September 1 2012 - October 31 2012
Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2012 season
=================================================
Information used for this blog are from
Joint Typhoon Warning Center
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Northwestern Pacific
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Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
Hong Kong Observatory: China
Typhoon 2000: Philippines
PAGASA: Manila, Philippines
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Northern Indian Ocean
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India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
Thailand Meteorological Department
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Northeastern Pacific Ocean
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National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL
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Central Northeastern Pacific
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Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii
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Southern Indian Ocean
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Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia
Mauritius Meteorological Service
Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center
--------------------------
Southern Pacific Ocean
-----------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington
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=======================
Northeast Pacific Ocean
========================
Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Miami National Hurricane Center
National Hurricane Center
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
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September
EP092012.Ileana - 976 hPa
EP102012.John - 1001 hPa
EP112012.Kristy - 998 hPa
EP122012.Lane - 989 hPa
EP132012.Miriam - 958 hPa
EP142012.Norman - 1000 hPa
October
EP152012.Olivia - 998 hPa
EP162012.Paul - 960 hPa
EP172012.Rosa - 1002 hPa
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=======================
North Central Pacific Ocean
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Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Honolulu National Hurricane Center
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
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Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================
Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency
Japan Meteorological Agency
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
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September
T201216.Sanba/Karen - 900 hPa
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 1006 hPa
T201217.Jelawat/Lawin - 905 hPa
T201218.Ewiniar - 985 hPa
T201219.Maliksi - 985 hPa
October
T201220.Gaemi/Marce - 990 hPa
T201221.Prapiroon/Nina - 940 hPa
T201222.Maria - 990 hPa
T201223.Son-Tinh/Ofel - 945 hPa
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========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================
Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
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October
BOB01-2012.NONAME - 1003 hPa
ARB01-2012.Murjan - 1000 hPa
BOB02-2012.Nilam - 992 hPa
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Southwestern Indian Ocean
=========================
Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Seychelles Meteorological Services
Mauritius Meteorological Services
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================
October
01R.Anais - 949 hPa
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Tropical Cyclone Advisory #38
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
18:00 PM JST September 15 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Five Typhoon In Sea South Of Okinawa
At 9:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (905 hPa) located at 24.0N 128.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 105 knots with gusts of 150 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 11 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T6.5
Storm Force Winds
=================
120 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
270 NM from the center in western quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 29.5N 127.7E - 100 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Naha, Okinawa region
45 HRS: 34.4N 127.4E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Tsushima Strait
69 HRS: 43.3N 131.2E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Maritime Province (Russia)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #39
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
21:00 PM JST September 15 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea South Of Okinawa
At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (910 hPa) located at 24.5N 128.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 11 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T6.0
Storm Force Winds
=================
120 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
270 NM from the center in western quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 30.2N 127.6E - 90 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) East China Sea
48 HRS: 36.2N 127.4E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Korean Peninsula
72 HRS: 44.8N 132.2E - Extratropical Low near Maritime Province (Russia)
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 AM PDT September 15 2012
==================================
Satellite images indicate that a tropical depression could be forming about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula. If trends continues.. advisories will be initiated later today.
Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
======================================
There is a HIGH chance of this tropical disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL CYCLONE KRISTY (EP112012)
8:00 AM PDT September 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" Barely A Tropical Storm..
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Kristy (1002 hPa) located at 22.4N 115.0W or 285 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
================
120 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 24.5N 117.5W - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 26.0N 119.0W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP122012
8:00 AM PDT September 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: New Depression Forms.. No Threat To Land
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1003 hPa) located at 14.0N 123.5W or 940 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 14.5N 125.5W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #10 (FINAL)
TYPHOON KAREN (SANBA)
11:00 PM PhST September 15 2012
==============================
Typhoon "KAREN" is now outside the Philippine Area Of Responsibility and continues to move towards the Southern island of Japan.
At 10:00 PM PhST, Typhoon Karen (Sanba) located at 25.2°N 128.3°E or 100 km south of Okinawa, Japan has 10 minute sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 9 knots.
Additional Information
===========================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-30 mm per hour (heavy to intense) within the 550 km diameter of the typhoon.
"KAREN" will continue to enhance the southwest monsoon that will bring occasional moderate to heavy rains over Ilocos Region, Cordillera Autonomous Region (CAR) and central Luzon. Residents in these areas are advised to be alert against possible flash floods and landslides.
Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out over the northern and eastern seaboards of northern Luzon, over the eastern seaboard of central Luzon, and over the seaboards of southern Luzondue to big waves generated by Typhoon "KAREN" and enhanced southwest monsoon.
With this development, this is the final bulletin for this weather disturbance.
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #41
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
3:00 AM JST September 16 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea South Of Okinawa
At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (925 hPa) located at 25.6N 128.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 11 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Storm Force Winds
=================
140 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
80 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
270 NM from the center in western quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 31.7N 127.3E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) West of Kyushu (Japan)
48 HRS: 39.3N 128.5E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea Of Japan
72 HRS: 46.4N 132.6E - Extratropical Low near Maritime Province (Russia)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #14
TROPICAL CYCLONE KRISTY (EP112012)
2:00 PM PDT September 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" Fighting The Cooler Waters..
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Kristy (1002 hPa) located at 23.2N 115.6W or 315 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 25.0N 118.0W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
2:00 PM PDT September 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: Depression Strengthens Into A Tropical Storm And Was Named "Lane"
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (1003 hPa) located at 12.8N 123.7W or 995 NM southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west southwest at 4 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 13.7N 125.6W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 16.0N 128.0W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 18.0N 129.5W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #42
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
6:00 AM JST September 16 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea Around Okinawa
At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (925 hPa) located at 26.4N 128.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Storm Force Winds
=================
140 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
270 NM from the center in western quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 32.7N 127.5E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) West of Kyushu (Japan)
45 HRS: 39.3N 128.5E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea Of Japan
69 HRS: 46.4N 132.6E - Extratropical Low near Maritime Province (Russia)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #43
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
9:00 AM JST September 16 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea Around Okinawa
At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (925 hPa) located at 27.0N 128.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 14 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Storm Force Winds
=================
140 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
270 NM from the center in western quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 33.5N 127.6E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Tsushima Waters
48 HRS: 41.9N 130.5E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea Of Japan
72 HRS: 49.7N 130.8E - Extratropical Low near Amur River Basin
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
TROPICAL CYCLONE KRISTY (EP112012)
8:00 PM PDT September 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" Slowly Weakening..
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Kristy (1004 hPa) located at 23.7N 116.2W or 350 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 25.6N 118.4W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
8:00 PM PDT September 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Expected To Strengthen Sunday..
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (1003 hPa) located at 13.3N 124.1W or 995 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 6 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 14.5N 126.1W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 16.9N 128.3W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 19.3N 129.7W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #44
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
12:00 PM JST September 16 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In East China Sea
At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (925 hPa) located at 27.8N 128.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 14 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Storm Force Winds
=================
140 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
270 NM from the center in western quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 34.3N 127.8E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) Tsushima Waters
45 HRS: 41.9N 130.5E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea Of Japan
69 HRS: 49.7N 130.8E - Extratropical Low near Amur River Basin
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #45
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
15:00 PM JST September 16 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In East China Sea
At 6:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (930 hPa) located at 28.8N 128.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 16 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Storm Force Winds
=================
140 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
270 NM from the center in western quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 35.3N 127.9E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Korean Peninsula
48 HRS: 44.5N 131.3E - Extratropical Low near Maritime Province (Russia)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
TROPICAL CYCLONE KRISTY (EP112012)
2:00 AM PDT September 16 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" Expected To Be A Remnant Low Soon..
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Kristy (1004 hPa) located at 24.1N 117.0W or 400 NM west northwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 25.8N 118.6W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
2:00 AM PDT September 16 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Stronger.. Forecast To Become A Hurricane By Monday
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (1001 hPa) located at 13.3N 124.5W or 1015 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 6 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 14.9N 126.5W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 17.8N 128.4W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 20.0N 130.3W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #46
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
18:00 PM JST September 16 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In East China Sea
At 9:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (930 hPa) located at 29.8N 128.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 20 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Storm Force Winds
=================
140 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
270 NM from the center in western quadrant
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 36.7N 128.3E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Overland Korean Peninsula
45 HRS: 44.5N 131.3E - Extratropical Low near Maritime Province (Russia)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #47
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
21:00 PM JST September 16 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In East China Sea
At 12:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (935 hPa) located at 30.6N 127.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 130 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 18 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Storm Force Winds
=================
140 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 37.9N 128.6E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Overland Korean Peninsula
48 HRS: 46.6N 132.4E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
TROPICAL CYCLONE KRISTY (EP112012)
8:00 AM PDT September 16 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" Expected Become A Tropical Depression Today..
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Kristy (1004 hPa) located at 24.5N 117.9W or 450 NM west northwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 26.1N 118.8W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
8:00 AM PDT September 16 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Strengthens Slightly
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (999 hPa) located at 13.8N 125.1W or 1025 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 7 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 15.7N 127.0W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 18.6N 129.2W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 20.2N 131.3W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #49
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
3:00 AM JST September 17 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In East China Sea
At 18:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (940 hPa) located at 32.2N 127.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 16 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Storm Force Winds
=================
120 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 40.4N 129.6E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea Of Japan
48 HRS: 47.9N 133.1E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #18
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER KRISTY (EP112012)
2:00 PM PDT September 16 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" Weakens Into A Tropical Depression..
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Kristy (1007 hPa) located at 25.0N 118.5W or 490 NM west northwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 6 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 26.5N 118.9W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
2:00 PM PDT September 16 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Shows No Strengthening At This Time.. But Still Expected To Become A Hurricane
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (997 hPa) located at 14.4N 125.5W or 1025 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 7 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 16.7N 127.4W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 19.7N 129.6W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 20.7N 131.9W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #50
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
6:00 AM JST September 17 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Four Typhoon In Sea Around Tsushima Strait
At 21:00 PM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (940 hPa) located at 33.1N 128.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 85 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 17 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Storm Force Winds
=================
120 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 41.8N 130.2E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea Of Japan
45 HRS: 47.9N 133.1E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #51
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
9:00 AM JST September 17 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon In Sea Around Tsushima Strait
At 0:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (950 hPa) located at 34.0N 128.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 18 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Storm Force Winds
=================
120 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 43.4N 131.2E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER KRISTY (EP112012)
8:00 PM PDT September 16 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" To Become A Remnant Low On Monday
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Kristy (1008 hPa) located at 25.3N 119.2W or 530 NM west northwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 6 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 26.5N 119.0W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
9:00 PM PDT September 16 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Close To Hurricane Strength
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (995 hPa) located at 15.0N 125.8W or 1020 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 17.7N 127.7W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 20.3N 130.0W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 20.7N 132.5W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #52
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
12:00 PM JST September 17 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Three Typhoon Overland Korean Peninsula
At 3:00 AM UTC, Typhoon Sanba (965 hPa) located at 34.9N 128.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 18 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: Overland
Storm Force Winds
=================
100 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
90 NM from the center in western quadrant
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 44.9N 132.2E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #53
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
15:00 PM JST September 17 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon Overland Korean Peninsula
At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Sanba (980 hPa) located at 36.3N 128.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 23 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: Overland
Storm Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 45.8N 132.7E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER KRISTY (EP112012)
2:00 AM PDT September 17 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" To Become A Remnant Low Later Today..
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Kristy (1009 hPa) located at 25.9N 119.4W or 550 NM west northwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 6 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 26.7N 118.6W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
2:00 AM PDT September 17 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Becomes A Hurricane
At 6:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Lane (993 hPa) located at 15.9N 126.1W or 1010 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.0
Hurricane Force Winds
====================
20 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 18.6N 127.8W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 20.7N 130.2W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 20.9N 132.7W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #54
TYPHOON SANBA (T1216)
18:00 PM JST September 17 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon Overland Korean Peninsula
At 9:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Sanba (985 hPa) located at 37.2N 129.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 23 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: Overland
Storm Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
===============
300 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 46.0N 133.3E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #55
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
21:00 PM JST September 17 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In The Sea Of Japan
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (990 hPa) located at 37.2N 129.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northeast at 23 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
===============
350 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 47.4N 134.1E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER KRISTY (EP112012)
8:00 AM PDT September 17 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Kristy" Becomes A Remnant Low
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Kristy (1009 hPa) located at 26.2N 119.5W or 560 NM west northwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 5 knots.
This is the final tropical cyclone advisory from the National Hurricane Center
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
8:00 AM PDT September 17 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Continues north northwestward..
At 12:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Lane (993 hPa) located at 16.7N 126.5W or 1010 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.0
Hurricane Force Winds
====================
20 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 19.4N 128.3W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 21.4N 130.3W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 21.4N 133.3W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #57
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
3:00 AM JST September 18 2012
======================================
SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In The Sea Of Japan
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (990 hPa) located at 40.2N 130.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northeast at 21 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
===============
350 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 48.2N 133.4E - Extratropical Low Overland District Of Northeastern China
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
2:00 PM PDT September 17 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Slightly Strengthens..
At 18:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Lane (989 hPa) located at 17.6N 127.1W or 1020 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.0
Hurricane Force Winds
====================
20 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 20.2N 128.9W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 21.6N 131.2W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
72 HRS: 21.2N 134.5W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #59
DEVELOPING LOW, FORMER SANBA (T1216)
9:00 AM JST September 18 2012
======================================
At 0:00 AM UTC, Extratropical Low, Former Sanba (994 hPa) located at 44.0N 133.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The low is reported as moving north northeast at 25 knots.
Gale Force Winds
===============
600 NM from the center in eastern quadrant
400 NM from the center in western quadrant
This is the final tropical cyclone advisory from Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
8:00 PM PDT September 17 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Expected To Weaken Tuesday..
At 0:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Lane (989 hPa) located at 18.4N 127.5W or 1025 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.0
Hurricane Force Winds
====================
20 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 20.6N 129.3W - 50 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 21.4N 131.7W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
2:00 AM PDT September 18 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Expected To Become A Remnant Low In A Couple Of Days...
At 6:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Lane (989 hPa) located at 19.3N 127.8W or 1025 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 65 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.0
Hurricane Force Winds
====================
20 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 21.0N 129.5W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 21.5N 132.5W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
8:00 AM PDT September 18 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Weakens Into A Tropical Storm..
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (993 hPa) located at 20.1N 127.9W or 1020 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 21.5N 129.7W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 21.5N 132.5W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #14
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
2:00 PM PDT September 18 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane"Fading Fast...
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (999 hPa) located at 20.6N 129.3W or 1100 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 7 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 21.4N 131.3W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
TROPICAL CYCLONE LANE (EP122012)
8:00 PM PDT September 18 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Continues To Weaken..
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Lane (1006 hPa) located at 20.8N 130.2W or 1135 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
================
30 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 21.2N 132.4W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER LANE (EP122012)
2:00 AM PDT September 18 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Weakens Into A Tropical Depression..
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Lane (1009 hPa) located at 20.8N 130.9W or 1175 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=======================
24 HRS: 21.0N 133.4W - Low Pressure Area
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER LANE (EP122012)
8:00 AM PDT September 18 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: "Lane" Weakens Into A Remnant Low
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Lane (1009 hPa) located at 20.9N 131.3W or 1200 NM west of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 5 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
This is the final tropical cyclone advisory from the National Hurricane Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT September 19 2012
===============================
A large area of cloudiness and showers accompanies a broad low pressure system located about 350 miles south southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. The circulation of the low is gradually becoming better defined.. and environment of this disturbance over the next few days as it moves generally westward at 5-10 MPH
Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================
There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST September 20 2012
==================================
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1010 hPa) located at 14.0N 135.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19
15:00 PM JST September 20 2012
==================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of The Philippines
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 13.8N 133.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 13.8N 131.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Additional Information
======================
Tropical depression will decelerate while moving westward for the next 24 hours
Tropical Depression will be upgraded to tropical storm within 24 hours
Tropical Depression will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area
Final initial Dvorak number will be 2.5 after 24 hours
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION LAWIN
5:00 PM PhST September 20 2012
==================================
The Active Low Pressure Area east of Southern Luzon has developed into a tropical depression and was named "LAWIN"
At 4:00 PM PhSt, Tropical Depression Lawin located at 14.0°N, 133.6°E or 910 km East of Virac, Catanduanes has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 4 knots.
Additional Information
=====================
Estimated rainfall amount is from 5-15 mm per hour (moderate to heavy) within the 300 km diameter of the tropical depression.
Tropical Depression "LAWIN" is still too far to affect any part of the country.
The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19
18:00 PM JST September 20 2012
==================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of The Philippines
At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 13.8N 132.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 13.8N 131.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
Viewing: 101 - 151
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