TC Leepi/Emong - Sea South Of Okinawa

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 PM PDT August 31 2012
=========================

An elongated trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles offshore of the coast of southern Mexico and Central America. Upper level winds are expected to be marginally conducive for development as it moves west northwestward at around 15 mph.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA (EP092012)
2:00 PM PDT August 31 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "Ileana" Weakens Back Into A Tropical Storm..

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Ileana (987 hPa) located at 22.4N 116.1W or 345 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Gale Force Winds
==================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 23.3N 118.9W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 23.8N 122.3W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #18
TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA (EP092012)
8:00 PM PDT August 31 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "Ileana" Weakening..

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Ileana (991 hPa) located at 22.6N 116.7W or 375 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Gale Force Winds
==================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 23.3N 119.6W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 23.6N 123.0W - Low Pressure Area

India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
17:30 PM IST August 31 2012
===================================

A fresh low pressure area may develop over west central and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal around 4th September

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19
TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA (EP092012)
2:00 AM PDT September 1 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "Ileana" Forecast To Be A Remnant Low On Sunday..

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Ileana (998 hPa) located at 22.7N 117.9W or 445 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
==================
70 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 23.0N 121.0W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 23.0N 124.5W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20
TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA (EP092012)
8:00 AM PDT September 1 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "Ileana" Moving Westward While Weakening..

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Ileana (999 hPa) located at 23.0N 118.6W or 480 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
==================
70 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 23.2N 122.0W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 22.8N 125.9W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM PDT September 1 2012
==================================

Updated...satellite imagery indicates that a small area of low pressure has developed about 100 miles southwest of Zihuatanejo, Mexico. While it currently appears that this system lacks a closed surface circulation...It is producing winds near tropical storm force just offshore of the southern coast of Mexico as it moves quickly west-northwestward at around 20 MPH.

Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles southwest of Acapulco Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development and this system could become a Tropical Depression during the next day or two as it moves west- northwestward at around 15 MPH

There is a HIGH chance of the second paragraph disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours. The first paragraph tropical disturbance has a MODERATE chance of developing..

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA (EP092012)
2:00 PM PDT September 1 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "Ileana" forecast To Become A Remnant Low Sunday..

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Ileana (1003 hPa) located at 23.1N 119.7W or 540 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
==================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 23.0N 123.2W - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 22.4N 126.7W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #22
TROPICAL CYCLONE ILEANA (EP092012)
8:00 PM PDT September 1 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "Ileana" Barely A Tropical Storm

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Ileana (1004 hPa) located at 23.1N 120.4W or 580 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
==================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 22.8N 123.7W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT September 1 2012
=====================================

Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located about 350 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system and it could become a tropical depression during the next day or so as it moves west northwest at 15 MPH.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
===================================

There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours

National Hurricane Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT September 1 2012
====================================

A small area of low pressure located about 150 miles south southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms with winds near tropical storm force just offshore of the southern coast of Mexico. However, this disturbance currently lacks a closed surface circulation. This system has a moderate chance of becoming a tropical cyclone before merging with the larger low to its south.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
======================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #23
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ILEANA (EP092012)
2:00 AM PDT September 2 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "Ileana" Weakens Into A Tropical Depression..

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Ileana (1007 hPa) located at 22.6N 121.3W or 630 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 22.3N 124.4W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #24
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ILEANA (EP092012)
8:00 AM PDT September 2 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "Ileana" Weakens Into A Remnant Low..

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Ileana (1008 hPa) located at 22.6N 122.5W or 700 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 10 knots.

This is the final tropical cyclone advisory from the National Hurricane Center

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP102012
2:00 PM PDT September 2 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Forms South Of Baja California Peninsula..

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 18.3N 109.6W or 275 NM south of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 20.7N 113.5W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP102012
8:00 PM PDT September 2 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Passing Northeast Of Socorro Island

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1001 hPa) located at 19.0N 110.9W or 240 NM south southwest of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 15 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 21.4N 114.6W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOHN (EP102012)
2:00 AM PDT September 3 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Strengthens Into A Tropical Storm Near Socorro Island

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm John (1001 hPa) located at 19.4N 111.7W or 230 NM south southwest of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
180 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 21.7N 115.2W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 23.7N 118.5W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
72 HRS: 25.0N 121.2W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOHN (EP102012)
8:00 AM PDT September 3 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "John" Moves Northwest Towards Cooler Sea Waters..

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm John (1001 hPa) located at 20.5N 112.6W or 210 NM southwest of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 11 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
160 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 22.7N 115.7W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 25.0N 119.0W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOHN (EP102012)
2:00 PM PDT September 3 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "John" Forecast To Weaken Overnight..

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm John (1002 hPa) located at 21.1N 114.0W or 255 NM west southwest of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
160 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 23.4N 117.4W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 25.6N 120.3W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER JOHN (EP102012)
8:00 PM PDT September 3 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "John" Weakens Into A Tropical Depression.. Forecast To Become A Remnant Low Soon

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former John (1003 hPa) located at 21.7N 114.6W or 270 NM west southwest of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 11 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 23.9N 117.6W - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 25.8N 120.4W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER JOHN (EP102012)
2:00 AM PDT September 4 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "John" Forecast To Become A Remnant Low Later Today..

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former John (1004 hPa) located at 22.5N 115.6W or 315 NM west of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 11 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 24.6N 118.5W - Low Pressure Area

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER JOHN (EP102012)
2:00 PM PDT September 4 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "John" Becomes A Remnant Low..

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former John (1006 hPa) located at 24.3N 117.7W or 440 NM west northwest of southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 12 knots.

This is the final tropical cyclone advisory from the National Hurricane Center

ah, I just heard it rained for the first time in months in California earlier from someone too.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST September 10 2012
======================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.0N 135.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT September 9 2012
========================================

A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms is associated with a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions are conducive for development over the next couple of days as it moves west northwest at around 10-15 MPH.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
15:00 PM JST September 10 2012
======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 9.0N 135.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 AM PDT September 10 2012
====================================

Showers and thunderstorms have become concentrated in association with a low pressure system located a few hundred miles south southwest of the Gulf of Tehuantepec. Environmental conditions remain conducive for development.. and a tropical depression could form within a couple of days as it moves west northwestward at 10-15 MPH

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
21:00 PM JST September 10 2012
======================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.0N 134.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 29.0N 146.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18
3:00 AM JST September 11 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Caroline Islands

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 9.0N 134.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 11.3N 134.3E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST September 11 2012
======================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 30.0N 144.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 18
6:00 AM JST September 11 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Caroline Islands

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 9.3N 134.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 11.2N 133.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
9:00 AM JST September 11 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (1004 hPa) located at 9.4N 134.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.0N 133.9E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 14.8N 133.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 17.1N 130.9E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines

Additional Information
=======================

Sanba will move north for the next 24 hours then gradually move northwestward

Final initial Dvorak number will be 2.5 after 24 hours

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST September 11 2012
======================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 30.0N 144.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
12:00 PM JST September 11 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (1004 hPa) located at 10.1N 134.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.9N 133.8E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
45 HRS: 14.8N 133.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
69 HRS: 17.1N 130.9E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines

Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KAREN
11:00 AM PhST September 11 2012
==============================

The Active Low Pressure Area east of Mindanao has developed into a Tropical Depression and was named "KAREN"

At 10:00 AM PhST, Tropical Depression Karen located at 9.0°N 133.4°E or 700 km east of Tandag, Surigao Del Sur has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 4 knots.

Additional Information
===========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10-20 mm per hour (moderate to heavy) within the 300 km diameter of the tropical depression.

Tropical Depression "KAREN" is still too far to affect any part of the country.

"Karen" is likely to intensify within the next 6 to 12 hours.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 pm today.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
15:00 PM JST September 11 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (1002 hPa) located at 10.6N 134.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 13.5N 134.1E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 16.7N 132.6E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 19.4N 130.6E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 PM PDT September 10 2012
========================================

A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are conducive for development.. and this disturbance could become a tropical depression within a couple of days as it moves west northwestward at 10-15 MPH.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
===================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
15:00 PM JST September 11 2012
======================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 30.0N 143.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
18:00 PM JST September 11 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (1002 hPa) located at 11.0N 134.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 14.2N 133.9E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
45 HRS: 16.7N 132.6E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
69 HRS: 19.4N 130.6E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
21:00 PM JST September 11 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (1000 hPa) located at 11.3N 133.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.0N 133.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 18.3N 131.5E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 21.0N 129.6E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 AM PDT September 11 2012
========================================

Showers and thunderstorms have increased near a broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions are conducive for development...and this disturbance could become a tropical depression during the next couple of days as it moves west northwestward at about 10 MPH.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours

Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #2
TROPICAL STORM KAREN (SANBA)
11:00 PM PhST September 11 2012
==============================

Tropical Storm "KAREN" has maintained its strength and has slightly accelerated as it continues to move over the East Philippine Sea

At 10:00 PM PhST, Tropical Storm Karen (Sanba) located at 11.6°N 133.0°E or 740 km east of Borongan, Eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Additional Information
===========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10-20 mm per hour (moderate to heavy) within the 300 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboard of Visayas and Mindanao due to Tropical Storm "Karen".

Meanwhile, the low pressure area was estimated at 240 km west of Zambales (15.0°N, 117.5°E).

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 a.m. tomorrow.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
3:00 AM JST September 12 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (1000 hPa) located at 11.9N 132.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.0N 131.3E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 18.3N 130.0E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 21.3N 128.2E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
3:00 AM JST September 12 2012
======================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 30.0N 143.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as almost stationary.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
6:00 AM JST September 12 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (1000 hPa) located at 12.3N 132.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.0N 130.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
45 HRS: 18.3N 130.0E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
69 HRS: 21.3N 128.2E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
9:00 AM JST September 12 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (992 hPa) located at 12.6N 131.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.3N 130.4E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 18.7N 129.2E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa
72 HRS: 21.8N 128.0E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa

Additional Information
======================

Sanba will move northwest of the next 24 hours then move north northwestward

tropical storm will be upgraded to a severe tropical storm within 24 hours

Sanba will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area

Final initial Dvorak number will be 3.5 after 24 hours

Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #3
TROPICAL STORM KAREN (SANBA)
11:00 AM PhST September 12 2012
==============================

Tropical Storm "KAREN" over the East Philippine Sea has intensified as it moves Northwestward

At 10:00 AM PhST, Tropical Storm Karen (Sanba) located at 12.8°N 131.6°E or 620 km east of Borongan, Eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Additional Information
===========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 10-20 mm per hour (moderate - heavy) within the 550 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the eastern seaboard of Visayas and Mindanao due to Tropical Storm "Karen".

Meanwhile, the low pressure area was estimated at 250 km west of Zambales 15.4°N 117.3°E.

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 p.m. today.

National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT September 11 2012
=====================================

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located about 250 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico have become better organized this afternoon. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development...And a tropical depression could form tonight or Wednesday as it moves west northwestward at 10 MPH.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST September 12 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression In Sea East Of Japan

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 31.5N 145.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving north at 10 knots.

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
12:00 PM JST September 12 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (992 hPa) located at 12.8N 131.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.5N 130.2E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
45 HRS: 18.7N 129.2E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa
69 HRS: 21.8N 128.0E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
15:00 PM JST September 12 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (992 hPa) located at 13.0N 131.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.7N 130.0E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
48 HRS: 18.9N 129.1E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
72 HRS: 22.3N 127.8E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa

Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #14
TROPICAL STORM SANBA (T1216)
18:00 PM JST September 12 2012
======================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanba (992 hPa) located at 13.2N 130.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
===============
150 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.8N 130.0E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) Sea East Of The Philippines
45 HRS: 18.9N 129.1E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) Sea East Of The Philippines
69 HRS: 22.3N 127.8E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) South Of Okinawa