July 1, 2012 - August 31, 2012
=======================
Northeast Pacific Ocean
========================
Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Miami National Hurricane Center
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================
July
EP042012.Daniel - 961 hPa
EP052012.Emilia - 945 hPa
EP062012.Fabio - 972 hPa
August
EP072012.Gilma - 984 hPa
EP082012.Hector - 993 hPa
EP092012.Ileana - 976 hPa
-------------------------------------------------
=======================
North Central Pacific Ocean
========================
Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Honolulu National Hurricane Center
Central Pacific Hurricane Center
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
===============================
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================
EP042012.Daniel (Crossed West of 140ºW)
EP052012.Emilia (Crossed West of 140ºW)
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========================
Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================
Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================
July
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 96W 1006 hPa
T072012.Khanun/Enteng - 985 hPa
T082012.Vicente/Ferdie - 950 hPa
T102012.Damrey - 970 hPa
T092012.Saola/Gener - 960 hPa
August
T112012.HAIKUI - 965 hPa
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 13 - 1004 hPa
T122012.Kirogi - 990 hPa
T132012.Kai-Tak/Helen - 970
T142012.Tembin/Igme - 945 hPa
T152012.Bolaven/Julian - 910 hPa
-------------------------------------------------
========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================
Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
============================
Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================
Reader Comments
Page: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 — Blog Index
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #26
TROPICAL CYCLONE DANIEL (EP042012)
8:00 AM PDT July 10 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "DANIEL" Gradually Weakening
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Daniel (996 hPa) located at 15.3N 135.1W or 1175 NM east of Hilo, Hawaii has sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 14 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
====================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.3N 140.5W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 15.2N 146.4W - 30 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 AM PDT July 10 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA", A Powerful Hurricane Continues West Northwestward
At 12:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (950 hPa) located at 13.7N 113.7W or 595 NM south southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 115 knots with gusts of 140 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T6.0
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
110 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 14.6N 117.0W - 105 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 3)
48 HRS: 15.6N 120.6W - 80 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 16.5N 124.2W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM PDT July 10 2012
=========================
Cloudiness and showers associated with a broad low pressure system located several hundred miles south southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico continue to show little change in organization. However... conditions appear conducive for slow development of this disturbance over the next few days as it moves west-northwestward near 10 mph
Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
===================================
There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 PM PDT July 10 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Slowly Weakening But Still A Major Hurricane
At 18:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (953 hPa) located at 13.9N 114.5W or 600 NM south southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 110 knots with gusts of 135 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 14.8N 117.7W - 95 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 2)
48 HRS: 15.7N 121.3W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 16.8N 125.6W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #27
TROPICAL CYCLONE DANIEL (EP042012)
2:00 PM PDT July 10 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "DANIEL" Weakening A Little More...
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Daniel (1000 hPa) located at 15.3N 136.6W or 1090 NM east of Hilo, Hawaii has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 15 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
====================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.3N 141.9W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 15.3N 147.8W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT July 10 2012
=========================
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 450 miles south southeast of Manzanillo, Mexico have not become any better organized today. Upper-level winds are forecast to become more favorable for development during the next day or so as the low moves west-northwestward near 10 mph.
Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
===================================
There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #28
TROPICAL CYCLONE DANIEL (EP042012)
8:00 PM PDT July 10 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "DANIEL" Continues To Weaken.. Expected To Become Post-Tropical Later Today (Wednesday)
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Daniel (1003 hPa) located at 15.4N 138.3W or 1000 NM east southeast of Hilo, Hawaii has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 15 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
====================
60 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.5N 143.6W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #14
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 PM PDT July 10 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Weakens But Still A Strong Hurricane
At 0:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (967 hPa) located at 14.4N 115.6W or 605 NM south southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts of 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.1N 118.6W - 80 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.0N 122.4W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 17.0N 126.9W - 50 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 PM PDT July 10 2012
=========================
A low pressure system located about 450 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico is gradually becoming better defined. Shower activity has increased and become better organized this morning...and upper-level winds are conducive for development of a tropical depression during the next day or so as it moves west northwestward at about 10 mph.
Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
===================================
There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 AM PDT July 11 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Remains A Category Two Hurricane
At 6:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (970 hPa) located at 14.6N 116.6W or 625 NM southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 110 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.4N 119.7W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.3N 124.0W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 17.2N 128.7W - 50 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #29
TROPICAL CYCLONE DANIEL (EP042012)
2:00 AM PDT July 11 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "DANIEL" Expected To Crossover Into Central Pacific Ocean Later Today
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Daniel (1005 hPa) located at 15.4N 139.7W or 920 NM east southeast of Hilo, Hawaii has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 14 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
====================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.5N 145.0W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
This is the last advisory from National Hurricane Center. Next advisory will be issued by the Central Pacific Hurricane Center
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 AM PDT July 11 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Continues Over Open Waters.. Will Little Change In Strength
At 12:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (970 hPa) located at 14.6N 117.3W or 650 NM southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 110 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.5N 120.5W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.5N 125.0W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 17.0N 130.0W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #30
TROPICAL CYCLONE DANIEL (EP042012)
5:00 AM HST July 11 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "DANIEL" Crosses Into The Central Pacific Ocean As A Weakening Tropical Storm
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Daniel (1006 hPa) located at 15.4N 141.2W or 834 NM east southeast of Hilo, Hawaii has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 14 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
====================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.4N 146.4W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM PDT July 11 2012
=========================
Shower activity associated with a low pressure system located about 425 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for development...and a tropical depression could form later today or Thursday as it moves west northwestward at about 10 mph.
Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
===================================
There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #31
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER DANIEL (EP042012)
11:00 AM HST July 11 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "DANIEL" Weakens To A Tropical Depression..
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Daniel (1006 hPa) located at 15.4N 142.2W or 785 NM east southeast of Hilo, Hawaii has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.2N 147.5W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 PM PDT July 11 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Strengthens A Little But Still Forecast To Weaken Gradually
At 18:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (960 hPa) located at 14.8N 118.2W or 675 NM southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.7N 121.7W - 90 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 2)
48 HRS: 16.5N 126.5W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 17.0N 131.5W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT July 11 2012
=========================
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system located about 400 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico have increased and become better organized this afternoon. Environmental conditions are conducive for additional development...and a tropical depression is likely to form tonight or Thursday as it moves west northwestward at about 10 mph.
Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
===================================
There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #32
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER DANIEL (EP042012)
5:00 PM HST July 11 2012
===================================
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Daniel (1007 hPa) located at 15.5N 143.7W or 700 NM east southeast of Hilo, Hawaii has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
This is the final tropical cyclone warning from the Central Pacific Hurricane Center..
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #18
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 PM PDT July 11 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" moving West Northwest With Little Change In Intensity
At 0:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (962 hPa) located at 15.0N 119.1W or 704 NM southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.7N 122.8W - 85 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 2)
48 HRS: 16.5N 127.7W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 17.0N 132.9W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 PM PDT July 11 2012
======================================
A well-defined low pressure system located about 450 miles south southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to show signs of organization. Thunderstorm activity has increased near the center of circulation over the past several hours...And if this development trend continues...then a tropical depression could form within the next 6 to 12 hours.
Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================
There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 6-12 hours
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 AM PDT July 12 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Weakens To A Category Two Hurricane
At 6:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (966 hPa) located at 15.2N 120.2W or 745 NM southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 95 knots with gusts of 115 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 11 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.9N 124.1W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.6N 129.1W - 50 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 17.1N 134.3W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP062012
2:00 AM PDT July 12 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: A New Tropical Depression Forms..
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1003 hPa) located at 13.6N 106.4W or 345 NM south southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 6 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 14.5N 108.5W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 AM PDT July 12 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Returns To Category Three Status.. But Not For Long
At 12:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (960 hPa) located at 15.1N 121.4W or 800 NM southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 100 knots with gusts of 120 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.5N 125.5W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.0N 130.5W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 16.0N 136.0W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
8:00 AM PDT July 12 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: Depression Strengthens Into A Tropical Storm.. Expected To Remain Well Offshore The Mexican Coast
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Fabio (1002 hPa) located at 13.6N 107.3W or 370 NM south southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
=================
30 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.0N 109.7W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 16.0N 112.7W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 17.0N 115.0W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 PM PDT July 12 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Begins To Weaken Over Cooler Waters
At 18:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (965 hPa) located at 15.1N 122.4W or 850 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 110 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.4N 126.3W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 15.9N 131.0W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 16.0N 136.5W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
2:00 PM PDT July 12 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Strengthens..
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Fabio (1000 hPa) located at 14.2N 108.3W or 370 NM southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
=================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.6N 110.9W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 16.4N 113.6W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 17.5N 116.0W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
8:00 PM PDT July 12 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" A Little Stronger
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Fabio (998 hPa) located at 13.9N 109.0W or 410 NM southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
=================
70 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.1N 111.5W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.0N 114.3W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 17.0N 116.5W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #22
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 PM PDT July 12 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Continues To Weaken.. Now A Category One Hurricane
At 0:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Emilia (979 hPa) located at 15.4N 123.5W or 895 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 75 knots with gusts of 95 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 10 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.8N 127.5W - 50 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 16.2N 132.6W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 16.4N 137.8W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
2:00 AM PDT July 13 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Intensifying..
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Fabio (995 hPa) located at 14.2N 109.6W or 420 NM southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.4N 112.2W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.0N 115.2W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 17.1N 117.6W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #23
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 AM PDT July 13 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Weakens To A Tropical Storm
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Emilia (991 hPa) located at 15.4N 124.8W or 955 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.8N 129.0W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 16.2N 134.6W - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
72 HRS: 16.3N 140.2W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #24
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 AM PDT July 13 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Forecast To Dissipate In A Couple Days Or Sooner
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Emilia (994 hPa) located at 15.6N 126.0W or 1015 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, Mexico has sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
=================
80 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 16.0N 130.3W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 16.3N 136.0W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
8:00 AM PDT July 13 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Almost A Hurricane..
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Fabio (992 hPa) located at 15.0N 110.6W or 435 NM west southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.5
Gale Force Winds
=================
100 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 16.1N 113.4W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.8N 116.4W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 18.5N 119.0W - 50 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
2:00 PM PDT July 13 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Become The Fifth Hurricane Of The Season.. More Than A Month Ahead Of Normal Schedule For The East Pacific Hurricane Season
At 18:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Fabio (986 hPa) located at 15.6N 111.4W or 445 NM south of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 70 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
20 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
90 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 16.5N 114.3W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 17.3N 117.1W - 65 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 19.0N 119.5W - 50 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #25
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 PM PDT July 13 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Continues To Weaken.. Forecast To Dissipate On Sunday
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Emilia (996 hPa) located at 15.5N 127.2W or 1075 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
=================
60 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.8N 132.2W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 15.8N 138.0W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
8:00 PM PDT July 13 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Strengthening
At 0:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Fabio (982 hPa) located at 15.7N 112.5W or 455 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 95 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
20 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
100 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 16.4N 115.6W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 17.4N 118.5W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 19.5N 120.5W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #26
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 PM PDT July 13 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Moving Westward.. Expected To Become A Remnant Low Over The Weekend
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Emilia (998 hPa) located at 15.5N 128.6W or 1150 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
=================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.6N 133.5W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 15.6N 139.5W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #27
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 AM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Moving Westward With No Change In Strength
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Emilia (998 hPa) located at 15.5N 130.0W or 1225 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
=================
50 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.6N 135.0W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 15.5N 140.9W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
2:00 AM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Continues To Move Toward The West Northwest
At 6:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Fabio (982 hPa) located at 16.0N 113.4W or 460 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 95 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
20 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
100 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 16.6N 116.4W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 17.7N 119.2W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 19.6N 120.7W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #28
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 AM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Moving Westward..Expected To Weaken On Sunday
At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Emilia (997 hPa) located at 15.5N 131.3W or 1290 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
=================
60 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.5N 136.0W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 15.5N 142.0W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
8:00 AM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Maintaining Its Strengthen
At 12:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Fabio (978 hPa) located at 16.2N 114.2W or 470 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
25 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
100 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 16.8N 117.2W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 18.2N 119.7W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 20.5N 121.0W - 40 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08
3:00 AM JST July 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near The Marianas
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 18.8N 143.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=========================
24 HRS: 21.0N 139.0E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - South Of Japan
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #29
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
2:00 PM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Maintaining Its Strength.. Expected To Weaken On Sunday
At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Emilia (997 hPa) located at 15.5N 132.9W or 1375 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T3.0
Gale Force Winds
=================
60 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.5N 137.7W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 15.2N 143.5W - 25 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
2:00 PM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Temporarily Turns Westward.. Show Resume A West Northwest Motion Tonight
At 18:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Fabio (978 hPa) located at 16.2N 115.1W or 500 NM southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 80 knots with gusts of 100 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 9 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T4.5
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
100 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 17.0N 118.1W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 18.6N 120.5W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 21.0N 121.5W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08
6:00 AM JST July 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near The Marianas
At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 19.0N 142.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=========================
24 HRS: 21.1N 138.9E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - South Of Japan
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
5:00 PM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Strengthens Into A Category Two Hurricane
At 21:00 PM UTC, Hurricane Fabio (972 hPa) located at 16.4N 115.4W or 500 NM southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 90 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08
9:00 AM JST July 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near The Marianas
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 19.1N 143.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=========================
24 HRS: 21.3N 139.0E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - South Of Japan
Additional Information
=====================
Tropical Depression will move north northwest at the same speed for the next 24 hours
Tropical Depression will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area
Final initial Dvorak number will be T2.0 after 24 hours
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
SEVERE TROPICAL CYCLONE FABIO (EP062012)
8:00 PM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "FABIO" Continues Westward As A Category Two Hurricane
At 0:00 AM UTC, Hurricane Fabio (972 hPa) located at 16.4N 115.7W or 510 NM southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 90 knots with gusts of 110 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T5.0
Hurricane Force Winds
=====================
30 NM from the center
Gale Force Winds
=================
110 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 17.2N 118.7W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 19.0N 120.8W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 21.5N 121.3W - 35 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #30
TROPICAL CYCLONE EMILIA (EP052012)
8:00 PM PDT July 14 2012
===================================
SUBJECT: "EMILIA" Weakening.. Expected To Become A Tropical Depression Sunday
At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Emilia (1002 hPa) located at 15.7N 134.5W or 1460 NM west southwest of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 14 knots.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.5
Gale Force Winds
=================
60 NM from the center
Forecast and Intensity
======================
24 HRS: 15.6N 139.3W - 30 knots (Low Pressure Area)
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08
12:00 PM JST July 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near The Marianas
At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 19.3N 143.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=========================
24 HRS: 21.5N 138.7E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - South Of Japan
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08
15:00 PM JST July 15 2012
=====================================
SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near The Marianas
At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 19.5N 143.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving north northwest slowly.
Dvorak Intensity: T2.0
Forecast and Intensity
=========================
24 HRS: 21.9N 138.8E - 35 knots (Tropical Storm/CAT 1) - South Of Japan
Additional Information
======================
Tropical depression will move west northwest and accelerate for the next 24 hours
Tropical depression will be upgraded to tropical storm within 18 hours
Tropical Depression will develop because cyclone will stay in high seas surface temperature area
Final initial Dvorak number will be T2.5 after 24 hours
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