September 1 2012 - October 31 2012

By: HadesGodWyvern , 11:32 PM GMT on August 31, 2012

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Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2012 season
=================================================
Information used for this blog are from

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

-----------------
Northwestern Pacific
-----------------
Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
Hong Kong Observatory: China
Typhoon 2000: Philippines
PAGASA: Manila, Philippines

------------------
Northern Indian Ocean
--------------------
India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
Thailand Meteorological Department

------------------------
Northeastern Pacific Ocean
------------------------
National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL

-------------------------
Central Northeastern Pacific
----------------------------
Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii

---------------------------
Southern Indian Ocean
---------------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia
Mauritius Meteorological Service
Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center

--------------------------
Southern Pacific Ocean
-----------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington

=========================================

=======================
Northeast Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Miami National Hurricane Center

National Hurricane Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

September
EP092012.Ileana - 976 hPa
EP102012.John - 1001 hPa
EP112012.Kristy - 998 hPa
EP122012.Lane - 989 hPa
EP132012.Miriam - 958 hPa
EP142012.Norman - 1000 hPa

October
EP152012.Olivia - 998 hPa
EP162012.Paul - 960 hPa
EP172012.Rosa - 1002 hPa

-------------------------------------------------
=======================
North Central Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Honolulu National Hurricane Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================



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========================
Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Japan Meteorological Agency

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

September
T201216.Sanba/Karen - 900 hPa
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 hPa
T201217.Jelawat/Lawin - 905 hPa
T201218.Ewiniar - 985 hPa
T201219.Maliksi - 985 hPa

October
T201220.Gaemi/Marce - 990 hPa
T201221.Prapiroon/Nina - 940 hPa
T201222.Maria - 990 hPa
T201223.Son-Tinh/Ofel - 945 hPa


-------------------------------------------------
========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

October
BOB01-2012.NONAME - 1003 hPa
ARB01-2012.Murjan - 1000 hPa
BOB02-2012.Nilam - 992 hPa

-------------------------------------------------
Southwestern Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Seychelles Meteorological Services
Mauritius Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

October
01R.Anais - 949 hPa

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Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
TROPICAL STORM SON-TINH (T1223)
6:00 AM JST October 24 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (998 hPa) located at 9.5N 126.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.2N 123.2E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Overland Philippines
45 HRS: 12.8N 118.4E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
69 HRS: 14.6N 113.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #6
TROPICAL STORM OFEL (SON-TINH)
5:00 AM PhST, October 24 2012
==============================

"OFEL" has intensified into a tropical storm and threatens Caraga Region and Visayas

At 4:00 AM PhST, Tropical Storm Ofel (SON-TINH) [997 hPa] located at 9.0°N 127.3°E or 90 km East of Tandag, Surigao Del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #2
-------------------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Southern Leyte

Signal Warning #1
----------------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Samar Provinces
2. Leyte
3. Biliran Island
4. Bohol
5. Cebu
6. Camotes Island
7. Negros Provinces
8. Siquijor Island

Mindanao Region
--------------
1. Rest of Agusan Del Sur
2. Northern Bukidnon
3. Misamis Oriental

Additional Information
=========================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal (PSWS) #2 and #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Residents in coastal areas under signal #2 are alerted of possible storm surges.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 5-20 mm per hour (moderate to intense) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern Seaboards of southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao due to the combined effect of the Tropical Storm "Ofel"and the Northeast Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036


Deep Depression "ARB01" forecast track towards Somalia coast
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
TROPICAL STORM SON-TINH (T1223)
3:00 AM JST October 24 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Son-Tinh (998 hPa) located at 8.8N 127.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.8N 123.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Overland Philippines
48 HRS: 12.8N 118.4E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
72 HRS: 14.6N 113.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) South China Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
DEEP DEPRESSION ARB01-2012
20:30 PM IST October 23 2012
=====================================

At 15:00 PM UTC, The depression over southwest Arabian Sea moved westward and intensified into a deep depression. Deep Depression ARB01-2012 lays near 11.5N 63.5E or 1000 km west northwest of Amini Divi, India (Lakshadweep) and 1050 km east southeast of Socotra Island, Yemen. The system is likely to move westward towards Somalia coast during the next 48 hours.

According to satellite imagery, the Dvorak intensity of the system is T2.0. The lowest cloud top temperature is about -79C. Associate broken intense to very intense convection is seen over Arabian Sea between 6.5N to 16.5N to 64.0E. Convection is more intense in the southwest sector of the deep depression.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 30 knots, The central pressure of the system is 1002 hPa. The state of the sea is rough to very rough around the center of the system.

The sea surface temperature is about 29-3. Over east central and southeast Arabian Sea. It is about 26-28C over west central and southwest Arabian Sea (west of 60.0E).The ocean thermal energy is 80-100 kj/cm2 around the system center. It is less than 50 kj/cm2 over west central and southwest Arabian Sea (west of 60.0E). The upper tropospheric ridge lies along 14.0N and hence lies to the north of the system center. The low level convergence has increased during past 12 hrs as well as upper level divergence and lower level relative vorticity. The maximum vorticity and low level convergence lie over southwest sector of the depression. The vertical wind shear between 200 and 850 HPA levels is low near system center (5-10 knots) and moderate (10-20 knots) towards north and south of the system. There is decrease in wind shear by 5-10 knots during past 24 hrs.

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

9 HRS: 11.5N 62.5E - 30 knots (Deep Depression)
15 HRS: 11.5N 61.5E - 30 knots (Deep Depression)
39 HRS: 11.5N 59.0E - 25 knots (Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OFEL
11:00 PM PhST, October 23 2012
==============================

Tropical Depression "OFEL" has maintained its strength as it continues to move west northwest in the general direction of Surigao Del Norte

At 10:00 PM PhST, Tropical Depression Ofel [1000 hPa] located at 8.9°N 128.6°E or 170 km northeast of Hinatuan, Surigao Del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1
----------------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Leyte
2. Southern Leyte
3. Eastern Samar
4. Western Samar
5. Bohol
6. Camotes Island

Mindanao Region
--------------
1. Dinagat
2. Surigao Provinces
3. Agusan Provinces
4. Camiguin Island
5. Misamis Oriental

Additional Information
=========================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 5-20 mm per hour (moderate to intense) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboards of southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao due to Tropical Depression "OFEL" and the northeast monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
DEPRESSION ARB01-2012
17:30 PM IST October 23 2012
=====================================

SUBJECT: Depression Over Southeast Arabian Sea.

At 12:00 PM UTC, Depression ARB01-2012 over southeast Arabian Sea moved west northwestward and lays now near 11.5N 64.0E or about 950 km west northwest of Amini Divi, India (Lakshadweep) and 1100 km esat southeast of Socotra Island, Yemen. The system may intensify into a deep depression during the next 24 hours as it moves west northwestward for some time then move westward towards Somalia coast.

According to satellite imagery, the Dvorak intensity of the system is T1.5. The lowest cloud top temperature is about -76C. Associated broken intense to very intense convection is seen over the Arabian Sea between 8.0N to 12.5N and between 59.0E to 64.0E. Moderate to intense convection over rest Arabian Sea between 6.5N to 16.5N east of 58.0E. Convection is more intense in the southwestern sector of the depression.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 25 knots with gusting up to 35 knots. The central pressure of the system is 1006 hPa. The state of the sea is rough to very rough around the center of system.

Considering the environmental features, the Madden Julian Oscillation index currently lies over phase 1 with amplitude > 1. As per statistical and numerical weather prediction model predictions, it is expected to move to phase 2 during next 3 days. Hence it is favorable for further intensification.The sea surface temperature is about 29-30C. Over east central and southeast Arabian Sea. It is about 26-28c over west central and southwest Arabian Sea (west of 60.0E). The ocean thermal energy is 80-100 kj/cm2 around the system center. It is less than 50 kj/cm2 over west central and southwest Arabian sea (west of 60.0E). The upper tropospheric ridge lies along 14.0N and hence lies to the north of the system center. The low level convergence has increased during past 12 hrs as well as upper level divergence and lower level relative vorticity. The maximum vorticity and low level convergence lie over southwest sector of the depression. The vertical wind shear between 200 and 850 HPA levels is low near system center (5-10 knots) and moderate (10-20 knots) towards north and south of the system.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
21:00 PM JST October 23 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1000 hPa) located at 8.3N 128.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.2N 124.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Overland Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036


depression in Arabian Sea
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
18:00 PM JST October 23 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1000 hPa) located at 8.2N 128.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 9.8N 125.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East of Mindanao
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OFEL
11:00 PM PhST, October 23 2012
==============================

Tropical Depression "OFEL" changed its course and is now moving west northwest in the general direction of Surigao Del Norte

At 10:00 PM PhST, Tropical Depression Ofel [1000 hPa] located at 8.9°N 128.6°E or 220 km east of Hinatuan, Surigao Del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1
----------------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Leyte
2. Southern Leyte
3. Eastern Samar
4. Western Samar
5. Bohol
6. Camotes Island

Mindanao Region
--------------
1. Dinagat
2. Surigao Provinces
3. Agusan Provinces
4. Camiguin Island
5. Misamis Oriental

Additional Information
=========================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 5-15 mm per hour (moderate to heavy) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboards of southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao due to Tropical Depression "OFEL" and the northeast Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM tonight.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
DEPRESSION ARB01-2012
11:30 AM IST October 23 2012
=====================================

SUBJECT: Depression Over Southeast Arabian Sea.

At 6:00 AM UTC. Latest satellite imagery indicates that the low pressure area over southeast Arabian Sea moved west northwestward and concentrated into a depression. Depression ARB01-2012 lays near 11.0N 65.0E or about 800 km west of Amini Divi, India and 1200 km east southeast of Socotra Island, Yemen. The system is likely to intensify further and move west northwestward towards Somalis and Yemen coast during the next 72 hours.

According to satellite imagery, the Dvorak intensity of the system is T1.5. The lowest cloud top temperature is about -70C. Associated broken moderate to intense convection is seen over the Arabian Sea between 9.0N to 16.5N and 60.0E to 70.0E.

3 minute sustained winds near the center is 25 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The central pressure of the system is 1006 hPa. The state of the sea is rough to very rough around the center.

Considering the environmental features, the Madden Julian Oscillation Index currently lies over phase 1 with amplitude >1. As per statistical and numerical weather prediction model predictions, it is expected to move to Phase 2 during next 3 days. Hence it is favorable for further intensification. The sea surface temperature is about 29-30C. Over north Bay of Bengal. The ocean thermal energy is 80-100 kj/cm2 around the system center. It decreases towards Somalia and Yemen coasts. The upper tropospheric ridge lies along 15.0 N and hence lies to the north of the system center. The low level convergence has increased during past 12 hrs as well as upper level divergence and lower level relative vorticity. The vertical wind Shear between 200 and 850 HPA levels is low to moderate (10-20 knots) around system center. There is no change in wind shear during past 24 Hrs.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
15:00 PM JST October 23 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1000 hPa) located at 8.0N 128.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 9.6N 126.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East of Mindanao
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:30 AM IST October 23 2012
=====================================

The low pressure area over southeast Arabian Sea now lies over southeast and adjoining east central
Arabian Sea as well marked low pressure area. It may intensify into depression during next 24 hours.

The meteorological analysis suggest that a low pressure area would develop over south Andaman sea during next 48 hours. Dynamical Models are indicating its further intensification and initial west northwestwards movement.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
12:00 PM JST October 23 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1002 hPa) located at 8.3N 129.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 9.7N 126.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East of Mindanao
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OFEL
11:00 AM PhST, October 23 2012
==============================

Tropical Depression "OFEL" moves continously westward posing risk to northern Mindanao-eastern Visayas Area

At 10:00 AM PhST, Tropical Depression Ofel [1000 hPa] located at 9.0°N 129.2°E or 300 km east of Tandag, Surigao Del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1
----------------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Leyte
2. Southern Leyte
3. Eastern Samar
4. Western Samar

Mindanao Region
--------------
1. Surigao Del Norte
2. Dinagat Island
3. Surigao Del Sur
4. Agusan Provinces
5. Camiguin Island

Additional Information
=========================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 5-15 mm per hour (moderate to heavy) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao due to Tropical Depression "OFEL" and the northeast Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
9:00 AM JST October 23 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 8.4N 130.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 9.3N 127.2E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East of Mindanao
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
6:00 AM JST October 23 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 9.2N 131.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.5N 128.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
23:30 PM IST October 22 2012
===================================

The trough of low lies over southeast Bay of Bengal with the upper air cyclonic circulation aloft. The meteorological analysis suggest that a low pressure area would develop over south Andaman Sea around October 24th. Numerical weather prediction models are indicating its further intensification and initial west-northwest wards movement.

A low pressure area has developed over southeast Arabian Sea. It may become well marked during next 24 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OFEL
5:00 AM PhST, October 23 2012
==============================

Tropical Depression "OFEL" has maintained its strength as it moves west towards northern Mindanao-eastern Visayas Area

At 4:00 AM PhST, Tropical Depression Ofel [1000 hPa] located at 9.4°N 130.1°E or 460 km east of Surigao City, Surigao Del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1
----------------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Leyte
2. Southern Leyte
3. Eastern Samar
4. Western Samar

Mindanao Region
--------------
1. Surigao Del Norte
2. Dinagat Island
3. Surigao Del Sur
4. Agusan Provinces
5. Camiguin Island


Additional Information
=========================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides.

Estimated rainfall amount is from 5-20 mm per hour (moderate to intense) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboards of southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao due to Tropical Depression "OFEL" and the northeast Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
3:00 AM JST October 23 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 9.2N 131.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.5N 128.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OFEL
11:00 PM PhST, October 22 2012
==============================

The Low Pressure Area east of Surigao Del Sur has developed into a tropical depression and was named "OFEL".

At 10:00 PM PhST, Tropical Depression Ofel [1000 hPa] located at 9.0°N 130.8°E or 460 km east of Hinatuan City, Surigao Del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Signal Warnings
=================

Signal Warning #1
----------------

Visayas Region
=============
1. Leyte
2. Southern Leyte
3. Eastern Samar
4. Western Samar

Mindanao Region
--------------
1. Surigao Del Norte
2. Dinagat Island
3. Surigao Del Sur
4. Agusan Provinces
5. Camiguin Island

Additional Information
=========================

Residents living in low lying and mountainous areas under public storm warning signal #1 are alerted against possible flash floods and landslides. Estimated rainfall amount is from 5-20 mm per hour (moderate to intense) within the 300 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboards of Southern Luzon, Visayas and Mindanao due to Tropical Depression "OFEL" and the northeast Monsoon.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 5 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
21:00 PM JST October 22 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Mindanao

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 9.2N 131.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving westat 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.4N 128.7E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
15:00 PM JST October 22 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near The Caroline Islands

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 9.2N 133.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.4N 130.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:30 AM IST October 22 2012
=====================================

A low pressure area has developed over southeast Arabian Sea. It may concentrate into a depression
during next 48 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
12:00 PM JST October 22 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near The Caroline Islands

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.2N 133.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.5N 131.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 25
9:00 AM JST October 22 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near The Caroline Islands

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.2N 133.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.2N 131.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
3:00 AM JST October 22 2012
====================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 6.0N 134.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
17:30 PM IST October 21 2012
=================================

a low pressure area would develop over southeast Arabian
Sea during next 24 hours.

a low pressure area would form over the same area around 24th October. This low pressure area over southeast Bay of Bengal may intensify into a depression
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:30 AM IST October 21 2012
=================================

a low pressure area may develop over southeast Arabian Sea during next 24 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER MARIA (T1222)
15:00 PM JST October 20 2012
================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Maria (1008 hPa) located at 33.0N 163.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving east at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER MARIA (T1222)
9:00 AM JST October 20 2012
================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Maria (1008 hPa) located at 32.0N 161.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving east at 10 knots.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
DEVELOPED LOW, FORMER PRAPIROON (T1221)
9:00 AM JST October 20 2012
================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Extratropical Low, Former Prapiroon (1004 hPa) located at 33.0N 155.0E. The low is reported as moving east at 25 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER MARIA (T1222)
3:00 AM JST October 20 2012
================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Maria (1010 hPa) located at 31.0N 160.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving slowly eastward.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
DEVELOPING LOW, FORMER PRAPIROON (T1221)
3:00 AM JST October 20 2012
================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Extratropical Low, Former Prapiroon (1000 hPa) located at 33.0N 152.0E. The low is reported as moving east at 25 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER MARIA (T1222)
21:00 PM JST October 19 2012
================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Maria (1010 hPa) located at 31.0N 160.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving east at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #117
DEVELOPING LOW, FORMER PRAPIROON (T1221)
21:00 PM JST October 19 2012
================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Extratropial Low, Former Prapiroon (1000 hPa) located at 34.0N 149.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east at 30 knots.

Gale Force Winds
================
300 NM from the center

This is the final Tropical Cyclone Advisory from the Japan Meteorological Agency
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER MARIA (T1222)
15:00 PM JST October 19 2012
================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Maria (1008 hPa) located at 31.0N 159.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving east at 10 knots.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #115
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (T1221)
15:00 PM JST October 19 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of Japan

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Prapiroon (994 hPa) located at 32.7N 145.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east northeast at 29 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
300 NM from the center in northern quadrant
210 NM from the center in southern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 33.6N 157.3E - Extratropical Cyclone in Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #39
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER MARIA (T1222)
9:00 AM JST October 19 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea Far East Of Japan

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Maria (1006 hPa) located at 31.0N 158.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving east at 10 knots.

This is the final tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #113
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (T1221)
9:00 AM JST October 19 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of Japan

At 0:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Prapiroon (994 hPa) located at 32.5N 142.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east northeast at 30 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
300 NM from the center in southern quadrant
240 NM from the center in northern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 33.8N 154.2E - Extratropical Cyclone in Sea East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #37
TROPICAL STORM MARIA (T1222)
3:00 AM JST October 19 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea Far East Of Japan

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Maria (1004 hPa) located at 31.4N 156.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
180 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 31.6N 161.0E - Tropical Depression In Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #111
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (T1221)
3:00 AM JST October 19 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea South Of Japan

At 18:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Prapiroon (990 hPa) located at 31.3N 139.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east northeast at 27 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
300 NM from the center in southern quadrant
240 NM from the center in northern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 33.5N 150.4E - Extratropical Cyclone in Sea East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #35
TROPICAL STORM MARIA (T1222)
21:00 PM JST October 18 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea Far East Of Japan

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Maria (1000 hPa) located at 31.5N 154.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east at 20 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
210 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 32.4N 160.5E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - Sea Far East Of Japan
48 HRS: 33.0N 166.0E - Tropical Depression In Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #26
PERTURBATION TROPICALE, FORMER ANAIS (01-20122013)
16:30 PM RET October 18 2012
==========================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Disturbance, Former Anais (1006 hPa) located at 16.2S 53.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving west southwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: No Report

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 16.7S 50.5E - 25 knots (Depression se Comblant)

Additional Information
======================

Little evolution about ex-Anais over the last 6 hours. The system still shows a large but rather well defined low level vortex ( around 500 km diameter). There is no more deep convective activity within the circulation. Convective bursts could however temporarily appear near the center tonight.

Ex-Anais should remain under the steering influence of a low to mid-level ridge located in the southeast and so should follow a westward to west southwestward track.

Environmental conditions are very unfavorable (strong north-westerly wind-shear and sst too fresh) and ex-Anais continues to progressively fill up and dissipate Friday afternoon or Friday night over the eastern Malagasy coastlines.

Last advisory for this system unless re-intensification. It will be closely monitored until final dissipation with the AWIO20 daily bulletin.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #109
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (T1221)
21:00 PM JST October 18 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea South Of Japan

At 12:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Prapiroon (990 hPa) located at 30.2N 136.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northeast at 25 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
300 NM from the center in southern quadrant
240 NM from the center in northern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 33.0N 146.8E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Japan
48 HRS: 33.8N 158.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea Far East Of Japan
72 HRS: 34.3N 166.0E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #108
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (T1221)
18:00 PM JST October 18 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea South Of Japan

At 9:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Prapiroon (990 hPa) located at 29.4N 135.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northeast at 23 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
300 NM from the center in southern quadrant
240 NM from the center in northern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 32.5N 145.1E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - east southeast of Hachijo jima
45 HRS: 33.7N 155.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea Far East Of Japan
69 HRS: 33.5N 165.1E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
649. whitewabit (Mod)
HGW .. Good so you got a good rain too .. we are still over 7 inches behind for the year ..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #33
TROPICAL STORM MARIA (T1222)
15:00 PM JST October 18 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of Japan

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Maria (998 hPa) located at 32.0N 152.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east northeast at 20 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
=================
180 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 32.3N 158.9E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - Sea Far East Of Japan
48 HRS: 33.1N 162.6E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - Sea Far East Of Japan
72 HRS: 35.1N 166.9E - Tropical Depression In Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
647. whitewabit (Mod)
HGW .. Did you get much rain out of this front ?? Airport here says we got .95 inches .. haven't checked mine, but we had a good rain for a much of the evening ..
Member Since: Posts: Comments:
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #107
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM PRAPIROON (T1221)
15:00 PM JST October 18 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea South Of Japan

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Prapiroon (990 hPa) located at 28.5N 134.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northeast at 22 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
300 NM from the center in southern quadrant
240 NM from the center in northern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 32.0N 143.7E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - east southeast of Hachijo jima
48 HRS: 33.7N 155.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea Far East Of Japan
72 HRS: 33.5N 165.1E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Seychelles Meteorological Services
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #25
PERTURBATION TROPICALE, FORMER ANAIS (01-20122013)
10:30 AM RET October 18 2012
==========================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Disturbance, Former Anais (1005 hPa) located at 16.0S 54.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. The disturbance is reported as moving west southwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: No Report

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 16.3S 51.0E - 25 knots (Depression se Comblant)

Additional Information
======================

Ex-Anais passed over Tromelin this morning. Partial observations from the station and obs from buoy 14046 are used to estimate the central pressure. There is no more deep convective activity within the circulation. Convective bursts could however temporarily appear near the center within night-time.

Available numerical guidance remains in good agreement for the forecast track. Anais should remain under the steering influence of a low to mid-level ridge located in the southeast and so should follow a westward to west southwestward track.

Environmental conditions are very unfavorable (strong northwesterly wind-shear and sea surface temperature too fresh) and ex-Anais continues to progressively fill up and dissipate Friday afternoon or Friday night over the eastern Malagasy coastline.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #32
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM MARIA (T1222)
12:00 PM JST October 18 2012
================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of Japan

At 3:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Maria (996 hPa) located at 31.7N 151.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving east northeast at 20 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
=================
180 NM from the center in southeastern quadrant
120 NM from the center in northwestern quadrant

Forecast and Intensity
======================

24 HRS: 32.0N 157.8E - 40 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - Sea Far East Of Japan
45 HRS: 32.2N 162.8E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - Sea Far East Of Japan
69 HRS: 32.9N 168.0E - Tropical Depression In Sea Far East Of Japan
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 52 Comments: 47036

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