November 1 2012 - December 31 2012

By: HadesGodWyvern , 11:25 PM GMT on October 31, 2012

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Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2012 season
=================================================
Information used for this blog are from

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

-----------------
Northwestern Pacific
-----------------
Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
Hong Kong Observatory: China
Typhoon 2000: Philippines
PAGASA: Manila, Philippines

------------------
Northern Indian Ocean
--------------------
India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
Thailand Meteorological Department

------------------------
Northeastern Pacific Ocean
------------------------
National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL

-------------------------
Central Northeastern Pacific
----------------------------
Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii

---------------------------
Southern Indian Ocean
---------------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia
Mauritius Meteorological Service
Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center

--------------------------
Southern Pacific Ocean
-----------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington

=========================================

=======================
Northeast Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Miami National Hurricane Center

National Hurricane Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

October
EP172012.Rosa - 1000 hPa

-------------------------------------------------
=======================
North Central Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Honolulu National Hurricane Center

Central Pacific Hurricane Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================



-------------------------------------------------

========================
Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Japan Meteorological Agency

Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

November
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 26 - 1004 hPa
T201224.Bopha/Pablo - 930 hPa

December
T201225.Wukong/Quinta - 998 hPa
-------------------------------------------------
========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

October
BOB02-2012.Nilam - 992 hPa

November
BOB03-2012.NONAME - 1002 hPa

December
ARB02-2012.NONAME - 1002 hPa

-------------------------------------------------
Southwestern Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Seychelles Meteorological Services
Mauritius Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

November
02R.NONAME - 1004 hPa
03R.Boldwin - 987 hPa

December
04R.Claudia - 950 hPa
05R.NONAME - 995 hPa

------------------------------------------------

Southeastern Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
Bureau Of Meteorology: Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Bureau of Meteorology: Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Warning center Jakarta

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

December
04U.MITCHELL - 990 hPa

-------------------------------------------------
Southwestern Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
Bureau Of Meteorology: Brisbane Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Bureau Of Meteorology: Darwin Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Papua New Guinea

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

December
03U.FREDA - 980 hPa (within AOR)

-------------------------------------------------
Southwestern Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
Fiji Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

November
01F.NONAME - 991 hPa
02F.NONAME - 1001 hPa

December
03F.NONAME - 997 hPa
04F.Evan - 943 hPa
05F/03U.FREDA - 940 hPa (within AOR)
06F.NONAME - 1005 hPa

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RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
17:30 PM RET December 4 2012
================================

The low level circulation center is located near 8.7S 85.6E at 1000 AM UTC, exposed East of the main
convective activity. A burst of convection is developing close to the center since 0800 AM UTC.
mean sea level pressure is estimated at 1001 hPa, maximum winds at 20-25 knots near the center, locally 30 knots far from the center northward in the monsoon flow and southward due to the gradient effect with the subtropical high pressure. The low level circulation center is moving southward at about 10 knots and it has accelerated during the past 6 hours.

Lower levels environmental conditions are favorable, system being well supplied on both faces, equatorward and poleward. Energetic oceanic content is favorable too. In the upper levels, the diffluent Easterly wind shear is still strong (30-40 knots according to CIMSS data), system being located north of an upper tropospheric ridge.

On and after tonight, system may track south-westward according to the available numerical weather prediction models. The easterly upper level wind shear is forecast to remain moderate to strong until Thursday, and should weaken sharply beyond. However, during the next 48 hours, system should deepen progressively with the lowering of the relative wind shear when the system will track westward. It should intensify more rapidly beyond Thursday.

No other suspect area over the basin.

For the next 24 hours, potential for the development of a tropical depression is good.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #71
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
21:00 PM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon Overland Philippines

At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (975 hPa) located at 9.2N 122.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 95 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity:

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 11.2N 118.9E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
48 HRS: 12.7N 116.3E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
72 HRS: 13.0N 114.9E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #70
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
18:00 PM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon In Sulu Sea

At 9:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (970 hPa) located at 8.9N 123.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 17 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 11.1N 119.3E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
45 HRS: 12.2N 118.2E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
69 HRS: 12.8N 117.0E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #9
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
5:00 PM PhST December 4 2012
==============================

Typhoon "PABLO" has slightly accelerated as it continues to move towards Siquijor-Negros Oriental area.

At 4:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [958 hPa] located at 9.0°N 123.7°E or 60 km southeast of Dumaguete City has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots gusting up to 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #3
-----------

Luzon Region
-----------
1. Northern Palawan including Calamian Grp. Of Islands

Visayas Region
----------------
1. Bohol
2. Siquijor
3. Southern Cebu
4. Negros Oriental
5. Southern Negros Occidental
6. Iloilo
7. Guimaras
8. Antique

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Lanao del Norte
2. Misamis Occidental
3. Zamboanga del Norte

Signal Warning #2
-----------

Luzon Region
-----------
1. Rest of Palawan

Visayas Region
-------------
1. Aklan
2.Capiz
3. Rest of Cebu incl. Camotes Is.
4. Rest of Negros Occidental

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Misamis Oriental
2. Agusan del Norte
3. Bukidnon
4. Lanao del Sur
5. Zamboanga del Sur including Sibugay

Signal Warning #1
----------

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Occidental Mindoro
2. Oriental Mindoro
3. Romblon

Visayas Region
=============
1. Leyte including Biliran
2. Southern Leyte

Mindanao Region
================
1. Surigao del Norte including Siargao
2. Surigao del Sur
3. Dinagat
4. Agusan del Sur
5. Davao del Norte
6. Compostela Valley
7. North Cotabato
8. Maguindanao

Additional Information
========================
Public Storm Warning Signals elsewhere is now lowered.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10-18 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 500 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signals are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning signals #3 and signal #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this typhoon.

Fishing boats and other sea vessels are advised not to venture out into the Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #69
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
15:00 PM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon In Sulu Sea

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (970 hPa) located at 8.7N 124.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 17 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 10.6N 119.8E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sulu Sea
48 HRS: 12.2N 118.2E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
72 HRS: 12.8N 117.0E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #68
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
12:00 PM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon Overland Mindanao

At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (960 hPa) located at 8.1N 125.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 16 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: Overland

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in southeast quadrant
150 NM from the center in northwest quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 10.1N 120.4E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sulu Sea
45 HRS: 11.5N 118.7E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
69 HRS: 12.1N 117.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #8
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
11:00 AM PhST December 4 2012
==============================

Typhoon PABLO has slightly weakened after making a landfall and is now traversing the province of Bukidnon.

At 10:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [958 hPa] located at 8.1N 125.5E or 50 km east of Malaybalay, Bukidnon has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots gusting up to 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #3
-----------

Visayas Region
----------------
1. Bohol
2. Siquijor
3. Southern Cebu
4. Southern Negros
5. Orriental
6. Southern Negros Occidental

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Misamis Oriental,
2. Bukidnon
3. Lanao del Sur
4. Lanao del
5. Norte
6. MIsamis Occidental
7. Zamboanga del Norte
8. Camiguin

Signal Warning #2
-----------

Luzon Region
-----------
1. Northern Palawan including Calamian Group Of Islands
2. Cuyo Island

Visayas Region
-------------
1. Southern Leyte
2. Antique
3. Iloilo
4. Rest of Cebu including Camotes Island
5. Rest of Negros Oriental
6. Rest of Negros
7. Occidental

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Surigao del Norte including Siargao
2. Surigao del Sur
3. Dinagat
4. Agusan del Norte
5. Agusan del Sur
6. Davao del Norte including Samal Island
7. Compostela Valley
8. Davao Oriental
9. North Cotabato
10. Zamboanga del Sur
11. Zamboanga Sibugay
12. Maguindanao

Signal Warning #1
----------

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Rest of Palawan

Visayas Region
=============
1. Aklan
2. Capiz
3. Leyte including Biliran

Mindanao Region
================
1. Davao del Sur
2. Sultan Kudarat
3. Basilan
4. Sarangani
5. South Cotabato

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 600 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signals are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #3 and signal #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this Typhoon.

Fishing boats and other sea vessels are advised not to venture out into the Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #67
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
9:00 AM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Overland Mindanao

At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (940 hPa) located at 7.9N 125.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: Overland

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 10.0N 120.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sulu Sea
48 HRS: 11.5N 118.7E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
72 HRS: 12.1N 117.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #66
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
6:00 AM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Overland Mindanao

At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (930 hPa) located at 7.7N 126.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 16 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: Overland

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 9.8N 121.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Mindanao (Philippines)
45 HRS: 11.6N 118.9E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
69 HRS: 12.9N 117.2E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #7
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
5:00 AM PhST December 4 2012
==============================

Typhoon PABLO has made landfall over Baganga, Davao Oriental.

At 4:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [948 hPa] located at 7.6°N 126.9°E or east of the eastern coast of Davao Oriental has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots gusting up to 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.

State of the sea is rough to phenomenal

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #3
-----------

Visayas Region
----------------
1. Southern Leyte
2. Bohol
3. Negros Oriental
4. Siquijor
5. Southern Cebu

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Surigao del Norte including Siargao
2. Surigao del Sur
3. Dinagat Province
4. Agusan del Norte
5. Agusan del Sur
6. Misamis Oriental
7. Camiguin
8. Bukidnon
9. Davao Oriental
10. Compostela Valley
11. North Cotabato
12.Lanao del Sur
13. Lanao del Norte Misamis Occidental
14. Zamboanga del Norte
15. Zamboanga del Sur
16. Davao del Norte including Samal Island


Signal Warning #2
-----------

Visayas Region
-------------
1. Rest of Cebu including Camotes Island
2. Iloilo
3. Guimaras Capiz
4. Leyte including Biliran
5. Negros Occidental

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Davao del Sur
2. Sultan Kudarat
3. Zamboanga Sibugay
4. Maguindanao

Signal Warning #1
----------

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Palawan
2. Calamian Grp. Of Islands
3. Ticao Island
4. Masbate

Visayas Region
=============
1. Northern Samar
2. Eastern Samar
3. Western Samar,
4. Aklan
5. Antique

Mindanao Region
================
1. Basilan
2. Sarangani
3. South Cotabato

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 600 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signals are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Likewise, residents in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #2 and signal #3 are alerted against storm surges particulary those living in the coastal areas of Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat, Bohol and Leyte provinces where 3-6 meters wave height is expected.

Fishing boats and other sea vessels are advised not to venture out into the eastern Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #65
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
3:00 AM JST December 4 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (930 hPa) located at 7.6N 127.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 16 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 9.7N 121.8E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
48 HRS: 11.6N 118.9E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
72 HRS: 12.9N 117.2E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
17:30 PM RET December 3 2012
=================================

An area of low pressure that has shown some signs of organization since yesterday, appears as a suspect area. A fully exposed low level circulation, temporarily well defined, is seen on visible imagery since this morning. At 1030Z, the low is located near 7.4S 86.6E. The mean sea level pressure is estimated at 1005 hPa. The ASCAT pass of this morning show a 15-20 knots circulation with some 25-30 knots patches rather far north of the low within the monsoon flow. The system is moving generally southwestwards at 4 knots.

As previously noted, the wind shear remain the main limited factor. It is currently strong as the
system is beneath strong diffluant easterly winds. The upper level ridge is located near 10.0S.
However and according Numerical weather prediction models, the upper level ridge should shift southwards within the next few days and be located near 15.0S Wednesday. As the system should gradually move southwestwards and then west southwestwards, an easterly constraint should remain. However some slow development is possible for the next three days (with some easing of the relative shear when the system will resume on a more westwards track)

For the next 24 hours, potential for the development of a tropical depression is poor. Wednesday and Thursday, the potential becomes fair to good.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #6
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
11:00 PM PhST December 3 2012
==============================

Typhoon "PABLO" has maintained its strength as it continues to threaten Davao Oriental-Surigao Del Sur Area

At 10:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [948 hPa] located at 7.4°N 128.3°E or 230 km southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots gusting up to 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.

State of the sea is rough to phenomenal

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #3
-----------

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Surigao del Norte
2. Siargao
3. Surigao del Sur
4. Dinagat Province
5. Agusan del Norte
6. Agusan del Sur
7. Misamis Oriental
8. Camiguin
9. Bukidnon
10. Davao Oriental
11. Compostela Valley
12. North Cotabato
13. Lanao del Sur
14. Lanao del Norte
15. Davao del Norte
16. Samal Island

Signal Warning #2
-----------

Visayas Region
-------------
1. Southern Leyte
2. Bohol
3. Cebu
4. Camotes Island
5. Negros Oriental
6. Negros Occidental
7. Siquijor

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Misamis Occidental
2. Davao del Sur
3. Zamboanga del Norte
4. Zamboanga del Sur
5. Sultan Kudarat
6. Maguindanao

Signal Warning #1
----------

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Palawan
2. Calamian Grp. Of Islands

Visayas Region
=============
1. Eastern Samar
2. Western Samar
3. Leyte
4. Biliran
5. Aklan
6. Capiz
7. Antique
8. Iloilo
9. Guimaras

Mindanao Region
================
1. Zamboanga Sibugay
2. Basilan
3. Sarangani
4. South Cotabato

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 600 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signals are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Likewise, residents in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #2 and signal #3 are alerted against storm surges particulary those living in the coastal areas of Surigao del Sur, Surigao del Norte, Dinagat, Bohol and Leyte provinces where 3-6 meters wave height is expected.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #63
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
21:00 PM JST December 3 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (930 hPa) located at 7.4N 128.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 9.3N 123.5E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Mindanao (Philippines)
48 HRS: 11.6N 119.8E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
72 HRS: 13.0N 117.6E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #5
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
5:00 PM PhST December 3 2012
==============================

Typhoon "PABLO" has maintained its strength and is now threatening Davao Oriental-Surigao Del Sur Area

At 4:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [948 hPa] located at 7.1°N 129.9°E or 390 km southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots gusting up to 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.

State of the sea is rough to phenomenal

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #3
-----------

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Surigao del Norte
2. Siargao
3. Surigao del Sur
4. Dinagat Province
5. Agusan del Norte
6. Agusan del Sur
7. Misamis Oriental
8. Bukidnon
9. Davao Oriental
10. Compostela Valley
11. Davao del Norte
12. Samal Island

Signal Warning #2
-----------

Visayas Region
-------------
1. Southern Leyte
2. Bohol
3. Southern Cebu
4. Negros Oriental
5. Siquijor

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Misamis Occidental
2. Lanao del Norte
3. Lanao del Sur
4. North Cotabato
5. Zamboanga del Norte

Signal Warning #1
----------

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Northern Palawan
2. Calamian Grp. Of Islands
3. Cuyo Island

Visayas Region
=============
1. Eastern Samar
2. Western Samar
3. Leyte
4. Biliran
5. Aklan
6. Capiz
7. Antique
8. Iloilo
9. Guimaras
10. Negros Occidental
11. Rest of Cebu
12. Camotes Island

Mindanao Region
================
1. Zamboanga del Sur
2. Maguindanao
3. Sultan Kudarat
4. Sarangani
5. South Cotabato

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 600 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signals are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #3 and signal #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this Typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the Eastern Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST December 3 2012
===============================

The low pressure area over central parts of southern Bay of Bengal and neighborhood has become less marked. However, and upper air cyclonic circulation lies over southwestern Bay of Bengal and neighborhood extended up to 3.1 km above sea level

Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #61
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
15:00 PM JST December 3 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (935 hPa) located at 7.0N 130.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 14 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 8.6N 125.2E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Overland Mindanao (Philippines)
48 HRS: 11.0N 121.4E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sulu Sea
72 HRS: 12.7N 119.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #60
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
12:00 PM JST December 3 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (940 hPa) located at 6.9N 131.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 8.3N 125.9E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
45 HRS: 10.4N 122.5E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
69 HRS: 12.6N 120.0E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #4
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
11:00 AM PhST December 3 2012
==============================

Typhoon "PABLO" has maintained its strength and is now heading towards Surigao Provinces

At 10:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [948 hPa] located at 6.9°N 131.4°E or 550 km southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots gusting up to 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.

State of the sea is rough to phenomenal

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #3
-----------

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Surigao del Sur
2. Surigao del Norte
3. Siargao
4. Dinagat
5. Agusan del Norte
6. Agusan del Sur
7. Davao Oriental

Signal Warning #2
-----------

Visayas Region
-------------
1. Southern Leyte
2. Bohol

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Camiguin
2. Misamis Oriental
3. Bukidnon
4. Davao del Norte
5. Compostela Valley

Signal Warning #1
----------

Luzon Region
-------------
1. Cuyo Island

Visayas Region
=============
1. Eastern Samar
2. Western Samar
3. Leyte
4. Biliran
5. Aklan
6. Capiz
7. Antique
8. Iloilo
9. Guimaras
10. Negros Occidental
11. Negros Oriental
12. Cebu
13. Siquijor

Mindanao Region
================
1. Zamboanga Provinces
2. Lanao Provinces
3. Davao del Sur
4. North Cotabato
5. Maguindanao

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 600 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signals are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #3 and signal #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this Typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #59
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
9:00 AM JST December 3 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (940 hPa) located at 6.8N 131.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 8.0N 126.6E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
48 HRS: 10.4N 122.5E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
72 HRS: 12.6N 120.0E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #58
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
6:00 AM JST December 3 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (940 hPa) located at 6.6N 132.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 14 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 7.8N 127.4E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
45 HRS: 9.5N 123.6E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
69 HRS: 11.7N 120.5E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #3
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
5:00 AM PhST December 3 2012
==============================

Typhoon "PABLO" has slightly weakened as it moves west northwestward

At 4:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [948 hPa] located at 6.6°N 132.9°E or 700 km southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots gusting up to 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.

State of the sea is rough to phenomenal

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #2
-----------

Mindanao Region
----------------
1. Surigao del Sur
2. Northern part of Davao Oriental

Signal Warning #1
----------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Siquijor
2. Bohol
3. Biliran
4. Camotes Island
5. Southern Leyte
6. Leyte
7. Eastern Samar
8. Western Samar

Mindanao Region
================
1. Surigao del Norte
2. Siargao Island
3. Dinagat Is.
4. Agusan del Norte
5. Agusan del Sur
6. Rest of Davao Oriental
7. Davao del Norte inc
8. Samal Is.
9. Compostela Valley
10. Bukidnon
11. Misamis Occidental
12. Misamis Oriental
13. Camiguin
14. Lanao del Norte
15. Lanao del Sur

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 20-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 600 km diameter of the typhoon.

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #2 and #1 are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides. Likewise, those living in coastal areas under public storm warning signal #2 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by this tropical cyclone.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #57
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
3:00 AM JST December 3 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (940 hPa) located at 6.5N 133.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 7.6N 128.3E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
48 HRS: 9.5N 123.6E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
72 HRS: 11.7N 120.5E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #2
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
11:00 PM PhST December 2 2012
==============================

Typhoon "PABLO" has accelerated and entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility

At 10:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Pablo [943 hPa] located at 6.4°N 134.0°E or 810 km southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots gusting up to 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 13 knots.

State of the sea is rough to phenomenal

Signal Warnings
==============

Signal Warning #1
-----------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Bohol
2. Biliran
3. Camotes Island
4. Southern Leyte
5. Leyte
6. Eastern Samar
7. Western Samar

Mindanao Region
================
1. Surigao del Sur
2. Surigao del Norte
3. Siargao Island
4. Dinagat Is.
5. Agusan del Norte
6. Agusan del Sur
7. Davao Oriental
8. Davao del Norte
9. Samal Is.
10. Compostela Valley
11. Bukidnon
12. Misamis Oriental
13. Camiguin

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 20-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 700 km diameter of the typhoon.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern Seaboards of Visayas and Mindanao.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
RSMC Reunion
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
16:30 PM RET December 2 2012
=================================

Within the northeastern part of the basin, a low is building with a clockwise circulation still poorly defined, located approximately near 9.0S 88.0E at 1000 AM UTC. This area undergoes a moderate to strong Easterly to northeasterly vertical wind shear.

Establishment of the monsoon flow east of 60.0E within the next 24 hours should improve the equatorward inflow of this low. The moderate to strong vertical wind shear should remain the limiting factor of the development until Tuesday.

There is no other suspect area over the basin.

For the next 48 hours, potential for the development of a tropical depression is poor. Beyond potential becomes fair.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #55
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
21:00 PM JST December 2 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (935 hPa) located at 6.4N 134.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 14 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 7.4N 129.4E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
48 HRS: 9.2N 124.7E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Mindanao (Philippines)
72 HRS: 11.3N 120.9E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sulu Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #54
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
18:00 PM JST December 2 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 9:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (935 hPa) located at 6.4N 135.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 14 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 7.5N 130.3E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
45 HRS: 9.5N 126.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
69 HRS: 11.4N 121.8E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #53
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
15:00 PM JST December 2 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (935 hPa) located at 6.4N 136.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 17 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 7.5N 130.9E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
48 HRS: 9.5N 126.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
72 HRS: 11.4N 121.8E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST December 2 2012
================================

The low pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal persists. The low lays centered within half a degree of 11.5N 87.5E. Center is poorly defined and wind shear is of the order of 10-20 knots over the region.

Dvorak intensity: T1.0
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #1
TYPHOON PABLO (BOPHA)
11:00 AM PhST December 2 2012
==============================

The typhoon east of southern Mindanao is expected to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility this evening and will be named "PABLO"

At 10:00 AM PhST, Typhoon Pablo (Bopha) [943 hPa] located at 6.3°N 137.1°E or 1,110 km east southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots gusting up to 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 11 knots.

Additional Information
========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 20-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 700 km diameter of the typhoon.

Typhoon "PABLO" is still far to directly affect any part of the country. The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #52
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
12:00 PM JST December 2 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (935 hPa) located at 6.4N 136.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 14 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 7.3N 131.8E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
45 HRS: 8.6N 127.7E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
69 HRS: 10.7N 122.8E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #51
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
9:00 AM JST December 2 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (935 hPa) located at 6.2N 137.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 7.0N 132.9E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
48 HRS: 8.6N 127.7E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
72 HRS: 10.7N 122.8E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
National Weather Service Tiyan, Guam
======================================

TYPHOON WARNING remains in effect for Koror and Kayangel in the Republic of Palau

TYPHOON WATCH remains in effect for Ngulu in Yap State

TROPICAL STORM WATCH remains in effect for Sonsorol in the Republic of Palau.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #50
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
6:00 AM JST December 2 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (940 hPa) located at 5.9N 138.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts of 135 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 6.8N 133.5E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
45 HRS: 8.0N 128.9E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
69 HRS: 9.8N 123.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #49
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
3:00 AM JST December 2 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (940 hPa) located at 5.8N 138.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts of 135 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T6.0

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 6.8N 134.1E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
48 HRS: 8.0N 128.9E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
72 HRS: 9.8N 123.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Tokyo ADT

2012DEC01 143000 6.5 919.7/ +5.7 /127.0 6.5 6.8 6.8

Dvorak T6.5

Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #47
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
21:00 PM JST December 1 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (945 hPa) located at 5.4N 140.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 11 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 6.5N 135.5E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
48 HRS: 7.7N 130.2E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
72 HRS: 9.5N 124.9E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #46
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
18:00 PM JST December 1 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 9:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (945 hPa) located at 5.3N 140.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 6.3N 136.4E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
45 HRS: 7.6N 132.4E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
69 HRS: 9.2N 127.5E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
National Weather Service Tiyan Guam
===========================================

A TYPHOON WARNING is now in effect for Koror and Kayangel in the Republic of Palau.

The TYPHOON WATCH remains in effect for Ngulu in Yap State.

The TROPICAL STORM WATCH remains in effect for Sonsorol in the Republic of Palau.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:30 AM IST December 1 2012
=================================

Vortex over southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining east central Bay of Bengal centered within a half degree of 11.0N 90.0E.

Dvorak intensity: T1.0

Center is more clear in visible imagery. Wind shear is of the order of 10 knots over the region.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #45
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
15:00 PM JST December 1 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (945 hPa) located at 5.1N 141.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 6.2N 137.1E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
48 HRS: 7.6N 132.4E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
72 HRS: 9.2N 127.5E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #44
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
12:00 PM JST December 1 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (945 hPa) located at 4.9N 141.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 6.0N 137.7E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
45 HRS: 7.1N 133.9E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
69 HRS: 8.6N 129.1E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #43
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
9:00 AM JST December 1 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (945 hPa) located at 4.7N 142.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T5.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 5.8N 138.2E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
48 HRS: 7.1N 133.9E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
72 HRS: 8.6N 129.1E - 95 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Tokyo ADT

2012NOV30 213000 6.0 932.9/ +5.9 /115.0 6.0 6.1 6.8

Dvorak 6.0

Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #42
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
6:00 AM JST December 1 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (965 hPa) located at 4.5N 142.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 75 knots with gusts of 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 5.8N 138.6E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
45 HRS: 7.0N 135.1E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
69 HRS: 8.3N 130.5E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #41
TYPHOON BOPHA (T1224)
3:00 AM JST December 1 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Bopha (965 hPa) located at 4.4N 142.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 75 knots with gusts of 105 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T4.5

Storm Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
210 NM from the center in northern quadrant
180 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 5.7N 139.1E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
48 HRS: 7.0N 135.1E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
72 HRS: 8.3N 130.5E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East of Mindanao (Philippines)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #39
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (T1224)
21:00 PM JST November 30 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 12:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Bopha (980 hPa) located at 4.0N 144.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 11 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 5.4N 140.8E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
45 HRS: 6.7N 137.2E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
69 HRS: 7.9N 133.2E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #38
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (T1224)
18:00 PM JST November 30 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 9:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Bopha (990 hPa) located at 4.0N 144.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 5.5N 141.5E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Caroline Island
45 HRS: 6.5N 138.6E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
69 HRS: 7.8N 134.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #37
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM BOPHA (T1224)
15:00 PM JST November 30 2012
=======================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Bopha (990 hPa) located at 3.9N 145.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 5.2N 142.2E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Caroline Island
48 HRS: 6.5N 138.6E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
72 HRS: 7.8N 134.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Caroline Island
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:30 AM IST November 30 2012
=================================

The low pressure area over Andaman Sea and neighborhood now lies over Andaman Sea and adjoining east central Bay of Bengal.

It may become well marked low pressure area during next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44724

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