




NWS Hazardous Weather Outlook
SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS THAT AFFECTED THE REGION
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July 21 Destructive Winds Report from the NWS===========================================================
Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2008 season
14Oct2008 01:30 p.m. UTC/13Oct2008 20:30 p.m. CDT
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Information used for this blog are from
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
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Northwestern Pacific
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Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
Hong Kong Observatory: China
Typhoon 2000: Philippines
PAGASA: Manila, Philippines
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Northern Indian Ocean
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India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
Thailand Meteorological Department
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Northeastern Pacific Ocean
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National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL
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Central Northeastern Pacific
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Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii
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Southern Indian Ocean
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Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia
Mauritius Meteorological Service
Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center
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Southern Pacific Ocean
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Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington
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CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD
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Northeast Pacific Ocean
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Area of Responsibility=================================
National Hurricane Center - Miami, Florida
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
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There are no tropical low or cyclone within the northeastern Pacific Ocean
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Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold)
September
EP0812.Karina - 1000 hPa
EP0813.Lowell - 996 hPa
October
EP0814.Marie - 984 hPa
EP0815.Norbert - 945 hPa <-- ATCF data 120kts
EP0816.Odile - 996 hPa
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Northwest Pacific Ocean
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Japan Meteorological AgencySubject: TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE GULF OF TONKIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94W18.8ºN 108.0ºE - 30 knots 1006 hPa
reported as moving northwest slowly
Joint Typhoon Warning CenterTropical Cyclone Formation Alert (0130z 14OCT)
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An area of convection (94W) located at 19.1N 108.0E or 170 NM southeast of Hanoi, Vietnam. Animated multispectral satellite imagery and numerous microwave images show little to no structural improvement over the past 24 hours. In fact convettive banding that had previously flanked the western periphery of the system has since dissolved leaving only a small cloud dense overcast feature over an obscured low level circulation center. More recent cloud tops has begun to warm and disband following a diurnal burst of deep convection over the low level circulation center. Vertical wind shear has also increased to 20-30 knots as the upper level anticyclone aloft has migrated just south of the system shearing convection to the northeast. However, dual outflow channels remain firmly in place and have served to fuel deep convective burst over the LLCC. Intial system intensity is based on satellite intensity estimates from PGTW and KNES suggesting 24 knot system yet nearby 0000z sea level pressure observation from Dongfang, Hainan Island is 1007 hPa, and a partial Quikscat image indicates a system below 25 knots. The current system intensity is based on the lower intensity sources due to the lack of structral improvement over the past 12-24 hours.
The potential for this disturbance to form into a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours remains GOOD.
System #2
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Philippines Atmospherical Geophysical Astromonical Services and AdministrationTropical Weather Summary
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At 2 a.m. PhT, a Low Pressure Area (95W) was estimated based on satellite and surface data at 750 kms East of Northern Luzon (18.3°N 130.0°E) embedded along the Intertropical Convergence Zone affecting Luzon and Visayas.
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
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September
T0813.Sinlaku/Marce - 935 hPa
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16W -
1002 hPaTROPICAL DEPRESSION 17W -
1008 hPaT0814.Hagupit/Nina - 935 hPa
T0815.Jangmi/Ofel - 910 hPa
T0816.Mekkhala - 980 hPa
T0817.Higos/Pablo - 998 hPa
October
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 94W
- 1006 hPa------------------------------------------------------------
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Central North Pacific Ocean
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Area of Responsibility=================================
Central Pacific National Hurricane Center - Hawaii
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
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There are no suspected lows to develop into a tropical cyclone within the North Central Pacific between the International Dateline eastward toward 140W.
Storm archives (Active Storms in Bold)
September
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North Indian Ocean
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Area of Responsibility=================================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department (New Delphi, India)
Tropical Cyclone Outlook (0600z 12OCT)
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Convective clouds are seen over parts of north Andaman Sea, southwest Bay of Bengal, and southeast Arabian Sea.

Possible tropical cyclone in the Arabian Sea.. next storm ID for this area of the north Indian Ocean is ARB02-2008
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
September
BOB04.NONAME - 986 hPa (Deep Depression)
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Southwest Indian Ocean
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Area of Responsibility=============================
RSMC: Mauritius Meteorogical Services (55E-90E)
RSMC: Seychelles Meteorological Services (African coast - 55E)

Possible cyclone for the southwest indian ocean..again. If this develops the storm ID will be 02R and may receive named by Mauritius as Asma by the looks of this model output.
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
October
01R.NONAME- 1006 hPa
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T-num JMA IMD US SS Cat Aus Scale
(10 min) (3 min) (1 min)
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Tropical Depression
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1.0 25 kt Low 25 kt Tropical Low
1.5 30 kt 25 kts 30 kt
2.0 30 kt 30 kts 35 kt
Tropical Storm
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2.5 35 kt 35-40 40 kt Cat 1
3.0 45_kt 45-50 50_kt
Severe Tropical Storm
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3.5 55 kt 50-60 55 kt Cat 2
Typhoon
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4.0 65 kt 65-70 65 kt 1 Cat 3
4.5 70 kt 77-85 75 kt 1-2
5.0 80 kt 90 90 kt 2-3
5.5 90 kt 102 100 kt 3 Cat 4
6.0 95 kt 115 115 kt 4
6.5 100 kt 127 130 kt 4
Super Typhoon
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7.0 110 kt 140 140 kt 5 Cat 5
7.5 115 kt 155 155 kt 5
8.0 120 kt 170 170 kt 5
Note: India Meteorological Department intensity now according to their website FAQ section.
Thanks goes to MargieKieper for this helpful chart =)
Starting 2008-09 Season Australia starts a new cyclone naming list which all three TCWC use the same list to name tropical cyclones.
All names on the previously list were removed from the new list
Australian Region
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List1 List2 List3 List4 List5
Anika Anthony Alessia Alfred Ann
Billy Bianca Bruce Blanche Blake
Cathy Carlos Charlotte Caleb Claudia
Dominic Dianne Dylan Debbie Damien
Ellie Errol Edna Ernie Esther
Freddy Fina Fletcher Frances Ferdinand
Gabrielle Grant Gillian Greg Gretel
Hamish Heidi Hadi Hilda Harold
Ilsa Iggy Ita Ira Imogen
Jasper Jasmine Jack Joyce Joshua
Kirrily Koji Kate Kelvin Kimi
Laurence Lua Lam Linda Lucas
Magda Mitchell Marcia Marcus Marian
Neville Narelle Nathan Nora Noah
Olga Oswald Olwyn Owen Odette
Paul Peta Quang Penny Paddy
Robyn Rusty Raquel Riley Ruby
Sean Sandra Stan Savannah Seth
Tasha Tim Tatjana Trevor Tiffany
Vince Victoria Uriah Veronica Verdun
Zelia Zane Yvette Wallace -------
Example:
CCAA 29000 47644 JANGMI(0815) 22254 11212 13204 245// 93608=
22
254 1
1212 long/lat 25.4N 121.2E
2
45 = Dvorak Intensity 4.5
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ゴーオンジャー ゴーオン!!
Tomica Hero Rescue Force