49 or 35 percent.
40 to 49 degrees..... 17 or 12 percent.
50 to 59 degrees..... 4 or 3 percent.
60 or higher......... 1 or 1 percent.

Other Christmas eve weather facts...

The most snowfall on Christmas eve was 7.5 inches in 1918.
The most precipitation on Christmas eve was 1.01 inches in 1979.

Number of days with...

Measurable precipitation............ 43 of the last 140 years or 31 percent.
Measurable snow..................... 31 of the last 125 years or 25 percent.
Snowfall of 1 inch or more.......... 17 of the last 125 years or 14 percent.
1 inch or more snow on the ground... 69 of the last 104 years or 66 percent.
Greatest snow depth................. 16 inches in 1985 and 2000.

Winds on Christmas eve...

Highest average wind speed... 19.2 mph in 1950
highest peak wind gust....... 41.0 mph in 1992

Permalink

Wisconsin Weather Update for December 14, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 1:45 PM GMT on December 14, 2009

Good Monday morning!

Weather Recap
We had quite the wild weather pattern last week with a nasty, record-setting blizzard dumping more than a foot of snow across most of Wisconsin on Wednesday, then very nippy air came in behind the storm last Thursday and Friday with highs only near 10 above zero and wind chills well below zero. We did moderate this weekend with warmer highs in the lower 30s.
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php

Forecast Synopsis
Another storm system is moving across the Midwestern United States today. While it doesn't have nearly the moisture content that its older brother had last Wednesday, it is creating a mess of the roads this morning with freezing drizzle spread throughout most of Wisconsin. The precipitation will probably change over to light snow later today, with an inch or so of new accumulation possible before it ends around sunset. After this storm moves through, another round of cold air comes in with highs just a few degrees above 10 expected tomorrow. Things do moderate as the week progresses though, and I didn't see anything interesting in the medium-range weather model data for late this week and this weekend, so after today, the roads should be okay for driving to work or doing some late-season Christmas shopping.
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif


Important Weather Statement: (Source: National Weather Service)
Fox Cities:
... Winter Weather Advisory remains in effect until noon CST today...
* Freezing drizzle is expected until around daybreak. Then the precipitation will change to snow.

* The freezing drizzle will create an icy glaze on untreated roadways. Snow falling on that later this morning will produce very hazardous travel conditions.

* An inch or two of snow accumulation is expected to occur on top of the glaze left by the freezing drizzle.

* Morning commuters should expect to encounter travel difficulties.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Weather Advisory for mixed precipitation means that
freezing drizzle and snow will cause some travel difficulties. Be
prepared for snow covered roads and limited visibilities... and
use caution while driving. The latest Wisconsin Road conditions
can be obtained by calling 511.
-----------------
... Snow and freezing drizzle across the area...
At 540 am... snow continued across northern Wisconsin... but the
snow had diminished some during the past couple hours. The steady
snows were north of a line from north 0f Merrill to Crivitz to the
northern tip of the Door Peninsula. Snow will continue in this
area for much of the morning.

Farther south... widespread freezing drizzle was occurring. Local
law enforcement reported that untreated roadways in central and
east-central Wisconsin were becoming ice covered and hazardous.
The freezing drizzle should gradually transition to snow by mid-
morning... but snow falling on top of the glaze will not lead to
an improvement in travel conditions. Since some of the
precipitation has fallen as was not snow... snowfall totals in
these areas will be lower than originally expected.

Untreated roadways across the area were slippery. Unsalted roads
in central and east-central Wisconsin... where the freezing drizzle
was occurring... could become treacherous as the freezing drizzle
continues... and once snow starts falling on top of the ice.

Use caution if driving early this morning. Commuters should expect
a much slower than normal trip to work this morning.
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=GRB

Southern Wisconsin:
... Freezing drizzle across parts of south central and southeast Wisconsin this morning...
Periods of drizzle and freezing drizzle will continue across south
central and southeast Wisconsin through mid morning. Locations
north of a line from Madison to West Bend had surface
temperatures generally below freezing this morning. Many locations
near that line reported temperatures very close to freezing... and
locations well south of that line were generally above freezing.

Precipitation falling within areas that have surface temperatures below
freezing will be in the form of freezing drizzle. A light glaze is
expected on untreated surfaces within these areas. Expect roads
and sidewalks to become slippery. Use caution when traveling.
---------------
Look for a mix of light snow and freezing drizzle northwest of a Sheboygan to Lake Geneva line through mid morning...transitioning to all snow by late morning. Southeast of this line...especially near Lake Michigan...look for mainly light rain or drizzle as temperatures remain above freezing. Less than an inch of snow accumulation is expected this morning mainly across south central Wisconsin. Motorists should use caution while traveling this morning as untreated roadways will likely be slick. It only takes a small amount of freezing rain or a dusting of snow to make surfaces slippery.
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=MKX


Today’s Forecast Grade: C

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Cloudy and breezy with areas of freezing drizzle this morning. This will convert over to scattered light snow showers later this morning and continue this afternoon with 1" of new accumulation possible east-central and less than an inch south before ending. High of 27 central, low to mid- 30s south. Chance of measurable snow 70% central, 40% south.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 31-33. Chance of precip 72-83%.
Madison: Highs 31-35. Chance of precip 44-54%.
Waukesha: Highs 36-37. Chance of precip 47-55%.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a few flurries. Decreasing clouds overnight. Lows around five above zero

Tomorrow: Mostly sunny but much colder. Highs only in the low to mid- teens.

Extended:
Wednesday: Mostly cloudy, a little warmer, highs 16-21.
Thursday: Cloudy and warmer with a few flurries. Highs 23-28.
Friday: Cloudy, maybe more flurries. Highs 22-27.

This Weekend:
Saturday: Cloudy, highs 19-26.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy and breezy, highs 17-24.


Other City Forecasts:
(Monday through Wednesday)

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Winter Weather Advisory in effect until 9 am CST this morning...
Conditions: Snow ending today with 2-4" possible. Partly cloudy tomorrow and Wednesday.
Temperatures: Cold. Highs around 10 today, 5 above tomorrow, then mid- teens on Wednesday.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapolis.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:
Conditions: Light rain today, then partly cloudy.
Temperatures: Highs mid- 50s today, then mid- to upper 30s tomorrow and Wednesday.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City and Pearland, Texas:
Dense fog advisory in effect until 10 am CST this morning...
Conditions: Scattered showers, fog today. Rain and breezy tomorrow. Partly cloudy, still breezy Wednesday.
Temperatures: Highs upper 60s today, upper 50s afterwards.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_City.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX0745
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/Pearland.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX1029

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
Dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am EST this morning...
Conditions: Scattered showers today and tomorrow, sunshine on Wednesday.
Temperatures: Highs upper 60s to lower 70s today and tomorrow, then near 60 on Wednesday.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_Head_Island.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:
Dense fog advisory in effect until 10 am EST this morning...
Conditions: Cloudy with areas of fog today. Scattered showers tomorrow, sunshine on Wednesday.
Temperatures: Highs mid- 50s today, lower 60s tomorrow, then near 50 on Wednesday.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:
Conditions: Mostly sunny and pickleriffic! Mmmmm...
Temperatures: Highs mid- to upper 50s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:
Dense fog advisory in effect until 9 am EST this morning...
Conditions: Partly cloudy with areas of fog today and tomorrow. Scattered showers Wednesday.
Temperatures: Highs low to mid- 80s today and tomorrow, upper 70s on Wednesday.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USFL0104


Weather in the News:

(Source: National Weather Service)
...Record daily maximum snowfall set at Madison WI...
a record snowfall of 7.0 inches was set at Madison WI on Wednesday. This breaks the old record of 5.0 set in 1885.

This is in addition to the record snowfall for Tuesday...December 8. 7.1 inches was reported at the Madison Airport. Thus...the 2-day total is 14.1 inches...with back to back daily snowfall records.

...2 day snowfall totals for the early December storm...
An intense winter storm which tracked over the state produced
heavy snow along with blizzard conditions over northeast Wisconsin.
Below are 2 day snowfall totals across northeast Wisconsin.

Snowfall snowfall snowfall latest
last previous 2 day snow
location 24 hrs 24 hrs depth

......north central Wisconsin......
...Iron County and adjacent portions of Upper Michigan...
Saxon
Upson 14.0 9.0 23.0 20

...Vilas County...
Arbor Vitae-Johnson Lake 1.8 3.8 5.6 6
Boulder Junction-2n 1.8 3.0 4.8 7
Presque Isle-4sw-p.I. Lk 2.9 1.4 4.3 8
Winchester-3ne 5.0 6.6 11.6 16

...Oneida County...
Rhinelander WWTP 1.1 7.4 8.5 8
Minocqua coop 3.0 4.0 7.0 9
Rhinelander 3ne coop 1.5 5.8 7.3 8
Minocqua-7w Franklin lk 1.6 4.5 6.1 7
Tomahawk-7nw ham 4.0 4.0 8.0 10

...Lincoln County...
Tomahawk-Rice Reservoir 1.2 7.2 8.4 8
Merrill-8w 3.5 13.1 16.6 9
Tomahawk-Rice Reservoir 1.2 7.2 8.4 8

...Taylor County...
Medford WWTP 1.0 12.0 13.0 13

......northeast Wisconsin......

...Forest County...
Laona-6sw coop 1.0 9.5 10.5 9
Argonne-2nw ucoop 6.6 7.8 14.4 14
Crandon 4.6 7.6 12.2 12

...Florence County and adjacent portions of Upper Michigan...
Florence utility 1.0 7.3 8.3 7
Long Lake-3ne 5.9 6.5 12.4 13

...Marinette County and adjacent portions of Upper Michigan...
Peshtigo WWTP 5.0 6.0 11.0 8
Marinette spotter M M 11.5 M
Athelstane-2e ucoop 3.5 5.0 8.5 8

...Langlade County...

...Oconto County...
Suring WWTP T 12.0 12.0 10
Lakewood WWTP 3.8 5.9 8.7 9
Abrams-4w ucoop 2.7 13.2 15.9 13
mountain-1sw 1.1 8.7 9.8 10

...Menominee County...

......central Wisconsin......
...Clark County...
Neillsville-3sw 0.6 9.0 9.6 11
Owen 1.0 10.0 11.0 11
Willard-6 W-Rock Dam 0.3 9.0 9.3 9

...Marathon County...
Spencer WWTP 0.5 8.0 8.5 8
Colby-5ne 0.7 8.0 8.7 9

...Wood County...
Marshfield exp farm 0.9 9.0 9.9 9
Pittsville T 8.0 8.0 4
Wisconsin Rapids-se 1.0 8.5 9.5 10
Wisconsin Rapids 0.8 8.0 8.8 8

...Portage County...
Stevens Point WWTP 1.0 7.0 8.0 7
Almond-5ne 0.7 12.8 13.5 13
Amherst-3se 1.0 14.3 15.3 14
Plover-south 0.2 9.6 9.8 10
Stevens pt-Whiting ham 0.5 9.5 10.0 10
Junction City 4s ham 2.0 6.6 8.6 9
Plover spotter M M 9.3 M

...Waupaca County...
Waupaca WWTP 1.3 14.0 15.3 13
New London-WWTP 2.0 12.0 14.0 14
Waupaca-3sw King 2.2 13.2 15.4 12
Clintonville spotter M M 12.2 M
New London spotter M M 12.0 M

...Adams County...
Big Flats east ham 3.0 7.5 10.5 12
Monroe Center-1e-ham 0.5 8.5 9.0 10

...Waushara County...
Hancock exp farm 1.0 12.0 13.0 13
Coloma spotter M M 16.0 M

...Green Lake County...
Markesan-WWTP 2.7 10.4 13.1 13

......east central Wisconsin......
...Shawano County...
Shawano WWTP 1.0 9.0 10.0 10
Cecil-6ne Pulcifer 2.2 10.7 12.9 13

...Outagamie County...
Appleton coop 2.5 11.5 14.0 14
Kimberly 1.7 12.1 13.8 12
Appleton 2.5 11.5 14.0 14
Darboy M M 14.6 M

...Winnebago County...
Oshkosh WWTP 1.2 4.8 6.0 8
Neenah-east 7.2 7.8 15.0 8
Oshkosh-north 1.1 8.7 9.8 9
Menasha spotter M M 14.0 M

...Brown County...
Pulaski WWTP 2.3 11.7 14.0 14
De Pere-1se 1.7 14.2 15.9 13
Green Bay-9nw mill cntr 1.2 11.2 12.4 12
Suamico-2sw 2.2 12.0 14.4 13
Bellevue M M 16.2 16
ledgeville-depere 3 eses M M 16.5 16

...Calumet County...
Brillion coop/WWTP 2.0 11.0 13.0 13
Chilton WWTP 1.4 11.6 13.0 13
New Holstein-east-WWTP 2.5 12.5 15.0 13
New Holstein spotter M M 14.0 M
Chilton spotter M M 15.0 M

...Door County...
Ephraim-1ne WWTP 3.6 6.8 10.4 11
Forestville-4ne 3.5 8.0 11.5 12
Washington Island 4.2 5.2 9.4 9
Egg Harbor WWTP 1.8 10.4 12.2 10
Ephraim-5se North Bay 2.5 4.5 7.0 6
Sturgeon Bay exp farm 2.0 13.0 15.0 15
Fish Creek-1e WWTP 3.0 9.5 12.5 12

...Kewaunee County...
Casco ucoop 3.0 12.5 15.5 13
Algoma spotter M M 14.0 M

...Manitowoc County...
Two Rivers coop 1.4 10.0 11.4 M
Francis Creek 1.5 10.5 12.0 12
Manitowoc-south 1.9 7.4 9.3 9
St. Nazianz-2w 3.6 9.5 13.1 15
Valders 4.1 8.3 12.4 13
St. Nazianz spotter M M 15.5 M

...Fond Du Lac County...
Taycheedah-St Peter 3.0 9.0 12.0 12
Campbellsport-5 W-ashfor 2.0 11.0 13.0 13

...Sheboygan County...
Elkhart Lake T 13.0 13.0 13
Plymouth-WWTP 0.8 12.0 12.9 12

Permalink

Wisconsin Weather Update for December 7, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 2:26 PM GMT on December 07, 2009

Good Monday morning!

Weather Recap
Wisconsin enjoyed another quiet weekend with clouds, flurries, and high temperatures near 30 in east-central Wisconsin and the low to mid- 30s in southern Wisconsin. We got some light snow overnight, but in our backyard it has only amounted to about a half of an inch as of this posting. Our quiet weather is about to change, in case you missed my Weather Update (Special Edition) posted Saturday morning or the big local media blitz now surrounding what is likely to be our first big snowstorm of the season.
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php
http://www.wunderground.com/blog/HaleStorm/comment.html?entrynum=830

Forecast Synopsis
Finally - after many months of waiting, a big storm is about to hit Wisconsin! And no, I'm not referring to last night and this morning's light snow, which is producing less than an inch of snow in most places, although some areas from Oshkosh to Sheboygan, Port Washington, etc., could see up to 3-5"as the little blob of snow seems to have stalled over parts of far east-central and southeastern Wisconsin. Oh no, I'm referring to the big storm headed our way Tuesday afternoon and continuing through Tuesday night and into Wednesday. This panhandle hook beast is shaping up to be a monster of a storm! Look for light snow starting Tuesday afternoon, then you can expect windy, near-blizzard-like conditions Tuesday night. When you wake up Wednesday morning, there's going to be a lot of snow to shovel or snowblow, and the windy conditions blowing the snow around is not going to make you any happier. Unless you plan on skiing, snowboarding, or sledding after the winds die down this weekend. We will get another inch or two on Wednesday with strong winds blowing around the snow, then nasty, nasty cold will follow with highs only in the teens Thursday through Saturday. The weather models seem to be in agreement on this storm, and I don't think it is going to let you down! It's worth the hype! Tell your neighbors, call your friends, Skype your extended family, tweet your tweeps, update your Facebook status, the sky is about to fall!
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif
http://weather.unisys.com/nam/60h/nam_pres_60h.html

Name a Snowstorm
All of this action reminds me ... some local TV stations are into naming big snowstorms, like the National Hurricane Center names hurricanes. Usually they are named after small cities in the viewing area, but that is no fun. Last season I named our snowstorms after carnival rides like the Gravitron - because having to shovel snow from Snowstorm Gravitron is so much cooler and all. So I want to start that again - but am looking for some ideas on a wacky category I could use this season. Got one? Let me know! For now, we'll call tomorrow night's weather system "Snowstorm Scrambler"!

Schedule Update
Note that there will not be a Weather Update blog this Thursday due to family needs. I may post another special edition tomorrow or Wednesday as I follow Snowstorm Scrambler, which you can read at http://www.wisconsinweatherupdate.com or fed to my Twitter and Facebook accounts. Look for the next full update on Monday.
http://twitter.com/sbhale
http://www.facebook.com/sbhale


NowCast and Important Weather Statement: (Source: National Weather Service)
Fox Cities:
Light snow continues to expand northward through the Fox Valley. The snow is expected to continue through the morning rush hour...with totals around 1 inch in Green Bay to around 3 inches in Oshkosh before ending around 9 am. Roadways are becoming snow covered. Anyone traveling early this morning should be alert for slippery spots.
... Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening...
* Light snow will redevelop over east central Wisconsin Tuesday
afternoon... become heavy at times Tuesday night into
Wednesday... before diminishing later Wednesday afternoon.

* Snowfall totals are expected to range from 8 to 12 inches by the
time the storm exits Wednesday evening.

* With a brisk northeast wind... blowing and drifting snow will
reduce visibilities below a half mile... especially Tuesday night
into Wednesday morning with near white-out conditions possible.
Gusty winds will then shift to the northwest Wednesday afternoon
and continue to produce blowing and drifting snow through
Wednesday evening.

* The snow may produce hazardous driving conditions Tuesday
night into Wednesday.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow accumulations that may impact travel. Continue to monitor
the latest forecasts.
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=GRB

Southern Wisconsin:
Light snow will continue through the early morning across most of the area. The snow will be more continuous along and north of a line from Darlington to Madison to Port Washington...where 2 to 4 inches total accumulation is expected. The snow is expected to be a little heavier in the Port Washington...west band and Sheboygan areas where 5 inches is possible. Farther southeast...in the Milwaukee...Janesville...Kenosha and Burlington areas...periods of light snow will continue through the early morning with accumlations up to an inch. Roadways across south central and portions of southeast Wisconsin will deteriorate early this morning due to the light snow. Roadways will be worse north of Milwaukee to Madison. Slow down and drive with caution.
... Winter Storm Watch remains in effect from Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening...
* Timing: light snow is expected to redevelop Tuesday afternoon... and
will become heavy at times Tuesday night and Wednesday morning.
The snow will taper off to scattered snow showers and flurries
by Wednesday evening.

* Snow accumulations: 8 to 12 inches is expected by Wednesday afternoon.

* Winds: east at 10 to 15 mph on Tuesday... turning northeast and
increasing to 15 to 30 mph Tuesday night. The winds turn
northwest and increase to between 20 and 30 mph... with gusts to
40 mph Wednesday morning and continue Wednesday afternoon... then
become west and slowly diminish to 10 to 15 mph Wednesday night.

* Impacts:travel conditions will deteriorate rapidly Tuesday
evening... and remain hazardous through Wednesday. Severe blowing
and drifting snow will create whiteout conditions at
times... especially on Wednesday.

* While it is anticipated that this watch will probably be
upgraded to a Winter Storm Warning... there is a potential for a
portion of the forecast area to be upgraded to a Blizzard
Warning if the storm intensifies more than currently forecast.
It will be important to monitor later forecasts and statements
on this major winter storm.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A Winter Storm Watch means there is a potential for significant
snow... sleet... or ice accumulations that may impact travel.
Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=MKX


Today’s Forecast Grade: B-

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Light snow ending this morning. Most places should see around 1", but a few areas in east-central and southeastern Wisconsin could see 3-5" if you're in the small swath where the snow seems to have stalled. High of 31.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 28-32. Chance of precip 30-62%.
Madison: Highs 31-32. Chance of precip 35-68%.
Waukesha: High of 34. Chance of precip 33-51%.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Cloudy and quiet. Too quiet. Lows near 20.

Tomorrow: Cloudy and becoming breezy. Light snow developing from southwest to northeast during the afternoon. Maybe 1" on the ground before sunset. Snowstorm Scrambler is just getting started! Highs near 30.

Tomorrow Night: You know if I have a tomorrow night forecast blurb in here, it must be special. Cloudy and windy with snow. Lots of snow. Lots and lots of snow. And blowing/drifting of said snow. Seriously, if you're travelling around tomorrow night, you're putting yourself in some danger, especially late in the evening and overnight. Most areas can expect 6-8" of snow between the time the sun sets and the time you wake up in the morning, look out the window, and exclaim, "WOW!" (or something less pleasant). Lows in the mid- 20s, although this will be the least of your worries.

Extended:
Wednesday: Snow diminishing and becoming more scattered during the day. Most of the action's going to happen while you're sleeping tomorrow night. Still really windy with highs 26-31. Total expected accumulations (from the National Weather Service) are for 8-12" in east-central WI, 9-11" in south-central WI, and a whopping 11-12" in southeastern WI. Enjoy!
Thursday: Mostly cloudy, still windy but not quite as windy. However, after big snowstorms, nasty cold tends to follow and this is no exception. Highs only 10-15 with nasty wind chills well below zero.
Friday: Mostly cloudy, not windy, but still quite nippy. Highs 10-15.

This Weekend:
Saturday: Mostly cloudy, still really cold, highs 9-16.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy and finally a little warmer, highs 18-25. What, you want more snow? Well you're just going to have to wait, missy!


Other City Forecasts:
(Monday through Sunday)

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Winter Storm Watch in effect from Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday evening...
Conditions: Flurries today, 5-8" of snow possible tomorrow afternoon through Wednesday. Partly cloudy after that.
Temperatures: Generally around 15-20 for highs.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapolis.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:
Conditions: Rain tomorrow, slight chance of rain this weekend.
Temperatures: Highs generally in the lower 40s
http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City and Pearland, Texas:
Conditions: Showers today and tomorrow, more showers possible on Friday.
Temperatures: Highs mostly in the 60s, although you could see lower 70s tomorrow.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_City.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX0745
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/Pearland.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX1029

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
Conditions: Showers tomorrow and Wednesday, a chance of more rain this weekend.
Temperatures: Highs mostly in the 60s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_Head_Island.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:
Conditions: Rain showers tomorrow and Wednesday. Maybe some rain or light snow Friday night and Saturday morning.
Temperatures: Highs mostly around 50-55 although Wednesday could see highs in the mid- 60s with the rain.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:
Conditions: Rain today, then more rain possible Thursday, Friday, and this weekend.
Temperatures: Highs mostly mid- to upper 40s through midweek, then in the 50s after that.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:
Conditions: Sprinkles possible today, then a chance of rain late Wednesday and continuing through the weekend.
Temperatures: Highs mostly around 80, give or take five degrees. Must be nice. :)
http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USFL0104


Weather in the News:

Major winter storm to wallop central U.S.
* Midwest, northern Plains to experience wind chills of 30 to 40 degrees below zero
* Storm will strike parts of Southwestern, north-central U.S. by Wednesday
* Weather will intensify as it moves into Midwest and Upper Great Lakes
http://www.cnn.com/2009/US/weather/12/07/winter.storm/index.html#cnnSTCText

Updated: 2:27 PM GMT on December 07, 2009

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Wisconsin Weather Update (Special Edition) for December 5, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 4:45 PM GMT on December 05, 2009

In last Thursday morning's Weather Update, I had mentioned two storms that will be moving across the U.S. next week. I mentioned a weak storm that may give us some light snow Sunday night, then a stronger storm late Tuesday and Wednesday that at the time was expected to miss us to the south and east. Well, Friday's computer model data run projected this storm further north, and this morning's weather models have strengthened the storm as well. There's a pretty good likelihood that we're going to see a lot of snow Tuesday night and Wednesday, so if you haven't already seen the latest forecasts on TV, radio, or this thing we call the world wide web, I thought I'd clue you in on something that's going to make a mess of your commute Wednesday morning.

Here's a conditions-only forecast for east-central, south-central and southeastern Wisconsin for tomorrow night through Wednesday. I threw in some snowfall estimates but with the main storm still four days out, it's of course subject to change. :)

Sunday Night: Light snow developing, maybe an inch of accumulation in east-central Wisconsin, an inch or two possible in south-central and southeastern Wisconsin.

Monday: Partly sunny.

Tuesday: Becoming cloudy and breezy with light snow developing from southwest to northeast in the afternoon.

Tuesday night: Windy with snow, heavy at times overnight. Many areas could see 4-6" of snow by the time you wake up Wednesday morning.

Wednesday: Windy with more snow, although not quite as heavy as we're probably going to see Tuesday night. Probably another 2" of snow during the day for total accumulations of 6-8".

Get your shovels and snow-throwers ready!

Updated: 5:29 PM GMT on December 05, 2009

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Wisconsin Weather Update for December 3, 2009.

By: HaleStorm, 1:32 PM GMT on December 03, 2009

Good Thursday morning!

Weather Recap
We've enjoyed a mix of clouds and sunshine to start off the last month of the '00s decade with temperatures a few degrees above normal, near 40 degrees.
http://www.weather.gov/climate/index.php

Forecast Synopsis
There are two things you may notice today. A strong area of low pressure now located over New York will work with a developing trough in the upper-air jet stream to push colder air into the Midwest today. High temperatures are only going to get to the lower 30s today, and probably won't break out of the 20s tomorrow. Also, a small blob of light snow currently over west-central Wisconsin is expected to move into southern Wisconsin by this afternoon, which could place an inch or two of snow in your yard before you go to bed tonight. The Fox Valley will probably just see a few flurries, but then again snow totals always depend on where you live across our great state. The next storms of interest look to be a weak low which could generate some light snow or flurries late Sunday and Monday, then a stronger storm Tuesday and Wednesday that as of now looks to miss Wisconsin to the south and east (but could still generate some light snow across our area). December is here, so no more complaining about the cold weather. =)
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/sfc/ussatsfc.gif


Important Weather Statement: (Source: National Weather Service)
Southern Wisconsin:
... Accumulating snow likely this afternoon and evening...
A weather system will swing across southern Wisconsin this
afternoon and evening... bringing a good chance of accumulating
snow to the region. A narrow swath of 1 to 2 inches with locally
3 inches is possible... roughly centered along a line stretching
from Spring Green to Madison to Milwaukee. Amounts will taper off
to the north and south of this area.

The peak snowfall is expected between 4 PM and 10 PM this evening.
Roads may become slippery in some locations. Stay tuned for later
updates.
http://www.wunderground.com/DisplayDisc.asp?DiscussionCode=MKX


Today’s Forecast Grade: B central, C south

Wisconsin Forecast:
Today: Mostly cloudy and breezy. A small area of light snow will move into southern Wisconsin this afternoon and evening with 1-2" possible on grassy areas before you go to bed tonight. High of 33. Chance of snow 20% east-central, 70% south.

Raw Model Data: (combined numerical output range from three different NOAA weather models)
Appleton: Highs 33-36. Chance of precip 20-36%.
Madison: Highs 34-37. Chance of precip 15-76%.
Waukesha: High of 36. Chance of precip 14-42%.
http://www.nws.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/mos/getall.pl?sta=KATW&sta=KMSN&sta=KUES

Tonight: Mostly cloudy and breezy. Light snow ending this evening in southern Wisconsin. Lows only near 20 overnight.

Tomorrow: Mostly cloudy and breezy, maybe a few flurries. Cold with highs only in the mid- to upper 20s.

This Weekend:
Saturday: More clouds than sunshine. Highs 29-34.
Sunday: Mostly cloudy, light snow showers developing late. Highs 31-36. Chance of measurable snow 30%.

Next Week:
Monday: Mostly cloudy and breezy with light snow showers. Highs 25-32. Chance of measurable snow 30%.
Tuesday: Cloudy and breezy with snow showers developing late. Highs 25-32. Chance of measurable snow 30%.
Wednesday: Cloudy, windy and colder with light snow showers. Highs just 19-26. Chance of measurable snow 30%.


Other City Forecasts:
(Thursday through Sunday)

Minneapolis/St. Paul, Minnesota:
Conditions: Scattered snow showers today, flurries tomorrow, partly cloudy Saturday, more flurries on Sunday.
Temperatures: Highs only in the mid- to upper 20s today and tomorrow, then just above 30 this weekend.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/MN/Minneapolis.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USMN0503

Anna, Illinois:
Conditions: More clouds than sunshine today and Sunday, more sunshine than clouds tomorrow and Saturday.
Temperatures: Highs in the upper 30s to lower 40s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/IL/Anna.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USIL0033

League City and Pearland, Texas:
Conditions: Rain possible tonight and tomorrow morning, then becoming windy with a mix of rain and snow tomorrow with up to an inch of snow possible. Sunshine on Saturday, scattered rain showers on Sunday.
Temperatures: Highs mid- 50s today, cooling to only the mid- 40s tomorrow, near 50 Saturday, then upper 50s again on Sunday.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/League_City.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX0745
http://www.wunderground.com/US/TX/Pearland.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USTX1029

Hilton Head Island, South Carolina:
Conditions: Rain tomorrow night and Saturday morning, otherwise partly cloudy.
Temperatures: Highs low to mid- 60s today and tomorrow, then mid- to upper 50s this weekend.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/SC/Hilton_Head_Island.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USSC0155

Charlotte, North Carolina:
Conditions: Rain tomorrow night through Saturday, otherwise mostly sunny.
Temperatures: Highs lower 60s today, lower 50s tomorrow, only near 40 on Saturday, then upper 40s on Sunday.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NC/Charlotte.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNC0121

Las Vegas, Nevada:
Freeze warning in effect from midnight tonight to 8 am PST Friday...
Freeze warning in effect from 10 PM Friday to 9 am PST Saturday...
Conditions: Mostly sunny.
Temperatures: Highs in the 50s.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/NV/Henderson.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USNV0040

Davenport, Florida:
Conditions: Showers and isolated thunderstorms likely through Saturday, then partly cloudy after that.
Temperatures: Highs mostly upper 70s, but a few degrees cooler tomorrow.
http://www.wunderground.com/US/FL/Davenport.html
http://www.weather.com/outlook/travel/businesstraveler/local/USFL0104


Weather in the News:

(Source: National Weather Service)
...Mild November with below normal snowfall noted across north central and northeast Wisconsin...
At Green Bay...the average temperature in November was 41.8
degrees or 7.8 degrees above normal. November 2009 will go down
in the record books as the 3rd warmest November on record. Only
a trace of snow was recorded during November which will go down
in the record books as the 2nd least snowiest on record. The only
snow-less November on record in Green Bay occurred in 1999.

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About HaleStorm

Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences degree from UW-Madison: 1998. Former broadcast Meteorologist for NewsRadio 1310 WIBA in Madison. NWS Storm Spotter.

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N9OEQ - Darboy USA
Appleton, WI
Elevation: 735 ft
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Dew Point: 56.5 °F
Humidity: 44%
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Wind Gust: 2.2 mph
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