May 1 2012 - June 30 2012

By: HadesGodWyvern , 12:46 AM GMT on May 01, 2012

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Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2012 season
=================================================

Information used for this blog are from

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

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Northwestern Pacific
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Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
Hong Kong Observatory: China
Typhoon 2000: Philippines
PAGASA: Manila, Philippines

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Northern Indian Ocean
--------------------
India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
Thailand Meteorological Department

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Northeastern Pacific Ocean
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National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL

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Central Northeastern Pacific
----------------------------
Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii

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Southern Indian Ocean
---------------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia
Mauritius Meteorological Service
Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center

--------------------------
Southern Pacific Ocean
-----------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington

=========================================

CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD



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=======================
Northeast Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Miami National Hurricane Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May
EP012012.Aletta - 1003 hPa
EP022012.Bud - 960 hPa

June
EP032012.Carlotta - 976 hPa


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=======================
North Central Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Honolulu National Hurricane Center

Central Pacific Hurricane Center


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Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May
T022012.Sanvu - 975 hPa
T032012.Mawar/Ambo - 960 hPa

June
T042012.Guchol/Butchoy - 930 hPa
T052012.Talim/Carina - 985 hPa
T062012.Doksuri/Dindo - 992 hPa

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========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department

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Southeastern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Warning Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

"Jakarta" Tropical Depression - 1000 hPa

==========================
Southwestern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Mauritius Meteorological Services
Seychelles Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

14R.Kuena - 990 hPa

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National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP022012
8:00 PM PDT May 21 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM ON TUESDAY

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1005 hPa) located at 9.8N 101.8W or 440 NM south southwest of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 11.6N 104.4W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL STORM SANVU (T1202)
9:00 AM JST May 22 2012
=================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Marianas

From Tiyan, Guam NWS
----------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN.

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Sanvu (1004 hPa) located at 13.0N 144.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 14.6N 141.8E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 16.4N 139.8E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 18.7N 138.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)

Additional Information
=====================

Tropical storm will move northwest at the same speed for the next 72 hours

Final initial Dvorak number will be T2.5 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03
6:00 AM JST May 22 2012
=================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Marianas

From Tiyan, Guam NWS
----------------
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR GUAM AND ROTA.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR TINIAN AND SAIPAN.


At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 12.4N 144.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 13.8N 142.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP022012
2:00 PM PDT May 21 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: TROPICAL DEPRESSION MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD WELL SOUTH OF THE MEXICAN COAST

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1005 hPa) located at 9.6N 101.0W or 440 NM south of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 11.3N 103.5W - 50 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 03
3:00 AM JST May 22 2012
=================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Marianas

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 11.7N 145.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 13.0N 143.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP022012
8:00 AM PDT May 21 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: TROPICAL DEPRESSION SLOW TO ORGANIZE...FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN SOON.

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1005 hPa) located at 9.2N 101.0W or 470 NM south of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 10.6N 103.2W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
21:00 PM JST May 21 2012
=================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 11.0N 146.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP022012
2:00 AM PDT May 21 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: TROPICAL DEPRESSION SOUTH OF MEXICO EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1005 hPa) located at 9.4N 100.1W or 450 NM south of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 10.5N 101.9W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP022012
8:00 PM PDT May 20 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: NEW TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS WELL SOUTH OF ACAPULCO...EXPECTED TO STRENGTHEN

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1005 hPa) located at 9.3N 99.6W or 455 NM south of Acapulco, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 4 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 10.2N 100.8W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
TROPICAL DEPRESSION XX
9:00 AM JST May 21 2012
=================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 11.0N 148.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest slowly.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT May 20 2012
====================================

Showers and thunderstorms associated with the area of low pressure located about 500 miles south of Acapulco, Mexico continue to become better organized...and conditions appear favorable for a tropical depression to form tonight or Monday as it moves slowly west northwestward.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
21:00 PM JST May 20 2012
=================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, A Low Pressure Area was located at 10.0N 148.0E. The low is reported as almost stationary.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 AM PDT May 20 2012
====================================

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico continues to show signs of organization. Conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system over the next couple of days as it remains nearly stationary.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT May 19 2012
====================================

Shower and thunderstorm activity centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico is showing some signs of organization...but without any well-defined surface circulation. Conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system over the next couple of days as it moves little.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Guam Tiyan NWS
Tropical Cyclone Discussion
=================================

A tropical disturbance centered about 500 miles southeast of Guam near 9.1N and 150.6E is expected to bring periods of scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Marianas through Tuesday as it moves slowly northwest through the region.

While the future track and development of this disturbance is still uncertain...It appears likely it will pass near enough to the Marianas to bring locally heavy rain at times through Tuesday...With wind gusts as high as 35 mph possible in heavy showers.

Residents of the Marianas should monitor the progress of this tropical disturbance. Faster-than-expected development could result in more wind and rain than currently expected...Or even in the development of a tropical depression.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 AM PDT May 19 2012
====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1006 hPa) located at 14.8N 112.5W or 510 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The depression is reported as moving east northeast at 4 knots.

THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 AM PDT May 19 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1006 hPa) located at 14.6N 112.8W or 525 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 35 knots. The depression is reported as moving east at 2 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T1.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 14.0N 112.5W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 PM PDT May 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" SHOULD BECOME A REMNANT LOW TOMORROW

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1006 hPa) located at 14.5N 113.2W or 540 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northeast at 3 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 14.0N 112.7W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #18
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 PM PDT May 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" POORLY ORGANIZED

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1006 hPa) located at 14.4N 113.5W or 550 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northeast at 3 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 14.2N 112.8W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 AM PDT May 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" MOVING SLOWLY NORTHEASTWARD

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1006 hPa) located at 14.2N 113.6W or 565 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northeast at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 14.4N 112.6W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 AM PDT May 18 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" STILL ALIVE

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1005 hPa) located at 13.8N 113.8W or 590 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northeast at 3 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 14.0N 113.0W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 PM PDT May 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW IN A DAY OR SO

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1006 hPa) located at 13.6N 114.3W or 615 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving north northeast at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 14.1N 113.8W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT May 17 2012
====================================

The low pressure area centered several hundred miles south of Acapulco, Mexico has become a little better defined during the day. Conditions appear conducive for slow development as it remains nearly stationary.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #14
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 PM PDT May 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" TURNS NORTHWARD

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1006 hPa) located at 13.1N 114.7W or 650 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving north at 5 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 13.8N 114.6W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 AM PDT May 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" MOVING SLOWLY AND EXPECTED TO WEAKEN

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1006 hPa) located at 12.1N 114.8W or 710 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 4 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 12.8N 115.1W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
TROPICAL DEPRESSION, FORMER ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 AM PDT May 17 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression, Former Aletta (1005 hPa) located at 11.7N 114.6W or 725 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 3 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 12.5N 115.2W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 PM PDT May 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" LIKELY TO WEAKEN

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1004 hPa) located at 11.5N 114.3W or 730 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 12.6N 115.3W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 13.6N 114.4W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 PM PDT May 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" SHOWING SIGNS OF WEAKENING

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1004 hPa) located at 11.4N 113.5W or 720 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 12.4N 115.1W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 13.1N 115.0W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM PDT May 16 2012
====================================

Satellite imagery indicates that cloudiness and showers associated with a low pressure area located about 500 miles south southeast of Acapulco, Mexico continue to gradually become better organized. Environmental conditions remain conducive for slow development of this system during the next couple of days.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 AM PDT May 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" EXPECTED TO WEAKEN

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1004 hPa) located at 11.8N 112.6W or 685 NM south southwest of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 12.6N 114.7W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 13.5N 115.3W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 AM PDT May 16 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" APPEARS TO BE WEAKENING

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1004 hPa) located at 11.9N 111.7W or 725 NM south of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 12.4N 114.0W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 13.0N 115.5W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 PM PDT May 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1003 hPa) located at 11.7N 110.9W or 675 NM south of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 12.4N 114.0W - 40 knots (Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 13.0N 115.5W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
72 HRS: 13.5N 116.0W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 PM PDT May 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" SLIGHTLY STRONGER

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1003 hPa) located at 11.2N 110.4W or 700 NM south of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 11.8N 113.8W - 40 knots (Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 12.3N 116.8W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
72 HRS: 12.8N 118.0W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 AM PDT May 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: "ALETTA" MOVING WESTWARD WELL AWAY FROM LAND

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1004 hPa) located at 10.6N 109.6W or 740 NM south of Baja California Peninsula, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 11.3N 113.2W - 40 knots (Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 12.0N 117.0W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
72 HRS: 12.5N 119.0W - Low Pressure Area
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
2:00 AM PDT May 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: ALETTA MOVING WEST NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE TROPICAL EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1004 hPa) located at 10.8N 108.7W or 555 NM south southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 11.4N 112.2W - 45 knots (Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 11.9N 116.2W - 40 knots (Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 12.5N 119.0W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL CYCLONE ALETTA (EP012012)
8:00 PM PDT May 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: DEPRESSION BECOMES FIRST TROPICAL STORM OF THE YEAR IN THE EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC.

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Aletta (1004 hPa) located at 10.5N 108.5W or 565 NM south southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

24 HRS: 11.1N 112.1W - 45 knots (Tropical Storm)
48 HRS: 11.7N 116.2W - 40 knots (Tropical Storm)
72 HRS: 12.0N 119.0W - 35 knots (Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP012012
2:00 PM PDT May 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: DEPRESSION BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED...EXPECTED TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 10.0N 107.3W or 565 NM south southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

12 HRS: 10.3N 108.8W - 35 knots (Tropical Storm)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP012012
8:00 AM PDT May 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: FIRST TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE 2012 EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE SEASON FORMS AHEAD OF THE OFFICIAL SEASON START DATE

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.8N 105.9W or 560 NM south of Manzanillo, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west at 4 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=========================

12 HRS: 10.2N 107.8W - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
2:00 AM PDT May 14 2012
====================================

Thunderstorm activity has increased overnight near the center of a well-defined low pressure area located about 580 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. if this recent development trend continues, then a tropical depression could form later today while upper-level winds remain somewhat favorable as it moves slowly northwestward or west northwestward.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a High chance of this system to become a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT May 13 2012
====================================

An area of disturbed weather located about 600 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to gradually become better organized. Upper level winds appear conducive for additional development...but are forecast to become less conducive by Tuesday. This system may becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves slowly northwestward or west northwestward.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a High chance of this system to become a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM PDT May 13 2012
=====================================

An area of disturbed weather located about 550 miles south southwest of Acapulco, Mexico has become a little better organized during the past 24 hours. Upper level winds currently appear conducive for additional development.. but are forecast to become less conducive by Tuesday. This system could become a tropical depression as it moves slowly northwestward or west northwestward.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM PDT May 12 2012
=====================================

An area of disturbed weather has developed about 550 miles south southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Upper level winds appear conducive for additional development and the system could become a tropical depression during the next day or two as it moves slowly northwestward.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809

WHXX01 KMIA 121124
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1124 UTC SAT MAY 12 2012

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.

EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP902012) 20120512 0600 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
120512 0600 120512 1800 120513 0600 120513 1800

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 9.0N 104.9W 9.6N 105.3W 9.6N 106.1W 9.6N 107.2W
BAMD 9.0N 104.9W 9.8N 105.8W 10.5N 106.9W 10.9N 108.1W
BAMM 9.0N 104.9W 9.7N 105.6W 10.1N 106.3W 10.4N 107.1W
LBAR 9.0N 104.9W 9.9N 105.5W 11.2N 106.6W 12.4N 108.1W
SHIP 25KTS 32KTS 41KTS 51KTS

Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (NONAME)
13:00 PM WIT May 10 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression located at 10.7S 125.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 20 knots.

forecast and intensity
======================

24 HRS: 8.9S 122.6E - 20 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 9.1S 118.2E - 20 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (NONAME)
1:00 AM WIT May 10 2012
=====================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1002 hPa) located at 9.9S 126.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots. the depression is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

This tropical depression may not develop into a Tropical Cyclone in the next 12-24 hours

forecast and intensity
======================

24 HRS: 9.6S 122.9E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 9.5S 120.8E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (NONAME)
19:00 PM WIT May 9 2012
=====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1000 hPa) located at 9.8S 127.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. the depression is reported as moving south at 8 knots.

This tropical depression may not develop into a Tropical Cyclone in the next 12-24 hours.

forecast and intensity
======================

24 HRS: 9.3S 124.3E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 10.0S 122.1E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (NONAME)
13:00 PM WIT May 9 2012
=====================================

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1000 hPa) located at 9.0S 127.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots. the depression is reported as moving east at 16 knots.

This tropical depression may develop into a Tropical Cyclone in the next 12-24 hours.

forecast and intensity
======================

24 HRS: 9.2S 124.6E - 35 knots (CAT 1)
48 HRS: 9.6S 123.0E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (NONAME)
7:00 AM WIT May 9 2012
=====================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1000 hPa) located at 8.9S 128.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots.

This tropical depression may develop into a Tropical Cyclone in the next 24 hours

forecast and intensity
======================

24 HRS: 8.6S 125.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1)
48 HRS: 8.8S 123.1E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (NONAME)
1:00 AM WIT May 9 2012
=====================================

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1002 hPa) located at 9.0S 129.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots.

forecast and intensity
======================

24 HRS: 9.2S 127.0E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 9.2S 124.0E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (NONAME)
19:00 PM WIT May 8 2012
=====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1002 hPa) located at 8.2S 128.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots.

forecast and intensity
======================

24 HRS: 9.1S 126.4E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 9.3S 124.0E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (NONAME)
7:00 AM WIT May 8 2012
=====================================

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1000 hPa) located at 8.1S 129.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots.

forecast and intensity
======================

24 HRS: 9.0S 127.2E - 25 knots (Tropical Depression)
48 HRS: 10.7S 125.0E - 30 knots (Tropical Depression)
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 50 Comments: 44809

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