May 1 2012 - June 30 2012

By: HadesGodWyvern , 12:46 AM GMT on May 01, 2012

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Tropical Cyclone and Typhoon 2012 season
=================================================

Information used for this blog are from

Joint Typhoon Warning Center

-----------------
Northwestern Pacific
-----------------
Japan Meteorological Agency: Tokyo
Hong Kong Observatory: China
Typhoon 2000: Philippines
PAGASA: Manila, Philippines

------------------
Northern Indian Ocean
--------------------
India Meteorological Department: New Delphi
Thailand Meteorological Department

------------------------
Northeastern Pacific Ocean
------------------------
National Hurricane Center: Miami, FL

-------------------------
Central Northeastern Pacific
----------------------------
Central Pacific Hurricane Center: Honolulu, Hawaii

---------------------------
Southern Indian Ocean
---------------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Jakarta: Indonesia
Mauritius Meteorological Service
Reunion Regional Specialized Meteorological Center

--------------------------
Southern Pacific Ocean
-----------------------
Bureau of Meteorology Australia
Fiji Meteorological Services: Nadi
Tropical Cyclone Warning Center: Wellington

=========================================

CURRENT ACTIVE STORMS IN THE WORLD



-------------------------------------------------


=======================
Northeast Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Miami National Hurricane Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May
EP012012.Aletta - 1003 hPa
EP022012.Bud - 960 hPa

June
EP032012.Carlotta - 976 hPa


------------------------------------------------- ---

=======================
North Central Pacific Ocean
========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Honolulu National Hurricane Center

Central Pacific Hurricane Center


========================
Northwest Pacific Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Japan Meteorological Agency

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

May
T022012.Sanvu - 975 hPa
T032012.Mawar/Ambo - 960 hPa

June
T042012.Guchol/Butchoy - 930 hPa
T052012.Talim/Carina - 985 hPa
T062012.Doksuri/Dindo - 992 hPa

-------------------------------------------------

========================
North Indian Ocean
=========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: India Meteorological Department

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==========================
Southeastern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
Perth Tropical Cyclone Warning Center
Jakarta Tropical Cyclone Warning Center

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

"Jakarta" Tropical Depression - 1000 hPa

==========================
Southwestern Indian Ocean
==========================

Area of Responsibility
==============================
RSMC: Mauritius Meteorological Services
Seychelles Meteorological Services

Storm archives (Active Storms in Color)
======================================

14R.Kuena - 990 hPa

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National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #6
TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
2:00 AM PDT June 15 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA Expected To Become A Hurricane Later Today

At 6:00 AM UTC. Tropical Storm Carlotta (993 hPa) located at 13.2N 95.3W or 165 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
45 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 15.2N 97.3W - 80 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.3N 99.1W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 16.5N 99.7W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

The Pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco, Mexico
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #35
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
15:00 PM JST June 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (975 hPa) located at 10.4N 131.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
140 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 13.1N 129.0E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 16.9N 126.8E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 20.9N 126.3E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #34
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
12:00 PM JST June 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 3:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (975 hPa) located at 10.3N 131.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 12.9N 129.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 16.3N 127.3E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 20.3N 126.1E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #3
TROPICAL STORM BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 AM PhST June 15 2012
================================================

Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY" has slightly intensified as it continues to move in a west northwest direction

At 10:00 AM PhST, Tropical Storm Butchoy (Guchol) located at 10.3°N 131.0°E or 510 km east southeast of Guiuan, eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 75 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Additional Information
========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 400 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and northeastern Mindanao due to big waves generated by the effect of the southwest monsoon and Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY".

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today or earlier unless changes occur.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
8:00 PM PDT June 14 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA Expected To Become A Hurricane Friday

At 0:00 AM UTC. Tropical Storm Carlotta (994 hPa) located at 12.5N 94.7W or 220 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
45 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 14.8N 96.7W - 75 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.2N 98.8W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
72 HRS: 16.5N 100.0W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

The Pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco, Mexico
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #33
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
9:00 AM JST June 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (975 hPa) located at 10.3N 131.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 60 knots with gusts of 85 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
50 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
100 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 12.7N 129.6E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 16.3N 127.3E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 20.3N 126.1E - 85 knots (CAT 4/Very Strong Typhoon) - South Of Okinawa

Additional Information
======================


Severe tropical storm will move at same speed for next 24 hours then accelerate

Severe Tropical Storm will recurve within 24 hours

Severe Tropical Storm will move west northwest for the next 24 hours then move gradually north northwest

Severe tropical storm will be upgraded to typhoon within 24 hours

Severe tropical storm will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area

Final initial Dvorak number will be 5.0 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #32
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
6:00 AM JST June 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 21:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (980 hPa) located at 10.3N 131.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
40 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 12.3N 130.0E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 15.5N 128.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 19.3N 126.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
2:00 PM PDT June 14 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA Moving North Northwestward Towards The Coast Of Mexico... Rainbands Moving Into Guatemala And Southeastern Mexico

At 18:00 PM UTC. Tropical Storm Carlotta (998 hPa) located at 11.8N 94.2W or 270 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving north northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
=================
45 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 14.2N 96.2W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
48 HRS: 16.1N 98.4W - 80 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 16.5N 100.0W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

The Pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco, Mexico
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #31
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
3:00 AM JST June 15 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 18:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (980 hPa) located at 10.4N 132.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 55 knots with gusts of 80 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.5

Storm Force Winds
================
40 NM from the center

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.9N 130.5E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 15.5N 128.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 19.3N 126.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #2
TROPICAL STORM BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 PM PhST June 14 2012
================================================

Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY" has slowed down and maintained its strength.

At 10:00 PM PhST, Tropical Storm Butchoy (Guchol) located at 10.8°N, 132.4°E or 680 km east of Guiuan, eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 8 knots.

Additional Information
========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 300 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small seacrafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and Northeastern Mindanao due to big waves generated by the effect of the southwest monsoon and Tropical Storm "BUTCHOY".

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 AM tomorrow.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
8:00 AM PDT June 14 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: CARLOTTA Expected To Become A Hurricane Friday Or Friday Night

At 12:00 PM UTC. Tropical Storm Carlotta (1000 hPa) located at 10.9N 93.6W or 335 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 13.3N 95.6W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 15.6N 97.7W - 80 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 16.5N 99.5W - 60 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico from Salina Cruz to Punta Maldonado

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for the pacific coast of Mexico east of Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonala

The Pacific coast of Mexico west of Punta Maldonado to Acapulco, Mexico
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #29
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
21:00 PM JST June 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 12:00 PM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (985 hPa) located at 10.7N 132.8E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.6N 130.9E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 14.8N 128.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 18.8N 126.3E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #28
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
18:00 PM JST June 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 9:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (985 hPa) located at 10.7N 133.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.2N 131.0E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 14.4N 128.2E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 17.6N 125.7E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOTTA (EP032012)
2:00 AM PDT June 14 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Strengthens Into A Tropical Storm South Of Mexico

At 6:00 AM UTC. Tropical Storm Carlotta (1003 hPa) located at 10.3N 93.3W or 375 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 9 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 12.8N 95.1W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone)
48 HRS: 15.5N 97.2W - 70 knots (Severe Tropical Cyclone/CAT 1)
72 HRS: 16.6N 99.0W - 55 knots (Tropical Cyclone) - Inland

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Barba de Tonala to Punta Maldonado in Mexico
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #27
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
15:00 PM JST June 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 6:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (985 hPa) located at 10.7N 134.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.7N 130.6E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 14.4N 128.2E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 17.6N 125.7E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #26
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
12:00 PM JST June 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 3:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (985 hPa) located at 10.8N 134.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.9N 130.7E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 14.4N 128.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 17.3N 126.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Philippines Atmospheric Geophysical Astronomical Services and Administration
Tropical Cyclone Bulletin #1
TROPICAL STORM BUTCHOY (GUCHOL)
11:00 AM PhST June 14 2012
================================================

The tropical storm over the Caroline Island has entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility and was named "BUTCHOY".

At 10:00 AM PhST, Tropical Storm Butchoy (Guchol) located at 11.0N 134.7E or 880 km east of Guiuan, Eastern Samar has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 55 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 13 knots.

Additional Information
========================

Estimated rainfall amount is from 15-25 mm per hour (heavy) within the 300 km diameter of the tropical storm.

Fishing boats and other small sea crafts are advised not to venture out into the seaboards of Luzon, Visayas and northeastern Mindanao due to big waves generated by the effect of the southwest monsoon and Tropical Storm "Butchoy".

The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised to take appropriate actions and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 PM today.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION EP032012
8:00 PM PDT June 13 2012
=========================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Forms And Expected To Strengthen

At 0:00 AM UTC. Tropical Depression (1004 hPa) located at 9.4N 92.4W or 450 NM south southeast of Puerto Angel, Mexico has sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving northwest at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
=======================

24 HRS: 11.9N 94.3W - 45 knots (Tropical Cyclone)

Tropical Cyclone Watches/Warnings
=================================

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for Barba de Tonala to Punta Maldonado in Mexico
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT June 13 2012
====================================

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 360 miles south of the border of Mexico and Guatemala have become a little better organized this afternoon. Environmental conditions appear favorable for additional development...And this system could become a Tropical Depression later today or Thursday as it moves northwestward at about 10 mph.

Interests along the southern coast of Mexico should monitor the progress of this disturbance. A tropical storm or hurricane watch could be required for a portion of the southern coast of Mexico by Thursday morning.

system #2
-------------

A broad trough of low pressure persists several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. The associated shower activity remains disorganized...And development...If any...Of this disturbance is expected to be slow to occur as it moves little.


Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a HIGH chance of the first paragraph disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #25
SEVERE TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
9:00 AM JST June 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category Two Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 0:00 AM UTC, Severe Tropical Storm Guchol (985 hPa) located at 10.9N 135.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 50 knots with gusts of 70 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 13 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
90 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 12.1N 131.4E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 14.4N 128.7E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 17.3N 126.1E - 80 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #24
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
6:00 AM JST June 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (992 hPa) located at 10.9N 135.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 12 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.9N 132.0E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 14.1N 129.8E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 16.9N 127.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM PDT June 13 2012
====================================

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located about 390 miles south southwest of the border of Guatemala and El Salvador have changed little in organization during the past several hours. This low has the potential to develop into a Tropical Depression during the next day or so as it moves west northwestward or northwestward at 10 MPH.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #23
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
3:00 AM JST June 14 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (992 hPa) located at 10.7N 136.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 45 knots with gusts of 65 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T3.0

Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.9N 132.8E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 14.1N 129.8E - 70 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 16.9N 127.1E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #21
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
21:00 PM JST June 13 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon In Sea East Of The Philippines

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1000 hPa) located at 10.6N 138.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.8N 134.4E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 13.6N 131.1E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 16.0N 128.2E - 75 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 AM PDT June 13 2012
====================================

Showers and thunderstorm associated with an area of low pressure located about 375 miles south of the border of Guatemala and El Salvador have become a little better organized this morning. This low has the potential to develop into a tropical depression during the next day or so as it moves west northwestward or northwestward at 10 MPH.

A broad trough of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico continues to produce disorganized cloudiness and showers. Development .. if any.. is expected to be slow to occur as it moves little

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a HIGH chance of the first paragraph disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. The disturbance mentioned in the second paragraph has a LOW chance of developing into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #20
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
18:00 PM JST June 13 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1000 hPa) located at 10.5N 138.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.7N 135.1E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 13.4N 131.8E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 16.3N 127.9E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #19
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
15:00 PM JST June 13 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1000 hPa) located at 10.0N 139.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 40 knots with gusts of 60 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west northwest at 10 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
80 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.3N 136.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 13.4N 131.8E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 16.3N 127.9E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS...ULITHI AND YAP IN YAP STATE
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #18
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
12:00 PM JST June 13 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1002 hPa) located at 9.4N 140.2E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.5N 137.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 12.2N 132.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 15.0N 129.0E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS...ULITHI AND YAP IN YAP STATE
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT June 12 2012
====================================

Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south southeast of the border of Guatemala and El Salvador. This disturbance has the potential to develop into a tropical depression during the next day or two as it moves west northwestward or northwestward

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #17
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
9:00 AM JST June 13 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1002 hPa) located at 9.3N 140.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.4N 137.6E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 12.2N 132.9E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 15.0N 129.0E - 65 knots (CAT 3/Strong Typhoon) - Sea East Of Philippines

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE

Additional Information
======================

tropical storm will move west northwest for the next 24 hours the move gradually northwest

Final initial Dvorak number will be 3.0 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #16
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
6:00 AM JST June 13 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1002 hPa) located at 9.3N 140.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.6N 137.8E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 12.6N 133.5E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 14.8N 129.0E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 AM PDT June 12 2012
===================================

Showers and thunderstorm associated with an area of disturbed weather located couple of hundred miles west southwest of the coast of Costa Rica are showing signs of organization. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next day or two as it moves west northwestward at 5-10 MPH.


Shower activity has increased in association with a broad surface low about 400 miles south southwest of Acapulco, Mexico. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some slow development of this system during the next couple of days.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of the first paragraph disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours. Second paragraph disturbance remains at a LOW chance of forming within the next days.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #15
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
3:00 AM JST June 13 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1002 hPa) located at 9.4N 141.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.7N 138.0E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 12.6N 133.5E - 50 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 14.8N 129.0E - 60 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #13
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
21:00 PM JST June 12 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1002 hPa) located at 9.4N 141.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 11.0N 138.9E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 12.8N 134.9E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 14.8N 130.8E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #12
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
18:00 PM JST June 12 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1002 hPa) located at 9.6N 142.3E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 7 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.8N 139.4E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
45 HRS: 12.1N 136.4E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
69 HRS: 13.7N 132.7E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #11
TROPICAL STORM GUCHOL (T1204)
15:00 PM JST June 12 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Category One Typhoon Near Caroline Islands

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Storm Guchol (1004 hPa) located at 9.5N 142.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 35 knots with gusts of 50 knots. The cyclone is reported as moving west at 8 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.5

Gale Force Winds
================
60 NM from the center

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.7N 139.8E - 40 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
48 HRS: 12.1N 136.4E - 45 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines
72 HRS: 13.7N 132.7E - 55 knots (CAT 2/Severe Tropical Storm) - Sea East Of Philippines

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #10
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
12:00 PM JST June 12 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Caroline Islands

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.6N 143.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.3N 140.7E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Marianas Island

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #9
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
9:00 AM JST June 12 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Caroline Islands

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.6N 143.7E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest at 6 knots.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.0N 141.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Caroline Islands

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP

Additional Information
=======================

tropical depression will move west at the same speed for the next 24 hours

tropical depression will be upgraded to tropical storm within 24 hours

tropical depression will develop because cyclone will stay in high sea surface temperature area

Final initial Dvorak number will be T2.5 after 24 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #8
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
6:00 AM JST June 12 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Caroline Islands

At 21:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.5N 144.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.0N 140.5E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Yap

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP STATE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR YAP
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #7
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
3:00 AM JST June 12 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression Near Caroline Islands

At 18:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 9.2N 144.6E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 9.9N 141.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Caroline Islands

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP
STATE.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #5
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
21:00 PM JST June 11 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression near Caroline Islands

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 9.1N 145.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west northwest slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 9.5N 142.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Caroline Islands

Tiyan, Guam NWS
===============

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI IN YAP
STATE.
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #4
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
18:00 PM JST June 11 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression near Caroline Islands

At 9:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 8.9N 145.1E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.4N 142.2E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Caroline Islands
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #3
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
15:00 PM JST June 11 2012
====================================

SUBJECT: Tropical Depression near Caroline Islands

At 6:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1006 hPa) located at 8.7N 145.4E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.0N 143.0E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Caroline Islands
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 PM PDT June 10 2012
====================================

Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 850 miles south of the southern tip of Baja California Peninsula has become less organized during the last several hours. The probability of development appears to be decreasing as environmental conditions are only marginally favorable for formation.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
12:00 PM JST June 11 2012
====================================

Subject: Tropical Depression near Caroline Islands

At 3:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 8.6N 145.9E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 10.0N 143.1E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Caroline Islands
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Cyclone Advisory #1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION 05
9:00 AM JST June 11 2012
====================================

Subject: Tropical Depression near Caroline Islands

At 0:00 AM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 8.2N 146.5E has 10 minute sustained winds of 30 knots with gusts of 45 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly.

Dvorak Intensity: T2.0

Forecast and Intensity
========================

24 HRS: 9.7N 143.7E - 35 knots (CAT 1/Tropical Storm) - Caroline Islands
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
3:00 AM JST June 11 2012
=====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 7.0N 148.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving west slowly
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 PM PDT June 10 2012
====================================

Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 850 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula have not become any better organized this afternoon. However...This system still has the potential to develop into a tropical depression during the next day or so as it moves generally westward near 10 mph.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
Japan Meteorological Agency
Tropical Disturbance Summary
21:00 PM JST June 10 2012
=====================================

At 12:00 PM UTC, Tropical Depression (1008 hPa) located at 7.0N 149.0E has 10 minute sustained winds of 25 knots with gusts of 40 knots. The depression is reported as moving northwest at 10 knots

Link
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
5:00 AM PDT June 10 2012
====================================

Cloudiness and showers associated with the low pressure area located about 650 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continue to show signs of organization. Upper-level winds are currently conducive for additional development...and a tropical depression could form during the next day or so as the system moves westward at about 10 mph.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a HIGH chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548
National Hurricane Center Miami
Tropical Cyclone Outlook
11:00 PM PDT June 9 2012
====================================

Showers activity associated with the low pressure area about 650 miles south southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continues to become better organized. Upper level winds are currently conducive for additional development and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two as the system moves westward at about 10 MPH.

Tropical Cyclone Formation Potential
=====================================

There is a MODERATE chance of this disturbance to form into a tropical cyclone within the next 48 hours
Member Since: May 24, 2006 Posts: 51 Comments: 45548

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